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DJones vs. Josh Allen, year 2

5BowlsSoon : 12/30/2020 9:52 am
Allen:
58%
3089 yards
20 TDs
9 Interceptions
14 fumbles
47.9 QBR
85.3 Rate


Jones:
62%
2714 yards
9 tds
9 int
10 fumbles
QBR 63.3
Rate 78.9

Conclusion: as you can see, Allen wasn’t really any better except in TD passes thrown. I didn’t show this but I’m sure Josh Allen scored more tds with his legs too.

The point I want to make is simply this.....Josh Allen took off in year 3, not year 2. Sure his team won 10 games in year 2 while Jones probably wins 6. But Allen’s team primarily won because of their top tier defense, which Jones doesn’t have.

Allen took off when the Bills got him STEFON DIGGS, a true #1 receiver. Let’s watch and then judge Jones if and when we can get him such a toy to play with. Oh, I also think it would help Jones greatly to give him an OC who is creative and not old school like Garrett. After all, Jones did throw for 24 tds and over 300 yards often as a rookie in Shurmur’s offense.
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Oh I should add  
5BowlsSoon : 12/30/2020 9:53 am : link
Allen did all that in 16 games; Jones in 13. Jones would have more yards and tds in 3 extra games.
Josh Alllen reminds me of old school Eli  
Danny Dimes : 12/30/2020 9:55 am : link
Guy knows how to win games and comeback when losing.....
Allen certainly looks like a franchise guy.  
Big Blue '56 : 12/30/2020 9:56 am : link
Let’s see what DJ progresses to in year 3 with a real training camp and pre-season games
Good thing TD passes aren't terribly important!  
Greg from LI : 12/30/2020 9:58 am : link
.
RE: Good thing TD passes aren't terribly important!  
Big Blue '56 : 12/30/2020 10:00 am : link
In comment 15099157 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
.


Or wide open dropped potential td passes or multiple dropped end zone tds..
Great  
rsjem1979 : 12/30/2020 10:00 am : link
I'm sure next season when Jones doesn't sniff Allen's 3rd year there will be plenty of new excuses and alternate comparisons.
"Allen wasn’t really any better except in TD passes thrown"  
Gatorade Dunk : 12/30/2020 10:00 am : link
RE: RE: Good thing TD passes aren't terribly important!  
Gatorade Dunk : 12/30/2020 10:02 am : link
In comment 15099159 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15099157 Greg from LI said:


Quote:


.



Or wide open dropped potential td passes or multiple dropped end zone tds..

Like you, I watch the Giants more often and more closely than any other team. So I can't say for certain that other teams have this tragedy befall them, but I suspect all QBs have TDs dropped, and still throw more TDs than DJ has.

But if it is a more prevalent issue among Giants receivers, I guess that's another feather in the cap of that tremendous GM we have building the roster!
RE: Great  
Big Blue '56 : 12/30/2020 10:03 am : link
In comment 15099161 rsjem1979 said:
Quote:
I'm sure next season when Jones doesn't sniff Allen's 3rd year there will be plenty of new excuses and alternate comparisons.


Your expertise on DJ is impressive
RE: RE: RE: Good thing TD passes aren't terribly important!  
Big Blue '56 : 12/30/2020 10:04 am : link
In comment 15099167 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 15099159 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


In comment 15099157 Greg from LI said:


Quote:


.



Or wide open dropped potential td passes or multiple dropped end zone tds..


Like you, I watch the Giants more often and more closely than any other team. So I can't say for certain that other teams have this tragedy befall them, but I suspect all QBs have TDs dropped, and still throw more TDs than DJ has.

But if it is a more prevalent issue among Giants receivers, I guess that's another feather in the cap of that tremendous GM we have building the roster!


Of course it happens. We absolutely need upgraded WRs
Dear God  
HomerJones45 : 12/30/2020 10:05 am : link
make it stop. Allen did not have 4 years of professional level qb coaching playing at that football factory at Wyoming. He improved between year 1 and year 2 once he got some pro coaching. Jones had 4 years of professional level coaching at a power conference school and two years of pro coaching for a total of 6. He shit the bed in his second season.

And let's not even get into the difference in athleticism or the rocket launcher Allen is packing.

