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NFT: Hurricane Ian

Returning Video Tapes : 9/26/2022 9:33 am
So I know a bunch of you just moved here so wanted to give you the lowdown of what to expect. The winds aren’t are what are dangerous (or this one won’t be as long as your roof is good to go). What is problematic is the storm surge.

Right now it’s looking like a minimum of 5-8 ft surge in Tampa Bay Area unless it shifts to one of the generally lesser accurate models out West. We are looking at a little bit less than a foot of rain and as of now it looks like it will be hitting at approximately high tide of a little over 2 feet with the newer models showing it slowing down.

So what does that mean? Well if your are in evac zone B or lower, you can expect flooding ( generally under 10 ft - although there’s a bit more complicated equation that goes into figuring out the evac zones) and mandatory evacs. I’m in C now and expecting a mandatory evac, but unless it shifts to a direct hit hard to see a scenario it will even flood my area to do damage(plus I’m on second floor) The first floor in my old place would be complete submerged in this scenario. Things can obviously change from now but accuracy tends to be fairly high under 72 hours out.

As far as power goes, the more densely populated and closer to coasts generally you are the quicker they get the power up (when I was on beach for Irma FPL sets up shop at all the empty high rise hotels) If you are in rural areas probably should have a generator by now, but good luck getting one now. What you won’t have though is internet for a long time for some. So make sure you got a bunch of entertainment downloaded as shit can get boring as everything will be closed for a week.

Putting this out there because honestly you really don’t want to evacuate unless you have to as that’s its own nightmare and the less cars on the road the better for people that actually do need to.
There is already a good thread on this hurricane  
US1 Giants : 9/26/2022 9:45 am : link
.

https://corner.bigblueinteractive.com/index.php?mode=2&thread=625995 - ( New Window )
Take a look at the recent 6:00AM EURO run....  
beechbouy : 9/26/2022 9:47 am : link
huge shift to the west (unless I'm reading it incorrectly)! See what the NOAA says at 11:00.
Link - ( New Window )
RE: There is already a good thread on this hurricane  
ZogZerg : 9/26/2022 11:09 am : link
In comment 15830738 US1 Giants said:
Quote:
. https://corner.bigblueinteractive.com/index.php?mode=2&thread=625995 - ( New Window )


Not a good thread at all.
It turned into a typical BBI thread - took a major "Off topic" turn, which has nothing to do with the Hurricane/Original thread purpose.

Maybe this one can stay on topic.
RE: RE: There is already a good thread on this hurricane  
eli4life : 9/26/2022 11:22 am : link
In comment 15830942 ZogZerg said:
Quote:
In comment 15830738 US1 Giants said:


Quote:


. https://corner.bigblueinteractive.com/index.php?mode=2&thread=625995 - ( New Window )



Not a good thread at all.
It turned into a typical BBI thread - took a major "Off topic" turn, which has nothing to do with the Hurricane/Original thread purpose.

Maybe this one can stay on topic.


Don’t know if it was earlier but it doesn’t seem bad now but this one reads more of what you should do for new residents which imho both are a good idea so one doesn’t get lost in the other
RE: RE: RE: There is already a good thread on this hurricane  
eli4life : 9/26/2022 11:33 am : link
In comment 15830963 eli4life said:
Quote:
In comment 15830942 ZogZerg said:


Quote:


In comment 15830738 US1 Giants said:


Quote:


. https://corner.bigblueinteractive.com/index.php?mode=2&thread=625995 - ( New Window )



Not a good thread at all.
It turned into a typical BBI thread - took a major "Off topic" turn, which has nothing to do with the Hurricane/Original thread purpose.

Maybe this one can stay on topic.



Don’t know if it was earlier but it doesn’t seem bad now but this one reads more of what you should do for new residents which imho both are a good idea so one doesn’t get lost in the other


And I’ve been dealing with these since Andrew and usually it’s a meh wake me when it’s over but this one has my spider senses tingling. If it turns east a bit it will be right at me and suck (the edge of the cone is blocks from my house) but if it goes north to the panhandle and slows as it has we could be talking days of pounding like a couple years ago that one that hugged the east coast a couple days
I'm in Lake County  
Fred-in-Florida : 9/26/2022 3:00 pm : link
and I'm within the cone. If it stays on it's current track it'll be rain and winds. But a turn east and it's coming right at me.

