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I might as well say it, the Giants will be.....

George from PA : 5/12/2021 6:05 am
Super Bowl contenders in 2022.

Yes....alot has to go their way in 2021.

It will start with Daniel Jones. He will no longer be a tick slow on his decisions. He will not need to be perfect on every throw, He can rely on several explosive options. Garrett will work with other coaches to improve their system...and they will not need to force things as the defense can be trusted to stop the other guys. The defense will actually be a force. Each unit will play complementary football. The special  teams will not disappoint...it will excel. Joe Judge has his team and they will be ready game 1.

For the Giants to be True Super Bowl contenders in 2022, I feel they will need to taste the playoffs in 2021.

The Giants will have some FA in 2022, Peppers and Engram are probably the headliners. Peppers seem to want to be a Giant, so if the Giants want to keep him, they probably  could. Engram, the BBI posterboy...is a hard call. To be honest, both seem like the type that NE would let walk. The DL FA can walk, as long as their names are not William's or Lawrence, all others are Jags. Carter and Hernandez  will be the most interesting  storylines in FA. All the one year FAs are tbds on what they do this year. We might even expect a cap casualty  or two. But Bottomline, the core Giants are signed and they will have consistency......my biggest concern is losing Graham. Keeping the same coaches for 3 years is a major benefit.

As soon as the Giants draft trade became apparent, the Bears' 2021 season will be nearly as important as the Giants for all of us. Holding 7 draft picks within the 1st 120 ...will have the Giants primed and ready for a run deep into the playoff..the future looks bright. (to be continued Jan. 2023).
I'm more optimistic than your very optimistic post  
Grizz99 : 5/12/2021 6:27 am : link
I'm giddy. I go over the defense unit by unit and good players come tumbling out like candy on an easter hunt. I try to talk myself down and remember how optimistic i was in in 2017, but that year I always recognized the potential for trouble with macadoo and thought he had already lost the team.
This year the coaching seems right too. They, the mass of posters, are probably somewhat appropriately in a wait and see with Jones and the offensive line. I think those questions will be answered positively.
To me the biggest inhibitor or limitor is Barclay's health and many times I think he exceeds human capabilities and pushes into the realm where he's likely to be hurt. So my thought becomes can they compete without Barklay? And I think so, I think there's that much deep talent that will be superbly coached and maximized.
It's certainly possible...  
bLiTz 2k : 5/12/2021 6:31 am : link
The 2022 draft is going to be important for infusing talent at key positions as the Giants hedged their FA bets this year. I think a lot of guys are going to walk after this year, and won't be bringing in any veterans of note to replace them.

The post covid spending when everyone else had their hands tied in FA, coupled with acquiring the extra draft capital was a really smart move when you think about it...It really improved the team short term and gave them a real plan long term. Hard to not like what they've done.

If they hit on next year's draft look out.
and while you’re at it  
thrunthrublue : 5/12/2021 6:35 am : link
how about da bearz go 0-17.....
Both Barkley and Toney put a ton of torque and pressure.  
George from PA : 5/12/2021 6:51 am : link
Combine that with synthetic grass....not a great combination. I rather not think about it...that would suck. They will get world class training..prepare for worst and hope for the best.

Bears fan are very excited, but they have a tough schedule and a rookie QB....and desperate mgt....a receipt for disaster.

Judge impresses, but so does Rivera....I think the WFT are on right track. I think the Jones family are over their head....did they actually target players with issues. The Eagles can go either way...be a total disaster or make a rebound.....NFC East should be better
Why not win the Super Bowl this season?  
Milton : 5/12/2021 6:59 am : link
If you can make the playoffs, you can win the Super Bowl. We've seen it in 2007 and 2011 from the Giants and from the Bucs this past year. Tampa Bay was not the best team in football last year. You just need to be healthy and on a hot streak come December and January.
RE: Why not win the Super Bowl this season?  
joeinpa : 5/12/2021 7:20 am : link
In comment 15261667 Milton said:
Quote:
If you can make the playoffs, you can win the Super Bowl. We've seen it in 2007 and 2011 from the Giants and from the Bucs this past year. Tampa Bay was not the best team in football last year. You just need to be healthy and on a hot streak come December and January.


