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| #2 WR Chris Godwin The 2019 season showed the ceiling that Chris Godwin can reach. He finished the year with a 90.7 overall PFF grade and was one of the very best receivers in football. Given his impressive grades over the first two seasons of his NFL career before that, it seemed like a natural breakout point. Yet, injury has prevented him from backing it up in 2020 thus far. Godwin is an exceptionally talented and versatile receiver who has great hands — dropping just four passes in his first three seasons— and he has excelled from both an outside and slot alignment. Godwin’s projection will likely depend on what the second half of the 2020 season holds for him. If he can get back to the form he showed in 2019, he may be one of the best receiver free agents to hit the open market in years. Contract Analysis: Godwin was eligible for an extension after 2019, and Tampa Bay probably would’ve (should’ve) given him one if it didn’t land Tom Brady for a Super Bowl push. Godwin was also apparently on-board with adding Antonio Brown, so he’s clearly a team-first player. Prediction: Buccaneers franchise tag Godwin for 2021, and a deal is not reached before the season starts. Otherwise: Buccaneers sign Godwin for five years, $110 million ($22 million APY): $65 million total guaranteed, $45 million fully guaranteed at signing. |
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| #3 WR Allen Robinson It’s impossible not to feel a little bit sorry for Allen Robinson II given the quarterback situations he has dealt with dating back to at least high school. He may have chosen his latest nightmare in Chicago, but the combination of Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles did not encourage much success, yet Robinson continually excels. Robinson hasn’t had an overall PFF grade lower than 69.0 in his career or lower than 75.0 since the 2018 season, his first in Chicago. He consistently showcases excellent hands and contested-catch skills, dropping no more than three passes in a season since his time in Jacksonville. Robinson consistently grades out as a borderline top-10 receiver with one of the worst quarterback situations in the league, and he is still just 27 years old. His ceiling with a high-end quarterback could be special. Contract Analysis: Robinson could close his eyes and throw a dart at a U.S. map, and he’ll end up with a better quarterback at his new destination. He’s another franchise tag candidate, but Chicago’s current salary cap nightmare could make fitting $18 million (what Robinson’s tag would be) in 2021 borderline impossible. Prediction: Dolphins sign Robinson for four years, $80 million ($20M APY). $50 million total guaranteed, $35 million fully guaranteed at signing. |
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| #4 WR Kenny Golladay There may be no better endorsement of a top receiver than the difference it makes to his quarterback when he is on the field. Matthew Stafford is a different player when Golladay is on the field, and the wideout clearly has confidence in his ability to go up and get the football in tough spots. Against Atlanta this season, he caught six contested targets, racking up over 110 yards from incredible receptions alone. Golladay has the size and athleticism required to be a big target on the outside, along with that contested-catch prowess, but he also possesses enough nuance in his route running to function well in any system. The NFC North has featured some great receivers in recent seasons, and Golladay is up there with the best of them. Contract Analysis: Golladay is probably the most likely franchise tag recipient in the NFL at this point. We don’t think the rumors of him to the Giants through trade were by accident; Golladay’s representation was probably trying to help him land on a team more interested in giving him the long-term contract he deserves. Prediction: Lions franchise tag Kenny Golladay for 2021, and a deal is not reached before the season starts. Otherwise: Giants sign Golladay for four years, $85 million ($21.25M APY): $57.5 million total guaranteed, $37.5 million fully guaranteed. |
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| #25 DT Leonard Williams One of the surest bets in the class, Williams has graded between 70.0 and 82.0 in all six years of his career. Run defense is his calling card, as he ranks in the 86th percentile in PFF run-defense grade since entering the league and with his best work coming as a B and C gap defender. Williams is an average pass-rusher and even with increased sack totals this season, he’s yet to break a 72.0 pass-rush grade for his career. Still, Williams has been one of the most valuable interior defensive linemen in the league since 2015, and his level of consistency is a plus for potential suitors. Contract Analysis: Williams was traded from the New York Jets to the New York Giants in 2019 and had to move his locker across Metlife Stadium. He may be moving much further than that after the 2020 season unless he can agree to a long-term extension with the Giants coming off the franchise tag. Prediction: Panthers sign Williams for four-years, $72 million ($18M APY): $37.5M total guaranteed, $27.5M fully guaranteed at signing. |
