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NFL Draft: Patrick Surtain II vs. Caleb Farley

Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy : 2/26/2021 12:16 pm
I believe CB is absolutely a position that we are going to target during this off-season. Bradberry was a stud in his 1st year with the team, but there was a serious lack of depth and talent beyond Bradberry last year. Yiadom simply wasn't an NFL starting caliber CB but that's what he was forced to be.

Due to the lack of talent/depth at CB, it seems as if Patrick Graham was forced to adjust his coverage concepts. When Graham was hired, his use of man-to-man coverage was highlighted and something we expected to see this past season. However the Giants used a lot of Zone last year and the primary reason why is likely because they didn't trust any CB besides Bradberry (for good reason).

Although the defense did a good job overall last season, I'm sure that Graham would like to add another stud outside Corner who he can trust in man coverage. It would add a ton of flexibility to his defensive play-calling.

With the 11th pick, the Giants have a chance to add a potential stud CB in Patrick Surtain II or Caleb Farley. Both guys are projected to go in the Giants' range, and both guys are also potential Eagles/Cowboys draft picks as both of those teams could also look to choose a CB.

I would be interested to see how BBI's draft experts rank Surtain vs. Farley as of today (before any Pro Days).

Surtain: Much more experience in press man coverage than Farley. Considered to have great technique and is an excellent tackler. He was the SEC DPOY in 2020 and a 3 year starter at Alabama. Great size/length. Did not commit a single penalty in 2020. Lacks elite speed and suddenness.

Farley: Great athlete, expected to run much better than Surtain (~4.35 vs. ~4.50). Was a dominant CB in the ACC in 2019, but opted out of the 2020 season. Also has great size/length. Slight edge in ball skills. Questionable tackler. Limited experience in press man coverage but has the physical profile for it.

This feels like a real high floor vs. high ceiling comparison. Although I'd be a fan of both guys being selected by the Giants, I think I'm leaning towards Surtain at this point in time. Bradberry only has 4.5 40 speed yet he was still a borderline All Pro caliber player for the Giants, so Surtain's lack of elite speed doesn't mean he still can't be a great NFL CB. But at the same time, Farley seems to have more natural talent and might have been in the Top 5 pick convo if he repeated his 2019 season in 2020.

What are your thoughts on these two as prospects?
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RE: RE: If Smith or Chase are there,  
Section331 : 2/26/2021 12:44 pm : link
In comment 15162389 Thegratefulhead said:
Quote:
I think if one of the WR is there including Waddle, they will go WR unless they do something in FA. they know they have to answer the DJ question. The surgery Waddle had, the ligaments often end up stronger. If he runs a 4.2/4.3 40 at his pro day it will be hard the FO to lay off. Waddle could go before Smith if he runs 4.2x.


I’m not worried at all about Waddle’s surgery, I just think they may feel that Surtain is a blue chip player, while Waddle is not. WR is a desperate need, but on they can address in FA and later in the draft. CB is a dire need too, and you’re less likely to get a really good one outside of rd 1.
I would prefer Surtain if available at #11 given  
DCGMan : 2/26/2021 12:48 pm : link
his experience and results in college plus our need.

Agree with previous posters about the higher ceiling/lower floor Farley comments.

Having Bradberry as our #1 CB for the next three years would allow Gettleman to justify taking on more short-term risk with Farley. I would be concerned maximizing Farley's long-term potential if he was expected to be #1 on day one.

Not a draft guru  
Lines of Scrimmage : 2/26/2021 12:49 pm : link
but agree the CB needs to be a high priority and in favor using the first pick on 1.

You have the Alabama connection with Surtain but to me it is less about Judge and more about Graham and his connection to Saban through Belichick....they approach defense the same way.

I also can see Dallas rebounding next year. They had a very injured OL and Dak is coming back. They have a lot of talent at skill positions if Dak and the OL rebound. We need another very good corned to match up with them.
Surtain McKinney connection  
Thegratefulhead : 2/26/2021 12:53 pm : link
Would it matter? Add Judge and Alabama and connection seems like it could happen.
I also would love either one at 11, but I think Farley is the clear  
Anakim : 2/26/2021 12:59 pm : link
cut best CB in this Draft. What sets the two apart is Farley's supreme athleticism. There are simply not many guys who are his size and have his speed, quickness and athleticism. He's still relatively new to the position, but he was a lockdown corner a couple of years back and he's only going to get better with more experience. The one thing that gives me pause is his medical history.


