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Did Jones Turn a Corner?

adamg : 12/1/2020 3:36 am
I couldn't be more disappointed in the Jones injury. The biggest story going into this week should have been Jones hasn't turned the ball over in three consecutive games. That was a monumental change in the whole team dynamic that I think hasn't been talked about enough.

Did anyone else feel like Jones really started to come into his own these last few weeks in a way that says, this guy might be the franchise guy? Or am I crazy?

To me the turnovers and losses were major issues, but he really turned it around in an unprecedented way these last few weeks...
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RE: RE: he's been better..  
Producer : 12/1/2020 11:17 am : link
In comment 15063108 BestFeature said:
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In comment 15063104 Producer said:


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no doubt. but he is still often inaccurate, throwing to the wrong side too many times. And he has been playing bad teams during this streak. I personally don't think he'll be a championship QB in this league but until we find someone better he has a chance to prove he is.



Did Eli look like a championship QB in his second season? The thing giving me pause is that I've felt he hasn't been as good in crunch time as Eli. But Eli didn't look great until the end of his 4th season.


Personally, I had a better feeling about Eli. I don't know why. Maybe it was that he was such a high pedigree QB. I think Eli was a lot more than a game manager. He won games in dramatic fashion. Even in yr 2. Jones doesn't seem to have that winning, leadership mentality. We'll see though.
Jones injury  
nym172 : 12/1/2020 11:27 am : link
Lets say he can play next week and miss SEA, does he come back to 90% with a chance of injury?

How long does a typical injury like this take to come back to 100% with no additional risk of injury on average? How much to 80-90% full health?

I think id take 80% with a small chance of reinjury if you eliminate RPO/designed runs for him to play vs SEA.
Focusing on the TOs is the low hanging fruit the national media  
BelieveJJ : 12/1/2020 11:29 am : link
pundits all focus on. Of course it's huge in the W/L results.

But the bigger and more important change to my eyes is how he is now reading the field and making adjustments at the LOS and even his post snap recognition and reaction.

He's evolving in the QB's point guard role, and that has been crucial to the elevation of his play, and therefore the team's.
RE: Jones injury  
BelieveJJ : 12/1/2020 11:34 am : link
In comment 15063177 nym172 said:
Quote:
Lets say he can play next week and miss SEA, does he come back to 90% with a chance of injury?

How long does a typical injury like this take to come back to 100% with no additional risk of injury on average? How much to 80-90% full health?

I think id take 80% with a small chance of reinjury if you eliminate RPO/designed runs for him to play vs SEA.


He prolly won't be 100% for the remainder of 2020. He won't have the opportunity to rest and rehab it.

As soon as he can manage to throw off the leg at some level like 85-90% efficacy, even if he cannot RUN at all, he'll be back in the lineup.

It's who he is, and how important he is to team success.

Caveat I'm not a Dr, but have suffered a really bad hamstring tear once that also tore a significan vein in my leg.
Damn  
nym172 : 12/1/2020 11:41 am : link
so we are dealing with a limited QB the rest of the way who needs a month of rest/rehab to get back to 100%. At least the offseason will be normal for him.
RE: RE: Eli was already a pretty good QB in his second season.  
BrettNYG10 : 12/1/2020 11:42 am : link
In comment 15063147 BestFeature said:
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In comment 15063141 BrettNYG10 said:


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5th in yards, tied for 4th in TDs.



And Jones had one of the best rookie seasons in history other than fumbles that he has had under control more or less this year. He HAS regressed this year but has also played in a much more conservative offense with not half the talent the 05 Giants had.


I agree Jones was really good last year, but this thread is about him turning a corner. He's still much worse than last year.
As others noted there may be a positive to this.  
BelieveJJ : 12/1/2020 11:46 am : link
A silver lining. Jones will have to rely even more on his recognition and anticipation while passing solely from the pocket. And the OL will have to really outperform in both the ground and pass protection arenas to keep the boat afloat.

