This team has so many holes and some homegrown talent that need to be retained and won’t be cheap (Lawrence, Jones, McKinney, Thomas). Leonard Williams carries a massive cap hit and the team has needs at WR, TE, IOL, DL depth, LB and CB. Barkley reportedly turned down $12 million AAV (apologize if that rumor was debunked). Barkley was the heart and soul of the offense last year but given his injury history and the track record of finding productive, cheap labor later in the draft (Pierce in Houston, Allegier in Atlanta, etc) I think dedicating a large portion of the cap to a RB is not sound team building in a salary cap league
The only reason to keep SB is if we apply the NEFT. Of course, that course of action hinges on what happens to Jones.
Don't overthink it.
Then add a RB in draft.
With some decent evaluations, contract negotiations and grabbing a rookie in the next draft the Giants would be jsut fine going forward if Barkley isn't on the team.
Paying top dollar to a RB on a second contract is a mistake.
They need cheaper cost-controlled players to kick-start the rebuild. They can get 80% of the production at 50% of the cost with a couple of FAs or draft picks
Christian McCaffrey #8
Derrick Henry- 45
Josh Jacobs- 45
Dalvin Cook- 41
Jonathan Taylor- 41
Miles Sanders - 53
Nick Chubb- 35
Kenneth Walker - 41
Joe Mixon- 48
Next up and comers
Travis Etienne- 25
Breece Hall- 36
Najee Harris - 24
The guys you listed that were taken late got some yards for 2 very bad teams for 1 season, we have no real idea how they will respond in difficult situations for playoff teams
There are a handful of very realistic ways this team takes a (hopefully short and brief) step back next season. Losing Barkley is in just about every one of them.
Christian McCaffrey #8
Derrick Henry- 45
Josh Jacobs- 45
Dalvin Cook- 41
Jonathan Taylor- 41
Miles Sanders - 53
Nick Chubb- 35
Kenneth Walker - 41
Joe Mixon- 48
Next up and comers
Travis Etienne- 25
Breece Hall- 36
Najee Harris - 24
The guys you listed that were taken late got some yards for 2 very bad teams for 1 season, we have no real idea how they will respond in difficult situations for playoff teams
Dave Gettleman LOL
Paying more and getting less is not ideal.
So assuming Jones is retained somewhere in the $30-35M AAV range, and two exceeding $20M each, can you really afford to have a RB who reportedly wants $16M per year AAV?
The most financially prudent move would probably be to tag him for $10M and hope he doesn’t hold out. Or let him walk, sign a mid level guy like Alexander Mattison who may shine in a bigger role to less than half of what Barkley wants and draft a complement with one of our third round picks.
The thing with Barkley is that he has had two healthy seasons out of 5. Year two was marred by a bad high ankle sprain which zapped his athleticism even when he came back later in the season. Season 3 was over with the ACL, and year 4 was basically a rehab year from the ACL.
A lot of people will point to the McCaffrey and Henry deals, but those guys had been great and very healthy when they signed their second contracts. I think the CMC deal was a disaster for the Panthers, but at least he had a clean injury history when they signed him. Barkley has been healthy for basically 40-50% of his rookie deal. Why would he expect to get the same that CMC got?
I don't think so Sean.
I did a break down of when the Giants had Jones and No Barkley and Barkley with No Jones a little while back.
It was something like this:
With Jones and no Barkley, The Giants were around 8 wins and 19 losses..
With Barkley and no Jones the Giants didn't win a game.
I sometimes think we underestimate Jones and over estimate Barkley.
Whatever the Giants brass thinks is best I am good with.
I don't know Dallas's cap going into next year, but if he was available, it wouldn't surprise me to see Dallas makes a run at him (if they have the cap).
I’m curious to see if Schoen is like we want you back, but $16M is a little high and let’s him hit the market. It sounds like Barkley wants to be a Giant so maybe they make some kind of gentleman’s agreement that he’ll come back to the Giants with an offer he gets elsewhere and asks them if they want to match.