By the end of the 2007 season, the Giants were the best team in football. They proved it in 08 until PLAX Shot himself.

In retrospect their was nothing surprising about the Giants winning in 07.
I dont know why we have to jump right to the Super Bowl  
cjac : 5/12/2021 7:43 am : link
lets take baby steps.

for instance, lets have a winning record after the first 5 games. Lets start there.

i'd love to NOT be 1-4 and out of the playoff race in October.

People are sleeping on this team, this year.  
mittenedman : 5/12/2021 7:44 am : link
The Giants have everything they need now. I think they shock a lot of people and are in the hunt, this year.

They showed the signs last year of a team about to arrive.
The OP just jinxed it.  
Jimmy Googs : 5/12/2021 7:49 am : link
.
Going into 2017 season  
mfjmfj : 5/12/2021 8:20 am : link
I thought there were three questions:

1). Was the QB toast?
2). Was the head coach as good as his record or as bad as the coaching job he did in the playoff game?
3). Could the O line be at least decent and hopefully good.

The answers were:

1). yes
2). as bad or worse
3). no.

Questions going into 2021:

1). Can the QB be a top 10-15 QB?
2). Is the coach as good as he seems?
3). Can the o line be at least decent and hopefully good.

Give me three yeses and we are SB contenders this year. Give me a yes to 1 & 2, and we are SB contenders next year.

Color me optimistic. I expect to make a SB run this year.
In NFL there is only this year  
averagejoe : 5/12/2021 8:21 am : link
There is no team building. There is no next year. With the cap and FA you reshuffle the deck every year to make playoffs and have a Super Bowl run. Jones has been given the pieces to succeed and Judge appears to be the kind of coach that expects to win NOW.

Excited for the season to begin.
RE: RE: Why not win the Super Bowl this season?  
Milton : 5/12/2021 8:27 am : link
In comment 15261672 joeinpa said:
Quote:

In retrospect their was nothing surprising about the Giants winning in 07.
In retrospect there was nothing surprising about the Bucs winning the Super Bowl in February. Retrospect is funny that way.
"Why not us...  
Brown_Hornet : 5/12/2021 8:34 am : link
..."

A mantra that's grown from the unlikeliest of places is the reason for great optimism.

Split into the "why not us" & "believe it when I see it" crowds  
George from PA : 5/12/2021 9:01 am : link
To the 1st group, I can not logiclly go from 6-9 to Super Bowl champs. Sure, it happened in 2007...and they beat an undefeated team...but that lighting in a bottle is not remotedly likely.

To the 2nd group, I get it...you have been burnt....I cursed this team to 10 years of lousey football after selling my soul for the 2011 Super Bowl.....and it's now over 😁
If Jones takes a step forward  
Jay on the Island : 5/12/2021 9:10 am : link
and proves himself as the franchise QB then I think the Giants will be SB contenders in 2022.
'Why not us' is now a mantra?  
Jimmy Googs : 5/12/2021 9:16 am : link
Just curious...what came in second place?
I don't think we are competing for a Superbowl this year...  
EricJ : 5/12/2021 9:23 am : link
BUT I also said the same thing before AND midway through the 2007 and 2011 seasons.

Wildcard team gets hot and CAN win it all. So, the question is can we be a wildcard team? Maybe we just start there
I guess I’m pessimistic  
Carl in CT : 5/12/2021 9:28 am : link
I love Jones and think he can be top 10 easy. Problem I see is the OL. I think Barkley won’t be himself, line can’t block, and Jones will get blamed by 70% of the people who don’t know where the game begins and ends. It’s called O line.
After  
dlauster : 5/12/2021 9:29 am : link
The past 5 years I’m in no mood to be overly optimistic. I’ll believe it when it happens. We must remember that 8 and 8 would be a step up for this team.
RE: I don't think we are competing for a Superbowl this year...  
bLiTz 2k : 5/12/2021 9:29 am : link
In comment 15261790 EricJ said:
Quote:
BUT I also said the same thing before AND midway through the 2007 and 2011 seasons.

