An industry talent evaluator said on the condition of anonymity that Elian Soto is not regarded as “premium” a talent as was his brother, who received a $1.5 million signing bonus from the Nationals in 2015.
Mike Puma
@NYPost_Mets
Edgardo Alfonzo has reached out to the Mets hoping for a return in a coaching or player development capacity, but hasn't received any indication the organization is interested in rehiring him. Alfonzo still makes occasional appearances at Citi Field as a club ambassador.
i heard this from someone directly involved 6 weeks ago
2:22
Odds that the season starts on time?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:22
I'm actually 70/30 in favor
And I'll tell you why
It's a mess right now, but on a fundamental level, they're not so far apart on things.
12:23
So I think it's longer than ideal to get serious
but then when talks become actually serious, it starts quickly
well, goes quickly
Passan wrote a good article yesterday where he polled a bunch of people on all sides (GMs, agents, even an owner) and had a list of common sense compromises that seem very likely to be where the CBA ends up going.
I don't see the same players racing to get deals signed in the old CBA being enthusiastic about missing paychecks. And unlike 2020 the owners can't comfortably sit back without fear of losing revenue as they did when there were no fans.
when it happens who knows but i think it gets done without missing games.
Fangraphs had Plummer outside the Cardinals to 40 prospects with the note
"Nick Plummer, OF
We liked Plummer in high school but multiple hand surgeries have derailed the early stages of a career that was already likely to start slowly due to his background (he was a Michigan high schooler who only saw good pitching during the summer). Pro scouts don’t consider him a prospect, but we’re keeping an eye on him because of his pedigree."
Maybe he figured something out in 2021 but it's very, very uncommon for legit prospects to be allowed to hit FA (which happened with the Cardinals). He'll be 26 years old in July, 2 full years older than Lee
I know he was dumped by the Cards. He's now the Mets 9th prospect. That was my point.
Plummer really has nothing to do with Lee. Lee may turn out a total bust and a NP but he's had 18 MLB AB's and mashed in AAA (even with the noted inflated BABIP and high K%). Teams do not give up 2 "top 10" prospects in their system including a guy that went first round, got hurt and still went second round with a high bonus, had a strong/solid debut season for a 34 year old RP making big money coming off a poor second half and poor recent history (2019, 2020 with a very strong first half 2021). It would be beyond unusual. Again, Iglesias was moved to LAA for nothing.
I agree the Mets won't be doing it. Because it is two top 10 prospects in THEIR system, and they have Cohen so they have plenty of money to burn. Though my estimations may have turned out to be a bit of hyperbole, Ginn and especially Lee would not be near the prospect ranking for teams with a deep farm. My point was that I don't think the value is too crazy.
An industry talent evaluator said on the condition of anonymity that Elian Soto is not regarded as “premium” a talent as was his brother, who received a $1.5 million signing bonus from the Nationals in 2015.
For what it's worth, Vlad Jr. claims the following: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. told Hector Gomez that Elian, who played in 2021 at the age of 15, hits the ball "harder than Juan Soto when he was 15 years old."
More importantly, Juan Soto is a FA in 3 years, brother will be 18 then. Elian would be a huge get for the Mets. I seem to recall Soto also intimating something about NY. Mets have as good a chance as any at landing him. Juan will be 26. Contract will be insane.
interview with Chavez from last month Link - ( New Window )
Great interview. This is a hell of a quote. Couldn't agree more about not throwing at bats away. Also the connection to Long seems notable given how well he was thought of here.
Quote:
When I left Oakland, as much as I performed and especially at the offensive level where I was very streaky, hot and cold. I threw away too many at-bats. There wasn’t enough quality at bats. You’re going into a slump and you just disappear for two weeks. It’s like, man, you may not have to feel your best, but at least you could get more quality at-bats. The biggest bridge was when I left Oakland and I went to New York,. I left Oakland as s a productive player and had some injuries, and I knew I had to reinvent myself. But when I went to New York, obviously being the backup, I said, ‘Where are these adjustments going to come from? How are you really going to change that?’ I just simplified things. It went from not really having an idea of what I was doing at the play to really studying with Kevin Long and talking about it and understanding how the body works and understanding what makes you successful at the plate. There was just a whole lot of mental stuff that when I left Oakland to go to New York that — I just had to mature as a player. I had to be different because the injuries took away my physical tools. So where was I going to make the jump to be competitive in this league?Literally, this is what I told myself: The most important thing for me is to give Joe Girardi four quality at-bats. Before I think as a hitter was, I was like, ‘Man, I need to I need to drive in runs. I need to hit doubles. I need to hit home runs. I just totally changed my mental preparation as far as what I wanted to accomplish. I told myself, defensively, just make every single routine (play) you possibly can make. If great plays and exciting plays come, that’s great. But I really just focused on slowing the game down it started with a mental commitment to that. You can talk about it. A lot of the phrases are cliche, but I committed to it. And then I really saw the results. I really felt like I was a better player as a backup because of where my head was mentally. The physical tools were gone. The injuries took over. I couldn’t play more than three or four days in a row. But I just committed to those simple things and I just realized how powerful the mind was, and then kind of transitioning into working with players over the last five or six years. I just saw how important it was.