Surtain is also excellent and obviously very polished with excellent bloodlines, but the one that concerns me is his long speed. I mean if you let him cover someone like Tyreek Hill, it's not going to look very pretty. By contrast, you can have Farley travel and cover the other team's best WR, no matter how fast or quick that player is.


But both are excellent prospects and are on my short list at #11.
RE: RE: CB at #11 remains my top choice  
JonC : 2/26/2021 1:04 pm : link
In comment 15162362 Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy said:
Quote:
In comment 15162340 JonC said:


Quote:


I think your summaries on each are accurate, and I lean towards Farley for NYG because of the natural gifts and AA representing more upside, but would be plenty happy with Surtain in Blue.

I think NYG will want a WR at #11, but the only one who might be there is Waddle.



WR is still the #1 position that I think we target at that spot. But I think Surtain/Farley are both likely targets when you consider need/talent at the #11 spot.


If Waddle is gone, my money is on CB.
The Waddle thing is a bit confusing  
Anakim : 2/26/2021 1:06 pm : link
Not because he's not an excellent WR, but because his game is predicated on speed and he's coming off a broken ankle.
Of course medical flags will be checked out  
JonC : 2/26/2021 1:09 pm : link
but still think Waddle goes top 15.
RE: I also would love either one at 11, but I think Farley is the clear  
Thegratefulhead : 2/26/2021 1:09 pm : link
In comment 15162419 Anakim said:
Quote:
cut best CB in this Draft. What sets the two apart is Farley's supreme athleticism. There are simply not many guys who are his size and have his speed, quickness and athleticism. He's still relatively new to the position, but he was a lockdown corner a couple of years back and he's only going to get better with more experience. The one thing that gives me pause is his medical history.


Surtain is also excellent and obviously very polished with excellent bloodlines, but the one that concerns me is his long speed. I mean if you let him cover someone like Tyreek Hill, it's not going to look very pretty. By contrast, you can have Farley travel and cover the other team's best WR, no matter how fast or quick that player is.


But both are excellent prospects and are on my short list at #11.
No one can really cover Hill for more than 2 seconds.
Pro day schedule -  
Section331 : 2/26/2021 1:30 pm : link
Bama - March 23rd
VTech - March 26th
RE: The Waddle thing is a bit confusing  
Section331 : 2/26/2021 1:32 pm : link
In comment 15162427 Anakim said:
Quote:
Not because he's not an excellent WR, but because his game is predicated on speed and he's coming off a broken ankle.


It's a broken ankle, I wouldn't expect it to be a long-term hindrance. I just think Smith and Chase are at an elite level, Waddle a shade below that.
I want a CB that uses his arms to tackle instead of those gutless  
carpoon : 2/26/2021 1:40 pm : link
shoulder tackles. Too many misses with them. It sounds like Surtain at least uses his arms and don't know about Farley.
RE: Pro day schedule -  
Greg from LI : 2/26/2021 1:47 pm : link
In comment 15162448 Section331 said:
Quote:
Bama - March 23rd
VTech - March 26th


Word to the wise - Tech is notorious for gaming their guys' Pro Day numbers. Whatever Farley runs for a 40 time, add a tenth of a second to it.
No DB can be expected to cover a WR  
kdog77 : 2/26/2021 1:52 pm : link
for more than 5 seconds in the NFL. Giants D scheme was hindered more by the lack of consistent pass rush then the lack of quality cover DBs. They played zone concepts to try and slow down the QB reads in order to try and force mistakes. Adding a cover CB is not going to magically result in more sacks or stops on 3rd down.

I am not against picking DB at 11, but the value must meet the needs of the team. If one of these guys is there and they are the best value on the board, then take them, but Giants can't lock on one position before they are on the board.
RE: RE: I also would love either one at 11, but I think Farley is the clear  
Anakim : 2/26/2021 1:55 pm : link
In comment 15162432 Thegratefulhead said:
Quote:
In comment 15162419 Anakim said:


Quote:


cut best CB in this Draft. What sets the two apart is Farley's supreme athleticism. There are simply not many guys who are his size and have his speed, quickness and athleticism. He's still relatively new to the position, but he was a lockdown corner a couple of years back and he's only going to get better with more experience. The one thing that gives me pause is his medical history.