All posters are doing launching into these comparisons is embarrassing themselves.
It's been said  
Stufftherun : 12/30/2020 10:08 am : link
that it can take 3 - 4 years for a QB to fully develop, understand the NFL game and realize his full potential. FWIW, the last time I heard that was from the mouth of Steve Young.
RE: RE: Great  
rsjem1979 : 12/30/2020 10:08 am : link
In comment 15099169 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15099161 rsjem1979 said:


Quote:


I'm sure next season when Jones doesn't sniff Allen's 3rd year there will be plenty of new excuses and alternate comparisons.



Your expertise on DJ is impressive


If we're going to make year to year comparisons, Jones better get to that level.
Shouldn’t the running statistics be included?  
Metnut : 12/30/2020 10:12 am : link
That’s kind of important. Also, Allen being more durable than Jones (who’s missed time in three straight years) is important too.
....  
BrettNYG10 : 12/30/2020 10:15 am : link
Jones has run for 1 TD this year, Allen ran for 9 last season.

My recollection is that Allen was pitched as a project while Jones was supposed to be close to pro ready.
Let’s also keep in mind that Allen has been in the  
eric2425ny : 12/30/2020 10:15 am : link
same offense for three years where Jones is on his second coordinator in two years. Possibly a third next year if Garrett does not return. I think half of Jones’ problem this year is due to the new system and the lack of a normal offseason to adjust to it. He looked much better in Shurmur’s offense last season.
RE: Dear God  
bw in dc : 12/30/2020 10:15 am : link
In comment 15099173 HomerJones45 said:
Quote:
make it stop. Allen did not have 4 years of professional level qb coaching playing at that football factory at Wyoming. He improved between year 1 and year 2 once he got some pro coaching. Jones had 4 years of professional level coaching at a power conference school and two years of pro coaching for a total of 6. He shit the bed in his second season.

And let's not even get into the difference in athleticism or the rocket launcher Allen is packing.

All posters are doing launching into these comparisons is embarrassing themselves.


It really is embarrassing.

More evidence most posters either don't watch other players or don't know what they are watching...

I've said this before  
Jeever : 12/30/2020 10:19 am : link
DJ's last 3 years.

Different Head Coach.
Different OC.
Rookies all over the OL.
No training camp this year.
Loses his best RB.
No one to throw the ball to of note.

I personally think we need to give this coaching staff and our young players the benefit of a training camp and more coaching from this current staff before we start tearing it down again.
RE: RE: RE: Great  
Big Blue '56 : 12/30/2020 10:20 am : link
In comment 15099177 rsjem1979 said:
Quote:
In comment 15099169 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


In comment 15099161 rsjem1979 said:


Quote:


I'm sure next season when Jones doesn't sniff Allen's 3rd year there will be plenty of new excuses and alternate comparisons.



Your expertise on DJ is impressive



If we're going to make year to year comparisons, Jones better get to that level.


Get him a healed SB back and receiver upgrades and he will, I believe..If he doesn’t than he may not be too long for this team.
Allen only had double the amount of TDs  
Mike from Ohio : 12/30/2020 10:21 am : link
And he had 9 more rushing TDs. But if you don’t focus on making plays or scoring points, stats like QBR are about the same.

Or you could simply look at the progress each made from year one to year two. Allen went from 10 passing TDs to 20, while bringing INTs down from 12 to 9. Jones went from 24/12 to 9/9.

So the takeaway is if you want to look at stats, Allen improved significantly from year 1 to year 2, while Jones regressed.

The trajectories they are both on could not be more dissimilar.


Some more comparative stats you may want to look at...  
LBH15 : 12/30/2020 10:21 am : link
Josh Allen's won-loss record 2018 was 5-6, including 2 fourth quarter comebacks and 3 game winning drives. The Bills offense averaged 17 points per game.

In 2019 that jumped to 10-6, including 4 fourth quarter comebacks and 5 game winning drives. Bills offense improves to 20 points per game.

Daniel Jones won-loss record has gone from 3-9 to 4-9 in his two years. Point scored dropped from 21 per game to 17. He had 1 fourth qtr comeback and 2 game winning drives in 2019, and NONE so far in 2020.

So do you really want to conclude Josh Allen didn't specifically make the Bills team much better in his second year, and that his second year wasn't a success?

