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WR Kadarius Toney: help me understand

dannysection 313 : 5/1/2021 10:54 am
While I am a huge Giant's fan, have been on the board forever, and had season tix for decades, I am far from a draft expert...I tend to be a wait, see who they picked, and even further, see how they play, sort of fan.

But, there is so much love for the big picture of Giant's Draft 2021 and I am a bit confused about one facet. Thanks for helping me get it...I want to feel good about what's gone on so far.

Specifically, I am confused about the first pick...Kadarius Toney.

We all have great faith, and great appreciation, for the tremendous work Sy does before and during the draft and, like most others here, if Sy likes a guy, that's good enough for me.

So, what gives on Toney, if Sy had him as the 14th best wide receiver, with a 77 grade that is deemed as a" 3rd rounder – Should be able to rotate by end of rookie year – Year 2/3 starter"

Thanks, not looking for a debate, I admit my ignorance, just trying to figure out the conflicting information (excitement for the pick v Sy's very educated/generally spot on evaluation)!
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^ UConn is kind of  
ColHowPepper : 5/1/2021 12:32 pm : link
addressing my concern, some validity there, I think
Getting injured is part of the game  
UConn4523 : 5/1/2021 12:39 pm : link
I think his quickness, start/stop, and change of direction will serve him well in the pros.
Easy to understand  
Jimmy Googs : 5/1/2021 12:43 pm : link
Sy underrated him a bit. Giants reached for him a bit. Probably a second round guy.

That’s all...
The thing that JUMPS OUT at you ....  
Manny in CA : 5/1/2021 12:54 pm : link

Is how he breaks tackles.When is the last time you've seen RECEIVERS break tackles like that ?
I'll help you understand  
BBWreckingCrew : 5/1/2021 1:03 pm : link
he balls the out like no other
He’s going to kill on choice routes. Former qb. Reads defenders’  
glowrider : 5/1/2021 1:07 pm : link
Leverage and plays off of that. Could be a Brady/Edelman esque relationship with two QBs taking advantage of the defense. Someone said he runs an “unguardable” whip route, which his highlights seem to bear out. One moment the db is on him, trying to shut down a slant, the next he’s gained seven yards of separation going to the corner.

Our OC has a long history of abusing us with option routes in the middle of the field. Toney can do that inside and out, on top of his other positive traits. Excited to see how Kitchens and Co. influence the passing game this year, too.
I love the idea that Toney is a playmaker more than receiver...  
dannysection 313 : 5/1/2021 1:17 pm : link
And, I guess with Galloday, a healthy Barkley, Slayton's speed (as your # 3/4 guy, as in a pitching rotation, where a back end guy asked to be a 1 or 2 will disappoint) and Shep, Toney can be that "play maker" running jet sweeps, etc.

Kick returners are of less importance these days, with current kick off rules, but perhaps Toney can return punts (assuming ball security, every coaches number one priority) better that Peppers. Dave Meggett was quite a weapon (though he turned out to be a very bad person).

Also, the character stuff...Maybe Plax can have a conversation with the kid about making good decisions as a pro...
RE: Easy to understand  
Klaatu : 5/1/2021 1:27 pm : link
In comment 15248528 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote:
Sy underrated him a bit. Giants reached for him a bit. Probably a second round guy.

That’s all...


So, do you still believe that Evan Engram was a reach? After all, Sy did have a 1st round grade on him (84).
ColHow  
cosmicj : 5/1/2021 1:28 pm : link
I had the same question about those zillion broken tackles he generated in college. Will that happen in the NFL? We shall see.

It’s going to be interesting to see his statistical impact on the D. The metric I will be looking it is the number of first downs he gains.
RE: RE: Easy to understand  
Jimmy Googs : 5/1/2021 1:34 pm : link
In comment 15248667 Klaatu said:
Quote:
In comment 15248528 Jimmy Googs said:


Quote:


Sy underrated him a bit. Giants reached for him a bit. Probably a second round guy.

That’s all...



So, do you still believe that Evan Engram was a reach? After all, Sy did have a 1st round grade on him (84).


