for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

The truth about Saquon Barkley

mfjmfj : 1/24/2023 8:22 am
Great guy. Hard worker. Good teammate. Worthy Captain.

Not an exceptional running back anymore. Go look at his highlights from this year versus his highlights in his rookie year. He was special. He is not anymore.

Even if one thinks running backs should get high cost second deals (and I don't), Barkley is not one who should.

We will see what the team does, but I think he either gets a much lower contract than people think he will get, or he walks (and still gets much less than people think he will). I don't see him being worth the FT and I don't think if you FT him he has any trade value. All of this is exacerbated by the number of running backs available in FA this year. It is the opposite of WR where Darius Slayton is one of the better FAs available.

OK maybe this was only my opinion and not the truth, but I usually don't admit to a distinction between those two!
Pages: 1 2 | Show All |  Next>>
“ Not an exceptional running back anymore.”  
Big Blue '56 : 1/24/2023 8:24 am : link
I stopped at that.
Giants need to be careful about Barkley negotiations  
Rick in Dallas : 1/24/2023 8:30 am : link
He had a big bounce back year this past season but did wear down a bit imv.
The shoulder injury also limited him for several games.
He is going into his 6th year. When RB’s do begin to slow down a bit…see Zeke Elliott.
RE: Giants need to be careful about Barkley negotiations  
section125 : 1/24/2023 8:31 am : link
In comment 16011407 Rick in Dallas said:
Quote:
He had a big bounce back year this past season but did wear down a bit imv.
The shoulder injury also limited him for several games.
He is going into his 6th year. When RB’s do begin to slow down a bit…see Zeke Elliott.


Saquon does not have nearly the miles and abuse that Zeke has.
I’ll play  
UConn4523 : 1/24/2023 8:32 am : link
let’s say I agree and he’s not 2018 Barkley - does he no longer have a home in the NFL? I’m fairly certain Schoen has all the data, advanced metrics and medical info to gauge where Barkley is at vs 2018 and how much he’s wiling to pay for it.

I saw a really productive back this year that’s worth paying for a few years. And he’s worth way more than the tag amount, not even sure how that’s debatable. But I trust Schoen, so I’m good with whatever happens.
I've been hugely critical of him in the past..  
penkap75 : 1/24/2023 8:38 am : link
But he redeemed himself this year.
However, I don't think any RB is worth a big contract.
2018 Barkley  
Costy16 : 1/24/2023 8:39 am : link
Didn't have a torn ACL. He can still make guys miss, and he can put his shoulder down and take on contact. They misused him on Saturday night by not giving him the ball enough early on. When the Giants gave him the ball early in games, they usually won.

Please stop....please.  
George from PA : 1/24/2023 8:41 am : link
The truth...the facts...are opinions of armchair fans. Period.
Barkley is still awesome  
Dave in PA : 1/24/2023 8:45 am : link
Not as ridiculously explosive as he was as a rookie, but he’s also a smarter runner now IMO. I still say you fill this position in the cheap, especially with a far from complete offensive line. Just isn’t worth the money
top three running backs in the league this year  
BillyM : 1/24/2023 8:45 am : link
Played for crappy teams.

I love him, think he's a great great guy. But would never pay him over 12 million.
great player but an injury risk  
Producer : 1/24/2023 8:47 am : link
and risk for decline.

Proceed with caution.
mfjmfj  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 1/24/2023 8:48 am : link
I don't think you're too far off.

Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.

Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.

Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.

Problem is we never did. I'm not sure he has that extra gear anymore. And for better or worse, the Giants' coaching staff thinks his sweet spot in touches is <20 per game. He's used as much as a threat now as actual weapon.

How much is that worth? I'm not sure it is $12-14 million per year.
I don’t think I disagree  
Chris684 : 1/24/2023 8:58 am : link
and I say that as someone who really likes Barkley and was a proponent of drafting him in 2018.

I think there is a place for him on this roster but I think it should be at a price that I have a feeling he wouldn’t like.

When we drafted him I figured we were going to get at least a handful of seasons like his rookie year and it just hasn’t panned out.
Who would you say is a comp for Barkley against whom you can measure  
Ivan15 : 1/24/2023 8:59 am : link
His numbers?
RE: mfjmfj  
Producer : 1/24/2023 9:00 am : link
In comment 16011439 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
I don't think you're too far off.

Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.

Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.

Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.

