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If Daniel Jones posts similar numbers to his rookie season?

NYG27 : 5/16/2022 1:46 pm
In 2019, Daniel Jones had five games with 300+ passing yards. His three standout games against the Lions, Jets and Redskins, he had 982 passing yards 13 TDs and 0 INTs.

If you pro-rate his rookie year stats from 12 starts over 17 games, he'd post up 4,288 passing yards with 34 TDs and 17 INTs

With an improved roster around him this year, if Daniel Jones posts similar numbers to his rookie season where he showed a lot of flashes, what would you do heading into 2023 season?

How many  
Bill in UT : 5/16/2022 1:48 pm : link
fumbles is he going to have?
Jones  
Mike in NY : 5/16/2022 1:49 pm : link
The INT's don't bother me so much as the fumbles especially if the INT's are due to pushing the ball downfield. When you fumble you are likely giving your opponent the ball in better field position than if you threw an INT.
I let him walk  
Matt M. : 5/16/2022 1:56 pm : link
I've said it many times, the 2nd contract will be too high to commit to barring anything short of an other worldly season.
I let him walk  
Matt M. : 5/16/2022 1:56 pm : link
I've said it many times, the 2nd contract will be too high to commit to barring anything short of an other worldly season.
Too many years have gone by  
US1 Giants : 5/16/2022 1:57 pm : link
Won't be on a rookie contract anymore. Need a lot more proof to give him a big contract.
If he posts TD's and yards  
jvm52106 : 5/16/2022 2:00 pm : link
similar to his rookie year we will be in the plus win column.
If he has those numbers,  
Simms11 : 5/16/2022 2:01 pm : link
chances are he will have us in the playoffs. At that point you have to seriously consider extending him IMO. Shurmur’s offense was very DJ friendly and hopefully Kafka and Daboll’s will be as well. If he can show dependability and stay on the field, then I think the results will come this year.
You’d hope that fumbles would be less of an issue  
Metnut : 5/16/2022 2:03 pm : link
with a better OLine and 4 years of NFL experience. Still, I’d be wary making a big commitment to a guy who hasn’t shown he can stay on the field.
Prorating is tricky  
Go Terps : 5/16/2022 2:03 pm : link
That is making the assumption that he doesn't get hurt, which has been a problem.

There are three types of QBs in the NFL:

Type 1. A guy you're confident can be a big reason you win the Super Bowl. You're happy to pay him $30M+ a year.
Type 2. A young guy (year 1 or 2) you're hoping becomes a Type 1.
Type 3. Everybody else.

Fork in the road time for Jones. He has to be awesome this year to elevate to Type 1. The excuses and rationalizations have to end.
how many games in Jones's rookie season did he throw 1 or 0  
japanhead : 5/16/2022 2:05 pm : link
TDs? IIRC, it was quite a few. His rookie stats were inflated by like three games where he threw 4-5 TDs a game.

Also, it is disingenuous to prorate his rookie season as if he didn't miss those games with injury. Jones has missed multiple games with injury every year, and in each instance he rushed to get back on the field before he was healthy and looked like dog shit the next game or two.

The missed time and ineffectiveness due to injury can't be discounted or waved away, it's part of who he is
The reason this is so  
Keaton028 : 5/16/2022 2:05 pm : link
difficult, is because this will only have been a 1 year sample size. It won’t be a great indicator of things to come because he’s been so inconsistent. I’m sure the Giants would tag him, but I’m not sure it’s the right move. It’s why the rookie contract is so valuable, and the Giants already wasted it.
He will do better  
Thegratefulhead : 5/16/2022 2:07 pm : link
Than those stats prorated for 17 games if healthy. Half of Barkley's rushing production will be converted to short passes. I want express how simple this offense is to execute. Instead of going through complicated reads this is going to be about touch and timing. How accurately can he float a 7 yard pass that is catchable and puts the receiver in position to make a play. This offense will not work without plus accuracy on short passes. They have to able to get YAC. Completely different QB skill set. Be prepared for Jones to be more successful in this system. It won't mean he will wear a gold jacket some day but he will look a lot more like Kirk Cousins in 2022.
Franchise Tag  
Ben in Tampa : 5/16/2022 2:09 pm : link
and then if he does it again, long term extension
I offer him a chance to come back next year and compete  
Mike from Ohio : 5/16/2022 2:09 pm : link
for a job and see if he can continue to improve. A one year, $10M contract. If he is looking for something more, I let him walk.

The Giants can't evaluate Daniel Jones on a single year of his four year career, especially if this year is an outlier. The only way I offer him a long term deal after this year is if he is consistently excellent week to week all year and avoids injuries. Then we can suggest he has turned a corner. A nice uptick in his stats should not induce the Giants to overpay for a QB whose career to date has been mediocre.
RE: Franchise Tag  
Matt M. : 5/16/2022 2:11 pm : link
In comment 15710312 Ben in Tampa said:
Quote:
and then if he does it again, long term extension
No way in Hell I commit $30M for him for another prove it season.
I want a guy who will win us a SB or two  
UberAlias : 5/16/2022 2:12 pm : link
You don't find answers to those questions on the back of the player's football card.
RE: Franchise Tag  
UConn4523 : 5/16/2022 2:13 pm : link
In comment 15710312 Ben in Tampa said:
Quote:
and then if he does it again, long term extension


Yeah, everyone just assumes that a good season = big payday but the tag is there, and so is a longer term extension without the big guaranteed money (see Jimmy Garoppolo's contract structure, but likely less, IMO).

The Giants hold all the cards with Jones no matter what he does in 2022. He can throw 50 TD's and at the very least we can make him duplicate that before committing to him.
Its a start  
Biteymax22 : 5/16/2022 2:18 pm : link
But there's more than that. He'd also have to cut down on the fumbles from that year, he's gotten better but he still isn't good.

More importantly, he needs to show everyone he can be relied upon to start 17 games. You can't allocate big $$ to a part time QB.
Franchise Tag might be the best option  
NYG27 : 5/16/2022 2:19 pm : link
Make Jones produce for 2 years in Coach Brian Daboll's offense before getting a big payday.

Especially if the Giants improve enough to not have a Top 10 draft pick in 2023 and select one of the top prospects.
That depends.  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/16/2022 2:20 pm : link
His rookie season was his best season, and even those numbers are inflated by a 5 TD game against the lions and other situations where he torched bad teams but didn't make a difference against good teams.

I look at Jones' rookie season not as a goal, because that QB isn't a franchise guy. His rookie season is the benchmark for reason to be optimistic.

17 INTs...  
RHPeel : 5/16/2022 2:20 pm : link
Plus fumbles, that's still a LOT of turnovers. I'd be hesitant to keep him at that point, particularly because Baker Mayfield will likely be available on the open market, and I prefer Mayfield to Jones.

I think he has to top the prorated rookie season while getting the fumbles down to 2021 levels. So with that many turnovers, I wouldn't keep him.
RE: Franchise Tag  
joeinpa : 5/16/2022 2:23 pm : link
In comment 15710312 Ben in Tampa said:
Quote:
and then if he does it again, long term extension


Yep, it s really not that complicated
If Daniel Jones posts similar numbers to his rookie season?  
Spider43 : 5/16/2022 2:31 pm : link
Look out your window, pigs are gonna' fly.
RE: RE: Franchise Tag  
Matt M. : 5/16/2022 2:31 pm : link
In comment 15710322 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 15710312 Ben in Tampa said:


Quote:


and then if he does it again, long term extension



Yeah, everyone just assumes that a good season = big payday but the tag is there, and so is a longer term extension without the big guaranteed money (see Jimmy Garoppolo's contract structure, but likely less, IMO).

