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Plausible Scenario Where Daboll/Schoen Are Fired

christian : 3/16/2024 8:57 am
I've read a number of posts virtually guaranteeing Daboll and Schoen survive this year. I think it's likely, except in one scenario.

If the Giants run it back with Jones as the starter, don't pick a legitimate alternative (for instance Rattler in the third), and falter.

I'd bet my house if a Daniel Jones led team loses 10 games in 2024, the level of ugliness from the media and fans will lap what we saw in 2021.

Anyone willing to be they'd survive that?
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Agreed  
BigBlueShock : 3/16/2024 9:03 am : link
This is the only scenario I can say would result in them being gone. I’m of the belief that neither of them are on the hot seat as of now. But if they triple down on Jones and it results in the predictable disaster season, they’d deserve to be fired. If they are willing to stake their careers to Daniel Jones they’ll get what they deserve in the end
I think Schoen survives that  
ajr2456 : 3/16/2024 9:05 am : link
But Daboll gets the axe. The Giants don’t fire GMs that quickly. But I wouldn’t be shocked if they both got the axe, they’d both deserve it
The issue is so you want a regime in the hot seat selecting a QB  
Blue The Dog : 3/16/2024 9:06 am : link
If the scenario you played out happens (one that is very likely if they didn't get stop QB this year), then there is no question that they will at least go into 2025 on the hot seat. And you shouldn't let a coach and/or GM on the hot seat selecting your next QB. Marar has even said that's a bad idea with his comments that the Giants have "some everything to screw him up" in regards to Jones.

This year could very well be their only chance to draft a QB. And given the fact that GMs rarely get second GM jobs, this could be the only opportunity that Schoen ever has to pick a QB. The Jones contract could be a big reason for the death of his GM career, just one of the many pelts on Jones's wall full of OCs, HCs, and GMs
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 3/16/2024 9:09 am : link
If both of them are idiotic enough to hitch their wagon to Jones, they both deserve to be shown the door. That's beyond moronic.
 
christian : 3/16/2024 9:09 am : link
I think this is roughly the same scenario in Chicago. Are they willing to bet their jobs on Fields? I never thought so.

I think this is *the* reason they will make an aggressive move to draft a quarterback. Self preservation.
Schoen is safe.....Daboll needs to be competitive  
George from PA : 3/16/2024 9:11 am : link
And not lose team.....which is unlikely
RE: ...  
ajr2456 : 3/16/2024 9:11 am : link
In comment 16434672 SFGFNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
If both of them are idiotic enough to hitch their wagon to Jones, they both deserve to be shown the door. That's beyond moronic.


Hitching their wagon to Jones wastes potentially two more prime years of Thomas, Lawrence, Burns, and Thibs/Banks on their rookie contracts. Would be a disaster.
They will get another year for sure next offseason  
Tuckrule : 3/16/2024 9:11 am : link
I do not think it’s a lock we take a qb round 1. My preference is not to force a qb unless they can get their hands on Maye or Caleb which seems unlikely. I’m not selecting JJ at 6 that would be a disaster imo. Take Rattler in the third and see what he has if jones falters. I do expect jones, behind and actually improved line, and talent around him to do well. I think a surprise selection at 6 might be Brock Bowers. You pair him with these blocking tight ends and you may have something special. If this regime punts on the QB but proves to be successful with there other FA moves like correcting the offensive line, adding Singletary the trade for burns etc. They will get another year and I’d be all for it. The team is moving in the right direction. Forcing a qb at 6 is how you end in a hole.
RE: Schoen is safe.....Daboll needs to be competitive  
christian : 3/16/2024 9:13 am : link
In comment 16434677 George from PA said:
Quote:
And not lose team.....which is unlikely


What if Daboll doesn't lose the team, and the Giants are competitive but lose 11 games?
I just don't see that Jones scenario playing out  
Sean : 3/16/2024 9:14 am : link
I think they'd pivot to Penix/Fields if they can't land the top 4. In your scenario, I think that would be a VERY ugly situation. I could see something like that paving the way to a house cleaning and Belichick. I just don't see it happening. I think Barkley was a big tell.
RE: They will get another year for sure next offseason  
christian : 3/16/2024 9:15 am : link
In comment 16434680 Tuckrule said:
Quote:
I do expect jones, behind and actually improved line, and talent around him to do well.


