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BBV Article: Does DJ have a chance of succeeding as a Giant?

KingBlue : 10/4/2022 8:05 am
Without a good offensive line or good receivers, the picture is bleak.

For your reading pleasure...
Daniel Jones - ( New Window )
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Only the people in charge know the answer  
ajr2456 : 10/4/2022 10:41 am : link
But what if they’re not just scheming around the weakness around Jones but also around his own weaknesses and this is the best he’ll look?
Jones is an easy guy to root for, but...  
sb from NYT Forum : 10/4/2022 10:45 am : link
...he just doesn't generate enough points. Yes, our WRs are weak, but a team with Barley should be able to score more than two TDs a game.
RE: RE: RE: RE: The pictures BEEN bleak  
Now Mike in MD : 10/4/2022 10:45 am : link
In comment 15845405 ajr2456 said:
Quote:
In comment 15845400 larryflower37 said:


Quote:


In comment 15845392 ajr2456 said:


Quote:


In comment 15845382 mattlawson said:


Quote:


Thought experiment - Give any QB in the last 20 years no line and no receivers and see how they do.

MADNESS



Herbert had terrible coaching and the worst offensive line in the league, he seemed to do fine.


He had the 16th ranked line and 13th ranked WR.
Herbert is in a much stronger situation than Jones by leaps and bounds.
Giants last season 30th line and 31st WR.
Read the article it makes solid points not that Jones is a great QB but success in this league has a lot to do with the talent around the QB.



Herbert’s rookie year the Chargers ended the season with the worst offensive line in football. Add to that he was a rookie, with a bad coaching staff, and not a regular offseason due to covid and he achieved a year that we’ll probably never see Jones put together as a rookie . That wasn’t just because he had good wide receivers Oline rankings 2020-2021 - ( New Window )


The Anti-DJ crowd always seem to focus on one issue and leave it at that, ignoring that DJ has faced a confluence of factors that other WBs haven't. Yes, Herbert had a bad offneisve line as had Burrow - but bother have weapons at WR and RB that Jones has almost never had. So it's not just the OL. It's the OL, plus the bad coaching, plus the lack of weapons. And not just lack of weapons. Oftentimes the among the worst if not THE worst in the league.

So do me this one favor -- name one QB who has had success who has had ALL of those headwinds. I cannot think of one.
And btw while I support Jones  
Now Mike in MD : 10/4/2022 10:50 am : link
I do not agree with tagging him. I would only resign him if he agreed to a cap friendly contract relatively speaking. So something along the line of two years at 18 mill. Not a lot for a starting QB. And the time frame doesn't lock the Giants in long term if DJ doesn't improve when the cast around him presumably improves
Nobody is asking Jones to throw for 4500 yards  
ajr2456 : 10/4/2022 10:54 am : link
And 45 TDs. But there hasn’t even been a flash that the could one day be a possibility. And that’s not just the oline or WRs fault.
DJ does not raise the level of players around him  
US1 Giants : 10/4/2022 11:02 am : link
He could probably succeed if he had a good OL and great receivers. That is hard to do and still have a defense. The salary cap is a problem to solve. DJ will no longer be on a rookie contract.
Despite bbi's saaviest posters  
Spiciest Memelord : 10/4/2022 11:03 am : link
who think Prescott or Couisins could come to the Giants and light it up, Jones is playing with J4 offsuit every game with our WR "talent".
RE: Nobody is asking Jones to throw for 4500 yards  
Scooter185 : 10/4/2022 11:03 am : link
In comment 15845487 ajr2456 said:
Quote:
And 45 TDs. But there hasn’t even been a flash that the could one day be a possibility. And that’s not just the oline or WRs fault.


Like Hembo said on Greenies show the other day when Mike was talking about organizational failure "If he was the guy he'd have shown us more"
RE: Is Daniel Jones better than Cooper Rush?  
Spiciest Memelord : 10/4/2022 11:07 am : link
In comment 15845431 Sean said:
Quote:
.


Very zen-like question, like what's the sound of one hand clapping.
Good Article  
David B. : 10/4/2022 11:09 am : link
If they can't draft "the next guy" in the upcoming draft (assuming they even wanted to), I'd still rather have Jones next year than Tyrod Taylor.

What I DON'T want to see is them throw a rookie QB into the same shitty situation that Jones is in now. The league is littered with the Darnolds, Trubiskys, Winstons who went that route.