Wildcard team gets hot and CAN win it all. So, the question is can we be a wildcard team? Maybe we just start there


First 7th seed ever to win it all? I'll take it!
2022  
Thegratefulhead : 5/12/2021 10:19 am : link
Is a good target. I really can't wait to see this season play out. I do believe that they got Jones what he needs to succeed. I believe that he will. He stills need to walk through that door in 2021 or the whole thing gets set back a bit, though.

I am more optimistic than I should be based on performance, but I just can't help it. I think they dramatically improved all three phases of the game. The investment in playing time on the OL will play dividends this year.

Part of the Columbo issue in my mind was that he wanted to play the same 5 guys and let them build continuity. Judge knew he needed to get the draft picks and Gates experience. Invaluable for us in 2021.

I expect bigger plays on offense, a better running game and improved 3rd down efficiency. On defense, I expect a better rush, better coverage and for Graham to be even more scheme versatile. On specials, I predict some big plays and generally better field position.

I hoping for the defense to get a couple points better and for the O to improve by a TD. That should put us in play.

Let's go Daniel!
RE: I dont know why we have to jump right to the Super Bowl  
Greg from LI : 5/12/2021 10:38 am : link
In comment 15261685 cjac said:
Quote:
lets take baby steps.

for instance, lets have a winning record after the first 5 games. Lets start there.

i'd love to NOT be 1-4 and out of the playoff race in October.


100% agreed. Crawl, then walk, then run.
The OP makes a very interesting point...  
bw in dc : 5/12/2021 10:51 am : link
at the end about Graham. I think he's certainly a lynchpin to any future success. Unfortunately, he's very likely going to be a hot commodity at the end of '21 if we get to the playoffs.

Leaping ahead to '22 without seeing how Jones and this OL perform in '21 is a big gamble. And putting the cart way before the horse.

If Graham has another stellar season...  
Brown_Hornet : 5/12/2021 10:57 am : link
...maybe getting paid will be more to his liking than being HC.

I'm usually optimistic, but...JFC, the Super Bowl in 2022?  
Klaatu : 5/12/2021 11:02 am : link
That's too optimistic for me, not at this point in time, and not with so many unanswered questions swirling around this team.
Playoffs this year  
EmusNYG : 5/12/2021 11:05 am : link
and Super Bowl next year. The best part about this season, I think, won't even be getting to the playoffs. If Judge proves himself to be the amazing head coach he appears to be, we'll have an amazing coach for a long time. This season gives us potential to get a franchise QB and head coach, I couldn't be more excited.
meh...  
Brown_Hornet : 5/12/2021 11:09 am : link
...it's May.

The horse is growing. Stronger, faster and more willing. The cart has been upgraded front to back.

But, it's May. The horse is in the field and the cart is in the barn.

We'll hitch it up in a few months. For now, I choose optimism. The alternative is less fun and the eventual outcome, unaffected by either one.
With a chance to make the playoffs with 4 games to go in 2020  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/12/2021 11:47 am : link
This team lost 3 home games.

Crawl before you walk.
RE: meh...  
River Mike : 5/12/2021 12:00 pm : link
In comment 15261959 Brown_Hornet said:
Quote:
...it's May.

The horse is growing. Stronger, faster and more willing. The cart has been upgraded front to back.

But, it's May. The horse is in the field and the cart is in the barn.

We'll hitch it up in a few months. For now, I choose optimism. The alternative is less fun and the eventual outcome, unaffected by either one.


