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Bowers and the Super Bowl

Will Shine : 2/14/2024 11:19 am
Both finalists have special TEs.

I know that certain positions (TEs, OGs) seem to be downgraded when thinking Top 5.

This is a copycat league. I wonder if a 'generational talent' and a more devalued position might be bumped up because of the success SF and KC?
oops, I wish we could edit posts.  
Will Shine : 2/14/2024 11:20 am : link
should be 'at a'
Is this guy really that good?  
mittenedman : 2/14/2024 11:23 am : link
Can he block or is he a glorified slot WR?

I realize the Chiefs are a cold weather outdoor team and do just fine with Kelce, but my strong preference is an old school, 2-way TE who blocks like an OT and can get up the seam with good hands and body control.
RE: Is this guy really that good?  
Will Shine : 2/14/2024 11:31 am : link
In comment 16398777 mittenedman said:
Quote:
Can he block or is he a glorified slot WR?

I realize the Chiefs are a cold weather outdoor team and do just fine with Kelce, but my strong preference is an old school, 2-way TE who blocks like an OT and can get up the seam with good hands and body control.


Good question. My impression is yes, he's not just a glorified WR, and lots of drafts have him going at #5 just ahead of us.
I've seen that  
mittenedman : 2/14/2024 11:37 am : link
and it scares me. I haven't studied him or anything but from what I've seen, he certainly didn't jump off the screen as some kind of stud "must have" NFL player.
The idea of drafting him  
mittenedman : 2/14/2024 11:38 am : link
over someone like Odunze (for example) seems crazy.
Kelce was a 3rd rounder and Kittles was a 5th rounder  
KDavies : 2/14/2024 11:40 am : link
last generational talent at TE was Pitts. Drafted 4th and has been underwhelming. TE is one of the toughest positions to transition to the NFL.

Schoen has consistently preached position value. QB, LT (we have one), DE, WR or CB likely that high. I would be floored if a TE were the pick at 6, and not very happy.

3 QBs, and Harrison gone. So depending on where the Chargers go, Giants could have their pick between their 2nd or 3rd ranked WR, top CB, top edge, or top QB outside the top 3.
I'm not suggesting  
pjcas18 : 2/14/2024 11:44 am : link
this is how it should work, since people bring up Jalen Hurts or Tom Brady as reasons not to draft a QB early, but in this case IMO it's different.

Kelce was a 3rd round pick
Kittle was a 5th round pick

I just don't see teams getting the value out of the Pitts, Winslow, Engram, Vernon Davis, Becht, Eifert, Gresham - etc. 1st round tight ends.

every now and then a Hockenson comes along that pans out, but more often than not I feel like 1st round draft picks, especially high 1st round picks, are better spent elsewhere.

Really good player and yes he can block  
Rjanyg : 2/14/2024 12:04 pm : link
Not sure any tight end is worth the 5th overall pick.

Gronk was a 2nd round pick. Antonio Gates was undrafted. Kelce 3rd round, Kittle 5th round.

It is not that the player isn't great or that the position is not important, it has more to do with the price tag of the 5th pick. Lots of money to invest in that position.
My Mock Draft  
Jeever : 2/14/2024 12:05 pm : link
I did some serious trading down. Here are the results:

39.NYG Jer'Zhan Newton DT Illinois

47.NYG Malachi Corley WR Western Kentucky

52.NYG Christian Haynes OG UConn

70.NYG Devontez Walker WR North Carolina

81.NYG Jonah Elliss EDGE Utah

83.NYG Javon Solomon EDGE Troy

107.NYG Tommy Eichenberg LB Ohio State

116.NYG Jaden Hicks S Washington State

121.NYG Christian Mahogany OG Boston College

139.NYG Isaiah Adams OG Illinois

143.NYG Dallin Holker TE Colorado State

148.NYG MarShawn Lloyd RB USC

154.NYG Joe Milton QB Tennessee

166.NYG Fabien Lovett DT Florida State

168.NYG Theo Johnson TE Penn State

173.NYG Javon Foster OT Missouri

191.NYG Charles Turner OC LSU

200.NYG Omar Speights LB LSU

2025 LAR 2nd
2025 JAX 2nd
2025 TB 1st
2025 TB 2nd
Who would protect the qb so that he could get him the ball?  
Jack Stroud : 2/14/2024 12:06 pm : link
If the Giants do not get that oline fixed whom ever it is they draft will not do well until the qb is protected.
RE: Who would protect the qb so that he could get him the ball?  
BigBlueShock : 2/14/2024 12:19 pm : link
In comment 16398835 Jack Stroud said:
Quote:
If the Giants do not get that oline fixed whom ever it is they draft will not do well until the qb is protected.

Get lost, troll
RE: Kelce was a 3rd rounder and Kittles was a 5th rounder  
Milton : 2/14/2024 12:29 pm : link
In comment 16398803 KDavies said:
Quote:
last generational talent at TE was Pitts. Drafted 4th and has been underwhelming. TE is one of the toughest positions to transition to the NFL.
This is a silly argument. You put a grade on a prospect and you go by what that grade tells you (with respect to team needs and plans). Tom Brady and Joe Montana were drafted in the 6th and 3rd rounds and are arguably the greatest to play the position (which happens to be the toughest position to transition to the NFL. And think of the long list of top ten pick busts at the QB position. Does that mean you shouldn't draft a QB in the top ten?

p.s.--It should be noted that the Giants built much of their offense around Waller last year and his role will need to be replaced given his durabilty issues.
This is a question of roster construction  
UberAlias : 2/14/2024 12:50 pm : link
In addition to how you grade the player himself. I doubt you would see one answer to this. One team might be in love with the idea and see Bowers as a matchup nightmare/ offensive weapon while another might hate it due to concerns of positional value. Whoever drafts him if inside the top 10 needs to have a clear plan.
Early on...  
UberAlias : 2/14/2024 12:53 pm : link
Taking the WR has a big advantage because you get a greater benefit by having a top WR under salary controlled rookie contract than TE. But you could also argue that once they hit FA and you have to break the bank to extend that same WR comparted to the TE, even if he does ascend to an elite player. So this should be considered as well.
RE: RE: Kelce was a 3rd rounder and Kittles was a 5th rounder  
Section331 : 2/14/2024 12:57 pm : link
In comment 16398858 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 16398803 KDavies said:


Quote:


last generational talent at TE was Pitts. Drafted 4th and has been underwhelming. TE is one of the toughest positions to transition to the NFL.

This is a silly argument. You put a grade on a prospect and you go by what that grade tells you (with respect to team needs and plans). Tom Brady and Joe Montana were drafted in the 6th and 3rd rounds and are arguably the greatest to play the position (which happens to be the toughest position to transition to the NFL. And think of the long list of top ten pick busts at the QB position. Does that mean you shouldn't draft a QB in the top ten?

p.s.--It should be noted that the Giants built much of their offense around Waller last year and his role will need to be replaced given his durabilty issues.


Joe Montana was drafted 45 years ago, they were throwing darts at a dart board back then. So your argument boils down to Tom Brady and MAYBE Brock Purdy. How many of the best QB’s in the league right now were not 1st rounders? How many of the best TE’s were?

Positional value matters, no matter how much you pretend it doesn’t.
Jeever  
Mike from Ohio : 2/14/2024 12:57 pm : link
I think the unknowns in the draft process warrants getting more picks than fewer, but yours is too much. That feels like stockpiling picks for the sake of having picks - and knowing at least half of them won't be on the roster when the Giants break camp.
RE: RE: Kelce was a 3rd rounder and Kittles was a 5th rounder  
KDavies : 2/14/2024 1:40 pm : link
In comment 16398858 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 16398803 KDavies said:


Quote:


last generational talent at TE was Pitts. Drafted 4th and has been underwhelming. TE is one of the toughest positions to transition to the NFL.