What if he doesn't?
RE: RE: They will get another year for sure next offseason  
Blue The Dog : 3/16/2024 9:18 am : link
In comment 16434689 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16434680 Tuckrule said:


Quote:


I do expect jones, behind and actually improved line, and talent around him to do well.



What if he doesn't?


And what does improved even mean? If he gets to 1 passing TD/game that's an improvement over his last 4 years, but that's still pretty awful
RE: RE: They will get another year for sure next offseason  
RCPhoenix : 3/16/2024 9:20 am : link
In comment 16434689 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16434680 Tuckrule said:


Quote:


I do expect jones, behind and actually improved line, and talent around him to do well.



What if he doesn't?


And what makes you think he can stay healthy?
RE: RE: They will get another year for sure next offseason  
Tuckrule : 3/16/2024 9:20 am : link
In comment 16434689 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16434680 Tuckrule said:


Quote:


I do expect jones, behind and actually improved line, and talent around him to do well.



What if he doesn't?


Then our record won’t be great either go for a stop gap vet the next offseason or then take your QB. In the meantime do not draft one at 6 this season. Take an impact player like Rome, Bowers, Nabers etc. build the roster so when the qb eventually comes we have talent. This way we won’t waste a rookie QB contract. My idea has and will be to get Rattler whatever it takes. If we have to trade up in round 3 do it. He has all the potential that the top guys have. Hes being slept on tremendously by the media and fans. The scouts definitely see what he has. I can’t go through his resume again but it’s impressive and he checks all the boxes imo. Only issues is height not size. Hes built very thick from top to bottom. He’s also 6-1 he’s not a smurf and he has great feet within the pocket. Sneaky athlete
I think they are just waiting  
Giantimistic : 3/16/2024 9:27 am : link
For Arch Manning to come out.
I dont think Schoen and Daboll would out themselves  
nygiants16 : 3/16/2024 9:27 am : link
in that situation, they know who Daniel Jones is, their is a reason why Schoen gave him the contract and structure he did..

They are getting a young QB in this drsft whether its in the top 6 ir a trade back jnto the late first to get Nix or Penix..

There is no chance they let Jones torpedo them this year
I don’t think 7 wins guarantees that either will be fired, but I think  
Ivan15 : 3/16/2024 9:38 am : link
A repeat of 6-win 2023 might get Daboll fired. That team was totally unprepared to start the season. When disaster first struck when Thomas was hurt, the backups weren’t ready either. That’s on Daboll.

Schoen took a calculated risk with the Jones-Barkley contracts. It would have been better to tag Jones and negotiate with Barkley, but a lot of GMs would have done it the same way. The mistake was believing Jones had improved and would continue to improve and that his injury history was behind him. What we don’t know is how supportive ownership was to the strategy that was implemented.

Schoen’s job depends on how he gets the Giants out of QB hell. That has to play out.
I think Schoen likely survives that  
Mike from Ohio : 3/16/2024 9:41 am : link
The question is Daboll.

Mara will not fire Schoen for a continued belief in Daniel Jones. If Jones plays terribly this year, you can bet Mara will simply conclude that Daboll wasn’t able to get Jones to play at the level he is capable of playing, and will want another coach to try.

I don’t think there is any possibility Schoen gets fired in the next two years. None.
If they don't get QB right  
56goat : 3/16/2024 9:42 am : link
They could both get the axe, whether next year or the year after. That's the nature of the business and why they get paid big bucks.
RE: I think Schoen likely survives that  
Sean : 3/16/2024 9:48 am : link
In comment 16434723 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
The question is Daboll.

Mara will not fire Schoen for a continued belief in Daniel Jones. If Jones plays terribly this year, you can bet Mara will simply conclude that Daboll wasn’t able to get Jones to play at the level he is capable of playing, and will want another coach to try.

I don’t think there is any possibility Schoen gets fired in the next two years. None.

