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Kiper Mock

Pete44 : 1/26/2021 10:56 am
Has the Giants taking Pitts at #11. I don't love it as I feel good Tight Ends can be found later in the draft. Understood, how good Pitts can be. Travis Kelce was pick in the 3rd round and George Kittle in the 5th round to give some recent examples.

Realize, we need playmakers, just feel if Chase, Waddle, Smith are picked in the top 6 as Kiper has it, wait till 2nd round and take an Edge rusher or CB in the 1st round.
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Gross  
Doubledeuce22 : 1/26/2021 2:54 pm : link
Hard pass on a TE at #11. Show me a TE taken that high in the past 10 years that was worthy of the pick. Evan Engram 2.0.
RE: RE: is Surtain gone  
Jim in Tampa : 1/26/2021 2:59 pm : link
In comment 15134973 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 15134962 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


by the time we pick? If so, I'd be somewhat pissed if we took Pitts over him



The only way Surtain gets past Dallas at 10 is if Jerry locks his son in the bathroom before the pick. I think he'll be gone before then, but would be (happily) stunned if he made it past DAL. I think he is the best non-QB in the draft.

People always make definitive statements like that regarding the NFL draft... Player X will never get past team Y. But then with Player X still on the board team Y invariably takes someone else ;>)
Comparing Pitts to Plax is more than a little  
Section331 : 1/26/2021 3:00 pm : link
disingenuous. Plax never played anything but WR, WR's & TE's have major differences in the types of routes they run and how precisely they need to run them. Pitts may be a good route runner for a TE, but can enough to get open v DB's vs LB's? Maybe, but that is a huge leap of faith for a #11 pick.

If Pitts is drafted as high as we think he is, he's playing TE.
RE: Pitts is not a WR  
BillT : 1/26/2021 3:40 pm : link
In comment 15134909 cosmicj said:
Quote:
Come on.

Then he's a terrible pick at 11.
RE: Comparing Pitts to Plax is more than a little  
bw in dc : 1/26/2021 3:45 pm : link
In comment 15135013 Section331 said:
Quote:
disingenuous. Plax never played anything but WR, WR's & TE's have major differences in the types of routes they run and how precisely they need to run them. Pitts may be a good route runner for a TE, but can enough to get open v DB's vs LB's? Maybe, but that is a huge leap of faith for a #11 pick.

If Pitts is drafted as high as we think he is, he's playing TE.


Good post. The Plax comparison is lazy.
RE: RE: RE: is Surtain gone  
Section331 : 1/26/2021 4:06 pm : link
In comment 15135012 Jim in Tampa said:
Quote:

People always make definitive statements like that regarding the NFL draft... Player X will never get past team Y. But then with Player X still on the board team Y invariably takes someone else ;>)


Oh definitely, you never know what will happen, I just think that Surtain and Dallas are too good a fit to miss. That said, Jerry has been known to go for the flashy object.
RE: RE: this is from Duggan and Brugler re: Pitts  
Section331 : 1/26/2021 4:09 pm : link
In comment 15134978 Zeke's Alibi said:
Quote:

This is exactly what I said about him on another thread. He's literally Plax+ due to his positional flexibility. I'm seeing that as his floor. You can't teach his size, wingspan, and catching ability, both going up to get it and contested catches. As long as he puts up even mediocre athlete numbers, he's about a sure thing to translate as there is. How is that not worth pick 11? Some people that haven't watched him much I guess are just looking at the history of 1st round tight ends when he doesn't really fit that mold at all. He's an extremely unique player. There's differnce between being a tweener and an Hybrid. Hybrid can play both positions at high level. Tweener doesn't really have a true position.


At WR, Pitts is basically Ramses Barden. He is a TE, and in the right offense, he will be a terror. We have a run-heavy offense that needs blocking from its TE's, and an OC who doesn't seem to know how to use the TE he has (Engram should be running the vertical seam at least once a half, I think I saw it once all year).
RE: RE: Comparing Pitts to Plax is more than a little  
Jim from Katonah : 1/26/2021 4:20 pm : link
In comment 15135064 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15135013 Section331 said:


Quote:


disingenuous. Plax never played anything but WR, WR's & TE's have major differences in the types of routes they run and how precisely they need to run them. Pitts may be a good route runner for a TE, but can enough to get open v DB's vs LB's? Maybe, but that is a huge leap of faith for a #11 pick.

If Pitts is drafted as high as we think he is, he's playing TE.



Good post. The Plax comparison is lazy.


