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NFT: Peloton having some bad issues

GMAN4LIFE : 10/6/2022 10:10 am
Saw the CEO saying "we have 6 months to turn it around or else".

yikes.
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I have nothing to add to this discussion  
Greg from LI : 10/6/2022 12:32 pm : link
Just saying that I will forever see this when reading the word Peloton, and laugh

Shocker  
Sy'56 : 10/6/2022 12:37 pm : link
This was never going to work - as is the case with every fitness fad out there.

Other than.....
RE: I wonder how the world kept fit  
moze1021 : 10/6/2022 12:37 pm : link
In comment 15848306 Stan in LA said:
Quote:
Pre-Peloton? Talk about a useless invention. Just glad I'm not seeing their insipid commercials every 5 seconds now.


Pretty small minded view

Fitness is essentially a "do whatever works for you" proposition..

I got my Peloton in November 2019 and have been an avid user since then. I was a fitness guy in my early 20s but work, kids, life got me away from it and I had gone a solid 10-12 years without working out regularly

Peloton works for me. The bike is in my bedroom.. 0 travel time and an amazing workout.. it keeps me motivated, keeps me going. I'm not the only one.

I would gladly pay 2X my monthly fee if it meant their product would not change. It's that important to me and my life.
RE: RE: I wonder how the world kept fit  
AnnapolisMike : 10/6/2022 1:07 pm : link
In comment 15848343 moze1021 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848306 Stan in LA said:


Quote:


Pre-Peloton? Talk about a useless invention. Just glad I'm not seeing their insipid commercials every 5 seconds now.



Pretty small minded view

Fitness is essentially a "do whatever works for you" proposition..

I got my Peloton in November 2019 and have been an avid user since then. I was a fitness guy in my early 20s but work, kids, life got me away from it and I had gone a solid 10-12 years without working out regularly

Peloton works for me. The bike is in my bedroom.. 0 travel time and an amazing workout.. it keeps me motivated, keeps me going. I'm not the only one.

I would gladly pay 2X my monthly fee if it meant their product would not change. It's that important to me and my life.


This.

It is not a product for a social 20 something. It is a product for a 30's + person who is busy with life and needs a convenient and effective workout. A family membership is $50 per month plus the cost of the bike.

I think they are off the mark on their advertising. They seem to focus on the young and sexy who in all honesty are going to find a better experience for themselves at a gym. They should be focusing on parents and empty nesters who have disposable income and need a convenient exercise experience that is more low impact on joints.

RE: RE: RE: RE: I’d have to guess paying the “trainers”  
rsjem1979 : 10/6/2022 1:10 pm : link
In comment 15848217 arcarsenal said:
Quote:

Most of them are closer to 500K annually. And yeah, that's still a lot. But to say they're all getting millions or close is a bit disingenuous.


If they're paying most of their enormous stable of instructors half a million dollars each, it's no wonder they're having financial issues.

To pay someone that much means that they are uniquely skilled AND popular enough to drive promotional efforts and subscriber numbers. Making a playlist and telling people exactly how to push their bike pedals isn't that.

I've had a Peloton app subscription for a couple of years, and if they replaced the entire staff tomorrow I would barely notice.
RE: Shocker  
UConn4523 : 10/6/2022 1:26 pm : link
In comment 15848342 Sy'56 said:
Quote:
This was never going to work - as is the case with every fitness fad out there.

Other than.....


It isn’t a fad it’s a business. A fad is a popular trend that’s short lived. Peloton has increased its user base by half a million per quarter for the last 3 years. Their business is hurting because you actually have to pay people to make your product, integrate and update your software, pay your instructors and market. They never changed their business model, but the product itself is fantastic.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: I’d have to guess paying the “trainers”  
arcarsenal : 10/6/2022 1:27 pm : link
In comment 15848396 rsjem1979 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848217 arcarsenal said:


Quote:



Most of them are closer to 500K annually. And yeah, that's still a lot. But to say they're all getting millions or close is a bit disingenuous.



