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WAS VS DAL preference

ray in arlington : 11/22/2020 11:54 pm
The NY times simulator shows a slight advantage to NYG for a WAS win. The simulator shows little or no advantage overall, but if I plug in a NYG win over CIN (seemingly a necessary step for NYG) the difference comes out to a 35% (WAS win) vs 31% (DAL win) chance for NYG.


It's a slight effect because even though the Giants have swept WAS, they can also get a tiebreak advantage over DAL (or DAL/WAS 3-way) by beating DAL. A win over DAL in week 17 appears to be a likely necessary step for getting in anyway.

I go for WAS  
Azul Grande : 11/23/2020 12:05 am : link
1. We’ve already beaten WAS twice so that tiebreaker is already done in our favor.

2. I’d rather DAL didn’t have much to play for in Week 17, if for instance we are fighting PHI and/or WAS in Week 17 rather than DAL.

3. It’s always a good day for DAL to lose.
I'm rooting for Washington.  
jogo1 : 11/23/2020 12:08 am : link
I don't see how it's particularly close either, given their remaining schedule. Even at 3-7, Dallas should be favored in 4 of their next 5 games.
Dallas has easiest road to playoffs  
George from PA : 11/23/2020 4:14 am : link
Team played well yesterday....I could see them getting in a role.....no need for that.
My default position is to always  
GiantsRage2007 : 11/23/2020 7:14 am : link
Root for Dallas to lose.

This fits nicely.
Washington  
Essex : 11/23/2020 7:16 am : link
Dallas has an easy schedule and every time they don't win that is better for us.
Rooting for WTF  
Mike in NY : 11/23/2020 7:22 am : link
They have the tougher schedule and we definitely have the tiebreaker versus gambling on Week 17 and we know what the league thinks of officiating in Giants/Cowboys games,
No way WFT beats  
section125 : 11/23/2020 7:23 am : link
Dallas in Dallas.
can they both lose?  
Victor in CT : 11/23/2020 8:04 am : link
:-)
RE: I go for WAS  
islander1 : 11/23/2020 8:05 am : link
In comment 15054462 Azul Grande said:
Quote:
1. We’ve already beaten WAS twice so that tiebreaker is already done in our favor.

2. I’d rather DAL didn’t have much to play for in Week 17, if for instance we are fighting PHI and/or WAS in Week 17 rather than DAL.

3. It’s always a good day for DAL to lose.


Sums it up. Dallas has an easier schedule left too. Washington isn't going to finish with seven wins.
Washington..  
Big Blue '56 : 11/23/2020 8:06 am : link
.
How about..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 11/23/2020 8:10 am : link
a WFT win and Dallas needing to play Gilbert or Minshew-lite the rest of the year?
I will be rooting for a Washington win  
LBH15 : 11/23/2020 8:18 am : link
with lots of hits on both QBs.
Playing the long game  
dlauster : 11/23/2020 8:37 am : link
We don’t want Dallas to lose too often and get high picks in next years draft with Dak coming back healthy. If it can’t be us, let them win a crappy division and get their asses handed to them in their playoff game.

Thinking strategically here....
Just get better  
UberAlias : 11/23/2020 8:38 am : link
That's all that matters. I'm not worried about the playoffs or the rest of the division. Do things right and next year we're ready to rock.
RE: Playing the long game  
FatMan in Charlotte : 11/23/2020 8:40 am : link
In comment 15054557 dlauster said:
Quote:
We don’t want Dallas to lose too often and get high picks in next years draft with Dak coming back healthy. If it can’t be us, let them win a crappy division and get their asses handed to them in their playoff game.

Thinking strategically here....


Worrying about the draft is foolish. So is assuming Dak comes back and is the same player he has been.
RE: Playing the long game  
LBH15 : 11/23/2020 8:45 am : link
In comment 15054557 dlauster said:
Quote:
We don’t want Dallas to lose too often and get high picks in next years draft with Dak coming back healthy. If it can’t be us, let them win a crappy division and get their asses handed to them in their playoff game.

Thinking strategically here....


