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NFT: NHL Thread - the stretch run

pjcas18 : 3/7/2023 8:10 am
First of all, in case there was any question, McDavid is the best player on the planet and is really getting himself into the discussion of ATGs IMO. He just needs a ring.

Second, down to the final 20 games or so for almost every team, some less.

Playoff positioning is pretty solid other than some seeding and a couple WC races.

As of this morning:
EAST
Atlantic:
BOS (103 points, 20 games left)
TOR (84 points, 19 games left)
TBL (79 points, 19 games left)

In the WC hunt:
BUF (68 points, 20 games left)
OTT (68 points, 19 games left)
FLA (68 points, 18 games left)

Metro:
CAR (90 points, 21 games left)
NJD (88 points, 20 games left)
NYR (79 points, 19 games left)

In the WC hunt:
NYI (72 points, 17 games left)
PIT (71 points, 20 games left)
WAS (68 points, 17 games left)

WEST
Central
DAL (81 points, 18 games left)
MIN (78 points, 19 games left)
WIN (75 points, 18 games left)

In the WC hunt:
COL (74 points, 21 games left)
NSH (69 points, 21 games left)

Pacific
LVG (82 points, 19 games left)
LAK (81 points, 17 games left)
SEA (78 points, 19 games left)

In the WC hunt:
EDM (78 points, 17 games left)

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Big slate of games today  
JayBinQueens : 3/11/2023 11:05 am : link
.
.  
pjcas18 : 3/11/2023 11:27 am : link
Micah Blake McCurdy
@IneffectiveMath
·
3h
Boston will qualify for the playoffs today if any 3 of the following 4 things happen:

1 Boston gets as many points today as Buffalo does
2 They get as many points today as Florida does
3 They get two more points than Ottawa does
4 They get two more points than the Islanders do
.  
pjcas18 : 3/11/2023 1:03 pm : link
Washington Capitals
@Capitals
·
4m
THREE-V-R

The Washington Capitals have re-signed defenseman Trevor van Riemsdyk to a three-year contract extension. van Riemsdyk's contract will carry an average annual value of $3 million.
I love this  
pjcas18 : 3/13/2023 8:16 pm : link
Quote:
GMs discuss fights after clean hits, other topics on Day 1 of meetings
Video review mechanisms for high-sticking, mandatory protective equipment on table for further action


Such a pet peeve of mine where players give a clean hit and get punked and need to drop the gloves. Xhekaj, Trouba, McAvoy, Romanov, just to name a few, a lot of players doing what they've been taught to do since youth hockey need to deal with bitches.

It should be an instigator penalty

link - ( New Window )
Wow according to Elliott Friedman the Canes fear  
Stu11 : 3/14/2023 12:14 am : link
Svechnikov's knee injury may be a torn ACL. That would be a huge blow.
Link - ( New Window )
RE: Wow according to Elliott Friedman the Canes fear  
pjcas18 : 3/14/2023 7:53 am : link
In comment 16062816 Stu11 said:
Quote:
Svechnikov's knee injury may be a torn ACL. That would be a huge blow. Link - ( New Window )


would be a big blow to the Canes, sucks to see it happen this late, but not going to shed a tear for them. biggest douche bag franchise in the league.
The more I watch  
pjcas18 : 3/14/2023 11:18 am : link
Dallas the more I think they could be the team to beat in the West. Them over LVG.

COL looks like they are rounding in to form at the right time and MIN does too, but they are without Kaprizov the next few weeks.

EDM on the cusp of taking over PAC3 from Seattle.

If you're EDM would you rather play LAK or LVG?

What's weird are some reverse splits for H and A. LVG is better on the road, as is EDM. So in a series where Vegas has home ice, based on trends it could work against them.

Just looking at the West a little more closely.

I think the East has at least three teams better than anyone in the West, but we all know how that goes - they beat each other up through 3 rounds of the playoffs then the West team can win in the SCF.

RE: The more I watch  
Diversify yo bonds : 3/14/2023 12:11 pm : link
In comment 16063146 pjcas18 said:
Quote:


EDM on the cusp of taking over PAC3 from Seattle.

If you're EDM would you rather play LAK or LVG?



