for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

Valentine, BBV: Reasons to be optimistic about the Giants

Big Blue '56 : 6/13/2021 11:59 am
Nothing that hasn’t been discussed, but capsulized for your Sunday entertainment….:)

Quote:


-The Giants had an excellent free agency period. They got Leonard Williams to sign a multi-year deal, added a big-time wide receiver in Kenny Golladay, a quality cornerback in Adoree’ Jackson, an accomplished veteran tight end in Kyle Rudolph and some other smaller pieces that could pay dividends.


-If the Giants did really want Jaylen Waddle or DeVonta Smith — and they’ll never tell — that didn’t happen. They did maneuver the board impressively and come away with several players who could help make them better, both in 2021 and beyond.


-Quibble about the offensive line if you want, but in my view when you look at the roster there is both front-line talent and capable depth at every position on the roster. Yes, even the offensive line, where Nate Solder, Jonotthan Harrison and Zach Fulton are all accomplished veterans.


-Joe Judge is settled in now as head coach, and while it may have been abbreviated did still have the benefit of an on-field offseason program to work with players this time around.


-Patrick Graham is still the defensive coordinator. Graham could have interviewed with the New York Jets and maybe elsewhere for a head-coaching gig, but chose to stay with the Giants. Players love him, he’s a creative mind and an excellent teacher. The longer the Giants can keep him the better.


-This is a team that seems to have excellent locker room leadership, starting with Logan Ryan. They seem to buy in to Judge’s “team-first” mentality, and there seems to be an upbeat feel around them.


-We can argue about the strengths and weaknesses of the Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Football Team, but in my view neither of those teams is clearly better than the Giants entering the season. Washington may have the better defense and Dallas the better offense, but the Giants might well be the NFC East’s most balanced team.



Of course, that’s all well and good and none of it means they will win games unless Daniel Jones plays well, the offensive line blocks well and the receivers and defense are as good as we think they are.




Link - ( New Window )
Plenty of reasons for optimism, not so many for confidence  
Mike in Boston : 6/13/2021 12:35 pm : link
Much of the optimism assume players will return from injury (Barkley, Jackson etc) and that young players who have shown some flashes or growth will grow, and that all the pieces added in the offseason will gel to a strong team. All things that a reasonable to hope for, but none anything one can be confident in.
RE: Plenty of reasons for optimism, not so many for confidence  
Big Blue '56 : 6/13/2021 12:40 pm : link
In comment 15285678 Mike in Boston said:
Quote:
Much of the optimism assume players will return from injury (Barkley, Jackson etc) and that young players who have shown some flashes or growth will grow, and that all the pieces added in the offseason will gel to a strong team. All things that a reasonable to hope for, but none anything one can be confident in.


Of course. Of the points listed, I am confident will happen. Confident in no way means guaranteed. I’m totally aware of the “pitfalls” inherent in the confidence mindset. Neverthe less, I’m confidently confident..:)
Nevertheless  
Big Blue '56 : 6/13/2021 12:41 pm : link
.
Reasons to be cheerful  
noro9 : 6/13/2021 1:11 pm : link
Part 1
Sure the Giants have questions  
BillT : 6/13/2021 1:29 pm : link
So does every team especially the teams in the NFCE. I’ll take the questions about Daniel Jones over the questions about Hurts or Fitzpatrick. And though Dallas has a QB and an offense their D is a bottom ten unit. So as far as having confidence, I’m more confident about them than their immediate competition. Maybe that’s not saying a lot given the talent in the NFCE but it’s a start.
I am confident enough  
Payasdaddy : 6/13/2021 1:29 pm : link
Really like what JJ brings to the team. Think d jones will have a lot more good than bad plays, as usual bad plays stick out more
Think he can be a top 1/3 qb if he improves in a few areas that are achievable, if not a middle of the road guy. Loves his work ethic and leadership potential
Offense should be a hecka lot more consistent, have more big play ability. Etc. oline being at least competent important
Defense looks real good at all positions, top 10 potential. And there is young developmental depth that we haven’t had for awhile
I expect special teams to bounce back, especially with JJ being there ( since that’s was his forte)
I would be disappointed without playoffs, think we should do around 10-7 area if injuries aren’t out of control. 6 1/2. weeks till training camp. Getting excited
The important takeaway imo  
giantstock : 6/13/2021 2:16 pm : link
Is his comment about quibbling with the OL.

I do quibble. That's the point.

I hope Ed is right throughout the season so no reason to quibble any longer.