We are well beyond that imo. It's over for Jones. I'd be shocked if this is all set up for another go with Daniel.
I feel  
g56blue10 : 3/16/2024 9:49 am : link
Pretty confident they really want to draft a QB. As Eric stated on another post, when does the cost become to great ? There has to be a line in the sand where obtaining the QB becomes too costly. It will be fascinating to see how this plays out
Does anyone think  
Ron Johnson : 3/16/2024 9:50 am : link
That a year after paying a QB 84 million you overdraft a QB at 6 and he flounders, might be a scenario that gets them fired?
RE: I think Schoen likely survives that  
christian : 3/16/2024 9:51 am : link
In comment 16434723 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:

Mara will not fire Schoen for a continued belief in Daniel Jones. If Jones plays terribly this year, you can bet Mara will simply conclude that Daboll wasn’t able to get Jones to play at the level he is capable of playing, and will want another coach to try.


Yikes, I can almost see it.
RE: RE: I think Schoen likely survives that  
Mike from Ohio : 3/16/2024 9:51 am : link
In comment 16434735 Sean said:
Quote:
In comment 16434723 Mike from Ohio said:


Quote:


The question is Daboll.

Mara will not fire Schoen for a continued belief in Daniel Jones. If Jones plays terribly this year, you can bet Mara will simply conclude that Daboll wasn’t able to get Jones to play at the level he is capable of playing, and will want another coach to try.

I don’t think there is any possibility Schoen gets fired in the next two years. None.


We are well beyond that imo. It's over for Jones. I'd be shocked if this is all set up for another go with Daniel.


We would not be making the decision - John Mara would. Our view on Daniel Jones is irrelevant to the decision. Only John Mara’s view is relevant on who gets fired. If Schoen tells him they can’t land a top prospect so the best course it to stay with Jones for one more year and try again on QB in 2025, do you think Schoen starts screaming at him or nods and says “yeah ok?” If the latter, Schoen is not getting fired.

I’ll believe Mara is ok giving up on Daniel Jones when Daniel Jones is no longer publicly penciled in as the starter.
You think John Mara is okay with Saquon in Philly?  
Sean : 3/16/2024 9:54 am : link
If this was about Jones coming back, Barkley would still be here imo.
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 3/16/2024 9:56 am : link
Would love-LOVE!-to get a few drinks in John & ask a ? that has been confounding me for so long: 'What is your love of Jones based on?'
...  
christian : 3/16/2024 10:00 am : link
Sean, I think Barkley in Philadelphia is potentially quite bad for Schoen.

If Barkley has a strong season and Philly makes a deep playoff run, while Jones flops, that might be enough for Mara to make a move at GM.
RE: ...  
Sean : 3/16/2024 10:03 am : link
In comment 16434763 christian said:
Quote:
Sean, I think Barkley in Philadelphia is potentially quite bad for Schoen.

If Barkley has a strong season and Philly makes a deep playoff run, while Jones flops, that might be enough for Mara to make a move at GM.

Which is more reason Jones is done imo. Schoen is making his mark, Barkley is in Philly, he's not going to half ass it and roll with Jones. That makes no sense. I'm very confident Schoen knows this is the time to get QB. I'll be surprised if NYG owns their 2025 first round pick.
 
christian : 3/16/2024 10:07 am : link
Sean, you know I've been quite skeptical Schoen will change his mind so quickly about Jones. But I do think self preservation is a strong motivation to do so.
putting anything off the field to the side (dui etc)  
Eric on Li : 3/16/2024 10:14 am : link
the scenario that gets daboll fired is regression from last year. it's not an exact win number, but if the team is non-competitive in year 3, it will be someone else making the next top 5 pick. he had the team competitive with tommy cutlets, so it seems that would be an unlikely scenario. a similar season would be 50/50 sort of like saleh (who got the 4th year having never won more than 7 games).

schoen is judged differently over a longer horizon. i think he's batted around league average in draft/fa so i dont think he'll get canned for his personnel track record. daboll won a COY so his hiring of him is already in his favor even if it doesnt work out. but his big responsibility is in running the wider org with a lot of people in a lot of different departments so the biggest factor in his continued employment is how well he is as a manager. is that environment positive, running effectively, and attracting talented people or is it sour/sniping like gettleman days? it seems a lot better but its hard to know from the outside.