This is a silly argument. You put a grade on a prospect and you go by what that grade tells you (with respect to team needs and plans). Tom Brady and Joe Montana were drafted in the 6th and 3rd rounds and are arguably the greatest to play the position (which happens to be the toughest position to transition to the NFL. And think of the long list of top ten pick busts at the QB position. Does that mean you shouldn't draft a QB in the top ten?

p.s.--It should be noted that the Giants built much of their offense around Waller last year and his role will need to be replaced given his durabilty issues.


It is not a silly argument. Schoen has repeatedly stressed the importance of high value positions with premium draft picks. Add in that not only is TE a non-premium position, but it is probably one of the most difficult positions to get right. What top 10-15 TE draft pick has worked out? Hockenson? Am I going to spend a #6 pick on a 1 in 10 chance of getting freaking Hockenson? I'll pass, thanks.

You completedly bastardized and oversimplified my position. Yes, there have been top 10 QB draft picks that bust, but there have been huge success stories as well. Add in the fact that QB is a much more important position than TE, and yes, I would much rather swing and miss on a QB than a TE.
RE: RE: Kelce was a 3rd rounder and Kittles was a 5th rounder  
BH28 : 2/14/2024 2:25 pm : link
In comment 16398858 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 16398803 KDavies said:


Quote:


last generational talent at TE was Pitts. Drafted 4th and has been underwhelming. TE is one of the toughest positions to transition to the NFL.

This is a silly argument. You put a grade on a prospect and you go by what that grade tells you (with respect to team needs and plans). Tom Brady and Joe Montana were drafted in the 6th and 3rd rounds and are arguably the greatest to play the position (which happens to be the toughest position to transition to the NFL. And think of the long list of top ten pick busts at the QB position. Does that mean you shouldn't draft a QB in the top ten?

p.s.--It should be noted that the Giants built much of their offense around Waller last year and his role will need to be replaced given his durabilty issues.


The main difference is that first round QBs have a much better track record than TEs of actually panning out. The last HoF first round TE was Tony Gonzalez.

So the gamble is that this is the year you find that once every 25 year TE prospect. The fact that most productive TEs recently are not first round picks makes you question the draft grades of the position. At least at QB the first round QBs are the ones producing the most. (Purdy is that once every 25 year guy).

When you factor in the cap as well, its an issue. Take a look at Kyle Pitts, he's got the fifth most guaranteed money out of all the TEs in the league right now. I think some teams can afford that type of risk, but generally it doesn't make a lot of sense to draft a TE high.
RE: RE: RE: Kelce was a 3rd rounder and Kittles was a 5th rounder  
Milton : 2/14/2024 5:28 pm : link
In comment 16399013 BH28 said:
Quote:



The main difference is that first round QBs have a much better track record than TEs of actually panning out. The last HoF first round TE was Tony Gonzalez.

So the gamble is that this is the year you find that once every 25 year TE prospect. The fact that most productive TEs recently are not first round picks makes you question the draft grades of the position. At least at QB the first round QBs are the ones producing the most. (Purdy is that once every 25 year guy).

When you factor in the cap as well, its an issue. Take a look at Kyle Pitts, he's got the fifth most guaranteed money out of all the TEs in the league right now. I think some teams can afford that type of risk, but generally it doesn't make a lot of sense to draft a TE high.


I understand having a general belief about the importance of each position, but ultimately it comes down to the specific prospect and your expectations for him in your particular offense and defense with consideration given to your depth chart. You're looking at probabilities and positional success rates because you're a spectator to the draft like myself. But try looking at it through the eyes of the actual talent evaluator and the head coach. Who's gonna cause the opposing defense more headaches? As Accorsi would say, don't think of him as a TE, think of him as a weapon. And Accorsi was all about positional value, yet he gave up the team's 4th round pick just to move up one spot (from 15 to 14) for a TE.

As for the salary cap, it's a lot cheaper to take a TE in the top ten than it is to take a WR when it comes to the 5th year option guarantee.
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