All that money tied up and nothing to show for it.
I would not resign him. Why not draft the top running back in the draft and use the savings to improve the team in other areas.
I don’t think he’s getting a 5/$75m type deal, unless the guarantees were incredibly low (like $30m in which case it’s a lot of window dressing).
I don’t think he’s getting a 5/$75m type deal, unless the guarantees were incredibly low (like $30m in which case it’s a lot of window dressing).
I agree a team may pay big for a 1-2 year deal. Kind of like the 49ers with CMC right now. A win now team that has a lot of guys on rookie deals and extra cap space. But does Barkley accept a contract that’s less than 3 years?
We don’t have as much cap space as everyone thinks, especially after extending Love and Sexy, and probably signing DJ. We can use the $14-16M Barkley wants to address needs along the OL and LB, which frees us up to draft wisely rather than rashly.
I love Saquon, but RBs hit the wall hard when they’re done, and these days that’s after about six years. As Jerry Reese used to say - correctly - it’s better to cut ties with a player a year too early than a year too late.
That’s where we are with Saquon.
The Giants were just part of the final 8. They have tangible evidence they're moving in the right direction, and reason to keep this train rolling.
I'm fine using the available cap space to keep this team together, rather than sign expensive UFA's. I've grown to hate the expensive UFA unless it's a finishing piece. Focus on keeping the core intact (DJ, Barkley, Thomas, LW, Dexter & Love should all be locked up) and add another solid draft class.
And, he's had some major injuries already
I would much rather tag and then trade Barkley if that is at all possible. At least we would get something in return for him.
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you have to take into account that GMs don’t always see the risks the same ways fans do. And a 2 year $30m deal that’s almost fully guaranteed is pretty damn low risk for a sure fire playmaker.
I don’t think he’s getting a 5/$75m type deal, unless the guarantees were incredibly low (like $30m in which case it’s a lot of window dressing).
I agree a team may pay big for a 1-2 year deal. Kind of like the 49ers with CMC right now. A win now team that has a lot of guys on rookie deals and extra cap space. But does Barkley accept a contract that’s less than 3 years?
All depends on guarantees. A 2 year $30m contract that’s almost fully guaranteed still sets him up for another payday at 28. Any long term deal he signs won’t have high guarantees so I don’t think it matters much.
But he also was clearly gassed for most of the games in the 2nd half. Also the staff didn't feature him in the Philly playoff game.
So I am not sure he is worth $10-$12 million if he is not going to be the focus of the offense, AND he wears down late.
And $10-$12 million is the low end of what he'll sign for.
I don't know Dallas's cap going into next year, but if he was available, it wouldn't surprise me to see Dallas makes a run at him (if they have the cap).
To the extent the Giants don't won't to overpay for Saquon, isn't it a good thing that Dallas would?
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if Saquon Barkley leaves, what's the likelihood he ends up in Dallas? I could see Jerruh backing up the Brinks truck for him, considering Zeke's health, the Pollard injury, Saquon's star power (no pun intended), etc. Plus, it would be an amazing F*** YOU to the Giants.
I don't know Dallas's cap going into next year, but if he was available, it wouldn't surprise me to see Dallas makes a run at him (if they have the cap).
To the extent the Giants don't won't to overpay for Saquon, isn't it a good thing that Dallas would?
Dallas is $5 mill over the cap right now. That is a lot of money to move around for another RB.
And by the way, I would not olay on the tag if I were him. He might have one more shot at a big payday. I would risk injury playing on the tag.
If you mean, is there some limit to what you will pay? Of course. You can't manage a team in the cap era if you are always unwilling to let players you like go at any price.