Surtain is also excellent and obviously very polished with excellent bloodlines, but the one that concerns me is his long speed. I mean if you let him cover someone like Tyreek Hill, it's not going to look very pretty. By contrast, you can have Farley travel and cover the other team's best WR, no matter how fast or quick that player is.


But both are excellent prospects and are on my short list at #11.

No one can really cover Hill for more than 2 seconds.


I was using Hill as an example. Henry Ruggs III then
RE: RE: The Waddle thing is a bit confusing  
Anakim : 2/26/2021 1:55 pm : link
In comment 15162451 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 15162427 Anakim said:


Quote:


Not because he's not an excellent WR, but because his game is predicated on speed and he's coming off a broken ankle.



It's a broken ankle, I wouldn't expect it to be a long-term hindrance. I just think Smith and Chase are at an elite level, Waddle a shade below that.


I agree about that Smith and Chase are better, but a broken ankle is still a broken ankle. There's no guarantee that he'll be the same player that he was before.
If we don’t pick up  
bluesince56 : 2/26/2021 1:57 pm : link
Weapons for DJ the draft is a failure. Look at all the teams in the playoffs. More than one TE who can play and playmakers at WR. We had a decent defense last year. How did that go? Second lowest scoring team in football. A CB at 11 will not help the team moving forward.
Would take Surtain over Farley  
ghost718 : 2/26/2021 1:58 pm : link
if it absolutely had to be a corner.

Probably would say more about the corners in this draft than anything.Most years I would be very happy just getting Farley at 11,if he's there.But in this draft,there are some others who might even be there in the 2nd.Like Samuel Jr,Adebo,and Greg Newsome.
RE: No DB can be expected to cover a WR  
robbieballs2003 : 2/26/2021 2:00 pm : link
In comment 15162469 kdog77 said:
Quote:
for more than 5 seconds in the NFL. Giants D scheme was hindered more by the lack of consistent pass rush then the lack of quality cover DBs. They played zone concepts to try and slow down the QB reads in order to try and force mistakes. Adding a cover CB is not going to magically result in more sacks or stops on 3rd down.

I am not against picking DB at 11, but the value must meet the needs of the team. If one of these guys is there and they are the best value on the board, then take them, but Giants can't lock on one position before they are on the board.


I disagree. We were able to manufacture a pass rush. I don't have the stats in front of me bit I think the Giants had a good year in terms of pressures. I am in no say saying we don't need a pass rusher but in today's NFL you need guys who can cover. We need more of those. It doesn't have to be a discussion one what position is more important. Both are important. I just agree with the opening post that not having that other cover corner made us adjust what we had to do defensively. If you read the transcripts this year you can hear how much was altered this year. About halfway through the season Graham has to really change what he wanted to do. We became a primarily zone based D out of necessity. That flies in the face of what Judge wants. Judge has beaten a dead horse with saying he wants to be multiple. We were anything but on defense. If Graham couldn't get a rush he would have blitzed more. His number was way down from when he was calling plays in Miami. He didn't blitz more. He put more defenders into coverage. Why? He didn't trust the guys on the back end to matchup one on one. That tells me all I need to know. Getting another pass rusher is a given but if that is all we do then expect mostly zone next year. However, if he gets more cover guys he can trust one on one then Graham can blitz more tham he did last year and makes us more multiple.
RE: Never put your chips on a Hokie  
beatrixkiddo : 2/26/2021 2:11 pm : link
In comment 15162378 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
.


haha, as I was reading through I was waiting for the inevitability of this comment from Greg. Never seen anyone with such a long standing disdain for a team and everyone and ever was that was part of it at one point in time.
RE: If we don’t pick up  
Anakim : 2/26/2021 2:17 pm : link
In comment 15162474 bluesince56 said:
Quote:
Weapons for DJ the draft is a failure. Look at all the teams in the playoffs. More than one TE who can play and playmakers at WR. We had a decent defense last year. How did that go? Second lowest scoring team in football. A CB at 11 will not help the team moving forward.