what is perhaps even more notable is that it's not just talk, in his age 34 season with the Yankees he posted the highest rc of his career over 313 plate appearances.
I missed 04. And honestly it wasn't really intended to say that Chavez got better or had his best year - there were a bunch of other years where he posted better BA or SLG% or K/BB rates - more that it's impressive he found a way to adapt productively.
Even taking into account the a35/36 years in AZ, most players can't say that they found a way in the last 3 years of their careers to post numbers above their career averages.
Interesting @RumblePoniesBB manager Reid Brignac and pitching coach Jerome Williams were teammates on the 2014 @Phillies
Granderson would have been a really nice addition. That was a risky signing off his injuries but he was a really good met. should probably be even more beloved than he is because he was really probably the most valuable individual player by fwar bridging the no playoff group from 14 and the playoff years of 15/16. and he delivered in the playoffs with a near 900 ops during the WS run.
Mike Puma
@NYPost_Mets
Edgardo Alfonzo has reached out to the Mets hoping for a return in a coaching or player development capacity, but hasn't received any indication the organization is interested in rehiring him. Alfonzo still makes occasional appearances at Citi Field as a club ambassador.
So Fonzi leads the only Mets affiliate to win a title in forever or at least a rare title and he's promptly fired and asked never to return.
makes sense.
per Rosenthal Jeff Pickler in consideration for bench coach
sounds like he may be "the analytics guy". currently in Cincy but worked with Hefner in Minnesota and Zauzmer in LA. Here's a quick blurb on him from when cincy hired him.
Quote:
4. Book smart: Jeff Pickler
The Reds are being innovative this season, and a good example of this is the hiring of Jeff Pickler as an outfield and game-planning coach. Pickler spent the past 12 years working in scouting, player development and game strategy with an extensive background in analytics. While playing at the University of Tennessee, Pickler won Southeastern Conference Player of the Year and was a first-team All-American. He also was named Scholar Athlete of the Year in 1998 before graduating magna cum laude and later earning a master’s degree in teaching from National University.
and that scherzer in particular may campaign for it. assuming DH goes through he's my favorite available player in FA and the fact that he'd be cheaper because he's a DH is all the better.
Nimmo
Marte
Lindor
Alonso
Schwarber
Canha
McNeil
Escobar
McCann
would be one hell of a lineup.
and with JDD/Cano on bench Dom would be a pretty expendable piece to go out to bring back a SP.
After this Giants season, I am so ready for pitchers/catchers
not being a manager. this one made me think of the daily minors posts by DMM.
Quote:
“Minor League reports belong on this list, too. Reading them and seeing how people are doing and giving you a sense of an organization as a whole. This prospect got three hits. This kid made a great play, and it’s there in the reports. It’s another part of the routine of wholeness.”
this one was good too bc that NYY/SEA series has always stuck with me - rooting against the evil empire right before they became the evil empire:
Quote:
“The day before the playoffs start is even better. I remember the first time Mr. Steinbrenner complimented me was before Game 1 in ’95, before we played the Mariners. He patted me on the shoulder and said, ‘Nice going, kid.’”
ZiPS projects the 2022 Mets to have 7 regulars post 2.0+ fWAR, 6 or which in the 3+ range. ZiPS is not optimistic regarding a McCann rebound. 81 wRC+ .8 fWAR
Pitching side far less optimistic
ZiPS is not high on the Mets pitching depth with only 2 P's projected for 2+ fWAR and Megill/Walker tied for 3rd best SP... 1.3 fWAR #Mets
Szymborski said they have the rotation as the best in baseball in their depth charts, and that's with even with an extremely low projection on Carrasco (obviously a lot of that value hinges on JDG/Sherzer health). I'm not super high on Carrasco but I'd bet the over on the zips war projection at 1.2 (I think they transposed that on the graphic below). And we know they are very likely to add 1 more SP who I'd bet ends up the 3rd highest zips projection (for example Manea is projected at 2.8 fwar and Bassit at 2.5).