What is the number? Of course, depends how the deal is structured, whether they have the tag available (Jones negotiations) and whether they think they can use it without messing up the culture. As both teams and players have learned, the structure of a deal matters at least as much as the announced AAV, so I wouldn't put a number out. But the McCaffrey deal, three years later, that is, with the cap having gone up, doesn't seem a crazy starting point. That was $64M over 4 years, $30M guaranteed at signing. Of course, the Giants will have to manage their dealing around the Golladay dead money and the need to sign other young stars, so timing of the cap hit will be an issue for both Barkley and Jones.
Stop over thinking
Jesus Christ phone.
Anyway: either a premium player at another position AND a decent replacement running back; or a nice contract extension for one of our other more valuable players AND a decent replacement running back.
I just don't think we're at a point roster-wise to spend a lot of money on Barkley at the potential expense of stocking up in multiple other spots.
Exactly... Paying him more does not upgrade the team.
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tag Barkley. It's not that complicated. Then negotiate a long term contract with Barkley.
this
Or just tag Barkley two years in a row. Cheaper than a long term deal and that takes you through his seventh season. He would probably hold out in 2024 though on that second tag, but it’s like the Bell situation years ago with Pittsburgh. Not much leverage on his side. He should take the Chubb deal, 3 years, about $12M per.
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But, expect a drop in play from Jones if you do.
I don't think so Sean.
I did a break down of when the Giants had Jones and No Barkley and Barkley with No Jones a little while back.
It was something like this:
With Jones and no Barkley, The Giants were around 8 wins and 19 losses..
With Barkley and no Jones the Giants didn't win a game.
I sometimes think we underestimate Jones and over estimate Barkley.
Whatever the Giants brass thinks is best I am good with.
Lol really? Does anything from 2021 count in your equation? Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm. We would have been better off starting Barkley at QB.
When Barkley was banged up/ineffective this year mid season, the offense stalled big time and we weren't winning games. Nothing Sean said is off the mark. He is right. Taking away Jones' best weapon would have a negative impact on him and the whole offense.
IF your RB is your main/only weapon, you're not anywhere near ready to compete with the big dogs.
The team might be better served tagging him, and praying some foolish team signs him and gives up a couple of # 1's, or trades at least one.
Don't overthink it.
100% agree.
For ne, it depends more on the term than the money.
Serious question for you.
You and I debated even drafting Barkley in 2018, and we were on very different sides then.
It appears to me that you have changed your mind.
Is that correct?
If so, what led you to a different conclusion?
Christian McCaffrey #8
Derrick Henry- 45
Josh Jacobs- 45
Dalvin Cook- 41
Jonathan Taylor- 41
Miles Sanders - 53
Nick Chubb- 35
Kenneth Walker - 41
Joe Mixon- 48
Next up and comers
Travis Etienne- 25
Breece Hall- 36
Najee Harris - 24
The guys you listed that were taken late got some yards for 2 very bad teams for 1 season, we have no real idea how they will respond in difficult situations for playoff teams
How many times are you going to post this?
And how many times do people have to repost the counter examples that you conveniently exclude?
Besides even in your list, there are only 2 in the top 20.
The majority in your list are in the 40s. That is a far cry from #2! In terms of Draft value that is 2600 vs between 450 and 500... Is Barkley worth 5 or 6 high second round choices?
I’m still wrong? Ok then. Why can’t we have two nice things on offense? Apparently teams don’t pay the running back in the quarterback? Yeah that’s bullshit. So we’re gonna save some money and let Barkley go and who the fuck are we paying that money to? where is this guy? And is he worth it? The FA wide receivers suck.
Don’t tell me you want to save money and let Barkley go just because of stupid made up nonsense about RBs not worth the money. Please offer me something better than that. Please explain to me why we’re gonna let a known commodity just leave “because running backs aren’t worth i it.” Please give me more than that.
You guys treat these contracts like the fucking plague. 3 years. Not 10.