If they're paying most of their enormous stable of instructors half a million dollars each, it's no wonder they're having financial issues.

To pay someone that much means that they are uniquely skilled AND popular enough to drive promotional efforts and subscriber numbers. Making a playlist and telling people exactly how to push their bike pedals isn't that.

I've had a Peloton app subscription for a couple of years, and if they replaced the entire staff tomorrow I would barely notice.


Are there that many? I thought they had around 50.

In any case, I wasn't suggesting they *should* all be making 500K or more. If they're needing to lay off as many people as they have, then sure, it's fair to question why none of the trainers lost their spots or had any of their salaries cut.

It looks to me like many of the instructors are using Peloton as a springboard into other partnerships with companies like Adidas, Netflix, etc., and are making a shit ton of money through various revenue streams.

Ally Love has managed to parlay her spot with Peloton into a net worth of ~8M.

I think you're minimizing what goes into being an instructor a bit; I don't think it's close to "anyone can do it" territory. A lot of them do several rides a day, so the level of athleticism required has to be pretty high. But I don't disagree that they should probably reconsider what they're doling out to the instructors if the company is in such a financial pickle.
Question - as I don't have one and haven't seriously looked into one  
Matt M. : 10/6/2022 1:36 pm : link
or anything similar, due to cost and space. The question is, what is the model for sustained success? In other words, they sell the bike and you pay a subscription. Then what? There are only so many bikes sold and I imagine sales are slowed at this point, as the majority who would be inclined to buy one probably already did. So, how do you keep the business going?
RE: RE: Shocker  
Sy'56 : 10/6/2022 1:46 pm : link
In comment 15848424 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848342 Sy'56 said:


Quote:


This was never going to work - as is the case with every fitness fad out there.

Other than.....



It isn’t a fad it’s a business. A fad is a popular trend that’s short lived. Peloton has increased its user base by half a million per quarter for the last 3 years. Their business is hurting because you actually have to pay people to make your product, integrate and update your software, pay your instructors and market. They never changed their business model, but the product itself is fantastic.


A fad within the fitness industry. In my eyes, under 5 years is short lived.

It exploded because of the pandemic and gyms were closes all over the world and then some even stayed away once they opened because they thought Covid was easily spread within gyms and contributing to the virus which ended up being completely false.

This, the mirror, old school DVDs...all of that - almost never lasts longer than a few years without having to re-adjust the business model in enormous fashion
I don’t agree  
UConn4523 : 10/6/2022 1:51 pm : link
it’s user base will still use it 5 years from now if the company still exists. They aren’t failing because the users they have, stopped riding. It’s failing because it’s too expensive of a company to run in its current model.

I’ll never go back to a gym. Running outside and biking inside when it’s shitty out is something I will do for the rest of my life.
Love Mine  
ScottinMA : 10/6/2022 2:14 pm : link
Hope it never goes away. I will see you guys on there. Great product and great set up. Love me. See you guys on there
RE: I don’t agree  
Sy'56 : 10/6/2022 2:16 pm : link
In comment 15848474 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
it’s user base will still use it 5 years from now if the company still exists. They aren’t failing because the users they have, stopped riding. It’s failing because it’s too expensive of a company to run in its current model.

I’ll never go back to a gym. Running outside and biking inside when it’s shitty out is something I will do for the rest of my life.


I see your angle. Just disagree with what fad is. People still use P90X videos as well - Peloton will always be around but never as big as it was during and around the pandemic. Felt the same way when I saw how F45 was running their operation and now they are making huge cuts as well and ending careers for many.
I don't even think its that hard  
Essex : 10/6/2022 2:33 pm : link
this is a double luxury. People pay for luxuries, but usually ones that are not duplicable.

