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Draft Prediction: Giants won't touch anyone who opted out

water_boy : 4/6/2021 11:59 am
From what DG and Judge say about wanting players who love to play the game, I can't see them touching anyone who opted out last year. Perhaps the PAC12 players get a break since they canceled and then un-canceled their season, and that's a bit more complicated to navigate with a training regimen, but I just don't see it.

That would eliminate:

OT Sewell
WR Chase
LB Parsons
CB Farley
OT Slater
ER Rousseau

What say you, BBI? Do you expect these players to fall as a result of their opt-outs? Will the Giants avoid these players? How about other teams?

The NFL players who opted out last year weren't superstars for the most part, but I haven't seen any of them getting much love this offseason... Will the college kids get similar treatment?
List of top prospects who opted out - ( New Window )
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Water  
LeonBright45 : 4/6/2021 12:00 pm : link
sucks
Love to play the game  
RAIN : 4/6/2021 12:02 pm : link
Is one thing.

Having someone in your family that is in a rock group is another. I’m sure it’s a case by case basis.
I think that raises a red flag for them  
Bergen346 : 4/6/2021 12:03 pm : link
But I think they will have done their homework to understand why said potential pick opted out. Everyone’s situation is different and I am sure they will get to the bottom of what motivated a players decision, especially if they have them high on their board.

So I think it certainly raises a red flag and I wouldn’t be surprised if they did pass on a player because they opted out if the rationale for that decision isn’t one they like.
Pass on Chase or Sewell?  
GFAN52 : 4/6/2021 12:04 pm : link
Doubt it.
I don’t think this is a big factor ...  
Spider56 : 4/6/2021 12:06 pm : link
You need to view it as of the time opt out decisions were made ... new rumors about the crud were swirling everyday and no one really knew what the schools / conferences were going to do and how the season would play out ... plus we have no visibility to personal or family situations.

What I find interesting is that the schools allowed all of these guys to come back and be part of their pro days. That tells me the programs did not hold any animosity.
If the Giants avoid them for "not loving the game"  
ThreePoints : 4/6/2021 12:08 pm : link
That's a really awful look for the Giants and I'd be very disappointed in Judge and the owners. That'd be downright embarrassing and should be a stain on the organization.

"Listen kid, we know your mom has COPD and your dad has diabetes, and you didn't want to exposure them to a deadly disease...but it's a shame you don't love the game of football like I do."
Agreed  
MojoEd : 4/6/2021 12:09 pm : link
But my guess is that it isn’t a DQ but might move them down the draft board. I can’t see them passing on the Oregon tackle, but he might be #11 on their board while the fans think steal.
Lol.  
RAIN : 4/6/2021 12:10 pm : link
Rock group = risk group
It may not matter if the players are gone already, like Chase/Sewell  
water_boy : 4/6/2021 12:11 pm : link
And you're probably right that it will be more of a red flag/one of many factors. I suppose I'm suggesting that other teams will be more likely to draft these guys than the Gmen

Nah...  
Chris in Philly : 4/6/2021 12:13 pm : link
.
There was a thread on this yesterday,  
Ten Ton Hammer : 4/6/2021 12:14 pm : link
but suffice it to day, people are too quick to think that "opting out" equates to "too lazy to play".
Medulla OB-LON-GA-TA!  
Optimus-NY : 4/6/2021 12:15 pm : link
RE: Lol.  
HMunster : 4/6/2021 12:16 pm : link
In comment 15211223 RAIN said:
Quote:
Rock group = risk group

Thanks. I was trying to figure out where you were going with your analogy. LOL
The  
DanMetroMan : 4/6/2021 12:20 pm : link
Giants aren't passing on Sewell (he likely won't be there) because he opted out c'mon.
Disagree  
DavidinBMNY : 4/6/2021 12:22 pm : link
I think it really is on a case by case basis.

Some of these players were already basically guarenteed they will be rd 1 picks. If the players have been diligently working on there craft and that is both visible and documented there is no reason not to take them.

I do think , if you are talking about lesser players who opted out, they will not touch them.

On this list, you could argue the players who had the most to prove were Sewell and Rousseau. Sewell is a man freak dancing bear, that people would run to the podium to draft. Dude is 330 lbs! Have you seen him move? I think Gettlemann would literally faint if Sewell is there at 12.

