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revisiting hyatt's fall to round 3

Eric on Li : 9/18/2023 11:51 am
2 weeks isn't much of a sample size but it's been a kind of interesting 2 weeks for the 2023 draft class of wide receivers. the obvious question posed to hyatt enthusiasts ("then why did he fall to round 3?") looks to be getting answered, as it looks like other teams may not have made mistakes as much as simply chosen more proven players who fit their schemes.

the top of the WR class got a decent amount of criticism because there weren't any top 15 picks but it looks like the class in general was a solid 10-15 deep of guys who have had an impact right away:

round 2/3's ahead of hyatt (pick #73):

pick #39 jonathan mingo - only 2 receptions week 1, plays game 2 tonight
pick #50 jayden reed - had 2 tds this week, 6 catches overall for a surprisingly potent GB offense with jordan love
pick #55 rashee rice - caught 2/2 targets this week, had a td last week, has looked like the most promising KC wr
pick #63 marvin mims - caught a 60 yard td from russ this week and had another 50+ yarder
pick #69 tank dell - caught 7/10 for 70 yards and 1 td, also had another td called back on a penalty

round 1's

pick #20 jsn - returned from broken wrist quicker than expected, looked good behind dk/lockett
pick #21 quentin johnston - so far stuck behind allen/mike williams
pick #22 zay flowers - clearly bal's #1, caught 13/15 targets for 140 through 2 weeks
pick #23 jordan addison - tds in his first 2 games, 7 receptions for 133 yards eating up 1 on 1's thanks to all the attention on jefferson

the consensus positive reaction to the trade up does seem pretty justified so far bc among the next receivers off the board (tillman #74, downs #79, wilson #94) hyatt appears to have a lot more juice than that group and the thing this nyg offense needed is what hyatt provides - big plays.

going forward i think the nyg need to really evaluate increasing hyatt's reps and making things at least 50/50 with campbell. a lot of the 2nd/3rd round receivers who went ahead of him had more experience in CFB than he did since he was a junior declaration and really a 1 year starter, so the polish he has shown right away is a big check mark in his favor. one of his negatives was simply a short resume making it possible he'd need more time before being ready to contribute. he has run by everyone and shown the kind of ball skills a lot of guys at his speed level didn't have (think ted ginn, will fuller). hyatt, hodgins, and slayton are the team's best 3 and the sooner they get there the better, and the more reps he gets the sooner he will get there. after yesterday's game im sure he has a lot of confidence, now is the time to hit the gas and see what's what. puka and tutu just had big games vs SF, if i were hoping to gameplan an x-factor to surprise everyone on a short week without barkley, hyatt would be my pick. id be trying to get him 10 touches/targets in that game.
this is from snap counts thread  
Eric on Li : 9/18/2023 11:53 am : link
hodgins and slayton are rightfully 1/2 right now at 56/51 snaps respectively.

id reverse the 45 for campbell and 14 for hyatt for at least a week and see what happens.


I can’t wait for Wan’Dale to return  
Jay on the Island : 9/18/2023 12:02 pm : link
Hopefully he replaces much of Campbells snaps and I wouldn’t complain if he took all of Shepard’s.
RE: this is from snap counts thread  
armstead98 : 9/18/2023 12:03 pm : link
In comment 16211505 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
hodgins and slayton are rightfully 1/2 right now at 56/51 snaps respectively.

id reverse the 45 for campbell and 14 for hyatt for at least a week and see what happens.



Who plays the slot? Those are outside guys - maybe put Hodgins inside?
Hyatt will supplant Slayton  
gary_from_chester : 9/18/2023 12:03 pm : link
Over time. Better hands, more explosive. I actually think Hyatt, Hodgins and Robinson become your dynamic threesome. Hodgins reliable chain mover, Robinson dynamic slot, Hyatt homerun threat.

