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NFT: Mets Trade Deadline Thread

GF1080 : 7/30/2021 9:39 am
Jon Heyman
@JonHeyman
Bryant has been linked to the Mets for weeks but Baez is in the discussions as well. Baez could replace his great friend Lindor at SS, then switch to 2B once Lindor returns. Baez said aloud this week he wanted to team with Francisco. So either Bryant or Baez are possible for NYM.

Jon Heyman
@JonHeyman
Zach Davies is a target for the Mets, who remain most focused on pitching. But his more high-profile teammates Kris Bryant and Javier Baez (one or the other) are also Mets possibilities.
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deGrom  
KDubbs : 7/30/2021 3:47 pm : link
didnt play catch today after his pen session yesterday. is that not good?
RE: WTF does can't you eevn enjoy anything mean?  
Everyone Relax : 7/30/2021 3:52 pm : link
In comment 15317941 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
Yeah, that ice cream I bought at the store is delicious, I'm just going to sit here an enjoy it even though I paid $18,000 for that pint of ice cream.

Some of you sound ridiculous and then others agree.

It's ok to say it's a shitty trade even if you support the reasons they made it. You don't have to put your head in the sand





Quote:


Baseball Trade Values
@BaseballValues
·
16m
The #Mets have reportedly acquired SS Javier Baez ($8.7M median trade value) and RHP Trevor Williams ($2.1M) from the #Cubs in exchange for OF Pete Crow-Armstrong ($17.5M).

The deal is accepted, but as a major overpay by New York.





Quote:


Baseball Trade Values
@BaseballValues
·
17m
Even as an overpay, this seems in line with some of the crazy deals we've seen today.

Additionally, Crow-Armstrong is a particularly high-variance prospect, given his age and questions about his bat.



I mean the comment is pretty self explanatory. Mets made a trade for one of the most exciting players in baseball and some choose to cry about losing a 19 year old prospect instead. Shitty trade or not (no one actually knows) why would anyone choose to be upset about something that might go bad in 3 years? And you're analogy is fine, except I would happily enjoy a $16,000 pint of ice cream if Steve Cohen is paying for it.
RE: RE: It’s almost witching hour.  
johnnyb : 7/30/2021 3:52 pm : link
In comment 15317946 CGiants07 said:
Quote:
In comment 15317945 johnnyb said:


Quote:


The Mets need to make one more move for a pitcher. Trevor Williams cannot be our only pitching addition.


rich hill


OK. Forgot about him. But even with the addition of Williams and Hill, the needle needs to be moved a bit further. Baez is a nice acquisition but this team needs pitching.
Bryant to  
ZGiants98 : 7/30/2021 3:55 pm : link
SF
RE: pjcas  
pjcas18 : 7/30/2021 3:55 pm : link
In comment 15317944 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
That site vastly overrates the long term value of prospects and I think underrates Baez because it does not take into account that he wants to play with Lindor. I am sure the Mets reached out to his camp to see if they would be reasonable on a long term deal.


sure, if he's extended that can change things, but expanding on what I said before to me this means the Mets think deGrom will be fine and he's not far from joining the rotation.

Otherwise, Baez was a FA after the season and would have been available just for a contract (assuming he was traded elsewhere).

If the Mets do not contend this season they gave up a top 5 prospect at a thin position in a thin system for no reason.
Mets in on Buxton  
ZGiants98 : 7/30/2021 3:57 pm : link
Would be crazy if we pulled that off
RE: RE: RE: It’s almost witching hour.  
CGiants07 : 7/30/2021 3:57 pm : link
In comment 15317952 johnnyb said:
Quote:
In comment 15317946 CGiants07 said:


Quote:


In comment 15317945 johnnyb said:


Quote:


The Mets need to make one more move for a pitcher. Trevor Williams cannot be our only pitching addition.


rich hill



OK. Forgot about him. But even with the addition of Williams and Hill, the needle needs to be moved a bit further. Baez is a nice acquisition but this team needs pitching.

there is still a few mins
RE: RE: pjcas  
Chris684 : 7/30/2021 4:01 pm : link
In comment 15317954 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 15317944 Mike in NY said:


Quote:


That site vastly overrates the long term value of prospects and I think underrates Baez because it does not take into account that he wants to play with Lindor. I am sure the Mets reached out to his camp to see if they would be reasonable on a long term deal.



sure, if he's extended that can change things, but expanding on what I said before to me this means the Mets think deGrom will be fine and he's not far from joining the rotation.

