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NFT: Mets chat: 6 Mets make BA top 100/Duvall signs with Boston

DanMetroMan : 1/18/2023 10:19 am
#9 Alvarez
#16 Senga
#33 Baty
#50 Parada
#92 Ramirez
#98 Williams

Notable: Mauricio did not make the top 100. It's clear the scouting/prospect industry are far lower on Ronny Mauricio than many @mets fans are. I'm not saying one side is right, but that much is evident.

-Adam Duvall signed with Boston, 1 year 7 with incentives
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.  
DanMetroMan : 1/24/2023 1:11 pm : link
Bob Nightengale
@BNightengale
·
9m
The Kansas City #Royals have been busy on the trade market, and still have a couple of more deals they are lining up now. Stay tuned.
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/24/2023 2:45 pm : link
Chicago White Sox pitcher Mike Clevinger is under investigation by Major League Baseball following allegations of domestic violence involving the mother of his 10-month-old daughter and child abuse.
Saucedo  
DanMetroMan : 1/24/2023 4:34 pm : link
DFA'ed to make room for Pham.
RE: Mauricio  
Vanzetti : 1/24/2023 4:58 pm : link
In comment 16011812 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
didn't crack MLB.com's top 13 SS prospects. Alvarez previously #1 at C, Parada 3, Baty #2 at 3b


Sounds like they don't think he can stick at SS
Rosenthal  
DanMetroMan : 1/24/2023 5:01 pm : link
says it's unlikely the Mets sign a RP who doesn't have options left. Kind of odd they are obsessing over this vs. going for Chafin/Moore. They have 4 total RP's out of options (5 if you include Nogosek) vs. EVERYBODY else having options remaining.
red sox DFA matt barnes  
Eric on Li : 1/24/2023 9:09 pm : link
they have a week to work out a trade and if not i cant imagine anyone will claim him at 7.5m. honestly im not even sure i'd swap him for any contract the mets have (even ruf @ 3m).

if he ends up in FA he'd be available for the minimum while retaining his salary from the red sox. i think at that point he'd be worth a flier. he pitched well when he came back from injury at the end of the year (1.5 era/2.8 fip in his 22 innings in the 2nd half).
I  
DanMetroMan : 1/24/2023 9:33 pm : link
Don’t see the Mets being in on Barnes. The 40 man is full and they have been reluctant on Chafin/Moore/Britton because they want optionable arms. Sure, if he takes a minor league deal but I doubt it’ll come to that.
Expectation is  
DanMetroMan : 1/24/2023 9:36 pm : link
Escobar is the starting 3B. Apparently, he was dealing with some off field/family stuff last season.
sure  
DanMetroMan : 1/24/2023 9:41 pm : link
sounds like Baty would have to put up a monster spring (including substantial improvement in the field) to unseat Escobar coming out of ST as Escobar is apparently a Buck favorite.
RE: I  
Eric on Li : 1/24/2023 11:09 pm : link
In comment 16012891 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Don’t see the Mets being in on Barnes. The 40 man is full and they have been reluctant on Chafin/Moore/Britton because they want optionable arms. Sure, if he takes a minor league deal but I doubt it’ll come to that.


id give up the 40 man spot (lee?) if it's a minimum deal because then he's just waivable if he stinks. the upside is worth it if he's pitching under a 3 era.
RE: sure  
Eric on Li : 1/24/2023 11:12 pm : link
In comment 16012900 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
sounds like Baty would have to put up a monster spring (including substantial improvement in the field) to unseat Escobar coming out of ST as Escobar is apparently a Buck favorite.


jmo but all 3 kids should have to put up monster springs to stick.

at DH it's a little more possible that ruf/vogey look like crap and maybe vientos just deserves the spot more without a monster spring, but he's been such a slow starter my preference would be to get those guys all off the ground fast at AAA before a call up.

a month in if either of baty/vientos are ops'ing over 900 at cuse they better be up though if the vets aren't earning their playing time at DH.
Sammon  
DanMetroMan : 1/25/2023 8:56 am : link
- Baty to focus on 3B, unclear if he’ll see LF time
-sounds likely Baty/Alvarez open in AAA as Eppler sees real value to reps/performance there
-Matt Allan is in a “throwing program”
-Vientos will see time at 1B/3B, scouts don’t think he’s athletic enough to play OF and doubt he’s athletic enough to play 3B much
-unclear what the plan is for Mauricio position wise
Per  
DanMetroMan : 1/25/2023 8:57 am : link
Sammon