Good to see them predict strong McNeil and Lindor bounce backs (both right around .800 ops). Alonso doesn't need a bounce back but still a very strong projection (41 homers, 110 rbis). Every position except catcher projected above 2 fwar. And they will also probably have DH spot available and adding someone like Schwarber could be a gamechanger. Zips projected Schwarber at 2.5 war w/ 30 homers and a near .900 ops.
I’m confident about the Mets’ lineup, but I’m less sure here. Not because of the quality of the pitchers, mind you, but rather their health. We currently have the rotation as the best in baseball in our depth charts, but I happen to think the playing time scenarios are more optimistic than I would be."
He has Peterson/Williams/and "see if Lugo can start" as the depth at the MLB/High minors level.
RE: idk I see a lot of amount of optimism in these projections
And they will also probably have DH spot available and adding someone like Schwarber could be a gamechanger. Zips projected Schwarber at 2.5 war w/ 30 homers and a near .900 ops.
Schwarber would be fun. Really easy guy to root for.
if the season started tomorrow we would all have depth concerns too
the best in baseball because they have deGrom and Scherzer combining for a projected 11.2 fWAR. They have the other 8 SP's on their depth chart COMBINING for 7.7.
RE: if the season started tomorrow we would all have depth concerns too
but would any of us take a bet that they don't add more SP before ST begins? No matter what odds I was given I would not take that bet.
But what's wrong with commenting on the current roster makeup and pointing out the needs? I don't think any non-hyper optimistic person would be confident with Carrasco/Walker/Megill/Peterson as your 3-6 SP's opening day.
the best in baseball because they have deGrom and Scherzer combining for a projected 11.2 fWAR. They have the other 8 SP's on their depth chart COMBINING for 7.7.
do you think the will add more pitchers to their depth chart between now and ST?
projection for me is Mark Payton being a league average player in 2022. He's 30 years old, the Reds just sold him for cash and yet they project 1.5 fWAR over 379 PA's. I find it hard to believe he's even on the 40 man come opening day.
the best in baseball because they have deGrom and Scherzer combining for a projected 11.2 fWAR. They have the other 8 SP's on their depth chart COMBINING for 7.7.
do you think the will add more pitchers to their depth chart between now and ST?
Again, I'm kind of confused. Since when it pointing out flaws/needs not something that is done by fans of any sport? If anything ZiPS is saying the Mets have 2 incredible pitchers but after them need more. I'm legit confused with your issue here? Just point out the strengths of the team and not that they pretty clearly could use a legit SP and not rely on what they have internally?
RE: RE: if the season started tomorrow we would all have depth concerns too
but would any of us take a bet that they don't add more SP before ST begins? No matter what odds I was given I would not take that bet.
But what's wrong with commenting on the current roster makeup and pointing out the needs? I don't think any non-hyper optimistic person would be confident with Carrasco/Walker/Megill/Peterson as your 3-6 SP's opening day.
there's nothing wrong with it except it's obvious and already pretty well known. the mets have been public about the fact that they need more SP. Eppler said he wanted to add 2 or 3 SP before signing Scherzer. it's not like this is a typical offseason where they are sitting on their hands not addressing a need. I don't see anything all that notable in a projection telling us something we already knew. this team needs another #2/3 starter.
given the offseason is on pause i see more value in the projection model's data for the players that are signed rather than what's still on the to do list.
RE: RE: RE: if the season started tomorrow we would all have depth concerns too
but would any of us take a bet that they don't add more SP before ST begins? No matter what odds I was given I would not take that bet.
But what's wrong with commenting on the current roster makeup and pointing out the needs? I don't think any non-hyper optimistic person would be confident with Carrasco/Walker/Megill/Peterson as your 3-6 SP's opening day.
there's nothing wrong with it except it's obvious and already pretty well known. the mets have been public about the fact that they need more SP. Eppler said he wanted to add 2 or 3 SP before signing Scherzer. it's not like this is a typical offseason where they are sitting on their hands not addressing a need. I don't see anything all that notable in a projection telling us something we already knew. this team needs another #2/3 starter.
given the offseason is on pause i see more value in the projection model's data for the players that are signed rather than what's still on the to do list.
