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Good piece on Judge by Paul Schwartz

Victor in CT : 11/24/2020 9:17 am
And some very good comments from Leonard Williams. While I disagreed with trading picks for him and thought they should have just waited for FA, I have to say I am impressed with his play and his character.
What controversial Giants firing says about Joe Judge - ( New Window )
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It will all come down to guaranteed money.  
Big Blue '56 : 11/24/2020 3:18 pm : link
I’m confident they’ll work it out. Imo.
RE: It will all come down to guaranteed money.  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 3:25 pm : link
In comment 15055996 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
I’m confident they’ll work it out. Imo.


Maybe. But if not, there is a sure-fire way to sort out LW's approx. market value.
RE: RE: RE: Teams trade draft picks for impending free agents  
djm : 11/24/2020 3:28 pm : link
In comment 15055865 LBH15 said:
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In comment 15055823 JB_in_DC said:


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In comment 15055804 LBH15 said:


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and then don't sign them to an extended deal...all the time?

Actually, I didn't realize it was so commonplace. Who are some of these guys?



Off the top of my head from last year there's Clowney (traded for a 3rd rd pick plus players to Seattle) and Sanu (for a 2nd rd pick to the Pats).



I think the Patriots just released Sanu. He was under contract. Clowney is more comparable, although he was left to just go into free agency.


Why do we seem to forget or ignore that Williams has been here now for nearly 2 years when this season is all said n done? What if the giants keep winning this season and win the east and Williams gets 2 sacks in the playoff game? Does that make the trade just a little better?

We have had Williams for nearly 2 seasons now. Doesn't that count for anything?
RE: RE: It will all come down to guaranteed money.  
Big Blue '56 : 11/24/2020 3:28 pm : link
In comment 15056004 LBH15 said:
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In comment 15055996 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


I’m confident they’ll work it out. Imo.



Maybe. But if not, there is a sure-fire way to sort out LW's approx. market value.


Then it would have to be a Transition tag
RE: RE: RE: RE: Teams trade draft picks for impending free agents  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 3:39 pm : link
In comment 15056009 djm said:
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In comment 15055865 LBH15 said:


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In comment 15055823 JB_in_DC said:


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In comment 15055804 LBH15 said:


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and then don't sign them to an extended deal...all the time?

Actually, I didn't realize it was so commonplace. Who are some of these guys?



Off the top of my head from last year there's Clowney (traded for a 3rd rd pick plus players to Seattle) and Sanu (for a 2nd rd pick to the Pats).



I think the Patriots just released Sanu. He was under contract. Clowney is more comparable, although he was left to just go into free agency.



Why do we seem to forget or ignore that Williams has been here now for nearly 2 years when this season is all said n done? What if the giants keep winning this season and win the east and Williams gets 2 sacks in the playoff game? Does that make the trade just a little better?

We have had Williams for nearly 2 seasons now. Doesn't that count for anything?


He has basically played just over one full season for the Giants. Don't follow the logic. I am suggesting that the Giants should sign him longer-term because he matches the vision of the GM.
RE: RE: RE: It will all come down to guaranteed money.  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 3:40 pm : link
In comment 15056010 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15056004 LBH15 said:


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In comment 15055996 Big Blue '56 said:


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I’m confident they’ll work it out. Imo.



Maybe. But if not, there is a sure-fire way to sort out LW's approx. market value.



Then it would have to be a Transition tag


Why?
RE: The argument for not paying Williams comes down to  
bw in dc : 11/24/2020 3:50 pm : link
In comment 15055595 cosmicj said:
Quote:
Redeploying his cap space to sign an edge rusher, a position which is even more expensive than a 3-4 DL and where there is a real risk of the acquired edge player being a bust due to a lack of fit.

A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.


Or, you redeploy that money you don't use on LW and beef up the secondary. It's not a bumper crop for top edge guys. So find a better counterpart to Bradberry and/or another slot corner.

Or look on the other side of the ball and add another WR. Another T/G or C for depth.

I'm growing more confident that Graham can scheme an effective pass rush without the big brand name to do it.
RE: RE: The argument for not paying Williams comes down to  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 3:58 pm : link
In comment 15056039 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15055595 cosmicj said:


Quote:


Redeploying his cap space to sign an edge rusher, a position which is even more expensive than a 3-4 DL and where there is a real risk of the acquired edge player being a bust due to a lack of fit.

A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.



Or, you redeploy that money you don't use on LW and beef up the secondary. It's not a bumper crop for top edge guys. So find a better counterpart to Bradberry and/or another slot corner.