Roussaeu is really the one , if you question anyone, that I'd question.
I happen to not disagree with the sentiment expressed regarding  
glowrider : 4/6/2021 12:29 pm : link
A disinclination to take a player who opted out, but for different reasons: they’re further removed from their last game, they’ve lost a year of critical development, they’ve played less than their peers (in some cases barely a season), and there is a lack of tape for evaluation. Projection is even harder, so risk is amplified.

Those are good reasons to pass on players who opted out and that doesn’t have anything to do with love of the game. (Inevitably there is going to be a player here or there who opted out and took a vacation without any good reason that would be scratched from the board - that’s just life).
That's why they cut Solder  
WillieYoung : 4/6/2021 12:40 pm : link
Oh wait they didn't. If you opted out because you have a family member with a compromised immune system or because your 80 year old grandfather lives with your family, your draft status won't be affected. Equating opting out of playing a game during a pandemic with not loving football is beyond stupid.
Disagree  
jeff57 : 4/6/2021 12:49 pm : link
If they don’t take someone who opted out, it’ll be because they simply like another player better. Not because of the opt out.
RE: Water  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 12:51 pm : link
In comment 15211202 LeonBright45 said:
Quote:
sucks

You're not exactly lighting BBI on fire, dude. Maybe borrow Jim Rome's advice?
RE: Pass on Chase or Sewell?  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 12:52 pm : link
In comment 15211209 GFAN52 said:
Quote:
Doubt it.

Ironically, those are the two guys that I can even envision might have opted out to protect their draft status.
No  
Thegratefulhead : 4/6/2021 12:54 pm : link
I do not completely agree. I think players with only a year of college play may get downgraded but players that played tough competition with at least 2 years starting should be OK. If a guy only has one year of production AND took a year off, I could see that pushing them down a little.
Players  
Straw Hat : 4/6/2021 12:56 pm : link
That had a valid excuse for opting out will probably still be considered, like a sick family member, etc. but i agree we arent touching anyone who just used the opt out as a chance to make a business decision, in the top 3 rounds.
RE: The  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 12:56 pm : link
In comment 15211237 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Giants aren't passing on Sewell (he likely won't be there) because he opted out c'mon.

Not sure what TMZ's take on it was to tell you that, but we genuinely don't know that.

If someone told you a few years ago that the Giants would have a chance to draft Laremy Tunsil and would pass on it, would you have issued such a dismissive response?

All we know is that there is some asshat chatter that the Giants are downgrading opt-outs. How meaningfully, we don't know. If it's true at all, we don't know. Such is the nature of asshat/beat info.
Is a legitimate question. I suspect it will be a factor in setting up  
Ira : 4/6/2021 12:56 pm : link
the draft board.
RE: RE: The  
DanMetroMan : 4/6/2021 12:59 pm : link
In comment 15211276 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 15211237 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


Giants aren't passing on Sewell (he likely won't be there) because he opted out c'mon.


Not sure what TMZ's take on it was to tell you that, but we genuinely don't know that.

If someone told you a few years ago that the Giants would have a chance to draft Laremy Tunsil and would pass on it, would you have issued such a dismissive response?

All we know is that there is some asshat chatter that the Giants are downgrading opt-outs. How meaningfully, we don't know. If it's true at all, we don't know. Such is the nature of asshat/beat info.


Bizarre personal swipe aside (when do I post things from TMZ?) Tunsil smoked weed on video, how are you equating the two? Really odd take.
Funny  
DanMetroMan : 4/6/2021 1:01 pm : link
when dickheads you don't remember/know anything about reveal themselves to have some weird thing against you. I guess it's a compliment. Thanks.
I forget who it was (sorry about that)  
GiantNatty : 4/6/2021 1:03 pm : link
but either Mara or Gettleman said something in one of the press conferences that made me think you're right. It wasn't so much what he said about the 20 month layoff, it was how he said it that made me think he may have tipped his hand a bit.

After hearing it, I thought that players who opted out will have a significantly lower grade than they would have had had they played.
I am very hesitant to go so far as to say we won’t touch an opt out  
glowrider : 4/6/2021 1:09 pm : link
That seems too far. But I am comfortable saying those players who played last year will get some extra credit instead of opt outs receiving a demerit, particularly with 1-3.

It wouldn’t be fair to punish a player for making a personal health decision, but it wouldn’t be unfair to prefer a player who played more recently. If two players are equal on the board, and one played last year and the other opted out, I think they may show a preference in one direction vs the other.

