Is there a chance that the Giants cut him? With Robinson coming in today and the potential for picking up another FA DL or two or drafting some, will the Giants consider moving on from Leo?
Pre-June cut:
Cap savings this year: $12MM
Dead cap hit: $20.2MM (2023)
Post-June 1 cut:
Cap savings this year: $18MM
Dead cap hit: $14.2MM (2023) and $6MM (2024)
I don't know. He still has value, but he's turning 29 in June and coming off an injury riddled season. He's definitely on the downside of his career. Remember that last year the Giants cut Bradbury, a good player, to create cap space.
Is this a possibility?
They’ve had one good year in basically a decade. That leads to hostility lol. Welcome to BBI.
Apparently Williams team is difficult to negotiate with and if the Giants FO can't get a contract adjustment that works for them they could cut him and use that money to replace him.
Williams a very good player who is becoming less dependable. There's a lot of mileage on his body and he's starting to miss games. I can't imagine he's going to play 2023 with a 32M cap hit. I think one way or another that number is going to change before training camp.
Use the money to replace him with who. The top DLs are pretty much already signed. Robinson may be one of the last quality DLs left. We’re in tough shape without him. Dex, Robinson and Nacho. Ugh.
He's not the same profile of a player he was when he signed.
No way is he cut, because there would be a trade market for him. Especially if the Giants ate a little bit of the money.
In my view Williams is a 15M a player, and I expect his extension to reflect that.
There would be no trade market for Leonard Williams for multiple reasons:
A. He is owed a base salary of $18 million in 2023 with a total cap hit of $32.26 million. Not only would other teams not be willing to pay that, but few teams could even fit a number that large under the cap this season. The Giants would have to either eat a ton of money or throw in a draft pick to make it more appealing for a team which I highly doubt Schoen would be willing to do.
B. other teams know that the Giants have to do something with his contract, and would likely just wait for his release.
In my view Williams is a 15M a player, and I expect his extension to reflect that.
There would be no trade market for Leonard Williams for multiple reasons:
A. He is owed a base salary of $18 million in 2023 with a total cap hit of $32.26 million. Not only would other teams not be willing to pay that, but few teams could even fit a number that large under the cap this season. The Giants would have to either eat a ton of money or throw in a draft pick to make it more appealing for a team which I highly doubt Schoen would be willing to do.
B. other teams know that the Giants have to do something with his contract, and would likely just wait for his release.
I disagree. The Giants aren't up against a financial cliff with Williams. They have a number of other ways to create room to operate.
And the 20.2M (in 23 + 24) in amortized bonus commitments are irrelevant, that's a sunk cost the Giants must book ti their cap at some point.
To the outside world Leonard Williams is on a 1-year, 18M contract. The only question is what would it take it to entice a team to trade for him.
If the Giants made that 1-year, 12M -- I think the Giants could net a top 60 pick.
So you main rotation was FIVE. Due to injuries and the crap playing behind them Dex and Leo played a ridiculous amount of snaps last year.
This year you are looking at Dex, Leo, Nacho, Robinson if he signs and Davidson the rookie as your main 5. Robinson and Nacho are depth and IMPROVED depth...
I fail to understand why Giants fans dont grasp this.
LW still a good player but paid great and not as impactful as Dex. What a surprise LW openly says he wants to play next to a guy who gets double-teamed far more often.
His market value should still be good and bringing in more pick(s) right now for LW would allow Schoen to go find his cheaper replacement and continue the longer term rebuild.
Schoen had to do that last year, now his cap hit is about
32 M this year. I'm not sure he would do that again, but he might?
Their cap situation was just brutal last year.
His cap hit is obscene and I'm not sure offering him even more guaranteed money to stretch that cap hit out makes sense.
This is a great question. If the Giants didn't do anything with Leo's contract they COULD restructure him into the 2024 void year. Which would be stupid because they'd just add onto the 6M of dead money already assigned to 2024 for Leo's cap number.
The Giants can just let Leo play out his last year of his contract (this year) and move on while keeping the cap hit to this year. Or they will extend him and then possibly restructure so they have more room to spread out the hit. Not sure which way they will go.
That's really the only question to be answered.
Nacho is a NT by trade, he'd backup Dexter Lawrence.
That's really the only question to be answered.
He’s probably get 18ish on the open market. Somewhere in he Jones-Hargrave range
But I'm betting LW has seen better days. And maybe we can get a decent pick or two in a trade. There is simply no need to tie up big money with multiple DTs. Just an unwise use of cap funds.
Thought Giants' defense two main issues were lack of quality LBs and depth. Painfully apparent when LW or Dex were out. If Williams is cut or traded, you kind of defeat the prupose of bringing in the depth players.
But, anyone is tradeable.
He shouldn't take less than market.
In fact, we want the actual market for LW services to be fairly strong which means Schoen has optionality to move LW for a good price.
Thought Giants' defense two main issues were lack of quality LBs and depth. Painfully apparent when LW or Dex were out. If Williams is cut or traded, you kind of defeat the prupose of bringing in the depth players.
But, anyone is tradeable.