Nicely put.
Garrett improving the system  
BSIMatt : 5/12/2021 12:07 pm : link
=Giants having competent skill players.

Jason Garrett is least of my concerns. Garrett spent most of 2020 fighting with both arms tied behind his back. Criticism of him based on 2020 is overblown. Give the guy something to work with at least...it was the same way with Bettcher. You can have great coordinators, you can't do it with a weak roster.
RE: Garrett improving the system  
PatersonPlank : 5/12/2021 12:21 pm : link
In comment 15262049 BSIMatt said:
Quote:
=Giants having competent skill players.

Jason Garrett is least of my concerns. Garrett spent most of 2020 fighting with both arms tied behind his back. Criticism of him based on 2020 is overblown. Give the guy something to work with at least...it was the same way with Bettcher. You can have great coordinators, you can't do it with a weak roster.


Agree with this 100%. After Barkley went down (and maybe even before) the game plan was to play conservatively, limit turnovers, win field position, and keep the game close. I assume this was a joint discussion between Garrett, Judge, and Graham. They were right in thinking this was the best approach to try and win games. Barkley is back, Jones has another year, the OL should be better, the WR's are much improved, and the defense is on an upswing. All this makes me believe we will be more aggressive offensively.
The criticisms that follow garrett aren't based on last season  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/12/2021 12:36 pm : link
They follow him from dallas too. he didn't just decide to run a conservative offense based on the Giants talent situation. His offense relies more on individual playmaking by WRs more than creative route combinations or creating mismatches. It's an offense best served when you have good skill pos players who can break man to man coverage and also know how to expose a zone.

Some coordinators build their scheme around talent beating talent. Other coordinators build their scheme around deception and mismatches. Garret is one end of the spectrum. Guys like McVay and Shanahan are the opposite end.

The Giants lacked talent last year, that's true.
They may have wanted to keep it safe, that is also true.
They can also not have been well served by their approach to offense with the talent they had. At the pro level, you are not always going to out-talent the defense.
RE: The criticisms that follow garrett aren't based on last season  
Thegratefulhead : 5/12/2021 12:58 pm : link
In comment 15262084 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
They follow him from dallas too. he didn't just decide to run a conservative offense based on the Giants talent situation. His offense relies more on individual playmaking by WRs more than creative route combinations or creating mismatches. It's an offense best served when you have good skill pos players who can break man to man coverage and also know how to expose a zone.

Some coordinators build their scheme around talent beating talent. Other coordinators build their scheme around deception and mismatches. Garret is one end of the spectrum. Guys like McVay and Shanahan are the opposite end.

The Giants lacked talent last year, that's true.
They may have wanted to keep it safe, that is also true.
They can also not have been well served by their approach to offense with the talent they had. At the pro level, you are not always going to out-talent the defense.
Some chicken and egg for sure with Garrett. It is very conceivable to me the offense was designed around Barkley and he got hurt. Covid protocols kind made changing after that more difficult.

Let's be honest:

The NYG punted the the 2020 season developing young guys on the line in the manner they did it. I have not seen rotating OL like we did last season before. The motivation seems obvious to me. This hindered what Garrett could do by large amounts. We were as vanilla as vanilla could be. How many big plays were created by skill position talent last year?...Yeah.

Garrett should be Judged on 2021 offensive results.
RE: RE: The criticisms that follow garrett aren't based on last season  
Brown_Hornet : 5/12/2021 1:27 pm : link
In comment 15262130 Thegratefulhead said:
Quote:


Let's be honest:

The NYG punted the the 2020 season developing young guys on the line in the manner they did it. I have not seen rotating OL like we did last season before. The motivation seems obvious to me. This hindered what Garrett could do by large amounts. We were as vanilla as vanilla could be. How many big plays were created by skill position talent last year?...Yeah.

Garrett should be Judged on 2021 offensive results.

This take makes very good sense.

