Great guy. Hard worker. Good teammate. Worthy Captain.
Not an exceptional running back anymore. Go look at his highlights from this year versus his highlights in his rookie year. He was special. He is not anymore.
Even if one thinks running backs should get high cost second deals (and I don't), Barkley is not one who should.
We will see what the team does, but I think he either gets a much lower contract than people think he will get, or he walks (and still gets much less than people think he will). I don't see him being worth the FT and I don't think if you FT him he has any trade value. All of this is exacerbated by the number of running backs available in FA this year. It is the opposite of WR where Darius Slayton is one of the better FAs available.
OK maybe this was only my opinion and not the truth, but I usually don't admit to a distinction between those two!
The shoulder injury also limited him for several games.
He is going into his 6th year. When RB’s do begin to slow down a bit…see Zeke Elliott.
The shoulder injury also limited him for several games.
He is going into his 6th year. When RB’s do begin to slow down a bit…see Zeke Elliott.
Saquon does not have nearly the miles and abuse that Zeke has.
I saw a really productive back this year that’s worth paying for a few years. And he’s worth way more than the tag amount, not even sure how that’s debatable. But I trust Schoen, so I’m good with whatever happens.
However, I don't think any RB is worth a big contract.
I love him, think he's a great great guy. But would never pay him over 12 million.
Proceed with caution.
Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.
Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.
Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.
Problem is we never did. I'm not sure he has that extra gear anymore. And for better or worse, the Giants' coaching staff thinks his sweet spot in touches is <20 per game. He's used as much as a threat now as actual weapon.
How much is that worth? I'm not sure it is $12-14 million per year.
I think there is a place for him on this roster but I think it should be at a price that I have a feeling he wouldn’t like.
When we drafted him I figured we were going to get at least a handful of seasons like his rookie year and it just hasn’t panned out.
Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.
Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.
Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.
Problem is we never did. I'm not sure he has that extra gear anymore. And for better or worse, the Giants' coaching staff thinks his sweet spot in touches is <20 per game. He's used as much as a threat now as actual weapon.
How much is that worth? I'm not sure it is $12-14 million per year.
I think he looked really good when he was at full health and full strength. Still a top-5 RB. But the risks remain.
Proceed with caution.
I wish people would stop with the injury prone/injury risk monicker. Every RB is an injury risk. Not many Henry's or CMCs in the league. Dalvin Cook is in the same boat as Saquon.
He had an ACL on a hit to the side of the knee and a high ankle sprain.
“He’s a good player and a GREAT teammate”. That was a calculated statement.
I don't think he has the speed he had. Probably because he's a few years older and he's bulked up some. Barkley in his rookie year, would have never been caught on that 40 yard run he had the other day against Philly. That would have been 6.
Quote:
and risk for decline.
Proceed with caution.
I wish people would stop with the injury prone/injury risk monicker. Every RB is an injury risk. Not many Henry's or CMCs in the league. Dalvin Cook is in the same boat as Saquon.
He had an ACL on a hit to the side of the knee and a high ankle sprain.
McCaffrey missed huge chunks of 2020 and 2021 with injuries.
He actually looked like he might have been done after last year. He couldn't stay healthy. This year was a surprise.
Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.
Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.
Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.
Problem is we never did. I'm not sure he has that extra gear anymore. And for better or worse, the Giants' coaching staff thinks his sweet spot in touches is <20 per game. He's used as much as a threat now as actual weapon.
How much is that worth? I'm not sure it is $12-14 million per year.
To me the biggest difference between 2018 Barkley and 2022 edition:
Declining Eli throwing to OBJ, Engram and peak, healthy Shep demanded more attention from defenses than ascending DJ throwing to Hodgins, James and Bellinger.
He's an asset to NYG on and off the field. I'd be happy to keep him and not create another hole to fill, and offering him 3/36 during the bye week is an indication NYG feels the same. I think this an extension of feeling he's a special individual to the franchise, as well as the fanbase. He's going to get some preferential treatment, imv.
He came back with weird shoulder pads and ran stiff as a board after that. I'm not sure why a shoulder injury would affect speed but maybe his back/neck hurt when he ran.
In any event, this is a guy who's play is dramatically affected by injury. That's a tough deal in the NFL.
Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.
Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.
Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.
Recall several posters on here put up that same scenario.
Ironic that recovering the best value on Saquon going forward was spoiled because the Giants had a good 2022 season.
Hopefully that doesn't get in the way again (just kidding)
Bring in a couple more receivers and you’ll see more big runs from Barkley.
The ideal format for Barkley is about 12-15 carries per game and at least 5 targets through the air. I’d like to see them run something similar to the 49ers in terms of how they rotate CMC and Eli Mitchell.
It's hard for me to be objective about it as a Giants fan.
This roster management is part of any long term deal.
