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Be careful what you wish for

4xchamps : 11/15/2023 7:51 am
JaMarcus Russell
Joey Harrington
Daniel Jones
Sam Darnold
Matt Leinart
Tim Tebow
Josh Rosen
Brandon Weeden
JP Loseman
Brady Quinn
Christian Ponder
Kyle Boller
Vince Young
Baker Mayfield

All first round picks.

The odds of getting this NFL talent level is equal or worse than the odds of getting the next Joe Borrow, no matter where you pick.

Arizona, Cleveland, Jets, Giants, Panthers, Commanders Bears, Falcons and Titans all draft in the top half of the draft every years and all of them still suck.

Keep dreaming if you're one of those that advocates tanking. Losing "tanks" your culture and it rarely makes a team better quickly. Even the Lions, who have drafted high for 20 years took that look to be competitive.

The end...


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RE: RE: I can do this also  
Jay on the Island : 11/15/2023 9:15 am : link
In comment 16289722 4xchamps said:
Quote:

Yep and you can do Brad Johnson (free agent signing), Trend Dilfer (free agent signing), etc. etc..... tanking tanks franchises....

What round was Trent Dilfer drafted in again?
RE: RE: RE: I can do this also  
Section331 : 11/15/2023 9:25 am : link
In comment 16289800 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
In comment 16289722 4xchamps said:


Quote:



Yep and you can do Brad Johnson (free agent signing), Trend Dilfer (free agent signing), etc. etc..... tanking tanks franchises....


What round was Trent Dilfer drafted in again?


LOL.
if you're going to base decisions  
santacruzom : 11/15/2023 9:26 am : link
on what occurred often in the past, you're going to be determined to dump Jones. There isn't much historical precedent for a QB who performs as Jones has improving to an elite player at his position.
Of course it's a crapshoot  
Anakim : 11/15/2023 9:29 am : link
It's all about faith. Do you believe this is the guy to take you to new heights...
Wanna bet  
Blueworm : 11/15/2023 9:30 am : link
The OP never played baseball?


"Trying is the first step to failure."
RE: You already started a similar thread 5 days ago  
Scooter185 : 11/15/2023 9:31 am : link
In comment 16289714 Jim in Tampa said:
Quote:
Why start another thread that is essentially the same one? Same Thread - ( New Window )


Has a narrative to push. OP is one of a couple posters who have been in perpetual meltdown mode since Jones' knee injury
RE:  
Optimus-NY : 11/15/2023 9:35 am : link
In comment 16289697 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
.


+1
I don't understand the point of this thread  
Jay on the Island : 11/15/2023 9:36 am : link
You discuss how there have been many QB busts in the NFL draft over the past three decades. This could be said with every position. Besides QB the biggest need on the Giants is probably RT and the Giants just used the 7th overall pick on Evan Neal less than two years ago. Neal was considered the safest OT in the draft at the time and was expected to go before the Giants picked at 7.

There is not a single poster on this site that doesn't understand the risks involved with drafting a QB in the top 5 but they almost all support it because of the impressive talent that is in this years draft. What's the topic of your next thread going to be, water is wet?
RE: Several of those picks  
Johnny5 : 11/15/2023 9:39 am : link
In comment 16289695 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
We’re chosen mid to late first round so that list is misleading. This is ridiculous to suggest they shouldn’t draft a QB because there have been many busts before. What do you suggest they do at QB then?

They will draft a QB, as they should. But the point is accurate. Even drafting one of the top QBs this year, the odds are still incredibly long that we end up with an actual top-shelf franchise QB.
We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
Mike from Ohio : 11/15/2023 9:43 am : link
The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.
RE: RE: Several of those picks  
pjcas18 : 11/15/2023 9:48 am : link
In comment 16289828 Johnny5 said:
Quote:
In comment 16289695 Jay on the Island said:


Quote:


We’re chosen mid to late first round so that list is misleading. This is ridiculous to suggest they shouldn’t draft a QB because there have been many busts before. What do you suggest they do at QB then?


They will draft a QB, as they should. But the point is accurate. Even drafting one of the top QBs this year, the odds are still incredibly long that we end up with an actual top-shelf franchise QB.


Of course the odds are long, but they are longer if you take a QB later in the draft.

You miss  
Spider43 : 11/15/2023 9:50 am : link
100% of the shots you don't take. Gimme' the shot at that franchise-altering talent. Better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all. ;-P
RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
section125 : 11/15/2023 9:56 am : link
In comment 16289834 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.


