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NFT: Mets chat - Off Day today; Marlins tomorrow; ATL/WASH later.

Optimus-NY : 9/26/2022 10:37 am
Take a look at the following:









Mets are 1.5 games up on the Braves, with the Braves having a game in hand--as indicated above. The Braves have 9 games left as of the start of the day today and the Mets have 8. That game in hand the Braves have is today in Washington against the Nats.

Basically, if the Mets win 6 of their last 8, and one of those 6 wins is against the Braves, then they're guaranteed to win the division. Moze1021 had a good post about this on yesterday's game thread. There are a whole other bunch of combinations and permutations, but the best is to just continue to take care of business at home tomorrow and Wednesday. The Mets will miss Alcantara this series, so they dodged a bullet there. Here's how the Mets' rotation will probably look for the last 8 games of the regular season:


9/26 - OFF DAY
9/27 - vs. Marlins - Carrasco (going on 7 days rest)
9/28 - vs. Marlins - Walker (going on 7 days rest)
9/29 - OFF DAY
9/30 - @ Braves - Bassitt (going on 7 days rest)
10/1 - @ Braves - deGrom (going on 7 days rest)
10/2 - @ Braves - Scherzer (going on 7 days rest)

10/3 - vs. Nats - Carrasco (going on 6 days rest)
10/4 - vs. Nats - Walker (going on 6 days rest)
10/5 - vs. Nats - Bassitt (going on 5 days rest)


The last game of the regular season against might not be Bassitt's if the division has been decided by then of course, since he's one of the Big 3 going into the playoffs. That start could go to Williams or Peterson if it's a meaningless game, one way or the other. Let's see what happens.

Don Mattingly already said that Alcantara will pitch the last game of the season in Miami against the Braves, which will be his last game as manager of the Marlins. So there won't be "integrity of the game" issues if it comes down to October 5th to determine the division for both the Mets and Braves against the Nats and Marlins respectively.

The Mets' goal should be to enter the Braves series in Atlanta in four days with full control of their own destiny w/regards to winning the vision in their hands and to exit that series still being in control of their destiny in that respect. They'll need to win a game there in order to have the tie-breaker with respect to head-to-head wins between the two teams. The Mets are ahead 9-7, as depicted above.

If anyone's got any news, or if we wanna chit chat, we can just consolidate it all on this thread here. Naturally, as Giants fans, we'll be focused on the Cowflops & Giants later on MNF, so this thread will probably die out around then, but we can chime in here and there and talk about the Nats and Braves game before the Giants game starts, and maybe even after it ends. Anywho, enjoy the day and take care and LGM :-)

Ciao fiends!
This is fun.  
Beezer : 9/26/2022 10:44 am : link
!!!
You are neglecting the impact of hurricane Ian  
X : 9/26/2022 10:49 am : link
ATL will probably get heavy rains a few days over the weekend.

I wish Jake didn't have that meltdown game Saturday
Hurricane forecast - ( New Window )
The Mets will control their own destiny...  
moze1021 : 9/26/2022 10:50 am : link
heading into Atlanta, no matter what happens vs Miami

There would still even be 2 paths given magic number is 8:

1) Sweep Braves (worth 7 of magic number) and then win 1 of final 3 vs Nats

2) Win 2/3 vs Braves (worth 5 of magic number) and then sweet final 3 vs Nats








RE: You are neglecting the impact of hurricane Ian  
Optimus-NY : 9/26/2022 11:07 am : link
In comment 15830887 X said:
Quote:
ATL will probably get heavy rains a few days over the weekend.

I wish Jake didn't have that meltdown game Saturday Hurricane forecast - ( New Window )


Yeah, that is a big factor. Those games NEED to be played. They were talking about it on the broadcast yesterday. The Braves won't want those games moved from Atlanta of course, but with the post-season schedule being what it is and there being no time to spare with the Wildcard round starting two days after the regular season ends, there is a chance these games get moved to another venue. I forgot where it happened a few years ago, but this is a real logistical issue that needs to be ironed out within the next four days.
I’ve stopped chiming in a while ago  
Shecky : 9/26/2022 11:10 am : link
But still occasionally check in and follow the threads. To those who have kept them alive, thanks. The threads have come a long way from the daily fighting of years ago.
And especially a thank you to Optimus who really goes way above and beyond to bring the threads to a completely other level than they’ve ever been!!!

