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BBV: New York beat writers paint a bleak picture

Big Blue '56 : 5/14/2022 2:26 pm
Quote:


New York Giants fans are optimistic after the hiring of a new front office staff and coaches, as well as the 2022 NFL draft. The arrow seems to be pointing upward.

Not, though, if you are the New York press corps that covers the Giants. Jeremy Portnoy posted links to several stories making predictions of the Giants 2022 record. Here are the results:

Zack Rosenblatt, NJ.com: 5-12

Ralph Vacchiano, SNY.tv: 6-11

Dan Duggan, The Athletic: 5-12

And for good measure, Mark Hale of the New York Post predicts that “The Giants will be the worst team in the NFL next season.”

That’s barely any better than the 4-13 2021 team that basically waved the white flag on offense toward the end of the season. Only BBV’s Nick Falato has any optimism about the 2022 Giants, predicting that they will go 7-10. While that would not make them a juggernaut, it would be their best record since the playoff season of 2016.



Quote:


Injuries

The Giants lost more man-games to injury than any other NFL team in 2021. They are also the most injured team in the NFL from 2009-2021:


Is it the MetLife artificial turf? Maybe, although many of the Giants serious injuries in 2021 occurred in training camp or on the road. The diagram above does not show a strong association of injuries with turf. Was it the training methods of Joe Judge and his staff? Perhaps. Do the Giants just have injury-prone players? That can be said about the WR corps, although Kadarius Toney played a full year at Florida the year before without missing any games, and Darius Slayton did not miss any games that year, either.

Aside from Blake Martinez, Aaron Robinson and Elerson Smith didn’t make it out of training camp healthy, returning only in mid-season. Shane Lemieux, Nick Gates, Kaden Smith, and Rodarius Williams hardly played.

Injuries are mostly unpredictable. A reasonable assumption for 2022 would be that the Giants will not have as many injuries to key players as in 2021. For what it’s worth, the Buffalo Bills were the least injured team in the NFL last year. Maybe Brian Daboll and Co. know something, or maybe they were lucky.











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I don't think most BBIers were going to be good this  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 5/14/2022 2:28 pm : link
fall.
"The Giants lead the league in injures from 2009-2021."  
Dave in Hoboken : 5/14/2022 2:33 pm : link
Inexcusable, to put it mildly. They've tried everything except for removing Ronnie Barnes from his position. Seems like a great guy and everything, but it's absolutely that time, IMO.
They could go  
Mook80 : 5/14/2022 2:40 pm : link
6-11 and still have a successful season. DG as GM was the worst employee the Giants have ever had. One of the worst GM's in the history of professional sports. It remains to be seen whether or not Schoen and Daboll will be successful after their promotions, but it feels like the Giants have a professional running the franchise. DG was a total clown. Spoke to the media in such an unprofessional way and made one terrible decision after another.

To quote Lou Brown  
mattlawson : 5/14/2022 3:02 pm : link
I hope we give them a big old shit burger to eat
This is a year that the team is getting overhauled  
mavric : 5/14/2022 3:18 pm : link
and it's a throwaway year and anyone expecting to go to the superbowl needs to come back to earth and find reality. On top of that beatwriters write for a paycheck and they pull shit out of their asses to come up with a story. The wins and losses are played out on a field not in a writer's cubicle banging out words on a keyboard.
Our beats are gutless  
UberAlias : 5/14/2022 3:42 pm : link
It’s the safe easy bet because no one will knock you for saying, they’ve been bad for so long, so I’ll believe it when I see it. They’ll surpass those expectations.
.  
Go Terps : 5/14/2022 3:49 pm : link
Why is predicting the most likely outcome gutless? Does predicting 10-7 make someone courageous, or just dumb?

This is a bad football team in the process of being rebooted.
RE: Our beats are gutless  
bwitz : 5/14/2022 3:50 pm : link
In comment 15708623 UberAlias said:
Quote:
It’s the safe easy bet because no one will knock you for saying, they’ve been bad for so long, so I’ll believe it when I see it. They’ll surpass those expectations.


They’ll surpass those expectations? Based on what, exactly?This team is awful. Have you been paying attention?

I can see reasons for optimism...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 5/14/2022 3:51 pm : link
The schedule, on paper @ least, isn't too daunting. New regime seems-at least to this point-to be competent. The OL should be much, much better.

Hate to throw in the caveat, but so much is going to come down to how Daniel Jones looks. If he takes a leap under this new staff, we could be much better than the average BBIer thinks. Time will tell. I'm just hoping that watching the Giants isn't a chore come late September.
RE: To quote Lou Brown  
bwitz : 5/14/2022 3:52 pm : link
In comment 15708609 mattlawson said:
Quote:
I hope we give them a big old shit burger to eat


The ad that popped up under this post was for Schweid & Sons burgers. No joke.
RE:  
Jack Stroud : 5/14/2022 4:03 pm : link
In comment 15708595 Dave in Hoboken said:
Quote:
Inexcusable, to put it mildly. They've tried everything except for removing Ronnie Barnes from his position. Seems like a great guy and everything, but it's absolutely that time, IMO.
The Jets play on the same surface, why is it they have less injuries? I think it because of their poor training staff and lousy medical staff.
Big Blue  
Hilary : 5/14/2022 4:12 pm : link
The Giants will have a competent to very good offense. The line will be much improved. They will get more production out of the tight end position. Barkely behind and improved line and with better play calling will do well if he can stay healthy. Same for
Toney. I like DJ much more than many of our other posters.