The Giants hold all the cards with Jones no matter what he does in 2022. He can throw 50 TD's and at the very least we can make him duplicate that before committing to him.
Not really. The franchise tag will be over $30M. That's guaranteed and a big cap committment.
Does this look like a good season?  
Go Terps : 5/16/2022 2:31 pm : link


Jones Passer Rating: 87.7
NFL Avg. Passer Rating: 90.4

Jones A/YA: 6.46
NFL Avg. A/YA: 7.1

# of games where Jones exceeded NFL Avg. Passer Rating: 4
# of games where Jones exceeded NFL Avg. A/YA: 4

Jones's entire reputation is basically built on 4 games in 2019. Those 4 games were against:

Tampa: 29th ranked defense
Detroit: 26th ranked defense
Jets: 16th ranked defense
Washington: 27th ranked defense, with an interim coach in week 16

The game log speaks for itself.
proposal to Eric and mods:  
Victor in CT : 5/16/2022 2:34 pm : link
moratorium on Jones threads until training camp. THere's nothing left to say until he plays.
His rookie year was supposed to be a building block  
Matt M. : 5/16/2022 2:35 pm : link
It was reason for optimism and provided a certain expectation for improvement. He not only didn't improve, but regressed. His rookie year replicated in year 4 is not a reason to commit money or time.
RE: proposal to Eric and mods:  
Go Terps : 5/16/2022 2:35 pm : link
In comment 15710367 Victor in CT said:
Quote:
moratorium on Jones threads until training camp. THere's nothing left to say until he plays.


So don't open the thread.
RE: His rookie year was supposed to be a building block  
japanhead : 5/16/2022 2:40 pm : link
In comment 15710369 Matt M. said:
Quote:
It was reason for optimism and provided a certain expectation for improvement. He not only didn't improve, but regressed. His rookie year replicated in year 4 is not a reason to commit money or time.


in fairness, the judge/garrett/kitchens offense was the worst thing anyone had seen in a long time so to some extent i understand the jones optimists.

my bigger concern, other than the continued lack of pocket presence, is that he is a lock to miss games with some injury every year. simply put, he is injury prone, and his injuries have all resulted from being careless while running the ball.

it is hard to see his brain improving in this regard. he really seems to lack basic football instincts.
RE: proposal to Eric and mods:  
NYG27 : 5/16/2022 2:41 pm : link
In comment 15710367 Victor in CT said:
Quote:
moratorium on Jones threads until training camp. THere's nothing left to say until he plays.


BBI Corner Forum is a New York Giants Discussion Board. No matter how many times you're tired of reading Daniel Jones threads, you're proposal is to discontinue conversations about the team's Starting QB for a 4 month period?

I think this is more of your issue and if you see Daniel Jones in the Thread Title, just skip it and move onto the next thread.
Sometimes the numbers don't tell all---either way  
GiantBlue : 5/16/2022 2:45 pm : link
The question: Is Daniel Jones "The Guy"? or just another journeyman QB that will bounce around to different teams holding a clipboard until he disappears into obscurity?

I haven't see anything that tells me he is "The Guy". I saw a lot of play over the last few years that left me feeling he is an average QB with average skills.

But it is hard to find those guys like Brady, Rodgers, Brees, etc. We could be searching for decades.
RE: RE: His rookie year was supposed to be a building block  
Matt M. : 5/16/2022 2:45 pm : link
In comment 15710384 japanhead said:
Quote:
In comment 15710369 Matt M. said:


Quote:


It was reason for optimism and provided a certain expectation for improvement. He not only didn't improve, but regressed. His rookie year replicated in year 4 is not a reason to commit money or time.



in fairness, the judge/garrett/kitchens offense was the worst thing anyone had seen in a long time so to some extent i understand the jones optimists.

my bigger concern, other than the continued lack of pocket presence, is that he is a lock to miss games with some injury every year. simply put, he is injury prone, and his injuries have all resulted from being careless while running the ball.

it is hard to see his brain improving in this regard. he really seems to lack basic football instincts.
Agree about the offense. I also think he still has the skill to be a decent NFL QB. However, I do not think that is enough for the Giants to tag him or commit to a 2nd contract. A #6 pick going into FA for the first time is going to get paid. It shouldn't be by us.

Even considering the offensive system, coaching, and personnel deficiencies, he leaves a lot to be desired after 3 years. A couple of flashes have been overshadowed by poor pocket awareness and presence, inability to read defenses, pre-snap, in ability to read defenses with the ball, and his one big plus as a rookie seems to have been diminished (that would be nice deep balls). Throw in injuries and bad decision making leading to some injuries, and I just think there are too many reasons for us to not go with him. Let someone else pay him and if he improves, good for him and them.
If he plays 17 games  
arniefez : 5/16/2022 2:50 pm : link
and throw over 30 TDs and over 4000 yards he'll probably be starting for some NFL team in 2023 whether it's the Giants or not it's too soon to tell IMO.

The new GM paid a backup QB he knows pretty well at the top of that pay scale to have him under contract for 2023. That's not a coincidence IMO. That's setting up for a rookie to learn how to be a professional QB while he waits his turn. I think that's plan A.

I think plan B is a 2nd contract for Jones if he makes the Giants an offer they can't refuse by turning into a top 10 QB. That seems like a long shot.
If he has a season like his rookie season ...  
FStubbs : 5/16/2022 2:50 pm : link
... even without the huge fumble numbers, then your options are:

1) He signs a modest 2 year extension
2) We go a different direction at QB

I wouldn't want him on the franchise tag.
I think Jones will probably play much better this year  
widmerseyebrow : 5/16/2022 2:54 pm : link
but not well enough for a level-headed franchise to want to re-sign him to good starter money.

That said, what do the Giants do? Ownership has mostly remained out of the way but its no secret Mara likes Jones.

We should know better than to plan Daniel Jones coming out party in the preseason, but a revamped offensive line anchored by Thomas + Wandale + Daboll Kafka? I fully expect him to be better than the last two years. If he's not, it's a no brainer what to do next offseason.
Yes to his 2019 numbers but with fewer fumbles. Half or less  
Ivan15 : 5/16/2022 2:55 pm : link
.
Is Kirk Cousins a good comp to the Giants situation with Jones?  
NYG27 : 5/16/2022 2:57 pm : link
Redskins didn't know if Cousins was a franchise QB, so they Franchise Tagged him for both 2016 and 2017.

Still not convinced, the Redskins let Cousins walk in 2018.
RE: proposal to Eric and mods:  
Scooter185 : 5/16/2022 2:57 pm : link
In comment 15710367 Victor in CT said:
Quote:
moratorium on Jones threads until training camp. THere's nothing left to say until he plays.


I got sick of seeing Dunking Donuts on every corner in town, so naturally I started going into everyone and screaming about how they should be closed because who needs that many Dunkin Donuts?
RE: RE: RE: Franchise Tag  
UConn4523 : 5/16/2022 3:00 pm : link
In comment 15710360 Matt M. said:
Quote:
In comment 15710322 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


In comment 15710312 Ben in Tampa said:


Quote:


and then if he does it again, long term extension



Yeah, everyone just assumes that a good season = big payday but the tag is there, and so is a longer term extension without the big guaranteed money (see Jimmy Garoppolo's contract structure, but likely less, IMO).

The Giants hold all the cards with Jones no matter what he does in 2022. He can throw 50 TD's and at the very least we can make him duplicate that before committing to him.

Not really. The franchise tag will be over $30M. That's guaranteed and a big cap committment.


Yes really. If he’s good enough this year to warrant extension talks then the Tag is a fine fallback option and bargaining chip. If he’s mediocre he won’t command a big contract.

I’m fairly certain if he plays 17 games and only totals 25 scores, we won’t want him back at all, fans or the staff. In which case the Tag isn’t even a consideration.
RE: Is Kirk Cousins a good comp to the Giants situation with Jones?  
UConn4523 : 5/16/2022 3:04 pm : link
In comment 15710410 NYG27 said:
Quote:
Redskins didn't know if Cousins was a franchise QB, so they Franchise Tagged him for both 2016 and 2017.

Still not convinced, the Redskins let Cousins walk in 2018.


No, mainly because Kirk never struggled to score for 2 full years so there was always upside to chase, he just didn’t unlock it in Washington for a number of reasons.

I don’t see any comps with Jones. Add in that our GM wasn’t true one who picked him and I just don’t see how he’s our 2023 QB outside of some insanely productive season to warrant getting tagged.
I’m not worried  
Les in TO : 5/16/2022 3:18 pm : link
About yards, TDs, INTs in isolation. Those numbers can be compromised by garbage time or a couple of great games. Can he consistently lead the team to victory or at least minimize mistakes? Does he make the clutch plays and correct reads?
...  
christian : 5/16/2022 3:34 pm : link
The Giants, with 54M in cap space next year, will give Daniel Jones 31.5M, and that's they easy answer?
RE: I’m not worried  
Route 9 : 5/16/2022 3:39 pm : link
In comment 15710433 Les in TO said:
Quote:
About yards, TDs, INTs in isolation. Those numbers can be compromised by garbage time or a couple of great games. Can he consistently lead the team to victory or at least minimize mistakes? Does he make the clutch plays and correct reads?


