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Raanan on the Daniel Jones decision

Sean : 11/22/2022 7:54 am
This is a good article. And before everyone complains about “another Daniel Jones thread”, I’d argue there should be a pinned thread on Jones. It seems like many people keep saying “QB is set” while forgetting that Jones is a pending free agent. So is Barkley. This is an unprecedented situation for a NFL franchise that is 7-3.

Quote:
One NFC general manager figured the Giants' "best option'' would be to re-sign Jones this offseason. Another executive with a potential NFC playoff team said there is "no way" he would build around the 2019 No. 6 overall pick, citing what he considered an inability to win in traditional drop-back situations, and the Giants' success in Daboll's scaled-back offense.

An NFL executive with experience negotiating contracts suggested a one-year deal for midlevel money would make the most sense for both parties. Something in the $15 million to $20 million range.

That is assuming there won't be a big, long-term deal out there for Jones.

"He's a bridge to the real future starter," the executive said.

Another source pointed to the two-year, $28 million contract ($21 million guaranteed) Jameis Winston signed with the New Orleans Saints this past offseason as an example of what might work with Jones.

Quote:
Jones, 25, might not be so willing to make that deal. He can likely do better on the open market. He has had more recent success than Winston and isn't coming off a serious injury.

But there is an inherent risk to letting Jones test his value. Quarterbacks with far more fleeting success -- Brock Osweiler, Nick Foles and Matt Flynn, to name a few -- have been paid handsomely on the open market.

"While far from perfect, he's young and ascending, and upward of 12 teams will need new quarterbacks next season," ESPN NFL front-office insider Mike Tannenbaum said. "The ball-security issue that plagued him over his first three seasons [36 fumbles] is largely under control this year."

Tannenbaum doesn't think Jones will get anything less than $25 million per year, citing the supply and demand with the position.

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THis game winning drive thing  
Atari2600 : 11/23/2022 9:43 am : link
I really have no memory of D Jones putting together "game winning drives" and excellent plays as a result.

ELi had so many game winning drives with memorable plays throughout and big time , crunch time throws like against the Eagles abd Bears to Plaxico Buress ; and Mannignham etc.

My memories of Gaints game winning drives is of jones handing a ball off to Barkley and watching him break a defenders ankles and running 40 yards down the field. If he can't do that , they lose like they did to the Lions.
RE: RE: RE: Watching Daniel spin that ball  
HomerJones45 : 11/23/2022 10:01 am : link
In comment 15918698 section125 said:
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In comment 15918693 HomerJones45 said:


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In comment 15918662 joeinpa said:


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In the meadow land winds Sunday, made me wonder once again why some question his arm talent.

I m thinking if season ended today, Giants want to bring him back.

In the last two weeks I watched Josh Allen implode with game on the line, and Justin Herbert throw a bad looking interception to end the game, even great quarterbacks make mistakes. So far this season Daniel makes fewer and leads the league in game winning drives, an inconvenient truth for some.


Joe going down fighting. One can only admire the tenacity. There is not a GM in the League that would take Jones over Allen or Herbert so stop right there.





Nice try. That is not what he said at all. In fact, he said if Allen and Herbert can implode(suggesting they are upper tier QBs) then why couldn't Jones(a lower tier QB)...

You are right, no GM would take Jones over those two. In fact, even DG would have taken Herbert over Jones had he come out that year - we know that.
You compare two qb's carrying their two minute offenses on their backs with one who is being carried on the back of his running back even during his "game winning drives". No wonder Barkley is exhausted. Apples and oranges.
RE: THis game winning drive thing  
BlueVinnie : 11/23/2022 10:19 am : link
In comment 15918752 Atari2600 said:
Quote:
I really have no memory of D Jones putting together "game winning drives" and excellent plays as a result.

ELi had so many game winning drives with memorable plays throughout and big time , crunch time throws like against the Eagles abd Bears to Plaxico Buress ; and Mannignham etc.

My memories of Gaints game winning drives is of jones handing a ball off to Barkley and watching him break a defenders ankles and running 40 yards down the field. If he can't do that , they lose like they did to the Lions.

This!

I keep reading about all the game winning drives Jones has "led". I can remember only two; New Orleans last year and one this year. I don't remember who that was against this year, I think it was week 3 or 4.

As you noted, all but one of those game winning drives this year were due to Barkley ripping off some huge 4th quarter runs.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: you have to sign him  
Atari2600 : 11/23/2022 10:20 am : link
Quote:


Wait. Are did you really just say that people can’t prove that Jones is playing with poor receivers? Holy shitballs.