Even if you are well off, why are you going to spend 2K down and then another 50 a month when you probably already belong to a high end health club where you enjoy going. The market for well-off people who do not want to leave their house to exercise is not insignificant, but it is nowhere near a market Peloton thinks it is or investors thought it was during a one in a lifetime pandemic where people literally had now money to spend. Add to that the cheap imitations out there that are just as good functionally, you have a company basically announcing they are done (the whole six months thing was to find suitors as a hail mary).
RE: Question - as I don't have one and haven't seriously looked into one  
moze1021 : 10/6/2022 2:35 pm : link
In comment 15848443 Matt M. said:
Quote:
or anything similar, due to cost and space. The question is, what is the model for sustained success? In other words, they sell the bike and you pay a subscription. Then what? There are only so many bikes sold and I imagine sales are slowed at this point, as the majority who would be inclined to buy one probably already did. So, how do you keep the business going?


How you keep it "going" is with the subscriptions... they probably make very little on the bike sales, if anything. It's like the classic razor blade model.

How you keep it "growing" is a different issue. I agree they anticipated more people would ditch cycling studios and the gym forever... but to others points if you're someone in early 20s or single, you're going to want to go to the gym.

If you're in your 30s+ and married with kids and have a lot of disposable income, this is still a social, competitive experience (unlike P90X, DVDs, etc) for which the convenience is too much to give up. I don't want to go to a gym...

Hell I almost bought the treadmill last month and then the price spiked so I'm just waiting to see if they have any black friday deals (they used to with Bike pre-pandemic)...

I'd rather pay for Peloton than go to a gym for free, and again I'm a former 6 day a week 1-2 hour a day gym rat. It just doesn't fit my lifestyle anymore, Peloton does.

And when I talk about the experience you're damn right I'd be pissed if I lost Emma, Sam, Jess, Kendall, Alex, etc.. they are an integral part of the product!

RE: RE: I don’t agree  
UConn4523 : 10/6/2022 2:50 pm : link
In comment 15848516 Sy'56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848474 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


it’s user base will still use it 5 years from now if the company still exists. They aren’t failing because the users they have, stopped riding. It’s failing because it’s too expensive of a company to run in its current model.

I’ll never go back to a gym. Running outside and biking inside when it’s shitty out is something I will do for the rest of my life.



I see your angle. Just disagree with what fad is. People still use P90X videos as well - Peloton will always be around but never as big as it was during and around the pandemic. Felt the same way when I saw how F45 was running their operation and now they are making huge cuts as well and ending careers for many.


I think you are severely discounting the “experience”. None of those products had a community behind it, one that’s accessible anywhere you want. Working out became gamified which is just a massive part of their model. If they didn’t do such a good job with that it would be just another piece of equipment, and then I’d agree with you.
RE: RE: RE: I don’t agree  
Sy'56 : 10/6/2022 3:03 pm : link
In comment 15848564 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848516 Sy'56 said:


Quote:


In comment 15848474 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


it’s user base will still use it 5 years from now if the company still exists. They aren’t failing because the users they have, stopped riding. It’s failing because it’s too expensive of a company to run in its current model.

I’ll never go back to a gym. Running outside and biking inside when it’s shitty out is something I will do for the rest of my life.



I see your angle. Just disagree with what fad is. People still use P90X videos as well - Peloton will always be around but never as big as it was during and around the pandemic. Felt the same way when I saw how F45 was running their operation and now they are making huge cuts as well and ending careers for many.



I think you are severely discounting the “experience”. None of those products had a community behind it, one that’s accessible anywhere you want. Working out became gamified which is just a massive part of their model. If they didn’t do such a good job with that it would be just another piece of equipment, and then I’d agree with you.


Part of it is the repetitive pattern of exercise. Fast biking, slow biking, intervals, racing, joy riding...etc. The movement pattern gets too old for many (not all, I know) and other than the cardiovascular end of it (which I know is vital to health) - it is an extremely limited form of exercise and fitness. It is easy to see why many are left eventually wanting more and/or variety.
I agree  
UConn4523 : 10/6/2022 3:13 pm : link
its why I still run. But I think you'll see people continue to supplement at home and not flock back to the gym - add a bench and some weights and you basically cover everything the average man or women wants/needs.