Big challenges for sure.
RE: RE: RE: Eli was already a pretty good QB in his second season.  
BelieveJJ : 12/1/2020 11:50 am : link
In comment 15063196 BrettNYG10 said:
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In comment 15063147 BestFeature said:


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In comment 15063141 BrettNYG10 said:


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I agree Jones was really good last year, but this thread is about him turning a corner. He's still much worse than last year.


He is MUCH BETTER in reading the field now, he's doing much more as a field general. Garrett's taken away many of PS's simplifications.
He has certainly been better the last couple of weeks.  
NYG07 : 12/1/2020 11:59 am : link
QBs are really expensive. We have already seen within our division how paying a QB 30M+ shreds the rest of your team. So he better be worth it. Fortunately we have him on a cheap contract for another 2 years to see if he is the guy. If he doesn't prove to be a top 10 QB, move on. It is not complicated IMO.
Jones will be a top 10 quarterback for 10 years,  
CT Charlie : 12/1/2020 12:07 pm : link
providing that the hamstring heals fully (so he can plant on his throws) AND our coaches don't try to use him like RGIII or Lamar Jackson or even the DJ of the past 4 weeks. Designed runs should be used VERY sparingly for a guy 6'5, even if he's really fast.

He needs to slide or go out of bounds, even when it means coming up short of a first down. He has the talent to lead us as far as the rest of the team will allow.
Yeah and it’s several things  
mattlawson : 12/1/2020 12:09 pm : link
Seeing the reads a little faster. Having a cleaner pocket. Better run game to keep the d from teeing off. And players executing and getting some wins for confidence. The whole team is clicking a bit more. Now the competition hasn’t been as high but wins are important
He's played better  
JonC : 12/1/2020 12:12 pm : link
Next step is demonstrate consistency of performance, and then defeat a winning football team.

That goes for the entire NYG football team right now. They're beating fellow clunkers, need to beat a winner.
He's been better  
Go Terps : 12/1/2020 12:51 pm : link
He hasn't been so good that we need to start talking about the next 10 years. I'd still bring in legitimate competition in the off-season.
Jones is playing like a better...  
bw in dc : 12/1/2020 1:24 pm : link
game manager.

But where are the points? That's what the 6th pick is supposed to do - produce more points.

I'm not declaring any "corner turned" until I see a high draft pick doing high draft pick things...
RE: Jones will be a top 10 quarterback for 10 years,  
Producer : 12/1/2020 1:27 pm : link
In comment 15063234 CT Charlie said:
Quote:
providing that the hamstring heals fully (so he can plant on his throws) AND our coaches don't try to use him like RGIII or Lamar Jackson or even the DJ of the past 4 weeks. Designed runs should be used VERY sparingly for a guy 6'5, even if he's really fast.

He needs to slide or go out of bounds, even when it means coming up short of a first down. He has the talent to lead us as far as the rest of the team will allow.


Can we start with top-10 in one season? Because right now he around #25. Maybe with his improved play he is around 15 to 18. It is a big jump to top 10, much less top 10 for ten seasons. He has done nothing so far to comfortably project him as an enduring top 10 QB.
Thought DJ looked decent in first half versus Cincy  
LBH15 : 12/1/2020 1:32 pm : link
but agree need more from him than just "not turning the ball over" or "not lose the game" type of QB play.

With that said, front office really needed to get him another WR this season. And Evan Engram's struggles to stop helping the opposing defense is consistently hurting DJ too.

But overall, corner not yet turned.
Needs to be more prolific  
Oscar : 12/1/2020 1:34 pm : link
8 tds on the season doesn’t cut it. That’s a good two weeks for top players, we are 2/3 of the way through the season. It’s nowhere close to good enough. I don’t think Jones is solely to blame but the offense feels very underpowered and the QB is the focal point of the offense. The Giants need better talent at receiver but I sincerely doubt Mahomes, Wilson, Rodgers, etc would be in single digits for passing touchdowns in this offense.

I like Jones, by all accounts he works hard. I think he throws a pretty nice ball and I like that he can run. But it’s 2020 not 1980, you need to be able to score in bunches.
RE: Jones is playing like a better...  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 1:34 pm : link
In comment 15063341 bw in dc said:
Quote:
game manager.

