for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

Need opinion on the college football bet I’m about to make

Leg of Theismann : 12/3/2021 9:23 pm
Im sensing 3 blow outs coming tomorrow. So I’m thinking of not only laying the points with 3 favorites tomorrow (Georgia, Michigan, and Cincinnati), but I might actually play a -6 point teaser for the 3 of them (which has to be played as a parlay).

In plain English, the spreads I’d be taking would be:

Georgia -12.5
Michigan -16.5
Cincinnati -16.5

***and I would need all 3 to cover to win***

Why would I do this? Because a $50 bet could win me $1000.

Georgia has been so dominant all year long and Alabama has not looked impressive in the least bit, especially not last week.

Michigan I just think is going to crush Iowa. I don’t think Iowa is even close to the same class as Ohio at and Michigan just trounced them by 15.

Cinci has not looked great at certain points but they HAVE shown up against ranked opponents and put a beat down on ND and SMU.

What do you guys think? I know there are a lot of people on this board who know way more about college football than I do.
Parlays are tough - they always look good but in reality there is  
PatersonPlank : 12/3/2021 9:28 pm : link
always upsets and a game that screws you up. I started not doing them, and just betting each game straight up instead. I got sick of going 2-1 and losing money, when I would've have won money instead going straight
Btw this reminds me of a great joke  
Leg of Theismann : 12/3/2021 9:30 pm : link
I think I originally heard Norm MacDonald tell…

A guy says to his buddy: “so far today I’ve bet on 6 football games, 3 baseball games, and 2 basketball games. I’ve lost every single bet I’ve made today and I’m down bad. I need to find a game to bet on tonight so I can make it all back.

The guy’s friend says: “we’ll there’s an NHL game tonight that you can bet on.”

He replies: “oh no way, I don’t know anything about hockey.”
well* there’s  
Leg of Theismann : 12/3/2021 9:30 pm : link
Damn autocorrect
RE: Parlays are tough - they always look good but in reality there is  
Leg of Theismann : 12/3/2021 9:35 pm : link
In comment 15478602 PatersonPlank said:
Quote:
always upsets and a game that screws you up. I started not doing them, and just betting each game straight up instead. I got sick of going 2-1 and losing money, when I would've have won money instead going straight


Yeah that’s probably smarter. I got into these teaser parlay things like a month or so ago, because the first one I tried was like a 9 leg -6 point teaser and I got 8 of the legs, literally came just a Panthers victory away from winning $40k. Of course every single time I’ve done them since I have not come NEARLY as close as that lol, so I will need to just accept it and chalk that first one up as beginner’s luck (almost luck) and move on.
I don’t know if Cincy can win by that much  
jeff57 : 12/3/2021 9:40 pm : link
Michigan should, Georgia may.
RE: I don’t know if Cincy can win by that much  
Leg of Theismann : 12/3/2021 10:47 pm : link
In comment 15478617 jeff57 said:
Quote:
Michigan should, Georgia may.


Would you still play Cincinatti at -10.5 (I.e. without the -6 teaser)?
_________  
I am Ninja : 12/3/2021 10:56 pm : link
One dirty late td and youre going from $$$$ to :(

1 game you might dodge it, 3 is alot to ask for. But its gambling. Have some fun. Fuck it.
RE: _________  
Leg of Theismann : 12/3/2021 11:04 pm : link
In comment 15478679 I am Ninja said:
Quote:
One dirty late td and youre going from $$$$ to :(

1 game you might dodge it, 3 is alot to ask for. But its gambling. Have some fun. Fuck it.


Yeah for some reason I’m always attracted to taking the small risk big reward— undoubtedly it’s not the least bit economical as more even bets lol and leads to lost money more often than not, but I always figure what’s the purpose of gambling if I’m just gonna make small gains here and there? it’s a hobby not a living.
I woudn't give Alabama 12.5 points  
ZogZerg : 12/4/2021 7:42 am : link
I like the other two favorites.
RE: RE: I don’t know if Cincy can win by that much  
jeff57 : 12/4/2021 7:56 am : link
In comment 15478668 Leg of Theismann said:
Quote:
In comment 15478617 jeff57 said:


Quote:


Michigan should, Georgia may.



Would you still play Cincinatti at -10.5 (I.e. without the -6 teaser)?