Mike, unfortunately Jones responded very well to Daboll and obviously made a positive impression on Schoen too.
It is easy for us to sit here now and see last year was an absolute mirage. The guy has had ups and downs(more of them)through his career and when given solid coaching appeared to make steady improvement including a playoff win. Yet, the clue should have been the Eagle game(I turned off mid 2nd quarter).

What I would truly like to know is how the hell(aside from one half) could Jones have crapped the bed so badly? It is not like he doesn't put the time in. Yes the slow processing is evident, but even with that he should still should have been able to look somewhat competent. This is the worst he has ever looked.

But it is also clearly evident it is time to move on. I almost do not care who they draft next year to be QB. That person will be a huge upgrade.
The fact is IF you don't have an elite QB, your odds of winning  
Tom in NY : 11/15/2023 9:59 am : link
a championship are substantially lower than if you do.

Have Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes not taught us this lesson enough already?

I like Daniel Jones and wanted him to succeed here in the worst way. It hasn't worked out so far.
The Giants now have the opportunity to get a top level QB prospect, one that does not come along every year. They have no choice but to take the one they feel is the best...whether that be Williams, Maye, or Daniels.
It's time for Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll to put their reputations on the line.
RE: RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
Mike from Ohio : 11/15/2023 10:01 am : link
In comment 16289853 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16289834 Mike from Ohio said:


Quote:


The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.



Mike, unfortunately Jones responded very well to Daboll and obviously made a positive impression on Schoen too.
It is easy for us to sit here now and see last year was an absolute mirage. The guy has had ups and downs(more of them)through his career and when given solid coaching appeared to make steady improvement including a playoff win. Yet, the clue should have been the Eagle game(I turned off mid 2nd quarter).

What I would truly like to know is how the hell(aside from one half) could Jones have crapped the bed so badly? It is not like he doesn't put the time in. Yes the slow processing is evident, but even with that he should still should have been able to look somewhat competent. This is the worst he has ever looked.

But it is also clearly evident it is time to move on. I almost do not care who they draft next year to be QB. That person will be a huge upgrade.


He responded when he was put in an offense that was built to hide his biggest flaw - decision making. He was put in more situations to get rid of the ball quickly. That helped. It did not turn him into a functional NFL starter.

I think Schoen and Daboll saw enough to think he can run their offense competently until they could find someone else. That is why there was a two year out in his contract.

Sometimes you are stuck with a guy who isn't very good because you don't have the resource/options to get better. I think that was why they gave him the contract they did. I don't think either of them ever said "this is our guy" or they would not have been looking to move on from him in two years.
RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
Go Terps : 11/15/2023 10:03 am : link
In comment 16289834 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.


This.

If we draft a QB, if we're not feeling really good about him by the end of year two we should be open to trading him, drafting another quarterback, anything.

Two seasons. That's the length of the scholarship.
If we have faith that  
Dave on the UWS : 11/15/2023 10:07 am : link
Schoen is a good talent evaluator, then you trust him to pull the trigger on the guy he and Dabs want. It’s not complicated.
If the guy doesn’t pan out, we will be looking at new management in a few years. If he’s the guy, the trajectory is up and this season will be in the rear BBI we mirror.
RE: RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
Section331 : 11/15/2023 10:15 am : link
In comment 16289853 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16289834 Mike from Ohio said:


Quote:


The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.



Mike, unfortunately Jones responded very well to Daboll and obviously made a positive impression on Schoen too.
It is easy for us to sit here now and see last year was an absolute mirage. The guy has had ups and downs(more of them)through his career and when given solid coaching appeared to make steady improvement including a playoff win. Yet, the clue should have been the Eagle game(I turned off mid 2nd quarter).

What I would truly like to know is how the hell(aside from one half) could Jones have crapped the bed so badly? It is not like he doesn't put the time in. Yes the slow processing is evident, but even with that he should still should have been able to look somewhat competent. This is the worst he has ever looked.

But it is also clearly evident it is time to move on. I almost do not care who they draft next year to be QB. That person will be a huge upgrade.


I agree that Jones responded well to Daboll’s coaching, but that was because Daboll micromanaged him. He simplified the offense to a lot of one read RPO, used Barkley as a decoy to allow Jones to use his one outstanding trait - his speed - to create plays.

People like to point to the Philly playoff game as when teams caught on to what Daboll was doing, but let’s not forget they went 3-6-1 after the 6-1 start, so I would argue that teams had already started to figure it out. That the 31st ranked pass defense in the league couldn’t shouldn’t obscure that fact.