Otherwise, Baez was a FA after the season and would have been available just for a contract (assuming he was traded elsewhere).

If the Mets do not contend this season they gave up a top 5 prospect at a thin position in a thin system for no reason.


You already admitted you're a "pospect hugger" which is fine but other people get excited when their team brings in exciting players that have reached very high levels of play at the big league level. The Mets are trying to win a division THIS year. Baez will help.
sounds like mets are done  
CGiants07 : 7/30/2021 4:03 pm : link
...
Maybe overthinking...  
moze1021 : 7/30/2021 4:05 pm : link
But the lack of a deal for a pitcher AND going to fortify the offense further makes me think they feel good about Jake returning.
RE: RE: RE: pjcas  
pjcas18 : 7/30/2021 4:07 pm : link
In comment 15317961 Chris684 said:
Quote:
In comment 15317954 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


In comment 15317944 Mike in NY said:


Quote:


That site vastly overrates the long term value of prospects and I think underrates Baez because it does not take into account that he wants to play with Lindor. I am sure the Mets reached out to his camp to see if they would be reasonable on a long term deal.



sure, if he's extended that can change things, but expanding on what I said before to me this means the Mets think deGrom will be fine and he's not far from joining the rotation.

Otherwise, Baez was a FA after the season and would have been available just for a contract (assuming he was traded elsewhere).

If the Mets do not contend this season they gave up a top 5 prospect at a thin position in a thin system for no reason.



You already admitted you're a "pospect hugger" which is fine but other people get excited when their team brings in exciting players that have reached very high levels of play at the big league level. The Mets are trying to win a division THIS year. Baez will help.


My comment was about people being excited, I think Baez can add a spark, maybe, and I hope he does, but my comment was about the people being excited for some reason insulting people who feel like to get that player (Baez) the Mets paid too much.

not sure why it cannot be both. or why people feel the need to insult others for their opinions.
Worth noting  
JB_in_DC : 7/30/2021 4:08 pm : link
Baez good for 2.0 fWAR thus far this year, .2 higher than any Mets position player.
my comment  
pjcas18 : 7/30/2021 4:08 pm : link
*wasn't* about people being excited
Sooo  
ripdumaine : 7/30/2021 4:13 pm : link
Baez vs Garrett should be fun this weekend
Braves did an amazing job  
five5 : 7/30/2021 4:22 pm : link
today. Eddie Rosario, Duvall and Jorge Soler added.
wow SF gave up Bart for Bryant  
Eric on Li : 7/30/2021 4:24 pm : link
has Bart fallen off that far or is that a big return?

also in terms of prospect valuation, FG values 45 grade prospects as worth $6m. 45+ are worth $8m. 50 grade jump up to $28m. They've had PCA ranked as a 45, and obviously he's also an injured 45. Which is context that matters compared to another 45 like Vientos who is obviously in the midst of a monster season. For PCA to bump up to a 50 he would probably have to hit a lot when he comes back. Not impossible and at all but not a given.

At the MLB level I believe fwar are generally valued between $5-10m so if he produces 1-2 fwar in the back half of the year, it's a pretty even up trade. As Mike said if he fits really well and wants to remain here there's bigger upside.

Again, I'm bummed to give up a potential GG Cf, but I'm more pumped to get an actual GG middle infielder to combo with Lindor. And not only that but a GG middle infielder who may outhomer Alonso this year. And if there's a reasonable multi-year deal to be had even better.
RE: JD Davis  
CGiants07 : 7/30/2021 4:28 pm : link
In comment 15317931 five5 said:
Quote:
You would think he might get dealt after this deal. How many IFers can you have?

jd can also play LF
I suppose  
Cyrus the Great : 7/30/2021 4:33 pm : link
when Lindor comes back Baez will move over to third and Davis goes to the bench or McNeil to third and Baez to second. I'm probably alone on this but I'd rather see Davis play than Baez. Pretty much all of the offensive metrics favor Davis over Baez and I don't think Davis' defense is as bad as people say. The WAR projections, which factor in defense, favor Baez but I've never been a fan of the defensive statistics. Obviously the front office believe Baez is better than Davis so we'll see, hopefully it works out.
RE: wow SF gave up Bart for Bryant  
Strahan91 : 7/30/2021 4:34 pm : link
In comment 15317990 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
has Bart fallen off that far or is that a big return?