I absolutely hate commuting and/or wasting time. If the gym was 10 minutes away that's 20 total minutes I can't get back that would otherwise be spent upstairs on a ride. Its just too damn convenient. I hope they find a way to make it work, its what got me back into shape and active through the crappy winters.
RE: Shocker  
Returning Video Tapes : 10/6/2022 3:17 pm : link
In comment 15848342 Sy'56 said:
Quote:
This was never going to work - as is the case with every fitness fad out there.

Other than.....


As a fitness nut I made good money shorting them. It was just a perfect confluence of events that allowed them to flourish. They don’t even offer anything revolutionary and it was only a matter of time before you had substition competitors and tightening purse strings because of inflation.
RE: RE: RE: RE: I don’t agree  
AnnapolisMike : 10/6/2022 3:24 pm : link
In comment 15848575 Sy'56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848564 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


In comment 15848516 Sy'56 said:


Quote:


In comment 15848474 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


it’s user base will still use it 5 years from now if the company still exists. They aren’t failing because the users they have, stopped riding. It’s failing because it’s too expensive of a company to run in its current model.

I’ll never go back to a gym. Running outside and biking inside when it’s shitty out is something I will do for the rest of my life.



I see your angle. Just disagree with what fad is. People still use P90X videos as well - Peloton will always be around but never as big as it was during and around the pandemic. Felt the same way when I saw how F45 was running their operation and now they are making huge cuts as well and ending careers for many.



I think you are severely discounting the “experience”. None of those products had a community behind it, one that’s accessible anywhere you want. Working out became gamified which is just a massive part of their model. If they didn’t do such a good job with that it would be just another piece of equipment, and then I’d agree with you.



Part of it is the repetitive pattern of exercise. Fast biking, slow biking, intervals, racing, joy riding...etc. The movement pattern gets too old for many (not all, I know) and other than the cardiovascular end of it (which I know is vital to health) - it is an extremely limited form of exercise and fitness. It is easy to see why many are left eventually wanting more and/or variety.


I think you are missing what Peloton offers. I have a bike. But with the membership I can take yoga classes, weight classes, etc all from home without going to a gym. A couple times a week I will go on a run if it is nice out. Variety is not a concern, if anything they offer too much.

I think most of the criticism of Peloton is coming from people who have not used it and do not understand the options available and the interactions available which help in motivation.

They are not having membership issues. They are having profitability issues because they expanded too quickly and probably are not marketing enough to the user who wants a lower impact (joints) form of exercise.
RE: RE: Shocker  
moze1021 : 10/6/2022 3:28 pm : link
In comment 15848593 Returning Video Tapes said:
Quote:
In comment 15848342 Sy'56 said:


Quote:


This was never going to work - as is the case with every fitness fad out there.

Other than.....



As a fitness nut I made good money shorting them. It was just a perfect confluence of events that allowed them to flourish. They don’t even offer anything revolutionary and it was only a matter of time before you had substition competitors and tightening purse strings because of inflation.


As a fitness nut, wouldn't you also agree that whatever works for people, they should embrace it?

Their product IS superior.. and for a lot of people its worth it and either viewed as supplemental or preferable to going to gym or other workouts/

Yes, they tried to expand too quickly and you made a good move... but it doesn't mean the business itself had anything wrong with it. They were doing well before the pandemic also!
Good call Mike..  
moze1021 : 10/6/2022 3:29 pm : link
It's definitely not just the bike..

I never run outside without Peloton anymore.
RE: I agree  
AnnapolisMike : 10/6/2022 3:31 pm : link
In comment 15848588 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
its why I still run. But I think you'll see people continue to supplement at home and not flock back to the gym - add a bench and some weights and you basically cover everything the average man or women wants/needs.