Didn’t Pitts mostly line up wide last year? I know he did a bit of traditional TE blocking, but I thought he was mostly playing WR last year, in the Plax, Brandon Marshall mode, and going against corners. I don’t think he’s going to be an NFL tight end (in say the Kittle sense), I think he’s a split out wide guy mostly. Looks like a terrific, balanced athlete to me, but he apparently runs in the 4.7 range. Not trying to be a wet blanket, but unclear to me the value of him as a pure receiver at #11.
nothing in the NFL is certain  
ryanmkeane : 1/26/2021 4:28 pm : link
or a guarantee, but I'd trying to find a reason why Surtain won't be awesome in the pros
RE: RE: RE: this is from Duggan and Brugler re: Pitts  
Victor in CT : 1/26/2021 4:39 pm : link
In comment 15135085 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 15134978 Zeke's Alibi said:


Quote:



This is exactly what I said about him on another thread. He's literally Plax+ due to his positional flexibility. I'm seeing that as his floor. You can't teach his size, wingspan, and catching ability, both going up to get it and contested catches. As long as he puts up even mediocre athlete numbers, he's about a sure thing to translate as there is. How is that not worth pick 11? Some people that haven't watched him much I guess are just looking at the history of 1st round tight ends when he doesn't really fit that mold at all. He's an extremely unique player. There's differnce between being a tweener and an Hybrid. Hybrid can play both positions at high level. Tweener doesn't really have a true position.



At WR, Pitts is basically Ramses Barden. He is a TE, and in the right offense, he will be a terror. We have a run-heavy offense that needs blocking from its TE's, and an OC who doesn't seem to know how to use the TE he has (Engram should be running the vertical seam at least once a half, I think I saw it once all year).


Garrett seemed to know how to use Jason Whitten effectively. The Giants don't have a TE. Engram is neither a TE nor a WR.
No  
BelieveJJ : 1/26/2021 4:41 pm : link
64% of his snaps were lined up inside as a traditional TE.
RE: RE: RE: RE: this is from Duggan and Brugler re: Pitts  
Section331 : 1/26/2021 4:44 pm : link
In comment 15135107 Victor in CT said:
Quote:


Garrett seemed to know how to use Jason Whitten effectively. The Giants don't have a TE. Engram is neither a TE nor a WR.


The problem is that Garrett tried to use Engram the same way as Witten. For all of his flaws, Engram excelled at running the seam at Ole Miss, but for some reason isn't asked to do it here, despite any deep passing threat being a desperate need.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: this is from Duggan and Brugler re: Pitts  
Victor in CT : 1/26/2021 4:46 pm : link
In comment 15135111 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 15135107 Victor in CT said:


Quote:




Garrett seemed to know how to use Jason Whitten effectively. The Giants don't have a TE. Engram is neither a TE nor a WR.



The problem is that Garrett tried to use Engram the same way as Witten. For all of his flaws, Engram excelled at running the seam at Ole Miss, but for some reason isn't asked to do it here, despite any deep passing threat being a desperate need.


could be. Irony is the TE seam play was a staple of Giants offense for decades from the '70s through Coughlin.
RE: No  
Jim from Katonah : 1/26/2021 4:54 pm : link
In comment 15135108 BelieveJJ said:
Quote:
64% of his snaps were lined up inside as a traditional TE.


Thanks!
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: this is from Duggan and Brugler re: Pitts  
BillT : 1/26/2021 4:54 pm : link
In comment 15135111 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 15135107 Victor in CT said:


Quote:




Garrett seemed to know how to use Jason Whitten effectively. The Giants don't have a TE. Engram is neither a TE nor a WR.



The problem is that Garrett tried to use Engram the same way as Witten. For all of his flaws, Engram excelled at running the seam at Ole Miss, but for some reason isn't asked to do it here, despite any deep passing threat being a desperate need.

The problem with Engram isn't the scheme or the plays it's Engram. He's not a good route runner, catcher of the football or blocker. He's just not good at football.
RE: nothing in the NFL is certain  
Judge_and_Jury : 1/26/2021 4:54 pm : link
In comment 15135102 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
or a guarantee, but I'd trying to find a reason why Surtain won't be awesome in the pros


A lot to like. Could end up a very good one. The negatives? Stiff hips. A bit like Aaron Ross. May run a bit slow.
RE: RE: nothing in the NFL is certain  
Section331 : 1/26/2021 5:22 pm : link
In comment 15135119 Judge_and_Jury said:
Quote:
In comment 15135102 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


or a guarantee, but I'd trying to find a reason why Surtain won't be awesome in the pros



A lot to like. Could end up a very good one. The negatives? Stiff hips. A bit like Aaron Ross. May run a bit slow.


He ran a 4.57 in HS, so I've got to think that has improved with a Bama training regimen. Fluidity and short area burst are weaknesses in his game, but not uncommon with bigger corners. I think his size and technique more than make up for it.

