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NYP Steve Serby Mock Draft (2/13/2021)

Eric from BBI : Admin : 2/15/2021 8:57 am
FYI...
NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Jets’ moment of truth, Giants take playmaker - ( New Window )
Sy did say our Offense needs to be first  
ATL_Giants : 2/15/2021 9:03 am : link
Although Sy didn't pick a 1RD WR for us in the draft, I'd see picking Waddle as a committed investment to our Offense.
So the Jets are projected  
Big Blue '56 : 2/15/2021 9:05 am : link
to get Rousseau with #23
RE: Sy did say our Offense needs to be first  
ATL_Giants : 2/15/2021 9:06 am : link
In the 'Creating An Identity' post
Waddle is my number 1 guy if Medical’s check out  
Tuckrule : 2/15/2021 9:08 am : link
He was on pace to have a better season than smith and got hurt. That’s when smiths number skyrocketed. If we don’t land waddle I’m very inclined to draft slater. Who, IMO, is an all pro guard. He can even play right tackle
For a few seasons of need be his feet are that good. He’s an immediate plug and play for a decade.
RE: Waddle is my number 1 guy if Medical’s check out  
Tom in NY : 2/15/2021 9:15 am : link
In comment 15153063 Tuckrule said:
Quote:
He was on pace to have a better season than smith and got hurt. That’s when smiths number skyrocketed. If we don’t land waddle I’m very inclined to draft slater. Who, IMO, is an all pro guard. He can even play right tackle
For a few seasons of need be his feet are that good. He’s an immediate plug and play for a decade.


Do you like Waddle over Chase? I get it that Chase is likely long gone by 11, but he seems to be a slightly better option.
A football site I follow recently had Rousseau to NYG  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 2/15/2021 9:18 am : link
and I said I couldn't see that scenario with no playmakers on offense. Any of the top 3 WRs are there, the Giants would take them.

The counter argument is you will be able to get a top WR in round 2, whereas Rousseau may grade out as the best pass-rusher in this draft.
Chase is clear cut number 1 to my eyes.  
Tuckrule : 2/15/2021 9:24 am : link
I think he’s an immediate impact starter like Jefferson was for Vikings. He’s that good all pro potential. I believe waddle, if healthy, would be the clear cut 2 over smith. You take size into consideration and production and waddle has it all. Waddle is a junior, smith is a senior. Waddle is listed at 183 at 5’10. Smith is 6 1 and listed at 174. I’ve heard from all account Hes in the 165 range. That worries me big time. Smith is special in and out of breaks and his burst is legit but that frame is worrisome. He’s nicked up often. Comes out of games frequently. I don’t like his frame long term in the nfl. I can see him having a good but short career. Waddle
Has the thickness and I believe that 183 is his real weight. Shepard has a year left and waddle can resume full time slot role in 2022.

Maybe Josh Reynolds I’m free agency with waddle. That’s a rather cheap way to elevate the WRs group.
I know it is my constant  
section125 : 2/15/2021 9:28 am : link
mantra...how is that ankle? If it is completely healthy(it wasn't in the CFB Champ game) then they may have Tyreek Hill part deux..
If it isn't, do they get OBJ post broken ankle..?

Even after Waddle, then need someone opposite Slayton that can burn up the field deep.
Wait,  
Big Blue '56 : 2/15/2021 9:30 am : link
Waddle is only 5’ 10”?
I like Waddle but do not see him...  
bw in dc : 2/15/2021 9:33 am : link
as a #1. Could he turn into Steve Smith, V2? Maybe. But I’d rather wait for size at WR.

So, the way Serby’s draft flows, I’d much rather Slater or Darrisaw. Or maybe Parsons.
Yeah, not ideal that the top wideouts this year don't  
Jimmy Googs : 2/15/2021 9:36 am : link
have some decent height. I don't know if it would be enough to make me wait to pick one but it definitely would come into the calculus.

I obviously have not seen Waddle play,  
Big Blue '56 : 2/15/2021 9:42 am : link
but how many 5’ 10” WRs taken that high excelled in the NFL? Honest question.
Mock drafts in a vacuum are difficult  
jvm52106 : 2/15/2021 10:00 am : link
because then you are debating the 1 pick as an addition without anything else (unlike how the draft really is- ie after FA).

If the Giants get say Robinson or Golladay then Waddle makes perfect sense as he is the opposite of those two receivers and still fits a major need- speed and quickness.

If we get say Curtis Samuel then Waddle doesn't make as much sense as we have too many receivers who are similar in physique and style.

A lot will depend on what we do in FA and who we jettison.

IF EE goes then Pitts becomes an option at 11 (assuming he falls there).

