Was going to post this on a Twitter Fantasy Football debate on which rookies will lead the league in sacks. Thought better of it but I thought the stats still hold some value, so I’ll share.
Certain fantasy football projections have Ojulari outpaced in sacks by Jaelan Phillips, Kwity Paye, Payton Turner and Owafe Oweh.
Ojulari, 193 Pass Rush snaps 8.5 sacks 36 pressures. 25% True Pressure %
Oweh, 171 Pass Rush snaps, 24 pressures, 0 Sacks. 21 True Pressure %
Paye, 138 Pass Rush snaps, 2 sacks 29 pressures. 29 True Pressure %
Phillips, 286 Pass Rush Snaps, 8 sacks, 35 pressures. True pressure %: 13%
Payton Turner, 103 Pass Rush Snaps, 5 Sacks, 13 Pressures. True Pressure %: 18%
Joe Tryon,(2019) 301 Pass Rush Snaps, 8 Sacks, 35 Pressures, 18% True Pressure %
Phillips was my preferred edge rusher, but I came along on Ojulari when I watched some of his best games, which were IMO Tennessee, Cincinnati, Missouri, and Auburn. He was my Edge 2a with Paye. Sacks don’t correlate well year to year so I included true pressure % which varies less year to year.
I loved the pick, the player and the value, and I expect Ojulari to be a stud that starts at ROLB game 1. Go Giants!
He will be an excellent addition to our edge group.
They put a specific number of pressures they think he will get, but he'll have no sacks?? How do they really come up with this shit?
A guy like Nico Lalos can work into a couple of game-changing plays.
Toney is better than Smith. Ojulari will lead the league in sacks for rookies.
Is Robinson going to set the league record for picks by a rookie? Is Brightwell going to have a 1,000 yard season on 20 touches?
Let's maybe have some practices and even a pre-season game or two before we start guessing what these guys will be?
It's the lull after the draft. There's really nothing more to discuss until camp opens unless there's a free agency addition.
Because he's projected to get a concussion on his 528th play from scrimmage by a pulling Guard on 2nd and 4 from the 38 yard line.....
haha...
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far away favorite to lead in sacks. Guy was probably a top 10 pick without the injury history.
Because he's projected to get a concussion on his 528th play from scrimmage by a pulling Guard on 2nd and 4 from the 38 yard line.....
But 3 rookies are going to top that?
But 3 rookies are going to top that?
They’re not projections, this is just what they did last year at the college level. The actual projections had Phillips at 5.5 sacks and Ojulari at 3.7
Much later.
Yeah i thought that was obvious till I read some replies of fools that didn't get it.
By checking these stats though, wow! Ojulari defently stands out as the best of the bunch, what a steal. With Leo and Dex causing havoc up the middle I expect Ojulari to be a beast!
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Forgot to clarify that the stats shown are what they did ltheir ast year in college, not their projections. The whole draft is an exercise in projection, this is a recreational extension of that.
Yeah i thought that was obvious till I read some replies of fools that didn't get it.
It might be wise to take down this post and try again by adding some clarity.
That said, you bet on the field unless the odds on your favorite guy are at least 5-1. Ojulari should be at least 10-1. And both of those numbers are very low when you factor in injury risk for any player, projection risk for a rookie, depth chart traffic, and the sheer number of rookie EDGE players entering the League.