Or look on the other side of the ball and add another WR. Another T/G or C for depth.

I'm growing more confident that Graham can scheme an effective pass rush without the big brand name to do it.


But Williams is what this GM has in mind in building up this team. He could have "deployed" those resources differently but this DT is what he feels the team needs which is why he was traded for and sure as hell why he was franchised.

No?
RE: RE: RE: The argument for not paying Williams comes down to  
bw in dc : 11/24/2020 4:05 pm : link
In comment 15056049 LBH15 said:
Quote:

But Williams is what this GM has in mind in building up this team. He could have "deployed" those resources differently but this DT is what he feels the team needs which is why he was traded for and sure as hell why he was franchised.

No?


That trade was made pre-Judge. So I don't know how much he's committed to that idea.

Remember, if Judge subscribes to the Belichick School of Team Building, paying top dollar for DTs isn't a big priority. So it's going to be very interesting how this lands...
RE: RE: RE: RE: It will all come down to guaranteed money.  
Big Blue '56 : 11/24/2020 4:14 pm : link
In comment 15056030 LBH15 said:
Quote:
In comment 15056010 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


In comment 15056004 LBH15 said:


Quote:


In comment 15055996 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


I’m confident they’ll work it out. Imo.



Maybe. But if not, there is a sure-fire way to sort out LW's approx. market value.



Then it would have to be a Transition tag



Why?


The only way we’d have a GUARANTEED shot at matching ANY offer made to him, no?
RE: RE: RE: RE: The argument for not paying Williams comes down to  
Zeke's Alibi : 11/24/2020 4:15 pm : link
In comment 15056060 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15056049 LBH15 said:


Quote:



But Williams is what this GM has in mind in building up this team. He could have "deployed" those resources differently but this DT is what he feels the team needs which is why he was traded for and sure as hell why he was franchised.

No?



That trade was made pre-Judge. So I don't know how much he's committed to that idea.

Remember, if Judge subscribes to the Belichick School of Team Building, paying top dollar for DTs isn't a big priority. So it's going to be very interesting how this lands...


Vince Wilfork says Hi.

I think the whole BB doesn't pay this or that is so overblown. BB pays players that stay healthy and our tops at their position. The NFL already has a sliding scale for what their positions are worth to account for positional importance. The people say he doesn't is because so often do teams pay their top 10-15 guys like top 5. That shit isn't smart. Let those guys walk and take the comp picks. LW is certainly a top 5 penetrating DT who stays healthy.
RE: RE: RE: RE: The argument for not paying Williams comes down to  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 4:16 pm : link
In comment 15056060 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15056049 LBH15 said:


Quote:



But Williams is what this GM has in mind in building up this team. He could have "deployed" those resources differently but this DT is what he feels the team needs which is why he was traded for and sure as hell why he was franchised.

No?



That trade was made pre-Judge. So I don't know how much he's committed to that idea.

Remember, if Judge subscribes to the Belichick School of Team Building, paying top dollar for DTs isn't a big priority. So it's going to be very interesting how this lands...


Hmm, he better get his title changed then. Otherwise there will be some fireworks on this one.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: It will all come down to guaranteed money.  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 4:19 pm : link
In comment 15056068 Big Blue '56 said:
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In comment 15056030 LBH15 said:


Quote:


In comment 15056010 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


In comment 15056004 LBH15 said:


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In comment 15055996 Big Blue '56 said:


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I’m confident they’ll work it out. Imo.



Maybe. But if not, there is a sure-fire way to sort out LW's approx. market value.



Then it would have to be a Transition tag



Why?



The only way we’d have a GUARANTEED shot at matching ANY offer made to him, no?


Why would Williams not ensure the Giants are in the mix? Seemingly the almighty dollar is driving his strategy and no point in not driving up his demand. Hasn't that been his strategy?
It's not just the pick we traded  
widmerseyebrow : 11/24/2020 4:21 pm : link
It's the fact that we lost our leverage and will have to pay much more to keep him now that he's playing better.

It's indisputable that we will have to pay much more to sign him to a contract than if we had just signed him as a free agent when his value was perhaps at an all time low.

Trading a pick to rent him on a team that is going no where playoff-wise so he could boost his free agent value is just an extra kick in the nuts.
Because, as has been shown many times,  
Big Blue '56 : 11/24/2020 4:22 pm : link
A player’s word of letting their team match an offered contract, is quite tenuous..Oft times the player doesn’t leave without a contract from the new team that may covet him..

