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*If* Jones is Cut, Worst Contract in NFL History?

christian : 3/20/2024 10:45 pm
Picking up from the free agency thread, thought this deserved it's own discussion.

If Jones is cut before the year brgins, the Giants will have paid him the full guarantees from 2023 and 2024, totalling 82M.

If the dance ends now, Jones will have played in 6 games, with a 1-5 record. With a per game rate of ~14M and a per win rate of 82M.

All things considered, I can't think of a worse result. Anything else compare?
Hey just what we need  
Larry in Pencilvania : 3/20/2024 10:51 pm : link
Another Jones thread
D Watson  
MojoEd : 3/20/2024 10:51 pm : link
D Watson’s contract is trending to better that worst contract mark by a mile.
Jamarcus Russell?  
Trainmaster : 3/20/2024 10:51 pm : link
Russell Wilson?
Golloday?
Aaron Rodgers (Jets) so far?
Rusell Wilson  
upnyg : 3/20/2024 10:52 pm : link
"$242.6 million
The Broncos signed Wilson to a five-year, $242.6 million deal after his arrival and will take an $85 million hit in dead money over the next two seasons because of the release.
Mar 4, 2024" ESPN
It's TBD...  
bw in dc : 3/20/2024 10:55 pm : link
but I'm leaning Wilson because Denver is paying him a gigantic amount of money so he can potentially win big in the AFC with another team basically for free. That dynamic is unbelievable to me.

And the way Pittsburgh operates, you really have to give Tomlin the benefit of the doubt to make it work.
May be up there  
Scooter185 : 3/20/2024 10:56 pm : link
In NY history with Ellsbury
 
christian : 3/20/2024 10:57 pm : link
Wilson will have earned 85M from the Broncos, and end with a record of 11-19. 4.25M per start, 7.7M per win. I think Jones is worse.

jones is not getting cut  
fish3321 : 3/20/2024 11:00 pm : link
the only thing that should be cut is your thread.
It depends how you define worst  
Darwinian : 3/20/2024 11:01 pm : link
But for return on the dollar the Jones deal is way up there. 1-5 record and 32nd ranked QB play is just abysmal.
RE: jones is not getting cut  
christian : 3/20/2024 11:03 pm : link
In comment 16440926 fish3321 said:
Quote:
the only thing that should be cut is your thread.


Run along little baby.
...  
christian : 3/20/2024 11:08 pm : link
Russell is a different cap era, but he earned 36.3M, and had a 7-18 record.
RE: …  
Joey in VA : 3/20/2024 11:17 pm : link
In comment 16440924 christian said:
Quote:
Wilson will have earned 85M from the Broncos, and end with a record of 11-19. 4.25M per start, 7.7M per win. I think Jones is worse.
God help you, you are just stupid. I never cared for your shitty opinions but this seals it. You're a fucking moron.
RE: RE: …  
christian : 3/20/2024 11:24 pm : link
In comment 16440932 Joey in VA said:
Quote:
In comment 16440924 christian said:


Quote:


Wilson will have earned 85M from the Broncos, and end with a record of 11-19. 4.25M per start, 7.7M per win. I think Jones is worse.


God help you, you are just stupid. I never cared for your shitty opinions but this seals it. You're a fucking moron.


Do you disagree with the math?
Just stop  
uconngiant : 3/20/2024 11:26 pm : link
We have enough Jones talk without this adding to it.

So far the deal looks terrible. There are others mentioned above that were worse, yes hard to believe but they were
haynesworth still takes the cake if you era-adjust  
Eric on Li : 3/20/2024 11:36 pm : link
the 2009 salary cap was 123 million. haynesworth got 41m guaranteed on a 7x100m (14m per year). washington paid him about 35m for 12 starts over 2 years at a practical AAV of 17m, then traded him for a 5th round pick (which went on to be a nothing player who played 5 games).

era adjust that contract to today's cap which is basically 2x, and you get a $82m gtd and making almost $35m per year in those first 2 years for a non-qb bust.

and it would have been more if they hadnt suspended him without pay for conduct detrimental to the team.

Quote:
Citing a litany of acts that essentially add up to season-long insubordination, the Redskins suspended Haynesworth for "conduct detrimental to the club" and told him he's not welcome for the team's final four games -- and making it extremely unlikely he will play for the club again.