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| #30 EDGE Bud Dupree Dupree broke out with a 77.7 overall grade in 2019, good for 23rd among edge rushers. That marked trampled his previous performances, ranging from 44.4 (2015) to 62.6 (2016) overall, and he’s come back down to Earth here in 2020. The key with Dupree is not to get caught up in the sack totals, particularly this season, as most of his sacks have come down to quarterbacks holding the ball way too long. Dupree does play hard, and his high motor allows him to get in several hustle plays and clean-up sacks, but high-end pass-rushers should be winning one-on-one against offensive tackles far more often than Dupree has shown over his career. Given Pittsburgh’s blitz-happy scheme and supporting talent combined with Dupree’s mediocre career grades, he’s a buyer-beware candidate on the open market. Contract Analysis: Pittsburgh chose to let Bud Dupree walk in free agency the minute they extended defensive lineman Cameron Heyward before the 2020 season. Furthermore, T.J. Watt could soon enough be looking for the first $30M APY contract for a defensive player in NFL history, and the odds are that he’ll be worth it. Prediction: Colts sign Dupree for five-years, $90 million ($18M APY): $50M total guaranteed, $35M fully guaranteed at signing. |
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| #50 DI Dalvin Tomlinson Tomlinson has a distinct profile as an above-average run defender and a below-average pass-rusher. He ranks in the 82nd percentile in PFF run-defense grade since 2017, and he knows how to finish plays — generating one of the best run stop percentages in the league. As a pass-rusher, Tomlinson has never graded above 62.3, though he’s trending in the right direction with a low-70.0s grade so far in 2020. He can play all over the defensive interior and represents one of the best run-stopping nose tackles in this class. Contract Analysis: The Green Bay Packers were reportedly sending offers for Tomlinson at the trade deadline, but the Giants didn’t want to part ways with a player they envision as an important part of their future. Tomlinson and 2019 first-round pick Dexter Lawrence could form a formidable tandem on the defensive interior for years to come. Prediction: Giants sign Tomlinson for four years, $52.5 million ($13.125M APY): $26.5 million total guaranteed, $16.5 million fully guaranteed at signing. |
Like Golladay but moving off of that one. Go high in the draft for WR and potentially look at a cheaper veteran.
I wouldn’t at all be surprised if Judge brings in an under the radar WR he worked with in NE that’s less expensive and a good system fit.
I'd consider Curtis Samuel or Kendrick Bourne on the FA market. Could be solid #2s.
But I generally I agree that this is another excellent WR class...
Ah, No.
$21 mill for Golladay - yeah sure
I'm on the Kevin King bandwagon as well. Very good corner. Still young and maybe even more upside...
Dalvin, Leo and Logan should be the priority over any guys on the outside.
Cut Solder, Zeitler, Tate and a few other less notables... we should have plenty of cap even after taking care of our guys just in case a quality edge rusher we like makes it to the market and/or maybe we want to extend Saquon, Jabrill and Engram...
1. Long term - If you didn't read Sy's summary of the Cincy game, read it (all of Sy's articles are must reads). He makes an interesting point about Williams being the kind of player that will age well, since his game isn't predicated on speed and twitchiness. I think we've got to pay Williams...I was wrong on him.
2. Short term - New England's recent wins over Baltimore and Arizona may be instructive for us as we watch the Giants play those same teams in critical games. More than in any area I can tell, Judge has the defensive line playing in a style similar to what New England does. Our defensive linemen aren't swimming and getting upfield; they are using leverage and technique to collapse the pocket and keep mobile QBs corralled. That is a massive difference from the past, where our defensive ends have left huge gaps for mobile QBs to exploit, particularly on third downs. Williams has been a big part of this - he and Judge/Graham for like a hand in a glove.
I think we're going to win one, possibly both of the Arizona and Baltimore games for this reason.
And I agree with Terps. Who cares how Williams got here, you'd have to be delusional to not admit how well he's played this year.
1. Long term - If you didn't read Sy's summary of the Cincy game, read it (all of Sy's articles are must reads). He makes an interesting point about Williams being the kind of player that will age well, since his game isn't predicated on speed and twitchiness. I think we've got to pay Williams...I was wrong on him.
2. Short term - New England's recent wins over Baltimore and Arizona may be instructive for us as we watch the Giants play those same teams in critical games. More than in any area I can tell, Judge has the defensive line playing in a style similar to what New England does. Our defensive linemen aren't swimming and getting upfield; they are using leverage and technique to collapse the pocket and keep mobile QBs corralled. That is a massive difference from the past, where our defensive ends have left huge gaps for mobile QBs to exploit, particularly on third downs. Williams has been a big part of this - he and Judge/Graham for like a hand in a glove.
