-Flurry of moves yesterday around the league. Semien 1 for 18 looks like a great gamble for the Jays
- Was told the Mets discussed the parameters of what a deal would look like with Bauer almost 2 weeks ago. No firm offer was made (this is semantics, "made an offer" is generally the LAST thing that occurs at the end of the "dance". The feeling remains that Bauer will end up with LAA)
-Fsngraphs released their 2021 catcher projections... McCann comes in at... 27. Better hope Sandy is "more right" than they are.
- Mets haven't been tied to any RP's in particularly outside of Wilson but they really could use one. Rosenthal in particular would be a nice addition. Soria as well. The Mets added May, subtracted Shreve and Wilson for now. The back end looks nice, lengthwise the pen is very thin on paper.
I'm not surprised. The Brewers, as I noted are probably the best team in the NL Central. If Yelich has a decent 2020 they are a playoff team, if Yelich has a normal season and Cain players that's one of the better teams in the entire league.
I find it very difficult to believe there are 26 better all-around catchers in MLB.
I find it very difficult to believe there are 26 better all-around catchers in MLB.
That's comical. I had the same reaction.
Link - ( New Window )
Link - ( New Window )
Michael Conforto
Jorge Soler
Mark Canha
Corey Dickerson
Tommy Pham
Starling Marte
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo
Chris Taylor
has there anything been reported on the Cain front officially? I haven't seen anything on either front if he's on or off the market.
Without going back and digging up a longer form previous post from a few months, over the last couple years there has been a very slight statistical difference between Christian Vazquez and James McCann. 2019+2020 fwar has it 4.9 vs. 3.7 (and part of that difference is that Vazquez has 100+ more plate appearances). McCann has the higher offensive output those 2 years and Vazquez a little higher defensive output.
And yet in FG depth chart rankings they have the Red Sox 5th with Vazquez projected for 2.7 fwar and McCann projected at less than 1 win above replacement and as a negative impact hitter (80 wrc, which is 5 points below his career average). So for some reason they are projecting massive regression.
Like I said will be interesting to see how things shake out but if I had to bet it I think he will end up closer to Vazquez than where he's currently projected.
Quote:
yesterday but the Brewers have let teams know Cain is not available, and have inquired into Turner and Eddie Rosario. I think the Brewers as-is are the favorites in the central.
has there anything been reported on the Cain front officially? I haven't seen anything on either front if he's on or off the market.
When do you hear players of Cain's ilk "officially" called off the market? That would be beyond unusual. Per multiple sources (most recently Robert Murray) the Brewers are looking to ADD payroll and see themselves in a position to win the central. They have resisted all calls on Cain and have "listened" on Hader if someone "blows them away". Heyman called the price "absurd".
I do see where they rank by projected WAR, and they Nido is the only other C with a positive WAR, and it is only .1, so that hurts him. But it has McCann as a .9 player, when he was 1.3 in a shortened season last year. .9 is the same as Jason Castro.
And yet in FG depth chart rankings they have the Red Sox 5th with Vazquez projected for 2.7 fwar and McCann projected at less than 1 win above replacement and as a negative impact hitter (80 wrc, which is 5 points below his career average). So for some reason they are projecting massive regression.
Like I said will be interesting to see how things shake out but if I had to bet it I think he will end up closer to Vazquez than where he's currently projected.
When I went to that fangraph's link, it appeared that their rankings were heavily based on wOBA. I don't see how they can project a 'massive regression' based on that.
And I don't think any of the defensive metrics came into play on their list.
I don't pretend to understand some of these advanced metrics -- and weighted OBA is one that truly eludes me !!
Please help me understand how wOBA is factored into other, easier to understand metrics like WAR.
Quote:
In comment 15135720 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
yesterday but the Brewers have let teams know Cain is not available, and have inquired into Turner and Eddie Rosario. I think the Brewers as-is are the favorites in the central.
has there anything been reported on the Cain front officially? I haven't seen anything on either front if he's on or off the market.
When do you hear players of Cain's ilk "officially" called off the market? That would be beyond unusual. Per multiple sources (most recently Robert Murray) the Brewers are looking to ADD payroll and see themselves in a position to win the central. They have resisted all calls on Cain and have "listened" on Hader if someone "blows them away". Heyman called the price "absurd".
Fair. I just saw the cubs recently say unless they get a "sweetheart" deal Bryant is staying. I didn't think he was on the market either...it has more been speculation on the mets fans side about a trade when Brewers haven't really said they need to shed salary.