Agree his snap count needs to go up. I love his hands and the way he highpoints the ball. I’ve seen people on the board compare him to Desean Jackson; if he were a few inches taller I’d compare him more to Randy Moss. Easy speed, a real glider, with good hands…really adjusts well on the long throws. Should take a few deep shots with him every game. Excited to see his growth.
Hyatt's scary speed needs to be on the field.  
penkap75 : 9/18/2023 12:05 pm : link
Keeps the D honest, and opens up things for Waller and underneath guys.
RE: RE: this is from snap counts thread  
Eric on Li : 9/18/2023 12:06 pm : link
In comment 16211531 armstead98 said:
Quote:
In comment 16211505 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


hodgins and slayton are rightfully 1/2 right now at 56/51 snaps respectively.

id reverse the 45 for campbell and 14 for hyatt for at least a week and see what happens.





Who plays the slot? Those are outside guys - maybe put Hodgins inside?


all 3 of them can play all 3 spots. hyatt played mostly slot in college and hodgins/slayton each played like 20%+ slot last year. waller also lines up in slot a lot.
I'm not ready to draw any conclusions...  
bw in dc : 9/18/2023 12:07 pm : link
yet. I was just glad to see Hyatt getting opportunities and capitalizing.

Personally, I don't want Hyatt to just to be the vertical guy/threat. I think he can be much more in the short and medium areas.
RE: I can’t wait for Wan’Dale to return  
Eric on Li : 9/18/2023 12:11 pm : link
In comment 16211527 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
Hopefully he replaces much of Campbells snaps and I wouldn’t complain if he took all of Shepard’s.


of all of them i think wandale is best suited to be the guy who gets 20-25 snaps per game even once fully healthy.

i think he is more than a gadget player, but i think at his size that keeps him fresh and hopefully allows his usage to be highest impact.

campbell as a bridge to hyatt being ready and wandale being healthy was a fine theory, and who knows maybe a big start could have kept a big role for him all year, but i dont think it makes sense to keep a guy who can scare defenses like hyatt off the field and once healthy the manufactured touches/motion plays are probably going to be more effective with wandale.

im not burying campbell, if someone gets hurt they may still need him to step up like james did last year. but hyatt is clearly the more worthy playing time investment right now.
RE: I'm not ready to draw any conclusions...  
Eric on Li : 9/18/2023 12:13 pm : link
In comment 16211545 bw in dc said:
Quote:
yet. I was just glad to see Hyatt getting opportunities and capitalizing.

Personally, I don't want Hyatt to just to be the vertical guy/threat. I think he can be much more in the short and medium areas.


what conclusion is anyone drawing?

is it not a fact that about 10 day 1/2 receivers from this year's draft have been making impacts already for their respective teams, hyatt included?
We all knew he was fast  
Gman11 : 9/18/2023 12:16 pm : link
but I was more impressed with his second catch.
RE: Hyatt will supplant Slayton  
Rory : 9/18/2023 12:19 pm : link
In comment 16211534 gary_from_chester said:
Quote:
Over time. Better hands, more explosive. I actually think Hyatt, Hodgins and Robinson become your dynamic threesome. Hodgins reliable chain mover, Robinson dynamic slot, Hyatt homerun threat.

Agree his snap count needs to go up. I love his hands and the way he highpoints the ball. I’ve seen people on the board compare him to Desean Jackson; if he were a few inches taller I’d compare him more to Randy Moss. Easy speed, a real glider, with good hands…really adjusts well on the long throws. Should take a few deep shots with him every game. Excited to see his growth.


I watched a few Tennessee games, I wouldn't be so quick to say his hands are better.
Only time will tell  
anon837 : 9/18/2023 12:27 pm : link
This happens every year. There are young players that break out the gate early in the season. And then they eventually hit the wall, with some never getting back up. I like what I see so far but he has to keep it going. This should be brought up next year at this time.
His game thus far is aligning  
eric2425ny : 9/18/2023 12:31 pm : link
with the Will Fuller comp. We’ll have to see how refined his route running is before putting on the field a significant number of plays.
Hyatt used as a cautionary weapon is very dangerous  
Rich_Houston_1971 : 9/18/2023 12:34 pm : link
That first play of second half you could see the "oh Crap" look on the cards CB and Safety faces when they got a taste of Hyatt's speed.

I think using him in surprise situations like yesterday is biggest bang for the buck to make the opposing defense change there D lineup when he enteres the game.
21% snap share  
allstarjim : 9/18/2023 12:39 pm : link
27% route participation, 6% target share.