But where are the points? That's what the 6th pick is supposed to do - produce more points.

I'm not declaring any "corner turned" until I see a high draft pick doing high draft pick things...


Having 7.6 yards per carry rushing, being the #1 deep ball passer in the league right now, 3rd in rushing yards by a QB this year, three passing TD's short of the rookie record last year...

Do these not classify as "high draft pick things"?
RE: RE: Jones is playing like a better...  
Producer : 12/1/2020 1:35 pm : link
In comment 15063355 Britt in VA said:
Quote:
In comment 15063341 bw in dc said:


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game manager.

But where are the points? That's what the 6th pick is supposed to do - produce more points.

I'm not declaring any "corner turned" until I see a high draft pick doing high draft pick things...



Having 7.6 yards per carry rushing, being the #1 deep ball passer in the league right now, 3rd in rushing yards by a QB this year, three passing TD's short of the rookie record last year...

Do these not classify as "high draft pick things"?


You think Daniel Jones is the #1 deep ball passer in the league right now? What about Mahomes, Rodgers, Wilson, etc etc..
.  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 1:37 pm : link
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Link - ( New Window )
His 142.4 rating leads the NFL.  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 1:38 pm : link
.
If Saquon comes back healthy, watch the overall O production  
Big Blue '56 : 12/1/2020 1:48 pm : link
go up..I’d like to add a stud WR with the 32nd pick if available.
Britt  
Go Terps : 12/1/2020 1:52 pm : link
Look deeper at those numbers.

Jones: 14/24, 5 TDs/0 INTs (Giants - 19.5 PPG)
Rodgers: 25/58, 8/1 (Packers - 31.7 PPG)
Mahomes: 18/46, 9/1 (Chiefs - 31.6 PPG)
Herbert: 19/45, 10/3 (Chargers - 25.2 PPG)
Wilson: 19/46, 11/3 (Seahawks - 31.0 PPG)
Prescott: 15/28, 4/1 (Cowboys - 32.6 PPG in Dak's 5 games)

See a difference in those guys? Yes, Jones has the highest rating. And yes, he does throw the deep ball well. But he is not prolific in this area and downfield passing is how you score in this league.

Prior to his injury Jones was playing better in that the turnovers were gone and he was running the ball well. But he was not creating points with his passing.

Jones is still a question mark at quarterback. Next year has to be a lot better.
RE: His 142.4 rating leads the NFL.  
LBH15 : 12/1/2020 1:53 pm : link
In comment 15063360 Britt in VA said:
Quote:
.


That rating could say 1,424.0 and he wouldn't be the best deep ball passer in the league.

He also has a higher yard per carry than Saquon Barkley. Does that make him a better runner than him too?
He is doing "high draft pick things"  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 2:05 pm : link
He is clearly taking advantage of what the offense, and receivers give him.
He is improving....  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 2:06 pm : link
and will continue to improve.
RE: Britt  
BestFeature : 12/1/2020 2:15 pm : link
In comment 15063372 Go Terps said:
Quote:
Look deeper at those numbers.

Jones: 14/24, 5 TDs/0 INTs (Giants - 19.5 PPG)
Rodgers: 25/58, 8/1 (Packers - 31.7 PPG)
Mahomes: 18/46, 9/1 (Chiefs - 31.6 PPG)
Herbert: 19/45, 10/3 (Chargers - 25.2 PPG)
Wilson: 19/46, 11/3 (Seahawks - 31.0 PPG)
Prescott: 15/28, 4/1 (Cowboys - 32.6 PPG in Dak's 5 games)

See a difference in those guys? Yes, Jones has the highest rating. And yes, he does throw the deep ball well. But he is not prolific in this area and downfield passing is how you score in this league.

Prior to his injury Jones was playing better in that the turnovers were gone and he was running the ball well. But he was not creating points with his passing.

Jones is still a question mark at quarterback. Next year has to be a lot better.