What’s next, nobody can prove that the interior OL has played poorly? You are a complete assclown if you honestly think Jones hasn’t been affected by a horrific cast of characters they’re trotting out there every week. I’ve said it a million times that I don’t think Jones is the answer but you need to pull your head out of the sand. It’s ok to question Jones while also admitting his situation has been the worst in the league since he was drafted


So you're changing it now from "worst in the league" to "poor receivers?" It is really these broad generalizations that I know as some fan that only watches one team you have no idea what you're really talking about. Things like "worst receivers in the NFL" and "worst situation since drafted" or whatever.

The fact is you really don't know how much Jones is affecting his receivers. Toney shows up the Chiefs and puts up a TD and a 90 yard game but he didn't even feel like playing here. And I am not saying they are the best either or even the better WR corp in the NFL. But guess what ?? Who has that luxury?

Only a few lucky QBs like Tua or Jimmy Garapoulo that may not be all that great but are being carried. So freaking what? Some got lucky and some just drew an average to below average hand. Jones is no different in that regard than most other QBs.

Did Jared Goff get this awesome deal when he got traded to the Lions -- the worst freaking sports franchise in all of sports? I have seen a freaking near 40 CHad Powers play without a Beckham and put up respectable numbers all things considered with a worse oline; worse defense ; worse coaches. I have seen him win Championships with TEs that consisted of rookies ; total non NFL TEs like Larry Dornel; total disappointments like Evan Engram. So please spare me this Jones got such a raw deal here BS. Part of it is his fault.
RE: well, DJ used to not lead game winning drives  
BlueVinnie : 11/23/2022 10:24 am : link
In comment 15918731 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
and now he is, that isn't notable? Other team's QB's get credit for it, why shouldn't ours? Its not playing a trump card, its stating a simple fact that he's a lot better this year and the wins are proving it. Is it sustainable? We will see.

Both extremes are so dug in, its really odd. Its pretty easy to see that Jones isn't a top tier QB but he's having a positive effect on the 2022 NY Giants, much more so than he ever has in the past. Why you guys won't play in the gray area is strange.

Jones is playing better than last year. However, I don't see him as having a positive effect. Rather, I see him as having less of a negative impact. With one exception, I don't think any of this year's victories are due to some Jones' heroics.
RE: RE: RE: you have to sign him  
Ron Johnson : 11/23/2022 10:24 am : link
In comment 15918667 Ten Ton Hammer said:
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In comment 15918660 Ron Johnson said:


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In comment 15918602 Rory said:


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worst case scenario, he falls back to earth he sucks and you get the #1 pick in the 2024 draft.

You can always move a veteran QB in a trade later. Look at Darnold/Rosen/Wentz.

What QB in in college right now really projects to be a franchise altering QB and is in range for Giants at what could be a mid round pick.



This is the question that never gets an answer.



No one here is qualified to answer that question.



They aren't qualified to give a fair and accurate evaluation of Jones either but that doesn't stop them.
RE: RE: RE: RE: Watching Daniel spin that ball  
section125 : 11/23/2022 10:29 am : link
In comment 15918787 HomerJones45 said:
Quote:


You compare two qb's carrying their two minute offenses on their backs with one who is being carried on the back of his running back even during his "game winning drives". No wonder Barkley is exhausted. Apples and oranges.


That is your opinion and only an opinion. I think you'd better go back and watch those games because it was Jones that brought them down the field - one with Barkley in the locker room. That he had the help of Barkley is irrelevant because those two QBs have WRs that can actually get open and catch the ball. Should we exclude that from the reality?

Yes apples and oranges - I agree that those two QBs are better without question. But to say Barkley is the only reason they got the TDs is as bad as saying those two QBs did not need their WRs to get down the field.
RE: RE: well, DJ used to not lead game winning drives  
UConn4523 : 11/23/2022 10:30 am : link
In comment 15918819 BlueVinnie said:
Quote:
In comment 15918731 UConn4523 said:


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and now he is, that isn't notable? Other team's QB's get credit for it, why shouldn't ours? Its not playing a trump card, its stating a simple fact that he's a lot better this year and the wins are proving it. Is it sustainable? We will see.

Both extremes are so dug in, its really odd. Its pretty easy to see that Jones isn't a top tier QB but he's having a positive effect on the 2022 NY Giants, much more so than he ever has in the past. Why you guys won't play in the gray area is strange.


Jones is playing better than last year. However, I don't see him as having a positive effect. Rather, I see him as having less of a negative impact. With one exception, I don't think any of this year's victories are due to some Jones' heroics.