I firmly believe that Schoen and Daboll knew what they had in Jones, a game manager able to win games by playing ball control with a decent defense. Once teams figured out keeping Jones in the pocket and taking away his short routes, he struggled. Daboll and Schoen watch tape, they knew this, which is why they structured his contract with an out after 2 years. If they really believed in him, they would have locked him up longer than that.
RE: RE: RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
section125 : 11/15/2023 10:19 am : link
In comment 16289870 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
In comment 16289853 section125 said:


Quote:


In comment 16289834 Mike from Ohio said:


Quote:


The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.



Mike, unfortunately Jones responded very well to Daboll and obviously made a positive impression on Schoen too.
It is easy for us to sit here now and see last year was an absolute mirage. The guy has had ups and downs(more of them)through his career and when given solid coaching appeared to make steady improvement including a playoff win. Yet, the clue should have been the Eagle game(I turned off mid 2nd quarter).

What I would truly like to know is how the hell(aside from one half) could Jones have crapped the bed so badly? It is not like he doesn't put the time in. Yes the slow processing is evident, but even with that he should still should have been able to look somewhat competent. This is the worst he has ever looked.

But it is also clearly evident it is time to move on. I almost do not care who they draft next year to be QB. That person will be a huge upgrade.



He responded when he was put in an offense that was built to hide his biggest flaw - decision making. He was put in more situations to get rid of the ball quickly. That helped. It did not turn him into a functional NFL starter.

I think Schoen and Daboll saw enough to think he can run their offense competently until they could find someone else. That is why there was a two year out in his contract.

Sometimes you are stuck with a guy who isn't very good because you don't have the resource/options to get better. I think that was why they gave him the contract they did. I don't think either of them ever said "this is our guy" or they would not have been looking to move on from him in two years.


That seems reasonable and is why they structured the contract like they did. That was my initial thought. If he improves, great they ave a QB for midlevel money. If he doesn't, draft new and offload Jones. Unfortunately besides digression the injury occured and the additional $25 mill comes into play.
RE: RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
rsjem1979 : 11/15/2023 10:21 am : link
In comment 16289853 section125 said:
Quote:

What I would truly like to know is how the hell(aside from one half) could Jones have crapped the bed so badly? It is not like he doesn't put the time in. Yes the slow processing is evident, but even with that he should still should have been able to look somewhat competent. This is the worst he has ever looked.

But it is also clearly evident it is time to move on. I almost do not care who they draft next year to be QB. That person will be a huge upgrade.


From the look of things, it appears Daboll asked him to run a less stripped-down offense than they ran last year and a combination of Jones lack of processing speed and a poor OL proved to be too much.

I think what people miss in defending Jones based on his best games is that nobody says he cannot drop back and make throws when everything works as expected. If it was a simple as making a pre-snap read, having that read be correct, and having an open target when you hit your drop, Jones would be absolutely fine. When you play bad defenses, that tends to happen more often, and if you look at the best games of Jones's career, they are most often against really bad defenses who don't pressure QBs. The MIN-IND-MIN stretch that everybody fell in love with - those are legitimately terrible defensive teams.

The problem is, that very rarely happens when you face good teams, and his ability to do anything off script other than run is limited - and his biggest strength with his legs isn't even navigating the pocket with footwork, it's straight line speed.
RE: RE: RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
section125 : 11/15/2023 10:21 am : link
In comment 16289893 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 16289853 section125 said:


Quote:


In comment 16289834 Mike from Ohio said:


Quote:


The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.



Mike, unfortunately Jones responded very well to Daboll and obviously made a positive impression on Schoen too.
It is easy for us to sit here now and see last year was an absolute mirage. The guy has had ups and downs(more of them)through his career and when given solid coaching appeared to make steady improvement including a playoff win. Yet, the clue should have been the Eagle game(I turned off mid 2nd quarter).

What I would truly like to know is how the hell(aside from one half) could Jones have crapped the bed so badly? It is not like he doesn't put the time in. Yes the slow processing is evident, but even with that he should still should have been able to look somewhat competent. This is the worst he has ever looked.

But it is also clearly evident it is time to move on. I almost do not care who they draft next year to be QB. That person will be a huge upgrade.



I agree that Jones responded well to Daboll’s coaching, but that was because Daboll micromanaged him. He simplified the offense to a lot of one read RPO, used Barkley as a decoy to allow Jones to use his one outstanding trait - his speed - to create plays.

People like to point to the Philly playoff game as when teams caught on to what Daboll was doing, but let’s not forget they went 3-6-1 after the 6-1 start, so I would argue that teams had already started to figure it out. That the 31st ranked pass defense in the league couldn’t shouldn’t obscure that fact.

I firmly believe that Schoen and Daboll knew what they had in Jones, a game manager able to win games by playing ball control with a decent defense. Once teams figured out keeping Jones in the pocket and taking away his short routes, he struggled. Daboll and Schoen watch tape, they knew this, which is why they structured his contract with an out after 2 years. If they really believed in him, they would have locked him up longer than that.