No to all of the above. Why are we still wasting time? These were all questions we had going into 2020 ... 2021.

Clutch plays? He does the complete opposite of that.
RE: I’m not worried  
Thegratefulhead : 5/16/2022 3:41 pm : link
In comment 15710433 Les in TO said:
Quote:
About yards, TDs, INTs in isolation. Those numbers can be compromised by garbage time or a couple of great games. Can he consistently lead the team to victory or at least minimize mistakes? Does he make the clutch plays and correct reads?
This^ I am fairly positive he will compile stats. Can he return serve against a great QB in the 4th. Does he rise or fold when the stakes rise? Going to have to dig deep into efficiency because the the TDs and yards are going to there. BBI is going to be a war zone in 2022. Daniel will open next year with 300yds and 3-4 TD game and in 1 game all that happened in 3 years will be erased for many. Nutso.


......  
Route 9 : 5/16/2022 3:44 pm : link
He's going into his 4th year ...

The only question that should be asked here is ...

Why are we asking questions? You should know the type of QB he is by now. You shouldn't have to watch another season of him to figure him out.
RE: How many  
k2tampa : 5/16/2022 3:49 pm : link
In comment 15710270 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
fumbles is he going to have?


He had .66 fumbles a game last year and lost one every 5.5 games. In 2020 he had .7 fumbles a game and lost one every 4.7 games.

Last year he had 7 INTs and 7 fumbles (2 lost) in 11 games for 9 turnovers. Three of the INTs and 2 fumbles (one lost) were in the Rams game, a week after he went into the concussion protocol. That's 5 out of the 14 total INTs and fumbles in a game he probably shouldn't have played in.

In the other 10 games he had a total of 4 INTs and 5 fumbles (1 lost). That's five turnovers in 10 games. Ignore the post-concussion game and it translates to 6 or 7 INTs and 7 or 8 fumbles (impossible to know how many would be lost) in 17 games. Include the Rams game and it's 11 INTs and 11 fumbles in 17 games. He had 2 turnovers in only one game (TB) other than the Rams game last year.

The unknown part of the equation is how the new offensive scheme (and line) will effect these numbers.
Schoen and Daboll look like they want to find out  
UConn4523 : 5/16/2022 4:00 pm : link
and since I take it they didn't like the QB prospects this year, they feel he's atleast a better option. They will see what they can do with him in 2022 and then go from there. Fairly straight forward and simple.
RE: ......  
NYG27 : 5/16/2022 4:08 pm : link
In comment 15710462 Route 9 said:
Quote:
Why are we asking questions? You should know the type of QB he is by now. You shouldn't have to watch another season of him to figure him out.


Did we know what type of QB Phil Simms was heading into the 1984 season? Where Simms only won 14 games as the starter and only had 39 TDs in that span from 1979 to 1983.

Who knows if Daniel Jones will perform or not this year. Giants were one of the worst teams in the NFL from 2019 to 2021, so it's tough to say it was all on Jones's shoulders to lift up a team that bad.

Although I do believe Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll have made enough improvements this year, that we can finally get a good sample size if the kid can play or not.
RE: RE: ......  
FStubbs : 5/16/2022 4:28 pm : link
In comment 15710492 NYG27 said:
Quote:
In comment 15710462 Route 9 said:


Quote:


Why are we asking questions? You should know the type of QB he is by now. You shouldn't have to watch another season of him to figure him out.



Did we know what type of QB Phil Simms was heading into the 1984 season? Where Simms only won 14 games as the starter and only had 39 TDs in that span from 1979 to 1983.

Who knows if Daniel Jones will perform or not this year. Giants were one of the worst teams in the NFL from 2019 to 2021, so it's tough to say it was all on Jones's shoulders to lift up a team that bad.

Although I do believe Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll have made enough improvements this year, that we can finally get a good sample size if the kid can play or not.


Football just isn't set up for a QB to have Phil Simms' development timeline anymore.
RE: RE: RE: ......  
Matt M. : 5/16/2022 4:36 pm : link
In comment 15710518 FStubbs said:
Quote:
In comment 15710492 NYG27 said:


Quote:


In comment 15710462 Route 9 said:


Quote:


Why are we asking questions? You should know the type of QB he is by now. You shouldn't have to watch another season of him to figure him out.



Did we know what type of QB Phil Simms was heading into the 1984 season? Where Simms only won 14 games as the starter and only had 39 TDs in that span from 1979 to 1983.

Who knows if Daniel Jones will perform or not this year. Giants were one of the worst teams in the NFL from 2019 to 2021, so it's tough to say it was all on Jones's shoulders to lift up a team that bad.

Although I do believe Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll have made enough improvements this year, that we can finally get a good sample size if the kid can play or not.



Football just isn't set up for a QB to have Phil Simms' development timeline anymore.
It's not just the development timeline. It is the finances of the game.
I don't think the  
Tom from LI : 5/16/2022 4:49 pm : link
fumbles are as bad as you all think.

Being that he played with a worse offensive line.

https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/most-qb-fumbles-2019
https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/most-qb-fumbles-2020
https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/most-qb-fumbles-2021

Of course he has to get better. To me its not the end all.

If he post 4,000 yards with 35 TD and 10INT with 10 fumbles and 4 lost.. he is getting a contract.





RE: I don't think the  
Matt M. : 5/16/2022 4:50 pm : link
In comment 15710538 Tom from LI said:
Quote:
fumbles are as bad as you all think.

Being that he played with a worse offensive line.

https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/most-qb-fumbles-2019
https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/most-qb-fumbles-2020
https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/most-qb-fumbles-2021

Of course he has to get better. To me its not the end all.

If he post 4,000 yards with 35 TD and 10INT with 10 fumbles and 4 lost.. he is getting a contract.




He'll get a contract from someone. But, just keep in mind, that contract is going to be over $20M per year.
RE: RE: RE: ......  
NYG27 : 5/16/2022 4:50 pm : link
In comment 15710518 FStubbs said:
Quote:
In comment 15710492 NYG27 said:


Quote:


In comment 15710462 Route 9 said:


Quote:


Why are we asking questions? You should know the type of QB he is by now. You shouldn't have to watch another season of him to figure him out.



Did we know what type of QB Phil Simms was heading into the 1984 season? Where Simms only won 14 games as the starter and only had 39 TDs in that span from 1979 to 1983.

Who knows if Daniel Jones will perform or not this year. Giants were one of the worst teams in the NFL from 2019 to 2021, so it's tough to say it was all on Jones's shoulders to lift up a team that bad.

Although I do believe Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll have made enough improvements this year, that we can finally get a good sample size if the kid can play or not.



Football just isn't set up for a QB to have Phil Simms' development timeline anymore.


I'm more so commenting that after 3 years, "You should know what type of QB Daniel Jones is" and not even being open to the possibility that he could improve behind a better coaching staff and O-line.

Phil Simms was used as the example of someone who didn't break out till 5 years into his career.
...  
christian : 5/16/2022 4:51 pm : link
The fumbles and the the touchdowns from his rookie year happened in bunches over a few games. He's had a more than 20 games played since then -- that's the player to evaluate.
Can he stay healthy?  
kelsto811 : 5/16/2022 4:58 pm : link
Is his fumble issue truly fixed?

Has he shown more improvement in regards to pocket awareness?

How has he handled the progression system that Daboll used with Allen?

Yards and touchdowns are nice, but those things are going to be key in order to answer that question.
I think it all goes hand in hand  
UConn4523 : 5/16/2022 5:32 pm : link
if the production is there it means he's been healthy and has progressed from what he's been. Stats do tell a big part of the story, IMO.
RE: How many  
Jack Stroud : 5/16/2022 5:39 pm : link
In comment 15710270 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
fumbles is he going to have?
Depends how many times the oline let's 250lb LB's and 300lb dline hit him in the back.
Just stats  
Lines of Scrimmage : 5/16/2022 5:45 pm : link
rarely tell the whole story. Agree with Les, you have to look at how he does in many other areas. Just a few.