Until then . . .
I am quibbling.
There are many reasons to be optimistic.  
Klaatu : 6/13/2021 2:33 pm : link
But there are also just as many reasons to be pessimistic. So, I'm just going to try and stay neutral and see how things play out.
Some people seem to think that progress  
Dr. D : 6/13/2021 2:59 pm : link
is linear. Someone here even said they were being optimistic by predicting 7 wins this year. That's optimistic?

The reality is progress often ISN'T linear. Just look at our own history. Went from 3 wins in '83 to 9 in 84. 6 wins in '04 to 11 in '05. Same from '15 to '16.

There's no f*ing way that this years team is only 1 win better than last years team (with the inferior talent and all the shit it had to deal with).
A team with a lot of needs usually can't fill them all.  
Marty in Albany : 6/13/2021 3:56 pm : link
It looks like the Giants addressed a lot of their needs. Even if they did not fill every need, all the things they did do were GOOD. They didn't make any obviously stupid mistakes.

It's the lack of stupid mistakes that gives me the most hope that the Giants are improving on all fronts.

You may argue that the Giants overpaid some veterans, but you can also argue that good players are at a premium and that they would not have signed with the Giants without a big contract.




I do subscribe to view that player progress is most often  
Jimmy Googs : 6/13/2021 5:22 pm : link
not linear, particularly QBs. However, team progress being measured solely by wins/losses can possibly overlook the effect injuries will have on outcomes. Look no further than the quality of your backup QB to support that view...
RE: RE: Plenty of reasons for optimism, not so many for confidence  
Bob from Massachusetts : 6/13/2021 5:29 pm : link
Just say "I think the Giants are going to be f'in' awesome this year!" If you're wrong, you're wrong. That's OK (for you to be wrong, not for the Giants to be anything other than awesome). I'm standing by that opinion until they prove me wrong!

In comment 15285681 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15285678 Mike in Boston said:


Quote:


Much of the optimism assume players will return from injury (Barkley, Jackson etc) and that young players who have shown some flashes or growth will grow, and that all the pieces added in the offseason will gel to a strong team. All things that a reasonable to hope for, but none anything one can be confident in.



Of course. Of the points listed, I am confident will happen. Confident in no way means guaranteed. I’m totally aware of the “pitfalls” inherent in the confidence mindset. Neverthe less, I’m confidently confident..:)
...  
christian : 6/13/2021 5:35 pm : link
I think all of the views are quite reasonable, except the awkwardly phrased bullet about the offensive line.

I think it's pretty telling no one is capable of saying in clear terms -- the five guys penciled in right now showed enough last year, that I expect them to push this line from the bottom to the middle of the pack.
RE: ...  
Big Blue '56 : 6/13/2021 5:41 pm : link
In comment 15285845 christian said:
Quote:
I think all of the views are quite reasonable, except the awkwardly phrased bullet about the offensive line.

I think it's pretty telling no one is capable of saying in clear terms -- the five guys penciled in right now showed enough last year, that I expect them to push this line from the bottom to the middle of the pack.


Perhaps, only the people in the buikding have a much truer read on what they have, notwithstanding that nothing is a sure thing..We’ll get a better fans’ read once the season gets underway, imv.
 
christian : 6/13/2021 6:07 pm : link
The people in the room unequivocally, and always know more than fans. Now what they do with it, that’s another story.

I’m observing there are times the improvement in talent is so obvious, even us less informed fans and writers can see it.

For instance it would take a real fool to doubt the Giants haven’t greatly improved the WR group. The improvement to the line isn’t in that arena.
RE: Some people seem to think that progress  
giantstock : 6/13/2021 10:37 pm : link
In comment 15285778 Dr. D said:
Quote:
is linear. Someone here even said they were being optimistic by predicting 7 wins this year. That's optimistic?

The reality is progress often ISN'T linear. Just look at our own history. Went from 3 wins in '83 to 9 in 84. 6 wins in '04 to 11 in '05. Same from '15 to '16.

There's no f*ing way that this years team is only 1 win better than last years team (with the inferior talent and all the shit it had to deal with).


Yes 7 wins is optimistic for me. Here's the combination of 3 reasons not just 1 specific.

1--- We used to hear in past years if the team had a better record than the prior year the comment was "they improved." A 7-10 record is an improvement.

2---This past year we were in a conference that was historically bad. Not just bad but historically bad. SO the team would have to play better in order to achieve the same 7 wins yet have a better overall improved winning %.

