From Great Blue North Draft Report (February 28th):
"...the GBN Big Board has been revised based on the latest intelligence; it has also been extended to include the top 200 prospects for this year’s draft... Also note that several of the positional rankings have also been revised per the drop down menu above."
The Giants have the #11, #42 and #76 picks. Below are GBN's rankings for our picks sandwiched between the one before and the one after. Assuming these three players were available in each Round, and you had to pick one of them, who would you select? My picks would be: Jaylen Waddle; Wyatt Davis; Hunter Long:
Round One
10 Rashawn Slater OG Northwestern
11 Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama
12 Micah Parsons OLB Penn State
Round Two
41 Samuel Cosmi OT Texas
42 Tutu Atwell WR Louisville
43 Wyatt Davis OG Ohio State
Round Three
75 Marvin Wilson DT Florida State
76 Rashad Weaver DE Pittsburgh
77 Hunter Long TE Boston College
Here is breakdown of GBN's Top 200 by position:
WR 32
CB 25
DE 20
OLB 17
OT 17
DT 14
OG 14
RB 13
S 12
QB 10
C 8
TE 8
ILB 7
PK 2
P 1
Total 200
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Clearly, a pass-catching weapon, a potential OL starter and a defensive playmaker would be a good combination on days 1 and 2. On the other hand, the Giants' roster is so weak that BPA is a pretty safe strategy, except maybe on the defensive line or at safety.
Amen to going back to WR and OL again!
A big slobberknocker with a basketball background who likes to stay out of the limelight and be physical.
We don't need a hero running a 4.3 at TE. We need a solid all-around football player.
Vastly underrated.
I don't think MS made those picks. He just listed what GBN's 11th ranked player is, etc.
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Love your picks. Improving the Offense at WR, OL and TE are the top priorities and biggest needs for this team. Those three would all have a chance at starting or playing important minutes and make an impact on the offense. And in the 4th I’d go WR or OL again.
I don't think MS made those picks. He just listed what GBN's 11th ranked player is, etc.
I don't mean to be a pain in the ass, but in a very circumscribed fashion, I did make those selections. Note that I didn't just choose the player where the Giants were slotted, save for the first round.
I just don't see Waddle as a #1 and the injury bothers me. And both Slater and Parsons took off a year so that is a x-factor.
But I still don't trust our interior OL and love Slater's versatility.
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In comment 15163907 BillT said:
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Love your picks. Improving the Offense at WR, OL and TE are the top priorities and biggest needs for this team. Those three would all have a chance at starting or playing important minutes and make an impact on the offense. And in the 4th I’d go WR or OL again.
I don't think MS made those picks. He just listed what GBN's 11th ranked player is, etc.
I don't mean to be a pain in the ass, but in a very circumscribed fashion, I did make those selections. Note that I didn't just choose the player where the Giants were slotted, save for the first round.
Ah, my bad.
Based on the list I'd prefer Parsons or Surtain over Waddle. Waddle's ankle injury scares me.
2) Atwell is one of the more polarizing players in this draft. GBN has him ranked very high. Other sites much lower. Sy liked him as the Giants' 3rd-rounder. He also has injury concerns, he's tiny, and I don't think he is going to be worth much as a blocker. There are other guys I like better for the Giants and their needs, especially in the second. But the Giants need playmakers and speed, and he gives you that. Davis is also a somewhat polarizing prospect. Cosmi is safer, but given these three choices after Parsons, I'd go with Atwell. If you take Waddle, you don't take Atwell in the 2nd.
3) Wilson is a nice player but doesn't solve either the pass rush or the lack of playmakers on offense. Weaver doesn't seem like a scheme fit; I think he's a 4-3, hand-in-the-dirt defensive end. I could be wrong. This is supposed to be a deep TE class but I think most of them are lesser prospects. In line with solving the playmaker problem: Long.
I think that in reality the Giants will be looking much, much wider than one pick on either side of the ranking, because they have unusual needs on defense. I expect them to put a premium on players who are versatile and can fit in a hybrid scheme: guys like Adetokunbo Ogundeji and Dayo Odeyingbo on defense.
On offense, I think they are going to look for receivers who are suited to play either outside or slot on offense, like D'Wayne Eskridge and Dyami Brown, to name two guys who come to mind. They also like special teams contributors and Eskridge excels there, where a lot of smaller receivers don't. Also, the beats keep mentioning that they want bigger receivers, so I think they will prefer a bigger outside "X" like Ja'Marr Chase, Rashod Bateman, Terrace Marshall, Nico Collins, Seth Williams or Sage Surratt before they get a little speedster like Atwell -- though they could use both. If the only end up with six picks, I would be shocked if they went with Atwell early. Atwell and Rondale Moore, both incredible playmakers with injury concerns. Like Waddle, for that matter.