Bart isn't in the deal. Report was incorrect

Mark Feinsand
@Feinsand
Cubs receive OF Alexander Canario (No. 9 SF prospect per
@MLBPipeline
) and RHP Caleb Killian (No. 30) from the Giants for Kris Bryant, per source.
Cubs really are selling the farm.  
RicFlair : 7/30/2021 4:36 pm : link
Jeez.
Infield  
allstarjim : 7/30/2021 4:38 pm : link
After today when healthy...

Alonso, Baez, Lindor, McNeil/Davis.

Defense is phenomenal up the middle and the offense at third makes up for a little less than average defense there.

McNeil can also play OF.

Lost in the deal is the Mets got a lot better vs LH pitching.

Baez with a .965 OPS and BA of .301 vs lefties this year. Career .882 OPS vs lefties. He's also having a really good July.

This deal makes the Mets better defensively and offensively.
that makes more sense - side note what an awesome deadline  
Eric on Li : 7/30/2021 4:39 pm : link
feel like the deadline as a fun day was almost dead the last several years around the league but this year it exploded. The Cubs traded 2 former MVP contenders (or 3 if you count Rizzo). The Nats traded a CY and an MVP level player. Gallo. Berrios. Rodriguez now. Absolutely massive amount of talent that changed teams.

No idea if it's the upcoming CBA or owners pocketed more cash than they expected last year with the lower player salaries but I think we saw more buyers this year than the last decade combined (which explains why prices were higher too).
twins on drugs  
CGiants07 : 7/30/2021 4:42 pm : link

Deesha
@DeeshaThosar
·
3m
The Twins wanted a package that included at least Dominic Smith and shortstop prospect Ronny Mauricio from Mets for Jose Berrios, per sources.

Mets maintained Minnesota’s request was too high.
Link - ( New Window )
RE: twins on drugs  
KevinBBWC : 7/30/2021 4:45 pm : link
In comment 15318007 CGiants07 said:
Quote:


The Twins wanted a package that included at least Dominic Smith and shortstop prospect Ronny Mauricio from Mets for Jose Berrios, per sources.

Mets maintained Minnesota’s request was too high. Link - ( New Window )


At Least??? LMFAO.
RE: twins on drugs  
allstarjim : 7/30/2021 4:59 pm : link
In comment 15318007 CGiants07 said:
Quote:

Deesha
@DeeshaThosar
·
3m
The Twins wanted a package that included at least Dominic Smith and shortstop prospect Ronny Mauricio from Mets for Jose Berrios, per sources.

Mets maintained Minnesota’s request was too high. Link - ( New Window )


I think that demonstrates that Dom is well thought of.
Kinda lame we didn’t add a reliever  
ZGiants98 : 7/30/2021 4:59 pm : link
A lot of good names moved for peanuts.

Oh well, the biggest improvement should come from within. Pray for health and guys to play up to career averages.
the Mets had the cubs kick in cash to pay down both players  
Eric on Li : 7/30/2021 5:00 pm : link
which is odd because neither had that much money left due this year. Is that just to stay under the LTT?
RE: twins on drugs  
pjcas18 : 7/30/2021 5:01 pm : link
In comment 15318007 CGiants07 said:
Quote:

Deesha
@DeeshaThosar
·
3m
The Twins wanted a package that included at least Dominic Smith and shortstop prospect Ronny Mauricio from Mets for Jose Berrios, per sources.

Mets maintained Minnesota’s request was too high. Link - ( New Window )


that Blue Jays traded included a top 20 prospect (Martin) and a top 70 (SWR).

So, the Twins got a good deal.
RE: Kinda lame we didn’t add a reliever  
Eric on Li : 7/30/2021 5:02 pm : link
In comment 15318023 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
A lot of good names moved for peanuts.

Oh well, the biggest improvement should come from within. Pray for health and guys to play up to career averages.


I'd guess they expect a starter to go to the BP and whoever that is to be as good or better than what was available. If the other SP get healthy someone like Megill could be a weapon out of the pen. Also a good use of his innings if he's capped.