But if the opt out player is a level above the other, you may think the risk is worth it. Chase or Sewell, as examples, would surely be NYG if they’re there at 11 and all clean otherwise.
Honestly, this is why they have player-team interviews  
Ten Ton Hammer : 4/6/2021 1:11 pm : link
.
Opting out  
AcesUp : 4/6/2021 1:13 pm : link
Couldn't you make the case that guys that opted out are "coachable"? Maybe they loved the game and still sat out because they were willing to listen elder family members and professional representation?
RE: Opting out  
Ten Ton Hammer : 4/6/2021 1:18 pm : link
In comment 15211295 AcesUp said:
Quote:
Couldn't you make the case that guys that opted out are "coachable"? Maybe they loved the game and still sat out because they were willing to listen elder family members and professional representation?


Of course.

Why anyone would take the position that opting out of football during a national and global health crisis is some kind of character issue is beyond me. The issue is the interpretation that that player doesn't want to work.
More likely they downgrade guys - not drop them. The difference only  
Ivan15 : 4/6/2021 1:19 pm : link
Matters if the Giants trade down in the first round.

In the past, they have downgraded injured players about 1 round. I don’t expect Opt-Out players will be dropped that far.
RE: That's why they cut Solder  
MojoEd : 4/6/2021 1:26 pm : link
In comment 15211260 WillieYoung said:
Quote:
Oh wait they didn't. If you opted out because you have a family member with a compromised immune system or because your 80 year old grandfather lives with your family, your draft status won't be affected. Equating opting out of playing a game during a pandemic with not loving football is beyond stupid.

You might be right, but Solder hasn’t made the team yet. Until he does, I have to wonder whether his new contract is really negotiated settlement that will lower the cap hit of cutting him. Who knows.
Solder is guaranteed $3M  
PwndPapi : 4/6/2021 1:30 pm : link
And is the only swing T option on the roster. He isn't going to get cut in camp. Come on.
I completely disagree that they’d broadly dismiss all of them.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 4/6/2021 1:32 pm : link
I seriously doubt that Sewell, Chase, and Slayton will be hurt in any way by their decision to opt out. That is as long as they’ve used this time off to improve themselves. I could see it being another check against guys who already have other issues like Parsons.
as a policy decision  
bigbluehoya : 4/6/2021 1:36 pm : link
it doesn't make any sense.

So we want:

high character
smart / good decision makers
coachable / heady players

but also people who are willing to potentially conribute to the death of high-risk loved ones in the name of playing a game that they aren't being paid for.

At a minimum I can promise you that they will evaluate each player on his own merits/circumstances and etc.
You have to be a meathead to think someone opting out for  
BestFeature : 4/6/2021 1:42 pm : link
Covid is "not loving the game". Considering Judge isn't an idiot I don't think he'll hold it against anyone.
RE: RE: RE: The  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:49 pm : link
In comment 15211281 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 15211276 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 15211237 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


Giants aren't passing on Sewell (he likely won't be there) because he opted out c'mon.


Not sure what TMZ's take on it was to tell you that, but we genuinely don't know that.

If someone told you a few years ago that the Giants would have a chance to draft Laremy Tunsil and would pass on it, would you have issued such a dismissive response?

All we know is that there is some asshat chatter that the Giants are downgrading opt-outs. How meaningfully, we don't know. If it's true at all, we don't know. Such is the nature of asshat/beat info.



Bizarre personal swipe aside (when do I post things from TMZ?) Tunsil smoked weed on video, how are you equating the two? Really odd take.

Sorry for the personal swipe, although it wasn't really personal unless you are TMZ.

But the point is that we've heard already that the Giants are downgrading opt-outs. We haven't heard any details about how much, if at all, they're focusing on individual cases, vs. simply implementing a broad opt-out downgrade. I hope it's not the latter, but we simply don't know.

To immediately react to the possibility of passing on any player - in this case, Sewell - who opted out, without acknowledging what we've heard of the Giants current position on this tells me that you either know something that we don't, or you don't know something that we all do.

Which is it?
RE: You have to be a meathead to think someone opting out for  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:52 pm : link
In comment 15211347 BestFeature said:
Quote:
Covid is "not loving the game". Considering Judge isn't an idiot I don't think he'll hold it against anyone.

Let's hope.