Just a couple or three comments. Personally I have kind of given up on thinking about what the Giants might do with their #1 pick. Fact is there appear to be 4-5 legit blue chip prospects who'll be going early and then another 8-9 red chippers anyone of which would make the Giants better at a position of need. And one can argue until the cows come home as to who would be a better pick at #11 but the fact is that which of those 8-9 red chippers will actually be available is out of the Giants hands right now.
What really jumped out at me when doing this list was the quality of the players that are going to be available in the 2nd round. Again there is still some sorting out, but the players on our list ranked 33-45 include WRs Terace Marshall, Rashod Bateman, RonDale Moore, and Tutu Atwell; OTs Walker Little and Sam Cosmi; G/T Alex Leaherwood; OG Wyatt Davis; DE/ERs Patrick Jones and Joe Tyron; DT Christian Barmore and CBs Aaron Robinson and Eric Stokes. Bottom line is the Giants would be thrilled to get literally every one of those guys.
A couple of other points; several people mentioned that Waddle isn't a #1 WR. In fact, he probably doesn't fit the prototype of a #1 guy, but I am not sure the Giants are limiting themselves to that definition. They are looking for big-play prospects with the potential to provide chunk plays and Waddle is that! That said, WR is THE one position in this year's draft that one can reasonably expect to get players in the 2nd (see above), 3rd and even 4th rounds that can come in and contribute. That means they won't have to force a pick at receiver in the opening round.
He will not risk that one of the top receiving targets isn't there at #11 and will add one in free agency (subject to available cap space). There is also the impatience of waiting for a rookie WR to make an impact which typically is not immediately which is really what Jones (and DG) needs.
This also gives them the leeway to be more flexible with BPA in Rd1, and then they can probably add another WR or TE in Rd2 or Rd3.
Just a couple or three comments. Personally I have kind of given up on thinking about what the Giants might do with their #1 pick. Fact is there appear to be 4-5 legit blue chip prospects who'll be going early and then another 8-9 red chippers anyone of which would make the Giants better at a position of need. And one can argue until the cows come home as to who would be a better pick at #11 but the fact is that which of those 8-9 red chippers will actually be available is out of the Giants hands right now.
What really jumped out at me when doing this list was the quality of the players that are going to be available in the 2nd round. Again there is still some sorting out, but the players on our list ranked 33-45 include WRs Terace Marshall, Rashod Bateman, RonDale Moore, and Tutu Atwell; OTs Walker Little and Sam Cosmi; G/T Alex Leaherwood; OG Wyatt Davis; DE/ERs Patrick Jones and Joe Tyron; DT Christian Barmore and CBs Aaron Robinson and Eric Stokes. Bottom line is the Giants would be thrilled to get literally every one of those guys.
A couple of other points; several people mentioned that Waddle isn't a #1 WR. In fact, he probably doesn't fit the prototype of a #1 guy, but I am not sure the Giants are limiting themselves to that definition. They are looking for big-play prospects with the potential to provide chunk plays and Waddle is that! That said, WR is THE one position in this year's draft that one can reasonably expect to get players in the 2nd (see above), 3rd and even 4th rounds that can come in and contribute. That means they won't have to force a pick at receiver in the opening round.
Hey Colin, how would you compare the two Alabama WRs in this year's draft with the two from last year. I'm especially intrigued by the Waddle vs. Ruggs comparison since they're both fast playmakers. From what I'm watching/reading, it seems like Waddle is a better prospect than Ruggs who went 12th last year.
Jimmy: To be honest, I am not sure what DG's M.O is. Plus, while he obviously plays a significant role, these are organizational decisions. I am also not convinced that if the Giants did sign a big-name WR - and there is no guarantee that they'll get there - they wouldn't also still be looking at a receiver in the first round f there was one available that they really liked. Remember when DG and Mara talked about wanting to add some playmakers on offense they talked about playmakers (plural) not just A playmaker. In that sense one of the things we have been encouraging people to do is think less about positions and more about units and in that sense the Giants are probably hoping to add 2-3 offensive playmakers at least. And because of the depth in this year's draft at WR they can still upgrade the unit even if they don't add anyone in FA or take one in the first round.
As to Gettleman's MO, we can debate how much but active desperation makes up too much of it...
Maybe someone will fall in love with Mac Jones. It's also possible, maybe even likely, that there will be a prospect or two that kills it on their pro day and crashes the top ten. Perhaps someone like Kadarius Toney. Pro scouts may see him as Waddle's equivalent minus the injury concerns (and Waddle minus his injury history would be a legit top ten candidate I would think). At this point I'm still hopeful that Farley or Slater are in the mix when the Giants are on the clock. I've given up on Chase and Pitts being available and Sewell was always a pipe dream.
