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NFT: Possible Trop Storm Isaias!

section125 : 7/30/2020 9:28 am
Ok Florida boys and girls and SE coasters, too - we may be getting wet and windy over the weekend.

As of now, I am only monitoring and do not plan on getting the shutters out or filling the gas cans. I may pick up the loose stuff and stow it away.

As of now NHC and most sites are expecting a tropical storm, possibly "strong" but not quite a hurricane. Famous last words, of course. Models show anywhere from West Coast of Florida(least likely) to staying in the Bahamas and skirting the East Coast of Florida.
East Coast of Florida here  
KDavies : 7/30/2020 9:32 am : link
doing nothing. It has to be a cat 2 to really start even considering putting up shutters. This is nothing in that sense.
In south Florida  
SuperRonJohnson : 7/30/2020 9:34 am : link
we have entered the "Cone of Inevitability" That means forget going to the stores to get water or toilet paper! They're long gone!
RE: In south Florida  
section125 : 7/30/2020 9:48 am : link
In comment 14940982 SuperRonJohnson said:
Quote:
we have entered the "Cone of Inevitability" That means forget going to the stores to get water or toilet paper! They're long gone!


Ha - should have included TP in the OP. I am stocked. Funny my BMs have not increased during COVID - shocking! Funny though because I was in BJs couple weeks back and saw plenty of TP and paper towels and bought some even though I had enough(at the time) for about 4 more weeks.
Outer Banks of NC  
Pete44 : 7/30/2020 10:14 am : link
What are they expecting there?
RE: Outer Banks of NC  
section125 : 7/30/2020 10:24 am : link
In comment 14941010 Pete44 said:
Quote:
What are they expecting there?


Pete, they are not sure of the intensity or track at the moment. If it stays East of Florida, it could pick up steam in the warm Bahamas waters and Gulf Stream. There is some dry air infiltrating from the SW for the next couple days that could keep the intensity down, but that changes Sat/Sun...
RE: RE: Outer Banks of NC  
Pete44 : 7/30/2020 10:28 am : link
In comment 14941014 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 14941010 Pete44 said:


Quote:


What are they expecting there?

Thanks Section - a friend of mine is going down there and he is already taken so much heat with his family over this trip, this tropical storm would send them over the edge.



Pete, they are not sure of the intensity or track at the moment. If it stays East of Florida, it could pick up steam in the warm Bahamas waters and Gulf Stream. There is some dry air infiltrating from the SW for the next couple days that could keep the intensity down, but that changes Sat/Sun...
I live here  
RIZZBIZZ : 7/30/2020 10:45 am : link
We’ve had a tropical storm everyday at 5pm this week.
RE: I live here  
section125 : 7/30/2020 10:47 am : link
In comment 14941030 RIZZBIZZ said:
Quote:
We’ve had a tropical storm everyday at 5pm this week.


Yeah, I know. They just don't last as long - although that Memorial Day Weekend was about as bad as it gets with a TS.
Latest Track  
Pete44 : 7/30/2020 2:02 pm : link
Latest track is East now... good news for Florida
RE: Latest Track  
section125 : 7/30/2020 2:15 pm : link
In comment 14941144 Pete44 said:
Quote:
Latest track is East now... good news for Florida


Have to wait another day or so to see what happens after rolling over Hispaniola.....but 1 slight wobble changes every thing.
Is it bad that trop storm doesnt worry me?  
g-baby : 7/30/2020 3:45 pm : link
feels like we've gotten mini trop storms every other afternoon over the past few weeks.

I feel like it has to be a cat. 2 hurricane or stronger for me to start worrying/putting up my panels. I'm also in NW Broward about as far as you can get inland where we dont traditionally get the worst effects of storms.
RE: Is it bad that trop storm doesnt worry me?  
section125 : 7/30/2020 4:39 pm : link
In comment 14941187 g-baby said:
Quote:
feels like we've gotten mini trop storms every other afternoon over the past few weeks.

I feel like it has to be a cat. 2 hurricane or stronger for me to start worrying/putting up my panels. I'm also in NW Broward about as far as you can get inland where we dont traditionally get the worst effects of storms.


