for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

Draft order (after NYG win over WAS)

ray in arlington : 11/19/2023 4:48 pm
The first tiebreak for draft order is strength of schedule (SOS).

Numbers in parentheses are the difference (in games) in SOS relative to NYG. E.g. -4 means NYG has an SOS that is 4 games lower, and a lower SOS at the end of the season means picking earlier. On the other hand, NYG is trending to have a higher SOS than CHI.

1. CAR 1-9 (-1) pick traded to CHI
2. ARI 2-9 (-3.5)
3. NE 2-8 (-2.5)
4. CHI 3-8 (+5)
5. NYG 3-8
6. TEN 3-6 (-5.5)
7. LAR 3-6 (-2.5)
8. WAS 4-7 (see below)


NYG-WAS tiebreak:
=====================
Note that the first draft order tiebreak is the SOS, so it is possible for NYG to draft ahead of WAS if they finish with the same record, even though NYG swept WAS. The tiebreak is determined as follows:


NYG: GB (4-6) + NO (5-5) + LV (5-5) 14-16
WAS: CHI (3-8) + ATL (4-6) + DEN (4-5) 11-19


which means WAS is trending to pick ahead of NYG in case of a tie.
 
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 11/19/2023 4:49 pm : link
Cue the freak out with 6 games left…
Whoops  
ray in arlington : 11/19/2023 4:50 pm : link
TEN is 3-7, not 3-6. Doesn't change the order, though.
RE: …  
Jay on the Island : 11/19/2023 4:53 pm : link
In comment 16295318 SFGFNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
Cue the freak out with 6 games left…

There is already a thread of people freaking out as if the draft order is set.
I am not enamored  
Mark from Jersey : 11/19/2023 5:03 pm : link
with the top 3 QBs this year. They all have their warts.

Doubt we win more than 1 more game this year...basically top 5 pick is almost certain.

MH 2.0 would be a nice concession. Trade back and gain multiple picks to rebuild OL. Lots can and will go our way.
I love the win  
Rjanyg : 11/19/2023 5:14 pm : link
But I want to be drafting top 3.
Just wondering  
MauiYankee : 11/19/2023 5:17 pm : link
It appears that gold jacket DeVito has solved the QB problem for the team.
What position will they draft for following 9 sacks?
PAY BARKLEY!!
RE: I love the win  
Mdgiantsfan : 11/19/2023 5:25 pm : link
In comment 16295390 Rjanyg said:
Quote:
But I want to be drafting top 3.


This^. There's still several games remaining, but it would suck to be picking 5th or later after this season.
What's with all these  
Beef Wellington : 11/19/2023 5:42 pm : link
ads and shadow boxes!! I feel like I'm driving down Main St. in Flushing.
lol this team can’t even lose correctly  
eli4life : 11/19/2023 5:45 pm : link
.
This franchise is fucked  
Dave in PA : 11/19/2023 5:48 pm : link
Utterly horrible play yet not quite putrid enough to land a pick that will lead to any serious improvement. Gonna be a loooong road ahead to turn this shit around
RE: I am not enamored  
Bruner4329 : 11/19/2023 5:49 pm : link
In comment 16295360 Mark from Jersey said:
Quote:
with the top 3 QBs this year. They all have their warts.

Doubt we win more than 1 more game this year...basically top 5 pick is almost certain.

MH 2.0 would be a nice concession. Trade back and gain multiple picks to rebuild OL. Lots can and will go our way.


NE, Green Bay and LAR all at home. There is a real chance we can win 2 of these. Nothing is certain.
RE: RE: I love the win  
MotownGIANTS : 11/19/2023 5:54 pm : link
In comment 16295429 Mdgiantsfan said:
Quote:
In comment 16295390 Rjanyg said:


Quote:


But I want to be drafting top 3.



This^. There's still several games remaining, but it would suck to be picking 5th or later after this season.


