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NFT: Fantasy Baseball - I'm a novice, need input

allstarjim : 3/31/2023 2:17 am
Had my draft last night.

I had 3 keepers (below, with corresponding round forfeitures):

Adley Rutschman, rd 11
Ronald Acuna, rd 3
Pete Alonso, rd 22

I went into this without really any prep, but kind of wanting to build an offensive powerhouse and target pitching in the middle rounds, because I had so many drafted starting pitchers last year get hurt. IDK.

Here's the team after the draft:

C Rutschman, Christian Vasquez
1B: Alonso, Nathaniel Lowe
2B: Jazz Chisholm
3B: Gunnar Henderson, Ryan McMahon, Brett Baty (minors)
SS: Dansby Swanson, Fernando Tatis Jr (suspended for first 20 games), Jose Mateo
OF: Acuna, Mookie Betts, Jake McCarthy, Michael Conforto, Jake Fraley

UTIL/Bench: Luis Arraez (1B, 2B) Arraez is in my starting lineup right now until Tatis returns.

Right now I also Tatis, Mateo, Fraley, and Baty on the bench.

SP (I'll include my guys on IL here as well): Logan Webb, Jeffrey Springs, Jordan Montgomery, Carlos Rodon (IL), Tony Gonsolin (IL), Kyle Wright (IL), Mike Soroka (minors), Eduardo Rodriguez, Hunter Greene, Carlos Carrasco, Kyle Gibson, Jon Gray

RP: David Robertson, Craig Kimbrel, Reynaldo Lopez, Clarke Schmidt (in my relief spot by will be in starting rotation to start season for awhile for Yanks), Raisel Iglesias

Kind of punted on closer, but I like having Schmidt in there for a bit. I think when Iglesias returns, I should have good production with him and Robertson. I like Kimbrel and especially Lopez to seize control of the closer's role definitively, but I decided for numbers with starting pitching, and with the exception of Hunter Greene, was targeting guys with low WHIPs.

The injured pitchers don't seem to have serious injuries. I expect a May rotation of Rodon, Springs, Webb, Montgomery, Gonsolin, and Wright for depth, with some potential in a Soroka return at some point, and the depth pieces hoping to get some good returns in the short-term, at least some wins from guys in good spots like Carrasco and Schmidt.

What do you guys think? Any opinions on my outfield depth with Fraley and McCarthy? I know I'm kind of looking for a comeback season from Conforto.

I really wanted Kodai Senga but he was taken just two spots before I could grab him. I think I may have to swing a trade at some point to get more pitching, but overall I like it, and it's a process... guys will emerge and I'll try to beat the other guys to the punch.

Championship or nah? 10-team league, head to head.
The starting lineup is a little lengthy, so I'm short on bench  
allstarjim : 3/31/2023 2:37 am : link
Here's what we start weekly, with how my lineup is currently set:

C: Rutschman
C: Vasquez
1B: Alonso
2B: Chisholm
3B: Gunnar Henderson
SS: Swanson
Corner Infield: Nathaniel Lowe
Middle Infield: Luis Arraez (1B/2B eligibility)
Utility: Ryan McMahon (currently 3B eligibility, but suspect he will eventually gain 2B eligibility)
OF (4): Acuna, Betts, McCarthy, Conforto

SP (6): Webb, Springs, Montgomery, Hunter Greene, Jon Gray, Carlos Carrasco
RP (3): Robertson, Kimbrel, Schmidt

Bench (offense): Fraley (OF), Tatis Jr (SS, OF), Mateo (SS), Baty (3B)

Bench pitching: Kyle Gibson (SP), Eduardo Rodriguez (SP), Mike Soroka (SP/minors), Reynaldo Lopez (RP)

IR: Gonsolin (SP), Rodon (SP), Kyle Wright (SP), Raisel Iglesias (RP)

Scoring categories are:

Runs
HR
RBI
SB
AVG

K
ERA
WHIP
Wins
Saves

Would you make any changes to the lineup in terms of the pitching, perhaps Lopez over Kimbrel? Or Rodriguez over Greene or Gray?