But where am I bitching about their "lack of effort"? I'm pointing out that ZiPS is not high on the Mets SP beyond the big 2. They think Taijuan Walker is what we saw last year, a 4th or 5th SP, and Williams/Peterson "filler" back end types. Lucchesi (who may not pitch in 2022) is their 3rd best SP projection.
rejected the Mets request to interview Ryan Flaherty to be their BC and Jeff Pickler turned down the Mets request to interview for the same position.
I'm surprised after the Matt Arnold stuff how many people don't understand that there is no "rule" about granting promotions. Came up again yesterday with the Flaherty news.
curious what the deal is with the Mets and Alfonzo. The claim was he was fired because he put winning ahead of player development (he did in fact win a title) but that was with Brodie running the show. There is no middle ground/way that can be mended? There must be more to this story right? Very weird.
RE: RE: RE: RE: if the season started tomorrow we would all have depth concerns too
But where am I bitching about their "lack of effort"? I'm pointing out that ZiPS is not high on the Mets SP beyond the big 2.
I didn't say you were bitching about anything im saying that part of the zips projection is uninteresting to me because it's likely they are just placeholders for other players (nothing to do with you). I think there's a better than 50-50 shot both Peterson/Megill are in AAA to start the year.
is it not fair to be more focused on the projections for the players who are more likely if not certain to actually be on the active roster?
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: if the season started tomorrow we would all have depth concerns too
But where am I bitching about their "lack of effort"? I'm pointing out that ZiPS is not high on the Mets SP beyond the big 2.
I didn't say you were bitching about anything im saying that part of the zips projection is uninteresting to me because it's likely they are just placeholders for other players (nothing to do with you). I think there's a better than 50-50 shot both Peterson/Megill are in AAA to start the year.
is it not fair to be more focused on the projections for the players who are more likely if not certain to actually be on the active roster?
I didn't find any of their projections to be that interesting/outlandish. I guess them being THAT high on Alonso is notable but Lindor etc about what you'd expect.
I didn't find any of their projections to be that interesting/outlandish. I guess them being THAT high on Alonso is notable but Lindor etc about what you'd expect.
I don't disagree - Lindor maybe a little higher than expected and Marte/McNeil a little lower. Dom and JDD are both low too.
To me the most notable things were in order:
1. Lindor projection matching the 2nd best year of his career (4.7 war) - that's a strong projection and one I'd possibly take the under on. Though I do also think he has an opportunity for a true "pop year" kind of like Beltran's 2nd year here where he way exceeds expectations so maybe 4.7 is an accurate median outcome.
2. All 3 new hitters above 2.0 war. This is another outcome I'd possibly bet against. Individually I'd take the over on Marte (2.8) but the under on Escobar (2.9). Canha at 2.0 I could see either way. But all 3 over 2.0 seems aggressive considering first years in NY. I'd guess 1 of them has a mccann style disappointing year.
3. McNeil bounce back. I think they are still low on him likely because of where he falls in an age curve, but it's a statistical model so it's good to see statistically they see him bouncing back.
I would say the strength of the roster is that Alonso, McNeil, Lindor, Marte are all true top of division players - and zips seems to mostly agree with that. Nimmo too but that's pending health. JDG/Scherzer are the key to postseason success but over 162 games the every day guys are the key to winning 90+ and allowing the organization to do what's necessary to get to the postseason with JDG/Scherzer in their best form.
"If the Mets were to deal one of those players, it seems likely they’d target pitching help in return. No one around the league can match New York’s best two arms, with Scherzer and Jacob deGrom a potentially dominating pairing at the top. There’s a lot of uncertainty behind that duo, though.
Carlos Carrasco is usually very effective when healthy, but he was limited to twelve starts last year by various injuries and underwent postseason surgery to remove a bone fragment from his elbow. He’s not expected to miss much more than a bit of Spring Training action, but it’s the latest in a rather significant injury history for the 34-year-old. Taijuan Walker stayed healthy last season, but he followed up an All-Star first half with a 7.13 ERA/6.79 FIP after the Break. David Peterson struggled and battled oblique and foot injuries last season. Tylor Megill showed promising strikeout and walk numbers but gave up a lot of hard contact when batters did put the ball in play.