-4th QTR play. Lots of games come down to this QTR and does he step up here and make big plays here.
-Learns to play to the next down when primary reads are not available. Check down, throw it away, etc. Don't make the next down worse with a sack or worse forced throw that leads to a interception.
-Make a decision and let it rip as BD says. Trust your reads. This may be the biggest thing the staff is focused on. Process. Decision. Execute.



Whatever the extent you believe in stats  
Go Terps : 5/16/2022 6:16 pm : link
There's no combination of factors that paints a positive picture about Jones.
The amount of improvement that has to occur to even approach  
Jimmy Googs : 5/16/2022 6:26 pm : link
Franchise Tagging is immense.

At least for those who don’t thrown around that term lightly…
I'd still move on...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 5/16/2022 7:00 pm : link
Let's not forget he had a ton of TOs as a rookie too. Nice kid, hard worker...not the long term answer @ QB.
RE: Just stats  
Brown_Hornet : 5/16/2022 7:31 pm : link
In comment 15710582 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
rarely tell the whole story. Agree with Les, you have to look at how he does in many other areas. Just a few.

-4th QTR play. Lots of games come down to this QTR and does he step up here and make big plays here.
-Learns to play to the next down when primary reads are not available. Check down, throw it away, etc. Don't make the next down worse with a sack or worse forced throw that leads to a interception.
-Make a decision and let it rip as BD says. Trust your reads. This may be the biggest thing the staff is focused on. Process. Decision. Execute.


Every bit of this.
RE: Is Kirk Cousins a good comp to the Giants situation with Jones?  
Chocco : 5/16/2022 7:57 pm : link
In comment 15710410 NYG27 said:
Quote:
Redskins didn't know if Cousins was a franchise QB, so they Franchise Tagged him for both 2016 and 2017.

Still not convinced, the Redskins let Cousins walk in 2018.

The Skins handled everything about that wrong and ended up not being able to resign him. Didn't help that he spend most of the first 2 years Playing behind RG III.
RE: RE: How many  
BSIMatt : 5/16/2022 8:36 pm : link
In comment 15710580 Jack Stroud said:
Quote:
In comment 15710270 Bill in UT said:


Quote:


fumbles is he going to have?

Depends how many times the oline let's 250lb LB's and 300lb dline hit him in the back.


Um, yeah lol.
I don’t see very many scenarios  
UConn4523 : 5/16/2022 8:47 pm : link
where him posting good numbers isn’t a positive. If he throws for 4500 yards and 35 scores we will be winning games in all likelihood, it won’t all be garbage time and against poor teams resulting in a 6-11 record.

Stats matter, context matters, but it’s really difficult to have high volume of production and it not result in more wins. Hurts had 26 TDs, lots of garbage time production and still ended up with a winning record, for example.
RE: Just stats  
bw in dc : 5/16/2022 8:58 pm : link
In comment 15710582 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
rarely tell the whole story. Agree with Les, you have to look at how he does in many other areas. Just a few.

-4th QTR play. Lots of games come down to this QTR and does he step up here and make big plays here.
-Learns to play to the next down when primary reads are not available. Check down, throw it away, etc. Don't make the next down worse with a sack or worse forced throw that leads to a interception.
-Make a decision and let it rip as BD says. Trust your reads. This may be the biggest thing the staff is focused on. Process. Decision. Execute.




A stat like QBR attempts to aggregate almost all of the situations you described.

Not a perfect measurement, but QBR is one of the most interesting attempts to capture a QB's performance based on the flow of the game.


QBR discussion - ( New Window )
Get a new QB  
giantstock : 5/17/2022 1:34 am : link
He is either top 10 or I'm looking for a new qb. Number 11 not good enough.
It's amazing people are still keeping the candle lit a year later  
Go Terps : 5/17/2022 2:45 am : link
.
Same conversation a year ago - ( New Window )
So has Jones ever played well in a big game?  
cosmicj : 5/17/2022 6:51 am : link
Has he even ever played in a big game?
RE: RE: Just stats  
Lines of Scrimmage : 5/17/2022 7:19 am : link
In comment 15710752 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 15710582 Lines of Scrimmage said:


Quote:


rarely tell the whole story. Agree with Les, you have to look at how he does in many other areas. Just a few.

-4th QTR play. Lots of games come down to this QTR and does he step up here and make big plays here.
-Learns to play to the next down when primary reads are not available. Check down, throw it away, etc. Don't make the next down worse with a sack or worse forced throw that leads to a interception.
-Make a decision and let it rip as BD says. Trust your reads. This may be the biggest thing the staff is focused on. Process. Decision. Execute.






A stat like QBR attempts to aggregate almost all of the situations you described.

Not a perfect measurement, but QBR is one of the most interesting attempts to capture a QB's performance based on the flow of the game.
QBR discussion - ( New Window )


These stats do not account for the talent around the QB and the impact on them. They don't account for average down and distance on 2nd/3rd down which the Giants have been dismal at for a decade. 2nd/3rd down and 9/10 yards is far different 2nd/3rd down and 3/4 yards.

If they argument is there are QB's who have outstanding stats without a running game than my argument is they probably have a gifted group of skills guys and probably at least one option in the upper tier.

I am not paying attention to those who focus on stats until they paint a very clear picture of the QB's surrounding talent and circumstances.

This matters not only at the QB position but every position that is a distributor of the ball in sports imv.

I don’t get why this topic bothers so many people  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 7:27 am : link
1. If Jones plays much better than expected - we probably will be in the hunt for a playoff push. It also means the OL is holding up and our skilled guys are performing at a high level. Isn’t that a good thing?

2. If he stinks and hasn’t improved, we will have a high pick and a lot of cap room next year. We aren’t expecting a good team this year, so who cares if he stinks? We would probably would have anyways with Taylor or any rookie QB.

This topic has been beaten to death enough. How about we just cheer for him to be amazing and if he fails to meet expectations ( a safe assumption), we can argue who to draft next year 😀
LoS...  
Brown_Hornet : 5/17/2022 7:30 am : link
...spot-on. Stats like these are great for fans and conversation but there are simply too many moving parts for them to be meaningful.

Also, I believe that one of the reasons that a rookie deal has 4 cheap years, with a cost controlled 5th, is that sometimes it takes that long to make a determination on a guy. Jones, for a myriad of reasons, is apparently one of those guys.
RE: LoS...  
Lines of Scrimmage : 5/17/2022 7:40 am : link
In comment 15710883 Brown_Hornet said:
Quote:
...spot-on. Stats like these are great for fans and conversation but there are simply too many moving parts for them to be meaningful.

Also, I believe that one of the reasons that a rookie deal has 4 cheap years, with a cost controlled 5th, is that sometimes it takes that long to make a determination on a guy. Jones, for a myriad of reasons, is apparently one of those guys.


I think he ultimately falls short in some key areas but he has been handed a terrible set of circumstances in personnel and coaching. Tough to take people seriously that do not acknowledge that and how it has impacted him.

"Elevate". Its like some think he should be able to take 10 guys from BBI and produce.

RE: RE: ......  
Debaser : 5/17/2022 8:40 am : link
In comment 15710492 NYG27 said:
Quote:
In comment 15710462 Route 9 said:


Quote:


Why are we asking questions? You should know the type of QB he is by now. You shouldn't have to watch another season of him to figure him out.



Did we know what type of QB Phil Simms was heading into the 1984 season? Where Simms only won 14 games as the starter and only had 39 TDs in that span from 1979 to 1983.

Who knows if Daniel Jones will perform or not this year. Giants were one of the worst teams in the NFL from 2019 to 2021, so it's tough to say it was all on Jones's shoulders to lift up a team that bad.

Although I do believe Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll have made enough improvements this year, that we can finally get a good sample size if the kid can play or not.


What offensive schemes are going to make Jones look good? The guy can't play; he has no arm or an avg. arm at best; doesn't process fast enough; relies way too much on smashing into opponents linebackers for extra yards.

A few bubble screens will change thoise nu,nbers sure and take some of the pressure off him and put it on the gadget 2nd pick sure; but is that really what we want? I could throw some of those passes.
RE: RE: RE: ......  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 8:44 am : link
In comment 15710934 Debaser said:
Quote:
In comment 15710492 NYG27 said:


Quote:


In comment 15710462 Route 9 said:


Quote:


Why are we asking questions? You should know the type of QB he is by now. You shouldn't have to watch another season of him to figure him out.



Did we know what type of QB Phil Simms was heading into the 1984 season? Where Simms only won 14 games as the starter and only had 39 TDs in that span from 1979 to 1983.