I’m still wrong? Ok then. Why can’t we have two nice things on offense? Apparently teams don’t pay the running back in the quarterback? Yeah that’s bullshit. So we’re gonna save some money and let Barkley go and who the fuck are we paying that money to? where is this guy? And is he worth it? The FA wide receivers suck.
Don’t tell me you want to save money and let Barkley go just because of stupid made up nonsense about RBs not worth the money. Please offer me something better than that. Please explain to me why we’re gonna let a known commodity just leave “because running backs aren’t worth i it.” Please give me more than that.
djm, this is a dumb question.
It isn't any one specific player. It is a matter of roster construction and where you choose to spend resources.
Maybe it is a OL, maybe a CB, a LB, some better DL rotation guys, more available money for a WR, or your favorite QB. If not this year, than next.
Look at all the FA the Giants need to sign
QB, at least 2 WR, probably 2 IOL, 2 ILB, 2 rotational DL, a CB. And that is for starter/players with significant snaps. The can save 6M releasing KG. That leave 60M, about 48M after the rookie pool.
Just how far is that 48M going to stretch? Can we sign all those players to the contracts they want? I know you don't want to believe it, but the cap actually matters.
Christian McCaffrey #8
Derrick Henry- 45
Josh Jacobs- 45
Dalvin Cook- 41
Jonathan Taylor- 41
Miles Sanders - 53
Nick Chubb- 35
Kenneth Walker - 41
Joe Mixon- 48
Next up and comers
Travis Etienne- 25
Breece Hall- 36
Najee Harris - 24
The guys you listed that were taken late got some yards for 2 very bad teams for 1 season, we have no real idea how they will respond in difficult situations for playoff teams
That list says to me you find your RB in the 2nd round.
Acquire as much draft capital as possible.
I’m still wrong? Ok then. Why can’t we have two nice things on offense? Apparently teams don’t pay the running back in the quarterback? Yeah that’s bullshit. So we’re gonna save some money and let Barkley go and who the fuck are we paying that money to? where is this guy? And is he worth it? The FA wide receivers suck.
Don’t tell me you want to save money and let Barkley go just because of stupid made up nonsense about RBs not worth the money. Please offer me something better than that. Please explain to me why we’re gonna let a known commodity just leave “because running backs aren’t worth i it.” Please give me more than that.
A+ work
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Who are we paying from the Barkley savings? Where is this guy? Some of you want to spend that money on another free agent running back, a vet FA running back, no less. So you want to downgrade at running back and spend probably $10 million on that FA downgrade and then do what, exactly? Where is the rest of that money going to that four or five extra million? No? I’m wrong? OK fine do you want to draft a running back and spend that 15 or so million where? Who is getting that money? What free agent wide receiver are we paying that money to?
I’m still wrong? Ok then. Why can’t we have two nice things on offense? Apparently teams don’t pay the running back in the quarterback? Yeah that’s bullshit. So we’re gonna save some money and let Barkley go and who the fuck are we paying that money to? where is this guy? And is he worth it? The FA wide receivers suck.
Don’t tell me you want to save money and let Barkley go just because of stupid made up nonsense about RBs not worth the money. Please offer me something better than that. Please explain to me why we’re gonna let a known commodity just leave “because running backs aren’t worth i it.” Please give me more than that.
A+ work
Quite the grading system you put in place here.
I think the Giants have to let Barkley walk to be honest.
The guy is the key to our current offense. His value to us is more than a RB, and would be very hard to replace (and certainly not for $12-$14M).
For those of you who love Barkley, do you think he is better than Sanders?
But Sanders put up nearly identical numbers as Barkley.
They did it because they have a better OL. Having a better OL has also had a positive impact on the passing game, their back RB numbers, and Hurt's numbers running.
The way to replace the production is to improve the OL.
Improving the WR won't hurt either.
The point is, the money is more effective when used to bolster other parts of the team.
For those of you who love Barkley, do you think he is better than Sanders?
But Sanders put up nearly identical numbers as Barkley.