Are you sure you are?
RE: No way WFT beats  
Joey in VA : 11/23/2020 8:49 am : link
In comment 15054489 section125 said:
Quote:
Dallas in Dallas.
Of course they can. This isn't waltzing into a packed stadium against a quality team. WFT has the DL to swamp the Cowboys. They look fine against teams with bad DLs which is what Minnesota now has minus Ngakuoe, Griffen and Hunter that group is just bad. Stopping the WFT front isn't going to be easy and I expect WFT to win even with all of DAL weapons.
I second what Joey said  
GManinDC : 11/23/2020 8:54 am : link
I want WFT to go 0-16 every season..
I hate Dallas, their fanbase, the Joneses, the diction  
BelieveJJ : 11/23/2020 9:10 am : link
of the locals, and their Fffin Texas accents.

Washington, at least historically, had good knowledgable football fans and great coach in Joe Gibbs, and they now have a fine coach in Rivera...

I hate McCarthy's fat ass and they way he couldn't acknowledge Coghlin's Giants' stuffing of his teams TWICE in the playoffs, he's as ungracious as they come.
So he's perfect for the Cowboys, and I hope Rivera and the WTF and Alex Smith beat him and the Cowboys like a red headed step child.

Screw the Cowboys, especially on National TV, and extra especially that their only classy citizen, Dak Prescott, is on the sideline with a serious injury.
RE: I hate Dallas, their fanbase, the Joneses, the diction  
Victor in CT : 11/23/2020 9:20 am : link
In comment 15054624 BelieveJJ said:
Quote:
of the locals, and their Fffin Texas accents.

Washington, at least historically, had good knowledgable football fans and great coach in Joe Gibbs, and they now have a fine coach in Rivera...

I hate McCarthy's fat ass and they way he couldn't acknowledge Coghlin's Giants' stuffing of his teams TWICE in the playoffs, he's as ungracious as they come.
So he's perfect for the Cowboys, and I hope Rivera and the WTF and Alex Smith beat him and the Cowboys like a red headed step child.

Screw the Cowboys, especially on National TV, and extra especially that their only classy citizen, Dak Prescott, is on the sideline with a serious injury.


AMEN brother!

It was interesting yesterday that in the NYC area, FOX showed GB at IND instead of DAL at MIN. Usually with no Giants game networks would put the Cowboys practicing their social distancing over any other game.
For those of us who were holding onto  
joeinpa : 11/23/2020 9:41 am : link
The idea Giants could be in play for the division, Dallas showed yesterday why it s silly to write teams off based on how they are playing at the moment, especially in this division.

Case in point, many have written off the Eagles.

I ve always felt it was tough going through a schedule picking wins and losses, was Dallas suppose to have a win yesterday?

But here is what I believe to be a reasonable take regarding this division:

7-9 has a very high probability of going by to the playoffs, 6-10 has a reasonable chance.

Giants have a chance to get to either of those, if they do and 1 of those 3 or 4 wins comes against Dallas, we have a good chance to be watching the Giants in the playoffs.

My long winded way of stating, l ll be rooting for Washington, but Giants in a sense control their own destiny so it really isn’t as important as it could be

WAS for sure...  
Matt G : 11/23/2020 9:42 am : link
As mentioned, DAL has the easiest road to the division title
RE: For those of us who were holding onto  
Zeke's Alibi : 11/23/2020 9:53 am : link
In comment 15054662 joeinpa said:
Quote:
The idea Giants could be in play for the division, Dallas showed yesterday why it s silly to write teams off based on how they are playing at the moment, especially in this division.

Case in point, many have written off the Eagles.

I ve always felt it was tough going through a schedule picking wins and losses, was Dallas suppose to have a win yesterday?

But here is what I believe to be a reasonable take regarding this division:

7-9 has a very high probability of going by to the playoffs, 6-10 has a reasonable chance.

Giants have a chance to get to either of those, if they do and 1 of those 3 or 4 wins comes against Dallas, we have a good chance to be watching the Giants in the playoffs.

My long winded way of stating, l ll be rooting for Washington, but Giants in a sense control their own destiny so it really isn’t as important as it could be


Only a fool would have written off Dallas with Dalton coming back and playing another mediocre team of the bye. Especially as they have looked better since they cut the malcontents. Vikes have been hot, but their defense is still trash.

I was shocked to see the Eagles as the favorites still. They have been playing garbage football and it would be a shock if they turned it around.