It's also no stretch to question how long he'll last. He even had a comment mid-season saying something to the effect of "I play running back in the NFL", acknowledging the cumulative wear and tear is real and he was feeling it.
Would be great if the Giants can find a Pollard type to complement him. But that's a luxury right now, there's a far greater need to build a better interior OL, and paying Saquon too much hinders that effort.
2) In his rookie season he had a legitimate dangerous threat on the outside in OBJ which means safeties cant cheat up and stack the box. Saquon is the only TRUE threat on the offense. Defense gear up to stop him. No one is scared of Slayton, James and Hodgins.
3) In His rookie year Shurmur used him all over. He caught 91 passes with a 75% catch rate. He was used all over. Not just out the backfield. He lined up in the slot. He lined up on the wing. Shurmur put him in positions where he would be a nightmare for a LB to cover. He hasnt been used that way consistently SINCE his rookie season.
That being said. I think he has value. I think that value is an average of 13 million a year.
Quote:
and risk for decline.
Proceed with caution.
I wish people would stop with the injury prone/injury risk monicker. Every RB is an injury risk. Not many Henry's or CMCs in the league. Dalvin Cook is in the same boat as Saquon.
He had an ACL on a hit to the side of the knee and a high ankle sprain.
If every running back is an injury risk it follows that the best strategy is to spread your money around on the position rather than loading up on one top back.
Unless it's Frank Gore, who's future I fear for after that many years of his body taking a beating.
I don't think Schoen is going to reach for the stars. If another team signs him away, there will by hype surrounding the signing. The talking heads will be convinced that this is that team's "final piece", and there will be "doom and gloom" from many BBI posters. Many will start call for Schoen's pink slip, irrationally.
Schoen is a value guy, and I like it. If it means losing Barkley, then so be it. Obviously we'd all like Barkley to stay, but if letting him sign elsewhere gets multiple contracts done of lesser players high value players, then in the long run, it will be a good thing.
Saquon is still a young player with not a ton of carries under his belt. I'd prefer to keep him. Hopefully they can work out the financials.
$12-14M for this type of production is a good deal, a WR like this would cost $20M. Plus I'm of the opinion that our other "practice squad" level skill players on offense will look a lot worse without Barkley. Again my opinion, but a lot of the opportunities they got were because the defense would follow Barkley around. How many times did you see a fake to Barkley take the whole defense with him?
I know it is BBI's DNA to always want to get rid of your best players and not pay them for some crazy reason. Barkley is the main cog in this offense and in this team.
$12-14M for this type of production is a good deal, a WR like this would cost $20M. Plus I'm of the opinion that our other "practice squad" level skill players on offense will look a lot worse without Barkley. Again my opinion, but a lot of the opportunities they got were because the defense would follow Barkley around. How many times did you see a fake to Barkley take the whole defense with him?
I know it is BBI's DNA to always want to get rid of your best players and not pay them for some crazy reason. Barkley is the main cog in this offense and in this team.
And just to add one more thing, put a gun to my head am I'm keeping Barkley at $12M over Jones at $35M every day. Now I would like to keep both, but IMO the value of Barkley at that price vs Jones at that price is much greater. This is why I tag Jones.
Quote:
Look at the production 1,650 yds, 10 TDS, and a dual threat. The 1,650 total yards is 4th, even in our conservative offensive scheme and with defenses focusing solely on him.
$12-14M for this type of production is a good deal, a WR like this would cost $20M. Plus I'm of the opinion that our other "practice squad" level skill players on offense will look a lot worse without Barkley. Again my opinion, but a lot of the opportunities they got were because the defense would follow Barkley around. How many times did you see a fake to Barkley take the whole defense with him?
I know it is BBI's DNA to always want to get rid of your best players and not pay them for some crazy reason. Barkley is the main cog in this offense and in this team.
And just to add one more thing, put a gun to my head am I'm keeping Barkley at $12M over Jones at $35M every day. Now I would like to keep both, but IMO the value of Barkley at that price vs Jones at that price is much greater. This is why I tag Jones.
You make good points in both threads. Difference, Jones is less likely to be injured and more likely to be available each week. Plus, Jones is more likely to be playing 10 years from now as opposed to 3 years from Barkley.
Yes Barkley is the higher rated player at his position than Jones is at his. QB is a vastly more important position than running back and much harder to replace.
IMV your numbers ($12 and $35) are about were they would make the most sense.
Look at Philly , SF , KC - Rb are a dime a dozen.
If history is any guide, Daboll in Buffalo Never ran the ball. They still don’t.
Vikings were a crappy team. The NFC East, we can't compete in yet. And Washington Commies are getting better too
Look at Philly , SF , KC - Rb are a dime a dozen.
If history is any guide, Daboll in Buffalo Never ran the ball. They still don’t.