At least adding some sort of stabilizing back-of-the-rotation presence would seem to be a priority. The Reds and A’s are expected to make some higher-impact arms available via trade, and other teams like the Marlins and Brewers might have enough pitching depth to consider dealing a back-end guy for offensive help." As is the case with virtually every contender, the Mets could probably stand to add a reliever or two. Last year’s bullpen was a top ten unit by both ERA and strikeout/walk rate differential. But Aaron Loup has already departed, and Jeurys Familia (in whom the Mets apparently have some interest in re-signing) and midseason pickups Heath Hembree and Brad Hand all hit free agency. Link - ( New Window )
worrisome note from Buster Olney (as part of his piece on the best SP in baseball)
"DeGrom's status for the start of the 2022 season is unclear. But he demonstrated last year that when he's on the mound, he is the best there is, maybe the best there ever was." Link - ( New Window )
might be a little high just because I don't think he's going to get 531 PA's as a 33 year old on a deep team, and a guy who has hip problems/concerns. 531 PA's would be his second highest # ever so I'd bet against that but not heavily so.
1. Dom for Manea or Bassitt
2. Sign Schwarber (MLBTR projects 4x70m)
3. Trade for another depth starter with options (a la Trevor Williams)
4. Add 2 veteran relievers on 2 year deals (Lugo Diaz and May are entering walk years, makes sense to hedge next year's pen, I'd go for 2 w/ highest upside like McHugh, hope 1/2 hits). Would also bring back Familia on a 1 year.
That should add about $40m more to the payroll to take it right around $275-285m (though the CBT payroll total will be higher than that).
might be a little high just because I don't think he's going to get 531 PA's as a 33 year old on a deep team, and a guy who has hip problems/concerns. 531 PA's would be his second highest # ever so I'd bet against that but not heavily so.
Agreed on the playing time but I expect his performance when he plays to be relatively predictable/durable because I his core skills getting on base are pretty durable. the zips projected triple slash is basically his career average across the board.
An industry talent evaluator said on the condition of anonymity that Elian Soto is not regarded as “premium” a talent as was his brother, who received a $1.5 million signing bonus from the Nationals in 2015.
@RumblePoniesBB
·
11m
Meet the Manager Baseball!
Reid Brignac set to lead the 2022 @RumblePoniesBB
along with the rest of the coaching staff:
Jerome Williams, Pitching Coach
Tommy Joseph, Hitting Coach
Mariano Duncan, Bench Coach
Ryan Orr, Performance Coach
Vanessa Weisbach, Athletic Trainer
@NYPost_Mets
Edgardo Alfonzo has reached out to the Mets hoping for a return in a coaching or player development capacity, but hasn't received any indication the organization is interested in rehiring him. Alfonzo still makes occasional appearances at Citi Field as a club ambassador.
Odds that the season starts on time?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:22
I'm actually 70/30 in favor
And I'll tell you why
It's a mess right now, but on a fundamental level, they're not so far apart on things.
12:23
So I think it's longer than ideal to get serious
but then when talks become actually serious, it starts quickly
well, goes quickly
Passan wrote a good article yesterday where he polled a bunch of people on all sides (GMs, agents, even an owner) and had a list of common sense compromises that seem very likely to be where the CBA ends up going.
I don't see the same players racing to get deals signed in the old CBA being enthusiastic about missing paychecks. And unlike 2020 the owners can't comfortably sit back without fear of losing revenue as they did when there were no fans.
when it happens who knows but i think it gets done without missing games.
Link - ( New Window )
Quote:
In comment 15532554 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Fangraphs had Plummer outside the Cardinals to 40 prospects with the note
"Nick Plummer, OF
We liked Plummer in high school but multiple hand surgeries have derailed the early stages of a career that was already likely to start slowly due to his background (he was a Michigan high schooler who only saw good pitching during the summer). Pro scouts don’t consider him a prospect, but we’re keeping an eye on him because of his pedigree."
Maybe he figured something out in 2021 but it's very, very uncommon for legit prospects to be allowed to hit FA (which happened with the Cardinals). He'll be 26 years old in July, 2 full years older than Lee
I know he was dumped by the Cards. He's now the Mets 9th prospect. That was my point.