Thanks in advance for the input.

Is this  
pjcas18 : 3/31/2023 8:06 am : link
10-team?

If so, not much advice to offer - 10-team in baseball is like 8-team in football.
yeah the offense is superb  
Stu11 : 3/31/2023 9:12 am : link
Pitching is meh. Iglesias is the key. If the injury is serious it really hurts, but if its short term then your BP is very solid. SP is soft but if you work the waiver wire hard that's an area where you can find gems all season long.
RE: Is this  
allstarjim : 3/31/2023 9:25 am : link
In comment 16078944 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
10-team?

If so, not much advice to offer - 10-team in baseball is like 8-team in football.


Yeah it's 10 team.
RE: RE: Is this  
pjcas18 : 3/31/2023 9:31 am : link
In comment 16078980 allstarjim said:
Quote:
In comment 16078944 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


10-team?

If so, not much advice to offer - 10-team in baseball is like 8-team in football.



Yeah it's 10 team.


That team looks awesome to me, once Iglesias comes back.

So, that's my struggle with 10-team in baseball is all the teams look awesome.

Thanks PJ  
allstarjim : 3/31/2023 11:33 am : link
I went ahead already and dropped Fraley for James Outman. What a bad baseball name. But he's younger, he crushed it in the minors last year, he crushed it in his really small sample cup of coffee with the big club towards the end of the year, and he crushed it all spring. And yesterday, he went 2-3 with a homer.

He has some speed, not sure of the upside on steals, but it sounds like Dave Robertson absolutely loves him, and he's going to at least have the good side of a platoon in Center, and if he keeps ranking, perhaps Roberts finds himself unable to keep him out of the lineup everyday.

I'm looking for those breakout performers for outfielders and pitching. I have my eye on some pitchers...Brayan Bello, Grayson Rodriguez (May?), and Frankie Montas (looking at June there). I think there's going to be a mad dash for Rodriguez when it gets close to the deadline for Super Two status to end. So I'm going to have to get him early, likely.

I was thinking I was going to dominate steals with Chisholm, Betts, Acuna, with some contributions from Swanson. If I can fit Mateo in at some point, he should steal a ton of bases, but he has OBP problems. But early projection is just a tie with my opponent for this first week. My first opponent has Tommy Edman, Starling Marte, Julio Rodriguez, Tim Anderson, so it will be tight, there, I think.
Gunnar Henderson  
allstarjim : 3/31/2023 11:37 am : link
If he can blow it up this year, and he did have 22 stolen bags across two levels in the minors, perhaps he can put me over the top. If Henderson can perform to his pedigree and get me 25 steals or so, I think it's going to be a really good year.
My biggest piece of advice  
aimrocky : 3/31/2023 11:50 am : link
is to download Steamers projections from Fangraphs (used to be free, but this year you'll need a membership. I think it's $20) then retrofit their projections to your scoring system. Their projections are historically the most accurate. I've been using their projections for years and consistently finish in the top 2-3 of any league I do.

In my main league, more than half of the teams caught wind to this and started using it as well, so it's become much harder, but I've built a spreadsheet for full season use, where those guys give up on projections after the draft and just eyeball free agents.
RE: My biggest piece of advice  
allstarjim : 3/31/2023 12:03 pm : link
In comment 16079146 aimrocky said:
Quote:
is to download Steamers projections from Fangraphs (used to be free, but this year you'll need a membership. I think it's $20) then retrofit their projections to your scoring system. Their projections are historically the most accurate. I've been using their projections for years and consistently finish in the top 2-3 of any league I do.

In my main league, more than half of the teams caught wind to this and started using it as well, so it's become much harder, but I've built a spreadsheet for full season use, where those guys give up on projections after the draft and just eyeball free agents.


Great advice, thanks. My whole league dues is only $20, so IDK about the cost-value proposition there, but I'll consider it.
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