At 29, he could be wearing down some. Think taking 20% less snaps week after week might change that tune and keep him fresh and healthier
1. Extended to lower his cap number.
2. Plays out his last year.
3. Cut or traded
Same with Adoree Jackson, although we are much thinner at CB without Jackson.
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not seeing motivation for him to take less than market, especially after he sees Dex's new deal.
He shouldn't take less than market.
In fact, we want the actual market for LW services to be fairly strong which means Schoen has optionality to move LW for a good price.
Agreed, but I'm not sure Schoen is very far down that road, if at all. Next move(s) should provide some clue.
They need to add another Williams. If you lose him then make it two. Good luck with that and filling other positions of need. They played without this most of the year.
Right now they have two upper tier players on the D front (Leo and Lawrence). Hopefully Thibs takes a big step and the new ILB is the real deal.
Add a DE in the draft and this D will take a very big step as soon as next year.
This team does play in the NFCE and upper tier/elite fronts are needed.
Now if there are genuine concerns with his injuries from this year that is a entirely different stance on what needs to be done. If not you extend him.
I am guessing Schoen would prefer to keep him here but it's a tough needle to thread.
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Wouldn’t it have to just be a pay cut or extension? Or can they still push money out to future years even if he is not under contract?
This is a great question. If the Giants didn't do anything with Leo's contract they COULD restructure him into the 2024 void year. Which would be stupid because they'd just add onto the 6M of dead money already assigned to 2024 for Leo's cap number.
The Giants can just let Leo play out his last year of his contract (this year) and move on while keeping the cap hit to this year. Or they will extend him and then possibly restructure so they have more room to spread out the hit. Not sure which way they will go.
Makes sense! I hope they extend him AND he takes a pay cut.
The Giants signed Williams and valued him at 63M for 3 years. What year they parked those dollars for salary cap purposes is a balance sheet exercise.
The only worthwhile discussion left is what they value Williams at this and the following years.
If they believe he's a special, difficult to replace player -- then be prepared for another big agreement. Because you better believe Team Williams isn't giving out discounts if that's true. Barnes and Parker haven't given an inch to NYG.
Javon Hargrave, with similar miles on him, just netted 4/81m with 40M guaranteed.
The Giants signed Williams and valued him at 63M for 3 years. What year they parked those dollars for salary cap purposes is a balance sheet exercise.
The only worthwhile discussion left is what they value Williams at this and the following years.
If they believe he's a special, difficult to replace player -- then be prepared for another big agreement. Because you better believe Team Williams isn't giving out discounts if that's true. Barnes and Parker haven't given an inch to NYG.
Javon Hargrave, with similar miles on him, just netted 4/81m with 40M guaranteed.
Exactly. If they truly value his production, they’ll extend/retructure or whatever financial commitment they opt for. He’s had an off season to heal and return for 3-4 more productive years, imv..He’s a cog.
So there is financial incentive for both sides to create a new deal. But when I hear multiple podcasters who have sources close to the Giants talk about how difficult it is to negotiate with his agents, it makes me think that the Giants may not find a new Williams deal they want to live with.
When I speculated they could use his money to replace him, that doesn't mean with just another DT. Maybe the plan would be to sign 2 less expensive run stuffing DTs and a FA CB with that money?
It appears there was/is no option in FA or at #25 in the draft to find a #1 X receiver this year so the Giants got creative and traded for a TE with the intention to make him their potential #1 receiving option. Then they added a fast separation WR receiver to compliment him.
Maybe the plan on defense is to be creative too. Maybe they would rather invest money in CBs rather than 2 high-priced DTs? I think Lawrence will get a market setting DT contract. Maybe adding more money and years on top of the Lawrence contract to a 29 year old DT who is starting to wear down isn't in the budget? Look at the receivers in the division and the Giants CB depth. Wink has said CBs are as important to him as the pass rush. Maybe the Giants want to spread the money around?
Obviously I'm just guessing. This is just my speculation and I think it's it a lot of fun to have smart people running the Giants football operation and try to think along with them.
I will be surprised if Leonard Williams isn't on the 2023 Giants but I won't be shocked.
I'd certainly sign up for 2 more years of Leonard Williams.
I'd certainly sign up for 2 more years of Leonard Williams.
2-3 years, that’s fine
He is still the guy double teamed more than anyone on the DL.
Get some depth guys who can actually play, so he and Dex can get some additional rest
without LW, Dex suffers
You can easily move money from this year and guarantee his 2024 and still move on at 30 if need be. you just eliminate a voidable year.
Big Dex and Lenord William are special.
All the others are hopefully above jag.
Agree. But they both were asked to play way too much. Not anyone's fault due to injury but the fact that only Leo broke down was a miracle. Both guys need about 2/3s to 3/4s of the snaps they took last year.
He hurt his elbow end of camp, then sprained his knee week 2, then got the neck injury which F'd him the rest of the season. Wasn't healthy for 1 game. Terribly frustrating year for him.
If he's healthy (and only the Giants know) he projects as a top notch player again.
if he just plays out this year at 18, he should still get the 10, possibly more, next year from somebody, no?