What I love about him is that he is equally comfortable in zone or man, and he is an excellent tackler. With so many NFL offenses intent on testing the edges, you need CB's who can tackle. Putting him across from Bradberry would be an enormous improvement to our D, and allow Graham to play more man cover.
RE: RE: RE: Comparing Pitts to Plax is more than a little  
bw in dc : 1/26/2021 5:28 pm : link
In comment 15135099 Jim from Katonah said:
Quote:


Didn’t Pitts mostly line up wide last year? I know he did a bit of traditional TE blocking, but I thought he was mostly playing WR last year, in the Plax, Brandon Marshall mode, and going against corners. I don’t think he’s going to be an NFL tight end (in say the Kittle sense), I think he’s a split out wide guy mostly. Looks like a terrific, balanced athlete to me, but he apparently runs in the 4.7 range. Not trying to be a wet blanket, but unclear to me the value of him as a pure receiver at #11.


I don't know what the splits were between lining up at TE and split out. But I saw him do both the last two years.

I see him as a TE who is flexible to be on the line and split out. And I anticipate he's going to be a handful.
RE: I don't see Pitts as a TE  
mittenedman : 1/26/2021 5:30 pm : link
In comment 15134731 Chip said:
Quote:
but as a Plaxico type WR. He has excellent hands. I do not want Walden.


I agree with this. Unfortunately, Plax was a very special athlete who was able to get open downfield. lots of these big, tall receivers lose coordination the farther downfield they get. If Pitts can transition to WR, I'm interested. If not, forget it.
RE: RE: Comparing Pitts to Plax is more than a little  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/26/2021 5:34 pm : link
In comment 15135064 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15135013 Section331 said:


Quote:


disingenuous. Plax never played anything but WR, WR's & TE's have major differences in the types of routes they run and how precisely they need to run them. Pitts may be a good route runner for a TE, but can enough to get open v DB's vs LB's? Maybe, but that is a huge leap of faith for a #11 pick.

If Pitts is drafted as high as we think he is, he's playing TE.



Good post. The Plax comparison is lazy.


Is it? I feel like they are very similar players, except Pitts can actually play inside. Obviously Plax had a little better speed, but he wasn't blowing anyone away either. He used his height, long arms, and ability to make contested catches and high point the ball. I actually think Pitts is better here, which is scary to think about. Hard time not seeing him as this unstoppable force in the red zone. The game is about scoring points and red zone efficiency is key, to me thats worth the 11th pick on its own.
Zeke, it's that and more...  
BelieveJJ : 1/26/2021 7:40 pm : link
Quote:
That "sure fire top-10" pick may or may not be someone the Giants want at 11, but someone is likely to fall to them unexpectedly.


His 2020 record of 43 catches at almost 18 ypc included an absolutly ridiculous 12 TD and 35 FD? How is that even possible? Someone must have miscounted, since I don't quite think a TD catch can ALSO BE a first down conversion reception can it?


It would seem that from Ptts's 43 receptions in 8 games (many of them vs bracket coverage; it's worth noting) EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THEM was either a touchdown or a first down?

That's insane. It's silly. It's inhuman.

Stats linked below.
Kyle Pitts' Performance was Superhuman - ( New Window )
Wrong quote above! Corrected below.  
BelieveJJ : 1/26/2021 7:43 pm : link
Quote:
I actually think Pitts is better here, which is scary to think about. Hard time not seeing him as this unstoppable force in the red zone.
With the 11th pick in the draft...  
Milton : 1/26/2021 8:26 pm : link
...the Giants will be selecting someone who was in their top five (maybe even top three) but fell to them. Who that prospect is and what position he plays is anybody's guess. But there will be somebody who the Giants simply couldn't pass up.
RE: Zeke, it's that and more...  
shyster : 1/26/2021 8:40 pm : link
In comment 15135283 BelieveJJ said:
Quote:

It would seem that from Pitts's 43 receptions in 8 games (many of them vs bracket coverage; it's worth noting) EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THEM was either a touchdown or a first down?
- ( New Window )


Not true. It's easy enough to check the play-by-play for UF's games at ESPN.

In the Texas A&M game alone, he had three catches that were neither first downs nor TDs.

Mentioned in the other thread a concern about the target Pitts presents going over the middle. Link is to the hit that put him out with a concussion for a few weeks in the middle of the season.

UF vs UGA - ( New Window )
RE: With the 11th pick in the draft...  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/26/2021 9:34 pm : link
In comment 15135342 Milton said:
Quote:
...the Giants will be selecting someone who was in their top five (maybe even top three) but fell to them. Who that prospect is and what position he plays is anybody's guess. But there will be somebody who the Giants simply couldn't pass up.