SF? The same SF who traded 4 draft picks for CMC? I don’t think they are a good example of the point you are desperately trying to make.
There are just too many holes on the roster, especially on the defensive side of the ball, that could lead to games that play out where they are in pass only mode and Barkley’s impact is limited. After a game like Sunday, it just makes you think that rather than spending that money on Barkley, wouldn’t it be better to use it towards plugging one of the holes on defense with a guy like Tremaine Edmunds?
Well put bceagle.
And of all positions, the ability to find an adequate RB replacement in the draft, for pennies on the dollar, is the smart play if contract negotiations aren't a slam dunk.
I want Saquon back even though I felt a running back at 2 was just a terrible idea, because he is a Giant and I like rooting for him
Practically? An oft injured 6 th year rb, seems risky
The contract is definitely a sticking point but I'm a 40 year Giants fan who wants him back.
There is a limit to what you offer any player, and there is certainly a limit to what you offer Barkley. But to just say move on after the guy literally has done everything asked of him seems callous. I think Schoen gives it a real attempt to meet in the middle. If SB asks for too much then he leaves, but to come up with all of these excuses about his production and ability as reasons to not even negotiate is a bad look.
There is a limit to what you offer any player, and there is certainly a limit to what you offer Barkley. But to just say move on after the guy literally has done everything asked of him seems callous. I think Schoen gives it a real attempt to meet in the middle. If SB asks for too much then he leaves, but to come up with all of these excuses about his production and ability as reasons to not even negotiate is a bad look.
I know its 2023 and NY isn't exactly the only place you can be a megastar, but that tends to be true mostly only for quarterbacks in football.
What other player is really nationally well known who isn't a quarterback?
Beckham? True, but for various reasons besides just football and he became a star here first.
The best WRs? Adams, Hill, Jefferson, Chase? Top of the hill, class of their positions. In our world, we know these guys. But do you see them in any commercials? (I guess Hill wouldn't be a spokesman given his off the field issues but still)>
The best RBs? Anyone see Derrick Henry in commercials? Josh Jacobs? Nick Chubb?
Even harder for defensive players. Aaron Donald is in some commercial I believe but you don't see many defensive stars in ad campaigns. JJ Watt is probably the last guy to be a big national star where the average person may at least "know of him" and recognize his face.
Barkley, even in 2021 coming off his ACL and people wondering what player he would was still used in national NFL ad campaigns and of course here in the tri state area.
For a non-QB, playing in New York is the best way to be a star.
I'm not saying that Barkley is driven solely by personal stardom, but if you are Saquon you may be thinking "Hey if I could be part of a winner here in New York, I'll be a star for life" as opposed to getting some superficial non-guaranteed money that I'll probably never see to make my new contract look sexier than it really is from some other org where I'll be forgotten about in a few years.
We don't know him personally, but Barkley seems like a saavy guy. Long term, there could be a lot more money here beyond his playing days.
Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.
Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.
Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.
Problem is we never did. I'm not sure he has that extra gear anymore. And for better or worse, the Giants' coaching staff thinks his sweet spot in touches is <20 per game. He's used as much as a threat now as actual weapon.
How much is that worth? I'm not sure it is $12-14 million per year.
Quote:
Into OL.
Look at Philly , SF , KC - Rb are a dime a dozen.
If history is any guide, Daboll in Buffalo Never ran the ball. They still don’t.
SF? The same SF who traded 4 draft picks for CMC? I don’t think they are a good example of the point you are desperately trying to make.
Desperate? Um ok. Lol
I can offer an opinion same as you.
Build the line. I think that’s more important.
Wayne Gallman
Elijhaa Penny
Alfred Morris
Devonta Freeman
Dion Lewis
Devontae Booker
Take a look at these names. Do any of these guys scream "starting, above average RB" to you? Are any of these average RBs going to outperform Barkley on this team?
Joe Mixon
David Montgomery
Cam Akers
James Conner
AJ Dillon
Latavius Murray
Khalil Herbert
Cordarrelle Patterson
Leonard Fournette
Antonio Gibson
D'Andre Swift
J.K. Dobbins
James Cook
Kenyan Drake
Rachaad White
Kareem Hunt
Chuba Hubbard
As much as I love Barkley and think he's a great teammate, I just don't think doing so would be a good long term strategy, specifically since RBs trail off heavily in production as they get past 5 years in the league.
To me he was always a luxury pick and still would be a luxury re-signing.
Wayne Gallman
Elijhaa Penny
Alfred Morris
Devonta Freeman
Dion Lewis
Devontae Booker
Take a look at these names. Do any of these guys scream "starting, above average RB" to you? Are any of these average RBs going to outperform Barkley on this team?