What worries me is the corner play and the dearth of players on the DL to stop the run.

Not sure why anyone would question that  
mfsd : 5/14/2022 4:18 pm : link
Giants fans should be optimistic, but not bc they’re going to be a contender. Optimistic there are signs of better decision making, which bodes well for the future

This is still a 4-6 win team, until they prove otherwise
RE: RE: Our beats are gutless  
Snablats : 5/14/2022 4:21 pm : link
In comment 15708629 bwitz said:
Quote:
In comment 15708623 UberAlias said:


Quote:


It’s the safe easy bet because no one will knock you for saying, they’ve been bad for so long, so I’ll believe it when I see it. They’ll surpass those expectations.



They’ll surpass those expectations? Based on what, exactly?This team is awful. Have you been paying attention?

The offensive line is better than last year, the coaching is better than last year. The biggest issue now is corners and safeties

With the easier schedule the team should look competent, which should be an upgrade from last year
Not sure it should be described as bleak.  
chick310 : 5/14/2022 4:23 pm : link
Realistic picture maybe?
what they are all saying is Daniel Jones  
Giantimistic : 5/14/2022 4:29 pm : link
will not be good or great this season. A great season from Jones should get us 8, 9 or maybe 10 wins.

A bad season from Jones gets us those records which is fine because we will be in a great spot to try and get a rookie QB.
We easily could start 0-3  
Paulie Walnuts : 5/14/2022 4:31 pm : link
Again
Too much emphasis on last year  
Bruner4329 : 5/14/2022 4:49 pm : link
Yeah we won only 4 games last year pretty much fielding a minor league team especially the last 7 weeks. If we played with a mediocre QB we could have won at least 2 more games.
Nonetheless this team has improved just by bringing in average players in FA and having a very good draft. The OL will be better, the defense added speed and even if DJ plays mediocre with this schedule 7/8 wins are not unrealistic. Sorry let the doomsayers stick to their guns but one thing I have learned as a football fan is that teams can turn it around quicker than you think. Again not predicting anything more than an improvement with 3 or 4 more wins.
I hope they suck enough to pick one of the top QBs.  
Optimus-NY : 5/14/2022 5:06 pm : link
Straight up.
RE: Not sure why anyone would question that  
Brown_Hornet : 5/14/2022 5:06 pm : link
In comment 15708642 mfsd said:
Quote:
Giants fans should be optimistic, but not bc they’re going to be a contender. Optimistic there are signs of better decision making, which bodes well for the future

This is still a 4-6 win team, until they prove otherwise
Yep.
I am highly optimistic that I will enjoy the 2022 season.
RE: RE: Not sure why anyone would question that  
joeinpa : 5/14/2022 5:17 pm : link
In comment 15708664 Brown_Hornet said:
Quote:
In comment 15708642 mfsd said:


Quote:


Giants fans should be optimistic, but not bc they’re going to be a contender. Optimistic there are signs of better decision making, which bodes well for the future

This is still a 4-6 win team, until they prove otherwise

Yep.
I am highly optimistic that I will enjoy the 2022 season.


Well stated Hornet, that s the point
Because they seemed to have  
section125 : 5/14/2022 5:40 pm : link
drafted well, does not mean they will play well. 4 to 6 wins seems very reasonable.
RE: .  
jvm52106 : 5/14/2022 6:03 pm : link
In comment 15708628 Go Terps said:
Quote:
Why is predicting the most likely outcome gutless? Does predicting 10-7 make someone courageous, or just dumb?

This is a bad football team in the process of being rebooted.


I still say they go 8-9
I think the writers are right  
US1 Giants : 5/14/2022 6:15 pm : link
Just realistic.
Is  
darren in pdx : 5/14/2022 6:27 pm : link
there anyone that actually thinks otherwise? Anything can happen, but it'd be a good sign for the future if this team reaches 7 wins.
If everybody we drafted ends up performing to expectation or better,  
CT Charlie : 5/14/2022 6:40 pm : link
and ditto for the all the FAs and vets, we will still be very vulnerable to injuries. Because we lack depth, one or two key injuries (either tackle, one of the safeties or CBs, and more) could cost us 2-3 wins. I don't think 5-6 wins is necessarily pessimistic.
I think bad and bleak are two very different things.  
j_rud : 5/14/2022 7:29 pm : link
Last year they were bad and the outlook was very bleak. Bleak doesnt even do it justice if we're being honest. Last year was my worst as a fan. I've never been as down on this team as I was last year. A rudderless laughingstock.