Yes, they should be able to shore up the talent some in the offseason -- but we say that every year. They still need at least 3 GOOD interior OLs, and a quality #1 and a #2 WR. They won't be able to fix everything.

The reason they gave Taylor his contract was because if Jones imploded, they had someone competent to hold the fort. But Jones isn't what's holding the Giants offense back at the moment. In fact, the whole offense is just Jones and Barkley at the moment. Jones has (with Barkley) been more responsible for the wins, than he was the loss.

I think the odds are higher that Jones gets hurt this year running for his life, and too much, than him playing terrible.

At the end of this season, if he's still upright, and is not the reason they're losing games, I'd franchise him for next year and try and get some more talent around him -- or WHOEVER's playing QB next year. So even if they DO draft the next guy, maybe they don't have to rush his development.

As Joe Schoen said when he was asked if was worried about having to either re-sign Jones or franchise him, "those would be good problems to have."




Those guys didn’t fail because of their circumstances  
ajr2456 : 10/4/2022 11:14 am : link
Winston had Doug Marin, Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson. Their offensive line was always rough but they always had weapons and good coaching.

Tribusky had top ranked olines and defended. Darnold just wasn’t very good. The myth of “ruining” a QB because of bad situations isn’t a thing that exists. Guys just sometimes aren’t good. Does Jameis throw a lot of interceptions with the Saints because of what happened in Tampa? Not at all.
lol franchise savior Tyrod Taylor  
Spiciest Memelord : 10/4/2022 11:14 am : link
bbi's saaviest posters at their best.
RE: Are the Giants going to Franchise Jones next year?  
Gman11 : 10/4/2022 11:34 am : link
In comment 15845357 WillieYoung said:
Quote:
Is a dumb question. It assumes you either franchise him or cut him.


I agree. It's like people think it's out of the question for the Giants to sign DJ to contract.
RE: Those guys didn’t fail because of their circumstances  
ChrisRick : 10/4/2022 11:38 am : link
In comment 15845518 ajr2456 said:
Quote:
Winston had Doug Marin, Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson. Their offensive line was always rough but they always had weapons and good coaching.

Tribusky had top ranked olines and defended. Darnold just wasn’t very good. The myth of “ruining” a QB because of bad situations isn’t a thing that exists. Guys just sometimes aren’t good. Does Jameis throw a lot of interceptions with the Saints because of what happened in Tampa? Not at all.


I disagree in regard to ruining a quarterback with bad surroundings. To say it definitely does not exist seems to be going overboard. I'm not saying this is Jones, but playing quarterback is very much a mental game. Some quarterbacks can retain their mental toughness longer than others. Getting beat down physically and mentally with failures takes its toll. The problem is, it can be hard to prove.
It’s a cop out  
ajr2456 : 10/4/2022 11:40 am : link
Sure David Carr got sacked a lot, but he also wasn’t very good.
It is a possibility  
ChrisRick : 10/4/2022 11:40 am : link
is what it is.
6 out of 25  
kelly : 10/4/2022 11:44 am : link
those are your odds on drafting someone better than Jones.

Think about that before cutting Jones loose.

If I am a GM not sure I would like those odds. And I don't see anyone in this years draft that is a definite franchise QB.
Ok even if the Giants "ruined" him,  
Jerry in_DC : 10/4/2022 11:50 am : link
that makes him a ruined QB, right? Should the Giants invest in a ruined QB?

Doing right by Daniel Jones is not the mission statement of the franchise
is anyone  
ChrisRick : 10/4/2022 11:52 am : link
really arguing the Giants should o right by Daniel Jones? I am not sure I've seen that one.
Jerry +1  
JonC : 10/4/2022 11:56 am : link
I've seen enough over four years, he's not the long term solution for NYG.
RE: 6 out of 25  
ajr2456 : 10/4/2022 12:00 pm : link
In comment 15845609 kelly said:
Quote:
those are your odds on drafting someone better than Jones.

Think about that before cutting Jones loose.

If I am a GM not sure I would like those odds. And I don't see anyone in this years draft that is a definite franchise QB.


There was about the same chance Thomas was better than Solder too.
RE: 6 out of 25  
compton : 10/4/2022 12:03 pm : link
In comment 15845609 kelly said:
Quote:
those are your odds on drafting someone better than Jones.

Think about that before cutting Jones loose.

If I am a GM not sure I would like those odds. And I don't see anyone in this years draft that is a definite franchise QB.