I absolutely hate commuting and/or wasting time. If the gym was 10 minutes away that's 20 total minutes I can't get back that would otherwise be spent upstairs on a ride. Its just too damn convenient. I hope they find a way to make it work, its what got me back into shape and active through the crappy winters.


You know what this thread is missing. People who have used a Peloton and hated it. The problem with home workouts was always the lack of an interactive format that provided motivation. Peloton has 2.6 million users because they offer that.
Peleton peddles unrealistic marketing with Buxton  
MartyNJ1969 : 10/6/2022 3:34 pm : link
Blondes in Spandex that look like supermodels and sell the idea you can look like that or acquire with a little hard work on a bike.

The exercise is great, don't get me wrong, but to look like one of their models in the commercials is unrealistic.
RE: RE: RE: Shocker  
Returning Video Tapes : 10/6/2022 3:40 pm : link
In comment 15848610 moze1021 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848593 Returning Video Tapes said:


Quote:


In comment 15848342 Sy'56 said:


Quote:


This was never going to work - as is the case with every fitness fad out there.

Other than.....



As a fitness nut I made good money shorting them. It was just a perfect confluence of events that allowed them to flourish. They don’t even offer anything revolutionary and it was only a matter of time before you had substition competitors and tightening purse strings because of inflation.



As a fitness nut, wouldn't you also agree that whatever works for people, they should embrace it?

Their product IS superior.. and for a lot of people its worth it and either viewed as supplemental or preferable to going to gym or other workouts/

Yes, they tried to expand too quickly and you made a good move... but it doesn't mean the business itself had anything wrong with it. They were doing well before the pandemic also!


Absolutely! But as someone that has seen these trends, at end of day they are fads for 80% of the users. It’s also crazy expensive for what it offers for most and you had inflation eating away at what I thought were insane subscription fees. It’s literally a livestream class, on scale alone it should be cheaper than going into an actual class. It’s easily copied as well.
RE: I have nothing to add to this discussion  
bradshaw44 : 10/6/2022 3:42 pm : link
In comment 15848332 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
Just saying that I will forever see this when reading the word Peloton, and laugh



I completely forgot about those terrible commercials. If memory serves though, she ended up owning it and doing pretty well making fun of herself on some late night shows etc.
RE: Peleton peddles unrealistic marketing with Buxton  
UConn4523 : 10/6/2022 3:46 pm : link
In comment 15848626 MartyNJ1969 said:
Quote:
Blondes in Spandex that look like supermodels and sell the idea you can look like that or acquire with a little hard work on a bike.

The exercise is great, don't get me wrong, but to look like one of their models in the commercials is unrealistic.


Most if not all of their instructors are normal looking people. I actually think that's helped them a lot because the average woman sees something attainable and/or relatable. I feel similarly about their marketing.
RE: It's a stoopid business model  
Jim in Fairfax : 10/6/2022 4:01 pm : link
In comment 15848120 Spiciest Memelord said:
Quote:
like Netflix and Twitter.

I can get a 14 year old to duct tape a tablet onto my Schwinnn.

Netflix? 20 straight profitable years including 5 billion in 2021.

Yeah, what morons.
RE: RE: I agree  
moze1021 : 10/6/2022 4:15 pm : link
In comment 15848620 AnnapolisMike said:
Quote:
In comment 15848588 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


its why I still run. But I think you'll see people continue to supplement at home and not flock back to the gym - add a bench and some weights and you basically cover everything the average man or women wants/needs.

I absolutely hate commuting and/or wasting time. If the gym was 10 minutes away that's 20 total minutes I can't get back that would otherwise be spent upstairs on a ride. Its just too damn convenient. I hope they find a way to make it work, its what got me back into shape and active through the crappy winters.



You know what this thread is missing. People who have used a Peloton and hated it. The problem with home workouts was always the lack of an interactive format that provided motivation. Peloton has 2.6 million users because they offer that.