You are entitled to your opinion and don't really have much of a comment on it other than we must be watching different games. No impact on our victories? Lol, alright.
Yeah, speaking in absolutes tends to be a thing around here  
Ten Ton Hammer : 11/23/2022 10:31 am : link
The whole "well who are you going to get in the draft that's better" argument has never been a strong or compelling counter.

No one here a actually knows. I think Will Levis is a bum. I also thought Josh Allen could never be coached into throwing a football accurately. It doesn't matter what we think. If Daboll can get the best out of Jones there's everyone reason to trust he can identify a better option and maximize it.

Or also maybe not, and we have to wait for Maye next year.

...  
christian : 11/23/2022 10:59 am : link
This is simply a timing issue. If Jones wasn't a free agent, his performance would be viewed with more optimism.

If this was his third year, or the Giants picked up his option, I think most fans would be excited for what next year might show.

But that's not reality. He's a free agent and the Giants have to make an expensive choice, with extenuating circumstances.

If you believe the only viable replacement for Jones is a franchise QB, then you believe Jones is a franchise QB. And if you believe Jones is a franchise QB, you believe he deserves 40M a year. Because that's what they all make.

I think it's that simple.
RE: THis game winning drive thing  
bw in dc : 11/23/2022 11:15 am : link
In comment 15918752 Atari2600 said:
Quote:
I really have no memory of D Jones putting together "game winning drives" and excellent plays as a result.

ELi had so many game winning drives with memorable plays throughout and big time , crunch time throws like against the Eagles abd Bears to Plaxico Buress ; and Mannignham etc.

My memories of Gaints game winning drives is of jones handing a ball off to Barkley and watching him break a defenders ankles and running 40 yards down the field. If he can't do that , they lose like they did to the Lions.


Jones doesn't have these signature moments/plays that jump out at me either. In the Packers game, I remember the defensive stand at the end more than anything the offense did. In the Titans game, I remember the great SB run on the two-point conversion and the missed FG by Bullock. In the Ravens game, Jones did have a nice TD pass that cut the lead to 3, but the defense came up big on back-to-back drives that led to short fields for the offense.

To be fair, however, Jones does get credit for orchestrating the drive that led to points that put us ahead for good. And he did have good runs that helped keep the sticks moving.

But there are no moments where you go, "JFC, what a great throw by Jones...!"

GD, but you aren’t handing him a contract, we are just talking  
UConn4523 : 11/23/2022 11:19 am : link
what happens with his contract is what it is and while that’s part of the discussion I think it’s fair and honest to separate that from what he’s doing on the field right now.

Yeah, I don’t want to pay him $40m but he’s worth more than he’s being paid now, hence the gray area. And I actually think there’s a decent chance the WB market corrects a bit with so many blunder performances this year.
I would endure a lousy 2023 season  
JonC : 11/23/2022 11:20 am : link
in exchange for Drake Maye. Talk about a QB prospect with IT.
How early might  
Ron Johnson : 11/23/2022 12:09 pm : link
Hooker go coming off and acl?
I would kinda agree here  
Carson53 : 11/23/2022 1:16 pm : link
An NFL executive with experience negotiating contracts suggested a one-year deal for midlevel money would make the most sense for both parties. Something in the $15 million to $20 million range.

That is assuming there won't be a big, long-term deal out there for Jones.

"He's a bridge to the real future starter," the executive said.

Let me preface my thoughts by saying the 2nd half of the season presents a tougher schedule, I want to see it play out...
but in general I kinda agree with this 'executive',
whoever that guy is. I mean I don't think Jones is a long term solution. Of course they have not given him a lot of help around here as well. Between the O Line and receiver core, tough for a QB.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: you have to sign him  
speedywheels : 11/23/2022 1:19 pm : link
In comment 15918815 Atari2600 said:
Quote:


Quote:




Wait. Are did you really just say that people can’t prove that Jones is playing with poor receivers? Holy shitballs.

What’s next, nobody can prove that the interior OL has played poorly? You are a complete assclown if you honestly think Jones hasn’t been affected by a horrific cast of characters they’re trotting out there every week. I’ve said it a million times that I don’t think Jones is the answer but you need to pull your head out of the sand. It’s ok to question Jones while also admitting his situation has been the worst in the league since he was drafted



So you're changing it now from "worst in the league" to "poor receivers?" It is really these broad generalizations that I know as some fan that only watches one team you have no idea what you're really talking about. Things like "worst receivers in the NFL" and "worst situation since drafted" or whatever.