I would say the Lions figured it out as that was his 1st really bad game.
RE: RE: RE: RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
Section331 : 11/15/2023 10:23 am : link
In comment 16289908 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16289893 Section331 said:


Quote:


In comment 16289853 section125 said:


Quote:


In comment 16289834 Mike from Ohio said:


Quote:


The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.



Mike, unfortunately Jones responded very well to Daboll and obviously made a positive impression on Schoen too.
It is easy for us to sit here now and see last year was an absolute mirage. The guy has had ups and downs(more of them)through his career and when given solid coaching appeared to make steady improvement including a playoff win. Yet, the clue should have been the Eagle game(I turned off mid 2nd quarter).

What I would truly like to know is how the hell(aside from one half) could Jones have crapped the bed so badly? It is not like he doesn't put the time in. Yes the slow processing is evident, but even with that he should still should have been able to look somewhat competent. This is the worst he has ever looked.

But it is also clearly evident it is time to move on. I almost do not care who they draft next year to be QB. That person will be a huge upgrade.



I agree that Jones responded well to Daboll’s coaching, but that was because Daboll micromanaged him. He simplified the offense to a lot of one read RPO, used Barkley as a decoy to allow Jones to use his one outstanding trait - his speed - to create plays.

People like to point to the Philly playoff game as when teams caught on to what Daboll was doing, but let’s not forget they went 3-6-1 after the 6-1 start, so I would argue that teams had already started to figure it out. That the 31st ranked pass defense in the league couldn’t shouldn’t obscure that fact.

I firmly believe that Schoen and Daboll knew what they had in Jones, a game manager able to win games by playing ball control with a decent defense. Once teams figured out keeping Jones in the pocket and taking away his short routes, he struggled. Daboll and Schoen watch tape, they knew this, which is why they structured his contract with an out after 2 years. If they really believed in him, they would have locked him up longer than that.



I would say the Lions figured it out as that was his 1st really bad game.


I agree with that.
Even if Daniel Jones is the starter in 2024  
kdog77 : 11/15/2023 10:35 am : link
and he reclaims the mantle of Franchise QB, there is no logical reason to pass on a highly regarded QB prospect at the top of the draft next year. QB is the most important position on the team and it is the hardest position to fill in the NFL b/c there simply are not enough quality QBs to go around. At worst the Giants will end up with a high quality backup (or 2 if they keep Tyrod) which is going to be valuable asset regardless of whatever statistical rate of success/failure you apply to drafting QBs in the fist round.
I think the OP  
gary_from_chester : 11/15/2023 10:54 am : link
Is not saying we shouldn’t draft a QB. He’s saying that ‘tanking’ is damaging to a rebuild / culture.

I don’t think the Giants are tanking. They have a 3rd string QB, have lost a couple of games they could have won and the season has slipped away. It will be hard to win moving forward, but the coaches and players will play to win; they’re auditioning for their jobs next year.

We are going to draft a QB next year and it will be a high pick. There is no doubt in my mind of this. Those wishing for a SPECIFIC guy might want to be careful…let Joe and Brian make their pick, they will live and die by it. Personally, Williams scares me, I prefer Maye and Daniels.
RE: The fact is IF you don't have an elite QB, your odds of winning  
NINEster : 11/15/2023 10:58 am : link
In comment 16289868 Tom in NY said:
Quote:
a championship are substantially lower than if you do.

Have Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes not taught us this lesson enough already?



The only time Mahomes' postseason ended in a loss was to Brady. Sure the OL sucked, but Brady's pedigree helped stabilize the playing field (i.e. refs).

Otherwise it ends with Mahomes winning it (so far).

The OP says...  
bw in dc : 11/15/2023 10:59 am : link
"losing tanks your culture".

Unless you are a dynasty with a great QB - like Pats, Chiefs, etc - the mood of one season doesn't carry over to the next. There is too much turnover for EVERY team, too many coaching changes, injuries, etc.

The Giants are a perfect example. We had a winning season last year and a playoff win. There were expectations to improve on last year and be in the hunt.

Well, ten minutes into the season at home against a division rival, the season - yes, the season - unraveled. Completely.

Embrace tanking. It's exactly what this hideous organization needs.


There’s a difference  
gary_from_chester : 11/15/2023 11:08 am : link
Between ‘losing’ and ‘tanking’. Tanking is not playing your best guys to increase your chances of losing. The Giants are just losing - bad players, bad coaching, bad injuries, bad breaks.