If we sign Robinson and another receiver then we go away from receiver at the top of the draft and look at play makers on defense.

Rouseau is a guy who scares me. He is stiff as hell and does not look like a great player in space and is not designed for a 3-4 end..
RE: I obviously have not seen Waddle play,  
BelieveJJ : 2/15/2021 10:02 am : link
In comment 15153091 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
but how many 5’ 10” WRs taken that high excelled in the NFL? Honest question.


There's an analytics based metric for WR success that suggests very strongly that WRs 5'9" or LESS face a really tough gradient. 5'10" is fine, and in Waddle's case it is often stated that he has a very large catching radius, despite his size.

Long arms, significantly above average hand size, hops, attitude.

Like young OBJ.
I always say, "If you must draft a short receiver, get  
Marty in Albany : 2/15/2021 10:03 am : link
one with an injury problem. And it is always good to get a WR whose name signifies speed and agility."

Waddle looks like a sure thing to me. No risk at all.
RE: I always say,  
BelieveJJ : 2/15/2021 10:10 am : link
In comment 15153108 Marty in Albany said:
Quote:
one with an injury problem. And it is always good to get a WR whose name signifies speed and agility."

Waddle looks like a sure thing to me. No risk at all.


As if above average size in any way helped Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz, Steve Smith (Giant version), or for that matter Plaxico Burress or Amani Toomer avoid knee or lower leg injuries?
Does Waddle have the ball skills of Tyreek Hill?  
giantBCP : 2/15/2021 10:26 am : link
I see the comparisons made, but I thank that what sets Hill apart from other small and agile receivers is his ability to make contested catches similar to what you’d see from a bigger receiver.

No way I’d take Waddle in the first based on his speed and quickness alone without really looking into his catch radius and ball skills further.
People wanna talk size and production  
GoDeep13 : 2/15/2021 10:38 am : link
For Waddle like he isn’t the one who has missed games do to injury and never had a season as good as Smith’s junior or senior season. Also Chad Johnson played in the NFL at 180-185 most of his career. So did Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt.
RE: Does Waddle have the ball skills of Tyreek Hill?  
Mdgiantsfan : 2/15/2021 10:38 am : link
In comment 15153130 giantBCP said:
Quote:
I see the comparisons made, but I thank that what sets Hill apart from other small and agile receivers is his ability to make contested catches similar to what you’d see from a bigger receiver.

No way I’d take Waddle in the first based on his speed and quickness alone without really looking into his catch radius and ball skills further.


Knowing what you know now would you take Tyreke Hill in the first round?

I have concerns about Waddle not being that big receiver, but if they grab one in free agency then I'd be in on Waddle at 11. OBJ is an inch taller, but no-one questions has ability to play outside! He instantly became an impact WR at 5'11".

Yes, I'd take Tyreek Hill at 11  
giantBCP : 2/15/2021 11:32 am : link
but he's an outlier IMO.

Most short receivers with the body size of a stocky shifty running back have alligator arms with a poor catch radius and marginal hands, regardless of how fast and shifty they are.
Parsons was picked after in this mock....  
Simms11 : 2/15/2021 11:45 am : link
If the Giants can get ARob or Golladay in Free Agency, it’s a strong possibility that they could go defense with the first pick and grab Parsons, if all checks out of course. Then they could grab a WR in round 2. There’s still plenty of very talented WRs available then, as well.
RE: I obviously have not seen Waddle play,  
Nomad Crow on the Madison : 2/15/2021 12:17 pm : link
In comment 15153091 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
but how many 5’ 10” WRs taken that high excelled in the NFL? Honest question.


Let's start with Tyreek Hill. Don Beebe. Steve Largent (may have been 5'11"). Sterling Shepard. Mark Clayton and the other guy ( Dupree?) with Dan Marino. Short guys better be fast!
RE: RE: I obviously have not seen Waddle play,  
Nomad Crow on the Madison : 2/15/2021 12:19 pm : link
In comment 15153243 Nomad Crow on the Madison said:
Quote:
In comment 15153091 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


but how many 5’ 10” WRs taken that high excelled in the NFL? Honest question.



Let's start with Tyreek Hill. Don Beebe. Steve Largent (may have been 5'11"). Sterling Shepard. Mark Clayton and the other guy ( Dupree?) with Dan Marino. Short guys better be fast!


The other guy was Mark Duper.
That draft makes me annoyed about the Philly tank job...  
sb from NYT Forum : 2/15/2021 12:25 pm : link
...which made the win against the Cowboys meaningless, and it we didn't beat the the Cowboys we would have been Pick #7 and could have drafted DeVonta Smith.

