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A Look Back at the Five Close Games We Lost Last Year

gidiefor : Mod : 9/9/2021 12:35 pm
The question is by losing:
Zeitler, Flemming, Tomlinson, Harper, Ballantine, Tate, Downs and Gallman
and by gaining:
Golloday, Jackson, Rudolph, Barkley, McKinley, Shelton and Booker

Could the Giants have won these five games?

Here are the games and Sy's review of each linked:

Sept 20 Game 2 at Chicago Giants 13 Bears 17
Sy's Game 2 Review
Some Highlights
- We lost Barkley for the season and Shep got injured and left the game
- it was Thomases' 2nd game as a rookie and he got abused
- the Defense hadn't gelled yet and was having problems making 3rd down stops
- Ballentine, Tomlinson, Downs and Peppers were getting beat or pushed back on 3rd and 4th down plays
- Jones had a Turnover problem and seemed indecisive

October 4 Game 4 at Rams Giants 9 Rams 17
Sy's Game 4 Review
Some Highlights
- first possession was a drop, a sack and a loss of yardage play – 3 and out
– Zeitler and Thomas got pummeled this game – arguably a Zeitler false start cost the Giants points – Hernandez and Gates had a good game, and this is the game that Gates got into a fight with Aaron Donald and changed the game tempo in the second half
- Jones was inaccurate at the end of the game costing chances to score; his receivers were Tate and Slayton and a bunch of no names.
- Edge got no pressure on LA but the DLine held the Rams to 58 yds rushing – there were problems setting the edge
- Ryan Lewis playing opposite Bradburry gave up a lot of pass plays by giving too much cushion – Love gave up a touchdown on a coverage breakdown
– Lawrence had a monster game

October 11 Game 5 at Cowboys Giants 34 Cowboys 37
Sy's Game 5 Review
Some Highlights
- note the Giants won the Home game against the Cowboys on 1/3 23-19
- Jones had a Fumble
- Freeman had a good game – the Giants were power running
– Slayton had a decent game – Tate did not and the no name receiving core out there was an issue, Ratley was called for PI taking away a Slayton Touchdown, Engram was a mixed bag
- Thomas and Flemming were a disaster his game – but Hernandez Gates and Zeitler had a good game – a lot of good lateral pulling helped the run game
– Carter suffered a season ending Achilles injury on the first drive of the game, Fackrel had a good game
– the D Line did not have a good game except for Tomlinson – - Darney Holmes was having tackling issues, Ryan Lewis gave up some big plays in the backfield to Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb – who plain up just beat him in coverage – Adrian Colbert Played safety instead of Love and gave up two personal fouls

October 22 Game 7 at Eagles Giants 21 Eagles 22
Sy's Game 7 Review
Some Highlights
- Note the Giants won the Home game on 11/15 27-17
- Ballentine flubbed a special teams opportunity
- Engram had a ball go off his hands for an interception
- Dion Lewis fumbled and turned the ball over with a minute left in the first half
- Hernandez put the team back on it’s heals as they tried to close out in the 4th Q with a holding penalty, Jones fumbled and turned over two plays later
- Freeman got injured and was out of the game – Gallman became the feature running back
– Sheps first game back from injury was a good one but he was the only game in town, Tate and Slayton made no noise at all.
- Andrew Thomas had his worst game of the season, Hernandez struggled, Flemming Struggled, Gates had a good game.
- Tomlinson gave up some big plays up the center.
- Bradberry had a rough game and was flagged for a PI on the game winning drive, Ryan Lewis was torched and was flagged for illegal contact, Ballentine gave up a 3rd and 10 conversion and a illegal hit penalty, Madre Harper was torched, Peppers gave up the game winning TD on a bad play

November 2 Game 8 at Home Bucs 23 Giants 25
Sy's Game 8 Review
Some Highlights
- Jones had a poor game with problems taking advantage of the young TB secondary which even our poor WR class was getting open on
– Jones was facing big pressure all game and was rattled by the pass rush, he gave up two interceptions that he probably shouldn’t have thrown – that became 10 points for TB,
- Slayton had a good game – Tate had a key touchdown and this was the game where he yelled out “throw me the ball.”,
- the running game of Morris, Galman and Lewis was pretty good but Dion Lewis gave up a sack.
- Flemming was a turnstyle – he gave up three pressures and a sack – one of his pressures led to a Jones interception. Lemiuex had his first start and he got roughed up pretty good. Gates and Zeitler had a good game.
- There was no edge pressure on Brady from the outside rush which was neutralized (Fackrel and newly signed Jabaal Sheard)
– the D Line had a very good game and they did get pressure on Brady. A Tomlinson tip led to a turnover for Martinez.
- Secondary was decent but Bradburry (covering Davis) gave up a TD and 2 pass interference calls

Make some arguments either way by discussing the personnel changes made after the season and actual events that occurred in the game that may or may not have been different with the change in staff

By the way -- The Giants were 4-2 in the division last year beating Washington Twice and losing two of the squeakers above




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First off, thank you gidie  
ATL_Giants : 9/9/2021 1:42 pm : link
nice write up and a good discussion.