If they lose and get to the very top of the draft, no problem here. If they ‘tank’ on purpose and get to the very top of the draft - I think that’s a mistake. You play to win the game - that’s the only way to play, coach, and manage IMO.
Not sure how Jones and Mayfield make that list  
John In CO : 11/15/2023 12:08 pm : link
but Zack Wilson doesnt. But lets be honest...you can apply this to almost any position; QB's are just the highest profile misses so everyone knows about them. People treat the draft like its an exact science but it is really anything but. Some kids develop, some dont.
Draft picks, even high ones, don't always pan out?  
Mad Mike : 11/15/2023 1:34 pm : link
Blinding insight.
I Never Wished for  
clatterbuck : 11/15/2023 2:13 pm : link
any of those guys. The only QB I really wished for was Eli Manning. Guess I should be the GM.
RE: I Never Wished for  
Johnny5 : 11/15/2023 6:28 pm : link
In comment 16290298 clatterbuck said:
Quote:
any of those guys. The only QB I really wished for was Eli Manning. Guess I should be the GM.

I didn't want Manning in that draft, he scared the hell out of me... lol. I saw him as a less athletic version of who we already had. Now I'd give just about anything in the World to have him back.
Maybe the list should only have QBs in the top 5  
xtian : 11/15/2023 7:30 pm : link
there's a bunch in your list that everyone knew weren't likely to be pro-bowlers.
RE: RE: I Never Wished for  
xtian : 11/15/2023 7:39 pm : link
In comment 16290583 Johnny5 said:
Quote:
In comment 16290298 clatterbuck said:

Quote:
any of those guys. The only QB I really wished for was Eli Manning. Guess I should be the GM.

I didn't want Manning in that draft, he scared the hell out of me... lol. I saw him as a less athletic version of who we already had. Now I'd give just about anything in the World to have him back.

I wanted Eli if he fell to them. I didn't want Rivers. So, if Eli wasn't there, and he wasn't, I wanted the NYG to trade back a few spots to 6-8 and pick Big Ben plus a high draft pick. I seem to recall other teams were interested.
RE: Maybe the list should only have QBs in the top 5  
Toth029 : 11/15/2023 8:14 pm : link
In comment 16290633 xtian said:
Quote:
there's a bunch in your list that everyone knew weren't likely to be pro-bowlers.


The QB many here wanted in the 2018 draft was Josh Rosen. And in the 2019 draft was Dwayne Haskins. But you won't get most to admit it and say Jones showed more promised his rookie year than either Haskins or Rosen did in their careers.
RE: RE: Maybe the list should only have QBs in the top 5  
Gatorade Dunk : 11/15/2023 9:24 pm : link
In comment 16290668 Toth029 said:
Quote:
In comment 16290633 xtian said:


Quote:


there's a bunch in your list that everyone knew weren't likely to be pro-bowlers.



The QB many here wanted in the 2018 draft was Josh Rosen. And in the 2019 draft was Dwayne Haskins. But you won't get most to admit it and say Jones showed more promised his rookie year than either Haskins or Rosen did in their careers.

Rosen was FAR from the most desired QB in 2018 (there was a very vocal but small group of posters who repeated their Rosen adoration on multiple threads - things like "how Rosen's tennis background will make him elite" and other such nonsense), and Haskins was widely criticized on here in 2019.

Even if you're correct (but you're not), there's no fucking pride to be had in DJ being the best of that lot. But it's emblematic of the sort of comparisons that are needed if the goal is to demonstrate the level of QB that DJ is better than.
....  
ryanmkeane : 11/16/2023 9:01 am : link
1 – Josh Rosen – UCLA

Grade: 89

Strong Points

-Knows and understands the game inside and out, very intelligent on the field
-Advanced footwork and release, consistent mechanics
-Excels at passes within the intermediate range

Weak Points:

-Deep ball accuracy is inconsistent
-Slight frame plus concussion issues plus tennis background causes for some durability concern
-Doesn’t pose much of a threat as a passer on the move

Summary:


Ezoic
Junior entry. Has had the look of a pro passer since his freshman season. The 3 year career at UCLA didn’t pan out the way many were hoping for, but it can’t be pinned on him. His supporting cast was dreadful. The pass catchers dropped more balls than any of the other QBs in this top-of-the-draft discussion, there was no running game to lean on, and the offensive line was very leaky up the middle. With all of that, Rosen still threw for 9,342 yards and 59 touchdowns. One red flag, however, is that he missed 8 games over the past 2 years with various injuries. And another nugget here is that more teams are fearful of his knees not holding up, as that is a consistent occurrence with tennis players when they get in to their late 20’s-early 30’s. Rosen was a big time tennis player in his teen years, so it is something to consider.