Plummer really has nothing to do with Lee. Lee may turn out a total bust and a NP but he's had 18 MLB AB's and mashed in AAA (even with the noted inflated BABIP and high K%). Teams do not give up 2 "top 10" prospects in their system including a guy that went first round, got hurt and still went second round with a high bonus, had a strong/solid debut season for a 34 year old RP making big money coming off a poor second half and poor recent history (2019, 2020 with a very strong first half 2021). It would be beyond unusual. Again, Iglesias was moved to LAA for nothing.
I agree the Mets won't be doing it. Because it is two top 10 prospects in THEIR system, and they have Cohen so they have plenty of money to burn. Though my estimations may have turned out to be a bit of hyperbole, Ginn and especially Lee would not be near the prospect ranking for teams with a deep farm. My point was that I don't think the value is too crazy.
An industry talent evaluator said on the condition of anonymity that Elian Soto is not regarded as “premium” a talent as was his brother, who received a $1.5 million signing bonus from the Nationals in 2015.
For what it's worth, Vlad Jr. claims the following: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. told Hector Gomez that Elian, who played in 2021 at the age of 15, hits the ball "harder than Juan Soto when he was 15 years old."
More importantly, Juan Soto is a FA in 3 years, brother will be 18 then. Elian would be a huge get for the Mets. I seem to recall Soto also intimating something about NY. Mets have as good a chance as any at landing him. Juan will be 26. Contract will be insane.
Link - ( New Window )
Great interview. This is a hell of a quote. Couldn't agree more about not throwing at bats away. Also the connection to Long seems notable given how well he was thought of here.
what is perhaps even more notable is that it's not just talk, in his age 34 season with the Yankees he posted the highest rc of his career over 313 plate appearances.
@Jacob_Resnick
·
14s
Full coaching staff for the Low-A St. Lucie Mets in 2022:
Manager: Robbie Robinson
Hitting: Victor Burgos
Pitching: Victor Ramos
Bench: Gilbert Gomez
Burgos is new to the organization, Ramos was in the DSL last year (coaching Joel Diaz), Robinson and Gomez were in the FCL.
@Jacob_Resnick
·
14s
Full coaching staff for the Low-A St. Lucie Mets in 2022:
Manager: Robbie Robinson
Hitting: Victor Burgos
Pitching: Victor Ramos
Bench: Gilbert Gomez
Burgos is new to the organization, Ramos was in the DSL last year (coaching Joel Diaz), Robinson and Gomez were in the FCL.
Diaz was named as one of BA's 10 sleeper pitching prospects. Definitely one to watch.
I missed 04. And honestly it wasn't really intended to say that Chavez got better or had his best year - there were a bunch of other years where he posted better BA or SLG% or K/BB rates - more that it's impressive he found a way to adapt productively.
Even taking into account the a35/36 years in AZ, most players can't say that they found a way in the last 3 years of their careers to post numbers above their career averages.
Interesting @RumblePoniesBB manager Reid Brignac and pitching coach Jerome Williams were teammates on the 2014 @Phillies
@Jacob_Resnick
·
2m
Here is the coaching staff for the High-A Brooklyn Cyclones in 2022:
Manager: Luis Rivera
Hitting: Richie Benes
Pitching: AJ Sager
Bench: Chris Newell
Sager is new to the organization, having previously been the Tigers’ minor league pitching coordinator.
Interesting @RumblePoniesBB manager Reid Brignac and pitching coach Jerome Williams were teammates on the 2014 @Phillies
Granderson would have been a really nice addition. That was a risky signing off his injuries but he was a really good met. should probably be even more beloved than he is because he was really probably the most valuable individual player by fwar bridging the no playoff group from 14 and the playoff years of 15/16. and he delivered in the playoffs with a near 900 ops during the WS run.
@NYPost_Mets
Edgardo Alfonzo has reached out to the Mets hoping for a return in a coaching or player development capacity, but hasn't received any indication the organization is interested in rehiring him. Alfonzo still makes occasional appearances at Citi Field as a club ambassador.
So Fonzi leads the only Mets affiliate to win a title in forever or at least a rare title and he's promptly fired and asked never to return.
makes sense.
The Reds are being innovative this season, and a good example of this is the hiring of Jeff Pickler as an outfield and game-planning coach. Pickler spent the past 12 years working in scouting, player development and game strategy with an extensive background in analytics. While playing at the University of Tennessee, Pickler won Southeastern Conference Player of the Year and was a first-team All-American. He also was named Scholar Athlete of the Year in 1998 before graduating magna cum laude and later earning a master’s degree in teaching from National University.