That That said I believe that Garrett or any offensive coordinator, is going to design a game plan based not just on the strengths of the team but also the weakness is of the upcoming opponents.
...  
christian : 5/12/2021 1:58 pm : link
The Giants added Golladay, Toney, Pettis, Ross, and Rudolph to their pass catching group. It’s clear as day whoever is in charge of architecting the offense believes the group needed a makeover at the top and bottom of the chart.

I won’t be surprised if one of Shepard, Slayton, or Engram doesn’t make it out of camp.
RE: RE: The criticisms that follow garrett aren't based on last season  
Jimmy Googs : 5/12/2021 2:06 pm : link
In comment 15262130 Thegratefulhead said:
Quote:

Let's be honest:

The NYG punted the the 2020 season developing young guys on the line in the manner they did it. I have not seen rotating OL like we did last season before. The motivation seems obvious to me. This hindered what Garrett could do by large amounts. We were as vanilla as vanilla could be. How many big plays were created by skill position talent last year?...Yeah.

Garrett should be Judged on 2021 offensive results.


What do you mean they "punted" the season just by adding some rotational moves on the OL during the games? This hindered what Garrett could do?

Not sure what you are really getting at here.
RE: ...  
Jimmy Googs : 5/12/2021 2:10 pm : link
In comment 15262228 christian said:
Quote:
The Giants added Golladay, Toney, Pettis, Ross, and Rudolph to their pass catching group. It’s clear as day whoever is in charge of architecting the offense believes the group needed a makeover at the top and bottom of the chart.

I won’t be surprised if one of Shepard, Slayton, or Engram doesn’t make it out of camp.


Bold statement.

Pettis and Ross over any one of that lower threesome?
RE: The criticisms that follow garrett aren't based on last season  
bw in dc : 5/12/2021 2:24 pm : link
In comment 15262084 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:


Some coordinators build their scheme around talent beating talent. Other coordinators build their scheme around deception and mismatches. Garret is one end of the spectrum. Guys like McVay and Shanahan are the opposite end.



I would push back on that McVay/Shanahan comment. I think it's more that they are terrific teachers/evaluators and know how to find the right players to execute their offenses.

There are very, very few who can alter their schemes and pull it off. I would say that's limited to Belichick/McDaniels and Andy Reid.

How many 13-3 teams have the Giants had in their history  
Grizz99 : 5/12/2021 2:27 pm : link
2?
And those teams were loaded on both sides of the ball.
Garrett took a team with a bad defense and an ordinary rookie QB (who missed preseason) to 13-3.
It's a remarkable accomplishment and flies in the face of all the criticism.
No spring training, no continuity, new system, the perfect storm and he's criticized for keeping it plain vanilla.
It almost approaches cruelty....the superb Kevin Gilbride reduced here to Kildrive. This board, many times, is an outlet for people who need to be critical and need to be smarter than the fulltime experts who spend years honing their craft and have huge support data and personnel.
And yuksters like Go Terps can call Gettleman "a fool".
I'm not dying on the hill for Garrett...  
bw in dc : 5/12/2021 2:35 pm : link
but I think he's a very competent OC and there was some very good work in Dallas to support that. As mentioned, that year when Dak took over as a rookie for Romo was an absolute thing of beauty...

Sure, there was a lot of talent on that offense, but Garrett was able to get Dak ready to play and execute. So tons of credit for pulling that off.
That Dallas Cowboys defense in 2016 was  
Jimmy Googs : 5/12/2021 2:51 pm : link
5th best in total points allowed
14th best in total yards allowed
1st in rushing defense

Bad? Hmm...


RE: RE: RE: The criticisms that follow garrett aren't based on last season  
Thegratefulhead : 5/12/2021 3:11 pm : link
In comment 15262238 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote:
In comment 15262130 Thegratefulhead said:


Quote:



Let's be honest:

The NYG punted the the 2020 season developing young guys on the line in the manner they did it. I have not seen rotating OL like we did last season before. The motivation seems obvious to me. This hindered what Garrett could do by large amounts. We were as vanilla as vanilla could be. How many big plays were created by skill position talent last year?...Yeah.