I think we're going to win one, possibly both of the Arizona and Baltimore games for this reason.
LW must be signed. He’s still a relative “kid” with many years ahead of him. A cornerstone..You don’t let those go.
Giants can get a way better option at WR in the draft for better value.
I do believe Dak gets that exact contract from Jerruh. He is the heart and soul of the Cowboys and his rehab is going well.
As for Williams I think Judge and Graham will retain him if they want him. I think they will make the right call.
I’ve wanted Inguakue in blue for a few years now and would be thrilled to get him but only if he’s a culture fit with Judge.
On offense, I would prefer a two way TE like Jonnu Smith or Gerald Everett. If we go receiver, someone like Keelan Cole and then look for one in the draft.
Someone like Tamorrion Terry or Seth Williams in the 3rd.
Adding one of the WRs also probably means at least 1 of these 3 are gone:
Williams
Tomlinson
Ryan
I'd rather retain those 3 and add a mid-tier CB opposite Bradbury (and an ER talent via the draft).
Edge gets pricey in free agency so that may have to just be via draft to fit under cap, unless Giants let big Leonard Williams go.
I would love to see Tomlinson, Williams and Ryan signed long term, and yes I'd do it at the expense of bringing in a big time FA. We're on the cusp of building a very strong defense and losing all 3 of these guys would set us back.
He averages over 6 missed games a season
He averages over 6 missed games a season
After reading what they're predicting him to sign for with the Packer, I'm with you. I guess I'm delusional thinking he's going to come at a deep discount. I can't justify any of those WR contracts with the projected cap this year.
Diggs is having a very good year with Buffalo. There's probably a parallel to Alshon Jeffrey and Plax in the SB run with the Eagles
I would love to see Tomlinson, Williams and Ryan signed long term, and yes I'd do it at the expense of bringing in a big time FA. We're on the cusp of building a very strong defense and losing all 3 of these guys would set us back.
Agreed. Have no interest in any of these $20 million a year WRs or one dimensional pass rushers in Yannick if it comes at the expense of retaining Williams.
Diggs is having a very good year with Buffalo. There's probably a parallel to Alshon Jeffrey and Plax in the SB run with the Eagles
Diggs was traded, so the Bills, I believe, inherited his current contract.
Which is fairly reasonable....
The dude is very talented and wasted in Da Bear offense.
I would also draft a wideout in a wr rich draft.
I am interested in seeing if the Jint coaching staff take a long look at Pettis at wr in what is left this season.
He was highly considered when he was drafted. Certainly a dynamic or. Let's see what he brings to the table.
LW is the guy the Giants MUST resign. He's on the field way more than Dalvin, he is relentless, like Sy said - he'll age well, I just think he's impossible to replace.
I think I"m more in on signing a guy like Corey Davis or Curtis Samuel than a Golladay. I just don't think you need a clear cut #1 dominate receiver to put points on the board.
I like the idea of bringing Logan Ryan back.
I'm going to say over half the players on this list won't actually become FA.
Signing guys coming off PED suspensions isn’t wise. They can’t even do the baseline stuff to keep up with rest of the league I’d imagine. You get maybe the next year they look okay and then play falls off a cliff. Just what I’ve seen to notice.
Hell I'd rather they use the first round pick on a WR then spend big on a FA WR.
The 2nd tier FA market is where I'm at, too. I said above that Chris Samuel and Kendrick Bourne could be interesting adds at WR.
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The smart move is to keep the DL together and revamp WR with a combination of draft picks and a 2nd tier FA.
The 2nd tier FA market is where I'm at, too. I said above that Chris Samuel and Kendrick Bourne could be interesting adds at WR.
The second and third tier is always where you should be at in FA. Find guys that seem to be poor fits and underperforming because of scheme. Guys like Martinez and LW come to mind. Seems like DG has a talent for this. Build out football teams through FA and add talent in the draft. I guess we wouldn’t have Bradberry, but he seemed to be undervalued because of the less than elite measureables. This seems to be more exception to the rule.
With Stephen Jones Dallas doesn't shop for top tier free agents. They like the bargain bin.
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Signing Dalvin Tomlinson.
With Stephen Jones Dallas doesn't shop for top tier free agents. They like the bargain bin.
Dalvin Tomlinson isn’t a top tier free agent though. They signed McCoy, but he’s hurt and easily cuttable after this year.
Hell I'd rather they use the first round pick on a WR then spend big on a FA WR.
If the WR class is good as they say, I agree completely