-Mets to FINALLY kick off their season tonight against the lefty Matt Moore
-Stroman at Chase Anderson tomorrow
-Peterson at Nola Wednesday
-Sandy thinks a Conforto extension still possible. Will continue dialogue with Boras into the season
-Lindor extension officially announced
-Alderson also brought up Syndergaard. "we’d like to keep as many players on the current roster as possible–especially the homegrown talent."
-With the long layoff bats are probably ice cold but LFGM!!!!!!!!
Lineups to come:
-Lugo has begun throwing (long toss)
Both ahead of schedule and expected back earlier than originally thought.
-Syndergaard can not return until May 31st.
Why do the Phillies play the shorthanded Nats instead of a postponement?
Scherzer and Soto are not impacted. Not sure who is, I'm sure we'll find out, but those two easily the biggest names.
@JonHeyman
·
7m
11 Nats are in quarantine — 4 Covid positive and 7 close contacts. So they will open the season shorthanded Tuesday vs. the Braves. Stars Scherzer, Strasburg and Soto are among the majority not in quarantine.
Yeah he got placed on the 60 day IL which frees up a roster spot on the 40. He can not return until that's served. All reports, he's on track to return around that date, however.
The one benefit with the missed Eats series, is that we now dont need a 5th SP until April 15th.
Considering the good news with Cookie, we may only have to see Luchessi/opener a few times through.
Fingers crossed.
We'll find out shortly.
The one benefit with the missed Eats series, is that we now dont need a 5th SP until April 15th.
Considering the good news with Cookie, we may only have to see Luchessi/opener a few times through.
Fingers crossed.
Lugo is not expected back before mid-May
I really like the way the team is entering the season without a ton of overhype this year (at least how it seems to me). Pretty remarkable considering they had probably the biggest offseason in team history.
And I'll say this, I'm a lot more confident this is a 90+ win team entering the season than the 2015 and 2006 teams.
"Just a couple weeks before Spring Training games were set to ensue on Feb. 13, the Mets announced that right-handed pitcher Seth Lugo would undergo surgery on his elbow to remove loose bodies.
The plan was to shut Lugo, 31, down from throwing for six weeks, which put him out of contention for the Opening Day roster. That timeline would likely put Lugo out until mid-May when including rehab from the injury.
However, Lugo has been playing catch this past week according to Mets’ skipper Luis Rojas, and was two days ahead of schedule in throwing from 75 feet this weekend, so that return could possibly be a bit sooner."
Please don't do Wheeler :(
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looked incredible for the Mariners the other day. Really nice move for them. Harvey looked like a legit big leaguer (with lesser stuff obviously). Good for them both.
Please don't do Wheeler :(
You mean Morton comparing Wheeler to DeGrom after seeing his start lol.... Wheeler not being with the Mets is one move I can confidently say doesn't happen if Cohen owned the team.
The expect us to have the 4th best record.
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I really like the way the team is entering the season without a ton of overhype this year (at least how it seems to me). Pretty remarkable considering they had probably the biggest offseason in team history.
And I'll say this, I'm a lot more confident this is a 90+ win team entering the season than the 2015 and 2006 teams.
Agree on 2015. The 2014 team won 79 games, but 2006 I thought would win the World Series and IIRC they got a lot of love too in the media.
that 2006 off-season was really good too, added Delgado, Wags, Lo Duca, and more minor pieces to a veteran team. I go back and forth with which lineup is better. Reyes, Wright, Beltran, Delgado is an insane top 4, and add Lo Duca, Floyd, etc. and defensively and SB's they were really good too.
I like the 2021 Mets too but the division is so good and the Mets are not 100% healthy on the mound until two months into the season (at least).
So we'll see.
I'm hopeful, which is more than I can say for the past few years.
The expect us to have the 4th best record.
Link - ( New Window )
The RP thing is a little bit misleading because it's basically 3 guys - Diaz, May, Castro.
May is new so we'll see but it's interesting how bullish their projection is.
Castro who knows - great velocity but if they hit it the exit velocities are going to be higher.
Diaz may be the biggest wild card on the entire team. He's probably the single most important player we have. If you told me he has a great year (top 5 closer) I think I'd practically guarantee they win 90+ knowing nothing else.
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to have the best rotation in baseball and the best bullpen in baseball (even with factoring injuries).
The expect us to have the 4th best record.
Link - ( New Window )
The RP thing is a little bit misleading because it's basically 3 guys - Diaz, May, Castro.
May is new so we'll see but it's interesting how bullish their projection is.