I would never have said this a couple weeks ago (when prospects like Pitts and Farley were projected outside the top ten), but I could see Gettleman trading up, especially if the four QB's all go within the top six or seven (which is quite possible believe it or not).
Maybe someone will fall in love with Mac Jones. It's also possible, maybe even likely, that there will be a prospect or two that kills it on their pro day and crashes the top ten. Perhaps someone like Kadarius Toney. Pro scouts may see him as Waddle's equivalent minus the injury concerns (and Waddle minus his injury history would be a legit top ten candidate I would think). At this point I'm still hopeful that Farley or Slater are in the mix when the Giants are on the clock. I've given up on Chase and Pitts being available and Sewell was always a pipe dream.
I would never have said this a couple weeks ago (when prospects like Pitts and Farley were projected outside the top ten), but I could see Gettleman trading up, especially if the four QB's all go within the top six or seven (which is quite possible believe it or not).
A big slobberknocker with a basketball background who likes to stay out of the limelight and be physical.
We don't need a hero running a 4.3 at TE. We need a solid all-around football player.
Sometimes I think it'd be worth it to try converting mid-late round OT prospects to TE, but the limited practice squad makes that sort of impractical to do at the NFL level.
Based on what I've read, I'd be fine with either Parsons or Surtain as the Giants pick at #11 overall. Make the defense a true strength!
Duh?....
Both have darkhorses slipping into the top ten with Nagiet Harris (rb) and Jeremiah Koramoah (lb'er) as unexpected intruders.
The experts are all over the place and I'm reminded of the last time we picked at or near this slot, Blake Bortles and Sammy Watson were top 5 and Odell Beckham, Aaron Donald and Zack Martin were looking for a little love and the new pennies had 2014 stamped on them.
I am not counted among the believers, i dont think every snowflake is different, I just havent been able to prove it yet, but every mock draft is.
It's empowering, as one of the least qualified prognosticators on the planet I want Pitts who, in my highly unqualified opinion, links an insanely high upside with almost no bust potential ( he had No drops last year). It's a self-defeating prophecy; if he's that good, how could he fall to 11?. And that's what I work at: inchoate implausibility. I have four quarterbacks top 10, 1 Pic that no one saw coming and Chase and Pewell. Thats gives me seven down and two to go.
Detroit won't pass on Parsons, Someone will grab Smith, Dallas will take Parsons or Slade right before us and before them the Browns will take Celeb Farley.
I've got 11 players going in the top 10 and still have Pitts, Waddle, and a few available and I want to get the record recorded before the thing melts into an ordinary non unique drop of rain.
Oh boy
I mean, my honest hope is that a QB is there at #11 and a team calls and gives us a deal we can't refuse. That would be the best thing for us, honestly. However, since that is dreaming and praying type stuff you go with the BPA at all three premium picks.
If we generated three rookie starters for the offense; making veteran Zeitler expendable and Lemiuex perhaps the top backup inside at 3 positions (learning OC); well, if Thomas and Peart start and are super solid, this OL along with the new TE could develop into a fierce unit by mid-season.
BPA all three picks and the offense needs to get lucky!
Davis starting guard
Long future starting tight end.
That would be a homerun
Here's what I think we can say. It appears from the various FO comments that the primary goal this off-season is to add some big-play weapons to the offense. So it certainly shouldn't be a shock if - like last year with the OL - that the Giants use as many as 2-3 early picks on receivers. In the opening round my best guess is that they go in with the hope of getting one of the 4 top ten receivers (Chase, Pitts, Smith and Waddle). Most likely they sit tight as long as two of those guys are still on the board. If it gets down to one - and I don't want to give anyone indigestion here - but they may very well think about trading up. Its how the draft works. On the other hand, if you do get past Detroit at #7 with only one receiver left on the board you may let it ride as it appears that Carolina, Denver and Dallas have much bigger needs at other positions (with quality players on the board that address those needs.)
What would it cost to move up. Probably a 3rd. And I know there will be people out there that will moan that the Giants have too many holes to be trading away picks, but I believe if it comes to it it becomes a question of quality over quantity as how many holes is a rookie 3rd rounder going to fill anyway.
Option B for the Giants though if they didn't get one of those top 4 receivers at #11 - and it looks to me as if the odds are about 50-50 that one will be available - is to take the next best thing at that spot, most likely either a Surtain/Farley at CB or a Slater at G/T, and then load up on receivers in rounds 2-3-4. In fact, as noted above it wouldn't surprise me if the Giants loaded up on receivers in those rounds even if they did get one of those top 4 guys at #11. It's how you build a unit, although they are going to stick with their board and aren't going to pass on a higher value player at another position. Just 58 days to go!!