I do think we take a few of those games with current personnel.

But our offense last year was f'n atrocious.
17.5 pts/game. That was 2nd worst in the entire NFL, with only the Jets taking the rock bottom honors.

No one ingredient makes a recipe. We need better play in a lot of areas. If Mike Mayock gets fired Las Vegas, please hire him and let Gettlemen retire.

Team offense stats - espn - ( New Window )
.  
Go Terps : 9/9/2021 1:44 pm : link
"but I'm pretty happy with the above analysis -- it suits my view point"

That's some good science right there!
I think we will be better  
djm : 9/9/2021 1:47 pm : link
without one single addition made. The team was young and unproven in september/october and it showed on the field. They played better, even if slightly better, over November/December, and I think it was more than a slight improvement.

This is the best NYG team since 2011. It's better than the 2016 team, on paper.

We're going to see a better team this season than the one we saw in 2020.

The OL will be picked up by the entire team. And yes, we have a team now.
I would bet we would have won at least  
eric2425ny : 9/9/2021 1:48 pm : link
two or three of those 5 games with the personnel changes. Keep in mind we are also adding Toney, Ojulari and the rest of the draft class to that mix.
very good defense  
djm : 9/9/2021 1:49 pm : link
so so offense. Above average results.
RE: I think we will be better  
Old Blue : 9/9/2021 1:54 pm : link
In comment 15357098 djm said:
Quote:
without one single addition made. The team was young and unproven in september/october and it showed on the field. They played better, even if slightly better, over November/December, and I think it was more than a slight improvement.

This is the best NYG team since 2011. It's better than the 2016 team, on paper.

We're going to see a better team this season than the one we saw in 2020.

The OL will be picked up by the entire team. And yes, we have a team now.


Best Giant tram since 2011 is a very low bar, and to pick up the OL will take more than what the Giants have on the roster.
I know I'm beating the drum  
JonC : 9/9/2021 1:54 pm : link
but if Jones cleans up the protection issues, and reads defenses better, it's worth winS each season.

If the defense improves on the edges and gets off the fookin field more on third downs, it will help give the offense more ToP and help finish winS each season.

OL performance + Jones improvement are two huge 2021 keys.
RE: .  
djm : 9/9/2021 1:54 pm : link
In comment 15357093 Go Terps said:
Quote:
"but I'm pretty happy with the above analysis -- it suits my view point"

That's some good science right there!




Teams that can field one superior unit can win more than half of their games. The key will be how good or bad the less than superior unit is, in this case, the offense. how bad is it? Is it 2020 bad? If so, we're probably fucked. But why can't it be just a little bit better?

The 2016 Giants didn't even score 300 pts and they won 11 games. That's not a very sustainable model to be sure, and we saw those fears eventually come back to fruition with the collapse in 17-18.

Why can't this team be better or as good as the 2016 Giants? Or the 2018-2019 Titans? They can be. The D is the reason why. Will the D be good enough? We only have last year and this current model to go on. I don't see why not.

I still contend  
Dnew15 : 9/9/2021 1:58 pm : link
that Judge, Garrett, and Graham were all on the same page last year.

Offensively, they stunk. They all knew it. The game plan was to shorten the game, keep it close, play conservatively and hope to have the ball in the offenses hands at the end of the game with a chance to win.

This year, I can see them at some point in the season becoming a more aggressive team on offense b/c they do have more/better weapons. They have better personnel.

HOWEVER, it's a legit concern that the OL continues to be a problem, the weapons are not working in unison with the QB b/c of the all the time missed, some of those weapons aren't as healthy as they want them to be...it wouldn't surprise me at all to see them revert back to the same plan. Especially early in the season against Denver and WFT where we know their offenses are going to make mistakes.

They are going lean on that defense early to keep them close.

THat offense better come around in October.
ill keep saying it  
djm : 9/9/2021 2:00 pm : link
this team is littered with good players now. Not just sporadic players here and there like in year's past. There are "made" NFL talents up and down this lineup. last year we saw growth, defensively. Now we need to see growth offensively. And it needs to manifest on the field in the form of points scored. If we didn't see any growth last year I could see being pretty scared today, but we saw things last year.


We're gonna win games this year. I've seen worse NYG teams win 10 games.
It's also littered  
JonC : 9/9/2021 2:03 pm : link
with players not performing up to billing, it's time to shrink the delta on the football field. LFG.
RE: It's also littered  
Old Blue : 9/9/2021 2:08 pm : link
In comment 15357120 JonC said:
Quote:
with players not performing up to billing, it's time to shrink the delta on the football field. LFG.


Especially on the O line..
djm  
Go Terps : 9/9/2021 2:09 pm : link
This team is unlikely to be as good as 2016 because its two glaring weaknesses are quarterback and OL. A weakness at one of those areas is tough to overcome; being bad at both would completely hamstring the offense.