Here is something I am confident can be put to bed. Rosen is not a character risk. He is not going to be an issue with the media, he is not going to be a problem with the coaches and players. He is not going to be a problem socially. This kid knows more about football than a lot of current professionals. He studies it hard, practices hard, and was head and shoulders on another level than his teammates mentally and physically. If you could guarantee be Rosen can stay on the field, his grade would be 90+, elite. NYG could be the perfect spot for him as it will allow him to add bulk to his frame for a year or two, use his intelligence to pick up the schemes and tendencies of the NFL, and be ready to rock in 2019 or 2020. During that time, you let Davis Webb handle backup duties and if he proves to be a solid player, you have a very good problem on your hands, one that several teams will pay up for.
Haven't read the whole thread  
Sean : 11/16/2023 9:03 am : link
But, evaluating QB is probably the hardest thing to do in sports. Teams will be wrong many times over and there is no shame in it. It's a problem when you opt for patchwork roster fixes around a QB who's had multiple chances to show he can elevate those around him.

But, it's the most important position in the NFL and you need to keep swinging.
It is worth the risk,  
AnnapolisMike : 11/16/2023 9:08 am : link
Because without a good QB you have nothing in this league. Many of the QB's on that list also bust because the team they went too sucked. I would venture to say that coaching plays as big a role as talent in the success or failure of a QB prospect.
RE: RE: Maybe the list should only have QBs in the top 5  
Section331 : 11/16/2023 9:14 am : link
In comment 16290668 Toth029 said:
Quote:
In comment 16290633 xtian said:


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there's a bunch in your list that everyone knew weren't likely to be pro-bowlers.



The QB many here wanted in the 2018 draft was Josh Rosen. And in the 2019 draft was Dwayne Haskins. But you won't get most to admit it and say Jones showed more promised his rookie year than either Haskins or Rosen did in their careers.


I thought Rosen was the best QB in a weak QB class, but I wanted nothing to do with Haskins. That said, I didn’t want NYG to take Rosen at 2, if they wanted him, trade back and accrue some picks.

And sure, Jones was much better than those 2, but so what? He still isn’t good enough, and that’s the point.
RE: RE: RE: Maybe the list should only have QBs in the top 5  
section125 : 11/16/2023 9:27 am : link
In comment 16290911 Section331 said:
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In comment 16290668 Toth029 said:


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In comment 16290633 xtian said:


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there's a bunch in your list that everyone knew weren't likely to be pro-bowlers.



The QB many here wanted in the 2018 draft was Josh Rosen. And in the 2019 draft was Dwayne Haskins. But you won't get most to admit it and say Jones showed more promised his rookie year than either Haskins or Rosen did in their careers.



I thought Rosen was the best QB in a weak QB class, but I wanted nothing to do with Haskins. That said, I didn’t want NYG to take Rosen at 2, if they wanted him, trade back and accrue some picks.

And sure, Jones was much better than those 2, but so what? He still isn’t good enough, and that’s the point.


Tallest midget....

Rosen had character concerns, IIRC. I was a Rosen guy to some extent because I didn't like the others.

Many times here, posters who really follow players in CFB will warn us about players with character concerns. Rosen was one, Eli Apple, (Marvin Austin?)...there are others that at the moment I do not remember. Had BBI been around I am sure that Ryan Leaf would have been one and he was really pushing Manning for that #1 draft pick.

Brings me to Caleb Williams. Does he really have issues that could flair up once on a roster. Talented QB, probably the top guy. But the wanting a piece of the team, crying on the bench with his mom, calling out fans....???? Does this scream watch out?

They absolutely need to draft a QB. They cannot screw this up. Is drafting Williams a liability waiting to happen or are his "issues" overblown?
RE: ....  
Gatorade Dunk : 11/16/2023 11:36 am : link
In comment 16290898 ryanmkeane said:
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1 – Josh Rosen – UCLA

Grade: 89

Strong Points

-Knows and understands the game inside and out, very intelligent on the field
-Advanced footwork and release, consistent mechanics
-Excels at passes within the intermediate range

Weak Points:

-Deep ball accuracy is inconsistent
-Slight frame plus concussion issues plus tennis background causes for some durability concern
-Doesn’t pose much of a threat as a passer on the move

Summary:


Ezoic
Junior entry. Has had the look of a pro passer since his freshman season. The 3 year career at UCLA didn’t pan out the way many were hoping for, but it can’t be pinned on him. His supporting cast was dreadful. The pass catchers dropped more balls than any of the other QBs in this top-of-the-draft discussion, there was no running game to lean on, and the offensive line was very leaky up the middle. With all of that, Rosen still threw for 9,342 yards and 59 touchdowns. One red flag, however, is that he missed 8 games over the past 2 years with various injuries. And another nugget here is that more teams are fearful of his knees not holding up, as that is a consistent occurrence with tennis players when they get in to their late 20’s-early 30’s. Rosen was a big time tennis player in his teen years, so it is something to consider.

