NFT: Mets at Rockies Rubber Game. Stroman

someone's exit velocity, it is April 19th

Vizcaino and McWilliams touched 96 yesterday. McWilliams didn't look ready for prime time this ST but he's still an intriguing arm. Numbers have never matched his pure stuff so he could just be a good arm and nothing more but was worth a the cost (750,000)

-Lugo has begun throwing off the slope but not yet scheduled to face hitters. So yeah, sounds like 3-4 weeks from now.

In comment 15225767 ryanmkeane said:

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someone's exit velocity, it is April 19th

Exit velocity is actually extremely helpful even on April 19th, sample size when it comes to Pillar the sample size is simply too small. Exit velocity helps tell us who has been lucky/unlucky even more than BABIP.

In comment 15225754 DanMetroMan said:

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So you're belief is he's looked like a big leaguer while hitting .154 because he's hit the ball "okay" and yet he's only struck out 6.6% of his ab's, you are choosing to both look toward his future outcomes (ignoring his current numbers) and then also give him credit for positive ones? Why isn't that your take with someone like McCann with poor exit velocity to this point?

McCann's average exit velocity right now is 90.5. (max 103)
In 2020 his average exit velocity was 90.5. (max 108)
In 2019 his average exit velocity was 90.1. (max 112)

Like Pillar his current hard hit rate is 50%+ and higher than his prior career average and his K rates and walk rates are fine.

As you know the big question with McCann is which version would he be going forward? The 19/20 version or the version prior to that in his career when he was in the mid to upper 80's and a below average offensive player.

McCann hasn't hit for power yet but I'm completely fine with how he has looked so far because it looks closer to the 19/20 versions we want than the pre-2019 version.

Exit velocities are up league wide, you can't compare McCann to McCann's previous numbers and leave it at that. His average exit velocity is 62nd percentile (okay), his max exit velocity is 31st percentile (poor), his HH% is good (78 percentile)

(a really great stat), which is something of a catch-all

"xwOBAcon ( expected Weighted On Bse Average on contact): xwOBA is expected weighted On Base Average takes wOBA and adds in Statcast data — specifically, “exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed."

has McCann bottom 9% of the league. 2019 McCann''s xwOBAcon was .419, 2020 .429 and 2021.... .288. I'm not "worried" about him given 31 ab's but the underlying numbers have been poor beyond unlucky.

In comment 15225787 DanMetroMan said:

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Exit velocities are up league wide, you can't compare McCann to McCann's previous numbers and leave it at that. His average exit velocity is 62nd percentile (okay), his max exit velocity is 31st percentile (poor), his HH% is good (78 percentile)

There's no comprehensive statistical deep dive worth doing after 2-3 weeks of the season - especially with the way the NYM schedule has been chopped up.

My post was simple - so far the first look at the new guys has be in line with expectations. Lindor looks like a franchise player (despite his stats), McCann looks like a professional 2 way catcher, and even though I wasn't a fan of the Villar + Pillar signings both have looked like competent depth.

hasn't played much (I legit forgot Almora is even on the team) but my point was I think you're giving him too much credit for zero production SSS and all. I'm pretty confident there would be zero net difference between Pillar's impact on the team to this point and if Almora had been in there in his place.

In comment 15225794 DanMetroMan said:

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(a really great stat), which is something of a catch-all "xwOBAcon ( expected Weighted On Bse Average on contact): xwOBA is expected weighted On Base Average takes wOBA and adds in Statcast data — specifically, “exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed." has McCann bottom 9% of the league. 2019 McCann''s xwOBAcon was .419, 2020 .429 and 2021.... .288. I'm not "worried" about him given 31 ab's but the underlying numbers have been poor beyond unlucky.

Lindor is even lower at .283 and I'm not concerned with him either.

Red Sox DESTROYED Giolito this morning 1 inning 8 hits 6 er 2 walks 0 k's Kike Hernandez and JDM both with first inning homers.

In comment 15225803 DanMetroMan said:

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hasn't played much (I legit forgot Almora is even on the team) but my point was I think you're giving him too much credit for zero production SSS and all. I'm pretty confident there would be zero net difference between Pillar's impact on the team to this point and if Almora had been in there in his place.

That's possibly/probably true, and if Almora played that way I'd say he's competent too.

Like I said, I wasn't a huge fan of any of the depth signings though I thought Pillar had the most upside of the 3. So far they look like competent depth - nothing more, nothing less.

The best thing I can say about Almora and Pillar right now is that Nimmo has played a good enough CF that I don't think we will need to use them that much.

In comment 15225809 DanMetroMan said:

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Red Sox DESTROYED Giolito this morning 1 inning 8 hits 6 er 2 walks 0 k's Kike Hernandez and JDM both with first inning homers.

Kike has also mostly played CF so far which is interesting. As we are talking depth signings that's still the guy I'd have most preferred to add over the combo of Almora/Pillar/Villar. He played 1 inning at SS so far so I'd imagine he'd have been ok playing 3b too.

opens 5/4 so guys like McWilliams/Vizcaino etc can see some more game action. McWilliams is on the 40 man but he really didn't look MLB ready, I suspect Vizcaino would be given the first look. That being said, Hildenberger looked very good in his one appearance

started the season horrendously and now his numbers are back up to being respectable. Red Sox look like their are playing over their heads but they do have some solid (or better) players.

Longenhagen mentions Alexander Ramirez as the Mets prospect he most wants to see this year and Brandon McIlwain as a deep sleeper. He didn't rank him in his Mets top 30 and he was undrafted so... but he is premium athlete.

In comment 15225849 DanMetroMan said:

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Longenhagen mentions Alexander Ramirez as the Mets prospect he most wants to see this year and Brandon McIlwain as a deep sleeper. He didn't rank him in his Mets top 30 and he was undrafted so... but he is premium athlete.

McIlwain has serious contact issues, but is extremely athletic and perhaps Mets think he can progress if he is focusing only on Baseball

In comment 15225858 Mike in NY said:

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In comment 15225849 DanMetroMan said: Quote: Longenhagen mentions Alexander Ramirez as the Mets prospect he most wants to see this year and Brandon McIlwain as a deep sleeper. He didn't rank him in his Mets top 30 and he was undrafted so... but he is premium athlete. McIlwain has serious contact issues, but is extremely athletic and perhaps Mets think he can progress if he is focusing only on Baseball

Considering he didn't rank him in his own top 30 (he still has Desmond Lindsay on there). I have to assume he's just going with a guy who absolute best case could be something because of his pure athletcism. The Mets obviously do not have 30 "legit" prospects.

Final from the Alternate Site: Red Sox 10, #Mets 4

Boston takes 2/3 from the weekend series. Jordan Yamamoto was good, Jesus Reyes and Tom Windle were not (combined for 9 walks, 9 runs allowed).

Johneshwy Fargas doubled home two runs in the 9th.

is swinging 8.3% more than he had 2019-2020 (one of the biggest changes for 2021), Lindor is only swinging 39.6%, down nearly 11% aka might be a little too passive in the early going.

is the Cubs eventually extend Rizzo and trade Bryant.

as mercenaries for the stretch run, but the chances of us re-signing him (plus all of our own that we have to deal with) would probably be pretty slim.

through the full rotation. Quick look, Mets wont need a #5 SP until sometime in May.

Crazy.