Problem is we never did. I'm not sure he has that extra gear anymore. And for better or worse, the Giants' coaching staff thinks his sweet spot in touches is <20 per game. He's used as much as a threat now as actual weapon.

How much is that worth? I'm not sure it is $12-14 million per year.


I think he looked really good when he was at full health and full strength. Still a top-5 RB. But the risks remain.
RE: great player but an injury risk  
section125 : 1/24/2023 9:04 am : link
In comment 16011436 Producer said:
Quote:
and risk for decline.

Proceed with caution.


I wish people would stop with the injury prone/injury risk monicker. Every RB is an injury risk. Not many Henry's or CMCs in the league. Dalvin Cook is in the same boat as Saquon.

He had an ACL on a hit to the side of the knee and a high ankle sprain.
Schoen was smart and chose his words wisely  
Tuckrule : 1/24/2023 9:05 am : link
One of the first things he said in his presser was

“He’s a good player and a GREAT teammate”. That was a calculated statement.
While I don’t disagree with the OP,  
Section331 : 1/24/2023 9:18 am : link
I do think SB will be resigned. He has said he doesn’t expect a record breaking contract and that his injury history would impact his negotiations. I think RB is a very fungible position, but SB would be a good signing at the right number. I think it happens.
mfjmfj  
Andy in Boston : 1/24/2023 9:20 am : link
I don't totally disagree with you.

I don't think he has the speed he had. Probably because he's a few years older and he's bulked up some. Barkley in his rookie year, would have never been caught on that 40 yard run he had the other day against Philly. That would have been 6.
RE: RE: great player but an injury risk  
Poktown Pete : 1/24/2023 9:23 am : link
In comment 16011466 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16011436 Producer said:


Quote:


and risk for decline.

Proceed with caution.



I wish people would stop with the injury prone/injury risk monicker. Every RB is an injury risk. Not many Henry's or CMCs in the league. Dalvin Cook is in the same boat as Saquon.

He had an ACL on a hit to the side of the knee and a high ankle sprain.


McCaffrey missed huge chunks of 2020 and 2021 with injuries.
He actually looked like he might have been done after last year. He couldn't stay healthy. This year was a surprise.
RE: mfjmfj  
Pepe LePugh : 1/24/2023 9:23 am : link
In comment 16011439 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
I don't think you're too far off.

Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.

Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.

Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.

Problem is we never did. I'm not sure he has that extra gear anymore. And for better or worse, the Giants' coaching staff thinks his sweet spot in touches is <20 per game. He's used as much as a threat now as actual weapon.

How much is that worth? I'm not sure it is $12-14 million per year.

To me the biggest difference between 2018 Barkley and 2022 edition:
Declining Eli throwing to OBJ, Engram and peak, healthy Shep demanded more attention from defenses than ascending DJ throwing to Hodgins, James and Bellinger.
the problem I saw was that when his shoulder was hurt and he  
markky : 1/24/2023 9:23 am : link
wasn't running with the toughness we saw in the first half of the season, he was still the featured back. it was clear that for those games he was not the best back on the team and should have been on the bench.
He looked exceptional before the shoulder  
JonC : 1/24/2023 9:28 am : link
but he does get dinged often and it impacts his performance on the football field. He fought through it more this season than in the past, I'm sure there's some maturing taking place and he's willing himself through it more.

He's an asset to NYG on and off the field. I'd be happy to keep him and not create another hole to fill, and offering him 3/36 during the bye week is an indication NYG feels the same. I think this an extension of feeling he's a special individual to the franchise, as well as the fanbase. He's going to get some preferential treatment, imv.
He had the long speed back early in the year.  
mittenedman : 1/24/2023 9:28 am : link
The Titans game was phenomenal, and think back to the late TD he scored vs. DAL when he cut across the field and just outran their DBs to the end zone. To me, his play fell off a cliff as soon as he got injured vs. GB.

He came back with weird shoulder pads and ran stiff as a board after that. I'm not sure why a shoulder injury would affect speed but maybe his back/neck hurt when he ran.

In any event, this is a guy who's play is dramatically affected by injury. That's a tough deal in the NFL.
RE: mfjmfj  
chick310 : 1/24/2023 9:29 am : link
In comment 16011439 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
I don't think you're too far off.

Full disclosure... I thought Barkley ran gun-shy in 2021. When a player gets like that, he seldom finds his toughness again.