Here is something I am confident can be put to bed. Rosen is not a character risk. He is not going to be an issue with the media, he is not going to be a problem with the coaches and players. He is not going to be a problem socially. This kid knows more about football than a lot of current professionals. He studies it hard, practices hard, and was head and shoulders on another level than his teammates mentally and physically. If you could guarantee be Rosen can stay on the field, his grade would be 90+, elite. NYG could be the perfect spot for him as it will allow him to add bulk to his frame for a year or two, use his intelligence to pick up the schemes and tendencies of the NFL, and be ready to rock in 2019 or 2020. During that time, you let Davis Webb handle backup duties and if he proves to be a solid player, you have a very good problem on your hands, one that several teams will pay up for.

Now do Daniel Jones and Malik Willis.
RE: RE: RE: We had a top 10 pick and we selected a bust at QB  
FStubbs : 11/16/2023 5:56 pm : link
In comment 16289870 Mike from Ohio said:
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In comment 16289853 section125 said:


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In comment 16289834 Mike from Ohio said:


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The sin is not in picking the wrong guy - that happens. The sin is staying with him for 5 years and giving him a second contract.

This team needs to be more self-critical with their own players and move on more quickly from mistakes. Every franchise will have guys bust. How you handle that is what separates the good from the bad.



Mike, unfortunately Jones responded very well to Daboll and obviously made a positive impression on Schoen too.
It is easy for us to sit here now and see last year was an absolute mirage. The guy has had ups and downs(more of them)through his career and when given solid coaching appeared to make steady improvement including a playoff win. Yet, the clue should have been the Eagle game(I turned off mid 2nd quarter).

What I would truly like to know is how the hell(aside from one half) could Jones have crapped the bed so badly? It is not like he doesn't put the time in. Yes the slow processing is evident, but even with that he should still should have been able to look somewhat competent. This is the worst he has ever looked.

But it is also clearly evident it is time to move on. I almost do not care who they draft next year to be QB. That person will be a huge upgrade.



He responded when he was put in an offense that was built to hide his biggest flaw - decision making. He was put in more situations to get rid of the ball quickly. That helped. It did not turn him into a functional NFL starter.

I think Schoen and Daboll saw enough to think he can run their offense competently until they could find someone else. That is why there was a two year out in his contract.

Sometimes you are stuck with a guy who isn't very good because you don't have the resource/options to get better. I think that was why they gave him the contract they did. I don't think either of them ever said "this is our guy" or they would not have been looking to move on from him in two years.


The problem with that is, if they thought that he was not the guy, they would have signed a stopgap like Mayfield for a lot less than Jones was asking and sent him on his way. And if somehow Mara was forcing them to resign Jones, then they'd make their case (since their jobs are now in peril thanks to keeping him anyway).

They signed him because they were cautiously optimistic, not because he was a stopgap.
.....  
BrettNYG10 : 11/16/2023 5:59 pm : link
Oh no the next QB might be a bust and we might be picking top ten, the horror.
RE: I don't understand the point of this thread  
4xchamps : 11/16/2023 7:01 pm : link
In comment 16289824 Jay on the Island said:
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You discuss how there have been many QB busts in the NFL draft over the past three decades. This could be said with every position. Besides QB the biggest need on the Giants is probably RT and the Giants just used the 7th overall pick on Evan Neal less than two years ago. Neal was considered the safest OT in the draft at the time and was expected to go before the Giants picked at 7.

There is not a single poster on this site that doesn't understand the risks involved with drafting a QB in the top 5 but they almost all support it because of the impressive talent that is in this years draft. What's the topic of your next thread going to be, water is wet?


I'll type it slowly for you....

Many on this board every year seem to think "tanking" is the right thing to do. Rarely does anyone talk specifically about how tanking to get a QB or drafting early every year has literally ZERO effect in the long term.

Even drafting early has little to do with a team's success. The good teams usually stay good and the bad teams usually stay bad.

If you disagree, give me data to back your opinion as I have done...


RE: Even if Daniel Jones is the starter in 2024  
4xchamps : 11/16/2023 7:03 pm : link
In comment 16289930 kdog77 said:
Quote:
and he reclaims the mantle of Franchise QB, there is no logical reason to pass on a highly regarded QB prospect at the top of the draft next year. QB is the most important position on the team and it is the hardest position to fill in the NFL b/c there simply are not enough quality QBs to go around. At worst the Giants will end up with a high quality backup (or 2 if they keep Tyrod) which is going to be valuable asset regardless of whatever statistical rate of success/failure you apply to drafting QBs in the fist round.