Yeah, I might do that
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 12/4/2021 8:49 am : link
I think UGA wins, but I think 'Bama will keep it close. Just a feeling I got.
For $50  
X : 12/4/2021 9:27 am : link
why not try it!
I’d be against it  
GNewGiants : 12/4/2021 9:33 am : link
You think Saban loses games by that much? He’s been prepping for this game for weeks now.

Iowa may not be good but they’re well coached and you never know if Michigan has a let down game.
agree with Zog, you just don't give Alabama 12 1/2 points  
gtt350 : 12/4/2021 9:52 am : link
. I've watched Alabama for years, always hated them. Then after going to Giants stadium to watch Rutgers play them in the early 80's ( Rutgers was 4-0) at the time and almost beat them.
When they interviewed Bear Bryant after the game he said hell i'll be glad to just get out of town. He paid Rutgers a high compiment and I've followed them ever since. Their fans were wild but really nice down home people.
My take after all these years when you play them is
you stop them, you stop them you stop them and then you don't.
The odds of all 3 underdogs getting blasted  
UConn4523 : 12/4/2021 10:07 am : link
is really low, IMO. I’d rather the points on all 3 than giving them up.
RE: The odds of all 3 underdogs getting blasted  
Leg of Theismann : 12/4/2021 11:13 am : link
In comment 15478827 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
is really low, IMO. I’d rather the points on all 3 than giving them up.


Definitely low odds, which is why the payout is so high hahah. Unfortunately if I instead took the underdogs and did a +6 teaser (not -6) as I think you may be suggesting (I.e. just reverse the bet to take the other side of the spreads I listed), the payout would be super low.

To get the same odds, I could do a -6 teaser and take the dogs instead… which would be like:
Houston -4.5
Iowa -4.5
Bama -0.5
That would net the same +2000 payout as I quoted before. (Or I can mix up the favorites and these dogs, pick any 3. Could pick Houston, Michigan, and Bama— but at -0.5 that would mean Bama has to win.)

You might not have been suggesting that btw lol  
Leg of Theismann : 12/4/2021 11:16 am : link
And I just misunderstood you. You may have just been saying “take the points” as in you’d rather just bet on the dogs with the original spreads. Either way I catch your drift 👍🏻
I would also just like to point out to ppl in general  
Leg of Theismann : 12/4/2021 11:26 am : link
Since beating Clemson week 1 by a score of 10-3, Georgia has not won by less than 17 points since then— they’ve just been flat out dominant all year over the entire SEC (+Georgia Tech):
40-13 over SC
62-0 over Vandy
37-0 over Arkansas
34-10 over Auburn
30-13 over Kentucky
34-7 over Florida
43-6 over Missouri
41-17 over Tennessee
45-0 over Georgia Tech
…. So— They won the above 9 games by an average of 33.3 points.
Not guaranteeing they’re gonna rout Bama but considering Bama has looked anything but stellar all year I feel like covering -12.5 isn’t out of the question.
Btw I know it’s my money and I’m the one who came to ask advice lol  
Leg of Theismann : 12/4/2021 11:27 am : link
But maybe I’m just trying to convince myself it’s gonna happen because I just went ahead and made the bet haha. Maybe I’m trying to pull some others in with me to bask in the eventual misery or joy (not really misery though it’s $50 lol)
RE: You might not have been suggesting that btw lol  
UConn4523 : 12/4/2021 11:28 am : link
In comment 15478872 Leg of Theismann said:
Quote:
And I just misunderstood you. You may have just been saying “take the points” as in you’d rather just bet on the dogs with the original spreads. Either way I catch your drift 👍🏻


Yeah, I’d rather take the dogs and points. I think one of the favored teams is losing today.
Btw Michigan went from -10.5 to -13.5 literally overnight  
Leg of Theismann : 12/4/2021 11:30 am : link
Luckily I got it in before that . would have to go -19.5 at this point if you’d want in on the -6 teaser.
RE: RE: You might not have been suggesting that btw lol  
Leg of Theismann : 12/4/2021 11:33 am : link
In comment 15478884 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 15478872 Leg of Theismann said:


Quote:


And I just misunderstood you. You may have just been saying “take the points” as in you’d rather just bet on the dogs with the original spreads. Either way I catch your drift 👍🏻



Yeah, I’d rather take the dogs and points. I think one of the favored teams is losing today.


Damn okay yeah definitely could happen for sure. I actually for some reason feel like these 3 favorites will win but that Oklahoma St will randomly be upset by Baylor.
Back to the Corner