This year they are likely to be bad again. I think the organization has made strides but isnt even halfway there. But I don't feel like it's bleak. I think they're on an upswing. Straightening out the cap, modern offense and aggressive defense, two top 10 picks, new scouting department. There's some promise.
7-10  
cjac : 5/14/2022 7:57 pm : link
Would be a huge step in the right direction this season

That’s about the best I think they got in them.
In the current cycle  
ghost718 : 5/14/2022 8:34 pm : link
This is "A New Hope"

Than next year you get "The Mara's Strike Back / Return Of Tisch"

Put out together like Back to The Future 2 and 3
RE: RE: Our beats are gutless  
UberAlias : 5/15/2022 6:57 am : link
In comment 15708629 bwitz said:
Quote:
In comment 15708623 UberAlias said:


Quote:


It’s the safe easy bet because no one will knock you for saying, they’ve been bad for so long, so I’ll believe it when I see it. They’ll surpass those expectations.



They’ll surpass those expectations? Based on what, exactly?This team is awful. Have you been paying attention?
Better coaching improved Oline fewer injuries significantly better play calling two impact players at major positions of need. Yes I’ve been paying attention, have you?
.  
winoguy : 5/15/2022 9:04 am : link
. Better coaches
Better players
Easier schedule
God willing , less injuries

Dammit, 8 wins is not inconceivable




RE: RE: RE: Not sure why anyone would question that  
Jimmy Googs : 5/15/2022 9:08 am : link
In comment 15708668 joeinpa said:
Quote:
In comment 15708664 Brown_Hornet said:


Quote:


In comment 15708642 mfsd said:


Quote:


Giants fans should be optimistic, but not bc they’re going to be a contender. Optimistic there are signs of better decision making, which bodes well for the future

This is still a 4-6 win team, until they prove otherwise

Yep.
I am highly optimistic that I will enjoy the 2022 season.



Well stated Hornet, that s the point


What happened to the “they’re a playoff team until they are not”?...
You know, waiting around a whole year  
Simms11 : 5/15/2022 10:22 am : link
to have another 6 win season would be very painful, however, I’m a realist and know we’re starting essentially from scratch. Seeing improvement this season, providing hope for better years ahead would be nice! If we have to bring in a new rookie QB next year, it’ll be a few more years of potential misery.
the writers don't know anything  
Eric on Li : 5/15/2022 10:27 am : link
in most cases they're behind bbi on even the simplest aspects of things.

how many times did they collectively fire coughlin pre-SB 42?

did any of them have Thibodeaux on the radar for the 5th pick?

were any of them at all clued in on the fact that the nyg had deals agreed to with other clubs for bradberry?
Heel Jimmy...  
Brown_Hornet : 5/15/2022 10:27 am : link
...heel.
It's a lot smarter to look surprised if the Giants overachieve....  
Klaatu : 5/15/2022 10:33 am : link
Than it is to act contrite if the Giants underachieve. The beats are playing it smart.
Are we really pretending like the Giants  
Dave in PA : 5/15/2022 10:39 am : link
Haven’t easily been one of the absolute worst teams in the league for the last decade? Particularly pitiful for the last 4 years. They should be assumed to remain as such until proven otherwise. Let’s hope they actually show some life on the field for once this year.
RE: Are we really pretending like the Giants  
Eric on Li : 5/15/2022 10:42 am : link
In comment 15709135 Dave in PA said:
Quote:
They should be assumed to remain as such until proven otherwise.


this is fair but then what are any predictions worth?

vegas is at least a proxy with some accountability built in.
RE: Heel Jimmy...  
Jimmy Googs : 5/15/2022 11:19 am : link
In comment 15709120 Brown_Hornet said:
Quote:
...heel.


Sorry but that is one of my favorite things spouted off last year...
It's true...  
Brown_Hornet : 5/15/2022 11:45 am : link
...until it's not.

;)
It rivals the super bowl clock thing  
Jimmy Googs : 5/15/2022 11:52 am : link
Only wish Getts had said it...
RE: RE: Are we really pretending like the Giants  
Dave in PA : 5/15/2022 12:29 pm : link
In comment 15709137 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
In comment 15709135 Dave in PA said:


Quote:


They should be assumed to remain as such until proven otherwise.



this is fair but then what are any predictions worth?

vegas is at least a proxy with some accountability built in.
not worth much
Think about it this way  
UberAlias : 5/15/2022 1:17 pm : link
Last year we didn’t draft any Oline. Let that sink in. And in 2019 we didn’t draft an Oline until round 7 with our 9th selection. Just think about that for a minute.
I think 6-11 is most likely  
Sean : 5/15/2022 1:22 pm : link
I don’t think this is a 2-3 win 1st pick in the draft type team though.
...  
christian : 5/15/2022 1:37 pm : link
Guessing outcomes for a sports season is certainly more fun than skill.

For the teams I follow, I usually think about it in terms of odds versus predictions.

I think the elements with good odds of improving are: Daboll has more recent success as a play caller, Neal and Thibs are high talent additions, the talent floor on the oline looks higher.

I'm not optimistic there are other elements that will improve.

And ultimately the biggest factor will be Jones hitting the ground running in a new system, and staying healthy. I don't think that's high odds.
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