This is a good point. I'd imagine teams are going to have boards all over the place this year.
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 1/26/2021 9:42 pm : link
If Surtain is there, take him.
RE: RE: Zeke, it's that and more...  
BelieveJJ : 1/27/2021 12:40 am : link
In comment 15135353 shyster said:
Quote:
In comment 15135283 BelieveJJ said:


Quote:



It would seem that from Pitts's 43 receptions in 8 games (many of them vs bracket coverage; it's worth noting) EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THEM was either a touchdown or a first down?
- ( New Window )



Not true. It's easy enough to check the play-by-play for UF's games at ESPN.

In the Texas A&M game alone, he had three catches that were neither first downs nor TDs.

Mentioned in the other thread a concern about the target Pitts presents going over the middle. Link is to the hit that put him out with a concussion for a few weeks in the middle of the season. UF vs UGA - ( New Window )


Thanks for the reference to ESPN, I had npt known that was possible. So those stats from the Football Database are wrong? I'll try to cross reference them, they cited 35 first downs among his 43 receptions, which is still incredible if correct.
RE: Zeke, it's that and more...  
giantBCP : 1/27/2021 6:37 am : link
In comment 15135283 BelieveJJ said:
Quote:


Quote:


That "sure fire top-10" pick may or may not be someone the Giants want at 11, but someone is likely to fall to them unexpectedly.



His 2020 record of 43 catches at almost 18 ypc included an absolutly ridiculous 12 TD and 35 FD? How is that even possible? Someone must have miscounted, since I don't quite think a TD catch can ALSO BE a first down conversion reception can it?


It would seem that from Ptts's 43 receptions in 8 games (many of them vs bracket coverage; it's worth noting) EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THEM was either a touchdown or a first down?

That's insane. It's silly. It's inhuman.

Stats linked below. Kyle Pitts' Performance was Superhuman - ( New Window )


You forgot to mention his zero drops on the season.
The Giants do like versatility in their players which is a plus for  
Ira : 1/27/2021 6:51 am : link
drafting Pitts. I like his hands and the fact that he wins most battles with defenders. Having a big target like that is a big plus.
It’s 2021 and you need to think out of the box  
giantBCP : 1/27/2021 7:19 am : link
We have quarterbacks that can’t pass the football winning league MVPs. If a tight end isn’t an excellent blocker, that doesn't mean that he can’t be an elite player.
RE: RE: RE: Zeke, it's that and more...  
shyster : 1/27/2021 7:23 am : link
In comment 15135519 BelieveJJ said:
Quote:


Thanks for the reference to ESPN, I had npt known that was possible. So those stats from the Football Database are wrong? I'll try to cross reference them, they cited 35 first downs among his 43 receptions, which is still incredible if correct.


Not wrong; it's a matter of the accounting rule for touchdowns as first downs.

35 first downs out of 43 receptions is 81%. That's high but not unheard of.

Darius Slayton had 80% of his catches (40/50) for first downs this year and had a disappointing season.

Jake Ballard, tight end, had 81% of his catches (31/38) for first downs for the 2011 Giants.
RE: ...  
Milton : 1/27/2021 12:48 pm : link
In comment 15135399 SFGFNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
If Surtain is there, take him.
Are you Surtain?
I’m about fed up with people  
tyrik13 : 1/27/2021 1:06 pm : link
And positional value and saying: well this guy was taken in the 3rd rd, this guy was a 5th rd pick, who the f cares!! If the person you’re targeting is there you take him. The draft is always a crapshoot, no one knows who will pan out no matter the round or where that person is drafted. What makes a player good is the will and want to be better, the coaching staff able to develop and put them in the right place to succeed. Wish our fan base would stop trying to compare our team and philosophy to another. We are our own entity and if they wanna take a TE at 11 then do so.
RE: RE: RE: RE: Zeke, it's that and more...  
BelieveJJ : 1/27/2021 1:07 pm : link
In comment 15135549 shyster said:

35 first downs out of 43 receptions is 81%. That's high but not unheard of.

Darius Slayton had 80% of his catches (40/50) for first downs this year and had a disappointing season.

Jake Ballard, tight end, had 81% of his catches (31/38) for first downs for the 2011 Giants. [/quote]


Combined with 12 TDs among 43 catches. A TD every 3.5 catches. The first downs are only part of the story. YPC, TD/rec often vs bracket coverage and the opponent's best coverage DB....

Some pundit called it "the best season any TE has had in over 30 years."

Don't recall who though...
Kiper likes him and compares him to EE ?  
averagejoe : 1/27/2021 3:29 pm : link
That's enough for me. Would not take Kyle Pitts in rd 7. Too weak to play inside and too slow to play outside. A duel threat like EE.
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