Garrett should be Judged on 2021 offensive results.



What do you mean they "punted" the season just by adding some rotational moves on the OL during the games? This hindered what Garrett could do?

Not sure what you are really getting at here.
They messed with the cohesiveness on the OL in 2019 to get young players experience. Columbo was strongly against this, I suspect Garrett too. Garrett was limited by the inexperience of the OL and lack of cohesiveness.
2020  
Thegratefulhead : 5/12/2021 3:11 pm : link
2020 yuck
Judge is a proponent of some rotating...probably a New England thing  
Jimmy Googs : 5/12/2021 3:36 pm : link
Not sure if he will continue it but last year the OL didn't start well, Judge wasn't happy with it, he had young guys that he wanted to see get some action and we know he likes versatility/multiple in players.

Do you really think it hamstrung Garrett much if at all, nor is that akin to punting the season. Especially with the way he coached down the stretch either...
RE: How many 13-3 teams have the Giants had in their history  
GMen72 : 5/12/2021 4:14 pm : link
In comment 15262273 Grizz99 said:
Quote:
2?
And those teams were loaded on both sides of the ball.
Garrett took a team with a bad defense and an ordinary rookie QB (who missed preseason) to 13-3.
It's a remarkable accomplishment and flies in the face of all the criticism.
No spring training, no continuity, new system, the perfect storm and he's criticized for keeping it plain vanilla.
It almost approaches cruelty....the superb Kevin Gilbride reduced here to Kildrive. This board, many times, is an outlet for people who need to be critical and need to be smarter than the fulltime experts who spend years honing their craft and have huge support data and personnel.
And yuksters like Go Terps can call Gettleman "a fool".


Last time I checked, Garrett is our OC. That 13-3 record, and all the seasons in which the Cowgirls had 10+ wins, while he was in Dallas, came after he was stripped of playcalling duties (after 2013 season). The best the Cowgirls could do while he was calling plays was 8-8...and that was with Dez, Romo, Whitten, etc.

The love affair Giants fans have for Garrett as an OC is silly (stupid really). They were a much more successful organization when he wasn't calling plays.

Jason Garrett isn't a good OC and will be a problem next year, just like he was last year.
RE: I'm not dying on the hill for Garrett...  
GMen72 : 5/12/2021 4:23 pm : link
In comment 15262284 bw in dc said:
Quote:
but I think he's a very competent OC and there was some very good work in Dallas to support that. As mentioned, that year when Dak took over as a rookie for Romo was an absolute thing of beauty...

Sure, there was a lot of talent on that offense, but Garrett was able to get Dak ready to play and execute. So tons of credit for pulling that off.


What work supports that? Garrett wasn't the OC when Dak was a rookie. He lost the playcalling duties after the 2013 season. Dak was a rookie in 2016.

Dallas record when Garrett was HC and OC: 29-27 (8-8 in all 3 full seasons as OC, 5-3 when he took over midseason)

Dallas record when Garrett was HC only and not calling plays: 56-40 (4 seasons with 9 or more wins)

The numbers don't support the false narrative that Garrett is a great (or even good) OC.
RE: I'm not dying on the hill for Garrett...  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/12/2021 7:39 pm : link
In comment 15262284 bw in dc said:
Quote:
but I think he's a very competent OC and there was some very good work in Dallas to support that. As mentioned, that year when Dak took over as a rookie for Romo was an absolute thing of beauty...

Sure, there was a lot of talent on that offense, but Garrett was able to get Dak ready to play and execute. So tons of credit for pulling that off.


Not doubting he's competent. Plenty of guys are competent though. You can switch out one for the other and not miss much. The good ones are harder to replace and make the best of what you have. Dallas doesn't miss Garrett, for example.