All of these numbers need to go way up in the short term. Parris Campbell is not the answer. He should be the WR4 on this team at best.

Whenever Hyatt is in the game, he's a force multiplier with his ability to take the top off.

By the way, I think this will happen, I think his utilization will increase as soon as Thursday night, and think he'll be solidly getting starter's reps by week 6 at latest. I really hope so, at least, but also fully expect it. You can't keep a talent like this on the sidelines for too long.
RE: Hyatt used as a cautionary weapon is very dangerous  
UConn4523 : 9/18/2023 12:41 pm : link
In comment 16211611 Rich_Houston_1971 said:
Quote:
That first play of second half you could see the "oh Crap" look on the cards CB and Safety faces when they got a taste of Hyatt's speed.

I think using him in surprise situations like yesterday is biggest bang for the buck to make the opposing defense change there D lineup when he enteres the game.


Well that only works once or twice. Can’t make a living in the NFL on surprising people.
If you finally manage to assemble a competent rather than clueless  
Bob in Newburgh : 9/18/2023 12:42 pm : link
o-line.

The unique problems caused by a core 4 of Jones, Barkley, Waller and Hyatt should be a OC's dream.

The natural talent I have seen from Hyatt means he should be getting majority of WR snaps sooner rather than later.
RE: RE: Hyatt used as a cautionary weapon is very dangerous  
allstarjim : 9/18/2023 1:28 pm : link
In comment 16211624 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 16211611 Rich_Houston_1971 said:


Quote:


That first play of second half you could see the "oh Crap" look on the cards CB and Safety faces when they got a taste of Hyatt's speed.

I think using him in surprise situations like yesterday is biggest bang for the buck to make the opposing defense change there D lineup when he enteres the game.



Well that only works once or twice. Can’t make a living in the NFL on surprising people.


Hyatt won't surprise them and he doesn't need to. Tyreek Hill doesn't surprise anyone, and they double the hell out of him and he still gets open and still kills teams. Hyatt has the capability to be that kind of player. No, I'm not saying he's Tyreek Hill. I'm just saying he has that kind of potential.
RE: We all knew he was fast  
Costy16 : 9/18/2023 1:55 pm : link
In comment 16211571 Gman11 said:
Quote:
but I was more impressed with his second catch.


Met the ball at it's highest point and boxed out the defender. Excellent job by him. Also a great throw from Jones there to put that where he could go up and bring it down.
...  
ryanmkeane : 9/18/2023 2:19 pm : link
Not sure why he fell but watching him catch the first deep ball with his hands without basically breaking stride made me realize that he's going to be good. And the second one, hands catch, tough contested ball. Love it.
How about Puka?  
rnargi : 9/18/2023 2:36 pm : link
Just wow after 2 games.
Very problematic for defenses  
Bob in Newburgh : 9/18/2023 2:51 pm : link
If they double him, every one else benefits.

If single, but cushion, easy breakoff pitch and catch. Keep moving the chains.

If single, but tight, read whether S can get over, if he can't, Jones throws it as far as he can. Something good must happen.

If attention paid to Hyatt, Barkley ground game benefits, Waller pass game benefits.
RE: How about Puka?  
Eric on Li : 9/18/2023 2:58 pm : link
In comment 16211940 rnargi said:
Quote:
Just wow after 2 games.


the rams are the most fun story of the year so far i think.

puka has been amazing and tutu has been really good as well. if they can protect stafford they are going to be really fun this year.

i would imagine the giants are going be trying to get hyatt and slayton doing a lot of what those 2 did against SF yesterday on Thursday.
Slayton played well yesterday and also blocked well on runs  
X : 9/18/2023 3:48 pm : link
Hyatt does not have great hands and so far we haven't seen much other than go routes. We know what Slayton can do and let's hope he can keep it up without the drops.

It is nice to have a couple of speedsters keeping the D honest

RE: Slayton played well yesterday and also blocked well on runs  
allstarjim : 9/18/2023 4:23 pm : link
In comment 16212034 X said:
Quote:
Hyatt does not have great hands and so far we haven't seen much other than go routes. We know what Slayton can do and let's hope he can keep it up without the drops.