One sleeper from the class is 6-foot-4, 195-pound outfielder Enderson Asencio (Dominican Republic), whose exit velocity, loud bat and power have reminded some scouts of Franmil Reyes.
Cryptic  
DanMetroMan : 1/25/2023 10:14 am : link
But was just told the Mets have been very hush hush with Allan and it’s believed he’s had a “tough road” back. May or may not be ready for ST. I’m not expecting much at this point
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/25/2023 10:24 am : link
Jim Edmonds/Kenny Lofton are egregious 1 and dones . There are *2* CF with higher JAWS than Kenny Lofton not in the HOF… Mike Trout and Carlos Beltran. Edmonds? Those 3 and Andruw Jones
Mets  
DanMetroMan : 1/25/2023 5:29 pm : link
sign Humberto Mejia to a minor league deal

"

Mejía jumped from A-ball to the Marlins rotation in 2020 after COVID ravaged the big league pitching staff; under difficult circumstances, he performed as well as could be expected. Independent of any other variables, though, one big league call-up has a knack for begetting more, and such was the case in 2021 when a still-undercooked Mejía was again summoned to the majors for five starts down the stretch. Another big league battering highlighted his inexperience, particularly commanding his fastball, which got torched. He’s a slightly different pitcher now than he was two years ago, however, as he’s all but shelved the curve and has added a sinker, one that could actually play better than the four-seamer given his arm slot and low spin rate. His slider and change are viable (if hardly special) secondaries for a long relief or backend starter role, and that’s where we project him.


Was released in May by the Diamondbacks
Michael  
DanMetroMan : 1/26/2023 1:07 pm : link
Perez returns on a minor league deal. Perez should be a solid veteran influence on Alvarez assuming Alvarez opens in Syracuse. Alvarez will also have J.P. Arencibia as his bench coach.
Mendick  
DanMetroMan : 1/26/2023 1:33 pm : link
believes he will be ready/healthy for OD.
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/26/2023 1:54 pm : link
SNY Mets
@SNY_Mets
Marte underwent core surgery in November and will not be participating in the World Baseball Classic in November.

On Mets Hot Stove, our @martinonyc
reported that Marte's status for Opening Day will be determined in early February.
here we go - locking up polar bear and squirrel ahead of ST  
Eric on Li : 1/27/2023 3:24 pm : link
would be great.

Michael Mayer @mikemayer22
1m
Sources: Mets and Jeff McNeil have held recent extension talks.

There's optimism that a deal could get done.
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/27/2023 3:26 pm : link
Neither Keryshawn Askew or Matt Dyer cracked TB's top 48 prospects for
u/fangraphs
. TB with an admittedly extremely deep farm
Lindor  
GF1080 : 1/27/2023 3:33 pm : link
MLB top SS had Lindor as #5 best SS last night. What a joke.
I know this is a computer ranking via their Shredder but still doesn't comprehend considering his all around game.

They also released top 100 prospects.

#3 Alvarez
# 21 Baty
#36 Parada
# 96 Ramirez
Fairbanks  
DanMetroMan : 1/27/2023 3:35 pm : link
3 years, 4th year option for the Rays. I really love the off-season they are having. I wouldn't be shocked to see this be the year they make a trade for a big-name in-season. They will give the Yankees a run for their money in the AL East (Toronto too).
RE: Fairbanks  
GF1080 : 1/27/2023 3:42 pm : link
In comment 16016148 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
3 years, 4th year option for the Rays. I really love the off-season they are having. I wouldn't be shocked to see this be the year they make a trade for a big-name in-season. They will give the Yankees a run for their money in the AL East (Toronto too).


Springs getting 4 year $31 million was a little eye opening as well. I had him in fantasy last year and he was money but kind of figured he was doing it with smoke and mirrors. They must be inclined to think it's very repeatable.
Springs  
DanMetroMan : 1/27/2023 3:45 pm : link
looks legit to me. No red flags that I can come up with other than limited track record of being this good.