Obviously you'd rather play the Kings, Vegas has more brand name talent. People are sleeping on the Kings though. They're deep, the youth are ascending and the old goats can still play. Goaltending isn't elite but you figure one of Korpisalo or Copley will be playing well enough to win.
RE: RE: The more I watch  
Stu11 : 3/14/2023 12:49 pm : link
In comment 16063224 Diversify yo bonds said:
Quote:
In comment 16063146 pjcas18 said:


Quote:




EDM on the cusp of taking over PAC3 from Seattle.

If you're EDM would you rather play LAK or LVG?





Obviously you'd rather play the Kings, Vegas has more brand name talent. People are sleeping on the Kings though. They're deep, the youth are ascending and the old goats can still play. Goaltending isn't elite but you figure one of Korpisalo or Copley will be playing well enough to win.

I agree on LA. Vegas is no slouch, but I'm telling you you don't want to play LA in the playoffs. Their skaters remind me a lot of the Kings cup teams. Big, physical and skilled. Obviously like you said the goaltending is not elite but they have been good. The NHL playoffs never disappoint, and this year they will great. Outside of Boston, you have a lot of really good teams but no real dominant one. The series should be intense. Interestingly enough it's not making for the best races right now, because there is definitely a line between the haves and have nots. There is a pretty good chance that the 16 teams in position right now are your playoff teams. Nashville has a shot in the west with games in hand, but I don't think they beat out Winnipeg. In the East Florida could catch the Islanders but I don't see Detroit, Washington or Ottawa catching them.
I love the Kings  
pjcas18 : 3/14/2023 1:52 pm : link
center depth. Kopitar/Danault are a great 1/2 punch.

Agree Stu, when I opened this thread last week I said the same thing, most of the playoff teams are set just some seed jockeying with 1 or 2 races.

Maybe not what the league wants from a playoff chase, but the playoff matchups stand to be incredible right now.
Lehkonen  
pjcas18 : 3/14/2023 2:03 pm : link
broke his finger in his return to MTL last night.
After 2 goals and an assist.

Out 4-6 weeks.

Seems like a lot for a broken finger. For a hockey player.

big loss. Lehkonen was on PP1 I think and PK1.
RE: I love the Kings  
Stu11 : 3/14/2023 2:35 pm : link
In comment 16063401 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
center depth. Kopitar/Danault are a great 1/2 punch.

Interstate that they have been playing Byfield on the 1st line with Kopitar and Kempe. He could easily give them a 3rd/4th line beast of a C as well
Rasmus Kupari  
pjcas18 : 3/14/2023 3:20 pm : link
is the guy I think they like for the future at C (and for the present on faceoffs) dude is really good for a 22 year old. So many Fins are such smart, fundamentally sound, players.

But I agree Byfield is going to be awesome in a couple years.

it's official  
Greg from LI : 3/14/2023 3:35 pm : link
Svechnikov is done for the season
If anyone is interested  
Stu11 : 3/14/2023 8:04 pm : link
They have the Rangers game on Disney Channel in full animation. It's the actual game. It's really funky. Kind of cool. I'm all for growing the game by making it cooler for the little kids. Amazing what they can do with technology.
The most consequential  
pjcas18 : 3/15/2023 10:37 am : link
draft lottery in almost a decade will take place on May 8th.

CBJ, SJS and CHI are the front runners.

Bedard is really the crown jewel and he's called the best prospect since Crosby, but the top 3 in this draft are all the best prospect since Crosby (assuming you get that Crosby was a better prospect than McDavid, even though McDavid is a better player).
This is the first year  
pjcas18 : 3/15/2023 11:26 am : link
in a long time finishing dead last is worth it.

Last place now has a 26% chance of landing the top pick.

Up from 18% in prior years (since the lottery)
Other key  
pjcas18 : 3/15/2023 11:29 am : link
dates.

RE: This is the first year  
Stu11 : 3/15/2023 12:20 pm : link
In comment 16064971 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
in a long time finishing dead last is worth it.

Last place now has a 26% chance of landing the top pick.

Up from 18% in prior years (since the lottery)

Crazy thing is Anaheim suddenly has gotten red hot after being absolutely awful all year. They may cost themselves Bedard because of it.
RE: RE: This is the first year  
pjcas18 : 3/15/2023 12:49 pm : link
In comment 16065107 Stu11 said:
Quote:
In comment 16064971 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


in a long time finishing dead last is worth it.