3-- Kudos to "Trader Dave Gettleman" for setting the Giants up for 2022. With 10 draft picks he set the team up very good for 2022. And even if Jones were to fail he is position to make a move for another QB.

Overall if they go 7-10 team is probably still going to be better overall with a big chance for a big jump in 2022. That's not "optimistic?"

So in summary - how can I not see optimism if that 1- we're going ot have a better win %, along with playign over better quality football, while having a much stronger outlook - not just insignificant outlook- but much stronger for 2022?
Seven wins would be a disappointment  
johnnyb : 6/14/2021 7:16 am : link
IMO. The Giants did not spend the money they spent to squeeze out one more win.

7-10 would be enough to force a change at GM and would be a setback for Judge.
RE: Seven wins would be a disappointment  
Big Blue '56 : 6/14/2021 7:23 am : link
In comment 15285999 johnnyb said:
Quote:
IMO. The Giants did not spend the money they spent to squeeze out one more win.

7-10 would be enough to force a change at GM and would be a setback for Judge.


Agreed. My optimism extends to 10-11 wins in a 17 game schedule. I’d be very disappointed with 7 UNLESS we were truly ravaged by injuries.
RE: Seven wins would be a disappointment  
Ten Ton Hammer : 6/14/2021 8:11 am : link
In comment 15285999 johnnyb said:
Quote:
IMO. The Giants did not spend the money they spent to squeeze out one more win.

7-10 would be enough to force a change at GM and would be a setback for Judge.



They're gambling that the OL is better than shown and internal coaching was the problem.

If the OL plays as well as it did last year, they're not going to be much better. This is a gamble the Giants have flat out lost for the past several years.
5-1 against a week division  
WillieYoung : 6/14/2021 8:24 am : link
5-6 against the rest of the league. 10-7 overall; enough to win the NFC East.
RE: RE: Seven wins would be a disappointment  
christian : 6/14/2021 9:38 am : link
In comment 15286014 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:

If the OL plays as well as it did last year, they're not going to be much better. This is a gamble the Giants have flat out lost for the past several years.


It's a bigger bet in my view. They're betting after downgrading the veteran talent and adding a position coach with no NFL experience, 2 young players will replicate their success and 3 young players will blossom.

The practical improbability is pretty clear. If this works out, we should all get in line to carry Judge around on a thrown.
10 and 11 win predictions?  
chick310 : 6/14/2021 9:40 am : link
Wow.
RE: RE: RE: Seven wins would be a disappointment  
Grizz99 : 6/14/2021 10:35 am : link
In comment 15286047 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 15286014 Ten Ton Hammer said:


Quote:



If the OL plays as well as it did last year, they're not going to be much better. This is a gamble the Giants have flat out lost for the past several years.



It's a bigger bet in my view. They're betting after downgrading the veteran talent and adding a position coach with no NFL experience, 2 young players will replicate their success and 3 young players will blossom.

The practical improbability is pretty clear. If this works out, we should all get in line to carry Judge around on a thrown.


Ahh Chickenshit.
This group faced an impossible situation last year. people discount the problems that no preseason provoked and note that every team missed preseason. But the Giants had players who were new at every position with a new coahing staff and systems. They were still learning each ohter's names.
It's reasonable to assume that Solder has it act together after almost losing a child. What team has a back up at tackle that is in his class. The starting tackles could be (should be>) dominant.
I go along with the Skinner film reviews and Gates right now is a dominant center.
Saquons return helps the line enormously. The better receivers helps pass protection, because frankly no one could get separation last year.
A "real" tight end helps in the run blocking.
But just the continuity in a group so dependent on continuity means quantum improvement.
I'm not a Shane Lemiux (sp?) fan. I don't see how a pumped up small 300 lb. that can only press 24 x's can go into the trenches against monsters like our Dek Lawrence who weigh 340 and bench 36 x's. But I don't know what I'm talking about and the same coaching staff who located and develope a free agent for the critical center position have credentials.
"Middle of the pack"???, my bleeding asskmenoquestions.
Continuity, coaching and Collective talent (the critical C's) will make this a Cleary Competent Collection.
RE: RE: Seven wins would be a disappointment  
JonC : 6/14/2021 10:40 am : link
In comment 15286014 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
In comment 15285999 johnnyb said:


Quote:


IMO. The Giants did not spend the money they spent to squeeze out one more win.

7-10 would be enough to force a change at GM and would be a setback for Judge.




They're gambling that the OL is better than shown and internal coaching was the problem.

If the OL plays as well as it did last year, they're not going to be much better. This is a gamble the Giants have flat out lost for the past several years.