Of course this is all hypothetical based on Serby's draft, but it Smith turns out to be there at #7 I will hate the Eeagles all the more.
RE: RE: RE: I obviously have not seen Waddle play,  
Big Blue '56 : 2/15/2021 12:35 pm : link
In comment 15153247 Nomad Crow on the Madison said:
Quote:
In comment 15153243 Nomad Crow on the Madison said:


Quote:


In comment 15153091 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


but how many 5’ 10” WRs taken that high excelled in the NFL? Honest question.



Let's start with Tyreek Hill. Don Beebe. Steve Largent (may have been 5'11"). Sterling Shepard. Mark Clayton and the other guy ( Dupree?) with Dan Marino. Short guys better be fast!



The other guy was Mark Duper.


But the question was WRs of that height who were taken HIGH in the draft
Judge ain't going for a WR  
BigBlueCane : 2/15/2021 12:43 pm : link
with Parsons on the board
A bunch of my favorite WRs are still there after the top 15.  
Andy in Halifax : 2/15/2021 12:54 pm : link
I'd be inclined to wait, but Waddle is exciting. Moore, Bateman, Marshall, Brown... I wonder if any of them would be there in 2? Brown will be, I think he's criminally underrated at this point.
RE: RE: Waddle is my number 1 guy if Medical’s check out  
Judge_and_Jury : 2/15/2021 1:10 pm : link
In comment 15153072 Tom in NY said:
Quote:
In comment 15153063 Tuckrule said:


Quote:


He was on pace to have a better season than smith and got hurt. That’s when smiths number skyrocketed. If we don’t land waddle I’m very inclined to draft slater. Who, IMO, is an all pro guard. He can even play right tackle
For a few seasons of need be his feet are that good. He’s an immediate plug and play for a decade.



Do you like Waddle over Chase? I get it that Chase is likely long gone by 11, but he seems to be a slightly better option.


Chase had 1800 yds, 20 tds as a sophomore. A sophomore. Guys who are juniors and seniors can only dream of that kind of production. He is the #1 WR in this draft.
I hate to sound like a broken record, but if we hadn't screwed up  
GiantBlue : 2/15/2021 1:21 pm : link
with trying to fix this OL for so long, we could have drafted WR Jefferson in Round one and Reagor in Round 2 and had a nice set of weapons last season.

Instead, we had to keep focusing our high resources on the damn OL and let these weapons pass by to other teams.

Now when we need a playmaker like a Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb or even Reagor.....we might be left with a third choice or having to draft soemone other than a WR at #11.

Free agency could change that need, but right now it isn't only who you draft that can wreck a team, but what resources you have to pass up to draft an area of need.

if you don't have the OL  
BigBlueCane : 2/15/2021 1:29 pm : link
your weapons are irrelevant.
Waddle has highest ceiling  
jamalduff123 : 2/15/2021 1:36 pm : link
Waddle's highlight reel is the most impressive of the 3. His RAC skills are unreal. Chase might be the safer pick, but if Waddle's ankle is fully healed, watch out. I wouldn't be surprised if Waddle is gone before Giants pick.
RE: Chase is clear cut number 1 to my eyes.  
eric2425ny : 2/15/2021 1:41 pm : link
In comment 15153078 Tuckrule said:
Quote:
I think he’s an immediate impact starter like Jefferson was for Vikings. He’s that good all pro potential. I believe waddle, if healthy, would be the clear cut 2 over smith. You take size into consideration and production and waddle has it all. Waddle is a junior, smith is a senior. Waddle is listed at 183 at 5’10. Smith is 6 1 and listed at 174. I’ve heard from all account Hes in the 165 range. That worries me big time. Smith is special in and out of breaks and his burst is legit but that frame is worrisome. He’s nicked up often. Comes out of games frequently. I don’t like his frame long term in the nfl. I can see him having a good but short career. Waddle
Has the thickness and I believe that 183 is his real weight. Shepard has a year left and waddle can resume full time slot role in 2022.

Maybe Josh Reynolds I’m free agency with waddle. That’s a rather cheap way to elevate the WRs group.


I’m going to dream big. I’ll take Golladay in FA and then Waddle at 11. Talk about a shot in the arm for the receiving unit with Shepard in the slot and Slayton in the mix as well.
If Im the Jets  
SleepyOwl : 2/15/2021 1:59 pm : link
I would take a long look at Sewell. Becton and Sewell at tackles would be very difficult to pass up. It would help Bradford immensely and the run game. Trade back into the first round and see if Najee Harris is there.
RE: Judge ain't going for a WR  
FStubbs : 2/15/2021 3:55 pm : link
In comment 15153266 BigBlueCane said:
Quote:
with Parsons on the board


Unless Prescott negotiations go so far south that Dallas is forced to pick a QB, there's no way they'd pass on Parsons.
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