He plays in a conservative offense though that until the last 4 games had a terrible pass protection. He's not the best deep ball passer in the league but is a good one.
Saw these posted on Twitter in that Baldinger thread.....  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 2:20 pm : link
Not using them to support or prove the best deep passer right now, but interesting nonetheless:



Now I'm not a big metrics guy, but it seems like this should not be surprising that he's throwing a great deep ball right now. This is who they drafted.
There’s certainly been an improvement with regards to  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 12/1/2020 2:22 pm : link
turnover worthy plays. Part of that is he’ll fumble less often as the pass protection improves. His 18 for 18 performance with a clean pocket versus Philly gives me hope that he has the capability of improving as the line gets better. I still would like to see more explosive plays in the passing game, but that might not be possible with this roster as configurated.
RE: RE: Jones is playing like a better...  
bw in dc : 12/1/2020 2:37 pm : link
In comment 15063355 Britt in VA said:
Quote:
In comment 15063341 bw in dc said:


Quote:


game manager.

But where are the points? That's what the 6th pick is supposed to do - produce more points.

I'm not declaring any "corner turned" until I see a high draft pick doing high draft pick things...



Having 7.6 yards per carry rushing, being the #1 deep ball passer in the league right now, 3rd in rushing yards by a QB this year, three passing TD's short of the rookie record last year...

Do these not classify as "high draft pick things"?


I do like the ability to produce yards with his legs. Check.

The deep ball stuff is okay, but those are a bit distorted. He is has good touch on these lolipop throws to a spot allowing the receiver to run under the ball. Fine. But he doesn't really drive the ball downfield like a Mahomes, Allen, Rodgers, etc where he can drill it into tight coverage. Those plays create more points. But Jones does throw a catchable ball - by and large - so that's noteworthy.

Again, the QB is most directly responsible for PPG. True?

This year we are 30th at 19.8PPG. Last year we scored 21.3 PPG for 19th place.

That speaks volumes to me...
Anyone who hasn't yet do yourself a favor and view the Baldy thread  
Stu11 : 12/1/2020 2:39 pm : link
You see Jones actually has a pocket to throw from now. Not a jailbreak where he's getting hit from every angle. It's amazing how much less a QB turns it over when he actually has time to throw and go through his progressions. Also the play calling has gotten much better as they are more comfortable with the personnel. All of this is why Jones pronouncements after week 5 or 6 were way premature.
As the offensive line and defensive line improves, the results will  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 2:42 pm : link
improve. That goes for Jones and the whole team. You are seeing it with your own eyes right now.

We now have what looks to be a young, offensive line that can hold blocks. Now in this draft we need to get a big, physical WR that can go up and get the 50/50 balls, and gets consistent separation. If we can find a true TE while we're at it, all the better.

It's a symbiotic relationship. As the team improves, Jones will improve, and the points/passing TD's will come. It's not like he doesn't have the ability to put it on a rope and dime like he did to Golden Tate in the 4th QTR against Tampa with the game on the line. There was nothing lolipop about that throw.
Link - ( New Window )
And that was falling back with pressure in his face and his....  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 2:45 pm : link
linemen being pushed back into him. No pocket to step up into. So no, I don't buy into that lolipop stuff.
The issue isn't his ability to throw deep  
Go Terps : 12/1/2020 2:48 pm : link
He's a very good deep ball thrower. I wouldn't even try to dispute that. Overall I think he's a really good thrower in general...the only issue would be the hitch and patting the ball - those really become a problem down near the goal line (think of the 2 point conversion failure against TB).

But by and large it's the decision making and vision that's an issue. He's had stretches where he just doesn't see what's happening on the field because he's prescribed his throw pre-snap (again think of the pick against TB that should have been a deep TD to Slayton on the opposite side of the field).

I'd agree that Jones is improving, but that has to continue in a big way next year...that's when the contract questions will start to be asked, and right now he's nowhere close to meriting long term consideration beyond his rookie deal.
Can't disagree with that.....  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 2:50 pm : link
.
what Terps said and  
JonC : 12/1/2020 2:57 pm : link
he needs talent upgrades at WR. Engram's got to stop with the yips, Slayton can't disappear and put 0-2 catches up.