"Despite the club's numerous attempts to persuade Albert Haynesworth to abide by the terms of his contract, he has repeatedly refused to cooperate with our coaching staff in a variety of ways over an extended period of time," Shanahan said in statement released by the team. "Among other things, he has consistently indicated to our defensive coaches that he refuses to play in our base defense or on first-down or second-down nickel situations. He has also refused to follow the instructions of our coaches both during weekly practices and during actual games as well.

"Yesterday, when Albert was at Redskin Park, he told our general manager Bruce Allen that he [Haynesworth] would no longer speak with me. Although suspending any player is not a decision that a head coach enters into lightly, I believe the situation has reached the point where the club clearly has no alternative."
I don't know if it's the worst  
Go Terps : 3/20/2024 11:42 pm : link
But it's hard to think of another that was so obviously an enormous mistake.

I thought it would be a long time before the Giants did something as blatantly foolish in the moment as drafting Barkley. It turns out I didn't have to wait long.
RE: I don't know if it's the worst  
BrettNYG10 : 3/20/2024 11:50 pm : link
In comment 16440941 Go Terps said:
Quote:
But it's hard to think of another that was so obviously an enormous mistake.

I thought it would be a long time before the Giants did something as blatantly foolish in the moment as drafting Barkley. It turns out I didn't have to wait long.


This is what bothers me--paying a QB that has been one of the worst QBs three consecutive years running in terms of throwing yards and touchdowns had a super low likelihood of working out.

The decision making process was idiotic.
RE: RE: jones is not getting cut  
Four Aces : 3/20/2024 11:51 pm : link
In comment 16440929 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16440926 fish3321 said:


Quote:


the only thing that should be cut is your thread.



Run along little baby.


He’s right though. Jones will, at least, be on the roster this year and most likely start several games.
Its not even the worst contract in recent Giant history  
Ron from Ninerland : 3/20/2024 11:51 pm : link
Galloway ? Solder ?
RE: RE: I don't know if it's the worst  
Go Terps : 3/20/2024 11:53 pm : link
In comment 16440945 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
In comment 16440941 Go Terps said:


Quote:


But it's hard to think of another that was so obviously an enormous mistake.

I thought it would be a long time before the Giants did something as blatantly foolish in the moment as drafting Barkley. It turns out I didn't have to wait long.



This is what bothers me--paying a QB that has been one of the worst QBs three consecutive years running in terms of throwing yards and touchdowns had a super low likelihood of working out.

The decision making process was idiotic.


It was indefensibly stupid, which leads me to believe it was ownership. But Schoen has to eat that too, because he failed to manage the fools above him.
 
christian : 3/21/2024 12:05 am : link
Golladay was paid 36M for 18 starts, Solder was paid 42.4M for 38 starts.
What horrible posts..opinon presented as fact  
Blu4ever : 3/21/2024 1:05 am : link
I remember the endless complaints about the Cost of getting Williams. We gave up a third at the same time that Baltimore gave up a top ten pick for Forest Bruckner. Still the griping grew in volume. We use him for years and then get a no.2 for him. And the mob quiets, searching no doubt for something they can be wrong on again.'
This remains a unique place, where being wrong empowers instead of shaming.
Prescott has been the beneficiary of the greatest supporting cast (on offense) of modern times. With greater time in the league and inspite of the best offensive line of modern times, he has the same no. of playoff wins as Jones. He doens't have the same arm talent and accuracy that jones has. He makes 60 million per year or 1/2 again as much as Jones.
Jones contract is awful...awful until you put it in contact. But there's still time, if they hustle they can still draft Josh Rosen over Saquon....like so many guru's here wanted.
Awful, I always reference a line from...Walden Pond.... most men lives of quiet desperation" they come here, frustrated and seeking to show how smart they REALLY are. I know more from one hour a week curled up on my couch than these full timers making millions per year know...
I always see sad little men
Even  
Toth029 : 3/21/2024 1:26 am : link
Though he was paid in 2009, Albert Haynesworth got paid 7 years, over $100M and was gone from the contract midway in his second year. Fought with his coach and quit on his team during plays. Far worse.

Then there's the Russell Wilson compensation AND pay. Same for Deshaun Watson's trade and pay. The Browns are contenders with a bad QB.