Who knows if Daniel Jones will perform or not this year. Giants were one of the worst teams in the NFL from 2019 to 2021, so it's tough to say it was all on Jones's shoulders to lift up a team that bad.

Although I do believe Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll have made enough improvements this year, that we can finally get a good sample size if the kid can play or not.



What offensive schemes are going to make Jones look good? The guy can't play; he has no arm or an avg. arm at best; doesn't process fast enough; relies way too much on smashing into opponents linebackers for extra yards.

A few bubble screens will change thoise nu,nbers sure and take some of the pressure off him and put it on the gadget 2nd pick sure; but is that really what we want? I could throw some of those passes.


Jones has proven the one pass he can make is the deep ball. Plus he has the ability to run the ball. Those two areas are where I’m sure Daboll is going to concentrate on.
RE: I don’t get why this topic bothers so many people  
UConn4523 : 5/17/2022 8:44 am : link
In comment 15710881 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
1. If Jones plays much better than expected - we probably will be in the hunt for a playoff push. It also means the OL is holding up and our skilled guys are performing at a high level. Isn’t that a good thing?

2. If he stinks and hasn’t improved, we will have a high pick and a lot of cap room next year. We aren’t expecting a good team this year, so who cares if he stinks? We would probably would have anyways with Taylor or any rookie QB.

This topic has been beaten to death enough. How about we just cheer for him to be amazing and if he fails to meet expectations ( a safe assumption), we can argue who to draft next year 😀


Its because people love to hear themselves talk. This is quite simple, and not at all confusing yet some make it that way.

No idea how people aren't bored of talking about it yet. Hours upon hours every day refreshing this site just to say the same things.
RE: So has Jones ever played well in a big game?  
NYG27 : 5/17/2022 8:53 am : link
In comment 15710871 cosmicj said:
Quote:
Has he even ever played in a big game?


LOL...funniest comment on BBI today. You ask a question and answer it yourself in the same post.

Why even make the post, when you knew the answer to it?
RE: I let him walk  
Alan W : 5/17/2022 8:58 am : link
In comment 15710284 Matt M. said:
Quote:
I've said it many times, the 2nd contract will be too high to commit to barring anything short of an other worldly season.


In fact you've said it twice more in responding to this post.
RE: I don’t get why this topic bothers so many people  
Scooter185 : 5/17/2022 9:57 am : link
In comment 15710881 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
1. If Jones plays much better than expected - we probably will be in the hunt for a playoff push. It also means the OL is holding up and our skilled guys are performing at a high level. Isn’t that a good thing?

2. If he stinks and hasn’t improved, we will have a high pick and a lot of cap room next year. We aren’t expecting a good team this year, so who cares if he stinks? We would probably would have anyways with Taylor or any rookie QB.

This topic has been beaten to death enough. How about we just cheer for him to be amazing and if he fails to meet expectations ( a safe assumption), we can argue who to draft next year 😀


I'd 1 million percent rather suck with Tyrod at QB instead of Jones. At least with TT starting we'd know he's just the bridge and instead of yet another "will DJ take the leap?" year.
that doesn't make any sense  
UConn4523 : 5/17/2022 10:02 am : link
the reality is the exact same with Jones or Taylor starting - unless they play great we will be moving onto another prospect in 2023.
I'd rather be watching any young quarterback  
Go Terps : 5/17/2022 10:06 am : link
We know what Jones is. We know what Taylor is. We know they aren't good enough to win with.

This is going to be a year of wasted snaps at the QB position.
RE: I'd rather be watching any young quarterback  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 10:16 am : link
In comment 15711043 Go Terps said:
Quote:
We know what Jones is. We know what Taylor is. We know they aren't good enough to win with.

This is going to be a year of wasted snaps at the QB position.


Maybe we should just continue playing the Jake Fromm’s of the world. I mean - how he elevated and made his teammates last year was remarkable.

You can waste just as many snaps on young QBs as well, that doesn’t mean it’s the right answer.

Like I’ve proven before you can build a team first - then plug in the QB when one is ready or available.
RE: RE: I'd rather be watching any young quarterback  
Go Terps : 5/17/2022 10:18 am : link
In comment 15711053 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
In comment 15711043 Go Terps said:


Quote:


We know what Jones is. We know what Taylor is. We know they aren't good enough to win with.

This is going to be a year of wasted snaps at the QB position.



Maybe we should just continue playing the Jake Fromm’s of the world. I mean - how he elevated and made his teammates last year was remarkable.

You can waste just as many snaps on young QBs as well, that doesn’t mean it’s the right answer.

Like I’ve proven before you can build a team first - then plug in the QB when one is ready or available.


We're essentially going with Jake Fromm now.
You’ve jumped the shark  
UConn4523 : 5/17/2022 10:25 am : link
hard to even discuss
RE: RE: RE: I'd rather be watching any young quarterback  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 10:27 am : link
In comment 15711055 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 15711053 GNewGiants said:


Quote:


In comment 15711043 Go Terps said:


Quote:


We know what Jones is. We know what Taylor is. We know they aren't good enough to win with.

This is going to be a year of wasted snaps at the QB position.



Maybe we should just continue playing the Jake Fromm’s of the world. I mean - how he elevated and made his teammates last year was remarkable.

You can waste just as many snaps on young QBs as well, that doesn’t mean it’s the right answer.

Like I’ve proven before you can build a team first - then plug in the QB when one is ready or available.



We're essentially going with Jake Fromm now.


Lol. Oh wait you’re serious…
We've been non-competitive with Jones  
Go Terps : 5/17/2022 10:33 am : link
He's better than Fromm, but still non-competitive.

And now he's a lame duck to boot. Just a wasted year at QB.
RE: how many games in Jones's rookie season did he throw 1 or 0  
rsjem1979 : 5/17/2022 10:35 am : link
In comment 15710300 japanhead said:
Quote:
TDs? IIRC, it was quite a few. His rookie stats were inflated by like three games where he threw 4-5 TDs a game.

Also, it is disingenuous to prorate his rookie season as if he didn't miss those games with injury. Jones has missed multiple games with injury every year, and in each instance he rushed to get back on the field before he was healthy and looked like dog shit the next game or two.

The missed time and ineffectiveness due to injury can't be discounted or waved away, it's part of who he is


TB/WAS/NYJ/DET - 15 TD passes, 2 TD runs, 4 TOs (all fumbles)
Other 8 starts - 9 TDs, 19 TOs (12 INTs, 7 FL)

The WAS game was such a joke I can't believe people still use it in defense of Jones. Their entire secondary was out, they were signing guys off the street that week because they were done with Josh Norman and didn't want to play him. Kerrigan was on IR. There are training camp scrimmages that are more competitive.
Read through the thread I linked above  
Go Terps : 5/17/2022 10:35 am : link
It's the same fantasy with Jones this year. Nothing has changed. Want to talk about jumping the shark...
The only thing we "know"  
mittenedman : 5/17/2022 10:35 am : link
about Jones for sure is that he was elevating a dysfunctional situation last year.
RE: We've been non-competitive with Jones  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 10:36 am : link
In comment 15711076 Go Terps said:
Quote:
He's better than Fromm, but still non-competitive.

And now he's a lame duck to boot. Just a wasted year at QB.


We haven’t been non competitve because OF Jones. We have Been non competitve because of roster and coaching staff.

If you can’t see it, you don’t want to see it.
RE: Read through the thread I linked above  
UConn4523 : 5/17/2022 10:38 am : link
In comment 15711080 Go Terps said:
Quote:
It's the same fantasy with Jones this year. Nothing has changed. Want to talk about jumping the shark...


I supported moving on from Jones which you know. You don’t ever seem to recognize that since I don’t eviscerate him daily, but that’s the truth. The second they didn’t draft a QB I moved on. Talking about the same things over and over again is absolutely pointless, but here you are.
RE: Read through the thread I linked above  
The_Boss : 5/17/2022 10:43 am : link
In comment 15711080 Go Terps said:
Quote:
It's the same fantasy with Jones this year. Nothing has changed. Want to talk about jumping the shark...


