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Draft Prediction: Giants won't touch anyone who opted out

water_boy : 4/6/2021 11:59 am
From what DG and Judge say about wanting players who love to play the game, I can't see them touching anyone who opted out last year. Perhaps the PAC12 players get a break since they canceled and then un-canceled their season, and that's a bit more complicated to navigate with a training regimen, but I just don't see it.

That would eliminate:

OT Sewell
WR Chase
LB Parsons
CB Farley
OT Slater
ER Rousseau

What say you, BBI? Do you expect these players to fall as a result of their opt-outs? Will the Giants avoid these players? How about other teams?

The NFL players who opted out last year weren't superstars for the most part, but I haven't seen any of them getting much love this offseason... Will the college kids get similar treatment?
List of top prospects who opted out - ( New Window )
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Opting out  
AcesUp : 4/6/2021 1:13 pm : link
Couldn't you make the case that guys that opted out are "coachable"? Maybe they loved the game and still sat out because they were willing to listen elder family members and professional representation?
RE: Opting out  
Ten Ton Hammer : 4/6/2021 1:18 pm : link
In comment 15211295 AcesUp said:
Quote:
Couldn't you make the case that guys that opted out are "coachable"? Maybe they loved the game and still sat out because they were willing to listen elder family members and professional representation?


Of course.

Why anyone would take the position that opting out of football during a national and global health crisis is some kind of character issue is beyond me. The issue is the interpretation that that player doesn't want to work.
More likely they downgrade guys - not drop them. The difference only  
Ivan15 : 4/6/2021 1:19 pm : link
Matters if the Giants trade down in the first round.

In the past, they have downgraded injured players about 1 round. I don’t expect Opt-Out players will be dropped that far.
RE: That's why they cut Solder  
MojoEd : 4/6/2021 1:26 pm : link
In comment 15211260 WillieYoung said:
Quote:
Oh wait they didn't. If you opted out because you have a family member with a compromised immune system or because your 80 year old grandfather lives with your family, your draft status won't be affected. Equating opting out of playing a game during a pandemic with not loving football is beyond stupid.

You might be right, but Solder hasn’t made the team yet. Until he does, I have to wonder whether his new contract is really negotiated settlement that will lower the cap hit of cutting him. Who knows.
Solder is guaranteed $3M  
PwndPapi : 4/6/2021 1:30 pm : link
And is the only swing T option on the roster. He isn't going to get cut in camp. Come on.
I completely disagree that they’d broadly dismiss all of them.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 4/6/2021 1:32 pm : link
I seriously doubt that Sewell, Chase, and Slayton will be hurt in any way by their decision to opt out. That is as long as they’ve used this time off to improve themselves. I could see it being another check against guys who already have other issues like Parsons.
as a policy decision  
bigbluehoya : 4/6/2021 1:36 pm : link
it doesn't make any sense.

So we want:

high character
smart / good decision makers
coachable / heady players

but also people who are willing to potentially conribute to the death of high-risk loved ones in the name of playing a game that they aren't being paid for.

At a minimum I can promise you that they will evaluate each player on his own merits/circumstances and etc.
You have to be a meathead to think someone opting out for  
BestFeature : 4/6/2021 1:42 pm : link
Covid is "not loving the game". Considering Judge isn't an idiot I don't think he'll hold it against anyone.
RE: RE: RE: The  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:49 pm : link
In comment 15211281 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 15211276 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 15211237 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


Giants aren't passing on Sewell (he likely won't be there) because he opted out c'mon.


Not sure what TMZ's take on it was to tell you that, but we genuinely don't know that.

If someone told you a few years ago that the Giants would have a chance to draft Laremy Tunsil and would pass on it, would you have issued such a dismissive response?

All we know is that there is some asshat chatter that the Giants are downgrading opt-outs. How meaningfully, we don't know. If it's true at all, we don't know. Such is the nature of asshat/beat info.



Bizarre personal swipe aside (when do I post things from TMZ?) Tunsil smoked weed on video, how are you equating the two? Really odd take.

Sorry for the personal swipe, although it wasn't really personal unless you are TMZ.

But the point is that we've heard already that the Giants are downgrading opt-outs. We haven't heard any details about how much, if at all, they're focusing on individual cases, vs. simply implementing a broad opt-out downgrade. I hope it's not the latter, but we simply don't know.