Shep is also not looking like his old self, think he's protecting his noggin from the next concussion. So, we're potentially looking for two WRs, if I'm the GM.

It seems to me that if you started a thread on BBI in 2018.....  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 3:09 pm : link
that was titled "what do you want in the next QB", the most consensus would be on what we appear to have here, starting with number one as the most popular from what I remember!

1. Needs to be able to make plays with his legs when the pocket collapses

2. Big/tall pocket passer that can re-establish the launch point with his legs, looking for the pass first, but able to run for the first down if neccessary.

3. Throws a good deep ball

4. Can go through his progressions and find the open man by reading a defense.

I really think we have that guy. The guy we all wanted in our head was the prototype and it appears Daniel Jones at least has all of those traits, although they are developing. Protect him. Give him weapons. Then you'll see what he can really do.
Oh, and I'm sure Doesn't turn the ball over would also be high...  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 3:10 pm : link
on the list. And hopefully he's improving on that too.
Agree  
Thegratefulhead : 12/1/2020 3:13 pm : link
With seeing the field. Jones left some wide open again without even looking. Watching Rodgers, he sees the whole field. He doesn't bird dog a side of the field. He uses his peripheral vision to see the whole field. When Jones drops back, as a defender, you can pretty much ignore the half of the field he isn't looking at. He doesn't seem to manipulate the defense at all.
RE: It seems to me that if you started a thread on BBI in 2018.....  
Thegratefulhead : 12/1/2020 3:14 pm : link
In comment 15063451 Britt in VA said:
Quote:
that was titled "what do you want in the next QB", the most consensus would be on what we appear to have here, starting with number one as the most popular from what I remember!

1. Needs to be able to make plays with his legs when the pocket collapses

2. Big/tall pocket passer that can re-establish the launch point with his legs, looking for the pass first, but able to run for the first down if neccessary.

3. Throws a good deep ball

4. Can go through his progressions and find the open man by reading a defense.

I really think we have that guy. The guy we all wanted in our head was the prototype and it appears Daniel Jones at least has all of those traits, although they are developing. Protect him. Give him weapons. Then you'll see what he can really do.
number 4 is too slow.
I think "not being able to"  
Britt in VA : 12/1/2020 3:20 pm : link
is being clouded with "not having time to.

Baldinger showed it in the breakdown today, when he has a pocket, he can go through his progressions. It's hard to get off your first read when you are facing a jailbreak, which let's be honest, has been most of his time here until the recent weeks.
Britt - #4 on that list is very debatable  
Go Terps : 12/1/2020 3:28 pm : link
There is a MASSIVE disparity this year between Jones and the production from the second tier of QBs in this league.

Herbert - 23/7, 3015, 7.5
Tannehill - 23/4, 2608, 7.8
Cousins - 23/11, 2768, 8.7
Allen - 22/8, 3028, 7.8
Carr - 19/4, 2646, 7.6
Burrow - 13/5, 1688, 6.7
Minshew - 13/5, 1855, 6.9 (7 starts)
Jones - 8/9, 2335, 6.5

I'm not even going to bother comparing him to the elite guys. Jones isn't measuring up to even these guys I listed. He simply hasn't been good enough...if he were a veteran we'd all be looking to replace him ASAP.

You asked what we'd have wanted from a QB back in 2018. My answer is this: 30+ TDs, -10 INTs, 8.0+ YPA. That's what the elite guys are doing, and that's what Jones is supposed to be approaching as the 6th pick overall. But he isn't in that universe.
And I'm not interested in "hoping he will improve"  
Go Terps : 12/1/2020 3:35 pm : link
He has to do it now. If he doesn't, there are QBs coming out of college that can do what he is doing and more (in cases like Justin Herbert - much, much more).

This will be 2 seasons where Jones didn't get the job done to a level commensurate with what could reasonably be expected of him based on what we're seeing from other young QBs.