Golladay and Barkley aren't overcoming the negative impacts of Jones and the OL falling flat. I've been saying it since spring - this season is about Jones, the OL, and Garrett's ability to put both in a position to succeed. If you believe in that group then sure 10 wins may be possible. If you don't, then it's going to be a long year.
Thanks Gidie, as a Giants fan I appreciate this.  
Dinger : 9/9/2021 2:11 pm : link
I was really excited about the team after the Rams loss, and just as pissed after the Dallas and Eagles loss. Showing so much potential in the prior and then not closing it out on the later(s). You could even say that WITHOUT the change in personnel but in hindsight we could win those with the same just better execution or gameplan (as is always the case).

The haters on here are always going to hate. I don't understand why they come to this site so regularly. Is it just to make sure none of us get too excited about the Giants? Its the same few who are so truly down on every positive take on the Giants that it makes you wonder what team they truly like? Were they originally raised as Jets fans by their Dads and seeing the futility became a half assed Giants fan? Are they just New Yorkers/Jersians who are Cowboys or Eagles fans here to troll? Just seems odd that their 'takes' should always be followed with the Debbie Downer 'waa-waaahhh' sound.
RE: djm  
djm : 9/9/2021 2:13 pm : link
In comment 15357127 Go Terps said:
Quote:
This team is unlikely to be as good as 2016 because its two glaring weaknesses are quarterback and OL. A weakness at one of those areas is tough to overcome; being bad at both would completely hamstring the offense.

Golladay and Barkley aren't overcoming the negative impacts of Jones and the OL falling flat. I've been saying it since spring - this season is about Jones, the OL, and Garrett's ability to put both in a position to succeed. If you believe in that group then sure 10 wins may be possible. If you don't, then it's going to be a long year.


that's fair, it's the big if or caveat right now.

I think the OL will run block better than people expected but could see some pass pro issues surfacing. I think JOnes is poised to show be belongs as a starting QB, but proof is in the pudding.

I see the Giants finishing with a winning record while things won't be perfect in this offense. That's ok as long as we learn how to win.
On paper the bottom of the roster is improved  
arniefez : 9/9/2021 2:17 pm : link
hopefully that will result in better special teams and less drop off from the inevitable injuries that are going to happen.

But it's a QB league and a QB needs a good OL to function. If Jones is a mid pack 14/15/16 QB instead of 24/25/26 that he was in 2020 then the OL will be playing better and the Giants will have a chance to compete for the the NFC East. A repeat of last years QB and OL play and they'll struggle to match the 6 wins in 2020.
.  
Go Terps : 9/9/2021 2:22 pm : link
One thing to remember about last year is that the Giants were right there defensively with Tampa, Buffalo, KC, and GB. They won a lot and the Giants didn't because offense wins in today's NFL. Only one team that finished in three bottom half in scoring finished over .500 - the Rams.

The Giants have got to score around 25 PPG - that would put them around midway leaguewide. If they don't there will almost certainly be more losses than wins. This isn't the '80s - the era of winning with defense and time of possession is over.
RE: djm  
djm : 9/9/2021 2:22 pm : link
In comment 15357127 Go Terps said:
Quote:
This team is unlikely to be as good as 2016 because its two glaring weaknesses are quarterback and OL. A weakness at one of those areas is tough to overcome; being bad at both would completely hamstring the offense.

Golladay and Barkley aren't overcoming the negative impacts of Jones and the OL falling flat. I've been saying it since spring - this season is about Jones, the OL, and Garrett's ability to put both in a position to succeed. If you believe in that group then sure 10 wins may be possible. If you don't, then it's going to be a long year.


Oh, and this year's OL is better than 2016 and I will die on that hill. Also, again, the 2016 Giants scored a whopping 310 points. Eli was pulling some games out in the 4th and doing not much else that year. He was still steady, but the prolific passing game was left behind in 2015 with the ghost of Coughlin.

This team is better.
RE: Thanks Gidie, as a Giants fan I appreciate this.  
Old Blue : 9/9/2021 2:22 pm : link
In comment 15357130 Dinger said:
Quote:
I was really excited about the team after the Rams loss, and just as pissed after the Dallas and Eagles loss. Showing so much potential in the prior and then not closing it out on the later(s). You could even say that WITHOUT the change in personnel but in hindsight we could win those with the same just better execution or gameplan (as is always the case).

The haters on here are always going to hate. I don't understand why they come to this site so regularly. Is it just to make sure none of us get too excited about the Giants? Its the same few who are so truly down on every positive take on the Giants that it makes you wonder what team they truly like? Were they originally raised as Jets fans by their Dads and seeing the futility became a half assed Giants fan? Are they just New Yorkers/Jersians who are Cowboys or Eagles fans here to troll? Just seems odd that their 'takes' should always be followed with the Debbie Downer 'waa-waaahhh' sound.


Calling a losing team a losing team is not a hater, but telling it like it is. The bar is so low for some of you people that you will grasp at anything. If you want things to change all that has to happen is like Adrian said to Rocky in Rocky 2. W I N.
RE: ......  
Brown_Hornet : 9/9/2021 2:24 pm : link
In comment 15357079 Route 9 said:
Quote:
Dude. Calm down. We are contributing. No one's going to agree with you 100% of the way.
Actually, you're not contributing. Neither is Terps. You are both criticizing gidie for starting the conversation in the 1st place.