Nope. The worst case in your scenario is you draft another bust and you let Marvin Harrison Jr go somewhere else...
RE: RE: I don't understand the point of this thread  
ajr2456 : 11/16/2023 7:20 pm : link
In comment 16291667 4xchamps said:
Quote:
In comment 16289824 Jay on the Island said:


Quote:


You discuss how there have been many QB busts in the NFL draft over the past three decades. This could be said with every position. Besides QB the biggest need on the Giants is probably RT and the Giants just used the 7th overall pick on Evan Neal less than two years ago. Neal was considered the safest OT in the draft at the time and was expected to go before the Giants picked at 7.

There is not a single poster on this site that doesn't understand the risks involved with drafting a QB in the top 5 but they almost all support it because of the impressive talent that is in this years draft. What's the topic of your next thread going to be, water is wet?



I'll type it slowly for you....

Many on this board every year seem to think "tanking" is the right thing to do. Rarely does anyone talk specifically about how tanking to get a QB or drafting early every year has literally ZERO effect in the long term.

Even drafting early has little to do with a team's success. The good teams usually stay good and the bad teams usually stay bad.

If you disagree, give me data to back your opinion as I have done...



Colts, Pats, Saints, Broncos and Packers stayed good?
RE: RE: Even if Daniel Jones is the starter in 2024  
Ten Ton Hammer : 11/16/2023 7:25 pm : link
In comment 16291669 4xchamps said:
Quote:
In comment 16289930 kdog77 said:


Quote:


and he reclaims the mantle of Franchise QB, there is no logical reason to pass on a highly regarded QB prospect at the top of the draft next year. QB is the most important position on the team and it is the hardest position to fill in the NFL b/c there simply are not enough quality QBs to go around. At worst the Giants will end up with a high quality backup (or 2 if they keep Tyrod) which is going to be valuable asset regardless of whatever statistical rate of success/failure you apply to drafting QBs in the fist round.



Nope. The worst case in your scenario is you draft another bust and you let Marvin Harrison Jr go somewhere else...


Not having an elite WR is nothing new here. You can win without them. Nice to have, to be sure, but they'll win nothing with a less-than at QB and a great WR.

.  
Go Terps : 11/16/2023 7:29 pm : link
The thread starter says losing tanks your culture.

I just watched Lawrence Cager and Darnay Holmes celebrate individual plays down 3+ scores. I'm seeing the organization put on a full court press in the media to convince the public to run it back with a shitty QB for a sixth time.

This is a team that can't get through a game without making some of the stupidest mistakes you'll ever see.

Why would we want to preserve this culture?
Culture's one of the most overused phrases on BBI  
Ten Ton Hammer : 11/16/2023 7:38 pm : link
Please tell me what culture was gained by the nobility of trying hard but failing to compete for 10+ years. Have the Giants earned any good karma or fortune for it? Have they learned anything because of it?

Nothing has been built here in terms of culture.

Tell me what culture was gained by a winning season last year? How has that carried over or helped navigate hard times this year?

Culture's a thing fans talk about to justify their opinions of losing more games. The 'culture' in San Francisco or Kansas City is having the correct amount of special talent and good coaching.
RE: RE: RE: Even if Daniel Jones is the starter in 2024  
Scooter185 : 11/16/2023 8:38 pm : link
In comment 16291686 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
In comment 16291669 4xchamps said:


Quote:


In comment 16289930 kdog77 said:


Quote:


and he reclaims the mantle of Franchise QB, there is no logical reason to pass on a highly regarded QB prospect at the top of the draft next year. QB is the most important position on the team and it is the hardest position to fill in the NFL b/c there simply are not enough quality QBs to go around. At worst the Giants will end up with a high quality backup (or 2 if they keep Tyrod) which is going to be valuable asset regardless of whatever statistical rate of success/failure you apply to drafting QBs in the fist round.



Nope. The worst case in your scenario is you draft another bust and you let Marvin Harrison Jr go somewhere else...



Not having an elite WR is nothing new here. You can win without them. Nice to have, to be sure, but they'll win nothing with a less-than at QB and a great WR.


On his weekly spot on TMKS Toomer was asked point blank if the Giants should take MHJ instead of a QB. AT replied that a high end WR is a luxury you add after all the other pieces are in place, and that was not the Giants situation.

Also when asked about trading back, he heavily implied that with DJs neck injuries they can't trust him to be their QB for the next 5-10 years.
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