-Hamels, Crick, Holland worked out for teams today. Heyman claims Hamels looked incredible but Heyman oddly tweets about Hamels all the time so who knows?
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/27/2023 3:46 pm : link

Jon Heyman
@JonHeyman
Cole Hamels threw for teams today in Arlington, Texas, and was said to look “insanely good.” Predicts he will receive interest off this session. 88-91 mph.

If Hamels were willing to take a minor league deal with an opt-out then I'd be interested. Otherwise, don't see it.
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/27/2023 4:20 pm : link

Jeff Passan
@JeffPassan
·
5m
News, free and unlocked, at ESPN on Jeff McNeil's four-year, $50 million deal with the New York Mets. With McNeil not set to reach the open market until going into his age-33 season and free agency unkind to players with limited power, he went extension:
RE: .  
Shecky : 1/27/2023 4:35 pm : link
In comment 16016157 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:

Jon Heyman
@JonHeyman
Cole Hamels threw for teams today in Arlington, Texas, and was said to look “insanely good.” Predicts he will receive interest off this session. 88-91 mph.

If Hamels were willing to take a minor league deal with an opt-out then I'd be interested. Otherwise, don't see it.


When was the last time someone raved about someone looking insanely good and hitting upper 80s in the same breath??

For JV HS ball, maybe? That is one of the oddest fuckin comments I’ve read in a long, long time
Rays  
DanMetroMan : 1/28/2023 11:58 am : link
again


Juan Toribio
@juanctoribio
Yandy Díaz and the #Rays are closing in on a three-year, $24 million contract extension, sources tell me and
@Feinsand
. There’s an option for a fourth year.
RE: Rays  
Vanzetti : 1/29/2023 1:11 pm : link
In comment 16016681 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
again


Juan Toribio
@juanctoribio
Yandy Díaz and the #Rays are closing in on a three-year, $24 million contract extension, sources tell me and
@Feinsand
. There’s an option for a fourth year.



When I first read this, I thought it said "Yennsy Diaz." Yiikes!
Per  
DanMetroMan : 1/30/2023 8:48 am : link
Will Sammon

-Senga to skip the WBC
-Peterson and Megill will open in Syracuse if rotation is healthy heading OD
-Marte viewed as the backup CF as of now, Pham and McNeil (0 career games out there) other options. Interestingly doesn’t mention Canha
Keith  
DanMetroMan : 1/30/2023 8:53 am : link
Law

7 Alvarez
31 Baty
44 Parada
68 Ramirez
87 Mauricio

Ex-Mets
PCA 26
Rodriguez 34
RE: Per  
DanMetroMan : 1/30/2023 10:27 am : link
In comment 16019511 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Will Sammon

-Senga to skip the WBC
-Peterson and Megill will open in Syracuse if rotation is healthy heading OD
-Marte viewed as the backup CF as of now, Pham and McNeil (0 career games out there) other options. Interestingly doesn’t mention Canha


Will actually DM'ed me and said they published an unfinished version of his article and that -Canha remains the most likely backup CF but Marte may see some time out there vs. last season when he wasn't an option (Pham as well)
kiley's top 100 just came out  
Eric on Li : 2/1/2023 10:41 am : link
Quote:
5. Francisco Alvarez, C, New York Mets
Age: 21 | Bats: Right | Throws: Right

Hit: 40/45, Game Power: 55/65, Raw Power: 65/70, Speed: 40/35, Fielding: 45/50, Throwing: 55/55

Type: Powerlifter who catches and will hit 30 homers some day

Reminds me of: He's somewhere in the Venn diagram of Gary Sanchez, Cal Raleigh, Salvador Perez and Willson Contreras.

As a 16-year-old from Venezuela, Alvarez was in the top tier of his international signing class. He signed for a $2.7 million bonus that ranked third-highest in the 2018 class. He is now the clear best player from a group that includes several players who place on this list: Diego Cartaya, Noelvi Marte, Marco Luciano, Orelvis Martinez, Kevin Alcantara, who all received seven-figure bonuses, and two breakout low-bonus prospects in Elly De La Cruz and Endy Rodriguez.