Just scares the gators out of the 'glades for you..
But yeah TS, pfffttt, put the garbage cans and hoses in the garage maybe if I remember. Cat 1 - ok maybe. Cat 2 or 3 - dammit shutters. Cat 4 ooo, now I need supplies and gas cans.
Cat 5 - hasta la vista baby
Ok, now NHC says it will  
section125 : 7/30/2020 5:14 pm : link
be a hurricane just off the FL coast with the 5 PM advisory.
We need some rain  
rebel yell : 7/30/2020 9:07 pm : link
here in Norfolk, VA.
All kidding aside  
section125 : 7/31/2020 7:22 am : link
this PIA will be just close enough that I may need to put up some of the shutters..small center and hurricane winds not far from the center. Should pass 50 miles away.

Guess I need the exercise.
RE: All kidding aside  
MadPlaid : 7/31/2020 8:54 am : link
In comment 14941421 section125 said:
Quote:
this PIA will be just close enough that I may need to put up some of the shutters..small center and hurricane winds not far from the center. Should pass 50 miles away.

Guess I need the exercise.

Stay safe
supposed to leave in ~18 hours for  
bigbluehoya : 7/31/2020 9:59 am : link
a week in the Outer Banks. Sitting here scratching my head, not a clue what to do.
Yeah, I chickened out and  
section125 : 7/31/2020 7:28 pm : link
put up the shutters and bought gas for the generator. Was pretty stocked up anyway.

Stay safe boys and girls. Not the biggest of storms, in fact kinda small.

Beer, pizza and Yankees baseball.
RE: supposed to leave in ~18 hours for  
rnargi : 7/31/2020 8:12 pm : link
In comment 14941452 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
a week in the Outer Banks. Sitting here scratching my head, not a clue what to do.


Similar situation here. 2020's been grand, huh?
RE: RE: supposed to leave in ~18 hours for  
section125 : 7/31/2020 8:34 pm : link
In comment 14941732 rnargi said:
Quote:
In comment 14941452 bigbluehoya said:


Quote:


a week in the Outer Banks. Sitting here scratching my head, not a clue what to do.



Similar situation here. 2020's been grand, huh?


Looks like it will be in NC Tuesday as a TS. Good luck with this one. They will likely close the bridges.
Started watching this guy  
section125 : 7/31/2020 9:37 pm : link
last year. He is good. Great explanations. He is just an "amateur" - not a NWS official.


Tropical Tidbits - ( New Window )
The publix's here all sold out of paper towels.  
Zeke's Alibi : 7/31/2020 11:35 pm : link
My question is why? It was projected at most to be a cat 1 when it was even projected to hit the west side. I swear people definitely go into full prepper mode as soon as there is a whiff of anything. There has to be some psychology to it.
RE: The publix's here all sold out of paper towels.  
section125 : 8/1/2020 6:59 am : link
In comment 14941823 Zeke's Alibi said:
Quote:
My question is why? It was projected at most to be a cat 1 when it was even projected to hit the west side. I swear people definitely go into full prepper mode as soon as there is a whiff of anything. There has to be some psychology to it.


Not toilet paper.

Reason is because NHC kind of effed up with this one. Remember, it wasn't coming here and wasn't going to be a hurricane. Most people stock a bit earlier which allows the stores to restock. Waking up yesterday to find out not only was it now a hurricane it was going to run over the SE coast. Been down here 25 years. This was the worst forecast I have seen. Thankfully it is kind of "weak."
Even this morning, after telling us last night it was maybe reaching Cat 2 and catching the coast of Palm Beach, this morning it is barely a hurricane and maybe off the coast again, even the arrival time is off.
Yeah, I understand these things are not on rails. But they usually get the timing right. Yeah, they also wobble around a bit so 50 to 60 miles off is acceptable, but usually within 72 hours and certainly 48 they have a good idea of the track. Intensity is normally better predicted. But they sort of missed on all three.

But then again, they completely missed on Katrina - did not even see it until it popped up.
Getting married here in NJ  
DCPollaro : 8/1/2020 8:59 am : link
Tuesday...seems like it's coming for us... church, outdoor dining under cover and pictures with everyone dressed up. Originally was supposed to be 5/31. Why couldn't this wait 1 more week!! Ugh
RE: The publix's here all sold out of paper towels.  
LBH15 : 8/1/2020 9:05 am : link
In comment 14941823 Zeke's Alibi said:
Quote:
My question is why? It was projected at most to be a cat 1 when it was even projected to hit the west side. I swear people definitely go into full prepper mode as soon as there is a whiff of anything. There has to be some psychology to it.