To immediately react to the possibility of passing on any player - in this case, Sewell - who opted out, without acknowledging what we've heard of the Giants current position on this tells me that you either know something that we don't, or you don't know something that we all do.

Which is it?
RE: You have to be a meathead to think someone opting out for  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:52 pm : link
In comment 15211347 BestFeature said:
Quote:
Covid is "not loving the game". Considering Judge isn't an idiot I don't think he'll hold it against anyone.

Let's hope.

The asshats have already leaked that the Giants are concerned about opt-out prospects. Maybe that's just a pre-emptive explanation for having Phillips above Rousseau or something else as specific as that (Smith/Waddle above Chase?), but our current information does include the Giants downgrading opt-out prospects.
I seriously  
pjcas18 : 4/6/2021 1:53 pm : link
doubt any pro sports team has a rigid policy about a nuanced decision a young man may have made for a variety of reasons.

your logic is turrible and you should feel turrible.


Sewell is still 20  
ryanmkeane : 4/6/2021 1:53 pm : link
and Chase just turned 21 in March. There is absolutely zero chance the Giants would pass on either of these guys, they have dominated good college competition at such a young age and have incredibly high ceilings
RE: as a policy decision  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:54 pm : link
In comment 15211339 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
it doesn't make any sense.

So we want:

high character
smart / good decision makers
coachable / heady players

but also people who are willing to potentially conribute to the death of high-risk loved ones in the name of playing a game that they aren't being paid for.

At a minimum I can promise you that they will evaluate each player on his own merits/circumstances and etc.

You genuinely cannot promise that. It's entirely possible that they're viewing "opt-out" as a prospect category.
Sewell  
DanMetroMan : 4/6/2021 1:54 pm : link
is considered a truly special talent. He has no "real" red flags. He's taken a few dings for being overly reliant on his talent vs. technique but as a prospect/person he has none. So no, I don't believe that the Giants would pass on him because he opted out. I think this is a case-by-case basis. They interview these guys for a reason. Passing on a guy like this because he sat out a bizarre season would be really ridiculous. If you feel otherwise I don't know what else to say.
Many NFL coaches and GM's  
Lines of Scrimmage : 4/6/2021 1:54 pm : link
refer to the game as a business. The amount of money these players who are good enough is astronomical.

I used to follow South Carolina when Spurrier was the HC. They had this great running back Marcus Lattimore who had a catastrophic knee injury. He did get drafted but could never get back from the injury.

My guess is a lot of these players opting out did so to avoid injury and the loss of big payday. They probably were advised that their draft position would not be altered. It does not mean that they do not love the game imo.
RE: I seriously  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:56 pm : link
In comment 15211374 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
doubt any pro sports team has a rigid policy about a nuanced decision a young man may have made for a variety of reasons.

your logic is turrible and you should feel turrible.


It's not my POV. It's my reaction to the asshat intel that the Giants are downgrading opt-out players.
RE: Many NFL coaches and GM's  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 4/6/2021 1:56 pm : link
In comment 15211378 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
refer to the game as a business. The amount of money these players who are good enough is astronomical.

I used to follow South Carolina when Spurrier was the HC. They had this great running back Marcus Lattimore who had a catastrophic knee injury. He did get drafted but could never get back from the injury.

My guess is a lot of these players opting out did so to avoid injury and the loss of big payday. They probably were advised that their draft position would not be altered. It does not mean that they do not love the game imo.


I was at that game where Lattimore got injured. Never heard a stadium get so quiet so fast.
RE: I seriously  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:57 pm : link
In comment 15211374 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
doubt any pro sports team has a rigid policy about a nuanced decision a young man may have made for a variety of reasons.

your logic is turrible and you should feel turrible.


But you can probably apply this meme to every single one of your own posts in the MLB ASG thread.
RE: Sewell  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 2:00 pm : link
In comment 15211377 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
is considered a truly special talent. He has no "real" red flags. He's taken a few dings for being overly reliant on his talent vs. technique but as a prospect/person he has none. So no, I don't believe that the Giants would pass on him because he opted out. I think this is a case-by-case basis. They interview these guys for a reason. Passing on a guy like this because he sat out a bizarre season would be really ridiculous. If you feel otherwise I don't know what else to say.