I just skimmed through it. Looks a lot like this conversation. I was surprised I didn't post in that thread. I wouldn't say we are wasting QB reps this year. I think it's fair to allow the new regime a chance at evaluating a player whom they need to make a major decision on next spring. Let them figure out what we all know here. This team is not going to be competing for much this year anyway, regardless who is at QB. I'm pretty confident Jones won't be here next year (neither will Barkley), ridding ourselves of most of the DG stink, and we'll have a first round rookie QB to look forward to evaluating in 2023.
it isn't wasted reps to Daboll and Kafka  
UConn4523 : 5/17/2022 10:47 am : link
who are trying to find who can and can't run this offense, and also assess what changes will be needed moving forward. Its why I like they Taylor signing - it allows consistency for the coaching staff (and players) should Jones get hurt again.
RE: that doesn't make any sense  
Scooter185 : 5/17/2022 10:49 am : link
In comment 15711040 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
the reality is the exact same with Jones or Taylor starting - unless they play great we will be moving onto another prospect in 2023.


Yes, but with TT that would be assured. Right now there's still an expectation of Jones being sprinkled with magic pixie dust and turning into a decent QB.

Basically the outcome is the same, but the expectations/mood would be different with TT over DJ.
RE: RE: Read through the thread I linked above  
Go Terps : 5/17/2022 10:50 am : link
In comment 15711090 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 15711080 Go Terps said:


Quote:


It's the same fantasy with Jones this year. Nothing has changed. Want to talk about jumping the shark...



I supported moving on from Jones which you know. You don’t ever seem to recognize that since I don’t eviscerate him daily, but that’s the truth. The second they didn’t draft a QB I moved on. Talking about the same things over and over again is absolutely pointless, but here you are.


As are you. Odd.
There really needs to be a rule outlawing comparisons of Daniel Jones  
Greg from LI : 5/17/2022 10:50 am : link
to Phil Simms.
RE: There really needs to be a rule outlawing comparisons of Daniel Jones  
Go Terps : 5/17/2022 10:51 am : link
In comment 15711109 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
to Phil Simms.


It's idiotic.
If Jones hits the pro rated numbers like in the OP  
Jim in Forest Hills : 5/17/2022 10:51 am : link
he will get signed long term.
RE: There really needs to be a rule outlawing comparisons of Daniel Jones  
Producer : 5/17/2022 10:52 am : link
In comment 15711109 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
to Phil Simms.


He's exactly like Phil Simms, just without the talent, poise, leadership and blonde hair.
RE: RE: RE: RE: ......  
Debaser : 5/17/2022 10:57 am : link
Quote:

Jones has proven the one pass he can make is the deep ball. Plus he has the ability to run the ball. Those two areas are where I’m sure Daboll is going to concentrate on.


D Jones accurate deep ball throwing has to be the biggest BBi myth there ever was. For this prolific deep ball passer -- he sure doesn't seem to throw deep much. Do you really think that is what Shoen and Daboll have in mind for Jones? They overdraft a gadget in round 2 because D Jones is going deep?

Or let's look at an offense that actually relies on deep routes ; TB Bucs. In my imagination when Brady announced his retirement I can see Bruce Arians first reaction is " Get the Giants on the phone -- we want Daniel Jones!" I don't think that happened.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: ......  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 11:01 am : link
In comment 15711120 Debaser said:
Quote:


Quote:



Jones has proven the one pass he can make is the deep ball. Plus he has the ability to run the ball. Those two areas are where I’m sure Daboll is going to concentrate on.



D Jones accurate deep ball throwing has to be the biggest BBi myth there ever was. For this prolific deep ball passer -- he sure doesn't seem to throw deep much. Do you really think that is what Shoen and Daboll have in mind for Jones? They overdraft a gadget in round 2 because D Jones is going deep?

Or let's look at an offense that actually relies on deep routes ; TB Bucs. In my imagination when Brady announced his retirement I can see Bruce Arians first reaction is " Get the Giants on the phone -- we want Daniel Jones!" I don't think that happened.


It’s not a myth. It’s supported by actual facts. The reason why he didn’t throw it could be a number of things: poor play calling, poor OL play, poor route concepts - all of which are true being that our OL was awful and the people calling plays are still unemployed.

And they have WRs who can go deep. Golladay, Slayton and to an extent Toney all have shown the capabilities of going deep - why draft another WR to do the same thing? Robinson was drafted for a different skill set.
I think there are scenarios where Jones  
AcesUp : 5/17/2022 11:11 am : link
Is the QB of the Giants next year. However, playing at a level comparable to his rookie season isn't even close to justifying the on-the-field part of the discussion.

He needs to play like a Top 10 QB this season. That's the starting point.
And people seem to ignore a big factor here  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 11:12 am : link
Schoen and Daboll are evaluating the entire team this year, just not the QB position. So instead of starting the Jake Fromms or Mike Glennons of the world, he is starting Jones (or Taylor) cause it gives them the best opportunity to evaluate other players on offense. This rookie QB excited no one in the NFL other than a few posters on BBI. So that wasn’t an option.

For as bad as Jones is - there was a massive difference when Glennon and Fromm started.

If Jones doesn’t play well this year, he can still elevate the play of others around him better than what we have seen or options available.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: ......  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 11:48 am : link
In comment 15711120 Debaser said:
Quote:


Quote:



Jones has proven the one pass he can make is the deep ball. Plus he has the ability to run the ball. Those two areas are where I’m sure Daboll is going to concentrate on.



D Jones accurate deep ball throwing has to be the biggest BBi myth there ever was. For this prolific deep ball passer -- he sure doesn't seem to throw deep much. Do you really think that is what Shoen and Daboll have in mind for Jones? They overdraft a gadget in round 2 because D Jones is going deep?

Or let's look at an offense that actually relies on deep routes ; TB Bucs. In my imagination when Brady announced his retirement I can see Bruce Arians first reaction is " Get the Giants on the phone -- we want Daniel Jones!" I don't think that happened.


He was the best deep passer in 2020. Every stat backs it up. So why would Daboll ignore this?
Jones number 1 in passes over 20 yards - ( New Window )
RE: And people seem to ignore a big factor here  
Debaser : 5/17/2022 11:48 am : link
In comment 15711136 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
Schoen and Daboll are evaluating the entire team this year, just not the QB position. So instead of starting the Jake Fromms or Mike Glennons of the world, he is starting Jones (or Taylor) cause it gives them the best opportunity to evaluate other players on offense. This rookie QB excited no one in the NFL other than a few posters on BBI. So that wasn’t an option.

For as bad as Jones is - there was a massive difference when Glennon and Fromm started.

If Jones doesn’t play well this year, he can still elevate the play of others around him better than what we have seen or options available.


How do you know the difference wassn't that Garrett got fired and Judge showed himself to be not really an NFL coach?

And also how do you know it wasn't just a team let down? A good clue was the Jones neck injury. They decided to let Jones take a vacation because they knew something was wrong with the team. I don't believe for a second anything was really that wrong with Jones that he had to miss that many games.

Also it is kind of weird that Jones get a pass for Rams game because it was the week after he suffered a concussion -- which was entirely his bad decision making -- when Glennon suffered one and played through one in the Miami game and the week after and still gets rated porly (which probably is welp desrved anyway).
RE: RE: And people seem to ignore a big factor here  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 11:52 am : link
In comment 15711180 Debaser said:
Quote:
In comment 15711136 GNewGiants said:


Quote:


Schoen and Daboll are evaluating the entire team this year, just not the QB position. So instead of starting the Jake Fromms or Mike Glennons of the world, he is starting Jones (or Taylor) cause it gives them the best opportunity to evaluate other players on offense. This rookie QB excited no one in the NFL other than a few posters on BBI. So that wasn’t an option.

For as bad as Jones is - there was a massive difference when Glennon and Fromm started.

If Jones doesn’t play well this year, he can still elevate the play of others around him better than what we have seen or options available.



How do you know the difference wassn't that Garrett got fired and Judge showed himself to be not really an NFL coach?

And also how do you know it wasn't just a team let down? A good clue was the Jones neck injury. They decided to let Jones take a vacation because they knew something was wrong with the team. I don't believe for a second anything was really that wrong with Jones that he had to miss that many games.

Also it is kind of weird that Jones get a pass for Rams game because it was the week after he suffered a concussion -- which was entirely his bad decision making -- when Glennon suffered one and played through one in the Miami game and the week after and still gets rated porly (which probably is welp desrved anyway).