Last place now has a 26% chance of landing the top pick.

Up from 18% in prior years (since the lottery)


Crazy thing is Anaheim suddenly has gotten red hot after being absolutely awful all year. They may cost themselves Bedard because of it.


they still have the fewest RW in all of hockey at 12. lol. 12.

Yeah they're awful  
Stu11 : 3/15/2023 12:56 pm : link
And more awful than not they're an easy 2 points. Say what you want about SJ and especially the Habs they bring it every night. It's almost never an easy 2 points.
Hobey Baker  
pjcas18 : 3/15/2023 2:20 pm : link
top 10 finalists announced.

I think Matthew Knies wins it, but who knows. I like that two Habs are nominated (Hutson and Farrell).

Perets should win the Richter award or whatever the college Vezina is called.


There were definitely solid reasons why the Devs and Habs didn't take  
Stu11 : 3/15/2023 2:27 pm : link
him, but Cooley could easily end up being the most impactful player from that draft. I give Arizona a lot of credit for taking him over Wright. They were open to taking a C there and took him instead.
RE: There were definitely solid reasons why the Devs and Habs didn't take  
pjcas18 : 3/15/2023 2:32 pm : link
In comment 16065376 Stu11 said:
Quote:
him, but Cooley could easily end up being the most impactful player from that draft. I give Arizona a lot of credit for taking him over Wright. They were open to taking a C there and took him instead.


Absolutely agree - Cooley can become the best player from that draft and it would surprise no one.

The 2022 draft, while lacking a McDavid, IMO will be proven as very deep in talent, even if not the same high end talent people like for the top of the draft.

Love this  
pjcas18 : 3/15/2023 5:43 pm : link
a little bit of a project, but kid can play.

Will see a lot of this between now and the draft - will even see FA's signed - a few interesting college FA's out there, plus teams get desperate as draft rights expire.

Elite Prospects
@eliteprospects
·
2h
Jayden Struble has signed with the #GoHabsGo , so you should definitely check out @DavidSt_Louis
’s Film Room to learn more about the defenceman 👀🔥

Habs vs Panthers  
pjcas18 : 3/16/2023 7:43 pm : link
so far has 10 goals in the first 15 minutes.

7 - 3 Panthers, 4 min left in the 1st.

It's not even fun to watch, it basically looks like beer league.
I didn't realize  
pjcas18 : 3/16/2023 7:59 pm : link
that tied a record for most goals allowed in a period in NHL history. The NHL is an old league. this is amazing.
RE: Yeah they're awful  
5BowlsSoon : 3/16/2023 8:12 pm : link
In comment 16065193 Stu11 said:
Quote:
And more awful than not they're an easy 2 points. Say what you want about SJ and especially the Habs they bring it every night. It's almost never an easy 2 points.


Except tonight…..
underrated star  
pjcas18 : 3/17/2023 7:58 am : link
in the NHL that surprises almost no one who followed him through juniors, etc. but I was surprised he signed an extension in ARI. I guess winning isn't always #1 priority on players lists of priorities. And as a fan I should consider that more.

Sportsnet Stats
@SNstats
·
15h
Clayton Keller's 30 points since the All-Star break rank 2nd in the #NHL, trailing only Connor McDavid (37).

Keller's 22 even-strength points since the All-Star break rank 1st in the NHL.
Quinnipiac  
pjcas18 : 3/17/2023 6:33 pm : link
and Colgate in OT in ECAC Semis game 1.

BU and Providence in OT in Hockey East Semis game 1.

both scores 1 - 1.

the other semis are:

Harvard and Cornell (ECAC)

UMass Lowell and Merrimack (Hockey East)
Colgate  
pjcas18 : 3/18/2023 11:58 am : link
outlasted Quinnipiac in double OT and Harvard beat Cornell.

If Harvard wins, no big deal for the Frozen Four because Harvard probably would have gotten an at-large big anyway (they are ranked #6 in the country), but if Colgate does someone gets bumped.

Should be Quinnipiac - they, and Rand Pecknold, are proving to be a regular season team. They haven't won the conference tournament in ages (but won the regular season 3 years in a row (at least) and have lost two national championships. twice get knocked out of the Frozen Four in their first game as a 1 seed. Playing an easy ECAC schedule comes back to bite. Also though with Pecknold, he's coached some USA U18/WJC teams that have been favored, but come up short. Until he wins a big game his teams can't win a big game.