At minimum he should have to beat some actual competition for the starting QB job next year. It shouldn't be handed to him. If he wins it, great. Then go out and have a big year. Otherwise, it's time to start looking elsewhere at the position.
Last year when Jones had something like 24/12 TDs to INTs  
BestFeature : 12/1/2020 3:35 pm : link
in 12 games, we weren't allowed to talk about that, only his negatives. And now we're hearing how he's not getting those types of numbers as if they never happened. Some of you don't even hide your bias.
RE: Last year when Jones had something like 24/12 TDs to INTs  
Go Terps : 12/1/2020 3:38 pm : link
In comment 15063500 BestFeature said:
Quote:
in 12 games, we weren't allowed to talk about that, only his negatives. And now we're hearing how he's not getting those types of numbers as if they never happened. Some of you don't even hide your bias.


Some of us pointed out his negatives last year, and sure enough those negatives have manifested themselves as real problems on the field this year. They have lost us games in a year where 7 wins would win the division going away.

Don't give Jones the benefit of the doubt. He doesn't deserve it. It's on him to kick the door down.
RE: RE: Last year when Jones had something like 24/12 TDs to INTs  
BestFeature : 12/1/2020 3:44 pm : link
In comment 15063501 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 15063500 BestFeature said:


Quote:


in 12 games, we weren't allowed to talk about that, only his negatives. And now we're hearing how he's not getting those types of numbers as if they never happened. Some of you don't even hide your bias.



Some of us pointed out his negatives last year, and sure enough those negatives have manifested themselves as real problems on the field this year. They have lost us games in a year where 7 wins would win the division going away.

Don't give Jones the benefit of the doubt. He doesn't deserve it. It's on him to kick the door down.


Exactly, now you moved the goalposts and he's not putting up those numbers that he put up last year that once again you're completely ignoring.
I haven't moved the goalposts  
Go Terps : 12/1/2020 3:49 pm : link
I expect Jones to be as good as recent highly drafted quarterbacks. Mahomes, Jackson, Murray, Allen... Those guys are young and playing very well. That was my expectation last year, and it's my expectation now.

Jones isn't in their universe. He's also been surpassed by Herbert.

Jones was drafted to be an elite player. He's miles from it. He has to get better quickly.
RE: Last year when Jones had something like 24/12 TDs to INTs  
BrettNYG10 : 12/1/2020 3:50 pm : link
In comment 15063500 BestFeature said:
Quote:
in 12 games, we weren't allowed to talk about that, only his negatives. And now we're hearing how he's not getting those types of numbers as if they never happened. Some of you don't even hide your bias.


This is nonsense. I was incredibly high on Jones after last season. I'm not as high this season. I don't see the potential I saw last year. If Jones had the same season he had last year, this team would be 6-5 or 7-4.

Next year's the big year.
RE: RE: Last year when Jones had something like 24/12 TDs to INTs  
BestFeature : 12/1/2020 3:58 pm : link
In comment 15063519 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
In comment 15063500 BestFeature said:


Quote:


in 12 games, we weren't allowed to talk about that, only his negatives. And now we're hearing how he's not getting those types of numbers as if they never happened. Some of you don't even hide your bias.



This is nonsense. I was incredibly high on Jones after last season. I'm not as high this season. I don't see the potential I saw last year. If Jones had the same season he had last year, this team would be 6-5 or 7-4.

Next year's the big year.


I was talking about Terps. Plus, he's playing in a different much more conservative system. That said he's clearly not as good as he was last year but he's been trending up lately. He had a good rookie year, nothing says that QB progression has to be linear. Lamar Jackson has also regressed as far as I know.
RE: I haven't moved the goalposts  
BestFeature : 12/1/2020 4:00 pm : link
In comment 15063517 Go Terps said:
Quote:
I expect Jones to be as good as recent highly drafted quarterbacks. Mahomes, Jackson, Murray, Allen... Those guys are young and playing very well. That was my expectation last year, and it's my expectation now.

Jones isn't in their universe. He's also been surpassed by Herbert.

Jones was drafted to be an elite player. He's miles from it. He has to get better quickly.


You cherry picked some guys. What about Darnold, Rosen, Trubisky, Haskins, and even Mayfield? This post is so misleading, making it sound like Jones is worse than every QB taken high in recent memory. He's somewhere in the middle.
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