the only other way i could see schoen get canned (or sidelined to some extent) if is they can daboll and decide to move on to an established veteran coach who demands autonomy. if they hired belichek i dont think we'd see schoen in the lockerroom huddles postgame any more even if he stuck around.
RE: I think Schoen likely survives that  
SirLoinOfBeef : 3/16/2024 10:14 am : link
In comment 16434723 Mike from Ohio said:
[quote] The question is Daboll.

Mara will not fire Schoen for a continued belief in Daniel Jones. If Jones plays terribly this year, you can bet Mara will simply conclude that Daboll wasn’t able to get Jones to play at the level he is capable of playing, and will want another coach to try.

I don’t think there is any possibility Schoen gets fired in the next two years. None. [/quote


My god that's terrifying.

I agree  
UConn4523 : 3/16/2024 10:15 am : link
and it’s why they aren’t leaving the 2nd round without a QB, IMO
IMO, if Schoen stays  
SirLoinOfBeef : 3/16/2024 10:15 am : link
and Daboll is fired we're in trouble.

Right now I'd take Daboll over Schoen in a heartbeat.

Anyone know how many first time HC/GM  
UConn4523 : 3/16/2024 10:17 am : link
combos took a losing team without a QB and didn’t draft their QB at some point before getting fired? I don’t know the answer but it can’t be many.
RE: putting anything off the field to the side (dui etc)  
christian : 3/16/2024 10:23 am : link
In comment 16434790 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
the scenario that gets daboll fired is regression from last year. it's not an exact win number, but if the team is non-competitive in year 3, it will be someone else making the next top 5 pick. he had the team competitive with tommy cutlets, so it seems that would be an unlikely scenario. a similar season would be 50/50 sort of like saleh (who got the 4th year having never won more than 7 games).


Do you think the lense of competitive changes if the QB is Jones vs. Taylor/DeVito?

I think the general zeitgeist changes. 6-11 with several close games smells very different if Jones is playing.
Agree with a bunch here  
Spider43 : 3/16/2024 10:27 am : link
Schoen has more rope than Dabes.
Daboll lose 11 games.....but team plays hard...  
George from PA : 3/16/2024 10:28 am : link
My belief.....Daboll gets a pass supporting Jones.

He gets one more Drafted QB.....imo.
RE: Agree with a bunch here  
christian : 3/16/2024 10:30 am : link
In comment 16434815 Spider43 said:
Quote:
Schoen has more rope than Dabes.


If the Giants have poor season in 2024, do you think it's more likely the root cause is Daboll did a poor job coaching, or that the talent wasn't sufficient?
RE: Daboll lose 11 games.....but team plays hard...  
christian : 3/16/2024 10:31 am : link
In comment 16434817 George from PA said:
Quote:
My belief.....Daboll gets a pass supporting Jones.

He gets one more Drafted QB.....imo.


How do you think the public and media would react?
RE: Does anyone think  
BigBlueShock : 3/16/2024 10:32 am : link
In comment 16434738 Ron Johnson said:
Quote:
That a year after paying a QB 84 million you overdraft a QB at 6 and he flounders, might be a scenario that gets them fired?

“Overdraft” a QB is something that you’ve created in your head as part of your fierce Daniel Jones defense.
11 losses with Jones  
ajr2456 : 3/16/2024 10:33 am : link
And I don’t think Daboll survives. I also don’t think he survives a 9 loss season if the offense is trash and the defense is in the top 10.
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 3/16/2024 10:36 am : link
The scenario of Mara firing Dabs because Dabs couldn't unlock something in Jones-which, in all seriousness, is a distinct possibility-is so nauseating that I wish it wasn't even mentioned.
Mara Won’t Fire Them For Sticking With Jones In 2024  
Trainmaster : 3/16/2024 10:38 am : link
Mara fires them if they both pound the table for Williams, give up a King’s Ransom (6th overall, 2024 2nd rounder, 2025 1st, 2026 1st ) and Williams is awful, has off the field issues and is a clear on the field and off the field bust after only 1 year.
RE: Mara Won’t Fire Them For Sticking With Jones In 2024  
ajr2456 : 3/16/2024 10:39 am : link
In comment 16434833 Trainmaster said:
Quote:
Mara fires them if they both pound the table for Williams, give up a King’s Ransom (6th overall, 2024 2nd rounder, 2025 1st, 2026 1st ) and Williams is awful, has off the field issues and is a clear on the field and off the field bust after only 1 year.