Nothing wrong with this analysis. Terps, if you want to include moves by other teams, do it...but IMO, that does not add to this conversation. The convo here is about what if. Simply looking at LAST YEARS games with what we have now.
In other words...would the improvements have made a difference in the games that we played LAST YEAR...in other words, "Do you believe that this years team is X number of points better in the close games that we lost?"

It's really not that damned hard.

Gidie, I think yes. The team is indeed improved enough to have made a difference had we had this team vs. those opponents LAST YEAR.

RE: RE: ......  
Old Blue : 9/9/2021 2:29 pm : link
In comment 15357141 Brown_Hornet said:
Quote:
In comment 15357079 Route 9 said:


Quote:


Dude. Calm down. We are contributing. No one's going to agree with you 100% of the way.

Actually, you're not contributing. Neither is Terps. You are both criticizing gidie for starting the conversation in the 1st place.

Nothing wrong with this analysis. Terps, if you want to include moves by other teams, do it...but IMO, that does not add to this conversation. The convo here is about what if. Simply looking at LAST YEARS games with what we have now.
In other words...would the improvements have made a difference in the games that we played LAST YEAR...in other words, "Do you believe that this years team is X number of points better in the close games that we lost?"

It's really not that damned hard.

Gidie, I think yes. The team is indeed improved enough to have made a difference had we had this team vs. those opponents LAST YEAR.


And what if Dak, and all the starting QB had played?
RE: RE: RE: ......  
Brown_Hornet : 9/9/2021 2:37 pm : link
In comment 15357147 Old Blue said:
Quote:
In comment 15357141 Brown_Hornet said:


Quote:


In comment 15357079 Route 9 said:


Quote:


Dude. Calm down. We are contributing. No one's going to agree with you 100% of the way.

Actually, you're not contributing. Neither is Terps. You are both criticizing gidie for starting the conversation in the 1st place.

Nothing wrong with this analysis. Terps, if you want to include moves by other teams, do it...but IMO, that does not add to this conversation. The convo here is about what if. Simply looking at LAST YEARS games with what we have now.
In other words...would the improvements have made a difference in the games that we played LAST YEAR...in other words, "Do you believe that this years team is X number of points better in the close games that we lost?"

It's really not that damned hard.

Gidie, I think yes. The team is indeed improved enough to have made a difference had we had this team vs. those opponents LAST YEAR.




And what if Dak, and all the starting QB had played?
Seems out biggest issues were on O, so maybe it matters. But, that is indeed, a different question.

I'll add, like christian's comment about possibly losing the close games, worthy of discussion. But, it seems that both of these comments are being used to rebut the OP.
That is where the conflict arises. These things are unrelated to the OP.

"Had the Giants had a better team (asking if you think that the 2021 version is better than the 2020 versios)...do you think that they would have won some of the close games that they lost?"

If we didn't have Zietler and Fleming who would have played RG & RT?  
Jimmy Googs : 9/9/2021 2:38 pm : link
None of the additions you mentioned were offensive linemen...
RE: RE: djm  
hitdog42 : 9/9/2021 2:39 pm : link
In comment 15357139 djm said:
Quote:
In comment 15357127 Go Terps said:


Quote:


This team is unlikely to be as good as 2016 because its two glaring weaknesses are quarterback and OL. A weakness at one of those areas is tough to overcome; being bad at both would completely hamstring the offense.

Golladay and Barkley aren't overcoming the negative impacts of Jones and the OL falling flat. I've been saying it since spring - this season is about Jones, the OL, and Garrett's ability to put both in a position to succeed. If you believe in that group then sure 10 wins may be possible. If you don't, then it's going to be a long year.



Oh, and this year's OL is better than 2016 and I will die on that hill. Also, again, the 2016 Giants scored a whopping 310 points. Eli was pulling some games out in the 4th and doing not much else that year. He was still steady, but the prolific passing game was left behind in 2015 with the ghost of Coughlin.

This team is better.


2016 the giants won because instead of going for high fllying gaudy stats- they invested in defense and played ball control and didnt blow games in the end.
they had the 2nd best scoring D, 2 stud DEs, a MVP Caliber safety season, a stud NT and stud Corner. they were an elite defense that year.
OBJ was elite-
MCadoo did everything in game management that Coughlin didnt do in 2015. they won close games
they won turnover battle.

that defense was embarrassing the packers in the first half of the playoff game- if OBJ didnt fk out (in elis best game) and the hail mary- who knows.

people have false memories of 2016 because mcadoo eventually (rightfully) ended eli and that hurts feelings-- but 2016 was a great overachieve season--- and we have seen nothing to suggest that this will be the case in 2021.

i am hopeful that with weapons the offense looks better and the defense should be a top 7-10 unit.
LoL - this thread goes the way of every other thread  
PatersonPlank : 9/9/2021 2:42 pm : link
Gidie - to answer your question and not just repeat the same old negative mantra's, each of these games IMO (that is my opinion) could have been won with better QB play when it counted. We had chances to win all/most of these, but mistakes kept the other teams alive. I don't blame Jones 100%, but he certainly had a hand in it. The OL gave way, and Jones made mistakes under duress.