The asshats have already leaked that the Giants are concerned about opt-out prospects. Maybe that's just a pre-emptive explanation for having Phillips above Rousseau or something else as specific as that (Smith/Waddle above Chase?), but our current information does include the Giants downgrading opt-out prospects.
I seriously  
pjcas18 : 4/6/2021 1:53 pm : link
doubt any pro sports team has a rigid policy about a nuanced decision a young man may have made for a variety of reasons.

your logic is turrible and you should feel turrible.


Sewell is still 20  
ryanmkeane : 4/6/2021 1:53 pm : link
and Chase just turned 21 in March. There is absolutely zero chance the Giants would pass on either of these guys, they have dominated good college competition at such a young age and have incredibly high ceilings
RE: as a policy decision  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:54 pm : link
In comment 15211339 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
it doesn't make any sense.

So we want:

high character
smart / good decision makers
coachable / heady players

but also people who are willing to potentially conribute to the death of high-risk loved ones in the name of playing a game that they aren't being paid for.

At a minimum I can promise you that they will evaluate each player on his own merits/circumstances and etc.

You genuinely cannot promise that. It's entirely possible that they're viewing "opt-out" as a prospect category.
Sewell  
DanMetroMan : 4/6/2021 1:54 pm : link
is considered a truly special talent. He has no "real" red flags. He's taken a few dings for being overly reliant on his talent vs. technique but as a prospect/person he has none. So no, I don't believe that the Giants would pass on him because he opted out. I think this is a case-by-case basis. They interview these guys for a reason. Passing on a guy like this because he sat out a bizarre season would be really ridiculous. If you feel otherwise I don't know what else to say.
Many NFL coaches and GM's  
Lines of Scrimmage : 4/6/2021 1:54 pm : link
refer to the game as a business. The amount of money these players who are good enough is astronomical.

I used to follow South Carolina when Spurrier was the HC. They had this great running back Marcus Lattimore who had a catastrophic knee injury. He did get drafted but could never get back from the injury.

My guess is a lot of these players opting out did so to avoid injury and the loss of big payday. They probably were advised that their draft position would not be altered. It does not mean that they do not love the game imo.
RE: I seriously  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:56 pm : link
In comment 15211374 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
doubt any pro sports team has a rigid policy about a nuanced decision a young man may have made for a variety of reasons.

your logic is turrible and you should feel turrible.


It's not my POV. It's my reaction to the asshat intel that the Giants are downgrading opt-out players.
RE: Many NFL coaches and GM's  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 4/6/2021 1:56 pm : link
In comment 15211378 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
refer to the game as a business. The amount of money these players who are good enough is astronomical.

I used to follow South Carolina when Spurrier was the HC. They had this great running back Marcus Lattimore who had a catastrophic knee injury. He did get drafted but could never get back from the injury.

My guess is a lot of these players opting out did so to avoid injury and the loss of big payday. They probably were advised that their draft position would not be altered. It does not mean that they do not love the game imo.


I was at that game where Lattimore got injured. Never heard a stadium get so quiet so fast.
RE: I seriously  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 1:57 pm : link
In comment 15211374 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
doubt any pro sports team has a rigid policy about a nuanced decision a young man may have made for a variety of reasons.

your logic is turrible and you should feel turrible.


But you can probably apply this meme to every single one of your own posts in the MLB ASG thread.
RE: Sewell  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/6/2021 2:00 pm : link
In comment 15211377 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
is considered a truly special talent. He has no "real" red flags. He's taken a few dings for being overly reliant on his talent vs. technique but as a prospect/person he has none. So no, I don't believe that the Giants would pass on him because he opted out. I think this is a case-by-case basis. They interview these guys for a reason. Passing on a guy like this because he sat out a bizarre season would be really ridiculous. If you feel otherwise I don't know what else to say.

Maybe if I post it on Twitter you'll understand me more clearly: I do not think they should rule any of these guys out. Some insiders have implied that the Giants are downgrading opt-out prospects, presumably under the guise of a desire to play. I am merely questioning the validity of that intel, and what the downstream implications are.
SGGF  
Lines of Scrimmage : 4/6/2021 2:01 pm : link
Yeah it was horrible. He was a really well liked player and a born and raised South Carolinian. Those were the glory years of the program.
there's other reasons  
ryanmkeane : 4/6/2021 2:03 pm : link
that players opted out and i don't blame them. Rousseau's mother is a front line nurse - that was one of the reasons he opted out
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