Castro who knows - great velocity but if they hit it the exit velocities are going to be higher.
Diaz may be the biggest wild card on the entire team. He's probably the single most important player we have. If you told me he has a great year (top 5 closer) I think I'd practically guarantee they win 90+ knowing nothing else.
Not really misleading. Scroll through the other teams projections and it all begins to make sense. Most teams rarely have more than two quality relievers, and certainly not three. The Yankees might have been one of the few exceptions over recent years. Diaz and May are expected to be good which is more than most teams can say. They arent even factoring Lugo at all, which tells me there's upside for us outperform our projections actually.
Either way, interesting to look at.
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And I'll say this, I'm a lot more confident this is a 90+ win team entering the season than the 2015 and 2006 teams.
Agree on 2015. The 2014 team won 79 games, but 2006 I thought would win the World Series and IIRC they got a lot of love too in the media.
that 2006 off-season was really good too, added Delgado, Wags, Lo Duca, and more minor pieces to a veteran team. I go back and forth with which lineup is better. Reyes, Wright, Beltran, Delgado is an insane top 4, and add Lo Duca, Floyd, etc. and defensively and SB's they were really good too.
I like the 2021 Mets too but the division is so good and the Mets are not 100% healthy on the mound until two months into the season (at least).
So we'll see.
I'm hopeful, which is more than I can say for the past few years.
the 2006 team just had a lot of new faces to incorporate. I felt confident they'd be better but did not feel confident the pitching staff would hold up. They somehow got 15 wins out of Trachsel and Glavine at 40, and Maine kind of broke out from nowhere.
In the pen Sanchez/Heilman/Oliver/Feliciano/Bradford was really really good, and at 34 Wagner did his job very well. By fwar they had the 2nd best BP in baseball that year. And then without Sanchez, Bradford, and Oliver dropped to 15th in 2007.
BP performance is always the biggest swing variable that's hard to predict and if push came to shove the place where I wish they'd added 1 more player this offseason. But that's why they play the games.
Not really misleading. Scroll through the other teams projections and it all begins to make sense. Most teams rarely have more than two quality relievers, and certainly not three.
That's my point - all of the BP projections are misleading not just the Mets. Perhaps "highly leveraged" is a better way to put it. But 1 player per team having a very good year or a very bad year would completely change their projections, and we know that happens all the time with relievers. The only predictable outcome with relievers is that they are unpredictable.
We'll find out shortly.
sitting a guy who had .900 OPS vs lefties would not be smart. Factor in Moore has a higher OPS given up vs lefites then righties...it would be downright insane.
Pillar is a bench piece and was paid like a bench piece...not a full platoon guy.
Basically the Mets have to stay afloat until those two come back. I mean, it's 40% of the rotation.
I agree Diaz is probably the most important player on the team in regards to their 2021 chances, but Stroman and Walker not far behind. Those two cannot be net negatives or even net neutral or it's basically a one man rotation.
Peterson and Lucchesi (or whoever #5 winds up being) can be net negative or net neutral without much impact.
The one benefit with the missed Eats series, is that we now dont need a 5th SP until April 15th.
Considering the good news with Cookie, we may only have to see Luchessi/opener a few times through.
Fingers crossed.
Lucchesi is listed as an available RP for tonight's game
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return around May 1 now, or shortly thereafter.
The one benefit with the missed Eats series, is that we now dont need a 5th SP until April 15th.
Considering the good news with Cookie, we may only have to see Luchessi/opener a few times through.
Fingers crossed.
Lucchesi is listed as an available RP for tonight's game
Nice. Looks like they are correctly looking ahead. :)
Basically the Mets have to stay afloat until those two come back. I mean, it's 40% of the rotation.
I agree Diaz is probably the most important player on the team in regards to their 2021 chances, but Stroman and Walker not far behind. Those two cannot be net negatives or even net neutral or it's basically a one man rotation.
Peterson and Lucchesi (or whoever #5 winds up being) can be net negative or net neutral without much impact.
Both Walker and Stroman have been good pitchers at the MLB level (both career ERA+ around 110). Just because he was fresh in my mind, as a comparison Steve Trachsel's career ERA+ was 99 (though he was better as a NYM).
I'm less worried about them doing what they've done over their careers than I am a BP featuring multiple players who have literally ranged being among the best at their position and worst at their position in just the last few seasons. To advance in the playoffs they will need at least 1 of the SP healthy and in form but they can survive the regular season with a good lineup. Hard to survive bad bull pens.
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Not really misleading. Scroll through the other teams projections and it all begins to make sense. Most teams rarely have more than two quality relievers, and certainly not three.