This year I am hopeful we can win these games because of 1) the return Barkley, 2) the young OL with another year of experience under its belt (that did look better later in the in season), and 3) Jones playing better in year 3 under pressure. If these things happen we can win those games above, which obviously would dramatically swing our season.

We were really not out of many games last year, most were close. A little better offensive execution will go a long way for this team.
Titans are interesting model  
djm : 9/9/2021 2:44 pm : link
in 2017 they scored 334 while allowing 356. That team won a playoff game and went 9-7. They had the elite OL back then but not much at WR or QB (mariota)

2018 titans scored 310 and allowed 303 pts. That team also went 9-7 but missed out on the playoffs.

Fully agree that the lack of PPG bit the Titans on the ass in 2018. While you can win plus games on the backs of a good defense, It isn't sustainable. Then again, lack of a good D isn't sustainable either.

2019 Titans finally scored some points, thanks to Tannehill, scoring 402 and allowing 331. They won 2 playoff games.

2020 Titans the weird evolution continued thanks to Tannehill--11-5 and scored 491--except this time the D allowed 439. That's dangerous. Something to watch in 2021.


The titans pretty much stepped in shit when they landed Tannehill. Now they need to figure out the D and even the OL might be taking on some water, lately.

As to the NFC East, the only team that scored more points than it allowed in 2020 was Washington. They probably should be the pre season favorite since they didn't suffer too much attrition, have the same HC in place for year 2, and likely upgraded at QB with Fitz over Alex Smith's broken leg. I get the sense the Skins will be all over the place in 2021 because Fitz tends to be a weird QB.

The Bears scored 372 and allowed 370 in 2020. Hopefully they regress just a little bit and go 5-12.

The Browns allowed 419 on D last year and still made the playoffs with 11-5 record. They scored 408 pts. They need to be a little careful this year with that big number of points allowed. Titans too. Those are the only 2 teams that finished with winning records despite allowing 400+ on defense. Raiders finished 500 and gave up 470+.




Gotta earn it.
Its interesting  
jtfuoco : 9/9/2021 2:44 pm : link
I will never understand why people jump on threads to put down discussions about the team on a site dedicated to football discussion. I think the big takeaway form this analysis is how many names you see that had impacts on the particular games that are now gone and not because they went else where in FA but are now on Practice squads or out of the league its was only one season ago and I forgot about a lot of these guys that were starting for the Giants. Thanks Gidie for the work in putting this together
BTW not having golden tate  
hitdog42 : 9/9/2021 2:49 pm : link
might be the most optimistic part of 2021--- ffs why was he EVER EVER Signed-
RE: RE: ......  
Route 9 : 9/9/2021 2:53 pm : link
In comment 15357141 Brown_Hornet said:
Quote:
Actually, you're not contributing. Neither is Terps. You are both criticizing gidie for starting the conversation in the 1st place.

Nothing wrong with this analysis. Terps, if you want to include moves by other teams, do it...but IMO, that does not add to this conversation. The convo here is about what if. Simply looking at LAST YEARS games with what we have now.
In other words...would the improvements have made a difference in the games that we played LAST YEAR...in other words, "Do you believe that this years team is X number of points better in the close games that we lost?"

It's really not that damned hard.

Gidie, I think yes. The team is indeed improved enough to have made a difference had we had this team vs. those opponents LAST YEAR.


I'm contributing just fine. This thread is a nothing burger. Yeah they lost close call games and wound up 6-10. I'm actually just savings thing in you're getting mad.

The Rams game summary is actually off. It was kind of dismissive of Tate and making excuses for Jones (as per usual on here) that he didn't have that good players around him... but what else is new? You guys get pissy when someone dares to mention when he fucks up. I get he's your team's QB but he's open for some criticism.

If anything he's the one who should shoulder blame for that game against the Rams. He had plenty of time to throw and make a good read, and threw the interception, and as I alluded to earlier (your feelings may get hurt) when he overthrew Tate on the 4th down. Watch the play again, even the analysis of the commenator mentioned it was a badly thrown ball.

Someone also mentioned the Tampa Bay miss on the 2 point conversion, which was a horrible game for Jones. Sorry I'm not the protective type?

Either way Tate did his part in that game and he got open. If anything it was Jones who fucked up on the 4th and long and the interception at the end of the game.
Nice effort with putting the thread together  
Lines of Scrimmage : 9/9/2021 2:56 pm : link
Most NFL games come down to the 4th quarter and they call it a game of inches for a reason.

Players added will have a big impact as will Toney. Last year they opened with the Steelers who sold out to stop Barkley and this shut him out. Teams will continue this but now you have much more firepower.

On offense it will come down to can they improve on 1st down. If they are in 2nd/3rd and long it highlights issues; Jones having to make progressions and the OL pass blocking which has lead to sacks and/or turnovers. Favorable down/distance creates uncertainty on defense and allows Jones to play the PA game with big chunk plays with the weapons added. If they sit in coverage you now have SB back.