All those TEs were hyped up way too much that year. Engram wasn’t worth #23 back then, and the last 4 years haven’t shown anything different...
cosmicj  
ColHowPepper : 5/1/2021 1:36 pm : link
yep, I just hope that part of his game translates to next level. With Smith at #11 it was never going to be a question, as he played almost exclusively outside and is so quick in his patterns. So the hope is that in Giants going after (chasing?) the 'next best thing' Toney can do his thing.
RE: Easy to understand  
ColHowPepper : 5/1/2021 1:41 pm : link
In comment 15248678 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote:
In comment 15248528 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote: Sy underrated him a bit. Giants reached for him a bit. Probably a second round guy.
That’s all...
[Klaatu]
So, do you still believe that Evan Engram was a reach? After all, Sy did have a 1st round grade on him (84).////

All those TEs were hyped up way too much that year. Engram wasn’t worth #23 back then, and the last 4 years haven’t shown anything different...
Ndjoku has established himself as a TE worthy of the position, if not necessarily where he was drafted. EE fails at both criteria.
That said, not clear to me why Klaatu posed the question: Klaatu, are you positing that KT is going to be as big a disappointment as EE?
I feel like Toney has more in common with Waddle  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/1/2021 1:44 pm : link
That he does with Smith. You can line Smith up anywhere on the field and not worry about it. He'll get open and run crisp routes and burn people when he needs to. Toney is nowhere near as developed as Smith. He's a firecracker with the ball in his hands but I dont think you just put in him the slot and watch him work. They have to be creative with him.
I personally think Toney can be as good as Smith or Waddle  
PatersonPlank : 5/1/2021 1:47 pm : link
This is reinforced when you see guys like Nate Burleson call Toney the steal of the 1st round. Its possible we got an equal player to the one everyone wanted, plus a 1st next year
RE: RE: Easy to understand  
Klaatu : 5/1/2021 1:50 pm : link
In comment 15248703 ColHowPepper said:
Quote:
In comment 15248678 Jimmy Googs said:


Quote:


In comment 15248528 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote: Sy underrated him a bit. Giants reached for him a bit. Probably a second round guy.
That’s all...
[Klaatu]
So, do you still believe that Evan Engram was a reach? After all, Sy did have a 1st round grade on him (84).////

All those TEs were hyped up way too much that year. Engram wasn’t worth #23 back then, and the last 4 years haven’t shown anything different...

Ndjoku has established himself as a TE worthy of the position, if not necessarily where he was drafted. EE fails at both criteria.
That said, not clear to me why Klaatu posed the question: Klaatu, are you positing that KT is going to be as big a disappointment as EE?


Where did you get that idea? I disagree with Googs that it was a reach. I really like the pick. Googs always maintained that Engram at 23 was a reach. Well, Sy's grade says otherwise. How Engram's performed since he was drafted doesn't matter.
Many great answers here  
5BowlsSoon : 5/1/2021 1:51 pm : link
I can’t add anything new, but I will just echo this....Sy did make a deal out of his gun issues, even though he didn’t break the law. I’m very sure this played into his thinking. Sy even said he is aware of draft guides rating Toney much higher than him, so as you can see, it is not that black and white.

Honestly, just look at the YouTube videos to see for yourself....the kid is a freak in an amazing way. I can see us using him in so many ways if we have creative coaches. For example, on third and short he can take the direct snap and let him show off his athleticism to get thos 1,2, or 3 yards. Plus he can throw very well, and he is a great returner. He only dropped 3 passes so no worry there.

In conclusion, sure we all value and predicate Sy here, but he is just one voice so you have to juxtapose his thoughts with others to see a bigger picture here. I’m sure Synwould be the first to tell you he has made mistakes....I believe this is one of them.
Kind off odd. I thought he had enough flaws to his game  
Jimmy Googs : 5/1/2021 1:54 pm : link
that he shouldn’t have been a first rounder. And have always said that. And that happens to be how it worked out.

Is there more to it?
He'll be a factor from game 1  
KWALL2 : 5/1/2021 1:58 pm : link
They will run screens out wide, jet sweeps, run him out of the backfield,. All on opening day. And he will make an impact just from this. He's a great runner. It will be easy to get him the ball.
RE: I see three things:  
Ned In Atlanta : 5/1/2021 2:00 pm : link
In comment 15248227 CT Charlie said:
Quote:
1) I think Judge, with his background in special teams, gave Toney a lot of bonus points because of his talent as KR and PR. All the evaluators agree that Toney's joystick-quick first-step-shake is truly elite.

2) Some evaluators (not Sy, I don't think) downgraded KT's hands because they were BAD in the Senior Bowl tryouts. In games, over the course of his career, his hands were good.

3) Sy acknowledged character question marks based largely, I think, on the fake gun, real gun, incidents. Did that affect Sy's evaluation, consciously or subconsciously? Hard to say.

I happened to like Elijah Moore more, as a player with a lower ceiling perhaps but a higher floor. However, EM is shorter, lighter, and perhaps not as durable (strong? tough?) as KT. Boylhart, who is a VERY eccentric evaluator, ranked Toney as the #1 WR in the draft, and by a surprising margin.



