It's exciting that for the first time in 6 years the Giants will be playing meaningful games in December! The two Washington games are pivotal. According to 538, the Giants current playoff chances are 49%. A win over Washington increases their chances to 72%, while a loss drops them to 26%. The results of these two matchups will also determine the tiebreaker. Obviously if one team sweeps the other team, then that team will hold the tiebreaker, but things get a little tricky if they split. Below are the remaining schedules of both teams and various scenarios:
NYG: WAS, PHI, @ WAS, @ MIN, IND, @PHI
WAS: @NYG, BYE, NYG, @SF, CLE, DAL
Scenario I: Giants go 10-7 by splitting with Washington, splitting with the Eagles and beating the Colts or Vikings. In this scenario, if Washington finishes 10-7 with a win over the Cowboys, Washington will win the tiebreaker with a 3-3 division record compared to the Giants' 2-4 division record. If Washington goes 10-7 by losing to the Cowboys, the Giants would win the tiebreaker over Washington on common opponents.
Scenario II: Giants go 10-7 by splitting with Washington and beating the Vikings and Colts. Washington wins the tiebreaker in all scenarios on division record since the Giants would be 0-4 against the Cowboys and Eagles and Washington already has a win over the Eagles.
Scenario III: Giants go 9-8 by splitting with Washington and beating the Vikings or Colts. Same as above. Washington wins the tiebreaker over the Giants on division record.
Scneario IV: Giants go 9-8 by splitting with Washington and beating the Eagles once.
A. If Washington goes 9-8 by splitting with the Giants and beating the Cowboys, Washington wins the tiebreaker on division record.
B. If Washington goes 9-8 by splitting with the Giants and beating the 49ers, Washington wins the tiebreaker over the Giants as division record and common opponents record (the tiebreaker after division record) would be the same, but Washington would have the edge in the next tiebreaker which is conference record.
C. If Washington goes 9-8 by splitting with the Giants and beating the Browns, then the Giants and Washington would have the same record in division games, common games and conference games, so it goes to the next tiebreaker, which is strength of victory or combined records of the teams you've beaten. The Giants and Washington have beaten a lot of the same teams, so there is a lot of overlap here. The difference would be the Giants beat the Titans, Ravens, and Panthers while Washington beat the Colts, Browns, and Falcons. The Giants should have the edge here as the combined record of the Titans, Ravens and Panthers should be higher than that of the Colts, Browns and Falcons by the end of the season.