Sorry didn't finish  
Fred-in-Florida : 9/26/2022 3:03 pm : link
Started up the generator, filled my gas cans and have an extra propane tank.

It wouldn't be to bad should lose strength once it gets inland. But still could be a '2'.
RE: Sorry didn't finish  
Jim in Fairfax : 9/26/2022 4:11 pm : link
In comment 15831237 Fred-in-Florida said:
Quote:
Started up the generator, filled my gas cans and have an extra propane tank.

It wouldn't be to bad should lose strength once it gets inland. But still could be a '2'.

It’s not all about wind force. Sandy was only tropical storm force when it hit NYC.
Basically, if you do not get run over  
section125 : 9/26/2022 4:28 pm : link
by the eye wall and 30 to 50 miles out from it, you will not get the 70+ mph winds. However, it will rain like a son of a gun. Tapes is right about the surge - that is the danger.

And newbies, do not go outside to have a look. The flying debris will kill you.

Tapes is also right on FPL returning power. They have a grid and Hospitals, Old Age homes, Gas Stations, Stores, the route 41 corridor(stores and strip malls), get back on line first. There will be small areas that will get passed over to get power back to larger areas. You will need patience. FPL will have outside power companies on standy by to come in and fix the lines. We had a Ontario, Canada company in 2004 working our area. FPL has this shit down.

Yep, couple of propane tanks for the grill to cook. Get ice for your food and load up as many coolers as you can.

Stay safe on the West Coast.
RE: Basically, if you do not get run over  
Jim in Fairfax : 9/26/2022 5:14 pm : link
In comment 15831302 section125 said:
Quote:
by the eye wall and 30 to 50 miles out from it, you will not get the 70+ mph winds. However, it will rain like a son of a gun. Tapes is right about the surge - that is the danger.

And newbies, do not go outside to have a look. The flying debris will kill you.

Tapes is also right on FPL returning power. They have a grid and Hospitals, Old Age homes, Gas Stations, Stores, the route 41 corridor(stores and strip malls), get back on line first. There will be small areas that will get passed over to get power back to larger areas. You will need patience. FPL will have outside power companies on standy by to come in and fix the lines. We had a Ontario, Canada company in 2004 working our area. FPL has this shit down.

Yep, couple of propane tanks for the grill to cook. Get ice for your food and load up as many coolers as you can.

Stay safe on the West Coast.

People always focus on the wind, when they should be worried about the water. Storm surge causes far more deaths and damage than does wind.
I actually saw the infrastructure guys today noting the power lines.  
Returning Video Tapes : 9/26/2022 6:08 pm : link
One of the downsides in living in a low tax state, walked down the street to Publix and saw like 7 places where they should have cut long ago.
I’ll always remember Irma had a total blast and power lasted juuuust  
Returning Video Tapes : 9/26/2022 6:11 pm : link
long enough to watch the game with my Boys fan buddy. Unfortunately we lost but being able to cruise the beach the day after was pretty dope and we got power back noon the next day.

This one is def a bit more worrying as it looks like it’s gonna do some massive damage to evac A and literally another insurer just announced insolvency today. Glad to be finally leaving next year to be honest.
Stay safe  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 9/26/2022 6:12 pm : link
Florida BBIers!
RE: I’ll always remember Irma had a total blast and power lasted juuuust  
section125 : 9/26/2022 6:41 pm : link
In comment 15831408 Returning Video Tapes said:
Quote:


..... and literally another insurer just announced insolvency today. Glad to be finally leaving next year to be honest.


These insurance companies should be gone after, fined and their officers arrested for fraud. They play the game with exorbitant rates and run away just before hurricane season. They bilk the public and then dump on the state to cover for them.
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