You see what you want to see in order to advocate for Jones. Based on your stat the Giants have a 6 out of 25 chance of drafting someone better than Jones. That's 24% probability of drafting someone better than Jones. I love those odds given what Jones is and is not. So I advocate for the Giants to spin that dice and get another guy in here.
RE: Is Daniel Jones better than Cooper Rush?  
Atari2600 : 10/4/2022 12:21 pm : link
In comment 15845431 Sean said:
Quote:
.


No he is not. And considering the question is -- is Dak better than Cooper Rush comparing him to Jones is a joke.

Really this nonsense with Jones already. You have a heavy draft class for QBs coming up. Whatever happened last year with Trubisky and the like was last offseason. This offseason you have Devin Leary's not even top 10 prospect making NFL plays. Hitch routes the kind Jones could not make
when Garrett was OC. No bubble screen needed/ "new" NFL scheming needed.
NC STATE playing - ( New Window )
________  
I am Ninja : 10/4/2022 12:39 pm : link
It's week 5, he's hurt already.

When he comes back, he'll get hurt again.

If/when the wr/IOL situation is "fixed," he'll get hurt again.

Etc.
I hope JS is less concerned with probability  
Lines of Scrimmage : 10/4/2022 12:47 pm : link
and more interesting in just getting a better QB. This is what Jones year is about imv. He is evaluating QB's in college and Jones. It gets complicated after that imv.

One big complication is if you make the wrong choice you are probably looking for your next HC in 2-3 years and Mara maybe starts getting the shadow team back together (at least a little).
RE: I would assume most  
Gatorade Dunk : 10/4/2022 12:51 pm : link
In comment 15845328 mittenedman said:
Quote:
people understand this.

You've got the DO IT ANYWAYZ JONEZ crowd here, but most credible football analysts seem to agree with the article.

Literally no one has said "do it anywayz Jonez" in any way, shape, or form.

What they have said is that his contract is up at the end of the year no matter how unfavorable his surroundings, and that it's crazy to just keep extending his evaluation period at a price that's likely to be 3x his current cap number (or more) unless he proves himself, albeit in spite of his mediocre supporting cast.

Is that too nuanced for you, or do you just enjoy being obtuse?
RE: Are the Giants going to Franchise Jones next year?  
Gatorade Dunk : 10/4/2022 12:54 pm : link
In comment 15845357 WillieYoung said:
Quote:
Is a dumb question. It assumes you either franchise him or cut him. Trubisky signed a two year $14 Million contract to be the Steelers starter this year. I think Jones will get more but no where near the average of the top 10 quarterbacks which is what the franchise number is based off of. Jones, who finally has a coach and a GM, isn't leaving in free agency if the Giants want him.

Were the Steelers the team that drafted Trubisky?

Has any team ever signed their own QB coming off his rookie contract to a midlevel prove it deal?

I'm pretty sure the answer is no, it has never happened, but I'm not 100% certain. Are there any examples?

If not, the Trubisky/Mariota/Winston situations are not apples-to-apples.
RE: I hope JS is less concerned with probability  
Atari2600 : 10/4/2022 12:55 pm : link
In comment 15845732 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
and more interesting in just getting a better QB. This is what Jones year is about imv. He is evaluating QB's in college and Jones. It gets complicated after that imv.

One big complication is if you make the wrong choice you are probably looking for your next HC in 2-3 years and Mara maybe starts getting the shadow team back together (at least a little).


Contrary to popular opinion on here--I really have not seen one shred of evidence that Shoen or Daboll or even Kafka for that matter really care about D Jones.

It appears their minds are made up that Jones will play here because there is no better option , the offense will run through Barkley, and that at the end of this season Jones will walk.
RE: This is not a 1 yr rebuild effort  
Gatorade Dunk : 10/4/2022 12:55 pm : link
In comment 15845381 stoneman said:
Quote:
They can extend Jones for 3-4 years, move the team and scheme forward, and still look for the "can't miss" QB. If Jones works out, then so be it and you extend him further. If not, you have 2-3 years to maneuver for one.

Fuck it, let's go a full decade more with Jones, just to be sure. Why bother trying to take advantage of the single biggest advantage available to teams in the salary cap era?
RE: Nobody is asking Jones to throw for 4500 yards  
Gatorade Dunk : 10/4/2022 12:58 pm : link
In comment 15845487 ajr2456 said:
Quote:
And 45 TDs. But there hasn’t even been a flash that the could one day be a possibility. And that’s not just the oline or WRs fault.