Even if it were Harvey, I'd have liked to see them add 1 more arm though.
Yes we are trying to stay under the tax  
ZGiants98 : 7/30/2021 5:02 pm : link
Makes no sense to go into the penalty by only a million dollars or so. If you’re going to go over, really go over.
RE: RE: Kinda lame we didn’t add a reliever  
CGiants07 : 7/30/2021 5:03 pm : link
In comment 15318029 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
In comment 15318023 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


A lot of good names moved for peanuts.

Oh well, the biggest improvement should come from within. Pray for health and guys to play up to career averages.



I'd guess they expect a starter to go to the BP and whoever that is to be as good or better than what was available. If the other SP get healthy someone like Megill could be a weapon out of the pen. Also a good use of his innings if he's capped.

Even if it were Harvey, I'd have liked to see them add 1 more arm though.

if thor makes it back hes going in the pen
RE: Yes we are trying to stay under the tax  
Eric on Li : 7/30/2021 5:03 pm : link
In comment 15318030 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
Makes no sense to go into the penalty by only a million dollars or so. If you’re going to go over, really go over.


Agreed but I think they had some room to go before they hit it and there's no more waivers deadline, so presumably not much risk in having any more cushion. But I guess you never know. Maybe they are guessing someone with a decent salary gets cut or something.
Biggest addition of the day is Carrasco  
ZGiants98 : 7/30/2021 5:03 pm : link
Good luck tonight.
.  
pjcas18 : 7/30/2021 5:04 pm : link
Mark Feinsand
@Feinsand
·
11m
The Cubs included enough cash in their deal with the Mets to pay Baez and Williams' contracts down so the Mets will pay just the league-minimum, per source.
RE: RE: Yes we are trying to stay under the tax  
CGiants07 : 7/30/2021 5:10 pm : link
In comment 15318032 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
In comment 15318030 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


Makes no sense to go into the penalty by only a million dollars or so. If you’re going to go over, really go over.



Agreed but I think they had some room to go before they hit it and there's no more waivers deadline, so presumably not much risk in having any more cushion. But I guess you never know. Maybe they are guessing someone with a decent salary gets cut or something.


they wee also trying to add another pitcher before the deadline
RE: RE: RE: Yes we are trying to stay under the tax  
Eric on Li : 7/30/2021 5:13 pm : link
In comment 15318036 CGiants07 said:
Quote:
In comment 15318032 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


In comment 15318030 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


Makes no sense to go into the penalty by only a million dollars or so. If you’re going to go over, really go over.



Agreed but I think they had some room to go before they hit it and there's no more waivers deadline, so presumably not much risk in having any more cushion. But I guess you never know. Maybe they are guessing someone with a decent salary gets cut or something.



they wee also trying to add another pitcher before the deadline


That too good point.
Is Baez a rental?  
Sean : 7/30/2021 6:09 pm : link
Or do we think he’ll be signed long term.
RE: Is Baez a rental?  
KDavies : 7/30/2021 6:39 pm : link
In comment 15318068 Sean said:
Quote:
Or do we think he’ll be signed long term.


I expect him to be signed. He is real close with Lindor, and the two of them were on the PR team for the WBC together.
Of course  
JoeMoney19 : 7/30/2021 7:11 pm : link
deGrom is shut down for two weeks now with a setback. I feel like if the Mets were going to trade for a rental like Baez then they should have added a better starter too, like a Maeda. Heck, even just staying with the Twins, Pineda would have been better than Williams.
RE: RE: It’s almost witching hour.  
Ten Ton Hammer : 7/30/2021 7:14 pm : link
In comment 15317946 CGiants07 said:
Quote:
In comment 15317945 johnnyb said:


Quote:


The Mets need to make one more move for a pitcher. Trevor Williams cannot be our only pitching addition.


rich hill


And Carrasco.
RE: Maybe overthinking...  
moze1021 : 7/30/2021 7:45 pm : link
In comment 15317965 moze1021 said:
Quote:
But the lack of a deal for a pitcher AND going to fortify the offense further makes me think they feel good about Jake returning.


Well this post didn't age well
RE: RE: Is Baez a rental?  
JoeMoney19 : 7/30/2021 8:27 pm : link
In comment 15318076 KDavies said:
Quote:
In comment 15318068 Sean said:


Quote:


Or do we think he’ll be signed long term.