Correct, and it is the biggest sore spot remaining on paper.
Which team has a backup Tackle in Solder's class.  
chick310 : 6/14/2021 11:05 am : link
The starting OTs should be dominant.
Gates is a dominant Center.

So many well thought out OL comments to choose from.

Yeah, dominant is not a descriptor I would use  
JonC : 6/14/2021 11:16 am : link
for any NYG OL, at the moment.
...  
christian : 6/14/2021 11:23 am : link
I think pegging Solder's poor play on his kid is misguided -- his son has been sick for a while -- including seasons when Solder played much better.

I think the more likely issue is his body is betraying him and he's getting up there in age. I think he's a bad football player at this point. Maybe the year off rejuvenated him.

RE: Which team has a backup Tackle in Solder's class.  
Ten Ton Hammer : 6/14/2021 11:33 am : link
In comment 15286124 chick310 said:
Quote:
The starting OTs should be dominant.
Gates is a dominant Center.

So many well thought out OL comments to choose from.


Solder hasn't played one complete good season for this team. Whatever he was in New England, he isn't that here. He's had good games and good stretches.

Gates, yeah, no complaints. The OL is as good as it's weakest part. Gates being really good last year didn't cover up for the rest of the unit. Nothing does. You need 5 solid players, not 1 or two.
RE: RE: Seven wins would be a disappointment  
Dr. D : 6/14/2021 12:11 pm : link
In comment 15286014 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
In comment 15285999 johnnyb said:


Quote:


IMO. The Giants did not spend the money they spent to squeeze out one more win.

7-10 would be enough to force a change at GM and would be a setback for Judge.




They're gambling that the OL is better than shown and internal coaching was the problem.

I think "internal coaching" (Columbo) was only a part of the problem.

You can say "they're gambling", but I think they're expecting a young OL (that includes a high 1st rd pick, a 2nd, a 3rd and possibly a gem of an UDFA), that had no OTAs, largely virtual training camp and no preseason games in 2020, will develop, given a normal offseason, good coaching, player development and some continuity.

If you look at the 2nd half of last season and you take out the 2 games when DJ was severely hobbled (and prolly shouldn't have been playing), and you add a normal offseason, good coaching, etc., there's reason for optimism for those who are open to it.

I'm optimistic in an Internet fan forum the OL will improve  
JonC : 6/14/2021 12:29 pm : link
but in order to be a winning/playoff team, the OL will need to demonstrate considerable improvement on the football field. To this point, there is a ton to prove.
RE: RE: RE: Seven wins would be a disappointment  
Ten Ton Hammer : 6/14/2021 1:08 pm : link
In comment 15286164 Dr. D said:
Quote:

If you look at the 2nd half of last season and you take out the 2 games when DJ was severely hobbled (and prolly shouldn't have been playing), and you add a normal offseason, good coaching, etc., there's reason for optimism for those who are open to it.



It's just a pragmatic view. I'm not closed to optimism, but optimism isn't a plan in and of itself. We can rattle off a list of NFL players in history who didn't simply get better just because it's what young players are expected to do. Player development is not so predictable.

They have the inside view and the only decision that matters, so all we can do is watch, but we've seen this movie before and it's flopped before.
Ten Ton  
Dr. D : 6/14/2021 1:56 pm : link
I understand "optimism isn't a plan". I don't think Joe Judge is sitting around cheering and saying "hey guys let's just be optimistic!".

But there was a LOT more to the equation last year than "an internal coaching problem" (which appeared to be addressed midway through the season).

The OL (along with DJ) had a long list of shit going against it last year. The type of shit no other team in the league (as far as I know), had going against it. Sure, other teams dealt w/ covid, lack of OTAs and preseason, but no other team went through that with a new coaching staff, new offense, 2nd yr QB, a rookie LT, C who never played C, crappy WR corps, etc., etc.

Many on BBI thought we were screwed because we didn't draft a Center last year. It turned out JJ, DG, et al., knew better.

To each their own. Time will tell.

RE: RE: Some people seem to think that progress  
Bruner4329 : 6/15/2021 9:26 am : link
In comment 15285965 giantstock said:
Quote:
In comment 15285778 Dr. D said:


Quote:


is linear. Someone here even said they were being optimistic by predicting 7 wins this year. That's optimistic?

The reality is progress often ISN'T linear. Just look at our own history. Went from 3 wins in '83 to 9 in 84. 6 wins in '04 to 11 in '05. Same from '15 to '16.