And can you even remotely suggest the same about Jones' second year?

Jones will get 2021.  
The_Boss : 12/30/2020 10:26 am : link
While I don’t think for a minute that he’s anything more than a game manager, I understand giving him ‘21. Now after what will be a third year next season, is it unreasonable to expect 25-30 tds? Or do we keep waiting for the 6th pick to develop?
This every day analysis  
ryanmkeane : 12/30/2020 10:26 am : link
on Jones is quite something.
I can’t believe I pulled myself into another DJ discussion.  
Big Blue '56 : 12/30/2020 10:27 am : link
I’ve made my points, whether they play out moving forward or not. Note to self: NO MORE! Let Judge, who knows more than any of us, decide whether he’s really a keeper and the 2-way option he most likely covets or not..I will seriously try to avoid this discussion as it proves very little at this point, imv..
RE: Jones will get 2021.  
eric2425ny : 12/30/2020 10:31 am : link
In comment 15099204 The_Boss said:
Quote:
While I don’t think for a minute that he’s anything more than a game manager, I understand giving him ‘21. Now after what will be a third year next season, is it unreasonable to expect 25-30 tds? Or do we keep waiting for the 6th pick to develop?


I agree with this statement. He needs to make strides next season or we need to make another move. I do think the coaching changes have really hampered him this season. Sophomore slumps are also not uncommon in the NFL.

In terms of the comparison with Allen, I think there are a lot of factors that make it almost impossible to do. Allen has had coaching stability, and a much better D to rely on early in his career. I feel like the Giants would be well served to follow the Bills blueprint of getting a few playmakers this offseason but I don’t expect the Giants to be as good as the Bills are this year next season. We are probably two years away from that potential.
This isn’t really a Jones conversation  
Mike from Ohio : 12/30/2020 10:31 am : link
What Jones does or does not do next year is completely independent of Josh Allen.

If you believe Jones will make a massive improvement next year that’s fine. It may absolutely happen. But Josh Allen is not a precedent to point to which informs us about that likelihood.
Oh and I do have a final question for Go Terps  
Big Blue '56 : 12/30/2020 10:32 am : link
when he ultimately appears on this thread (if not, I’ll ask it on whatever thread he’s on and then it will be it for me): You seemed upbeat about the RPO capabilities of DJ pre-hammy injury. What happened post injury?
RE: This isn’t really a Jones conversation  
Big Blue '56 : 12/30/2020 10:33 am : link
In comment 15099214 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
What Jones does or does not do next year is completely independent of Josh Allen.

If you believe Jones will make a massive improvement next year that’s fine. It may absolutely happen. But Josh Allen is not a precedent to point to which informs us about that likelihood.


I know. I foolishly entered into the fray..My bad
RE: Oh I should add  
gmen4ever : 12/30/2020 10:38 am : link
In comment 15099145 5BowlsSoon said:
Quote:
Allen did all that in 16 games; Jones in 13. Jones would have more yards and tds in 3 extra games.


i agree!
RE: Great  
clatterbuck : 12/30/2020 10:46 am : link
In comment 15099161 rsjem1979 said:
Quote:
I'm sure next season when Jones doesn't sniff Allen's 3rd year there will be plenty of new excuses and alternate comparisons.


Allen's third year would have been considerably different without Stefon Diggs. Let's see what weapons the Giants give Jones for year 3.
Allen accounted for 29 TDs year 2 vs ...  
Jim from Katonah : 12/30/2020 10:47 am : link
.... Jones with 10. 19 more TDs. Allen also went 10-6 and Jones 4-9. And Allen was the “raw” prospect without 4 years of QB whisperer Cutliffe.
RE: Allen only had double the amount of TDs  
bw in dc : 12/30/2020 10:51 am : link
In comment 15099194 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
And he had 9 more rushing TDs. But if you don’t focus on making plays or scoring points, stats like QBR are about the same.

Or you could simply look at the progress each made from year one to year two. Allen went from 10 passing TDs to 20, while bringing INTs down from 12 to 9. Jones went from 24/12 to 9/9.

So the takeaway is if you want to look at stats, Allen improved significantly from year 1 to year 2, while Jones regressed.

The trajectories they are both on could not be more dissimilar.