That's my point - all of the BP projections are misleading not just the Mets. Perhaps "highly leveraged" is a better way to put it. But 1 player per team having a very good year or a very bad year would completely change their projections, and we know that happens all the time with relievers. The only predictable outcome with relievers is that they are unpredictable.
Sure. It's certainly not supposed to be viewed as a crystal ball. Everybody knows players will outperform or underperform projections in any given season. But when looking at your roster VS others on opening day, its certainly interesting/fun to see where you stack up and even nicer to see some sort of formula that isn't "fans opinions". Diaz and May have been mostly good over the last 5 years, were both good last year, and they both still have good stuff..... not really crazy coming up with a baseline projection on them based in some sort of realistic reality.
We have nice depth this year and that's not even accounting for the boost in run support we should finally get with this lineup.
Walker and Peterson should be on innings limits this year so its probably a blessing Carrasco and Thor are starting later IMO.
Lee opinions are all over the map (which quite frankly is likely why the Mets were able to get him for so "cheap"). He didn't look good in ST (at the plate OR in the field) but he might have just been overwhelmed/pressing. I think he's more likely a 4th OF than some major add BUT he does have starting MLB CF upside, so he should be fun to monitor this season. Unrelated but really hoping to hit up a few Cyclones games this season but they haven't been very clear as to when single-game tickets will be available.
I'd bet the over on 5/10 correct team projections for starting pitching and expect that 1 or 2 of the incorrect projections fall out just bc of injuries.
For their BP projections I'd bet the under on 5/10 teams being right.
So it has less to do with the Mets than just the difficulty projecting bullpens. Yes I'd rather be #1 than not be #1, but materially it's like being a 6 seed in the NCAA tournament vs. a 7 seed or an 8 seed. Practically speaking the odds of succeeding aren't materially different.
Also I think last year's NYM were projected top 5 and they ended up 15th.
I'd bet the over on 5/10 correct team projections for starting pitching and expect that 1 or 2 of the incorrect projections fall out just bc of injuries.
For their BP projections I'd bet the under on 5/10 teams being right.
So it has less to do with the Mets than just the difficulty projecting bullpens. Yes I'd rather be #1 than not be #1, but materially it's like being a 6 seed in the NCAA tournament vs. a 7 seed or an 8 seed. Practically speaking the odds of succeeding aren't materially different.
Also I think last year's NYM were projected top 5 and they ended up 15th.
All this is still fine. Again though, you have to root your projections in some sort of reality. I cant think of any other sort of solution can you? I think its more interesting to simply look at every teams pens as a quick reference. I feel like Mets fans often assume every other pen in baseball has 8 quality arms.... the reality is 80% of most teams pens are complete trash. The FG projection is also up to date to the second. So the second a team suffers an injury or games occur and players underperform, it re-updates itself. It's a fun and useful tool. But no, you should not expect it to peg where every team will finish at the end of the year 6 months in advance. Not at all.
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Anthony DiComo
@AnthonyDiComo
Mets Game 1 of 162, @ PHI
Monday, April 5, 7:05 p.m.
LHP Matt Moore (0-0, 0.00)
Pillar CF
Lindor SS
Conforto RF
Alonso 1B
J.D. Davis 3B
McNeil 2B
McCann C
Nimmo LF
deGrom RHP (0-0, 0.00
We'll find out shortly.
You were correct.
Would have liked to have seen the real lineup tonight but at least Pillar had a hot spring...
Hate that Nimmo isn't leading off either. Ugh.
Nimmo is the leadoff hitter (keep him there)
Dom needs to be in there everday
not that difficult.
Nimmo is the leadoff hitter (keep him there)
Dom needs to be in there everday
not that difficult.
Spot on. Ridiculous lineup.
@MBrownstein89
·
3m
FWIW: Among 45 left-handed hitters who faced lefty pitching in a min. 50 PAs in 2020, Dominic Smith recorded the 7th-highest wRC+ at 146.
@Metsmerized
#Mets #LGM
Agreed with all of this, but you know Pillar is going to end up having a big game today now.
if we score enough runs DeGrom will get the W...its that simple.
Anthony DiComo
@AnthonyDiComo
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12s
Luis Rojas on the decision to play Kevin Pillar over Dominic Smith:
"We're going more with the matchup. A guy like Pillar, the way he's been swinging the bat against lefties ... this is how this team has been built from the offseason and into Spring Training."