Well based off how the season is trending the Pats are best chance at another win this season and we may have witnessed the "good fortune ticket" getting punched for the year. We'll end no worse than top 5, I am thinking top 3 really.
RE: I am not enamored  
k2tampa : 11/19/2023 5:58 pm : link
In comment 16295360 Mark from Jersey said:
Quote:
with the top 3 QBs this year. They all have their warts.

Doubt we win more than 1 more game this year...basically top 5 pick is almost certain.

MH 2.0 would be a nice concession. Trade back and gain multiple picks to rebuild OL. Lots can and will go our way.


If they beat the Pats it won't be a top 5 pick. More likely between 8 and 12 due to the Giants SOS.
RE: RE: RE: I love the win  
k2tampa : 11/19/2023 5:59 pm : link
In comment 16295507 MotownGIANTS said:
Quote:
In comment 16295429 Mdgiantsfan said:


Quote:


In comment 16295390 Rjanyg said:


Quote:


But I want to be drafting top 3.



This^. There's still several games remaining, but it would suck to be picking 5th or later after this season.



Well based off how the season is trending the Pats are best chance at another win this season and we may have witnessed the "good fortune ticket" getting punched for the year. We'll end no worse than top 5, I am thinking top 3 really.


I would wager the Giants are favored against the Pats. One more win and it won't be top 5.
Draft a OT then a guard, fix the weakest link  
gtt350 : 11/19/2023 6:19 pm : link
first
Won't be surprised to see them drop further a another win or two  
GFAN52 : 11/19/2023 6:41 pm : link
I'm guessing they draft in 6-8 range when the season ends.
its ugly  
JonA1979 : 11/19/2023 6:50 pm : link
but not surprising, they probably should be at 5 wins with Buf and NYJ. The team stats for this game minus turnovers is ugly. They only mostly suck, not completely suck
This was the most winnable game remaining  
Sammo85 : 11/19/2023 7:10 pm : link
Pats are coming off the bye. I suspect one more win the rest of the way, maybe if opponent has to sit their QB.
 
TyreeHelmet : 11/19/2023 7:31 pm : link
NE opens as a 3.5 Pt favorite vs Giants.

I could still see the giants losing out. Washington sucks and could have easily won today with 6 turnovers.

Updating  
ray in arlington : 11/19/2023 7:37 pm : link
The first tiebreak for draft order is strength of schedule (SOS)
Numbers in parentheses are the difference (in games) in SOS relative to NYG. E.g. -4 means NYG has an SOS that is 4 games weaker, and a weaker SOS at the end of the season means picking earlier.

1. CAR 1-9 (1) pick traded to CHI
2. ARI 2-9 (-4)
3. NE 2-8 (-2)
4. CHI 3-8 (+6)
5. NYG 3-8
6. TEN 3-7 (-4)
7. WAS 4-7 (see below)
Five teams at 4-6


NYG-WAS tiebreak:
Note that the first draft order tiebreak is the SOS, so it is possible for NYG to draft ahead of WAS if they finish with the same record, even though NYG swept WAS. The tiebreak is determined as follows:


NYG: GB (4-6) + NO (5-5) + LV (5-6) 14-17
WAS: CHI (3-8) + ATL (4-6) + DEN (4-5) 11-19


which means WAS is trending to pick ahead of NYG in case of a tie.



and now NYJ  
ray in arlington : 11/19/2023 7:52 pm : link
are a 4-6 team as well.
Teams 1-3 as of now are a lock to pick  
LauderdaleMatty : 11/19/2023 7:56 pm : link
A QB. Maybe Belicjeck takes a huge haul to drop. But as of now Chicago can take Maye or Williams and then Harrison w 4.

AZ is in no way keeping Kyler Murray out f they can get one of the top two. I guess Belichick is the only hope for anyone who wants to get top 3 and will Kraft he dumb enough to let him drop and not get a QB?
RE: Teams 1-3 as of now are a lock to pick  
wahl35 : 11/19/2023 8:14 pm : link
In comment 16295750 LauderdaleMatty said:
Quote:
A QB. Maybe Belicjeck takes a huge haul to drop. But as of now Chicago can take Maye or Williams and then Harrison w 4.

