I read a lot of comments about NYG not picking high enough to draft one of the premier prospects in 2023. While we all hope that’s ultimately true since it’ll reflect more success this season. I got to thinking who are the best QBs and what was the draft position they were taken.
Even if we nix Brady from the discussion because he’s the ultimate outlier off the top of my head I come up with in no particular order
Mahomes
Allen
Rodgers
Herbert
Then the discussion of the next tier begins for me. Of those top 4 none were top 5.
I guess my brain dump is more of *hitting on a QB is far from a perfect science
And ** with a deep class maybe the prized prospect ultimately falls to the NYG draft slot
A QB is the most vital part, but few can do it in a vacuum. Most teams picking that high have a boatload of issues.
Yes current
A QB is the most vital part, but few can do it in a vacuum. Most teams picking that high have a boatload of issues.
That’s kind of my point… 6 isn’t top 5 and because there was a split decision one of the QBs could slide just enough
Buffalo and kc traded up after a playoff season to get their guy.
You really get 1 shot at it as a coach (unless you’re winning).
Will it take some extra drafterium to get your guy. Sure. Won’t matter if they get it right
Live for today
Buffalo and kc traded up after a playoff season to get their guy.
You really get 1 shot at it as a coach (unless you’re winning).
Will it take some extra drafterium to get your guy. Sure. Won’t matter if they get it right
Live for today
Fully agree on the live for today. Ideally QB isn’t a concern or option come April because our guy has become the guy.
If the Giants are in that spot they'll be able to trade up close enough to the draft slots other effective QBs have been taken.
-LAR moved up for Goff
-PHI moved up for Wentz
-KC moved up for Mahomes
-NYJ moved up for Darnold
-BUF moved up for Allen
-BAL traded back into the late first for Jackson
-SF moved up for Lance
-CHI moved up for Fields
The fact is the Giants declined Jones option because they don’t believe in him to this point. This regime did not draft Jones. Schoen/Daboll will want to bring in their own QB, that QB will be much less expensive if secured via the draft which I think will happen. And, in order to get that guy I’d imagine they trade up.
I could easily see Schoen trading up a few weeks prior to the draft to secure a position to get one of the QB’s they like.
2 out of 7 is about a 30% chance of success after moving up by giving up draft picks.
Those aren't great odds for all those who think moving up in the draft to get a quarterback is a sure thing.
The most important piece to finding the QB is you need a team of decision makers (GM, HC, OC, etc) who can identify the right prospect to develop and teach.
At the end of day, IMV, one of the most critical bullets points of Schoen's job description is to solve for the QB.
Otherwise, you have the wrong GM.
2 out of 7 is about a 30% chance of success after moving up by giving up draft picks.
Those aren't great odds for all those who think moving up in the draft to get a quarterback is a sure thing.
It’s a risk for sure. The Giants are still dealing with reaching on a QB in the 2019 draft.
-two were 4th round or later
-one was picked 10th and one 18th
-one was picked first, but had to leave his original team to win-granted, that team gave up assets to get him that were significant
-one was picked second in a move up and worked out-but his late round pick won the game even if he got a win
one was picked 24th
this simple argument, really cuts through any idea that tanking, or trading up aggressively is so necessary to be successful overall.
For the Rams and to limited degree the Eagles, the trades up worked out.
For the other teams, the Pats, Packers, Ravens, Chiefs, Seahawks used later first and later round picks to acquire their signal caller.
i know we can point at Eli and Peyton in recent history as well, so it is simplistic, but its clear there is more than one way to skin a cat at the mantra a top 5 pick is where elite qbs come from is somewhat antiquated.
2 out of 7 is about a 30% chance of success after moving up by giving up draft picks.
Those aren't great odds for all those who think moving up in the draft to get a quarterback is a sure thing.
It's not a sure thing but staying pat could be worse, right?
2 out of 7 is about a 30% chance of success after moving up by giving up draft picks.
Those aren't great odds for all those who think moving up in the draft to get a quarterback is a sure thing.
I think its more than just the player. Which franchises that took QB's set them up to succeed and which didn't? We can talk about talent all day long but if you go to a crappy franchise with a coaching staff in disarray you are going to hurt, not help the new QB. I'm not suggesting that a Sam Darnold is now an all pro if he was playing for Andy Reid - but I can almost guaranteed he'd have a hell of a lot better chance to learn, grown and succeed.
I care more about having the right coaches and system than I do about getting the next great QB to come out of college. If we hired the right guys they will be able to get someone outside of the top 5 and make it work.
To do the math properly, you need to know the total number of QBs taken vs the number that are successful.
For the most part, a successful NFL QB is a rarity. So, no matter where you're picking, prepare to miss more than hit. There are some who advocate picking a QB every year, or two. There are pros and cons to that approach. I wouldn't do it every year, or if one you've drafted is looking good. But I wouldn't be shy about drafting one relatively quickly if the current QB is still questionable AND you have a decent conviction on a draftee. NO fliers.