The Reds have a new manager and 10 new coaches at the major-league level - ( New Window )
Nimmo
Marte
Lindor
Alonso
Schwarber
Canha
McNeil
Escobar
McCann
would be one hell of a lineup.
and with JDD/Cano on bench Dom would be a pretty expendable piece to go out to bring back a SP.
this one was good too bc that NYY/SEA series has always stuck with me - rooting against the evil empire right before they became the evil empire:
New Mets skipper Showalter waxes poetic about what he missed during time away - ( New Window )
Pitching side far less optimistic
ZiPS is not high on the Mets pitching depth with only 2 P's projected for 2+ fWAR and Megill/Walker tied for 3rd best SP... 1.3 fWAR #Mets
Good to see them predict strong McNeil and Lindor bounce backs (both right around .800 ops). Alonso doesn't need a bounce back but still a very strong projection (41 homers, 110 rbis). Every position except catcher projected above 2 fwar. And they will also probably have DH spot available and adding someone like Schwarber could be a gamechanger. Zips projected Schwarber at 2.5 war w/ 30 homers and a near .900 ops.
"The Mets project rather well, though health and depth concerns with the pitching staff linger. "
I'm not formulating my own story here, HE said it
I’m confident about the Mets’ lineup, but I’m less sure here. Not because of the quality of the pitchers, mind you, but rather their health. We currently have the rotation as the best in baseball in our depth charts, but I happen to think the playing time scenarios are more optimistic than I would be."
He has Peterson/Williams/and "see if Lugo can start" as the depth at the MLB/High minors level.
Schwarber would be fun. Really easy guy to root for.
But what's wrong with commenting on the current roster makeup and pointing out the needs? I don't think any non-hyper optimistic person would be confident with Carrasco/Walker/Megill/Peterson as your 3-6 SP's opening day.
do you think the will add more pitchers to their depth chart between now and ST?
Quote:
the best in baseball because they have deGrom and Scherzer combining for a projected 11.2 fWAR. They have the other 8 SP's on their depth chart COMBINING for 7.7.
do you think the will add more pitchers to their depth chart between now and ST?
Again, I'm kind of confused. Since when it pointing out flaws/needs not something that is done by fans of any sport? If anything ZiPS is saying the Mets have 2 incredible pitchers but after them need more. I'm legit confused with your issue here? Just point out the strengths of the team and not that they pretty clearly could use a legit SP and not rely on what they have internally?
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but would any of us take a bet that they don't add more SP before ST begins? No matter what odds I was given I would not take that bet.
But what's wrong with commenting on the current roster makeup and pointing out the needs? I don't think any non-hyper optimistic person would be confident with Carrasco/Walker/Megill/Peterson as your 3-6 SP's opening day.
there's nothing wrong with it except it's obvious and already pretty well known. the mets have been public about the fact that they need more SP. Eppler said he wanted to add 2 or 3 SP before signing Scherzer. it's not like this is a typical offseason where they are sitting on their hands not addressing a need. I don't see anything all that notable in a projection telling us something we already knew. this team needs another #2/3 starter.
given the offseason is on pause i see more value in the projection model's data for the players that are signed rather than what's still on the to do list.
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In comment 15541601 Eric on Li said:
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but would any of us take a bet that they don't add more SP before ST begins? No matter what odds I was given I would not take that bet.
But what's wrong with commenting on the current roster makeup and pointing out the needs? I don't think any non-hyper optimistic person would be confident with Carrasco/Walker/Megill/Peterson as your 3-6 SP's opening day.
there's nothing wrong with it except it's obvious and already pretty well known. the mets have been public about the fact that they need more SP. Eppler said he wanted to add 2 or 3 SP before signing Scherzer. it's not like this is a typical offseason where they are sitting on their hands not addressing a need. I don't see anything all that notable in a projection telling us something we already knew. this team needs another #2/3 starter.
given the offseason is on pause i see more value in the projection model's data for the players that are signed rather than what's still on the to do list.
But where am I bitching about their "lack of effort"? I'm pointing out that ZiPS is not high on the Mets SP beyond the big 2. They think Taijuan Walker is what we saw last year, a 4th or 5th SP, and Williams/Peterson "filler" back end types. Lucchesi (who may not pitch in 2022) is their 3rd best SP projection.
I'm surprised after the Matt Arnold stuff how many people don't understand that there is no "rule" about granting promotions. Came up again yesterday with the Flaherty news.