I'd take Pat Shurmur as OC in a second over Jason Garrett. Also I don't view Judge hiring his friend (who happens to be an offensive coordinator) and promoting him after 16 games with a 31-ranked offense to be ringing endorsement either.
I’m confident enough that we’re closer to the SB  
Bill L : 5/12/2021 7:46 pm : link
Than we are being in a good spot (our pick, not Chicago’s) to get one of the the top QBs in next years draft.
RE: RE: I'm not dying on the hill for Garrett...  
bw in dc : 5/12/2021 8:05 pm : link
In comment 15262420 GMen72 said:
Quote:
In comment 15262284 bw in dc said:


Quote:


but I think he's a very competent OC and there was some very good work in Dallas to support that. As mentioned, that year when Dak took over as a rookie for Romo was an absolute thing of beauty...

Sure, there was a lot of talent on that offense, but Garrett was able to get Dak ready to play and execute. So tons of credit for pulling that off.



What work supports that? Garrett wasn't the OC when Dak was a rookie. He lost the playcalling duties after the 2013 season. Dak was a rookie in 2016.

Dallas record when Garrett was HC and OC: 29-27 (8-8 in all 3 full seasons as OC, 5-3 when he took over midseason)

Dallas record when Garrett was HC only and not calling plays: 56-40 (4 seasons with 9 or more wins)

The numbers don't support the false narrative that Garrett is a great (or even good) OC.


You're kidding, right, using W-Ls to measure offensive production?

Because I don't care about record when it comes to offense, I care about PPG.

But let's do a deeper dive here. Garrett was hired as the Dallas OC in 2007. In 5 seasons just as the OC only, Dallas' rankings in PPG were:

In 2007, Dallas was 2nd in the NFL in PPG.
In 2008, Dallas was 18th in the NFL in PPG. But Romo didn't play three games.
In 2009, Dallas was 14th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2010, Dallas was 7th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2011, Dallas was 13th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2012, Dallas was 15th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2013, Dallas was 5th in the NFL in PPG.

So on average, they were close to a top 10-12 offense when Garrett was calling the plays. Would that qualify in most circles as a "good" OC?

PPG seems so imperfect  
Bill L : 5/12/2021 8:39 pm : link
So may times with a lead and a great defense or maybe against another team with a great offense, you slow walk everything. Rush the ball, control the ball…all of that comes at the expense of ppg.
RE: RE: RE: I'm not dying on the hill for Garrett...  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/12/2021 8:49 pm : link
In comment 15262569 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15262420 GMen72 said:


Quote:


In comment 15262284 bw in dc said:


Quote:


but I think he's a very competent OC and there was some very good work in Dallas to support that. As mentioned, that year when Dak took over as a rookie for Romo was an absolute thing of beauty...

Sure, there was a lot of talent on that offense, but Garrett was able to get Dak ready to play and execute. So tons of credit for pulling that off.



What work supports that? Garrett wasn't the OC when Dak was a rookie. He lost the playcalling duties after the 2013 season. Dak was a rookie in 2016.

Dallas record when Garrett was HC and OC: 29-27 (8-8 in all 3 full seasons as OC, 5-3 when he took over midseason)

Dallas record when Garrett was HC only and not calling plays: 56-40 (4 seasons with 9 or more wins)

The numbers don't support the false narrative that Garrett is a great (or even good) OC.



You're kidding, right, using W-Ls to measure offensive production?

Because I don't care about record when it comes to offense, I care about PPG.

But let's do a deeper dive here. Garrett was hired as the Dallas OC in 2007. In 5 seasons just as the OC only, Dallas' rankings in PPG were:

In 2007, Dallas was 2nd in the NFL in PPG.
In 2008, Dallas was 18th in the NFL in PPG. But Romo didn't play three games.
In 2009, Dallas was 14th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2010, Dallas was 7th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2011, Dallas was 13th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2012, Dallas was 15th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2013, Dallas was 5th in the NFL in PPG.