1. If anyone gave Jones a pass after the rams game, it’s a very small minority. Minuscule even.

2. You really think Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm sucked because Garrett wasn’t there?

All 3 have one thing in common: no one wants them in the NFL.
RE: I'd rather be watching any young quarterback  
joe48 : 5/17/2022 12:03 pm : link
In comment 15711043 Go Terps said:
Quote:
We know what Jones is. We know what Taylor is. We know they aren't good enough to win with.

This is going to be a year of wasted snaps at the QB position.

You will know more about Jones after this year. There were no good quarterbacks to chose from for a team that has many other needs.
RE: RE: RE: And people seem to ignore a big factor here  
Debaser : 5/17/2022 12:08 pm : link
In comment 15711187 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
In comment 15711180 Debaser said:


Quote:


In comment 15711136 GNewGiants said:


Quote:


Schoen and Daboll are evaluating the entire team this year, just not the QB position. So instead of starting the Jake Fromms or Mike Glennons of the world, he is starting Jones (or Taylor) cause it gives them the best opportunity to evaluate other players on offense. This rookie QB excited no one in the NFL other than a few posters on BBI. So that wasn’t an option.

For as bad as Jones is - there was a massive difference when Glennon and Fromm started.

If Jones doesn’t play well this year, he can still elevate the play of others around him better than what we have seen or options available.



How do you know the difference wassn't that Garrett got fired and Judge showed himself to be not really an NFL coach?

And also how do you know it wasn't just a team let down? A good clue was the Jones neck injury. They decided to let Jones take a vacation because they knew something was wrong with the team. I don't believe for a second anything was really that wrong with Jones that he had to miss that many games.

Also it is kind of weird that Jones get a pass for Rams game because it was the week after he suffered a concussion -- which was entirely his bad decision making -- when Glennon suffered one and played through one in the Miami game and the week after and still gets rated porly (which probably is welp desrved anyway).



1. If anyone gave Jones a pass after the rams game, it’s a very small minority. Minuscule even.

2. You really think Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm sucked because Garrett wasn’t there?

All 3 have one thing in common: no one wants them in the NFL.


Yes I think Glennon partly sucked because no Garrett / no real coach and also well because he is a QB you found on scrap heap; what do you really expect? fromm is just not an NFl qb.

My point is really the other way around. You are rating Jones too high for outplaying Glennon and Fromm.

Jones is much  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 12:11 pm : link
Better than both Glennon and Jones. And glennons ineptness has stretched out for over teams. So Garrett getting fired had little to no impact on Glennons ineptness.

If Glennon had any desirable tools - someone would have signed him
And if my aunt had balls  
.McL. : 5/17/2022 12:16 pm : link
She would be my uncle...
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: ......  
The_Boss : 5/17/2022 12:18 pm : link
In comment 15711179 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
In comment 15711120 Debaser said:


Quote:




Quote:



Jones has proven the one pass he can make is the deep ball. Plus he has the ability to run the ball. Those two areas are where I’m sure Daboll is going to concentrate on.



D Jones accurate deep ball throwing has to be the biggest BBi myth there ever was. For this prolific deep ball passer -- he sure doesn't seem to throw deep much. Do you really think that is what Shoen and Daboll have in mind for Jones? They overdraft a gadget in round 2 because D Jones is going deep?

Or let's look at an offense that actually relies on deep routes ; TB Bucs. In my imagination when Brady announced his retirement I can see Bruce Arians first reaction is " Get the Giants on the phone -- we want Daniel Jones!" I don't think that happened.



He was the best deep passer in 2020. Every stat backs it up. So why would Daboll ignore this? Jones number 1 in passes over 20 yards - ( New Window )


How was he last year in the games he played? Also, I'd like to see how many deep shots Rodgers and Mahomes threw in 2020 compared to Jones's total.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: ......  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 12:24 pm : link
In comment 15711232 The_Boss said:
Quote:


How was he last year in the games he played? Also, I'd like to see how many deep shots Rodgers and Mahomes threw in 2020 compared to Jones's total.


I read Jones threw one of the fewest in 2020 and even less then in 2021. But keep in mind his best WR in 2020 was Slayton. But when Jones threw it, he threw it well.
That stat has been parrotted many times  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/17/2022 12:28 pm : link
And the flaw is that Jones has half as many qualifying attempts, or less, than the other players on that list.

If I hit a target 3 out of 5 times, I'm not "better" than someone who hits a target 8 out of 20 just because the percentage is better. You are not meant to assume that you would hit at the same rate with more chances. That's not how it works.
RE: That stat has been parrotted many times  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 12:31 pm : link
In comment 15711246 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
And the flaw is that Jones has half as many qualifying attempts, or less, than the other players on that list.

If I hit a target 3 out of 5 times, I'm not "better" than someone who hits a target 8 out of 20 just because the percentage is better. You are not meant to assume that you would hit at the same rate with more chances. That's not how it works.


You can only calculate what a person does. And people have used QBR as the best method. Who knows - maybe he does better? Maybe he does worse? But when he did throw them - he threw them well. I don’t know how that’s debatable?
RE: RE: That stat has been parrotted many times  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/17/2022 12:56 pm : link
In comment 15711250 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
But when he did throw them - he threw them well. I don’t know how that’s debatable?


No one's debating that part of it. If that was all the conversation, I dont think anyone would take issue with it. We're disputing the relevance of the stat.

That stat gets deployed by the internet as if it's definitive of anything. It's misleading if you use it like that article does, specifically mentioning him in line with Aaron Rodgers but not explaining
the significant gap in attempts. A fan sees that and fills in the blanks left by the author with "wow, he must be really good at that!"

Stats are fine and good, but when they're gimmicked up with a purpose by design, or they're delivered by someone who doesn't firmly understand how stats become relevant data, it's a source of misinformation like a game of Telephone. "Jones did pretty well in this area on limited tries" becomes "actually he was the NFL's best deep passer on throws over 20 yards, better than Rodgers, Mahomes, and Brady!".




RE: RE: RE: That stat has been parrotted many times  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 12:59 pm : link
In comment 15711267 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
In comment 15711250 GNewGiants said:


Quote:


But when he did throw them - he threw them well. I don’t know how that’s debatable?



No one's debating that part of it. If that was all the conversation, I dont think anyone would take issue with it. We're disputing the relevance of the stat.

That stat gets deployed by the internet as if it's definitive of anything. It's misleading if you use it like that article does, specifically mentioning him in line with Aaron Rodgers but not explaining
the significant gap in attempts. A fan sees that and fills in the blanks left by the author with "wow, he must be really good at that!"

Stats are fine and good, but when they're gimmicked up with a purpose by design, or they're delivered by someone who doesn't firmly understand how stats become relevant data, it's a source of misinformation like a game of Telephone. "Jones did pretty well in this area on limited tries" becomes "actually he was the NFL's best deep passer on throws over 20 yards, better than Rodgers, Mahomes, and Brady!".





Valid points. I should have better expressed that Jones did actually do well in that area. But I do agree with your premise 100%.
Also wanted to point that I don't mean you  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/17/2022 1:04 pm : link
It's been a thing that's been discussed since that stat made the rounds online. Not picking on you specifically.
RE: RE: We've been non-competitive with Jones  
Debaser : 5/17/2022 1:08 pm : link
In comment 15711085 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
In comment 15711076 Go Terps said:


Quote:


He's better than Fromm, but still non-competitive.

And now he's a lame duck to boot. Just a wasted year at QB.



We haven’t been non competitve because OF Jones. We have Been non competitve because of roster and coaching staff.

If you can’t see it, you don’t want to see it.


So Glennon sucks well because he just sucks and no NFL team wants him. But Jones is noncompetitive because of the coach situation and roster.

Got it.

What NFL team would want Jones? At the very least Glennon got his chance showed you what he was in is out of the league with fewer starts than Jones has had. So then wtf is Jones doing starting again? Also if Gruden didn't have his fall from grace, I would think Glennon might have a place as 2nd or 3 rd string QB wherever he would be coaching.
RE: Also wanted to point that I don't mean you  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 1:16 pm : link
In comment 15711279 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
It's been a thing that's been discussed since that stat made the rounds online. Not picking on you specifically.


No offense taken whatsoever. I understand and agree with your point. Listen it’s tough to find positives on Jones, I just think he throws a pretty good deep ball and hope Daboll institutes it more.
RE: RE: that doesn't make any sense  
UConn4523 : 5/17/2022 1:21 pm : link
In comment 15711105 Scooter185 said:
Quote:
In comment 15711040 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


the reality is the exact same with Jones or Taylor starting - unless they play great we will be moving onto another prospect in 2023.