Very well said - the last sentence in particular underscores the overall point.
RE: Jones will get 2021.  
Route 9 : 12/30/2020 10:55 am : link
In comment 15099204 The_Boss said:
Quote:
While I don’t think for a minute that he’s anything more than a game manager, I understand giving him ‘21. Now after what will be a third year next season, is it unreasonable to expect 25-30 tds? Or do we keep waiting for the 6th pick to develop?


I agree with this post. To be honest, I don't even think he's a game manager though.

Isn't it your duty as a game manager to not fuck up the game, limit throws but make them when you have to, have a good run game (yeah, Jones has legs) and keep the ball safe, from turnovers?

He does anything but keep the ball safe and doesn't do the best job in the world avoiding game costly turnovers.
......  
Route 9 : 12/30/2020 10:56 am : link
I'll give Jones another year with Barkley. 25-30 TD expectations though.
RE: Oh and I do have a final question for Go Terps  
Go Terps : 12/30/2020 10:57 am : link
In comment 15099215 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
when he ultimately appears on this thread (if not, I’ll ask it on whatever thread he’s on and then it will be it for me): You seemed upbeat about the RPO capabilities of DJ pre-hammy injury. What happened post injury?


I do like using him as a runner. There are a couple problems though:

1. He doesn't seem to read the option particularly well. There have been several times he should have pulled out down and kept it that he didn't, and the running back got buried.

2. He's an effective runner in accepted plays that get him going downhill quickly. He isn't creating pass opportunities much with his legs, or making plays off schedule.

If Jones is going to be the quarterback the offense had to be designed to get him out of the pocket, reading half the field, and moving towards the LOS. He can't, repeat can't, be kept in the pocket with any regularity.

He can't play from the pocket.
*pulled it down  
Go Terps : 12/30/2020 10:58 am : link
.
*designed not accepted  
Go Terps : 12/30/2020 10:58 am : link
Fuck autocorrect.
RE: RE: Jones will get 2021.  
The_Boss : 12/30/2020 11:03 am : link
In comment 15099245 Route 9 said:
Quote:
In comment 15099204 The_Boss said:


Quote:


While I don’t think for a minute that he’s anything more than a game manager, I understand giving him ‘21. Now after what will be a third year next season, is it unreasonable to expect 25-30 tds? Or do we keep waiting for the 6th pick to develop?



I agree with this post. To be honest, I don't even think he's a game manager though.

Isn't it your duty as a game manager to not fuck up the game, limit throws but make them when you have to, have a good run game (yeah, Jones has legs) and keep the ball safe, from turnovers?

He does anything but keep the ball safe and doesn't do the best job in the world avoiding game costly turnovers.


Lately he’s been better in the turnover department, to be fair. The knock I have against him is he doesn’t make enough plays. Get him a better cast next year and see how he does. If he stays healthy for 14 or more games, throws for maybe 3500 yards and tosses 25-30 tds like I said above, then you have a case for moving forward with him. Just as long as we see some clutch play late in close games that at the very least put the team in position to tie/win games. Don’t make those numbers hollow by padding in garbage time. Anything less than that, and you need to go in a different direction in 2022. Gun to my head, in all honesty, I think Judge and Company go QB shopping in the spring of 2022. I don’t think Jones is good enough to meet my proposed parameters.
and to think we took a injury prone running back over a franchise qb..  
Danny Dimes : 12/30/2020 11:06 am : link
we could of had Josh allen the qb and Josh Alllen the pass rusher....instead we got a beat down rb and a qb no where near the level of Bills Josh Allen
there's a difference between  
ryanmkeane : 12/30/2020 11:08 am : link
being a game manager and only being able to throw the ball 10 yards to anyone because nobody is open downfield, and you don't have all day to throw.
Comparing the 2 is laughable.  
Thegratefulhead : 12/30/2020 11:08 am : link
Holy shit, have you watched Allen play? FFS
I get the comparison  
Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy : 12/30/2020 11:10 am : link
and this seems to be to go-to comparison at this point. Josh Allen's development was slow but now he's really come into his own and is going to finish Top 5 in the MVP race (probably #3) for a legitimate SB contending team (feels so weird to say this about the Bills franchise).

But I think there are 2 main differences.