AZ is in no way keeping Kyler Murray out f they can get one of the top two. I guess Belichick is the only hope for anyone who wants to get top 3 and will Kraft he dumb enough to let him drop and not get a QB?


It's a little early to presume that CHI/ARI are moving on from their QB's. If they do, there is a strong possibility of them trading out of those picks. The picks will however still be QB's. So either way, you're looking at QB going at #1 and #2
.  
Go Terps : 11/19/2023 8:16 pm : link
There will be weapons available to help Daniel no matter where they pick.
RE: This franchise is fucked  
81_Great_Dane : 11/19/2023 8:16 pm : link
In comment 16295499 Dave in PA said:
Quote:
Utterly horrible play yet not quite putrid enough to land a pick that will lead to any serious improvement. Gonna be a loooong road ahead to turn this shit around
You're 100% right, given that every player taken at the top of the draft has succeeded and no player taken later in the draft has ever become a star. Here's the proof: (Checks notes.)

Never mind
Even at 5 the Giants should get a Pro Bowl olineman or LB.  
Jack Stroud : 11/19/2023 8:23 pm : link
They could trade and pick up more picks to improve the oline and pass rush. They should be able to get some good RB's and WR's in the later rounds.
RE: RE: Teams 1-3 as of now are a lock to pick  
LauderdaleMatty : 11/19/2023 8:43 pm : link
In comment 16295794 wahl35 said:
Quote:
In comment 16295750 LauderdaleMatty said:


Quote:


A QB. Maybe Belicjeck takes a huge haul to drop. But as of now Chicago can take Maye or Williams and then Harrison w 4.

AZ is in no way keeping Kyler Murray out f they can get one of the top two. I guess Belichick is the only hope for anyone who wants to get top 3 and will Kraft he dumb enough to let him drop and not get a QB?



It's a little early to presume that CHI/ARI are moving on from their QB's. If they do, there is a strong possibility of them trading out of those picks. The picks will however still be QB's. So either way, you're looking at QB going at #1 and #2


Really? You have the # 1 pick in Chi and they are sticking w Fields? And you think AZ thinks Murray is the guy? They deserve to suck if they do. Both Fields ana Murray are not good
RE: Draft a OT then a guard, fix the weakest link  
Chip : 11/19/2023 8:43 pm : link
In comment 16295545 gtt350 said:
Quote:
first
That would be common sense. This board however, lacks common sense.
I honestly feel like  
BlackLight : 11/19/2023 9:45 pm : link
if one were to dispassionately assess the 10 best draft-eligible QBs coming out next spring, we'd be able to confidently conclude that Tier 1 has more than 2-3 guys. We'd probably further conclude that Tier 1 isn't as talented as the hype would suggest, but for our purposes, that's not too big a problem.
Pain  
Strahan91 : 11/19/2023 9:50 pm : link
.
The rooting interest at least in part  
allstarjim : 11/19/2023 10:25 pm : link
Is for Justin Fields to ball out the rest of the way and look like a star.

Should he do that, Chicago is likely to trade one of their top picks.

In the unlikely event they don't, they could let a QB we all think is going top 3 to slide.

Still a long way to go. I'm not going to worry about it no matter what.

I doubt they give up on Neal at RT yet  
JonC : 11/19/2023 10:43 pm : link
.
RE: Even at 5 the Giants should get a Pro Bowl olineman or LB.  
ajr2456 : 11/19/2023 10:57 pm : link
In comment 16295811 Jack Stroud said:
Quote:
They could trade and pick up more picks to improve the oline and pass rush. They should be able to get some good RB's and WR's in the later rounds.


Drafting a lineman guarantees they’re a pro bowler?
I watched the cardinals game  
JT039 : 11/20/2023 2:58 am : link
Murray isn’t it. And if they think he’s it, then they’re dumber than dumb can be. He was absolutely pathetic against the Texans.