There's no f*ing way that this years team is only 1 win better than last years team (with the inferior talent and all the shit it had to deal with).



Yes 7 wins is optimistic for me. Here's the combination of 3 reasons not just 1 specific.

1--- We used to hear in past years if the team had a better record than the prior year the comment was "they improved." A 7-10 record is an improvement.

2---This past year we were in a conference that was historically bad. Not just bad but historically bad. SO the team would have to play better in order to achieve the same 7 wins yet have a better overall improved winning %.

3-- Kudos to "Trader Dave Gettleman" for setting the Giants up for 2022. With 10 draft picks he set the team up very good for 2022. And even if Jones were to fail he is position to make a move for another QB.

Overall if they go 7-10 team is probably still going to be better overall with a big chance for a big jump in 2022. That's not "optimistic?"

So in summary - how can I not see optimism if that 1- we're going ot have a better win %, along with playign over better quality football, while having a much stronger outlook - not just insignificant outlook- but much stronger for 2022?


The talent upgrade in the off season combined with a full year of development under JJ and all you come up with is one more win in a 17 game schedule. No its not optimistic. If you really thought about this and looked at last year's games you would realize we were in every game except for maybe 2 not to mention blowing at least 3 games at the end including Philly and Dallas. We easily could have won 8/9 games last year with less talent than this team and playing without SB. Anything short of 9/10 wins would be a big disappointment.
The hopes I have for this year are the the Giants  
jsuds : 6/15/2021 5:38 pm : link
1. Learn how to win. Young teams need to grasp this mentality to be successful IMO.

2. Eliminate the mistakes that in the past have hurt them so severely. The Giants for too long have been the Murphy's Law of Mistakes team. Any error they make results in the worst possible outcome that could occur.

3. Stay as healthy as possible. This one is luck but if it happens, and the two above do....playoffs are very possible.

RE: RE: RE: Some people seem to think that progress  
giantstock : 6/16/2021 2:08 am : link
In comment 15286590 Bruner4329 said:
Quote:
In comment 15285965 giantstock said:


Quote:


In comment 15285778 Dr. D said:


Quote:





The talent upgrade in the off season combined with a full year of development under JJ and all you come up with is one more win in a 17 game schedule. No its not optimistic. If you really thought about this and looked at last year's games you would realize we were in every game except for maybe 2 not to mention blowing at least 3 games at the end including Philly and Dallas. We easily could have won 8/9 games last year with less talent than this team and playing without SB. Anything short of 9/10 wins would be a big disappointment.


1-- When you speak of "talent" I have heard this so often before. OFC some fans are always going to overrate their team's "talent."

2--- While you speak of "development" - other teams develop too. Why is it that the Giants players are going to develop more AND enough for winning football and not others? Because they are among the youngest? Who’s to say it's going to be linear? Of course many Giants fans think so - and it will be THEIR TEAM and NOT others. And what about teams that were decimated by injury last year? For example, Dallas? While I expect Giants to be better than Philly - Philly was wiped out last year by injuries too.

In terms of Philly - look at these threads prior to the draft- many wanted Smith. After we got Toney see how the threads changed quite a bit a lot of people popping up saying actually Toney was close to Smith etc. All I know is our resident expert - SY had Toney ranked as the 14th best WR. Yet the Giants fans that we are - we're going to overlook that, right? And that's when we throw the word "talent" around. Yet SY threw a phrase around to paraphrase in describing Toney as "limited ceiling." If Toney isn't so hot then how much "talent" is their at WR?

3-- When you make mention of "if I really thought about this." I did. I recognize that some Giants fans are going to overrate their team also. When you speak of "closeness" of the games - I think it completely irrelevant. The object of the game is to win. Not to be close. Bill Parcells comments have always stuck with me that you are what your record says you are. IMO the rest is just us Giants fans expressing our own bias.

4-- In regards to your comment "we could have easily won . . ." - I'm sure Dallas and Philly say the same things about last year if they were healthy. They were much more decimated by injuries than the Giants. And I'm sure WFT feels the same too.

------------
In summary for me - - and this will NEARLY ALWAYS be the case- a team that is under rebuild in which 1-- they wind up with a better record from the prior year, 2—while playing better quality football for A FULL SEASON (without too much cherry-picking) than the prior year and 3- are loaded with draft picks for the following year is the definition of being optimistic. You think they are going to win more- great. I hope you’re right and win a ton of money backing up your conviction too. I want you to win. Until then "Show me. Don't tell me." I've seen this movie before that "we have the talent."

Back to the Corner