Barkley did in 2022. I was very impressed with the way he reinvented himself as a far more physical and tougher running back.

Some may remember that I posted before the season that the best scenario for the Giants was for Barkley to have a tremendous first half and then for the Giants to trade him before the deadline when his value was the highest. However, the unforeseen 6-2 start prevented that. But at the time, I posted I thought we had not seen the best of Barkley yet because we had not seen the 2018-type big runs.



Recall several posters on here put up that same scenario.

Ironic that recovering the best value on Saquon going forward was spoiled because the Giants had a good 2022 season.

Hopefully that doesn't get in the way again (just kidding)

One thing to keep in mind is the lack  
eric2425ny : 1/24/2023 9:31 am : link
of a strong receiving corps leads to a strong focus on shutting down Barkley for the opposing defense.

Bring in a couple more receivers and you’ll see more big runs from Barkley.

The ideal format for Barkley is about 12-15 carries per game and at least 5 targets through the air. I’d like to see them run something similar to the 49ers in terms of how they rotate CMC and Eli Mitchell.
Much like DJ...  
Dnew15 : 1/24/2023 9:32 am : link
I am very curious as what the league thinks of SB and his value contract wise moving forward.

It's hard for me to be objective about it as a Giants fan.
If he’s here on a long term contract,  
cosmicj : 1/24/2023 9:32 am : link
Daboll must put him on a pitch count and use him wisely. That also means pairing him with a really strong backup, like Pollard and Elliott in Dallas.

This roster management is part of any long term deal.
It's no stretch to say he wasn't the same after  
mfsd : 1/24/2023 9:36 am : link
that 35 carry game mid-season. Still a very valuable player, and as others have said, he really seemed to learn the value of burrowing for 3 extra yards rather than trying to making 11 guys miss this season.

It's also no stretch to question how long he'll last. He even had a comment mid-season saying something to the effect of "I play running back in the NFL", acknowledging the cumulative wear and tear is real and he was feeling it.

Would be great if the Giants can find a Pollard type to complement him. But that's a luxury right now, there's a far greater need to build a better interior OL, and paying Saquon too much hinders that effort.
OP is spot on  
fanoftheteam : 1/24/2023 9:38 am : link
Hes nowhere near 2018 barkley
Im going to counter your argument slightly  
blueblood : 1/24/2023 9:49 am : link
1) The Giants still do not have a consistently efficient offensive line, which will effect his production.

2) In his rookie season he had a legitimate dangerous threat on the outside in OBJ which means safeties cant cheat up and stack the box. Saquon is the only TRUE threat on the offense. Defense gear up to stop him. No one is scared of Slayton, James and Hodgins.

3) In His rookie year Shurmur used him all over. He caught 91 passes with a 75% catch rate. He was used all over. Not just out the backfield. He lined up in the slot. He lined up on the wing. Shurmur put him in positions where he would be a nightmare for a LB to cover. He hasnt been used that way consistently SINCE his rookie season.

That being said. I think he has value. I think that value is an average of 13 million a year.

RE: RE: great player but an injury risk  
RHPeel : 1/24/2023 9:52 am : link
In comment 16011466 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16011436 Producer said:


Quote:


and risk for decline.

Proceed with caution.



I wish people would stop with the injury prone/injury risk monicker. Every RB is an injury risk. Not many Henry's or CMCs in the league. Dalvin Cook is in the same boat as Saquon.

He had an ACL on a hit to the side of the knee and a high ankle sprain.


If every running back is an injury risk it follows that the best strategy is to spread your money around on the position rather than loading up on one top back.
He's still a top RB  
Everyone Relax : 1/24/2023 10:02 am : link
but seeing that video of him only hitting 19mph on his big run against Philly was somewhat concerning. That was a run his rookie year he easily took to the house.
Saquon is still a really good RB  
JoeyBigBlue : 1/24/2023 10:03 am : link
As he has improved in pass protection, and playing more physical. But with that being said he is not the athlete he was as a rookie. I would love him back at the 3 year 36 million contract that has been rumored. Anything for more money or more seasons and he can walk.
Weird place  
HomerJones45 : 1/24/2023 10:07 am : link
Barkley, a top 5 rb, is a risk of injury after a "bounce back" year and proceed with caution but let's throw caution to the winds for the qb who was injured the two years prior, was an iffy proposition when he did play those two years and was a "bounce back" candidate this year.
RB's do typically wear down at this point in their careers  
I Love Clams Casino : 1/24/2023 10:13 am : link
that's just harsh reality, like it or not.