3 wins, as long as one of those is against Dallas, will get us to the playoffs. WFT would have lost to the Bengals at home if Burrow didn't blow up his leg. Now obviously COVID can hit, or some random big time injuries, but that should do it.
RE: RE: No way WFT beats  
Zeke's Alibi : 11/23/2020 9:56 am : link
In comment 15054584 Joey in VA said:
Quote:
In comment 15054489 section125 said:


Quote:


Dallas in Dallas.

Of course they can. This isn't waltzing into a packed stadium against a quality team. WFT has the DL to swamp the Cowboys. They look fine against teams with bad DLs which is what Minnesota now has minus Ngakuoe, Griffen and Hunter that group is just bad. Stopping the WFT front isn't going to be easy and I expect WFT to win even with all of DAL weapons.


Football is always a game of matchups. Vikes were 7 pt favorites because they were home and their offense has been hot, but that defense is still trash. Cowboys O looks functional with Dalton. Just like this week if the Giants O does'nt score at least 27 against this pitiful D we have major issues, even if we win. It's why I like us against Cards, but probably expect to lose the SEA game.
Was going through this exercise last night with my son...  
Dan in the Springs : 11/23/2020 10:04 am : link
Here's our preferred scenario:

Week 12:
NYG W (CIN)
WAS W (DAL)
DAL L (WAS)
PHI L (SEA)

Standings:
NYG - 4-7
WAS - 4-7
PHI - 3-7-1
DAL - 3-8

Week 13
DAL L (BAL)
WAS L (PIT)
NYG L (SEA)
PHI L (GB)
Standings:
NYG - 4-8
WAS - 4-8
PHI - 3-8-1
DAL - 3-9

Week 14
Giants W (AZ in NJ)
DAL W (CIN)
PHI L (NO)
WAS L (SF)
Standings:
NYG - 5-8
WAS - 4-9
DAL - 4-9
PHI - 3-9-1

Week 15
WAS L (SEA)
NYG L (CLE)
PHI L (@AZ)
DAL L (SF)
Standings:
NYG - 5-9
WAS - 4-10
DAL - 4-10
PHI - 3-10-1

Week 16
NYG L (BAL)
WAS L (CAR)
PHI W (DAL)
DAL L (PHI)
Standings:
NYG - 5-10
PHI - 4-10-1
WAS - 4-11
DAL - 4-11

Going into the finale, Giants win and their in.

I know I have SF sweeping our NFC east counterparts, but lets face it, they are a team capable of playing well beyond their 4-6 record. Their record is more a reflection of a very tough division they've played in. They are the one team this year against the Giants that the Giants were not even a little bit competitive against.
Only real trickery here is we beat AZ and PHI loses to them, but remember that PHI has to go to PHI and we get them at home in December. Hoping that makes a difference.

Flip that game and this Thursday game becomes even more important.

An extra note: I really think the NYG needs to build upon its winning ways. Beating Cincy is a start. We need to beat at least one, of not two of the legit playoff contenders remaining on our schedule (SEA, AZ, CLE, BAL), not just to make the playoffs this year but for the team's long-term development.

DAL needs to lose this Thursday. Plus my Thanksgiving is always so much greater when I see Mr. Jerry Jones upset in his booth.
I was looking at this pretty in depth, we def want Washington to win  
Zeke's Alibi : 11/23/2020 10:07 am : link
because who knows what the 49ers look like by the time Dallas plays them and Dallas gets Balt after they play the Steelers and like clockwork both those teams play like trash following their games with eachother. WFT probably loses to the Bengals at fucking home if Burrow was healthy.
Football Team  
Harvest Blend : 11/23/2020 10:08 am : link
all the way. I'm not crunching numbers (Thanks Ray!) but I'll let the chips fall where they may.
We know who this guy...  
BamaBlue : 11/23/2020 10:13 am : link
roots for.

IMO - it will come down to Dal and NYG  
stoneman : 11/23/2020 10:29 am : link
Lets face it, the NFC East will not do much outside of the division, especially any strength outside the division. Instead of counting wins, it is easier to count losses.