So they get fired if Williams sucks but not for paying with and sticking with a QB for year 6 that also sucks?

The math doesn’t math.
...  
christian : 3/16/2024 10:40 am : link
If the Giants walk away from the draft without a high profile quarterback, I believe the fans and the media will be ready to pounce.

And if Jones and the Giants play poorly, I think the reaction will be ugly and give no benefit of the doubt.

I think the coverage and criticism would be merciless and non-stop.
RE: Mara Won’t Fire Them For Sticking With Jones In 2024  
BigBlueShock : 3/16/2024 10:44 am : link
In comment 16434833 Trainmaster said:
Quote:
Mara fires them if they both pound the table for Williams, give up a King’s Ransom (6th overall, 2024 2nd rounder, 2025 1st, 2026 1st ) and Williams is awful, has off the field issues and is a clear on the field and off the field bust after only 1 year.

So sticking with a bad QB for 6 years and paying him a fortune won’t get them fired, but a rookie having ONE bad season would? Haha, Now THATS some logic right there. If only you (and in this scenario, Mara) were as impatient with the current QB…
christian.  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 3/16/2024 10:44 am : link
I wonder if the Giants realize how out the fan base is on Jones. People can laugh @ me all they want, but if this team goes into the fall with Jones-Lock-DeVito QB room, a lot of fans-myself included-aren't going to give a fuck about this team this year. And when they inevitably get off to a slow start/the season is done by October 1st, MetLife will be empty & we'll be getting 'Is BB coming home to the Giants?' articles/podcast segments.

You gotta @ least give the fan base some hope. A Jones-Lock-DeVito trio is the equivalent of giving the middle finger to the fans in an absurd attempt to somehow prop Jones up & make him something he isn't: a good QB.
RE: RE: Agree with a bunch here  
Spider43 : 3/16/2024 10:44 am : link
In comment 16434823 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16434815 Spider43 said:


Quote:


Schoen has more rope than Dabes.



If the Giants have poor season in 2024, do you think it's more likely the root cause is Daboll did a poor job coaching, or that the talent wasn't sufficient?


It could easily be both, but from my point of view, Schoen is the more secure. He keeps his mouth shut, and only talks when needed. He mostly toes the company line. And from what I've observed, he's mostly doing his 'master's' bidding (26 aside). Meanwhile Dabes is somewhat of a loose cannon (he says way too much ["We're NOT trading 26," uh, shut up and let your GM handle it]). He's had episodes with several coaches and players. His sideline antics are very unbecoming of a Giant. And if we have a poor record again this coming season, it could be spun easier as a HC-shortcoming, rather than on the GM (given the moves, so far)... though we'd have to let the season play out first, obviously.
Schoen has a couple of strikes against him already  
US1 Giants : 3/16/2024 10:55 am : link
- Neal has not produced yet. I have not given up but Neal needs to play well in 2024.

- Daniel Jones contract was an unforced error. Schoen bid against himself.

- Mara may not be happy to lose the face of his franchise in Barkely. I think Barkley needed to move on.

- If the 2024 season is disaster and Jones gets another year on the contract due to injury, I could see Schoen being fired.
These guys arent getting fired anything short of a total collapse  
blueblood : 3/16/2024 11:03 am : link
and a compleat revolt by the locker room.

They were brought into to fix an organization that has been broken for 12-14 years. You are NOT fixing that in 2-3 years. The worst thing that happened to them was winning year one. It created unrealistic expectation by both the management and the fanbase.

I said it before.. if last year was this year and this year was last year the perspective would be TOTALLY different.
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