You could give Jones two full seasons and he might not get to either of those numbers.
To paraphase Einstein  
Spiciest Memelord : 10/4/2022 12:59 pm : link
in nature you get these complex processes and situations, and the simple answer is always wrong.
Atari  
Lines of Scrimmage : 10/4/2022 1:01 pm : link
It's your opinion who cares where people stand on it. I think BD probably has grown pretty fond of some things Jones has shown him. Does he think he can lead a team in a critical division game? Playoffs? Maybe not.

That's why I say its complicated. He may be seen as good enough shorter term (if someone is not available in the draft) while they keep looking. Lots of unknown or maybe like you say it is known.

I still think in the end the draft one in rounds 2-4 and go with Jones/FA and try to win games (so BD keeps his job) and keep looking if needed. Another opinion.
RE: 6 out of 25  
Gatorade Dunk : 10/4/2022 1:09 pm : link
In comment 15845609 kelly said:
Quote:
those are your odds on drafting someone better than Jones.

Think about that before cutting Jones loose.

If I am a GM not sure I would like those odds. And I don't see anyone in this years draft that is a definite franchise QB.

First of all, that number is pure fiction. Secondly, it doesn't matter. The risk of picking a QB that ends up being worse than Jones has literally no negative impact on a team that cannot win a championship without significant improvement.

Getting worse at QB takes a team with a 0% chance of a championship and makes them... a team with 0% chance of a championship.

Even at your made-the-fuck-up 6/25 odds, I'll take my 24% chance at improvement over my 0% chance of winning with the status quo.
so the plan going forward is anyone but Jones  
kelly : 10/4/2022 2:01 pm : link
Like cutting odd your nose despite yourself.
RE: so the plan going forward is anyone but Jones  
Greg from LI : 10/4/2022 2:05 pm : link
In comment 15845875 kelly said:
Quote:
Like cutting odd your nose despite yourself.


Fire your editor.

Anyway, how does it "despite" them if they're never going to contend with Jones?
RE: so the plan going forward is anyone but Jones  
ajr2456 : 10/4/2022 2:10 pm : link
In comment 15845875 kelly said:
Quote:
Like cutting odd your nose despite yourself.


With the money the Giants have available next year and and Jones’ performance through four years, there’s a better chance they can build a roster that can compete, while keeping Saqoun with a rookie QB on a rookie contract, regardless if that QB is just as bad as Jones.
RE: so the plan going forward is anyone but Jones  
Gatorade Dunk : 10/4/2022 2:18 pm : link
In comment 15845875 kelly said:
Quote:
Like cutting odd your nose despite yourself.

Is your plan going forward to make sure that all of BBI knows that you're working with limited mental capacity?
RE: Seems the year of no excuses is pushed back again  
joeinpa : 10/4/2022 2:19 pm : link
In comment 15845363 ajr2456 said:
Quote:
The question shouldn’t be “does Jones have a chance of succeeding as a Giant?” and should be “Do the Giants have a chance of succeeding with Jones when things are right?”.


There’s no excuses. Facts are many think the Giants offensive roster isn’t very good. Another fact is the Giants are 3-1 and Jones has made plays contributing to that record.

Some like me are of the opinion Schoen and Daboll have the ability to determine Daniels value somewhat independent of wins and losses, in the end it is a team game.



.....  
BrettNYG10 : 10/4/2022 2:21 pm : link
How hard is to replace Jones?

Go sign Minshew, Garoppolo, or Bridgewater. All of these guys have produced more than Jones. They all suck but so does Jones.
I dunno people  
ajr2456 : 10/4/2022 2:21 pm : link
saying we can’t properly evaluate Jones because of the circumstances seems like excuses to me.
RE: I dunno people  
joeinpa : 10/4/2022 2:28 pm : link
In comment 15845909 ajr2456 said:
Quote:
saying we can’t properly evaluate Jones because of the circumstances seems like excuses to me.


I m saying the opposite. He can be evaluated given the circumstances.
RE: RE: I dunno people  
ajr2456 : 10/4/2022 2:34 pm : link
In comment 15845924 joeinpa said:
Quote:
In comment 15845909 ajr2456 said:


Quote:


saying we can’t properly evaluate Jones because of the circumstances seems like excuses to me.