Zero chances with a transition tag..
RE: It's not just the pick we traded  
Big Blue '56 : 11/24/2020 4:24 pm : link
In comment 15056078 widmerseyebrow said:
Quote:
It's the fact that we lost our leverage and will have to pay much more to keep him now that he's playing better.

It's indisputable that we will have to pay much more to sign him to a contract than if we had just signed him as a free agent when his value was perhaps at an all time low.

Trading a pick to rent him on a team that is going no where playoff-wise so he could boost his free agent value is just an extra kick in the nuts.


Does it REALLY matter if we wind up paying a few million more per year in the scheme of things? That wouldn’t break the cap, imo
RE: Because, as has been shown many times,  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 4:33 pm : link
In comment 15056079 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
A player’s word of letting their team match an offered contract, is quite tenuous..Oft times the player doesn’t leave without a contract from the new team that may covet him..

Zero chances with a transition tag..


That is fair. They could have done the transition this year though and received that same assurance, but didn't.
RE: RE: It's not just the pick we traded  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 4:35 pm : link
In comment 15056080 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15056078 widmerseyebrow said:


Quote:


It's the fact that we lost our leverage and will have to pay much more to keep him now that he's playing better.

It's indisputable that we will have to pay much more to sign him to a contract than if we had just signed him as a free agent when his value was perhaps at an all time low.

Trading a pick to rent him on a team that is going no where playoff-wise so he could boost his free agent value is just an extra kick in the nuts.



Does it REALLY matter if we wind up paying a few million more per year in the scheme of things? That wouldn’t break the cap, imo


Exactly BB56. Why hasn't Gettleman just done that already if LW is his guy?
RE: RE: RE: It's not just the pick we traded  
Big Blue '56 : 11/24/2020 4:38 pm : link
In comment 15056096 LBH15 said:
Quote:
In comment 15056080 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


In comment 15056078 widmerseyebrow said:


Quote:


It's the fact that we lost our leverage and will have to pay much more to keep him now that he's playing better.

It's indisputable that we will have to pay much more to sign him to a contract than if we had just signed him as a free agent when his value was perhaps at an all time low.

Trading a pick to rent him on a team that is going no where playoff-wise so he could boost his free agent value is just an extra kick in the nuts.



Does it REALLY matter if we wind up paying a few million more per year in the scheme of things? That wouldn’t break the cap, imo



Exactly BB56. Why hasn't Gettleman just done that already if LW is his guy?


Not sure
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: The argument for not paying Williams comes down to  
bw in dc : 11/24/2020 4:38 pm : link
In comment 15056071 Zeke's Alibi said:
Quote:


Vince Wilfork says Hi.

I think the whole BB doesn't pay this or that is so overblown. BB pays players that stay healthy and our tops at their position. The NFL already has a sliding scale for what their positions are worth to account for positional importance. The people say he doesn't is because so often do teams pay their top 10-15 guys like top 5. That shit isn't smart. Let those guys walk and take the comp picks. LW is certainly a top 5 penetrating DT who stays healthy.


Someone tried that Wilfork & Seymour move on me before. Alas, I don't think either contract ate up the % of the cap that LW's ask price will.

Well, I agree that BB is very malleable with his approach. But there is enough evidence out there that he targets under-valued assets over the big name of the moment. The examples are endless, and at almost every position it seems...

There are a few exceptions like Gilmore or Revis.

For crissakes, the guy has over two decades of personnel decisions to study. There are certainly misses, but there are a lot of hits...and hits with these undervalued assets.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: The argument for not paying Williams comes down to  
bw in dc : 11/24/2020 4:40 pm : link
In comment 15056072 LBH15 said:
Quote:
In comment 15056060 bw in dc said:


Quote:


In comment 15056049 LBH15 said:


Quote:



But Williams is what this GM has in mind in building up this team. He could have "deployed" those resources differently but this DT is what he feels the team needs which is why he was traded for and sure as hell why he was franchised.

No?



That trade was made pre-Judge. So I don't know how much he's committed to that idea.

Remember, if Judge subscribes to the Belichick School of Team Building, paying top dollar for DTs isn't a big priority. So it's going to be very interesting how this lands...



Hmm, he better get his title changed then. Otherwise there will be some fireworks on this one.