I'm sorry, but this guy had Trevor Lawrence as his QB3. That destroys your credibility from the start
His college stats aren't great, but ...  
Manny in CA : 5/1/2021 2:04 pm : link

He did improve in his senior year - (10 TDs - 70 receptions). I wonder what is Yards After Catch stats is, I'm guessing it's pretty good.

https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/kadarius-toney-1.html

I don't think he's a kick or punt returner - 21.6 yds/11.3 yds averages.

I don't think he's a deep out kind of target, which means you don't have to wait to throw him the ball. He's going to stay close and do his damage inside the hash marks.

Realistically, I agree, he's a 2nd or 3rd rounder; but "it is what it is"; he'll provide some exciting plays and help move the chains well.
You know what; I really want to feel that ...  
Manny in CA : 5/1/2021 2:11 pm : link

This pick is reasonable, at #20; not like last year, picking Andrew Thomas 5th overall
RE: Manny, maybe this mock draft will help  
5BowlsSoon : 5/1/2021 2:22 pm : link
In comment 15248822 Manny in CA said:
Quote:

This pick is reasonable, at #20; not like last year, picking Andrew Thomas 5th overall


Don’t forget, Toney was not picked 11th, but rather 20th. I hope this mock helps ease your pain...
First round - ( New Window )
My only question is  
Leg of Theismann : 5/1/2021 3:30 pm : link
why Toney over Bateman? I do think Bateman was universally considered the better WR by just about everyone-- and he also has speed. Just feels like more of a sure thing at #20. This just reminds me a lot of when the Giants took Sterling Shepard with Michael Thomas still on the board. Thomas was higher on literally everyone's boards, but the Giants went w/ Shep instead because they were looking for a certain "type" of WR. IMO you go with the best player. I like Shep, but not as much as I would've liked Thomas. (And you can't convince me that Thomas is SOLELY a product of the N.O. offense + Brees and really we can't tell whose better between the 2, some posters tried to convince me of that when I last brought this up). This certainly feels like the Giants fell in love with Smith and then when they got jobbed by the Eagles they went and found someone who reminds them of Smith. I'm not saying it can't end up turning out well-- but it just feels like that. In the 1st round I feel like it's always better to go w/ the more sure thing.
Not everyone agreed with SY  
giantstock : 5/1/2021 3:47 pm : link
As being the 14 best WR.


But look at 1st 4 rounds
Sy had rated Azeez Ojulari as 84. This is liek a 1st rd pick.

St had Aaron Robinson rated as 70. That's a 2nd rd pick.

ST Had Toney rated as 77. That's a 3rd rd 4th rd pick.

SY had Elerson Smith as 77. That's a 3rd rd 4th rd pick.


****So with all these picks and getting a number 1 pick from a definite non-title team next year - that's damn good, isn't it?

One thing is I hope Rodgers is coming back to GBay. That's a highly-probable 2 losses for Chicago.

RE: Not everyone agreed with SY  
giantstock : 5/1/2021 3:51 pm : link
In comment 15249075 giantstock said:
Quote:
As being the 14 best WR.


But look at 1st 4 rounds
Sy had rated Azeez Ojulari as 84. This is like a 1st rd pick.

SY had Aaron Robinson rated as 79. That's a 2nd rd pick.

ST Had Toney rated as 77. That's a 3rd rd 4th rd pick.

SY had Elerson Smith as 77. That's a 3rd rd 4th rd pick.


****So with all these picks and getting a number 1 pick from a definite non-title team next year - that's damn good, isn't it?

One thing is I hope Rodgers is coming back to GBay. That's a highly-probable 2 losses for Chicago.


I mean to say 79 for Aaron not 70.

Look at the totality of the draft. That's what imo you need to understand.

How much difference is there between a consensus 4th WR and 8th in this draft? The Giants have their number 1.