When you have to put a clause ina contract that says he needs to study more - you don’t have a QB. They are most definitely looking to upgrade.
RE: I watched the cardinals game  
Gusto1903 : 11/20/2023 5:02 am : link
In comment 16296108 JT039 said:
Quote:
Murray isn’t it. And if they think he’s it, then they’re dumber than dumb can be. He was absolutely pathetic against the Texans.

When you have to put a clause ina contract that says he needs to study more - you don’t have a QB. They are most definitely looking to upgrade.




I mean, they couldve just thrown the game.
RE: RE: I watched the cardinals game  
JT039 : 11/20/2023 5:04 am : link
In comment 16296114 Gusto1903 said:
Quote:
In comment 16296108 JT039 said:


Quote:


Murray isn’t it. And if they think he’s it, then they’re dumber than dumb can be. He was absolutely pathetic against the Texans.

When you have to put a clause ina contract that says he needs to study more - you don’t have a QB. They are most definitely looking to upgrade.





I mean, they couldve just thrown the game.


They did. Murray was simply awful down the stretch. Playcalling was really bad.
RE: I doubt they give up on Neal at RT yet  
section125 : 11/20/2023 5:09 am : link
In comment 16296040 JonC said:
Quote:
.


I agree, but if they have the chance to get a VG OT(2nd rnd = QB 1st), they should take him. Even if Neal sorts himself out they need a backup/swing tackle or move him to RG - or move Neal.
Of course you can get solid IOL in rounds 3 thru 5.
Rams/Seahawks game was a double win for us  
TheMick7 : 11/20/2023 7:30 am : link
Rams now with 1 more win & Seattle with a loss makes the 2nd round pick #53
....  
ryanmkeane : 11/20/2023 7:32 am : link
Any time you are drafting in the top 10 you need to try like hell to get a blue chip type talent no matter the position.

That figures to be QB, WR, OL, or Edge in this draft, which lines up perfectly.
QBs  
stretch234 : 11/20/2023 8:18 am : link
Zero chance that the Bears would not grab a QB. They have seen enough to know Fields is not it. I think AZ wants to everything it can to move on from Murray but can’t

Is Was done, are the Jets done,

Interesting games remaining

AZ @ Chi, LAR
Atl @ Chi, TB, @ Car, @ NYJ
GB @ Car, NYG, TB
NE @ NYG
TN - Car, Ind
TB @ IND, GB, @ ATL, CAR

A lot of bad teams play each other. Someone has to win these


....  
ryanmkeane : 11/20/2023 8:38 am : link
Fields was very good against Detroit yesterday. I wouldn't call it a lock that Bears are taking a QB. If I'm them, I grab Marvin Harrison Jr and then OT and be very happy.
RE: ....  
section125 : 11/20/2023 8:40 am : link
In comment 16296280 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
Fields was very good against Detroit yesterday. I wouldn't call it a lock that Bears are taking a QB. If I'm them, I grab Marvin Harrison Jr and then OT and be very happy.


I am think along that line too. Not so sure Fields is out in Chicago, yet.
...  
ryanmkeane : 11/20/2023 8:45 am : link
section, yup. They took Darnell Wright at 11 overall in 2023. You've got Fashanu and Alt in the top 10 picks this year. They have a glaring need at LT or RT depending on where they want Wright to play, he's currently playing RT.

It's a perfect time for them to take the best receiver to come out of the draft in a long time, and a great OT prospect, if you want to give Fields another year or two and keep building.

In fact, I'd argue it's a better solution than blowing it up again and going QB.
How is going QB blowing it up?  
ThomasG : 11/20/2023 9:33 am : link
All the other players aren't affected at all.
...  
ryanmkeane : 11/20/2023 9:50 am : link
Seahawks pick will be nice. Decent chance that pick is in the 40s if Seattle goes off the rails down the stretch with that schedule.
I would hate to see NE get Drake Maye  
GeofromNJ : 11/20/2023 9:52 am : link
and the Giants get nothing in the way of a high caliber QB. That would be most depressing.
Didn't Chicago pick fields with a pick  
Drewcon40 : 11/20/2023 9:54 am : link
...we traded to them? Irrelevant but thought that was the case.