I m saying the opposite. He can be evaluated given the circumstances.


Apologies misread your post
Why can't it be both?  
lax counsel : 10/4/2022 2:39 pm : link
That Jones was dealt a less than ideal hand and he hasn't done much to warrant further consideration beyond this season or next? Yes, some of the talent is questionable, but he hasn't done much to make the offensive situation better. Why did Golladay devolve from a respected WR in this league when Stafford was throwing him the ball to resembling someone who shouldn't be on an NFL roster? Is it related?

The other comical take, is that BBI wants "anyone but Jones." No, most realistic fans want an upgrade over Jones. If that opportunity exists, the Giants should do everything to make that happens. Even if that means drafting a talented first round qb. The answer can't be every year "this is a weak qb class." Yet every single year, you read posts claiming the ineptitude of the qb class. Meanwhile, most years top qb talent is produced.
RE: RE: Better question  
djm : 10/4/2022 2:43 pm : link
In comment 15845346 rnargi said:
Quote:
In comment 15845337 George said:


Quote:


Are the Giants going to Franchise him next year? Cuz that’s what it’ll take, and that’s alotta money to spend on the previous regime’s QB.

I doubt it, although I am a DJ supporter.



I can't see any avenue short of him lighting it up and taking this team to the playoffs that he gets FT'd. More likely, he'll get a two year prove it bridge deal at reasonable cost as they continue to build the team around him.


Bingo. I keep seeing and hearing this FT talk with jones but why? Let’s say for the sake of argument the giants go 9-8, jones misses 2 games, accounts for 3700 total yards with 20 total tds and 10 ints. Has some good moments but nothing crazy. He keeps doing what’s he’s done through four games. The giants don’t have to FT him they can tell DJ’s camp to shop around and come back to us with any offer and if and when we talk. FT….why? Fuck that. Offer a one or two year fair deal and if he doesn’t like it he can go elsewhere. No one is offering jones a monster deal many qbs sign. That doesn’t jones won’t sign that kind of deal one day, but that day isn’t coming March - May 2023.

Giants can even draft a qb next April in the first round and keep jones for a year as the bridge qb. Taylor isn’t that guy. If we go 9-8 and have a better team next year on paper I don’t want to necessarily go all in with a rookie qb picked 19th or tenth overall in 23. And jones doesn’t have to get the FT or monster deal here with nyg either.
A huge part of the Jones evaluation is durability  
Sean : 10/4/2022 2:45 pm : link
Not sure why that seems to be ignored.
RE: A huge part of the Jones evaluation is durability  
ChrisRick : 10/4/2022 3:12 pm : link
In comment 15845954 Sean said:
Quote:
Not sure why that seems to be ignored.


You're right. Since Jones' best qualities are his legs at this point the offense has to be designed around his ability to run. It is so hard to win in this league with quarterbacks who must actively run (not scramble) as a part of the offense. They get beat up and play with injuries and maybe wear down faster or they sit with their injuries which makes them unavailable to the offense.
RE: Better question  
GMen72 : 10/4/2022 3:43 pm : link
In comment 15845337 George said:
Quote:
Are the Giants going to Franchise him next year? Cuz that’s what it’ll take, and that’s alotta money to spend on the previous regime’s QB.

I doubt it, although I am a DJ supporter.


I don't care how bad the team is...you can't franchise tag a QB that doesn't throw TD passes and struggles to throw for 200 yards a game...not to mention the injuries. At the end of the year, you offer him $5 million to backup/mentor your new rookie QB...if he declines, you help him pack.

He's not that good, folks!
Seems like posters on BBV disagree with the haters  
joe48 : 10/4/2022 4:48 pm : link
They have calmly laid out a plan moving forward which would include Jones as he continues progress.
RE: RE: so the plan going forward is anyone but Jones  
sb from NYT Forum : 10/4/2022 5:50 pm : link
In comment 15845881 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
In comment 15845875 kelly said:


Quote:


Like cutting odd your nose despite yourself.



Fire your editor.

Anyway, how does it "despite" them if they're never going to contend with Jones?


lol!
RE: A huge part of the Jones evaluation is durability  
joeinpa : 10/4/2022 6:06 pm : link
In comment 15845954 Sean said:
Quote:
Not sure why that seems to be ignored.


If he misses significant time yet again, that would greatly diminish any possibility of him coming back, that issue cannot be ignored.

I think that premise is assumed
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