Bingo
RE: RE: It's a stoopid business model  
UConn4523 : 10/6/2022 4:19 pm : link
In comment 15848666 Jim in Fairfax said:
Quote:
In comment 15848120 Spiciest Memelord said:


Quote:


like Netflix and Twitter.

I can get a 14 year old to duct tape a tablet onto my Schwinnn.


Netflix? 20 straight profitable years including 5 billion in 2021.

Yeah, what morons.


I'm all for watching Memelord lug a TV around with his DVD player hooked up to it trying to find an outlet to plug into to watch Squid Game.
Peloton is a good product  
Blue92 : 10/6/2022 4:27 pm : link
But it got way ahead of itself because of the pandemic. It's absolutely viable, it just has to shrink down to size.

They need to handle the communications better and emphasize that they'll continue being there for customers and programs will continue. They need to give customers a reason to stick with the service. Not sure what these public statements accomplish.
RE: Peloton is a good product  
moze1021 : 10/6/2022 4:29 pm : link
In comment 15848698 Blue92 said:
Quote:
But it got way ahead of itself because of the pandemic. It's absolutely viable, it just has to shrink down to size.

They need to handle the communications better and emphasize that they'll continue being there for customers and programs will continue. They need to give customers a reason to stick with the service. Not sure what these public statements accomplish.


And a reason for their current customers to expand...like I said earlier I want to buy a Tread but if I do that now and the service deteriorates, then I have no one to blame but myself... So I'm in wait and see mode
RE: RE: Peloton is a good product  
Jim in Fairfax : 10/6/2022 5:02 pm : link
In comment 15848699 moze1021 said:
Quote:

And a reason for their current customers to expand...

Huh! And I thought most people bought this for the opposite…
I was interviewed with Peloton last year  
Scyber : 10/6/2022 5:05 pm : link
When the process started I was told they were hiring like crazy. They repeatedly told me they wanted me to continue in the process, but then suddenly ghosted me after a few weeks. I eventually heard from the recruiter was told that all of their hiring was put on hold.

From what I heard, sounds like I dodged a bullet there.
RE: RE: RE: Peloton is a good product  
moze1021 : 10/6/2022 5:12 pm : link
In comment 15848731 Jim in Fairfax said:
Quote:
In comment 15848699 moze1021 said:


Quote:



And a reason for their current customers to expand...


Huh! And I thought most people bought this for the opposite…


LOL good one

Sy I know you're a crossfitter  
Eric on Li : 10/6/2022 5:24 pm : link
and as someone who has done both for a while i think they are both very similar (albeit obviously different in that one is at home and the other is in person) - but similar in that calling either "a fad" minimizes the positives and the accomplishments both made.

both gamified fitness within a community in ways that are fun and work. both made missteps as all company do, neither was ever going to be able to maintain their peak "trendiness", and the business models of each had various pros/cons but at their core they are both very positive (and innovative) movements for people living healthier lives.

i think by most metrics crossfit has been the most successful in person communal gym "fad", and has the most longevity baked into that success.

and similarly peloton has easily been the most successful at home / on demand communal exercise "fad". i don't know if their business model can support lasting success but i think the communities are equally devoted so there's an evolution there if they don't screw it up because like crossfit it's just a really good product. selling to Nike is an obvious move they should have made 6 months ago.
RE: Sy I know you're a crossfitter  
Sy'56 : 10/6/2022 5:31 pm : link
In comment 15848766 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
and as someone who has done both for a while i think they are both very similar (albeit obviously different in that one is at home and the other is in person) - but similar in that calling either "a fad" minimizes the positives and the accomplishments both made.

both gamified fitness within a community in ways that are fun and work. both made missteps as all company do, neither was ever going to be able to maintain their peak "trendiness", and the business models of each had various pros/cons but at their core they are both very positive (and innovative) movements for people living healthier lives.

i think by most metrics crossfit has been the most successful in person communal gym "fad", and has the most longevity baked into that success.

and similarly peloton has easily been the most successful at home / on demand communal exercise "fad". i don't know if their business model can support lasting success but i think the communities are equally devoted so there's an evolution there if they don't screw it up because like crossfit it's just a really good product. selling to Nike is an obvious move they should have made 6 months ago.