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decision. Trying to be too cutesy. Dom is your regular LF .900 vs. lefties in 2020, .876 in 2019. This is being too cutesy. If it's about splits then Nimmo should sit today (not that I would have sat either one of them). Pillar career 1-11 vs. Moore (who others have noted has reverse splits).
Agreed with all of this, but you know Pillar is going to end up having a big game today now.
I'm obviously rooting for 5-5 with 4 homers and to be mocked for not liking it.
I just don't get it...some are saying maybe he was behind defensively in spring training with that injury...but there hasn't been anything recently on that right? Just seems like an overreaction to lefty vs righty sh*t. When Moore actually has reverse splits and Pillar is a meh hitter to begin with. I don't mind spelling our main guys every once in a while but let the main guys play and don't jerk around the lineup...just over managing.
Sandy claims he's going to be hands-off with the manager. How true hat is? Who knows.
He specifically said it's about Pillar against a lefty starter.
Pillar isn't a good CF actually anymore (if he was going defense you might as well start Almora).
And I'm sure is just saying get me runs and I will figure out the rest.
I wish him the best, but he was never going to succeed here. Wheeler on the other hand, f'n cheapskate Wilpon is clearly to blame for that one.
@TimBritton
The plan is to get Pillar as many ABs as possible against Moore, then probably shift to Smith once a righty reliever comes into the game.
Also, why the hell is Nimmo batting 8th and Pillar 1st?
Pillar can wind up with a monster game and shut people up, but it doesn't change that the analytics strongly suggested against this.
With the expanded analytics dept the Mets have you have to wonder if it includes lineup construction too.
Pillar can wind up with a monster game and shut people up, but it doesn't change that the analytics strongly suggested against this.
With the expanded analytics dept the Mets have you have to wonder if it includes lineup construction too.
It doesn't even sound like Rojas is making the claim he has some inside numbers that are pushing this decision. Said he wanted Pillar in there vs. a lefty given his ab's this spring against lefties and that they plan on putting in Dom if a righty comes into the game.
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extend to putting out a lineup or did that end for the Mets with Davey Johnson?
Pillar can wind up with a monster game and shut people up, but it doesn't change that the analytics strongly suggested against this.
With the expanded analytics dept the Mets have you have to wonder if it includes lineup construction too.
It doesn't even sound like Rojas is making the claim he has some inside numbers that are pushing this decision. Said he wanted Pillar in there vs. a lefty given his ab's this spring against lefties and that they plan on putting in Dom if a righty comes into the game.
Right, and his claim is against the analytics, so as fans we have to assume he's not considering what the stats suggest the best lineup should be and therefore analytics do not extend to the lineup. I am using stats and analytics interchangeably like a lot of people do.
At least in this case he's not considering the data.
Truth is, if we are fully healthy, Rojas will look for excuses to get guys in the lineup. I think that’s all this is. With a stretch of righties coming up, it’s probably a week before Pillar can get in a game again.
It’s a long season.
Hopefully next time Pillar gets a start it’s for Nimmo or Conforto and he doesn’t become Dom’s caddy.
Heck, even Harvey looked decent the other night too and I was happy to see it.
Wheeler, Harvey, Flexen and now Matz all pitching well in their season debuts.
I'm not a fantasy baseball guy, but I got roped into it and needed a guy late and thought Matz has good stuff. Sometimes. and maybe I can be the beneficiary.
He had decent starts with the Mets until the bottom would fall out and he'd have awful innings that negated his good starts.
Robert Murray
@ByRobertMurray
·
6m
Source: Free-agent pitcher Mike Montgomery in agreement with the New York Yankees, pending physical.
K's the side in the 6th. I bear no ill will to him or almost any other ex-Met.
I do bear ill will toward the ex GM though.
Either way if they kept Matz they probably wouldn't have signed Walker, so if he pitches well they got him plus the 3 arms in the system.
also agree with everyone above, benching Dom is stupid. Wouldn't it have been good to have Pillar on the bench if Alvardo comes in late in the game and the pitchers spot is due up?
Citi
After two bad strike calls on Lindor.
Mets looking like they haven’t played in a week
Honestly...forgot what having an elite fielding SS felt like..dude made that look very easy...
Maybe if he didn’t spend the off-season prostituting underage females he would be better
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bad.
Maybe if he didn’t spend the off-season prostituting underage females he would be better
Is this real?
Quote:
In comment 15210518 ZGiants98 said:
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bad.
Maybe if he didn’t spend the off-season prostituting underage females he would be better
Is this real?
Yes - ( New Window )
Quote:
In comment 15210521 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
In comment 15210518 ZGiants98 said:
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bad.