Alvarez's combination of game-changing power and premium position are the carrying tools. His contact ability is just OK and his speed won't help him leg out many infield hits, but Alvarez's shorter arms and incredible strength make for a scary combination for pitchers. Offensively, the question is how his approach and pitch selection will play in the big leagues. But his ceiling is 40 homers if it all clicks -- and that's not the ceiling of many players in the minor leagues, especially at his position.

On top of that, Alvarez has a real chance to be an everyday-quality defender behind the plate. He has always been built like a bowling ball, so his mobility isn't his biggest strength defensively. He makes up for it with his arm and he has made progress in all the soft skills like game-calling while physically staying loose and flexible. I think the four names in the Reminds Me Of section give you an idea of the different paths his career could take, with Gary Sanchez's a familiar roller-coaster ride that Mets fans are hoping to improve upon.

55 FV Tier

20. Brett Baty, 3B, New York Mets

Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire
Age: 23 | Bats: Left | Throws: Right

Type: Power-over-hit corner guy

Baty is another prep hitter who has exceeded expectations despite being 19 years old on draft day. In high school, I loved the footwork and agility that he developed from playing multiple sports that helped in projecting him to stick at third base until at least his mid-20s. He is now 23 and about average defensively at third base, but can contribute at all four corner spots. At the plate, he has an average hit tool and pitch selection -- have to hope those don't end up being a notch or two lower -- with 25-30 home run upside if it all clicks.

56. Ronny Mauricio, SS, New York Mets
Age: 21 | Bats: Switch | Throws: Right

Type: Switch-hitting shortstop with massive upside, bad pitch selection.

The report On Mauricio has been about the same for four years: He has plus power potential, plus arm strength, slick actions at shortstop, and above average feel for the bat head, but swings far too often. He'll be 22 years old when the minor league season starts with a chase rate that is a 30-grade ability.

On the bright side, this is the part of hitting that clubs think is most coachable. Essentially, putting the bat on the ball consistently shows you have the eyesight to see the ball, thus the ability to be patient, it's just a matter of training the discipline of laying off the pitch. Mauricio has consistently been young for his level, so there's some natural growth to be expected as he matures, but he'll likely never be above average at this, as the concrete has mostly -- but not completely -- dried in my estimation. He also has the tools to be an above-average defender at shortstop but can be a bit of an adventure at times, which could also still be corrected.

If this all feels negative, he is ranked this high because he could break out and hit .270 with 25 homers at shortstop if things ever just click into place.


also has parada and ramirez listed as 50 grade prospects just outside the top 100.
https://www.espn.com/mlb/insider/insider/story/_/id/35490487/top-100-mlb-prospects-list-2023-kiley-mcdaniel - ( New Window )
this probably belongs in mcneil thread but probably not enough  
Eric on Li : 2/1/2023 11:08 am : link
activity to justify 2 met threads right now. good article from the athletic on the journey from eppler getting hired to extending mcneil. will sammon has had a lot of good articles this offseason.

Quote:
The relationship between Longo and Eppler stretches back to the early 2000s when the latter worked in the Rockies’ scouting department. Both share California roots. So soon after Eppler was named GM of the Mets, Longo reached out to offer his congratulations. But the conversation soon shifted to McNeil, one of Longo’s clients at Paragon Sports International.

“I love that he’s a Long Beach State Dirtbag,” Longo recalled Eppler saying. “I want to make the Mets the ‘Dirtbags’ of MLB.”

“That would be really cool,” Longo replied. “Jeff would love to hear that.”

The two then ventured into planning mode, scrambling to figure out how Eppler could meet with McNeil before the work stoppage was set to begin in just a few weeks. The original plan was for all three men to convene in Los Angeles. But because Longo and Eppler already had shared history, the agent made a suggestion to the GM: “Why don’t you just go to dinner with Jeff and you two talk?”

So McNeil drove down from just north of Santa Barbara. Eppler drove up from southern Orange County. They met near LAX for dinner, making McNeil the first Mets player that Eppler sat down with as the new GM.

Sitting across the table, Eppler outlined the Mets’ expectations for McNeil and emphasized that whatever transpired during his 2021 season did not matter. That year, McNeil hit .251/.319/.360 with seven home runs in 426 plate appearances. It was a stark dropoff from his previous two campaigns, when he slashed .316/.384/.511 through 776 plate appearances. Still, Eppler told McNeil that his skill set was “extremely valuable for this organization.”