Unless it's Frank Gore, who's future I fear for after that many years of his body taking a beating.

I don't think Schoen is going to reach for the stars. If another team signs him away, there will by hype surrounding the signing. The talking heads will be convinced that this is that team's "final piece", and there will be "doom and gloom" from many BBI posters. Many will start call for Schoen's pink slip, irrationally.

Schoen is a value guy, and I like it. If it means losing Barkley, then so be it. Obviously we'd all like Barkley to stay, but if letting him sign elsewhere gets multiple contracts done of lesser players high value players, then in the long run, it will be a good thing.
Tiki Barber  
OBJ_AllDay : 1/24/2023 10:18 am : link
Had over 300 carries in each of his seasons year 8 through 10 and had more than 1500 yards on the ground in each of those seasons. Get Barkley some other threats on the field and this talk about him not being an elite talent will vanish overnight.

Saquon is still a young player with not a ton of carries under his belt. I'd prefer to keep him. Hopefully they can work out the financials.
The OP has been banging Barkley all year  
PatersonPlank : 1/24/2023 10:26 am : link
Look at the production 1,650 yds, 10 TDS, and a dual threat. The 1,650 total yards is 4th, even in our conservative offensive scheme and with defenses focusing solely on him.

$12-14M for this type of production is a good deal, a WR like this would cost $20M. Plus I'm of the opinion that our other "practice squad" level skill players on offense will look a lot worse without Barkley. Again my opinion, but a lot of the opportunities they got were because the defense would follow Barkley around. How many times did you see a fake to Barkley take the whole defense with him?

I know it is BBI's DNA to always want to get rid of your best players and not pay them for some crazy reason. Barkley is the main cog in this offense and in this team.
RE: The OP has been banging Barkley all year  
PatersonPlank : 1/24/2023 10:35 am : link
In comment 16011660 PatersonPlank said:
Quote:
Look at the production 1,650 yds, 10 TDS, and a dual threat. The 1,650 total yards is 4th, even in our conservative offensive scheme and with defenses focusing solely on him.

$12-14M for this type of production is a good deal, a WR like this would cost $20M. Plus I'm of the opinion that our other "practice squad" level skill players on offense will look a lot worse without Barkley. Again my opinion, but a lot of the opportunities they got were because the defense would follow Barkley around. How many times did you see a fake to Barkley take the whole defense with him?

I know it is BBI's DNA to always want to get rid of your best players and not pay them for some crazy reason. Barkley is the main cog in this offense and in this team.


And just to add one more thing, put a gun to my head am I'm keeping Barkley at $12M over Jones at $35M every day. Now I would like to keep both, but IMO the value of Barkley at that price vs Jones at that price is much greater. This is why I tag Jones.
RE: RE: The OP has been banging Barkley all year  
section125 : 1/24/2023 10:42 am : link
In comment 16011681 PatersonPlank said:
Quote:
In comment 16011660 PatersonPlank said:


Quote:


Look at the production 1,650 yds, 10 TDS, and a dual threat. The 1,650 total yards is 4th, even in our conservative offensive scheme and with defenses focusing solely on him.

$12-14M for this type of production is a good deal, a WR like this would cost $20M. Plus I'm of the opinion that our other "practice squad" level skill players on offense will look a lot worse without Barkley. Again my opinion, but a lot of the opportunities they got were because the defense would follow Barkley around. How many times did you see a fake to Barkley take the whole defense with him?

I know it is BBI's DNA to always want to get rid of your best players and not pay them for some crazy reason. Barkley is the main cog in this offense and in this team.



And just to add one more thing, put a gun to my head am I'm keeping Barkley at $12M over Jones at $35M every day. Now I would like to keep both, but IMO the value of Barkley at that price vs Jones at that price is much greater. This is why I tag Jones.


You make good points in both threads. Difference, Jones is less likely to be injured and more likely to be available each week. Plus, Jones is more likely to be playing 10 years from now as opposed to 3 years from Barkley.
Yes Barkley is the higher rated player at his position than Jones is at his. QB is a vastly more important position than running back and much harder to replace.

IMV your numbers ($12 and $35) are about were they would make the most sense.
Put the $  
GiantsRage2007 : 1/24/2023 10:45 am : link
Into OL.