Nor will drafting based on need
Need and quality of player would seem to match up though  
Ten Ton Hammer : 2/26/2021 2:17 pm : link
.
RE: If we don’t pick up  
JonC : 2/26/2021 2:22 pm : link
In comment 15162474 bluesince56 said:
Quote:
Weapons for DJ the draft is a failure. Look at all the teams in the playoffs. More than one TE who can play and playmakers at WR. We had a decent defense last year. How did that go? Second lowest scoring team in football. A CB at 11 will not help the team moving forward.


What if said weapons grade out as lower than the CBs?

Drafting for need tends to build a less talented team, see 2020 Giants.
Id go Micah Parson before a cb #2  
Danny Dimes : 2/26/2021 2:26 pm : link
I think they can get a cb#2 at second or third round but if Micah is there its a no brainer. He would completely shut down the Lamars and Murray's and more speed/ dynamic offenses plus he can cover. You can even send him in for pass rushing, he's the best defender in the draft
Big no to both  
averagejoe : 2/26/2021 2:31 pm : link
Every year top CB's bust and 4th rd CB's become starters. Giants have bigger fish to fry. I think Smith or another WR will fall to Giants. If not we go OL here . Giants need to focus on scoring points and not burning a high first on a number two CB.
Give me slater at 11  
Payasdaddy : 2/26/2021 2:39 pm : link
I think peart steps up with a full offseason
Saquon should be close to 100%
2 wr in next 3 rounds
Either ER or CB with other pick
Fill in some defense depth in FA ( cb or ER)
With Judge's connection to Alabama  
Peter from NH (formerly CT) : 2/26/2021 2:41 pm : link
I would be shocked if they took the higher-risk guy over Surtain.
Really can't bank on Bradberry standing on his head for another year  
Ten Ton Hammer : 2/26/2021 2:45 pm : link
They were limited on defense by the fact that they knew their corners sucked and gameplanned around it. If Bradberry were to slip even a little, the whole defense would take a hit.

Head in the sand if you don't think CB is a pressing need.

As to where you make the investment, maybe a 2nd round guy can contribute this year. Likely not though. CB is a difficult position to translate to as a rookie. Guys don't just step in and light it up at that position.
Surtain  
lugnut : 2/26/2021 2:54 pm : link
Honestly, I just don't feel good about guys coming out of VT.
RE: If we don’t pick up  
Dr. D : 2/26/2021 3:03 pm : link
In comment 15162474 bluesince56 said:
Quote:
Weapons for DJ the draft is a failure. Look at all the teams in the playoffs. More than one TE who can play and playmakers at WR. We had a decent defense last year. How did that go? Second lowest scoring team in football. A CB at 11 will not help the team moving forward.

You don't draft in first rd based purely on need (was LB the biggest need when we drafted Carl Banks at #4?).

A crappy O doesn't mean we HAVE to pick offense in the first round. This draft is supposedly deep at WR, but not so deep at CB, so we could get a good WR in 2nd rd but maybe not a good CB.

We could potentially draft D in first round and then O the other 5 (I think we only have 6 this yr?). Who knows right now.
Surtain  
Biteymax22 : 2/26/2021 3:10 pm : link
If you read a broad description of him he sounds a lot like Bradberry. Not a burner but a smart player who uses length and technique to get the job done.

Given what we know about the coaching staff I also thing he’d be a better fit as far as what they are looking for.
I doubt Farley's available at 11. Surtain may be.  
Ira : 2/26/2021 3:14 pm : link
/
RE: Surtain  
Ten Ton Hammer : 2/26/2021 3:14 pm : link
In comment 15162531 Biteymax22 said:
Quote:
If you read a broad description of him he sounds a lot like Bradberry. Not a burner but a smart player who uses length and technique to get the job done.

Given what we know about the coaching staff I also thing he’d be a better fit as far as what they are looking for.


And a capable Man/Press defender. Which fits what they want to be able to do more of.
If both guys are available  
JoeyBigBlue : 2/26/2021 3:17 pm : link
The Giants will take Surtain. They like sure things over guys with higher ceilings but lower floors.
I love Surtain's game.  
mittenedman : 2/26/2021 3:24 pm : link
IMO he is being underrated for some reason. He is the best CB to come out since Ramsey IMO. I also see him as a stud FS if that turns out to be his best position down the road.