Dal will lose to Bal and SF and the NYG will lose to Sea and Bal. That leaves Dal having to win 2 more games than NYG out of NYG (Cinn/Az/Clv) and Dal (Wash/Cinn/PHL). Even if Dal somehow sweeps, all's we would need is 2 wins out of Cinn/Az/Clv to make the last game the determining game.
RE: IMO - it will come down to Dal and NYG  
Zeke's Alibi : 11/23/2020 10:56 am : link
In comment 15054727 stoneman said:
Quote:
Lets face it, the NFC East will not do much outside of the division, especially any strength outside the division. Instead of counting wins, it is easier to count losses.

Dal will lose to Bal and SF and the NYG will lose to Sea and Bal. That leaves Dal having to win 2 more games than NYG out of NYG (Cinn/Az/Clv) and Dal (Wash/Cinn/PHL). Even if Dal somehow sweeps, all's we would need is 2 wins out of Cinn/Az/Clv to make the last game the determining game.


Dallas gets Baltimore after playing the Steelers and we actually match up very well with them. Writing off losses in the NFL is dumb. This division is not the same as it was playing in September, that much is clear.
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 11/23/2020 10:58 am : link
Washington.
RE: I hate Dallas, their fanbase, the Joneses, the diction  
pivo : 11/23/2020 1:03 pm : link
In comment 15054624 BelieveJJ said:
Quote:
of the locals, and their Fffin Texas accents.

Washington, at least historically, had good knowledgable football fans and great coach in Joe Gibbs, and they now have a fine coach in Rivera...

I hate McCarthy's fat ass and they way he couldn't acknowledge Coghlin's Giants' stuffing of his teams TWICE in the playoffs, he's as ungracious as they come.
So he's perfect for the Cowboys, and I hope Rivera and the WTF and Alex Smith beat him and the Cowboys like a red headed step child.

Screw the Cowboys, especially on National TV, and extra especially that their only classy citizen, Dak Prescott, is on the sideline with a serious injury.


This...except Dallas cheerleaders w Texas accents are acceptable....

Also, 4% is 4%, any way you slice it.
RE: Playing the long game  
mitch300 : 11/23/2020 1:24 pm : link
In comment 15054557 dlauster said:
Quote:
We don’t want Dallas to lose too often and get high picks in next years draft with Dak coming back healthy. If it can’t be us, let them win a crappy division and get their asses handed to them in their playoff game.

Thinking strategically here....

We seem to be in the minority. I agree with you.
RE: No way WFT beats  
djm : 11/23/2020 4:04 pm : link
In comment 15054489 section125 said:
Quote:
Dallas in Dallas.


Dallas still has all sorts of problems. Skins aren't that bad
well  
giantfan2000 : 11/24/2020 9:08 am : link
We play Dallas the last game so in a sense we control our own destiny if Dallas is the team to beat for division

So In one sense we should root for Dallas to beat Wash
I cannot root for Dallas or Phil  
chick310 : 11/24/2020 9:16 am : link
in any way, shape or form. Doesn't matter if it's the first game of the year or the last.

If Wash wins I don't like it, but can deal with it.
RE: RE: IMO - it will come down to Dal and NYG  
UConn4523 : 11/24/2020 9:17 am : link
In comment 15054760 Zeke's Alibi said:
Quote:
In comment 15054727 stoneman said:


Quote:


Lets face it, the NFC East will not do much outside of the division, especially any strength outside the division. Instead of counting wins, it is easier to count losses.

Dal will lose to Bal and SF and the NYG will lose to Sea and Bal. That leaves Dal having to win 2 more games than NYG out of NYG (Cinn/Az/Clv) and Dal (Wash/Cinn/PHL). Even if Dal somehow sweeps, all's we would need is 2 wins out of Cinn/Az/Clv to make the last game the determining game.



Dallas gets Baltimore after playing the Steelers and we actually match up very well with them. Writing off losses in the NFL is dumb. This division is not the same as it was playing in September, that much is clear.


I agree. There's a handful of teams trending upward right now and a bunch trending downward. This is such a unique year that I don't know how any team that gets into the dance can be counted out.

Ohh and the ultimate wildcard is the playoffs will be happening during COVID still. Look at the big names likely out this week - it isn't going to magically go away for the playoffs.
Too me it’s easy  
Carl in CT : 11/24/2020 1:37 pm : link
1) one hate Dallas more.
2) Dallas schedule is easier
3) we beat Washington twice and hold tie breaker
4) small but a home loss is always better (covid less impt)

It’s better for the Giants if Wash wins.
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