I'll start with the caveat that overall, our fanbase has been very fortunate to see four Super Bowls in recent history. I realize many fanbases are much more long suffering.
With that caveat aside, I think the notion that "Jones will be fine, the Giants just need to get him the pieces he needs to win" is naïve in a sense. Why? Because who actually has faith in this organization to acquire the types of players that a QB like Jones needs to win?
The Giants will once again find themselves picking near the top of the draft. For all of the blame Gettleman gets (and I am not defending him even .01%), when he gets kicked to the curb, that doesn't change the fact that many of the same folks who have been here for years likely aren't going anywhere. Like, Chris Mara isn't going anywhere guys.
Who will the next GM be? Based off Giants history, it will be a promotion from within or someone with organizational ties. Which likely means more of the same. This is the boring scenario and the one we all expect to happen, so let's not waste too much time on this.
I'm of the opinion that, barring him looking completely clueless and overwhelmed, we should just hand the keys to the franchise to Judge. Is it risky? 1000%, but clearly the more recent tact of having Mara's slimy fingerprints over football decisions isn't working either.
Let Judge pick a GM who has the same vision and philosophy as he does. Best case scenario we get a Shanahan/Lynch duo with Judge and whoever he picks.
Which brings us to the 49ers. The 49ers on paper appear to be a true "best case scenario" for a rebuilding organization. It took them until their 3rd year to put it all together (yes I realize maybe if Jimmy G doesn't get hurt in 2018, maybe they are a playoff team, but keep in mind they were on their way to being 1-2 by the time he got hurt late in the Week 3).
Now, let's say we get the clean start with a Judge/his GM regime in 2021. Jones at that point is basically playing for his long term future here, and this roster is certainly more than one good draft or one good free agent class from being truly competitive and being able to help support him.
If the best case scenario is that it takes 3 years for this roster to put it all together, can Jones be sold to the fanbase off of what likely would another losing season in 2021 and "Hey, 8-8 was a huge step forward" year in 2022? How do you tell the fans that you need to make the long term investment in the quarterback when there's been nothing but bad to mediocre seasons with him behind center?
I guess my TLDR is that, hey, Jones may very well turn out to one day be a decent quarterback who can win when placed in a great situation. But will he ever have that great situation with the Giants? It seems very unlikely if the Giants go the typical "we hired from within/hired a guy with ties" road. And even if they do make the out of character choice to hand the keys over to Judge, he and his GM will need at least 2-3 years to overhaul this talentless roster. Unfortunately for Jones, it seems like he is just in the wrong place at the wrong time.