Joe Mixon
David Montgomery
Cam Akers
James Conner
AJ Dillon
Latavius Murray
Khalil Herbert
Cordarrelle Patterson
Leonard Fournette
Antonio Gibson
D'Andre Swift
J.K. Dobbins
James Cook
Kenyan Drake
Rachaad White
Kareem Hunt
Chuba Hubbard
Reminds me a lot of Beckham debate. "Wideouts are a dime a dozen", "Just draft em", "You don't need a stud #1 to win, just look at the 01-03 Patriots!"
And yet here we are, years later and we have the least talented WR corp in the sport.
Barkley:
Tied for 3rd in the NFL in 20+ rushing plays with 9.
5th in Rushing TDs (10)
Tied for 3rd in 40+ rushing plays (2) (plus 1 more as a receiver)
5th in rushing first rounds (62)
4th in rushing yards (didn't play the last game)
Add in 57 more receptions.
Stop with this bologna that the guy isn't elite. You scared to pay him? Fine, but don't sell the bs that he's not a great RB right now.
Link - ( New Window )
The team may have made the playoffs but still has plenty of rebuilding to execute, players decisions to make, extensions to give. And now will be picking later in the draft to boot.
In certain instances the next stage of rebuilding decisions are far more important than the earlier ones.
There are just too many holes on the roster, especially on the defensive side of the ball, that could lead to games that play out where they are in pass only mode and Barkley’s impact is limited. After a game like Sunday, it just makes you think that rather than spending that money on Barkley, wouldn’t it be better to use it towards plugging one of the holes on defense with a guy like Tremaine Edmunds?
The only problem with this, is we never even get to this position without him.
The tag for an RB is low. He is a 2 way player that can give us a level of receiving out of the backfield. We haven't seen him with a fully finished OL in front of him no a passing game that really forces teams to focus more on the passing game than him.
I think at this point, he is considered core and the Giants tend to be very good at retaining players they identify as core over recent years.
They ran Barkley into the ground a bit, they need to utilize a 2nd and 3rd back a bit more. Or maybe they ran him into the ground knowing he wouldn't be back.
Saquon is easy to root for, I like him being a Giant. I don't think I would pay him $14M a year. Remember, you're paying for the value you expect to get from him moving forward. Had a really good year but he's hitting that age where RB's typically fall off.
As for his speed, I’m not sure what you guys are watching. The numbers back up that he’s just about on par with his rookie season. His top end speed this year was 21.3 MPH, in 2018 it was 21.9. A hair off, not some drastic downturn like some are suggesting.
If Barkley is holding out for more than you're willing to pay and you need the tag for Jones, I'm fine letting him walk. Overall though, I'd prefer to resign our own guys than shop in the first wave of UFA.
Barkley:
Tied for 3rd in the NFL in 20+ rushing plays with 9.
5th in Rushing TDs (10)
Tied for 3rd in 40+ rushing plays (2) (plus 1 more as a receiver)
5th in rushing first rounds (62)
4th in rushing yards (didn't play the last game)
Add in 57 more receptions.
Stop with this bologna that the guy isn't elite. You scared to pay him? Fine, but don't sell the bs that he's not a great RB right now.
Link - ( New Window )
Question which of these 2 RBs through 8 games was elite? Which was merely good?
ATT YDS AVG TD LNG REC TGTS YDS AVG TD LNG
132 533 4.04 5 27 29 41 149 5.14 0 18
163 779 4.78 5 68 28 35 189 6.75 0 41
Also, I have NO idea what game/sand RB your watching but Barkley looks fantastic and has almost the same stats as his rookie year.
That is also taking into consideration the half built Offensive Line. If you think Barkley isn't the same RB we drafted then I have no idea what you are seeing.
He is A Top 5 RB and he has stated that he isn't looking to reset the RB market, which he could easily do by not signing with NY and going all in as a FA.
It will depend on the money. The Giants should have a set amount they are willing to go with him. If he refuses, they should not budge.
He is a threat as a receiver out of the backfield ans he can also line up In the Slot and the outside as a WIDE OUT.
Barkley is so much more than your typical RB. That in and of itself is a good reason to sign him and YES he is going to get paid between 12 and 14 million a year and that isn't top 5RB salary.
Sign this guy now. He is also the reason JONES can run and is a big part of Jones Success.
Why you see a plug-and-play situation at the running back position with other teams is because of their offensive line.
Quote:
Question which of these 2 RBs through 8 games was elite? Which was merely good?
ATT YDS AVG TD LNG REC TGTS YDS AVG TD LNG
132 533 4.04 5 27 29 41 149 5.14 0 18
163 779 4.78 5 68 28 35 189 6.75 0 41
Ok, yeah it was a trick question.
The bottom line is Barkley's first 8 games in 2022
The top is his last 8 games in 2022
If you are paying for him, which guy are you getting? Which is more indicative of his future play? Especially as his body degrades.