@BaseballAmerica
· 16h
Pete Crow-Armstrong is a name to watch in 2021.
The Mets outfielder is one of our 13 breakout prospect picks this year.
Loup, 33, posted a 2.52 ERA for the Rays last season, holding left-handed hitters to a .581 OPS. If a deal gets done, he'd fill a void in the Mets' righty-heavy pen.
still pissed the Mets cut him so someone could make a spot start.
I think you give Omar some credit for snagging him in Rule V the first place, but massive blame for being so short sighted and cutting him.
Quote:
sign Darren O'Day
still pissed the Mets cut him so someone could make a spot start.
I think you give Omar some credit for snagging him in Rule V the first place, but massive blame for being so short sighted and cutting him.
I believe it was Nelson Figueroa, correct? I don't remember that at the time. I just remember reading an article a few years back where the Mets were looking at O'Day
Quote:
In comment 15135982 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
sign Darren O'Day
still pissed the Mets cut him so someone could make a spot start.
I think you give Omar some credit for snagging him in Rule V the first place, but massive blame for being so short sighted and cutting him.
I believe it was Nelson Figueroa, correct? I don't remember that at the time. I just remember reading an article a few years back where the Mets were looking at O'Day
Figgy, yeah, he made the spot start.
And I don't remember the names, but there were a ton of shitty players the Mets could have DFA'd instead of O'Day.
Link - ( New Window )
I also expect it to be cheap.
Older (a lot!) than I thought he was. Could be still play a passable CF as a backup?
78 career medium leverage and 39 runs earned.
So he has mostly pitched as a low leverage reliever (220 innings) and done pretty good at that with just 58 runs allowed and a .600 OPS against. In medium or high leverage he has allowed near 800 OPS against.
for comparison, Brad Hand has pitched 129 high leverage innings with 99 runs against and a .650 OPS against. He's also pitched 229 medium leverage innings and only allowed 91 runs.
Justin Wilson's high (96 innings, 71 runs) and medium leverage (149 innings, 45 runs) are also much better than Loup's. Sub-700 ops against in all situations as well.
So hoping this is a very cheap deal. Don't see him as much more than a left handed version of Brach for middle innings.
Older (a lot!) than I thought he was. Could be still play a passable CF as a backup?
He's expected to return to the Yankees. I'm sure he'd be fine as a backup in CF but he's yet another LH OF
Makes Nimmo's -3 DRS in 2019 look like Willie Mays.
Maybe that's the plan, sign Desmond, run him out there a few times, and have everyone begging to put Nimmo back in then you can say you're giving the people what they want.
Quote:
making this up... Ian Desmond 2019... NEGATIVE 21 DRS in CF.
Makes Nimmo's -3 DRS in 2019 look like Willie Mays.
Maybe that's the plan, sign Desmond, run him out there a few times, and have everyone begging to put Nimmo back in then you can say you're giving the people what they want.
I'd truly role the dice on Dom in CF over Desmond. I'd give Familia away but Desmond posted NEGATIVE fWAR 2017-2019 and then sat out 2020. That would be a moronic trade.
He'd be a disaster but at least he's a hard worker and played OF in 2020. What was Desmond doing out there in 2019 to post a -21? wow.
How does a guy get enough burn out there to even allow that to happen?
Quote:
making this up... Ian Desmond 2019... NEGATIVE 21 DRS in CF.
How does a guy get enough burn out there to even allow that to happen?
I'd be completely lying if I said I watched the 2019 Rockies enough to say but just guessing, 100% money related. -8 OAA so the metrics agree, not good.
Quote:
of Dom in CF
He'd be a disaster but at least he's a hard worker and played OF in 2020. What was Desmond doing out there in 2019 to post a -21? wow.
Jay Bruce put up a negative 20 in 2016. Was brutal to watch and still annoyed me that we not only got him but brought him back.
Jeter (for example) was once -27 DRS at SS, while still in his prime. Oh, and he won the gold glove that year.
then a few years later, comparable # of innings he's plus 3 DRS.
then a couple years later, toward the end of his career - 18 DRS.
Seems to fluctuate too much year by year - reminds me a little of PFF ratings.
Todd Hundley in LF was even worse!
Interesting. Extension? Probably nothing though.
Link - ( New Window )
Quote:
Something big to come
Interesting. Extension? Probably nothing though.
No clue what it is, but def not an extension
Quote:
Something big to come
Interesting. Extension? Probably nothing though.
probably talking about a milestone in his rehab