I think the defense will be really good.
bad teams lose close games  
djm : 9/9/2021 2:57 pm : link
there's no sugar coating the losses last year. Still, there's dead team walking 6-10 and then there's 2004's version of 6-10.

Not every losing year is created equal. Not every 9-7 year is created equal. I think we can all see that 1984 9-7 went lot further than 2012 9-7.

We'll see if 2020 6-10 was closer to 2004 or 1992. I think it was closer to 2004.
RE: bad teams lose close games  
Route 9 : 9/9/2021 3:00 pm : link
In comment 15357168 djm said:
Quote:
there's no sugar coating the losses last year. Still, there's dead team walking 6-10 and then there's 2004's version of 6-10.

Not every losing year is created equal. Not every 9-7 year is created equal. I think we can all see that 1984 9-7 went lot further than 2012 9-7.

We'll see if 2020 6-10 was closer to 2004 or 1992. I think it was closer to 2004.


I also said they're going 9-8 this year
RE: Nice effort with putting the thread together  
gidiefor : Mod : 9/9/2021 3:04 pm : link
In comment 15357167 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
Most NFL games come down to the 4th quarter and they call it a game of inches for a reason.

Players added will have a big impact as will Toney. Last year they opened with the Steelers who sold out to stop Barkley and this shut him out. Teams will continue this but now you have much more firepower.

On offense it will come down to can they improve on 1st down. If they are in 2nd/3rd and long it highlights issues; Jones having to make progressions and the OL pass blocking which has lead to sacks and/or turnovers. Favorable down/distance creates uncertainty on defense and allows Jones to play the PA game with big chunk plays with the weapons added. If they sit in coverage you now have SB back.


I think the defense will be really good.

Thanks LoS -- I keep leaving Toney and Ojulari out of my analysis for the upcoming season because they are rookies and unknown quantities -- but I am hopeful that they will have at least some impact (in a good way)
If I'm looking at a year in the past for a comp for 2021  
Go Terps : 9/9/2021 3:04 pm : link
It's 2003. Shaky quarterback with poor pocket presence behind an OL that is taking huge personnel risks.

Like that season, I expect it to end with a high first round pick used at quarterback.
RE: .  
gidiefor : Mod : 9/9/2021 3:08 pm : link
In comment 15357138 Go Terps said:
Quote:
One thing to remember about last year is that the Giants were right there defensively with Tampa, Buffalo, KC, and GB. They won a lot and the Giants didn't because offense wins in today's NFL. Only one team that finished in three bottom half in scoring finished over .500 - the Rams.

The Giants have got to score around 25 PPG - that would put them around midway leaguewide. If they don't there will almost certainly be more losses than wins. This isn't the '80s - the era of winning with defense and time of possession is over.


This is where you are continually soo so painfully wrong about NFL football - you need both -- but the facts are you only need a better than adequate offense -- you need a really good defense to win championships
RE: RE: .  
Jimmy Googs : 9/9/2021 3:13 pm : link
In comment 15357181 gidiefor said:
Quote:
In comment 15357138 Go Terps said:


Quote:


One thing to remember about last year is that the Giants were right there defensively with Tampa, Buffalo, KC, and GB. They won a lot and the Giants didn't because offense wins in today's NFL. Only one team that finished in three bottom half in scoring finished over .500 - the Rams.

The Giants have got to score around 25 PPG - that would put them around midway leaguewide. If they don't there will almost certainly be more losses than wins. This isn't the '80s - the era of winning with defense and time of possession is over.



This is where you are continually soo so painfully wrong about NFL football - you need both -- but the facts are you only need a better than adequate offense -- you need a really good defense to win championships


Back to his point though, how many teams that scored less than 25 PPG had a winning record last season?

Was it only the Rams?
RE: If I'm looking at a year in the past for a comp for 2021  
Dnew15 : 9/9/2021 3:17 pm : link
In comment 15357178 Go Terps said:
Quote:
It's 2003. Shaky quarterback with poor pocket presence behind an OL that is taking huge personnel risks.

Like that season, I expect it to end with a high first round pick used at quarterback.


My biggest fear is that Judge/Graham are too good to let that happen and we end up in QB purgatory.

You QB not good enough to get you there, but a surround team and coaching staff that props them up to make them a marginal playoff contender every year.

This team is looking a lot like the Vikings.
nice job on this.  
gmen4ever : 9/9/2021 3:17 pm : link
Good insight. I think we could have won maybe 2 of those games, but assuming we will not have injuries may be a bit of a reach. Also, if DJ or EE are not more consistent, it may not matter.
Im worried about Barkley  
Rudy5757 : 9/9/2021 3:26 pm : link
After his ankle injury a few years agao he came back and was not good. Now coming off a much bigger injury will he play tentativel. Im not ready to say he will be great again. Combine that with an OL that doesnt seem to have improved and I think its a toss up on improvement on O.

The D is much improved. Just think Cory Ballentine was playing a lot...lol. The D should be better and they were good last year.