Look at Philly , SF , KC - Rb are a dime a dozen.

If history is any guide, Daboll in Buffalo Never ran the ball. They still don’t.
Sounds like Saquons agent wanted too much midseason  
MeanBunny : 1/24/2023 10:46 am : link
Truth be told the last game was so horrible that both Saquon, Jones ,Kafka and Wink stock went down a bit. After Vikings everyone went parabolic with Jones being the second coming of Steve Young. Thud!
Vikings were a crappy team. The NFC East, we can't compete in yet. And Washington Commies are getting better too
Great discussion.  
bceagle05 : 1/24/2023 10:52 am : link
I feel like the smartest franchises in the league would let Barkley go unless it's an absolute steal of a contract, and I want to be one of the smartest franchises in the league again.
RE: Put the $  
Keaton028 : 1/24/2023 10:54 am : link
In comment 16011700 GiantsRage2007 said:
Quote:
Into OL.

Look at Philly , SF , KC - Rb are a dime a dozen.

If history is any guide, Daboll in Buffalo Never ran the ball. They still don’t.




SF? The same SF who traded 4 draft picks for CMC? I don’t think they are a good example of the point you are desperately trying to make.
Love Barkley as a player, but the Eagles game was perfect example  
Mike in NJ : 1/24/2023 10:55 am : link
of why it doesn’t make sense to pay $12mil+ for a running back yet. He was without question our best offensive player all year, and he still was even in the limited touches he received against the Eagles. The problem is that because of the position he plays, there will be games like this past weekend where he can barely be used.

There are just too many holes on the roster, especially on the defensive side of the ball, that could lead to games that play out where they are in pass only mode and Barkley’s impact is limited. After a game like Sunday, it just makes you think that rather than spending that money on Barkley, wouldn’t it be better to use it towards plugging one of the holes on defense with a guy like Tremaine Edmunds?
RE: Great discussion.  
chick310 : 1/24/2023 10:59 am : link
In comment 16011715 bceagle05 said:
Quote:
I feel like the smartest franchises in the league would let Barkley go unless it's an absolute steal of a contract, and I want to be one of the smartest franchises in the league again.


Well put bceagle.

And of all positions, the ability to find an adequate RB replacement in the draft, for pennies on the dollar, is the smart play if contract negotiations aren't a slam dunk.
Just to be clear regarding his ACL injury...  
Kmed6000 : 1/24/2023 10:59 am : link
You don't lose top end speed from an ACL injury. It will effect your cutting, but SB looked elite again from that perspective. He's 100% healed from the ACL.
Who to sign, for how long  
joeinpa : 1/24/2023 11:04 am : link
And how much, has to be a strictly production/financial decision. It can’t be about relationships or loyalty, …… I would be a lousy GM

I want Saquon back even though I felt a running back at 2 was just a terrible idea, because he is a Giant and I like rooting for him

Practically? An oft injured 6 th year rb, seems risky
So concerned with his speed...  
Lucky80 : 1/24/2023 11:04 am : link
All I know is this guy was great his rookie year and he was great again this year. Tied for team with receptions. 91 his rookie year. MORE than just a RB.
The contract is definitely a sticking point but I'm a 40 year Giants fan who wants him back.
At this point last year  
Keaton028 : 1/24/2023 11:05 am : link
most Giants fans were done with Barkley and wanted him off the team. The fact that many have walked that back shows how far he has come back. SB did everything we all were asking and hoping of him. His blocking improved, he ran tougher and got the dirty yards, he played a full season, he showed up big in big moments.

There is a limit to what you offer any player, and there is certainly a limit to what you offer Barkley. But to just say move on after the guy literally has done everything asked of him seems callous. I think Schoen gives it a real attempt to meet in the middle. If SB asks for too much then he leaves, but to come up with all of these excuses about his production and ability as reasons to not even negotiate is a bad look.
Just not sure how you expect to replace his production  
OBJ_AllDay : 1/24/2023 11:07 am : link
On a team that already needs a whole new set of wr's and obviously can't allocate those resources in the draft to a single position with all the other needs they have. You simply don't give this offense much of a shot by removing his production next year. You don't want to sign him long term - fine. But I don't see why they wouldn't atleast tag him for next season.
Pages: 1 2 | Show All |  Next>>
Back to the Corner