It is nice to have a couple of speedsters keeping the D honest


How have you concluded Hyatt "does not have great hands"?

Last year, he either had a 5% or 6.9% drop rate with Tennessee. Both are fine numbers. The median drop rate in the NFL at WR last year was 6.7%.

Was it because he dropped one ball in week 1, in his first game as a pro? Jiminy.
Him making that contested catch  
UConn4523 : 9/18/2023 4:28 pm : link
kinda exposes that post above - how do you conclude bad hands? Until he drops multiple gimmes I’m going to go ahead and say his hands aren’t a liability.
RE: RE: RE: Hyatt used as a cautionary weapon is very dangerous  
bw in dc : 9/18/2023 4:36 pm : link
In comment 16211799 allstarjim said:
Quote:

Hyatt won't surprise them and he doesn't need to. Tyreek Hill doesn't surprise anyone, and they double the hell out of him and he still gets open and still kills teams. Hyatt has the capability to be that kind of player. No, I'm not saying he's Tyreek Hill. I'm just saying he has that kind of potential.


I see where you are going. I would absolutely applaud if Hyatt was used more in the short game: jet sweeps, bubbles, drag routes, flats, shallows.
RE: Hyatt was used more in the short game: jet sweeps, bubbles …  
Trainmaster : 9/18/2023 4:41 pm : link
+1
RE: RE: Slayton played well yesterday and also blocked well on runs  
Rory : 9/19/2023 12:05 am : link
In comment 16212086 allstarjim said:
Quote:
In comment 16212034 X said:


Quote:


Hyatt does not have great hands and so far we haven't seen much other than go routes. We know what Slayton can do and let's hope he can keep it up without the drops.

It is nice to have a couple of speedsters keeping the D honest




How have you concluded Hyatt "does not have great hands"?

Last year, he either had a 5% or 6.9% drop rate with Tennessee. Both are fine numbers. The median drop rate in the NFL at WR last year was 6.7%.

Was it because he dropped one ball in week 1, in his first game as a pro? Jiminy.


watched a few Tenn games last year, He's def prone to a few drops and some bobbles
RE: His game thus far is aligning  
JoeSchoens11 : 9/19/2023 6:58 am : link
In comment 16211601 eric2425ny said:
Quote:
with the Will Fuller comp. We’ll have to see how refined his route running is before putting on the field a significant number of plays.
Getting a healthy version of Will Fuller in the 3rd is amazing value.
Slayton + Hyatt  
Chocco : 9/19/2023 7:51 am : link
Lined up together outside. Hopefully we will see more of this. Tough to cover and creates a lot of opportunities
RE: We all knew he was fast  
MotownGIANTS : 9/19/2023 8:08 am : link
In comment 16211571 Gman11 said:
Quote:
but I was more impressed with his second catch.


Yeah some poster commented on his ball skills ... You can see he attacks the ball and uses his hands to catch very well. Hopefully with Slayton's self reflection and a peer to watch in those areas he improves more than expected also.


Hyatt needs to start  
Thegratefulhead : 9/19/2023 10:29 am : link
NOW!

On the field as much as possible. Bringing him for few plays does not allow him to get comfortable. I would get Hyatt a catch on the first series and keep him involved. Capture the eyes of the defense.
RE: Slayton + Hyatt  
Thegratefulhead : 9/19/2023 10:30 am : link
In comment 16212564 Chocco said:
Quote:
Lined up together outside. Hopefully we will see more of this. Tough to cover and creates a lot of opportunities
It does, Slayton is legit fast too, he does get separation it is measurable. Really, 2 track guys.
Let's not get too crazy  
Blueworm : 9/19/2023 5:55 pm : link
Remember, he's only 180lbs.
some post-week 3 updates - this was a good day 2 WR class  
Eric on Li : 9/25/2023 4:54 pm : link
tank dell - 5/145/1 td
jayden reed - 3/63
rashee rice - 5/59 and a couple near tds
marvin mims - 3/73 and a 99 yard return td
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