But this guy appears to do it all. All you hear about is the track speed. PS2 is a stud athlete. Very efficient movements. You can tell he's a well-trained CB. Classic tough, aggressive mentality. He tackles, he's part of a physical defense.

He may not have elite speed, but his strength/length and feel for the game, I don't see him being easy to beat deep.
RE: I love Surtain's game.  
AcidTest : 2/26/2021 6:44 pm : link
In comment 15162542 mittenedman said:
Quote:
IMO he is being underrated for some reason. He is the best CB to come out since Ramsey IMO. I also see him as a stud FS if that turns out to be his best position down the road.

But this guy appears to do it all. All you hear about is the track speed. PS2 is a stud athlete. Very efficient movements. You can tell he's a well-trained CB. Classic tough, aggressive mentality. He tackles, he's part of a physical defense.

He may not have elite speed, but his strength/length and feel for the game, I don't see him being easy to beat deep.


Agreed. I would be happy with either. Farley has enticing speed and athleticism, but I prefer Surtain for the reason you cite. But I'd still probably take Parsons before either.

I think Waddle will go top 10, before Smith.
Right now the Giants only have six picks  
81_Great_Dane : 2/26/2021 7:20 pm : link
and a ton of needs. All of the arguments saying "they must take a ________", whether it's WR, TE, LB, CB, OT... all valid. But you can't take all of them without a lot more picks, and you certainly can't take all of them early in the draft, even with more picks. It's not like a trade down is going to give the Giants 2 firsts, 3 seconds and 3 thirds.

So it's not whether you like a guy, or whether he's a need, it's what helps the team the most.

I've come around to the idea that an elite CB prospect is a bit of a luxury right now. An elite WR or pass rusher is a necessity. As for OT, reasonable people can disagree about that.
Players are our biggest need  
UberAlias : 2/26/2021 8:26 pm : link
We don’t have any. Forget about position. We need guys who are difference makers on a Super Bowl caliber roster. That’s the need we should be targeting
Playmakers  
UberAlias : 2/26/2021 8:27 pm : link
That is
...  
ryanmkeane : 2/26/2021 10:25 pm : link
you know who had awesome speed and athleticism? Eli Apple. I want a cornerback who is a legit football player, gamer, and playmaker. Not a guy who looks good in pads. Can’t speak as much for Farley due to the opt out but every single time someone went Surtain’s way in with a throw or run, he was making a play. Sometimes it’s just evident that guys are going to be good. Don’t overthink this and go for the better 40 time. Surtain is the guy that’s going to be the best corner out of this draft.
From my internet-less mountain top  
Grizz99 : 2/27/2021 2:56 am : link
It always happens, you hang up the phone and the idea you forgot to mention puts in an appearance. Travis Frederick, Zack Martin and Smith formed the basis of the best line of modern times.
They went into each year with question marks at the one God position and it right offensive tackle. I am not naive enough to suggest that Andrew, Gates and Ziegler are the equal of their core. But they built the finest line in football off their 3. They were aided by a running back that I don't think was (is?) Better than saquon Barkley and a quarterback who I don't think has the same arm Talent as Jones.
3 Guys forming the core and year after year the best line in football. No reason our core can't form the foundation of at least a confident offensive line.
Almost 3 a.m. now, the argument is about making a pot of coffee and hanging around for a sunrise overlooking a magnificent Reservoir and standing as the only house in protected Watershed property. Bring the cream/ Donuts, leave the arguments about overpaid kids, everybody should get to see this once in their lifetime.
RE: ...  
adamg : 2/27/2021 5:07 am : link
In comment 15162755 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
you know who had awesome speed and athleticism? Eli Apple. I want a cornerback who is a legit football player, gamer, and playmaker. Not a guy who looks good in pads. Can’t speak as much for Farley due to the opt out but every single time someone went Surtain’s way in with a throw or run, he was making a play. Sometimes it’s just evident that guys are going to be good. Don’t overthink this and go for the better 40 time. Surtain is the guy that’s going to be the best corner out of this draft.