I think we are in for a lot of close games with the shaky OL early and see much better O in the mid to late season.

I think 7 wins is our floor and 11 wins is the absolute ceiling. I predict 10-7.
RE: .  
Johnny5 : 9/9/2021 3:26 pm : link
In comment 15357138 Go Terps said:
Quote:
One thing to remember about last year is that the Giants were right there defensively with Tampa, Buffalo, KC, and GB. They won a lot and the Giants didn't because offense wins in today's NFL. Only one team that finished in three bottom half in scoring finished over .500 - the Rams.

The Giants have got to score around 25 PPG - that would put them around midway leaguewide. If they don't there will almost certainly be more losses than wins. This isn't the '80s - the era of winning with defense and time of possession is over.

Maybe. If the Giants scored 21 points in every game last year that puts them at 9 wins, atop the division and in the playoffs. If the defense keeps trending upward we may still get away with a lower scoring offense this year. But if the offense ticks to where you said we are as good or better on defense we will be in the playoffs no question. And 25ppg is not exactly world-beating as an average at this point. I think this particular point on scoring average 100% hinges on the play of the OL. They have to improve. Then to your point Jones has no excuses.
RE: Im worried about Barkley  
Dnew15 : 9/9/2021 3:29 pm : link
In comment 15357195 Rudy5757 said:
Quote:
After his ankle injury a few years agao he came back and was not good. Now coming off a much bigger injury will he play tentativel. Im not ready to say he will be great again. Combine that with an OL that doesnt seem to have improved and I think its a toss up on improvement on O.

The D is much improved. Just think Cory Ballentine was playing a lot...lol. The D should be better and they were good last year.

I think we are in for a lot of close games with the shaky OL early and see much better O in the mid to late season.

I think 7 wins is our floor and 11 wins is the absolute ceiling. I predict 10-7.


I think a 50% SB is better than what the Giants were throwing out there at RB last year.

I think Booker is better than the hot garbage at RB last year too.
RE: RE: RE: .  
Jimmy Googs : 9/9/2021 3:29 pm : link
In comment 15357186 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote:
In comment 15357181 gidiefor said:


Quote:


In comment 15357138 Go Terps said:


Quote:


One thing to remember about last year is that the Giants were right there defensively with Tampa, Buffalo, KC, and GB. They won a lot and the Giants didn't because offense wins in today's NFL. Only one team that finished in three bottom half in scoring finished over .500 - the Rams.

The Giants have got to score around 25 PPG - that would put them around midway leaguewide. If they don't there will almost certainly be more losses than wins. This isn't the '80s - the era of winning with defense and time of possession is over.



This is where you are continually soo so painfully wrong about NFL football - you need both -- but the facts are you only need a better than adequate offense -- you need a really good defense to win championships



Back to his point though, how many teams that scored less than 25 PPG had a winning record last season?

Was it only the Rams?


Did a quick check and it was only the Rams. And they had the overall #1 defense.

Also of note, all the teams that scored at least 25 PPG had a .500 or better record except for Minnesota (who at least put up a 7-9 record).

RE: IMO..  
jomps : 9/9/2021 3:34 pm : link
In comment 15357007 Dnew15 said:
Quote:
the biggest key to all those games is that Jones had the ball in his hands at the end of the game with a chance to win the it. He was 0fer.

That's a huge problem.


Hi Dnew15, how are you doing?

I think every Giants fan can agree Jones has to play better for us to have a chance at a Super Bowl, where people differ is if he has it in him to raise his level of play.

So let's be fair here, Jones played 8 close games last season.

Week 2 13-17 Bears: We'd have the ball down 4 with 4 minutes to go and then an OL made a miraculous grab for them. We then got the ball with 2:40 and no timeouts, plenty of time left for the comeback. We then complete a 3rd & 10, 4th & 4 and a 3rd & 10 where we got COMPLETELY screwed in ball positioning by the refs which led to us losing 10 seconds with 22 to go and put us on a 1 play 10 yards away from the endzone to end the game.

Week 4 9-17 Rams: Our last 2 drives were going great but ended in a 4th & 11 incompletion where the ball was a little bit high but Tate should have caught it, and DJ was great in the last drive up until a terrible INT, unnecessary throw where it looks like the ball lacked zip.

Week 5 34-37 Cowboys: Got some lucky bounces our way to begin the 4th quarter, Jones had a very good throw with 1:40 to go but the drive stalled after that. Dallas got the ball with 48 seconds left at 34-34 and nearly drove the entire field.

Week 6 20-19 WFT: Jones threw a terrible RZ INT late in the 3rd quarter that led the game to a 13-13 tie. Our offense never scored after mid-2nd quarter, awful way to close out a game but we did win it.

Week 7 21-22 Eagles: 21-10 with five minutes to go, this game was a defensive meltdown (a rare feat last season). We were having a very good drive to put the game to rest and then came that EE drop in a perfect DJ pass. We got it back with 40 seconds, no timeouts. Easy 7-yard pass to start the drive called back after a holding penalty that cost us 11 seconds. 29 seconds left, pocket collapsed, Jones held the ball too long, didn't sense the pressure from behind and fumbled the ball win 23 seconds left to essentialy end the game.