Yes, but with TT that would be assured. Right now there's still an expectation of Jones being sprinkled with magic pixie dust and turning into a decent QB.

Basically the outcome is the same, but the expectations/mood would be different with TT over DJ.


Don't compare what fans say with what the Giants will do. Just because a handful of BBIers will think there's room for Jones to get better after 2022 doesn't mean the Giants will.

This cross over between fan group think vs. how a team is run is really bizarre to me. I state this often but I don't know anyone in my personal life that views sports the way a significant portion of this board does.

Why do you care if joeblow2934567 thinks Jones can be really good? It doesn't effect anything at all.
RE: RE: RE: Read through the thread I linked above  
UConn4523 : 5/17/2022 1:23 pm : link
In comment 15711107 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 15711090 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


In comment 15711080 Go Terps said:


Quote:


It's the same fantasy with Jones this year. Nothing has changed. Want to talk about jumping the shark...



I supported moving on from Jones which you know. You don’t ever seem to recognize that since I don’t eviscerate him daily, but that’s the truth. The second they didn’t draft a QB I moved on. Talking about the same things over and over again is absolutely pointless, but here you are.



As are you. Odd.


That's your usual post, by the way. As soon as someone agrees with your premise, but not fully and aggressively, you don't have anything more to say to that person. You really only want to fight with people.

You'd be more inclined to respond to me if I said Jones was going to lead us to a 13-4 record this year throwing for 50 TD's and win and MVP in the process.
RE: RE: RE: that doesn't make any sense  
Scooter185 : 5/17/2022 1:50 pm : link
In comment 15711293 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 15711105 Scooter185 said:


Quote:


In comment 15711040 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


the reality is the exact same with Jones or Taylor starting - unless they play great we will be moving onto another prospect in 2023.



Yes, but with TT that would be assured. Right now there's still an expectation of Jones being sprinkled with magic pixie dust and turning into a decent QB.

Basically the outcome is the same, but the expectations/mood would be different with TT over DJ.



Don't compare what fans say with what the Giants will do. Just because a handful of BBIers will think there's room for Jones to get better after 2022 doesn't mean the Giants will.

This cross over between fan group think vs. how a team is run is really bizarre to me. I state this often but I don't know anyone in my personal life that views sports the way a significant portion of this board does.

Why do you care if joeblow2934567 thinks Jones can be really good? It doesn't effect anything at all.


Because 1.) joeblow2934567 goes around calling people who don't agree that Jones can be great miserable assholes, bad fans, etc, etc.
2.) John Mara thinks too much like joeblow2934567
Ugh  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 2:17 pm : link
Great now John Mara is infiltrated into a Daniel Jones thread.
RE: There really needs to be a rule outlawing comparisons of Daniel Jones  
Mike from Ohio : 5/17/2022 2:21 pm : link
In comment 15711109 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
to Phil Simms.


On the contrary, I think it is a great lesson. As Simms proved, all QBs who struggle in their first few years go on to be Super Bowl champions. It's pretty much math.

If the Raiders hadn't quit on Jamarcus Russel he would be in the Hall of Fame today.

#themoreyouknow
RE: Ugh  
Scooter185 : 5/17/2022 2:26 pm : link
In comment 15711388 GNewGiants said:
Quote:
Great now John Mara is infiltrated into a Daniel Jones thread.


Sorry, i missed the list of giants players/staff that aren't supposed to be talked about on the giants forums.
......  
Route 9 : 5/17/2022 2:30 pm : link
Daniel Jones will definitely reach 34 touchdown passes. If you total them all from 2020, 2021 and

... all of the ones by next year's end. I'm sure he'll get to that level.
RE: RE: Ugh  
GNewGiants : 5/17/2022 2:31 pm : link
In comment 15711402 Scooter185 said:
Quote:
In comment 15711388 GNewGiants said:


Quote:


Great now John Mara is infiltrated into a Daniel Jones thread.



Sorry, i missed the list of giants players/staff that aren't supposed to be talked about on the giants forums.


I think this off-season proved that Mara’s power isn’t what BBI claims it is.
Scooter  
UConn4523 : 5/17/2022 3:27 pm : link
it’s probably a few stupid posters, who cares. And Mara is the teams owner and isn’t going anywhere, should probably get used to that too.

There’s a ton of middle ground here. For some reason, many don’t want to entertain that as a discussion point.
Deep Ball Accuracy  
Thegratefulhead : 5/17/2022 4:52 pm : link
I ran around here last year and made a fucking fool of myself talking about Judge saying,

"Don't tell me what a player can't do..."

I ran with that shit and hung myself with it. I figured Golloday + Deep Ball accurate Jones.

I made a giant fallacious mistake.

SAMPLE SIZE.

Most people don't care, I fucking hate myself over it.

Golloday played over 60% of the snaps. You have to throw it to him covered. Jones has no balls at all. Never going to be the guys to calm the storm when the Noreaster hits.

He is not the guy and you know it. You all just hate admitting Terps is right about Jones too.


Is what it is.



RE: RE: RE: Just stats  
bw in dc : 5/17/2022 6:29 pm : link
In comment 15710879 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
In comment 15710752 bw in dc said:

A stat like QBR attempts to aggregate almost all of the situations you described.

Not a perfect measurement, but QBR is one of the most interesting attempts to capture a QB's performance based on the flow of the game.
QBR discussion - ( New Window )



These stats do not account for the talent around the QB and the impact on them. They don't account for average down and distance on 2nd/3rd down which the Giants have been dismal at for a decade. 2nd/3rd down and 9/10 yards is far different 2nd/3rd down and 3/4 yards.

If they argument is there are QB's who have outstanding stats without a running game than my argument is they probably have a gifted group of skills guys and probably at least one option in the upper tier.

I am not paying attention to those who focus on stats until they paint a very clear picture of the QB's surrounding talent and circumstances.

This matters not only at the QB position but every position that is a distributor of the ball in sports imv.


QBR does try to account for the QB and the surrounding talent.

For example, if the OL is consistently not providing adequate protection in the view of the two reviewers assigned, they will not ding that QB as much as the QB who has adequate time. That's clearly taking into account the talent of the OL.

If the receivers are dropping balls and not getting separation, the analysis will identify that, too.

Further, QBR looks at the outcome of every down and distance. That's the differentiator between the stat and every other stat.

Again, it's not a perfect measurement, but it's ostensibly the only measurement that doesn't take the final box score numbers and derive a conclusion off of that.

There will always be an art and science to evaluating the performance of every NFL position. But what's interesting to me is that those QBs who look the part - art - year after year after year typically have the best statistical output.

To me, this is the problem with Jones. More often than not, he doesn't look the part and that is reflected in his stats.
Opinions on DJ...  
Brown_Hornet : 5/17/2022 6:34 pm : link
...are a lot like differing religions.

......  
Route 9 : 5/17/2022 6:40 pm : link
That would be great if Jones became the next Phil Simms ... I wouldn't complain
similar numbers to year one  
CGiants07 : 5/17/2022 6:41 pm : link
you try to work out a 2 yr deal at less than the franchise tag amount but with a lot of security for jones next year
And keep the fumbles to say 3 or 4 and interception to 13 or 14  
SGMen : 5/17/2022 7:09 pm : link
He does that over 17 games and he gets a big deal.

Look, if Jones has an "average OL" and Barkley returns to form along with the wideouts staying healthy he WILL put up good numbers. But health to date?
Numbers? It'll be about the eye test.  
CT Charlie : 5/18/2022 12:43 pm : link
I'm betting his good numbers will be as good as his (prorated) rookie year and his bad numbers won't be as bad. What BBI will be stuck with – along with Mara, Schoen, and Daboll – is the question of whether he looks like he can LEAD and get better in time.

And I'm guessing that the debate will continue.
It would depend on how consistently he played  
Section331 : 5/18/2022 1:07 pm : link
when putting up those numbers. If you look at his rookie year, he had 4 outstanding games - 1,300 yards, 15 TD's, 0 INT's (even if he did have 8 fumbles in those 4 games) - and 8 dogshit games - 1,700 yards, 9 TD's, 12 INT's and 11 fumbles. That kind of glaring inconsistency would not get it done.
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