Maybe if I post it on Twitter you'll understand me more clearly: I do not think they should rule any of these guys out. Some insiders have implied that the Giants are downgrading opt-out prospects, presumably under the guise of a desire to play. I am merely questioning the validity of that intel, and what the downstream implications are.
SGGF  
Lines of Scrimmage : 4/6/2021 2:01 pm : link
Yeah it was horrible. He was a really well liked player and a born and raised South Carolinian. Those were the glory years of the program.
there's other reasons  
ryanmkeane : 4/6/2021 2:03 pm : link
that players opted out and i don't blame them. Rousseau's mother is a front line nurse - that was one of the reasons he opted out
they will "hold it against" players that they would have wanted to  
KDavies : 4/6/2021 2:09 pm : link
see more on, such as Rousseau IMO. They won't "hold it against" a Sewell or a Chase.
RE: If the Giants avoid them for  
joeinpa : 4/6/2021 2:09 pm : link
In comment 15211217 ThreePoints said:
Quote:
That's a really awful look for the Giants and I'd be very disappointed in Judge and the owners. That'd be downright embarrassing and should be a stain on the organization.

"Listen kid, we know your mom has COPD and your dad has diabetes, and you didn't want to exposure them to a deadly disease...but it's a shame you don't love the game of football like I do."


I doubt very much in those circumstances it would be a factor.

Given no extenuating circumstance, it will be a factor,
RE: there's other reasons  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 2:10 pm : link
In comment 15211393 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
that players opted out and i don't blame them. Rousseau's mother is a front line nurse - that was one of the reasons he opted out

In case this wasn't clear - I am not advocating for the Giants to eliminate players who opted out. I am merely repeating what some asshat(s) claimed regarding opt-out prospects.

I don't need to have their individual reasons explained to me; I'm not in favor of downgrading even a single one of them.
RE: Solder is guaranteed $3M  
MojoEd : 4/6/2021 2:12 pm : link
In comment 15211317 PwndPapi said:
Quote:
And is the only swing T option on the roster. He isn't going to get cut in camp. Come on.

That is the most likely scenario, but the restructure put the cap hit for 2021 of keeping him equal to the hit of cutting him. Seems more like a team option rather than a commitment.
Got to be case by case basis  
JonC : 4/6/2021 2:19 pm : link
Not everyone opted out because they wanted a year off.
RE: RE: Solder is guaranteed $3M  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 2:21 pm : link
In comment 15211411 MojoEd said:
Quote:
In comment 15211317 PwndPapi said:


Quote:


And is the only swing T option on the roster. He isn't going to get cut in camp. Come on.


That is the most likely scenario, but the restructure put the cap hit for 2021 of keeping him equal to the hit of cutting him. Seems more like a team option rather than a commitment.

Yeah, that's factually accurate, but it's important to note that the cap hit for cutting him before the restructure could have been lower. The Giants brought his "keep" number down to match his "cut" number, and fully guaranteed what was left of his salary for this year, which makes it much more likely that he'll be kept.
to the extent that the chatter is true  
japanhead : 4/6/2021 2:27 pm : link
it probably has more to do with potentially not having enough film to properly evaluate a player, rather than conflating opting out with lack of heart or interest in the game.

although it would appear their experience with sam beal might've left a bad taste in their mouth re: opting out and its relation to player work ethic.
re: Beal  
JonC : 4/6/2021 2:29 pm : link
the questions regarding his desire to play NFL football were out there before the opt out, fwiw. Given that, I'd agree his opt out only hurts him more.
GD  
ryanmkeane : 4/6/2021 2:30 pm : link
what? i wasn't responding to you or referencing anything you posted. i was just stating that someone like Rousseau - that might be a different convo than another player, etc

Relax dude.
RE: GD  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 2:33 pm : link
In comment 15211438 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
what? i wasn't responding to you or referencing anything you posted. i was just stating that someone like Rousseau - that might be a different convo than another player, etc

Relax dude.

Sorry, I read it as a response to me wondering whether the Giants were preemptively using the opt-out explanation to lay the groundwork for preferring Phillips over Rousseau.
---  
Peppers : 4/6/2021 2:39 pm : link
I've heard it from multiple people now.. There are some teams knocking players who opted out. And yes, as crazy as it sounds, it's because they question how much those players love the game.
Dunk  
Jimmy Googs : 4/6/2021 2:43 pm : link
Which asshat posters suggested Giants may be shying away from opt out prospects?