Week 8 23-25 TB: To me this game was both the lowest point in DJ's career and the day he started to fully understand how to QB in the NFL effectively. We'll see if that trend continues this season, but to me he's been playing smart football ever since the 2nd INT in this game. He did had a nothing short than awesome drive to end the game, with a 4th & 5 and 4th & 16 conversion and an absolute dime to Golden Tate for the TD. I do think he was a little bit slow in the 2 point conversion, but it was more a terrific play by a great player (Winfield Jr.).

Week 9 23-20 WFT: Again vs WFT the offense started great and stalled in the 2nd half. This D was a problem for a LOT of teams last season. 2 INT's in the last 5 minutes won us this game.

Week 17 23-19 Cowboys: Jones played a very good game in the biggest spot he's been so far in his career, a maybe win-and-in scenario.

Sorry for the long post.

Obviously we want to see some higher scoring games from our team and there were some self inflicted wound with stupid penalties, very bad pass blocking and some DJ brain farts.

As you can see it was more of a mixed bag, with more bad coming in the beginning of the season and more of the good stuff coming towards the end. The only reason why week 10 27-17 vs the eagles wasn't a closer game was that DJ did what he is supposed to do and put the game to bed early. Didn't count Bengals 19-17 game because he was injured, but was playing well before that.

Anyway, I hope and believe he'll show up as a better, more complete QB this season.
RE: Im worried about Barkley  
gidiefor : Mod : 9/9/2021 3:35 pm : link
In comment 15357195 Rudy5757 said:
Quote:
After his ankle injury a few years agao he came back and was not good. Now coming off a much bigger injury will he play tentativel. Im not ready to say he will be great again. Combine that with an OL that doesnt seem to have improved and I think its a toss up on improvement on O.

The D is much improved. Just think Cory Ballentine was playing a lot...lol. The D should be better and they were good last year.

I think we are in for a lot of close games with the shaky OL early and see much better O in the mid to late season.

I think 7 wins is our floor and 11 wins is the absolute ceiling. I predict 10-7.


It was Corey Ballentine, Ryan Lewis and Madre Harper opposite Bradberry - each of them was benched and/or replaced by one of the others at some point -- they were terrible

Adoree Jackson replacing those guys is huge!!!
On Jones, what are our expectations for him?  
Angel Eyes : 9/9/2021 3:35 pm : link
Pro Bowl? Deep Playoff run?

Let's set down a goalpost.
RE: I know I'm beating the drum  
Racer : 9/9/2021 3:36 pm : link
In comment 15357107 JonC said:
Quote:

If the defense improves on the edges and gets off the fookin field more on third downs, it will help give the offense more ToP and help finish winS each season.


Amen. As a relatively disliked talking head likes to say, "playing a lot less defense can have the same effect as playing better defense"
gidie  
jomps : 9/9/2021 3:39 pm : link
To answer your question, obviously we "could" have won those 5 games. I think it's likely we'd win the Bears, Cowboys and Eagles game. Lose the Rams and Bucs game because to me the reason we didn't win those 2 were DJ.

But more importantly I do think we have the roster and coaching to have a good shot at winning every game we play this season. How many of them bounce our way I don't know, maybe something between 8-11?
I'll admit...  
Dnew15 : 9/9/2021 3:49 pm : link
I'm spoiled.

Having Eli as the QB of my favorite team will do that to you.

When Eli was in his prime, and the game was close, and he had the ball in his hands with a chance to win - you just knew he was going to make it happen.

I don't get that feeling with DJ...yet.

He's got one more year to convince me..then I'm out.
RE: RE: IMO..  
cjac : 9/9/2021 3:49 pm : link
In comment 15357200 jomps said:
Quote:


Week 8 23-25 TB: To me this game was both the lowest point in DJ's career and the day he started to fully understand how to QB in the NFL effectively. We'll see if that trend continues this season, but to me he's been playing smart football ever since the 2nd INT in this game. He did had a nothing short than awesome drive to end the game, with a 4th & 5 and 4th & 16 conversion and an absolute dime to Golden Tate for the TD. I do think he was a little bit slow in the 2 point conversion, but it was more a terrific play by a great player (Winfield Jr.).




2 plays in this game, both forced throws in the second half that were INTs ruined the game and ruined how Daniel Jones is viewed by the fans, the media, opposing fans and the other teams in the league. All he had to do was chuck those balls out of bounds instead of forcing the ball and he wins the game.

the MO on Daniel Jones is that he turns the ball over, he forces things, and that he's not a smart QB. Until he changes that, if he keeps turning the ball over at an alarming rate, the opinion on him will remain the same.
RE: RE: RE: RE: .  
Strahan91 : 9/9/2021 3:51 pm : link
In comment 15357198 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote:

Did a quick check and it was only the Rams. And they had the overall #1 defense.


The year prior there were 5 of them and 2 years prior there were 4. So last season is likely the outlier.
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