I certainly want a shot at one of these QBs, there is plenty of season for it to work out that the Giants can creep up in the draft.

Credit to stretch234
Quote:
AZ @ Chi, LAR
Atl @ Chi, TB, @ Car, @ NYJ
GB @ Car, NYG, TB
NE @ NYG
TN - Car, Ind
TB @ IND, GB, @ ATL, CAR


There are still some opportunities to move up.
I still think that they go QB  
Rudy5757 : 11/20/2023 10:02 am : link
if they are in striking distance to get a guy thats a clear upgrade over DJ. They are smart so publically they are going to say they are backing DJ so you dont go into the draft with everyone knowing what you are doing.

If they are going to stick with DJ the smart move is to trade out for a haul. We need a top notch WR and better IOL. The D is pretty solid overall and most are signed. This O is desperate for a WR. I would also let Barkley walk in FA. His ability is not converying to wins and I think both sides would be better with a change. He misses games every season except last season and paying top $$ for a RB is not the best use of resources. Get a solid FA and draft a guy to go along with Grey.

We cant go into next season with a bottom 5 OL and bottom 5 WR group. Waller will be a year older and his injury history is growing.

As for coaching, they have not done a great job but its not time for a change either imo. Some guys need time to learn and hopefully they can reflect on the season. Hard to imagine the 7th overall pick is a complete bust but it appears at this stage he is better suited to be a great guard and an average to below average OT. I think the OL coach has to go, there has been no improvement from that unit overall.

As for Schoen, his overall tenure for a year and a half is mixed. His FA signings have been bad except for Okereke. Draft picks have been mixed since one of our top 10 picks is a bust so far and there are other players drafted after him that are stars. Again too early to pull the plug and he was dealt a very por hand so no change is necessary at this time but when your chips are down you have to hit more than you miss and right now I think his misses are bigger than the hits. Glowinski, Slayton, Campbell, Nacho, Robinson and the trade for Waller are not looking so great. Okereke is a stud. The draft has yet to really show a stud but there is promise.
I think Belichick wants to prove he can win without Brady  
GeofromNJ : 11/20/2023 10:26 am : link
and he's currently coaching to lose so NE can grab one of these high caliber QBs.
This goes back to Mr. Mara.....  
Fishmanjim57 : 11/20/2023 12:10 pm : link
Instead of wasting 160 million dollars on an injury prone subpar QB, the Giants will probably lose their best offensive player at the end of the season, because the money that was spent on Jones could have been avoided if Mara allowed his front office to allow Jones become a FA. Saquon Barkley should have been given a raise that would keep him on the Giants for his career, now we sit around watching where the Giants will be picking in the next draft with out chief priority at QB, and that rookie QB will have to compete without having SB as a target.
Nice job Mara. Stay out of the front office!
RE: ...  
allstarjim : 11/20/2023 4:03 pm : link
In comment 16296444 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
Seahawks pick will be nice. Decent chance that pick is in the 40s if Seattle goes off the rails down the stretch with that schedule.


Seahawks next 4 games: 49ers, Cowboys, 49ers, Eagles. They have 6 wins right now. The finish with @Titans, vs. Steelers, and @Cardinals. They could legitimately go 7-10, who knows, they could possibly lose out.
RE: RE: ...  
ray in arlington : 11/20/2023 4:18 pm : link
In comment 16297257 allstarjim said:
Quote:
In comment 16296444 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


Seahawks pick will be nice. Decent chance that pick is in the 40s if Seattle goes off the rails down the stretch with that schedule.



Seahawks next 4 games: 49ers, Cowboys, 49ers, Eagles. They have 6 wins right now. The finish with @Titans, vs. Steelers, and @Cardinals. They could legitimately go 7-10, who knows, they could possibly lose out.



One effect of that would be to increase the NYG SOS and possibly move their 1st round pick back.



BB has a long history of confusing young QB’s,  
Section331 : 11/20/2023 5:09 pm : link
so I would expect TD Tommy to struggle a bit next week. With Fields back, Chicago could win a few games, and I think AZ will too.
Back to the Corner