So on average, they were close to a top 10-12 offense when Garrett was calling the plays. Would that qualify in most circles as a "good" OC?


The argument really is how much of that was having the best offensive line in football and Tony Romo under center, and how much of that was Garrett being excellent independent of having incredible talent on hand.
RE: PPG seems so imperfect  
bw in dc : 5/12/2021 9:10 pm : link
In comment 15262609 Bill L said:
Quote:
So may times with a lead and a great defense or maybe against another team with a great offense, you slow walk everything. Rush the ball, control the ball…all of that comes at the expense of ppg.


It's certainly not a perfect measurement, but it's more than a reasonable place to start.
RE: RE: RE: RE: I'm not dying on the hill for Garrett...  
bw in dc : 5/12/2021 9:16 pm : link
In comment 15262619 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:

The argument really is how much of that was having the best offensive line in football and Tony Romo under center, and how much of that was Garrett being excellent independent of having incredible talent on hand.


I don't know how to quantify that. Talent absolutely helps - agreed.

But someone has to organize it, teach, draw up the game plans, make adjustments, etc. So that's where the OC comes in...

RE: RE: PPG seems so imperfect  
Bill L : 5/12/2021 10:24 pm : link
In comment 15262646 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15262609 Bill L said:


Quote:


So may times with a lead and a great defense or maybe against another team with a great offense, you slow walk everything. Rush the ball, control the ball…all of that comes at the expense of ppg.



It's certainly not a perfect measurement, but it's more than a reasonable place to start.

IMO, not more reasonable than wins.
RE: RE: RE: I'm not dying on the hill for Garrett...  
GMen72 : 5/12/2021 10:59 pm : link
In comment 15262569 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15262420 GMen72 said:


Quote:


In comment 15262284 bw in dc said:


Quote:


but I think he's a very competent OC and there was some very good work in Dallas to support that. As mentioned, that year when Dak took over as a rookie for Romo was an absolute thing of beauty...

Sure, there was a lot of talent on that offense, but Garrett was able to get Dak ready to play and execute. So tons of credit for pulling that off.



What work supports that? Garrett wasn't the OC when Dak was a rookie. He lost the playcalling duties after the 2013 season. Dak was a rookie in 2016.

Dallas record when Garrett was HC and OC: 29-27 (8-8 in all 3 full seasons as OC, 5-3 when he took over midseason)

Dallas record when Garrett was HC only and not calling plays: 56-40 (4 seasons with 9 or more wins)

The numbers don't support the false narrative that Garrett is a great (or even good) OC.



You're kidding, right, using W-Ls to measure offensive production?

Because I don't care about record when it comes to offense, I care about PPG.

But let's do a deeper dive here. Garrett was hired as the Dallas OC in 2007. In 5 seasons just as the OC only, Dallas' rankings in PPG were:

In 2007, Dallas was 2nd in the NFL in PPG.
In 2008, Dallas was 18th in the NFL in PPG. But Romo didn't play three games.
In 2009, Dallas was 14th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2010, Dallas was 7th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2011, Dallas was 13th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2012, Dallas was 15th in the NFL in PPG.
In 2013, Dallas was 5th in the NFL in PPG.

So on average, they were close to a top 10-12 offense when Garrett was calling the plays. Would that qualify in most circles as a "good" OC?


I'm measuring the fact he got fired as the OC and the team got better. A top 10-12 offense with a top 5-8 QB, top 5 WR, and top 5 TE...even a blind squirrel? He won't have that to work with next year. I live in Dallas and Cowgirl fans feel about Garrett the same way Giants fans feel about Shurmer. They're still having fun with the fact we hired him.
Garrett might not have the fire to take team over the top as HC  
George from PA : 5/13/2021 5:31 am : link
He was a cerebral QB, graduated from Princeton...the guy knows Offense.....they brought in a modern offense mind to the coaching room...besides Judge will have Garrett on short lease and will be involved.

I doubt we will be seeing 4 curl routes this year.
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