They did it because they have a better OL. Having a better OL has also had a positive impact on the passing game, their back RB numbers, and Hurt's numbers running.
The way to replace the production is to improve the OL.
Improving the WR won't hurt either.
The point is, the money is more effective when used to bolster other parts of the team.
There was a thread going on last week with GBN guys posting adamantly that the Eagles did not have a dominant line at all, and their prodcutivity was comparable to that of the NYG's OL.
The externality is that they need that tag in their pocket until they work things out with DJ.
It would be great if they can work things out with DJ in advance of the tag deadline, but that will require either some come-to-jesus on Jones' part or the organization substantially giving in to what he's asking for (which I suspect many of us would consider an overpay).
My baseline expectation is that the tag will need to be used on Jones and that Barkley will be allowed to walk.
When I see Jason Kelce, it's what I wish we had anchoring our line no matter who is behind center at QB or split out wide at WR.
When I see Jason Kelce, it's what I wish we had anchoring our line no matter who is behind center at QB or split out wide at WR.
So why do you keep posting about GBN and their line being comparable to ours? I truly don’t understand it.
Much like this thread about whether the team should let Barkley walk.
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Look at the Eagles...
For those of you who love Barkley, do you think he is better than Sanders?
But Sanders put up nearly identical numbers as Barkley.
They did it because they have a better OL. Having a better OL has also had a positive impact on the passing game, their back RB numbers, and Hurt's numbers running.
The way to replace the production is to improve the OL.
Improving the WR won't hurt either.
The point is, the money is more effective when used to bolster other parts of the team.
There was a thread going on last week with GBN guys posting adamantly that the Eagles did not have a dominant line at all, and their prodcutivity was comparable to that of the NYG's OL.
Yes, I saw that.... I rolled my eyes!
He was excellent this year, is always fun to watch, he became a solid pass blocker, has great ball security, a great guy to root for and was the driving force for a number of wins that wouldn’t happen with an average rb.
In short, he’s a guy you build with…even though he’s a Jets fan
That was true this season. The issue is that betting on a running back to replicate that for even 2-3 more years goes against mountains of prior evidence. The list of RBs who have maintained their level of play into their second contracts is EXTREMELY short. The fact that we ran him so hard this year is EXACTLY THE REASON they shouldn't bank on being able to do it into the future.
You're worried about how do we replace him if we let him walk. The issue is we likely will have to replace him even if we don't.
Use the savings elsewhere.
How did the Giants do when Tiki retired?
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In comment 16018931 djm said:
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Who are we paying from the Barkley savings? Where is this guy? Some of you want to spend that money on another free agent running back, a vet FA running back, no less. So you want to downgrade at running back and spend probably $10 million on that FA downgrade and then do what, exactly? Where is the rest of that money going to that four or five extra million? No? I’m wrong? OK fine do you want to draft a running back and spend that 15 or so million where? Who is getting that money? What free agent wide receiver are we paying that money to?
I’m still wrong? Ok then. Why can’t we have two nice things on offense? Apparently teams don’t pay the running back in the quarterback? Yeah that’s bullshit. So we’re gonna save some money and let Barkley go and who the fuck are we paying that money to? where is this guy? And is he worth it? The FA wide receivers suck.
Don’t tell me you want to save money and let Barkley go just because of stupid made up nonsense about RBs not worth the money. Please offer me something better than that. Please explain to me why we’re gonna let a known commodity just leave “because running backs aren’t worth i it.” Please give me more than that.
A+ work
Quite the grading system you put in place here.
My post was meant to get people to think. Don't just offer up catch phrases. Offer up data. REAL data. Offer up something other than "you can't pay RBs" because I have refuted that line with facts. Teams do pay RBs. Well run teams at that.