The 1st difference is that Jones' sophomore season is a clear step down from his rookie season. Whereas Josh Allen clearly improved in his 2nd year. This is a major difference between their perceived trajectories which is why Bills' fans were more optimistic than we are in our QB after Year 2.

The 2nd difference is that Josh Allen possessed obvious physical traits that indicated a high ceiling. His size stood out on TV from day 1, he was a big boy with a rocket arm who could move really well. I dislike Big Ben as a person but I enjoyed his playstyle when he was younger, Allen didn't brush off defenders in the same way but his size and mobility definitely made you think about that comparison a bit. The upside was obvious with Allen.

The upside is a little less obvious for Jones. Although I'm down on Jones to the point that I wouldn't mind another QB next year, I'm probably higher on his upside that most of his other doubters. The "Danny Dimes" nickname might've been forced, but he really did throw a decent amount of really impressive passes as a rookie that made you overlook the other flaws. But in terms of overall raw talent and untapped potential, he doesn't stand out like Allen did. And his mental shortcomings (pre-snap issues, eyes locking onto his primary targets, terrible pocket awareness) really hurts him in my eyes since his physical traits aren't standout.

I hope he turns into an MVP candidate like Josh Allen, but I don't think it's a fair comparison at this point based on what both QBs showed through 2 years.
RE: Comparing the 2 is laughable.  
Danny Dimes : 12/30/2020 11:10 am : link
In comment 15099281 Thegratefulhead said:
Quote:
Holy shit, have you watched Allen play? FFS



exactly, dude has franchise qb written all over him....i was banging the table to draft him back in 18....but noooo we took a fucking running back
RE: there's a difference between  
Go Terps : 12/30/2020 11:12 am : link
In comment 15099278 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
being a game manager and only being able to throw the ball 10 yards to anyone because nobody is open downfield, and you don't have all day to throw.


That wasn't the case against Tampa. Slayton was open deep the whole game.
RE: and to think we took a injury prone running back over a franchise qb..  
eric2425ny : 12/30/2020 11:13 am : link
In comment 15099275 Danny Dimes said:
Quote:
we could of had Josh allen the qb and Josh Alllen the pass rusher....instead we got a beat down rb and a qb no where near the level of Bills Josh Allen


Barkley had one injury in college, a high ankle sprain that I think he missed two games for. He was not injury prone when he was drafted. And Allen was rated by most “experts” behind Mayfield, Darnold, and Rosen.
GT  
ryanmkeane : 12/30/2020 11:13 am : link
yes, and the Tampa game was probably Jones' worst as a pro, no doubt about it. But throughout his first 2 seasons he has shown really good deep ball accuracy. That game was just bad.
RE: RE: there's a difference between  
Danny Dimes : 12/30/2020 11:13 am : link
In comment 15099289 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 15099278 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


being a game manager and only being able to throw the ball 10 yards to anyone because nobody is open downfield, and you don't have all day to throw.



That wasn't the case against Tampa. Slayton was open deep the whole game.



He's a 1 read qb, doesnt know how to read the field and extend the play....pretty much a broke mans Eli Manning
RE: RE: and to think we took a injury prone running back over a franchise qb..  
Danny Dimes : 12/30/2020 11:16 am : link
In comment 15099292 eric2425ny said:
Quote:
In comment 15099275 Danny Dimes said:


Quote:


we could of had Josh allen the qb and Josh Alllen the pass rusher....instead we got a beat down rb and a qb no where near the level of Bills Josh Allen



Barkley had one injury in college, a high ankle sprain that I think he missed two games for. He was not injury prone when he was drafted. And Allen was rated by most “experts” behind Mayfield, Darnold, and Rosen.


Well I wish I can shoiw you my posts, I came from an older giants forum that got deleted where me and another guy was arguing which is better Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson...saquan was no where near the conversation. Should I bring up Sy's evaluation of Josh allen? a real scouts opinion would be interesting
lmao wow...just heads up  
Danny Dimes : 12/30/2020 11:18 am : link
I just bought me a 12 pack of Modelos bear and didnt have enough for the cigs I wanted so I bought a different pack....the 7/11 dude put the pack of cigs I wanted in the fucking bag.....without me paying, what an awesome fucking guy
Dimes  
ryanmkeane : 12/30/2020 11:19 am : link
I'm glad your opinion of Jones is set in stone after 2 years. We'll see.
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