Those of you that follow the draft are probably familiar with Nick Korte over at Over The Cap.
He has been historically extremely accurate at predicting which teams will get comp picks and in what rounds.
Last night he made his final prediction prior to this year's draft:
1. Bad news for Giants- he feels that the Mark Glowinski signing will cancel out the Giants getting a comp pick for losing Evan Engram.
2. Good news for Giants- he is predicting a 6th rounder for the Giants losing Lorenzo Carter and a 7th rounder for the Giants losing Keion Crossen.
His previous prediction had been a 5th and 7th to the Giants, so I slight downward change.
If you go to his website, click on NFCE to see the NFC East teams and the players they signed and lost.
Link - (
New Window )
If Mark Glowinski’s contract is valued in the 6th round, the New York Giants will get a 5th for Evan Engram instead of a 6th for Lorenzo Carter.
Link - ( New Window )
Pathetic on so many levels. Trey junkin is available. And CHEAP!!!!! woohoo
Definitely. But the new guy needs to have a badass name like Stonebreaker or Anger. Not a made-up nickname like our Scotsman.
it's just a ranking that slots the contracts in based on a few different factors.
AAV is the first factor so the initial comp pick list is just a list from highest to lowest AAV. So 9m was ahead of 6m.
once the season begins playing time and some other factors come in that re-adjust all the rankings (and further changes the rankings depending on which gains/losses cancel each other out).
then you get the comp pick associated with where the contracts rank.
so if initially by aav among qualifiers:
engrams contract ranked 10th,
and glowinskis ranked 20th,
and carters ranked 23rd,
initially glowinski canceled out the carter pick because they were closer together.
if playing time and other changes pushed glowinski's up to rank 13th and engrams stayed at 10th then the 2 became close enough to cancel each other out. it sounds like glowinski is in a borderline zone in between the value of 2 contracts the nyg lost and it could go either way.
those are made up numbers just to illustrate the concept.
According to Tankathon website, we get the 101st pick overall in the draft for Toney.
Tankathon 2023 Draft - ( New Window )
1. Learning the Colonel's finger lickin' good recipe
2. Learning Goodell's comp pick algorithm
I’d love to see them find a way to move up from 25 to get Johnston from TCU. 6’4, 215, runs good routes, strong, fast for a big receiver. Based on Kiper and Brooks’ recent mocks they don’t have any receivers in their top 10. Not that this is how it will go down, but moving from 25 to maybe the 11-12 range should be cheaper than moving into the top 10.
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How a 1 year $9 million contract is considered equal to 3 years and $18 million. Or $8 million guaranteed in one year versus $11 million guaranteed over three.
it's just a ranking that slots the contracts in based on a few different factors.
AAV is the first factor so the initial comp pick list is just a list from highest to lowest AAV. So 9m was ahead of 6m.
once the season begins playing time and some other factors come in that re-adjust all the rankings (and further changes the rankings depending on which gains/losses cancel each other out).
then you get the comp pick associated with where the contracts rank.
so if initially by aav among qualifiers:
engrams contract ranked 10th,
and glowinskis ranked 20th,
and carters ranked 23rd,
initially glowinski canceled out the carter pick because they were closer together.
if playing time and other changes pushed glowinski's up to rank 13th and engrams stayed at 10th then the 2 became close enough to cancel each other out. it sounds like glowinski is in a borderline zone in between the value of 2 contracts the nyg lost and it could go either way.
those are made up numbers just to illustrate the concept.
Yet Engram outplayed his contract while Glowinski didn't.