100% you hit very key points.

I am pro-fitness, pro-health. I don't care what it is to be honest - I just think everyone should have exercise as a big part of their life and view that as a responsibility, not a luxury. Bringing people together via Peloton has changed countless lives and I love them for it.

My sentiment has more to do with the business model. Been in that game for 10 years and there is so much I shake my head at. There is such a disconnect between spreading health, fitness, wellness and business. I, like many others, saw this coming with Peloton years ago (F45 too) and it is unfortunate.
RE: RE: Sy I know you're a crossfitter  
Eric on Li : 10/6/2022 5:42 pm : link
In comment 15848773 Sy'56 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848766 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


and as someone who has done both for a while i think they are both very similar (albeit obviously different in that one is at home and the other is in person) - but similar in that calling either "a fad" minimizes the positives and the accomplishments both made.

both gamified fitness within a community in ways that are fun and work. both made missteps as all company do, neither was ever going to be able to maintain their peak "trendiness", and the business models of each had various pros/cons but at their core they are both very positive (and innovative) movements for people living healthier lives.

i think by most metrics crossfit has been the most successful in person communal gym "fad", and has the most longevity baked into that success.

and similarly peloton has easily been the most successful at home / on demand communal exercise "fad". i don't know if their business model can support lasting success but i think the communities are equally devoted so there's an evolution there if they don't screw it up because like crossfit it's just a really good product. selling to Nike is an obvious move they should have made 6 months ago.



100% you hit very key points.

I am pro-fitness, pro-health. I don't care what it is to be honest - I just think everyone should have exercise as a big part of their life and view that as a responsibility, not a luxury. Bringing people together via Peloton has changed countless lives and I love them for it.

My sentiment has more to do with the business model. Been in that game for 10 years and there is so much I shake my head at. There is such a disconnect between spreading health, fitness, wellness and business. I, like many others, saw this coming with Peloton years ago (F45 too) and it is unfortunate.


Honestly I think they just got out over their skiis because they saw gold at the end of a rainbow that wasn't there, and crossfit did the exact same thing. the only big difference is crossfit offloaded a lot of risk to affiliates while subsidizing themselves but not those affiliates with big $ from reebok - and in some areas a massive percentage of new gyms popped up and down like lightning in the peak years. same with the pay for play competition circuits. participants aside i think there's a tremendous amount of crossfit affiliates out there who got crushed not unlike how some divisions of peloton's business will/have in the coming months/years. but both will endure because of the strength of the product.

both would have been smarter to try to grow steadily and prioritize value in their communities over a quick buck but where there's money to be made there is rarely any will power to not grab it.
minor add on to that last post  
Eric on Li : 10/6/2022 5:46 pm : link
i'd imagine this is something you know first hand better than me but i would guess the % of even the crossfit affiliates that are open and thriving and have very legitimate gripes with cfhq is 100%. they have structurally failed at supporting their core community from the top down, they just have a strong product and community (which is exactly like pton).
Hopefully their new partnership with  
Tim in Eternal Blue : 10/6/2022 8:42 pm : link

Hilton hotels and going into Dicks sporting goods will be enough to spark some new growth.
its an exercise bike  
RasputinPrime : 10/7/2022 12:39 am : link
with a cool name. Everyone wants their baby to do everything and sprout verticals forever. The market will spit that right back at most.
Bought my Peleton 3 months ago.  
DC Gmen Fan : 10/7/2022 10:16 am : link
I can't run anymore and there is no safe road biking around me. I use the bike 3-4 times a week and have been doing Andy Speer's total strength program home and on layovers via the app. I'm excited to find Peletons at various hotels and just sign in with my info.

