I honestly believe this year's roster is more talented than last year's and by a decent margin at that.
For one, last year the cap strangled us so we had to make deep cuts and rebuild.
For two, we have some young guys like Thibodeux, Neal, and Robinson (injury aside) who should make big leaps at key positions for us this year.
For three, the guys will be much more comfortable in the coach's systems this year and therefore execute better.
The schedule is harder and teams have a year of film to evaluate our new system better so we won't be catching teams off-guard as much (see Titans game 1 last year).
My gut says we make a run this year with a minimum of a 10-7 record. The Eagles on paper have more talent but we are pretty close to the Cowboys and better than the Washington Commanders "team" right now. Thoughts?
I think the more reasonable and important factor is how 2nd and 3rd year players improve. Guys like Robinson, Ojulari, Thibs, Ezeudu, and Neal.
That should be a huge difference in last year's scoring ability. If the Giants start jumping out of the box with quick scoring ability and have a tougher defense with more beef. They are going to do some damage all along the watchtower.
Last year, when they had to pivot because of injuries the pro personnel team did a masterful job of finding other teams' scraps to come in and play.
This year, there are far more contingency plans throughout the roster.
With that being said, Eric and even a lot of pundits warn that the record may not reflect that the roster is better this year. The trajectory is clearly pointing up, but the competition this season is going to be infinitely more tough.
The goals for the Giants, at least for me:
1. win more division games.
2. Increase explosive plays on offense
4. See progression in guys like Neal/Thibs
3. Improve run defense
If after all of that, they are alive come December, I'll call 2023 a success.
Same for the other teams? Or just the Giants?
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depend on 2nd year players making big jumps - sometimes it happens but sometimes it doesn't.
Same for the other teams? Or just the Giants?
I think it varies with the player, not the team.
Either they make some kind of jump in their 2nd/3rd years or they’re probably gone by their 4th. If they’re not improving then just when will it happen. Years 2 and 3 are key to becoming good players in this league. I believe we’ve got a good group but they need to step up now.
The averages make it more probable than not that only a third of those players that you think should/or need to, will actually make strides.
But what I see is a blended mix of vet UFAs, draftees and UDFAs.
So when I look at a jump in offensive production:
In the WR room there are at least four vets who I think will have an impact on speed and production - Hodgins, Campbell, Slayton and Crowder - if any of Hyatt, Robinson or Ford Wheaton pan out it is icing on the cake;
In the TE room - Bellinger only needs to modestly improve and Waller needs to play in 12 games for this to be a high impact TE room;
In the RB room - Barkley production of last year and power running between the tackles from Eric Gray makes this room better.
I am not worried about the Oline improving, I think it will -- but not because of reliance on Neal to make a huge jump -- it's going to improve as a whole because the defense is going to be forced to pay attention to the WR and TE corps
Comes down to how much progress the fronts make for me but I am optimistic.
If the OL comes around this could be a pretty dynamic offense beating teams with both the run and pass.
I have felt the D can be a top 10 one.
I don't subscribe to the idea that regression is likely. In my experience as a Giants fan, when there was regression (e.g, 1995 after a strong finish (winning last 6 straight) in '94, some people were predicting big things in '95, but we ended up sucking and going 5-11), the problem was a combination of a loss of talent, mediocre coaching, predictable play calling, etc.
We lost talent between '94 and '95 and little to no talent was added. And some of the talent that was retained was a yr older, a yr more brittle and less effective. And the play calling was pretty horrendous.
This year is completely different from that. We've added a significant amount of talent to a team that was one of the last 8 teams standing last yr. Plugged most of the glaring holes, have added depth almost everywhere and as of right now, I couldn't be happier about our coaching staff.
Unlike most, I don't think the schedule is going to be such a huge factor. People say in retrospect that our schedule was so easy last yr but I don't recall anyone saying that this time last yr or anyone predicting we'd beat Tenn, Balt, the Packers or a 13-4 team on the road in the playoffs.
I am confident we're going to do better in the division (would be happy with 3-3) and there aren't that many teams on our schedule that scare me (anymore than the eagles) and that's largely due to confidence in our coaches and the increased overall talent.
To paraphrase Dennis Hopper in Blue Velvet "Regression! F*ck that shit!" Ha ha.
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Regression would seem to be likely, but on the other hand, we aren't the same team. Anything can happen.
I don't subscribe to the idea that regression is likely. In my experience as a Giants fan, when there was regression (e.g, 1995 after a strong finish (winning last 6 straight) in '94, some people were predicting big things in '95, but we ended up sucking and going 5-11), the problem was a combination of a loss of talent, mediocre coaching, predictable play calling, etc.
We lost talent between '94 and '95 and little to no talent was added. And some of the talent that was retained was a yr older, a yr more brittle and less effective. And the play calling was pretty horrendous.
This year is completely different from that. We've added a significant amount of talent to a team that was one of the last 8 teams standing last yr. Plugged most of the glaring holes, have added depth almost everywhere and as of right now, I couldn't be happier about our coaching staff.
Unlike most, I don't think the schedule is going to be such a huge factor. People say in retrospect that our schedule was so easy last yr but I don't recall anyone saying that this time last yr or anyone predicting we'd beat Tenn, Balt, the Packers or a 13-4 team on the road in the playoffs.
I am confident we're going to do better in the division (would be happy with 3-3) and there aren't that many teams on our schedule that scare me (anymore than the eagles) and that's largely due to confidence in our coaches and the increased overall talent.
To paraphrase Dennis Hopper in Blue Velvet "Regression! F*ck that shit!" Ha ha.
+1 - all very good points
That said, I don't care about the additions. I fell into this same trap in 2017. Then again in 2018. And again in 2021. All I care about is how this staff and process works from one year to the next. I believe Daboll knows how to make things easy for the offense and he knows how to get the most ouf of his players. TO me that's all that matters. If Daboll is truly COY good like he was in 22, we will be terrific going forward. If he's average? We will be up n down.
That is the key in 2023. Stay at or around 23 ppg all year, sneak in a perfect explosive game or two--and you have 400 points scored. Win.
I will take a crack at reviewing roster improvements, focusing on starter and backups, discounting MOSTLY the presence of rookies, but assuming that the 2nd year and injured players will come in reliably.
QB: Jones and Taylor, improvement will come from improve receivers.
RB: Barkley et al., no change unless Barkley does not play. Not counting on rookie RB.
O-line: Slight improvement. I have to consider Schmitz here but I don’t know if a rookie center is an improvement over a converted guard like Feliciano. Slight improvement from Neal likely, and some stability at LG, we hope.
TE: Big improvement here because Waller also makes the depth better, too.
WR: Without considering Hyatt, and knowing how Golladay turned out, solid improvement here. Having Hodgins all year helps.
D-line: NIck Williams was doing a good job before he was injured. A. Robinson may be a slight improvement but mainly it will be depth giving Dex and Williams fewer snaps.
Edge: Improvement for within with second year from Thibs and no injuries to Ojulari. If Ojulari is out again, this position is downgraded because there were no additons.
LB: Okereke obviously makes this position better but the 2nd LB is still an unknown.
CB and slot: Have to rely on the rookie for major improvement here. Otherwise, improvement from 2nd and 3rd year vets may only be a slight improvement.
Safety: All depends upon Love’s replacement. Can Belton play that role? Can Bobby McCain? I have to say no improvement here until the second safety is identified.
SUMMARY: Biggest improvements come at TE and WR, and the benefits they bring to Jones’ game. Improvements on defense mostly come from getting some new players who may fit Wink’s defense better.