In Hockey East - BU plays Merrimack. I'll watch that just to see Lane Hutson.



lol to illustrate MTL's injuries  
pjcas18 : 3/18/2023 12:03 pm : link
there is 3 players here from the opening day roster (Suzuki, Anderson and Hoffman) and 4 from the NHL roster (Drouin opened the season on LTIR)

This isn't even a great AHL team besides Suzuki and Anderson and the 3 D.


Harvey-Pinard Suzuki Ylonen
Gurianov Tierney Anderson
Pitlick Belzile Hoffman
Drouin Richard Pezzetta

3 of 6 D on NHL roster
Matheson Savard
Edmundson Baron
Kovacevic Wideman
isles need devs and rangers to come through today  
Eric on Li : 3/18/2023 12:06 pm : link
east wc is a 3 horse race and money puck has it 77% pitt, 58% fl, 57% isles.

bob and jarry have struggled lately so hopefully that continues. today is a great day for meier and kane to get their first hat tricks with their new teams.
RE: lol to illustrate MTL's injuries  
Eric on Li : 3/18/2023 12:09 pm : link
In comment 16069422 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
there is 3 players here from the opening day roster (Suzuki, Anderson and Hoffman) and 4 from the NHL roster (Drouin opened the season on LTIR)

This isn't even a great AHL team besides Suzuki and Anderson and the 3 D.


Harvey-Pinard Suzuki Ylonen
Gurianov Tierney Anderson
Pitlick Belzile Hoffman
Drouin Richard Pezzetta

3 of 6 D on NHL roster
Matheson Savard
Edmundson Baron
Kovacevic Wideman


good year for it at least. anaheim may be within reach and that's a +10% on the chances at bedard. the big prize would be catching chicago to get to 11.5% overall (+25%).
RE: isles need devs and rangers to come through today  
pjcas18 : 3/18/2023 12:10 pm : link
In comment 16069427 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
east wc is a 3 horse race and money puck has it 77% pitt, 58% fl, 57% isles.

bob and jarry have struggled lately so hopefully that continues. today is a great day for meier and kane to get their first hat tricks with their new teams.


Anyone but FLA is my hope. MTL owns FLA's 1st round pick, unprotected.
RE: RE: isles need devs and rangers to come through today  
Eric on Li : 3/18/2023 12:15 pm : link
In comment 16069435 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 16069427 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


east wc is a 3 horse race and money puck has it 77% pitt, 58% fl, 57% isles.

bob and jarry have struggled lately so hopefully that continues. today is a great day for meier and kane to get their first hat tricks with their new teams.



Anyone but FLA is my hope. MTL owns FLA's 1st round pick, unprotected.


im not sure if im being a homer, but bob's numbers are trending in the wrong direction so im hoping he's wearing down having to play as much as he is now. jarry hasnt been great but pitt has a pretty good lead and nyi have a small lead + sorokin. they need to get barzal back though. the initial offensive sugar high without him has worn off.
RE: Colgate  
Stu11 : 3/18/2023 2:21 pm : link
In comment 16069418 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
outlasted Quinnipiac in double OT and Harvard beat Cornell.

If Harvard wins, no big deal for the Frozen Four because Harvard probably would have gotten an at-large big anyway (they are ranked #6 in the country), but if Colgate does someone gets bumped.

Should be Quinnipiac - they, and Rand Pecknold, are proving to be a regular season team. They haven't won the conference tournament in ages (but won the regular season 3 years in a row (at least) and have lost two national championships. twice get knocked out of the Frozen Four in their first game as a 1 seed. Playing an easy ECAC schedule comes back to bite. Also though with Pecknold, he's coached some USA U18/WJC teams that have been favored, but come up short. Until he wins a big game his teams can't win a big game.


In Hockey East - BU plays Merrimack. I'll watch that just to see Lane Hutson.



Michigan plays Minnesota for the B1G championship 8pm tonight on BTN.
When Michigan  
pjcas18 : 3/18/2023 2:24 pm : link
and Minnesota play there is a ton of talent on the ice.

already drafted players plus some draft eligible
Lane Hutson  
pjcas18 : 3/18/2023 10:14 pm : link
had two goals, including the GW in OT to give BU the Hockey East title. I don't want to like this kid because of his size, but what he's doing is truly incredible.