I expect him to be signed. He is real close with Lindor, and the two of them were on the PR team for the WBC together.

I’d be surprised if that’s where they put their money but if it’s what Lindor wants I think it will be considered.

If they do, I would think that is definitely the end for Conforto which will leave them with big holes in the outfield.
I wish  
spike : 7/30/2021 8:28 pm : link
we kept Fargas.
wonder if they even inquired about Harvey  
pjcas18 : 7/30/2021 9:34 pm : link
every loves a reclamation story.

Matt Harvey
Orioles starting pitcher Matt Harvey throws six scoreless innings against the Tigers, marking his third consecutive start without allowing a run
RE: RE: RE: Is Baez a rental?  
KDavies : 7/30/2021 9:51 pm : link
In comment 15318123 JoeMoney19 said:
Quote:
In comment 15318076 KDavies said:


Quote:


In comment 15318068 Sean said:


Quote:


Or do we think he’ll be signed long term.



I expect him to be signed. He is real close with Lindor, and the two of them were on the PR team for the WBC together.


I’d be surprised if that’s where they put their money but if it’s what Lindor wants I think it will be considered.

If they do, I would think that is definitely the end for Conforto which will leave them with big holes in the outfield.


Conforto is a big hole in the OF right now. If it were between them, I would pay Baez
Conforto plays  
allstarjim : 7/31/2021 11:11 am : link
An outstanding defensive RF. For that reason, I could see Sandy trying to extend both players. Sandy puts an emphasis on defense.

But J.D. is controllable at third, and McNeil can play corner outfield, so I can see McNeil replacing Conforto in RF. However, we're probably getting DH next year, so it makes no sense for Dom to remain a LFer. Nimmo could also move to a corner, and then I guess a lot depends on Khalil Lee, who Ks a bunch, but could take over in CF. FWIW, Lee has an .852 OPS in AAA this year, bolstered by a ~20% walk rate. But I just don't know if you can count on Lee next year as a ML starter in a big market team OF.

The Mets could certainly hedge with Pillar in CF next year, or platoon him with Lee and Nimmo and mix and match LF and 3rd, and this is where a surprise candidate could emerge...Mark Vientos. Probably not early in the season, but say he's promoted to AAA to start next year, say he crushes it in the Spring and in AAA...then I don't have to squint too hard to see him in Queens around the ASB of '22.

And if Conforto continues to struggle at the plate this season, he could sign a QO to re-establish his value.
I don't see anyone giving Conforto the deal he wants off this season  
Eric on Li : 7/31/2021 11:13 am : link
and I had a hard time seeing anyone giving him the kind of crazy money that he was rumored to be asking for before this season. I'd be really surprised if he doesn't take a 1 year deal this offseason. I'd be open to getting him on a 2 or 3 year deal at a FMV but I doubt he settles for that.
RE: Conforto plays  
cactus : 8/1/2021 12:04 am : link
In comment 15318299 allstarjim said:
Quote:
Sandy puts an emphasis on defense.


Since when?
RE: I don't see anyone giving Conforto the deal he wants off this season  
spike : 8/1/2021 8:52 am : link
In comment 15318302 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
and I had a hard time seeing anyone giving him the kind of crazy money that he was rumored to be asking for before this season. I'd be really surprised if he doesn't take a 1 year deal this offseason. I'd be open to getting him on a 2 or 3 year deal at a FMV but I doubt he settles for that.


I think Conforto is done in NY
RE: RE: I don't see anyone giving Conforto the deal he wants off this season  
Eric on Li : 8/1/2021 10:21 am : link
In comment 15318738 spike said:
Quote:
In comment 15318302 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


and I had a hard time seeing anyone giving him the kind of crazy money that he was rumored to be asking for before this season. I'd be really surprised if he doesn't take a 1 year deal this offseason. I'd be open to getting him on a 2 or 3 year deal at a FMV but I doubt he settles for that.



I think Conforto is done in NY


Who is paying him though? I doubt anyone would even risk matching the Ozuna/Castellanos contracts for him, and that's half of what his rumored asking price was when the NYM were talking about an extension. I do think the NYM would sign him to that type of extension and I do think they will offer him a QO so I'd be surprised if he's not back.
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