GD  
ryanmkeane : 4/6/2021 2:48 pm : link
i think from what we've heard, NYG prefer Phillips over Rousseau without even considering the opt out, i think they view Phillips as the better player and prospect
Do college players even see their families during a normal season?  
water_boy : 4/6/2021 3:02 pm : link
I think I've heard them complain about this before actually, how they sacrifice so much for what is essentially an unpaid job.

I don't think you can knock anyone's decision to opt-out - your body/life and your choice - but that doesn't mean that NFL teams won't do it.
RE: Do college players even see their families during a normal season?  
Lines of Scrimmage : 4/6/2021 3:09 pm : link
In comment 15211497 water_boy said:
Quote:
I think I've heard them complain about this before actually, how they sacrifice so much for what is essentially an unpaid job.

I don't think you can knock anyone's decision to opt-out - your body/life and your choice - but that doesn't mean that NFL teams won't do it.


Yes many do. It is a huge part of the families life when their kid is playing college sports. Lots of lifelong relationships are established amongst the parents.
RE: RE: Sewell  
DanMetroMan : 4/6/2021 3:31 pm : link
In comment 15211389 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 15211377 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


is considered a truly special talent. He has no "real" red flags. He's taken a few dings for being overly reliant on his talent vs. technique but as a prospect/person he has none. So no, I don't believe that the Giants would pass on him because he opted out. I think this is a case-by-case basis. They interview these guys for a reason. Passing on a guy like this because he sat out a bizarre season would be really ridiculous. If you feel otherwise I don't know what else to say.


Maybe if I post it on Twitter you'll understand me more clearly: I do not think they should rule any of these guys out. Some insiders have implied that the Giants are downgrading opt-out prospects, presumably under the guise of a desire to play. I am merely questioning the validity of that intel, and what the downstream implications are.


Your odd attitude with me is borderline creepy. I don't recall any conversations with you. I don't know what you post/don't post. Thanks for being a fan of mine though.
RE: RE: I seriously  
pjcas18 : 4/6/2021 3:33 pm : link
In comment 15211382 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 15211374 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


doubt any pro sports team has a rigid policy about a nuanced decision a young man may have made for a variety of reasons.

your logic is turrible and you should feel turrible.




But you can probably apply this meme to every single one of your own posts in the MLB ASG thread.


Having a bad day again, because you miss your dad?

Prayers to you and your family that you find peace.

I mean that.
RE: RE: RE: I seriously  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 4:14 pm : link
In comment 15211563 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 15211382 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 15211374 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


doubt any pro sports team has a rigid policy about a nuanced decision a young man may have made for a variety of reasons.

your logic is turrible and you should feel turrible.




But you can probably apply this meme to every single one of your own posts in the MLB ASG thread.



Having a bad day again, because you miss your dad?

Prayers to you and your family that you find peace.

I mean that.

I appreciate your sentiment, but my response is more about your post and meme that MY logic is terrible when it's not my logic. I am merely referencing the Giants' purported preference for players who did not opt out this past season.

I personally don't have any issue with players who opted out, and I agree that it should be a nuanced topic that is individualized to each prospect who opted out this past season. I simply have a curiosity about the extent to which the Giants do have a resistance to any opt-out prospects (as we've heard they might), because I'm curious about what the Giants will do in the draft.

But my logic is turrible, and I should feel turrible. Got it. Can I pray for your family to, or is that as insulting for you as it is for me?
Too  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 4:15 pm : link
*
These guys don't live at home.  
mittenedman : 4/6/2021 4:21 pm : link
They live on campus. Why would it matter if they had at risk family members? They just can't see their family in person during the season. It's only a few months.
RE: Players  
Judge_and_Jury : 4/6/2021 4:23 pm : link
In comment 15211275 Straw Hat said:
Quote:
That had a valid excuse for opting out will probably still be considered, like a sick family member, etc. but i agree we arent touching anyone who just used the opt out as a chance to make a business decision, in the top 3 rounds.


This.

It will be looked into as to WHY they opted out.
RE: Too  
pjcas18 : 4/6/2021 4:29 pm : link
In comment 15211633 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
*


my post was to the OP. WTF are you even whining about?

maybe you should take a break, just get your life in order and just get better perspective on the important things.
RE: RE: Too  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 4:33 pm : link
In comment 15211653 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 15211633 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


*



my post was to the OP. WTF are you even whining about?

maybe you should take a break, just get your life in order and just get better perspective on the important things.