Playoffs will be fun.
RE: I’ve stopped chiming in a while ago  
Eric on Li : 9/26/2022 11:19 am : link
In comment 15830943 Shecky said:
Quote:
But still occasionally check in and follow the threads. To those who have kept them alive, thanks. The threads have come a long way from the daily fighting of years ago.
And especially a thank you to Optimus who really goes way above and beyond to bring the threads to a completely other level than they’ve ever been!!!

Playoffs will be fun.


who does ruf have pictures of?
Thank you for the kind words shecky :-)  
Optimus-NY : 9/26/2022 11:27 am : link
It's my pleasure. I've got some time on my hands, so that helps. Please feel free to chime on more often. It's just fun and games in the end anyway.

Regarding Ruf, yuck (Eric in LI's favorite!). Odds are we'll see him or Vientos DHing on Wednesday against the lefty Luzardo (hopefully Vientos):


Starting Pitcher matchups vs. Marlins on 9/27 & 9/28

RE: The Mets will control their own destiny...  
moze1021 : 9/26/2022 12:21 pm : link
In comment 15830892 moze1021 said:
Quote:
heading into Atlanta, no matter what happens vs Miami

There would still even be 2 paths given magic number is 8:

1) Sweep Braves (worth 7 of magic number) and then win 1 of final 3 vs Nats

2) Win 2/3 vs Braves (worth 5 of magic number) and then sweet final 3 vs Nats









Sorry I forgot to include the words "Even if the Mets lose both vs Marlins, there would still even be 2 paths..." where Mets control their own destiny

So the Marlins games aren't technically "must wins", but clinching is a heck of a lot easier if they do

Marlins can be a spoiler  
Dr. D : 9/26/2022 1:46 pm : link
I'm glad we only face them twice without Alcantara, while braves face them 3X with him. Obviously a higher probability of us beating them twice, than braves beating them 3X. LFGM!
Thanks Optimus, ZGiants and all others  
BigBlueNH : 9/26/2022 5:38 pm : link
Who have kept these threads going throughout the season. Always enjoy checking out the banter, win, lose or draw. It has been a great ride, and just 6 more wins needed.
Braves 3 - Nats 0 in the Top of the 6th now in Washington.  
Optimus-NY : 9/26/2022 8:24 pm : link
We should probably have a result in about an hour. Hope the Nats can help us out, but not looking good so far.


Box Score - mlb.com - Gameday - Braves @ Nats - 9/26/22 - ( New Window )
More links...  
Optimus-NY : 9/26/2022 8:27 pm : link
Braves at Nats - 9/26/22 - TV: Nats' Feed


Braves at Nats - 9/26/22 - TV: Braves' Feed

No help today  
moze1021 : 9/26/2022 8:34 pm : link
Still the same story...

Magic number 8

One win in ATL worth 3, the other 2 worth 2

Mets paths to clinch if Braves win all their remaining against Nats and Marlins

1)

Vs Marlins/Nats: 5-0
Vs Braves: just need 1 win

2)

Vs Marlins/Nats: 4-1 or 3-2
Vs Braves: Need to go 2-1

3)

Vs Marlins/Nats: 2-3 or 1-4
Vs Braves: Need to go 3-0



8-0 Atlanta now in the Bottom of the 6th  
Optimus-NY : 9/26/2022 8:37 pm : link
.
Final just in....  
Optimus-NY : 9/26/2022 9:36 pm : link
Braves 8, Nats 0

Mets' lead is now down to a single game. Both the Mets and Braves have the same amount of games left now (8) and are both off three dats from now on the 29th.
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