The guy came into the NFL as one of the most talented players ever. That's not hyperbole. Facts. He virtually dominated as a rookie despite playing on a bad tea. Would have dominated 19 if not fore the ankle but still finishes with good numbers and countless wow plays. Sees his knee explode in 2020 and sure enough it impacts his 2021 season. The ankle injury didn't help in 21...so fine, we're worried about Barkley heading into 2021--there's NOTHING wrong with being worried prior to 2022, shit I even was right until late summer when reports kept coming in that he looked great in practice, but not until the first game was I convinced he was back.
HE goes on to play well all year long. Runs hard. Finishes runs as so many here demanded.
Not good enough? Go back to his skill set and pedigree and overall talent. Then imagine that talent playing in a loaded or very good offense. Then imagine that same player playing in that offense behind great offensive coaching.
There's plenty of reasons to believe 2022 was merely the beginning. That better times lie ahead and Barkley (and Jones) could be the big winners here.
What happens to good or great players when better players and coaching surround them and help their cause? Give up? Here is a refresher:
-Marshall Faulk going from indy to greatest show on turf
-Tiki Barber going from Fassel and solid surrounding to Coughlin and good to even great surrounding offensive talent.
-John Riggins from the Jets to Wash
-Matt Stafford from DET to the Rams
-Plunkett from NE to the Raiders
The list goes on and on. BArkley is an MVP caliber talent. I don't know HOW people can't see this. I ain't that fucking smart.
For me, the biggest issue is the position he plays. It's just not a position you can lock up a lot of money and resources in when you are rebuilding the rest of the roster. Its a position thats completely reliant on all other offensive positions and a position thats not hard to fill. Its hard to fill with HOF caliber players, but its not hard to fill year to year.
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In comment 16019409 Rafflee said:
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In comment 16018931 djm said:
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Who are we paying from the Barkley savings? Where is this guy? Some of you want to spend that money on another free agent running back, a vet FA running back, no less. So you want to downgrade at running back and spend probably $10 million on that FA downgrade and then do what, exactly? Where is the rest of that money going to that four or five extra million? No? I’m wrong? OK fine do you want to draft a running back and spend that 15 or so million where? Who is getting that money? What free agent wide receiver are we paying that money to?
I’m still wrong? Ok then. Why can’t we have two nice things on offense? Apparently teams don’t pay the running back in the quarterback? Yeah that’s bullshit. So we’re gonna save some money and let Barkley go and who the fuck are we paying that money to? where is this guy? And is he worth it? The FA wide receivers suck.
Don’t tell me you want to save money and let Barkley go just because of stupid made up nonsense about RBs not worth the money. Please offer me something better than that. Please explain to me why we’re gonna let a known commodity just leave “because running backs aren’t worth i it.” Please give me more than that.
A+ work
Quite the grading system you put in place here.
My post was meant to get people to think. Don't just offer up catch phrases. Offer up data. REAL data. Offer up something other than "you can't pay RBs" because I have refuted that line with facts. Teams do pay RBs. Well run teams at that.
Ok, here's some real data because you feel like nobody but you is really thinking put there.
In 2022, the NYG tandem of Barkley, Breida and Brightwell had a combined cost of just over $9M against the cap for an avg cap spread of $3M for each.
Two really well run teams that just happen to be meeting in the Super Bowl next week have the following:
Philly - has Scott, Sanders, Gainwell and Sermon that combined cost only $5.2M against the cap for an avg spread of $1.3M for each.
KC - has Jones, McKinnon and Pacheco that combined cost $3.3M or an average of $1.1M each. They also have Hellaire on IR and his cap hit is $2.9M because he has been an underperforming first rd pick, yet they aren't missing a beat with him gone and just basically using Pacheco and McKinnon.
So now give Barkley $12M-$14M next year and re-run these numbers for the Giants and tell me why we shouldn't be spreading the running back money around more prudently than just giving it to one guy on an expensive second contract when we can get production like KC and Phil are seeing from a cheaper stable of backs? OR maybe we should go cheaper with RBs and use the excess to upgrade the Guard or Center position as well?
Let me know.