Longo recalled being pleased with the exchange. Experience has taught him that whenever a player hears directly from his employer that he is of value, the sentiment carries weight. It eases pressure. It supplies confidence. It helps.

After meeting with Eppler, McNeil told Longo something that would matter when it came time to talk about an extension: “I can play for that guy.”

How Jeff McNeil’s path to an extension with the Mets began with a simple dinner - ( New Window )
RE: .  
Ron Johnson : 2/1/2023 11:08 am : link
In comment 16016205 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:

Jeff Passan
@JeffPassan
·
5m
News, free and unlocked, at ESPN on Jeff McNeil's four-year, $50 million deal with the New York Mets. With McNeil not set to reach the open market until going into his age-33 season and free agency unkind to players with limited power, he went extension:



McNeil career OPS: .828
Correa career OPS: .836

McNeil is a steal!
RE: RE: .  
Eric on Li : 2/1/2023 11:14 am : link
In comment 16021856 Ron Johnson said:
Quote:
In comment 16016205 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:



Jeff Passan
@JeffPassan
·
5m
News, free and unlocked, at ESPN on Jeff McNeil's four-year, $50 million deal with the New York Mets. With McNeil not set to reach the open market until going into his age-33 season and free agency unkind to players with limited power, he went extension:




McNeil career OPS: .828
Correa career OPS: .836

McNeil is a steal!


they had leverage on him but still completely agree. id take 2 or 3 mcneils over a lot of the guys on 300m contracts.
Law ranks farm system #15  
Eric on Li : 2/2/2023 10:17 am : link
Quote:
15. New York Mets
The Mets have drafted exceptionally well, and have had some huge successes on the international front, at least in terms of getting guys who would become top-100 prospects. This year’s list has five current Mets prospects, plus two former Mets prospects in Pete Crow-Armstrong and Endy Rodriguez, to say nothing of other prospects they’ve traded away who have since graduated (like Andrés Giménez, Jarred Kelenic, Amed Rosario and more). The current system is pretty top-heavy, but the upper tier, which has the five guys on the top 100 plus two more I’d say were in the next 30-40, is good enough to make this a mid-level farm system overall. There’s some intriguing pitching much lower down, but nobody has popped yet to be a likely big-league starter.


also another good sammon article on baty working on his defense with troy tulowitzki.

Quote:
Some days, Troy Tulowitzki would pause his trash talking, slide on a glove, and put on a demonstration that accomplished two things. The first was giving hands-on instruction to a willing student in Brett Baty. The second was reminding the highly regarded Mets prospect just who he was dealing with.

“He’d be trying to show me up,” Baty said in a recent phone interview. “And, I mean, most of the time he would.”

Ahead of what could be a critical 2023 season, Baty sought help to improve defensively at third base. He turned to a former star shortstop in Tulowitzki, who essentially gave Baty a no-nonsense master class on how to be a pro. It was exactly what he wanted.


Quote:
“Third base, he still needs to work at it, but I think he’d be the first one to tell you that,” Tulowitzki said. “He needs to get better over there. But some people need to get better because they aren’t athletic enough or don’t have arm strength. He’s got all the tools. He just needs some reps.”

Baty’s time with Tulowitzki should only help.

Training with Tulowitzki, it turns out, includes getting instruction from guests. A couple of weeks ago, Blue Jays third baseman Matt Chapman and shortstop Bo Bichette joined the workout group at Texas. Tulowitzki, who played for Toronto near the end of his 13-year career, is close with Dante Bichette, Bo’s father, because of their deep ties to the Rockies. As a three-time Gold Glove award winner at third base, Chapman’s presence was especially beneficial.

“That was a really good experience,” Baty said. “He is one of the very best third basemen in the game. Just to be able to pick his brain about how he goes about his business over there, and how he fields, his cues and what helps him out was really good.”