The fact is you really don't know how much Jones is affecting his receivers. Toney shows up the Chiefs and puts up a TD and a 90 yard game but he didn't even feel like playing here. And I am not saying they are the best either or even the better WR corp in the NFL. But guess what ?? Who has that luxury?

Only a few lucky QBs like Tua or Jimmy Garapoulo that may not be all that great but are being carried. So freaking what? Some got lucky and some just drew an average to below average hand. Jones is no different in that regard than most other QBs.

Did Jared Goff get this awesome deal when he got traded to the Lions -- the worst freaking sports franchise in all of sports? I have seen a freaking near 40 CHad Powers play without a Beckham and put up respectable numbers all things considered with a worse oline; worse defense ; worse coaches. I have seen him win Championships with TEs that consisted of rookies ; total non NFL TEs like Larry Dornel; total disappointments like Evan Engram. So please spare me this Jones got such a raw deal here BS. Part of it is his fault.


LOL - more of your narrative drivel...

Eli also had Plax. And Toomer. And Nicks. And Manningham. And Cruz. And Jacobs. And Bradshaw.

And double LOL that you are actually trying to argue the defenses during the two championship runs were worse than what Jones has had his entire career..

But carry on with your bullshit.
One more thing  
Carson53 : 11/23/2022 1:22 pm : link
I don't think Jones would settle for a one year deal here.
Would he do that elsewhere, depends on the type of offers that are out there. He might do it?
Oh yeah, my post above that should be receiver corps,
not core. What was I thinking?
RE: I would endure a lousy 2023 season  
Carson53 : 11/23/2022 1:30 pm : link
In comment 15918900 JonC said:
Quote:
in exchange for Drake Maye. Talk about a QB prospect with IT.
.

I haven't seen him play, don't know much about him.
I just saw a quick shot on video, kid has good size...
RE: RE: RE: Jones is a bridge to the future starter  
GMen72 : 11/23/2022 1:47 pm : link
In comment 15918582 JonC said:
Quote:
In comment 15918122 thefan said:


Quote:


In comment 15918096 JonC said:


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The only question is when is the future, and do they offer Jones a deal beyond this season based on him being the best bridge option for 2023. I really don't expect NYG to FT Jones. If they really feel he's worth the FT, then an extension should be completed.



Are you sure that bridge isn't named Tyrod Taylor?



I think Jones has shown enough so far to warrant the job over Taylor. One key will be do they have eyes on a UFA or college QB to move on and just turn the page. If not, then I'd have to think they would turn to Jones and try to negotiate a short contract to remain. But, then his agent could try and force Jones' way off the team for a better deal, etc. In the end, Taylor could wind up starting by default. Lots of moving parts next offseason.


I agree that Jones is probably better than Taylor, but has he shown enough to warrant it for $20+ million, or more, than Taylor makes next year? $20 million can be used to help build a pretty good roster. I'd take Taylor unless Jones wants to sign a 1 year, $15 million (or less) deal.
Gmen72  
JonC : 11/23/2022 2:22 pm : link
To me, no I'd rather work on adding to the overall talent base, let Taylor or another take the reigns, and dig for the next starter.
....  
BrettNYG10 : 11/23/2022 2:26 pm : link
Taylor is going to be terrible. If we start him I hope we get the #1 pick the following year. I'd rather start some UDFA than Taylor, lol.

This has been a fun year. But championship contention is still 2-3 years out.
If we don't draft a QB,  
Jerry in_DC : 11/23/2022 2:43 pm : link
Just offer 1 year, $12 M to Jones. If he doesn't take it, offer it to his peers - Brissett, Minshew, Jimmy, maybe some backups with potential, see if anyone else shakes loose. These guys are all similar- it doesn't matter that much which of them we get. Its a starting job, so there is incentive to take it. It would be another year of treading water at QB, but it just depends on what's available in the draft.

Hopefully there will be a guy we like at a place we can get him. Because you can't roll with placeholders at QB forever.
I think Garoppolo could be a serious target for Schoen/Daboll  
Sean : 11/23/2022 2:46 pm : link
He’s 40-19 as a starter with SF.
RE: If we don't draft a QB,  
section125 : 11/23/2022 2:47 pm : link
In comment 15919178 Jerry in_DC said:
Quote:
Just offer 1 year, $12 M to Jones. If he doesn't take it, offer it to his peers - Brissett, Minshew, Jimmy, maybe some backups with potential, see if anyone else shakes loose. These guys are all similar- it doesn't matter that much which of them we get. Its a starting job, so there is incentive to take it. It would be another year of treading water at QB, but it just depends on what's available in the draft.