I will probably not ever join a gym again. I'm getting into the best shape I've been in and my gym commute is about 50 feet.

I hope Peleton makes it and continues providing excellent content.
RE: its an exercise bike  
UConn4523 : 10/7/2022 10:19 am : link
In comment 15849269 RasputinPrime said:
Quote:
with a cool name. Everyone wants their baby to do everything and sprout verticals forever. The market will spit that right back at most.


The bike is the least significant component of what they offer, despite it being the best bike in the business.
RE: Hopefully their new partnership with  
ajr2456 : 10/7/2022 10:45 am : link
In comment 15848948 Tim in Eternal Blue said:
Quote:

Hilton hotels and going into Dicks sporting goods will be enough to spark some new growth.


Is the average Dicks shopper who doesn’t already own one shelling out money to buy it just because it’s at Dicks? It’s fairly easy to order a Peloton I thought.
RE: RE: Hopefully their new partnership with  
UConn4523 : 10/7/2022 10:50 am : link
In comment 15849570 ajr2456 said:
Quote:
In comment 15848948 Tim in Eternal Blue said:


Quote:



Hilton hotels and going into Dicks sporting goods will be enough to spark some new growth.



Is the average Dicks shopper who doesn’t already own one shelling out money to buy it just because it’s at Dicks? It’s fairly easy to order a Peloton I thought.


I can see people on the fence making up their mind better by seeing it in person. Other than California and NY most states have only 1 or 2 Peloton stores so their isn't much reach. I can also see Dicks offering add-on's at a reduced rate for bundle deals. There's probably opportunity to keep stock local and expedite and/or reduce shipping costs.
That’s a fair point  
ajr2456 : 10/7/2022 10:56 am : link
.
I work for a hardware enabled software company  
UConn4523 : 10/7/2022 11:04 am : link
it’s crazy how much shipping has surged. I believe Peloton still offers free shipping (which makes sense) but I’m curious what the increase in costs for them have been over the last year. It weighs almost 150 lbs and ground shipping on something that size plus paying 2-3 workers to assemble is likely an easy $300. That’s around 15% or more of the MSRP just to get it to you.
It’s insane  
ajr2456 : 10/7/2022 11:43 am : link
They are so far behind on figuring out how to bring in additional recurring revenue. It’s been two years since their pandemic surge, you would have thought they would have started that process during the surge.
I have a Peloton as well. Love it and gladly pay for the membership  
GMAN4LIFE : 10/7/2022 4:01 pm : link
however, i cant deny the stupidity of management and the likes. How the hell are you going to have a lavish upscale party when you just let go of almost 1500 employees. Its stupid. Then the fiasco with Sex and the City. All stupid moves.

To make matters worse, the new rower is much more than its competitors by almost 1k and being released when we are on the edge of a recession. The bumbling moves.

I want them to succeed for the simple fact that my bike isnt an expensive coat hanger but at the rate management is moving, it might not matter.
for those that didnt follow pton their founder/ex-ceo was a big prob  
Eric on Li : 10/7/2022 4:12 pm : link
he invented a great product that was in the right place at the right time but not unlike wework and uber didn't know how to manage success once achieved.
brutal slide deck that a major Peloton investor published eviscerating CEO John Foley, right before he announced his resignation - ( New Window )
I had been going to gyms for the better part of 40 years  
Hammer : 10/7/2022 10:57 pm : link
and now that I have a Peloton and a Tonal you couldn't pay me to go to a gym.

I can't tell you how much I love having both a bike and a weight-lifting machine in my living room. It is beyond convenient, I never have to wait for a machine, and I work out when I want and at my own pace.

Yeah, I have 6K invested in both machines and pay $90 a month for subscriptions but I'm in at around 10% body fat and as strong as I have ever been at 63 years old.

And my 13-year-old son is lifting now and gets on the bike a couple of times a week.

Beat that with a stick.
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