Colgate upset Harvard

Michigan beat Minnesota
Frozen Four brackets out  
pjcas18 : 3/19/2023 7:08 pm : link
Minnesota #1 seed
Quinnipiac #2
Michigan #3
Denver #4

Brackets linked...
link - ( New Window )
I feel bad because I am rooting against Michigan  
Jay on the Island : 3/19/2023 7:40 pm : link
for the sole reason that I want Luke Hughes to be available ASAP.
RE: I feel bad because I am rooting against Michigan  
pjcas18 : 3/19/2023 7:51 pm : link
In comment 16070310 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
for the sole reason that I want Luke Hughes to be available ASAP.


They were still going to make the frozen four even if they lost to MIN.
Bratt with a hatrick tonight  
Stu11 : 3/19/2023 10:24 pm : link
Devs needed that win in Tampa after the 2 rough earlier ones vs them this week and that complete 3rd period meltdown vs Florida last night.
Three more Saturdays  
pjcas18 : 3/20/2023 9:40 am : link
left in the season.

Most teams have between 11 and 14 games left.

Not much unexpected has changed - BOS clinched. Current standings:

EAST
Atlantic:
BOS 111 points 13 games left
TOR 93 points 13 games left
TBL 90 points 11 games left

Metro:
CAR 98 points 14 games left
NJD 97 points 12 games left
NYR 92 points 12 games left

Wild card:
NYI 80 points 11 games left
PIT 78 points 13 games left
FLA 77 points 13 games left

WAS, BUF, OTT in the hunt

WEST
Central
DAL 89 points 12 games left
MIN 88 points 12 games left
COL 86 points 14 games left

Pacific
LVG 92 points 12 games left
LAK 90 points 12 games left
EDM 86 points 12 games left

Wild card
SEA 83 points 13 games left
WIN 81 points 11 games left
CAL 77 points 12 games left


also  
pjcas18 : 3/20/2023 9:50 am : link
NSH "in the hunt" with 76 points and 14 games left, but after seeing them play last night and with the lineup they put out there I don't expect that to last.

In the Bedard race

it's really a 4-way race between:
CBJ
SJS
CHI
ANA

MTL and PHI are both a longshot at this point

RE: also  
Stu11 : 3/20/2023 10:14 am : link
In comment 16070544 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
NSH "in the hunt" with 76 points and 14 games left, but after seeing them play last night and with the lineup they put out there I don't expect that to last.

In the Bedard race

it's really a 4-way race between:
CBJ
SJS
CHI
ANA

MTL and PHI are both a longshot at this point

Any of the other teams in the mix I can live with but I really hope Bedard doesn't go to hockey Siberia in Columbus.
I don't think Columbus  
pjcas18 : 3/20/2023 10:20 am : link
is a bad destination since Gaudreau is there.

I like their youth core too with
Kent Johnson
Cole Sillinger
Kirill Marchenko
Bemstrom
Jiricek
Mateychuk

anyway, I hope he doesn't go there only because I want him in MTL, and if he doesn't end up in MTL I only hope he doesn't wind up in TOR or BOS (or other Atlantic team) which seems impossible at this point.
well  
pjcas18 : 3/21/2023 7:43 am : link
now FLA took over WC spot from PIT. I don't think they'll look back.

In other news....Fanatics becoming the Amazon of the sports world.

Greg Wyshynski
@wyshynski
·
1h
Fanatics will replace Adidas as the NHL's outfitter of on-ice uniforms and authentic jerseys, beginning with the 2024-25 season on a 10-year deal.

This marks the 1st time @Fanatics
branding will be directly on an official player uniform for a pro sports property. @NHL
Looks  
pjcas18 : 3/21/2023 8:23 am : link
like one more season of no or just a small cap increase.

*if* revenues surpass expectations (by 100M) and the NHLPA can repay escrow this year and the cap could increase $4.5M next year. if not, just a $1M increase - unless they come to agreement to raise the cap "artificially" which basically means the NHLPA pays more in escrow.

NHLPA is the worst.




Big loss  
pjcas18 : 3/22/2023 1:04 pm : link
for FLA last night to PHI.

Any team can lose to any team in the NHL but that one surprised me.
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