Maybe if he didn’t spend the off-season prostituting underage females he would be better
Is this real?
Yes - ( New Window )
Jesus and has a job still crazy.
Rojas looking like a dum dum so far
Pitches 3 and 4 were clearly strikes not balls. Maybe the ump feels bad for the Phil’s for giving Harper such a ridiculous contract
hot gun?
and that pitch to Davis was not a strike.
hot gun?
and that pitch to Davis was not a strike.
No more hot guns. Its all statcast motion capture now. Pretty sure he hit 102 a few times actually.
hot gun?
and that pitch to Davis was not a strike.
The home plate has been terrible. He's really stretched the zone on both sides.
I don't know how they're measuring speed, but I think at some point they'll do some studies on deGrom to figure out how a guy at 32 years old is getting better and increasing velocity (and effectiveness) not leveling out or slowly declining.
I don't know if there is another example of a career like his.
I don't know how they're measuring speed, but I think at some point they'll do some studies on deGrom to figure out how a guy at 32 years old is getting better and increasing velocity (and effectiveness) not leveling out or slowly declining.
I don't know if there is another example of a career like his.
He, himself has spoken about it many times. He took a massive jump from about 95/96 to around 100 a few years ago by adding in a second throw day in between starts. He says its the biggest reason for his velocity bump. Wheeler, while still a Met, copied degrom'nsm program and also got a big jump post Tommy John when he was able to reach 99/100 again as well.
Utterly predictable and completely ridiculous.
Besides Segura the Phillies smoked the ball off him.
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Castro looked pretty dang good there, and was lights out all spring.
Besides Segura the Phillies smoked the ball off him.
The Segura AB was huge and he should have had two outs off that weak hit. Was spotting a 101 mph fastball on the corners and got a really nice looking slider over the plate as well.
that one was not. tying run to the plate.
Exactly what Mets didn’t need.
Sandy can’t put together s bullpen
In Rojas defense, Castro pitched the 7th and gave up no runs
same shit different year.
Guillerme. The defensive specialist. Lol
they need less guys playing unnatural positions
they need less over managing (play the best players)
I'm less annoyed with pulling JDG early than not having Dom Smith in the game with the bases loaded to break the game open. And not having Marwin or someone who has actually played 3b available to come in and play 3rd late in a game.
first I believe his manager sabotaged him (until we hear differently) taking him out an inning too early.
second, a glove first infielder brought in for defense makes a wide throw to the plate on an easy force out (pitcher did his job) the newly added free agent catcher drops the wide throw that still hit his glove. two runs scored on that play and put another runner in scoring position that allowed a SF because their was just one out.
@Jomboy_
·
10m
31st time in deGroms career that the bullpen blew a win for him. man.
lol, not funny, but what else can you do?
I wonder if that's a stat to see how other pitchers fare in this "contest", I heard it on the broadcast.
But it’s not just about this game. It’s about a pen
That has five RH relievers who have great movement but cannot consistently locate their pitches.
Lugo is the only reliable reliever who can actually locate. Until he comes back, no
Lead is safe with this Collection of clowns. It’s like we have five Benitez’s
Pete just missed that... damn!
Oh well. Get em tomorrow.
Could use less fight, more basic plays, like completing a simple throw from 3rd to home.
play the best players. the BP isn't good enough (at this point) to be cute. and the defense will likely never be good enough.
I think he felt on a limb with the Pillar decision so he didn't want to bail on it and bail on him. But that's why the decision to give him the team's first at bat of the season was stupid in the first place. He's at best what, the 9th or 10th best hitter on the team?
never go more than a couple of days after a bad loss.
@JustinCToscano
“I’m satisfied,” Luis Rojas said of the decisions made tonight.
In other words: He felt the processes were solid. The results just didn’t come.
If you state that you started him due to a lefty pitcher, and he's removed, then you have every reason to pinch hit.
first I believe his manager sabotaged him (until we hear differently) taking him out an inning too early.
second, a glove first infielder brought in for defense makes a wide throw to the plate on an easy force out (pitcher did his job) the newly added free agent catcher drops the wide throw that still hit his glove. two runs scored on that play and put another runner in scoring position that allowed a SF because their was just one out.
There ya go. Easy throw to home there that wasn't executed well by Guillorme or McCann.
Just made a 2-part bet with my Phillies fan buddy.
Part 1: $100 Mets finish with better record than Phils.
Part 2: Mets win division, for another $100.
Obviously, I hate money.
If Mets don't finish better than Phils, it's worst case scenario.
If Pete just keeps the inning going, Dom is up with a chance to win the game. That's what you want.