Hopefully there will be a guy we like at a place we can get him. Because you can't roll with placeholders at QB forever.


You do realize that the draft is 7 weeks after FA begins. What makes you think anyone you mentioned will be there in mid-May?
Fair point - I wasn't thinking about the timing at all tio be honest.  
Jerry in_DC : 11/23/2022 3:06 pm : link
They'll have an idea of what they want to do in the draft.

Or you just sign one of those guys anyway. The timing does make the negotiations tougher because it's not as clear that there is a full time starting job available. But there should be plenty of QBs of this caliber on the market. Some of them will want this job.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: you have to sign him  
Atari2600 : 11/24/2022 1:03 pm : link
In comment 15919058 speedywheels said:
Quote:
In comment 15918815 Atari2600 said:


Quote:



[Quote]



LOL - more of your narrative drivel...

Eli also had Plax. And Toomer. And Nicks. And Manningham. And Cruz. And Jacobs. And Bradshaw.

And double LOL that you are actually trying to argue the defenses during the two championship runs were worse than what Jones has had his entire career..

But carry on with your bullshit.


You’re mixing and matching what I’m saying. The point I was making is that Eli always put up respectable numbers ; even in back half of his career post 2011 and with a Beckham on the sidelines. And what Ahmad Bradshaw was this amazing back? Brandon jacobs was this amazing running back? Mario manningghan isn’t getting fitted for a good jacket any time soon either.

But you go on with your bulls hit that jones isn’t some scrub but it’s everyone else’s fault
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: you have to sign him  
section125 : 11/24/2022 1:18 pm : link
In comment 15919785 Atari2600 said:
Quote:

Quote:



[Quote]



LOL - more of your narrative drivel...

Eli also had Plax. And Toomer. And Nicks. And Manningham. And Cruz. And Jacobs. And Bradshaw.

And double LOL that you are actually trying to argue the defenses during the two championship runs were worse than what Jones has had his entire career..

But carry on with your bullshit.



You’re mixing and matching what I’m saying. The point I was making is that Eli always put up respectable numbers ; even in back half of his career post 2011 and with a Beckham on the sidelines. And what Ahmad Bradshaw was this amazing back? Brandon jacobs was this amazing running back? Mario manningghan isn’t getting fitted for a good jacket any time soon either.

But you go on with your bulls hit that jones isn’t some scrub but it’s everyone else’s fault


Neither Bradshaw or Jacobs is Barkley, but together they may be better because they offered a 1-2 punch and a rest period for the other without much lost on the field.

Diminishing Eli's receivers is just disingenuous. The Giants now have no one that comes close to that group - Manningham was the #3 WR in that group and is probably better than Slayton.

But, you know, carry one with your diatribe.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: you have to sign him  
chick310 : 11/24/2022 4:09 pm : link
In comment 15919800 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 15919785 Atari2600 said:


Quote:



Quote:



[Quote]



LOL - more of your narrative drivel...

Eli also had Plax. And Toomer. And Nicks. And Manningham. And Cruz. And Jacobs. And Bradshaw.

And double LOL that you are actually trying to argue the defenses during the two championship runs were worse than what Jones has had his entire career..

But carry on with your bullshit.



You’re mixing and matching what I’m saying. The point I was making is that Eli always put up respectable numbers ; even in back half of his career post 2011 and with a Beckham on the sidelines. And what Ahmad Bradshaw was this amazing back? Brandon jacobs was this amazing running back? Mario manningghan isn’t getting fitted for a good jacket any time soon either.

But you go on with your bulls hit that jones isn’t some scrub but it’s everyone else’s fault



Neither Bradshaw or Jacobs is Barkley, but together they may be better because they offered a 1-2 punch and a rest period for the other without much lost on the field.

Diminishing Eli's receivers is just disingenuous. The Giants now have no one that comes close to that group - Manningham was the #3 WR in that group and is probably better than Slayton.

But, you know, carry one with your diatribe.


Good post
Rory  
fkap : 11/24/2022 4:36 pm : link
a bad year resulting in #1 pick is NOT the worst case scenario.

middle of the road, having overpaid for Jones, and out of reach of the good QB prospects, is the worst case scenario.

FatMan said it a couple of years ago: QB hell is not having a QB that sucks. QB hell is having a mediocre QB not quite good enough, but showing enough to sucker you into spending a couple more years with him. That's the territory Jones is flirting with.

Those of us who hold this view wanted Jones to surge out of that hell territory. Unfortunately, he's showing signs that he might be above that, leaving us wondering if that's good enough to stick with him.
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