But where am I bitching about their "lack of effort"? I'm pointing out that ZiPS is not high on the Mets SP beyond the big 2.
I didn't say you were bitching about anything im saying that part of the zips projection is uninteresting to me because it's likely they are just placeholders for other players (nothing to do with you). I think there's a better than 50-50 shot both Peterson/Megill are in AAA to start the year.
is it not fair to be more focused on the projections for the players who are more likely if not certain to actually be on the active roster?
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But where am I bitching about their "lack of effort"? I'm pointing out that ZiPS is not high on the Mets SP beyond the big 2.
I didn't say you were bitching about anything im saying that part of the zips projection is uninteresting to me because it's likely they are just placeholders for other players (nothing to do with you). I think there's a better than 50-50 shot both Peterson/Megill are in AAA to start the year.
is it not fair to be more focused on the projections for the players who are more likely if not certain to actually be on the active roster?
I didn't find any of their projections to be that interesting/outlandish. I guess them being THAT high on Alonso is notable but Lindor etc about what you'd expect.
I didn't find any of their projections to be that interesting/outlandish. I guess them being THAT high on Alonso is notable but Lindor etc about what you'd expect.
I don't disagree - Lindor maybe a little higher than expected and Marte/McNeil a little lower. Dom and JDD are both low too.
To me the most notable things were in order:
1. Lindor projection matching the 2nd best year of his career (4.7 war) - that's a strong projection and one I'd possibly take the under on. Though I do also think he has an opportunity for a true "pop year" kind of like Beltran's 2nd year here where he way exceeds expectations so maybe 4.7 is an accurate median outcome.
2. All 3 new hitters above 2.0 war. This is another outcome I'd possibly bet against. Individually I'd take the over on Marte (2.8) but the under on Escobar (2.9). Canha at 2.0 I could see either way. But all 3 over 2.0 seems aggressive considering first years in NY. I'd guess 1 of them has a mccann style disappointing year.
3. McNeil bounce back. I think they are still low on him likely because of where he falls in an age curve, but it's a statistical model so it's good to see statistically they see him bouncing back.
I would say the strength of the roster is that Alonso, McNeil, Lindor, Marte are all true top of division players - and zips seems to mostly agree with that. Nimmo too but that's pending health. JDG/Scherzer are the key to postseason success but over 162 games the every day guys are the key to winning 90+ and allowing the organization to do what's necessary to get to the postseason with JDG/Scherzer in their best form.
Carlos Carrasco is usually very effective when healthy, but he was limited to twelve starts last year by various injuries and underwent postseason surgery to remove a bone fragment from his elbow. He’s not expected to miss much more than a bit of Spring Training action, but it’s the latest in a rather significant injury history for the 34-year-old. Taijuan Walker stayed healthy last season, but he followed up an All-Star first half with a 7.13 ERA/6.79 FIP after the Break. David Peterson struggled and battled oblique and foot injuries last season. Tylor Megill showed promising strikeout and walk numbers but gave up a lot of hard contact when batters did put the ball in play.
At least adding some sort of stabilizing back-of-the-rotation presence would seem to be a priority. The Reds and A’s are expected to make some higher-impact arms available via trade, and other teams like the Marlins and Brewers might have enough pitching depth to consider dealing a back-end guy for offensive help." As is the case with virtually every contender, the Mets could probably stand to add a reliever or two. Last year’s bullpen was a top ten unit by both ERA and strikeout/walk rate differential. But Aaron Loup has already departed, and Jeurys Familia (in whom the Mets apparently have some interest in re-signing) and midseason pickups Heath Hembree and Brad Hand all hit free agency.
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"DeGrom's status for the start of the 2022 season is unclear. But he demonstrated last year that when he's on the mound, he is the best there is, maybe the best there ever was."
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2. Sign Schwarber (MLBTR projects 4x70m)
3. Trade for another depth starter with options (a la Trevor Williams)
4. Add 2 veteran relievers on 2 year deals (Lugo Diaz and May are entering walk years, makes sense to hedge next year's pen, I'd go for 2 w/ highest upside like McHugh, hope 1/2 hits). Would also bring back Familia on a 1 year.
That should add about $40m more to the payroll to take it right around $275-285m (though the CBT payroll total will be higher than that).
Agreed on the playing time but I expect his performance when he plays to be relatively predictable/durable because I his core skills getting on base are pretty durable. the zips projected triple slash is basically his career average across the board.