Maybe people are just spilling a lot more things these days in FLA.
Looks like we may have dodged  
section125 : 8/2/2020 8:49 am : link
a bullet. Isaias never redeveloped overnight and is predicted to remain a TS.

Also good the the West side is relatively dry on this slow moving storm.

DCPollaro - sorry to hear about the weather impacting your wedding.
Thanks  
DCPollaro : 8/3/2020 5:57 pm : link
Looks like it's still coming right for us in north jersey..ugh
A tornado just went through Bald Head Island, NC  
MetsAreBack : 8/3/2020 8:33 pm : link
my kids (ages 12, 8 and 4) are down there with my parents while my wife and I are working up in NY this week. We are going there Saturday. My parents got a tornado warning for their street 10 minutes ago, put the kids in the bathtub right away in the middle of the house.. and not 3 minutes later the tornado destroyed one of their bedroom windows, they think with lighting from the neighbors property that was ripped off.

THe tropical storm hasnt even moved through yet - that is later overnight.

My kids are terrified. As a parent not there right now there is no feeling more helpless in this universe.
RE: A tornado just went through Bald Head Island, NC  
Del Shofner : 8/3/2020 9:20 pm : link
In comment 14943401 MetsAreBack said:
Quote:
my kids (ages 12, 8 and 4) are down there with my parents while my wife and I are working up in NY this week. We are going there Saturday. My parents got a tornado warning for their street 10 minutes ago, put the kids in the bathtub right away in the middle of the house.. and not 3 minutes later the tornado destroyed one of their bedroom windows, they think with lighting from the neighbors property that was ripped off.

THe tropical storm hasnt even moved through yet - that is later overnight.

My kids are terrified. As a parent not there right now there is no feeling more helpless in this universe.


Geez - best of luck to you and especially them.
RE: A tornado just went through Bald Head Island, NC  
section125 : 8/3/2020 9:21 pm : link
In comment 14943401 MetsAreBack said:
Quote:
my kids (ages 12, 8 and 4) are down there with my parents while my wife and I are working up in NY this week. We are going there Saturday. My parents got a tornado warning for their street 10 minutes ago, put the kids in the bathtub right away in the middle of the house.. and not 3 minutes later the tornado destroyed one of their bedroom windows, they think with lighting from the neighbors property that was ripped off.

THe tropical storm hasnt even moved through yet - that is later overnight.

My kids are terrified. As a parent not there right now there is no feeling more helpless in this universe.


Yes, I can agree with that. So helpless.
We got  
Pete in MD : 8/4/2020 11:58 am : link
soaked pretty good but it moved through very quickly where I am. Maybe 2.5 to 3 hours of rain and wind.
I'm here in South Jersey right outside Philly...  
BillKo : 8/4/2020 12:05 pm : link
...rained hard but is actually almost stopped now.

And wind gusts have been few and far between, expected a ton worse!
:  
Big Al : 8/4/2020 3:08 pm : link
Das Schlimmste ist vorbei
Chatham NJ  
ChathamMark : 8/4/2020 3:26 pm : link
Got hit hard here. Big branches down all around my house. Power out. JCP&L stats:

Affected Customers:
679,963
Served Customers:
1,131,724
Came in went with a whimper in Central VA.  
Britt in VA : 8/4/2020 4:15 pm : link
Got a lot of rain overnight, and a little breezy. That was about it.
RE: Chatham NJ  
section125 : 8/4/2020 5:13 pm : link
In comment 14943852 ChathamMark said:
Quote:
Got hit hard here. Big branches down all around my house. Power out. JCP&L stats:

Affected Customers:
679,963
Served Customers:
1,131,724


Wow over half their customers. Bigger deal in NJ and NY (and probably NC) than in FL..
Sorry to hear it boys and girls.
Half the state of CT has  
Carl in CT : 8/4/2020 11:54 pm : link
No power.
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