This off-season is going to be very interesting to see how the delegations of authority really work with such uncertainty surrounding Gettleman's tenure...
RE: RE: RE: RE: It's not just the pick we traded  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 5:05 pm : link
In comment 15056097 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15056096 LBH15 said:


Quote:


In comment 15056080 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


In comment 15056078 widmerseyebrow said:


Quote:


It's the fact that we lost our leverage and will have to pay much more to keep him now that he's playing better.

It's indisputable that we will have to pay much more to sign him to a contract than if we had just signed him as a free agent when his value was perhaps at an all time low.

Trading a pick to rent him on a team that is going no where playoff-wise so he could boost his free agent value is just an extra kick in the nuts.



Does it REALLY matter if we wind up paying a few million more per year in the scheme of things? That wouldn’t break the cap, imo



Exactly BB56. Why hasn't Gettleman just done that already if LW is his guy?



Not sure


At the beginning of this year, most posters defending this trade were expecting LW to get signed up in the $12-14M/year range. Now even a price tag of nearly $20M/year doesn't even phase some as an option as this gets discussed more.

LW has become an inelastic product to some degree in the eyes of many.
BBI may have “expected” 12-14,  
Big Blue '56 : 11/24/2020 5:10 pm : link
but was that ever realistic?
RE: BBI may have “expected” 12-14,  
bw in dc : 11/24/2020 5:18 pm : link
In comment 15056132 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
but was that ever realistic?


For the educated poster - no.

RE: BBI may have “expected” 12-14,  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 5:19 pm : link
In comment 15056132 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
but was that ever realistic?


Obviously Team LW would say no.
I said $16-18mm per year for LW after the trade.  
cosmicj : 11/24/2020 6:24 pm : link
You can look it up but just take my word for it. The COVID impact on sports revenues will lower that number and make LW rue the day he didn’t accept last offseason’s long term offer.
RE: RE: BBI may have “expected” 12-14,  
chopperhatch : 11/24/2020 7:12 pm : link
In comment 15056138 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15056132 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


but was that ever realistic?



For the educated poster - no.


Not many "educated posters" thought much of Will Grier, and they were right.
RE: RE: RE: BBI may have “expected” 12-14,  
bw in dc : 11/24/2020 7:20 pm : link
In comment 15056200 chopperhatch said:
Quote:


Not many "educated posters" thought much of Will Grier, and they were right.


Grier was a subjective idea.

Projecting LW's ask was simply math and understanding market comps. In other words, a fairly objective exercise.
RE: I said $16-18mm per year for LW after the trade.  
bw in dc : 11/24/2020 7:23 pm : link
In comment 15056178 cosmicj said:
Quote:
You can look it up but just take my word for it. The COVID impact on sports revenues will lower that number and make LW rue the day he didn’t accept last offseason’s long term offer.


It's going to be very interesting to see how that plays out.

If these vaccines are the game changers they are expected to be, that could accelerate a reset in revenues pretty quickly.
Players’ value changes all the time  
UConn4523 : 11/24/2020 7:24 pm : link
Peppers went from being cut (in the view of some) to picking up the 5th year option and potentially giving a long term contract to.

I definitely didn’t think DW would net $18m but that was then and this is now. He’s playing at a high level and it’s translating to a much better defense this year. This isn’t a hard concept to grasp and it doesn’t mean people we stupid for thinking he’d be less expensive last year.
A poster above details how he is basically playing  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 7:35 pm : link
at his same good, albeit average, level.

Nevertheless, if he keeps playing better I guess he should get more, right? So if the Giants make the playoffs and he gets 2 sacks in the playoff game (per djm example) do you want to give him above $20M/year? That would be then not now, so not hard to grasp.


You can’t help getting into it  
UConn4523 : 11/24/2020 8:04 pm : link
not going to bother, just not interested
RE: You can’t help getting into it  
LBH15 : 11/24/2020 8:12 pm : link
In comment 15056219 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
not going to bother, just not interested


Ok, it seemed like you were. But I must have got that one wrong.
RE: RE: It's not just the pick we traded  
widmerseyebrow : 11/24/2020 9:09 pm : link
In comment 15056080 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
Does it REALLY matter if we wind up paying a few million more per year in the scheme of things? That wouldn’t break the cap, imo


Does it matter that the guy in charge doesn't seem to understand any of this? Uh, yes. It was a questionable move to begin with in a lost season, and without signing LW to a reasonable extension at the time of the trade it became indefensible.

It's definitely less than ideal to have a GM that is trading assets away in lost seasons to save his own ass.
By the way, you can think LW is a solid player in a vacuum  
widmerseyebrow : 11/24/2020 9:10 pm : link
And still believe the above. They can both be true.
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