Your post was right behind mine and your copy read like it was in direct response to my post. I apologize for taking it that way, but I hope you can see why it would come across as I interpreted it. Either way, my apologies for the way I reacted.

That said, please don't suggest what I should do.
RE: RE: RE: Too  
pjcas18 : 4/6/2021 6:11 pm : link
In comment 15211658 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 15211653 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


In comment 15211633 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


*



my post was to the OP. WTF are you even whining about?

maybe you should take a break, just get your life in order and just get better perspective on the important things.


Your post was right behind mine and your copy read like it was in direct response to my post. I apologize for taking it that way, but I hope you can see why it would come across as I interpreted it. Either way, my apologies for the way I reacted.

That said, please don't suggest what I should do.


I can see why you may think that based on some people's posting style, but I will usually reply to a post if I am replying to a specific post, and just post a comment if it is to the OP.
I think it could be a minor factor but probably depends on reason  
Vanzetti : 4/6/2021 6:15 pm : link
If someone opted out because they have a diabetic mom and were worried about giving her the disease, I don’t think that will count against a player

I also don’t thinking opting out in of itself would be a problem but f it came with other character concerns, then yes. For example some like Beal

Im just going to make a minor  
chopperhatch : 4/6/2021 6:56 pm : link
Alteration to this now faorly involved argument about the Giants using opt outs as an eliminating factor for the draft. I think it was 1st and 10 who made that post. What he actually reported Im pretty sure was that they apparently had ALREADY TAKEN ONE PLAYER WHO OPTED OUT OFF THEIR BOARD. That could mean that they took Parsons off because of character concerns or Farley because of injury or Rousseau because of lack of tape.

I dont remember there being anything in that post stating that players who opted out were being filtered out of their process. I think it is irresponsible and knee jerk to assume that to be the case with this FO. Unless I missed another post.
RE: Im just going to make a minor  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 7:46 pm : link
In comment 15211855 chopperhatch said:
Quote:
Alteration to this now faorly involved argument about the Giants using opt outs as an eliminating factor for the draft. I think it was 1st and 10 who made that post. What he actually reported Im pretty sure was that they apparently had ALREADY TAKEN ONE PLAYER WHO OPTED OUT OFF THEIR BOARD. That could mean that they took Parsons off because of character concerns or Farley because of injury or Rousseau because of lack of tape.

I dont remember there being anything in that post stating that players who opted out were being filtered out of their process. I think it is irresponsible and knee jerk to assume that to be the case with this FO. Unless I missed another post.

It's very possible that that's the post I may have seen and misinterpreted that (or some of the responses to that post). If so, I'm definitely guilty of much ado about nothing. I appreciate the clarification.
RE: RE: Im just going to make a minor  
chopperhatch : 4/6/2021 8:05 pm : link
In comment 15211925 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 15211855 chopperhatch said:


Quote:


Alteration to this now faorly involved argument about the Giants using opt outs as an eliminating factor for the draft. I think it was 1st and 10 who made that post. What he actually reported Im pretty sure was that they apparently had ALREADY TAKEN ONE PLAYER WHO OPTED OUT OFF THEIR BOARD. That could mean that they took Parsons off because of character concerns or Farley because of injury or Rousseau because of lack of tape.

I dont remember there being anything in that post stating that players who opted out were being filtered out of their process. I think it is irresponsible and knee jerk to assume that to be the case with this FO. Unless I missed another post.


It's very possible that that's the post I may have seen and misinterpreted that (or some of the responses to that post). If so, I'm definitely guilty of much ado about nothing. I appreciate the clarification.


Yea dude. He was only trying to give a nugget...saying that the org has already eliminated one player who opted out last year from being picked at 11, that is really only a handful of players that would be in play and 3 players in the discussion have concerns. So thats how I took it. Again,this all with the caveat that there very well could have been another post that I didnt s ee that changed the whole point of the post.
They should be downgraded  
WillVAB : 4/6/2021 10:17 pm : link
The focus shouldn’t be on desire although that should be considered and vetted out, but on the lost game experience and growth by taking the year off.

Players have a good Soph/Junior year and underperform Junior/Senior year all the time. There’s less tape and reps for the guys who opted out which means more questions and uncertainty.

There’s simply less information on these players and they’re going to be inherently more risky. Downgrading them is perfectly reasonable under the circumstances.
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