Why Mets prospect Brett Baty spent a critical winter working with Troy Tulowitzki - ( New Window )
Article  
DanMetroMan : 2/2/2023 10:29 am : link
supports the idea that Baty likely needs more time at AAA considering the Mets are trying to win now. For a bad team he could take his lumps at the big league level.
RE: Article  
Eric on Li : 2/2/2023 11:01 am : link
In comment 16022621 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
supports the idea that Baty likely needs more time at AAA considering the Mets are trying to win now. For a bad team he could take his lumps at the big league level.


i think both he and alvarez should get 200-500 innings on defense in the first half, and then june/july 1 get consideration for DH (and occasional field work) if they are the best bats for the DH spot.

ahead of that vientos is the only one who should be considered for full time DH day 1 just because that's likely all his glove allows any way. but even with him unless he has an alonso 2019 spring, id probably get him on track in AAA for a month while giving ruf/vogey a shot to get off to good starts.
the big mistake they can't repeat again is if it's june 1/july 1  
Eric on Li : 2/2/2023 11:04 am : link
and they are not getting production from those guys positions, they should give them a chance if they are playing well.

worst case they have a bad month or two, you trade for a vet at the deadline, and send them back down. but that's still not as bad of a case as never giving them a shot, wasting at bats on guys who had no future here, and then making trades for a guy who was probably one of the worst hitters in mlb over the second half.
Martino  
DanMetroMan : 2/2/2023 4:31 pm : link
(regarding the3)

"All of those players still have development benchmarks to hit, mostly on defense; because of that, they will not be given the chance to compete for the DH gig out of spring training."
.  
DanMetroMan : 2/2/2023 4:53 pm : link
Per @JonHeyman
sources say Kodei Senga had an "iffy" physical for @mets
#Mets
Dan what’s that mean?  
bhill410 : 2/2/2023 5:15 pm : link
They have already made the signing official no? Or am I misremembering and there was not a press conference.
RE: Dan what’s that mean?  
DanMetroMan : 2/2/2023 5:16 pm : link
In comment 16023106 bhill410 said:
Quote:
They have already made the signing official no? Or am I misremembering and there was not a press conference.


It's likely *why* they included language *if* he has TJ or elbow issues. The deal is done, he's saying before they agreed to the deal they had concerns.
adds some context to why it took them awhile to announce senga  
Eric on Li : 2/2/2023 5:54 pm : link
getting out ahead of setting expectations that the rookies DONT make the active roster out of ST is exactly the right thing to do. to make they should have to win those spots beyond any doubt with their performance. and even if they perform great if a veteran performs even better, then going down to start is ok.

only once AAA becomes a joke do they have to come up. though obviously if you have MLB guys not performing like last year the bar gets a little lower.
Non 40 Man Minor Leaguers Invited to ST  
GF1080 : 2/2/2023 6:42 pm : link
Minor leaguers not on the 40-man roster that the Mets have invited to big league camp:

OF Alex Ramirez
C Kevin Parada
C Nick Meyer
RHP Grant Hartwig
RHP Connor Grey
RHP Eric Orze
C Hayden Senger
LHP Josh Walker
INF Jonathan Araúz
RHP William Woods
fresh off his good mcneil guess i think duquette is high on alonso  
Eric on Li : 2/2/2023 8:58 pm : link
Quote:
SNY @SNYtv
1d
.@Jim_Duquette proposes an 8-year, $240 million extension for Pete Alonso on Mets Hot Stove, while @martinonyc, Terry Collins, and @emacSNY discuss the possibility of a deal getting done this offseason: on.sny.tv/PJ2hYmJ


i think that's a lot closer to what he'd get as a UFA and not enough discount for the reality that he's 2 years away.

though i guess if you consider that he was 7m high on mcneil's 50m deal, that's 14%, so a similar miss here would bring the alonso guess down to 8 years 204m, which i think is pretty close.

i see the mets being willing to go longer with more total $ in return for a lower aav (and less tax) so i think my guess would be a 9 year $210m.
Morosi  
DanMetroMan : 2/2/2023 9:23 pm : link
Predicted 8 for “200 range”
RE: Morosi  
Eric on Li : 2/2/2023 9:45 pm : link
In comment 16023373 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Predicted 8 for “200 range”


i think that's basically the deal, with a 9th year giving the mets a way to spread the hits out over 1 extra year.

8 years takes alonso through his a35, so i dont think he'd care to get back to UFA 1 year sooner vs a little extra total $ guaranteed but maybe after abreu's deal there's some hope to get another multi-year deal after 35.
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