I tend to agree with this view. I'd take Surtain/the Alabama stud over measurables/the raw VT guy.
Been thinking about this.  
section125 : 2/27/2021 7:10 am : link
Surtain did not really impress me in the playoff games I saw. I have never seen Farley.

Similarly Bradberry did not impress me sometimes, either, but then at the end of the game you find out he gave up like two receptions for nada. And he could tackle.

I have a feeling that Surtain would be similarly quiet in games. When you play in the SEC as a CB, you cannot be slow and succeed. Surtain is fast enough.

I'd go with the pedigree.
Waddle  
Nomad Crow on the Madison : 2/27/2021 7:56 am : link
I have listened to Daniel Jeremiah and Bucky Brooks talk about Waddle as clearly the best of the Alabama WRs -- Jeudy, Smith, Waddle. We can get a very good CB in the 2nd or 3rd round (Kelvin Joseph, Eric Stokes, Tyson Campbell, Aaron Robinson, Asante Samuel). I am all in on Kyle Pitts if he is on the board at #11, but I would not be opposed to Waddle as long as his ankle checks out.
Re Surtain, the way to scout him is looking at  
cosmicj : 2/27/2021 9:30 am : link
Practice tape. If he can cover his teammates, he can play. It also adds to your sample size of plays.
CB vs CB  
Colin@gbn : 2/27/2021 12:44 pm : link
Interesting thread. And I normally wouldn't comment but because there is a really good chance the Giants will ultimately end up taking one of the two CBs there is a little misinformation that should be addressed. In particular, there is something of a growing theme that Surtain is all about proven productivity while Farley is more of a measurables guy. And while Farley didn't play in 2020 he did play two years in the ACC and was very productive. In his 2 years he averaged 3 picks a year and 10 other PBUs. In contrast Surtain played 3 years and averaged 1 pick a year and 8 PBs. Of course, comparing stats for corners is problematic because a lot will depend on how often they actually get thrown at. But the notion that Farley is 'just' a measurables guy is wrong. I have also seen some CB metrics which shows that Surtain has some almost off the chart stats, but that Farley's were actually even better. Bottom line is that both guys are really good prospects with Surtain the more polished technician who might be the safer pick, while Farley is a much better athlete with a higher upside.

Here's the reality though. The odds are that one of these guys ends up being a really good player and one of them ends up being a JAG type. And there is nobody on this god-given green earth - not me, not Mel Kiper, not Dave Sy, not Bill Belichek, not Joe Judge, not Dan Jeremiah, not Mike Mayock, not nobody - who can predict with any more likelihood of being right than a blind monkey throwing darts at a dartboard which of the two is going to which! No matter how much people howl at the moon about it it is always going to be a coin flip.
Why are the odds of one of them being good while the other not  
chick310 : 2/27/2021 12:49 pm : link
the highest out of all the possible outcomes?
Farley claims to have run  
Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy : 2/28/2021 4:44 pm : link
a laser timed 4.24 40yd dash at EXOS training, where they are training for NFL combine style drills/workouts.

These reported EXOS times do seem to be a little better than expected across the board, so I would take the 4.24 40 with a grain of salt. But even if you add a tenth, he's still a 6'2" 207lb corner who runs in the low/mid 4.3s and it shows up on the field.

As colin mentioned, Farley isn't just an "athlete", he was a very good college CB who just happens to be super athletic. His speed might just be too big of an edge for Surtain to overcome. I'm very interested to see what the "official" workout numbers are for these two.
RE: Why are the odds of one of them being good while the other not  
UConn4523 : 2/28/2021 5:11 pm : link
In comment 15162988 chick310 said:
Quote:
the highest out of all the possible outcomes?


Just the averages in terms of players that are going to be great vs just ok. There’s no real formula, but that’s usually what happens.

Look at WR - are all 4 or 5 of these guys going to have great careers? Doubtful.
I'm in the Farley camp...  
bw in dc : 2/28/2021 6:06 pm : link
Like his ball skills and visualize him being able to play press, soft or zone. But I can't imagine either corner grading significantly better/higher than a Slater, Pitts, Parsons or a several of the WRs.

This off-season needs to be largely about offensive improvements for Jones. So I hope the key investments are on that side of the ball.
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