Also- this ensures if Shep gets hurt you have his spot filled. And secondly at some point soon his salary will be greatly reduced or he'll move on.
If Toney is on the field and is in motion pre-snap, he will force the  
Ivan15 : 5/1/2021 4:45 pm : link
Defense to account for him. They will have to make adjustments. Right now, the only player who has to be accounted for is Barkley. Not Golladay, not Shepard, not Engram or Rudolph.
RE: My only question is  
Jerry's Kids : 5/1/2021 5:18 pm : link
In comment 15249044 Leg of Theismann said:
Quote:
why Toney over Bateman? I do think Bateman was universally considered the better WR by just about everyone-- and he also has speed. Just feels like more of a sure thing at #20. This just reminds me a lot of when the Giants took Sterling Shepard with Michael Thomas still on the board. Thomas was higher on literally everyone's boards, but the Giants went w/ Shep instead because they were looking for a certain "type" of WR. IMO you go with the best player. I like Shep, but not as much as I would've liked Thomas. (And you can't convince me that Thomas is SOLELY a product of the N.O. offense + Brees and really we can't tell whose better between the 2, some posters tried to convince me of that when I last brought this up). This certainly feels like the Giants fell in love with Smith and then when they got jobbed by the Eagles they went and found someone who reminds them of Smith. I'm not saying it can't end up turning out well-- but it just feels like that. In the 1st round I feel like it's always better to go w/ the more sure thing.


I think they went for the player they believe has a higher ceiling. Bateman’s floor is prolly higher. Toney did go for 8-158 in the SEC Title game. He has a unique ability to be immediately open. He just isn’t a polished route runner just yet. He cuts so well, the team must think he can develop that.
There's a lot to like about him ....  
Manny in CA : 5/1/2021 10:30 pm : link

He's fast enough, has great feet and balance and has a fierce mentality (breaks a lot of tackles). I think he will be an outstanding slot.
There's a lot to like about him ....  
Manny in CA : 5/1/2021 10:30 pm : link
He's fast enough, has great feet and balance and has a fierce mentality (breaks a lot of tackles). I think he will be an outstanding slot.
He has an elite trait with a lot of holes  
AcesUp : 5/1/2021 10:42 pm : link
That’s going to create some polarity in how he’s viewed. With the ball in his hands he’s about as good as it gets. His YAC ability is unreal, he’s slippery and somehow just bounces off dudes at his size. The whole wr part is definitely a question though. He’s only been playing the position for 3 years, so there’s potential to develop there but he strikes me as a flex/gadget guy. Probably could have gotten that in Rondale Moore later. I don’t have a lot of confidence in the offense we ran last year being able to fully tap into that potential but there’s a chance it evolves and Toney contributes to that himself.
guy looks like percy harvin without the injuries  
Platos : 5/2/2021 12:47 am : link
i'll take that all day
RE: RE: My only question is  
Leg of Theismann : 5/2/2021 1:28 am : link
In comment 15249355 Jerry's Kids said:
Quote:
In comment 15249044 Leg of Theismann said:


Quote:


why Toney over Bateman? I do think Bateman was universally considered the better WR by just about everyone-- and he also has speed. Just feels like more of a sure thing at #20. This just reminds me a lot of when the Giants took Sterling Shepard with Michael Thomas still on the board. Thomas was higher on literally everyone's boards, but the Giants went w/ Shep instead because they were looking for a certain "type" of WR. IMO you go with the best player. I like Shep, but not as much as I would've liked Thomas. (And you can't convince me that Thomas is SOLELY a product of the N.O. offense + Brees and really we can't tell whose better between the 2, some posters tried to convince me of that when I last brought this up). This certainly feels like the Giants fell in love with Smith and then when they got jobbed by the Eagles they went and found someone who reminds them of Smith. I'm not saying it can't end up turning out well-- but it just feels like that. In the 1st round I feel like it's always better to go w/ the more sure thing.



I think they went for the player they believe has a higher ceiling. Bateman’s floor is prolly higher. Toney did go for 8-158 in the SEC Title game. He has a unique ability to be immediately open. He just isn’t a polished route runner just yet. He cuts so well, the team must think he can develop that.


That's a good point. I have to say watching these highlights actually feels like Pitts and Toney were the 2 best players on the field that day-- but the fact Mac Jones had all day to throw and Najee Harris had massive holes to run through was really the difference-maker in the end. Trask was getting sacked at the worst times and had that one costly fumble-- but besides that Florida almost won while literally the entire game plan for Florida was a) get the ball to Toney, b) get the ball to Pitts, c) get the ball to Toney, etc...
SEC Title Game 2020 - ( New Window )
here's another set of highlights I hadn't seen yet:  
Leg of Theismann : 5/2/2021 1:37 am : link
.
Link - ( New Window )
Is Sy’s. downgrading of Toney due to the fact that Toney had an  
plato : 5/2/2021 2:04 am : link
AR 15 in his possession, even legally, rather than some other evidence of “bad character”? I wouldn’t be surprised and would not hold Sys grade as a gold standard. I’m sure his coaches were contacted and the Giants went forward at 20 based on that rather than overinflated reaction to weapon issues.

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