The worst QB in FA was Brock Osweiler. We remember the Texans giving away a 2nd just to off load the contract he was given? His contract AAV at the time was nearly on the level of Eli Manning's - one of the highest in the league.
If Jones doesnt get injured  
NormanAllen_95 : 3/21/2024 1:28 am : link
behind one of the most incredibly inept offensive lines in league history. The quarterbacks got sacked 5 times a game!

Based on that, the dollars per game number being thrown out is a flawed argument. It would be diff story if he was benched after 6 games.
RE: …  
BrettNYG10 : 3/21/2024 3:01 am : link
In comment 16440955 christian said:
Quote:
Golladay was paid 36M for 18 starts, Solder was paid 42.4M for 38 starts.


Do you pay for over the cap or Spotrac premium?
RE: RE: RE: jones is not getting cut  
.McL. : 3/21/2024 3:03 am : link
In comment 16440947 Four Aces said:
Quote:
In comment 16440929 christian said:


Quote:


In comment 16440926 fish3321 said:


Quote:


the only thing that should be cut is your thread.



Run along little baby.



He’s right though. Jones will, at least, be on the roster this year and most likely start several games.

Ya sure about that!

With the injury guarantee, I still believe that Jones has taken his last snap as Giant. Once he passes his physical, there is 0 reason to keep him on the team.

The post June 1 cut has the exact same cap ramifications as keeping on the team picking splinter from his ass. And god forbid, one of those splinters causes an infection and gets paid even more. Seriously though, even an injury in practice, or lifting weights can trigger that clause. The only way to safeguard the team from that injuy clause is to release him after he passes a physical.
.....  
BrettNYG10 : 3/21/2024 3:10 am : link
Also, to answer the question, no. Aaron Rodgers is clearly worse since they got four plays out of him and now he's going to be vice president.

But more seriously, contracts should be analyzed along different lenses, but surplus value/deficiency is probably the most critical consideration. Jones, if done as a Giant, fares poorly here. But the other lens is alternatives and opportunity cost. Watson, who probably has an even worse value deficiency number, also is holding back a team otherwise capable of being a contender. Signing Cousins, trading for Rodgers (last season), going after Lamar (again, last season), etc. were off the table because of Watson.

Giants had no set of alternatives that robbed them of a title or even division title. Mayfield or whoever may have gotten them to the playoffs, but who cares. And Jones' deal doesn't hold them back from anything this off-season.
Deshaun Watson contract  
Mike in NY : 3/21/2024 5:40 am : link
Going back in time look at what Matt Flynn got paid based off of a single game. The Redskins have a history of overpaying when they brought in Haynesworth and other “name” players.
It's worse  
Kevin in Annapolis : 3/21/2024 5:55 am : link
If they keep him
The Russell Wilson contract was objectively worse  
kdog77 : 3/21/2024 6:13 am : link
and the Broncos still have $53M in dead cap money counting against the cap this year. Daniel Jones cap number this year is $47M, but the Giants FO still gave themselves a few "outs" to help manage his contract either by converting his base salary to signing bonus to spread the pain across next 3 seasons, designate him as post June 1 cut or suck it up this year and cut him in 2025.
No doubt  
The Mike : 3/21/2024 6:18 am : link
The Rodgers, Watson and Wilson contracts may be larger financial hits, but all three of them were given to perennial pro bowl players and, in the case of Rodgers and Wilson, to two future HoFers. Overpayments for sure, but well EARNED at the time the contracts were awarded based on their collective bodies of work. And all three are still very much works in progress. My guess is that all three, barring injury, will have outstanding years in 2024.

The decision to make DJ the sixth highest paid player in the NFL this year, a guy who has won precisely five games in five years against winning teams, with a fairly chronic injury history, at a time when the franchise has been in the middle of a rebuild, is the most egregious display of managerial ineptitude in the history of the New York Giants.

And most likely, in the history of professional sports. There is really nothing that even comes close to comparing to it. Ellsbury? He was an elite player and two time World Series champion with the Red Sox, with one of the most productive years in recent baseball history in 2011, who fell off after a very good first year with the Yankees. Like Rodgers and Wilson, his body of work EARNED him the contract he got. No doubt a dumb contract in hindsight but a contract commensurate with his body of work at the time it was awarded. Same with Haynesworth. Two time ALL PRO player and Defensive Player of the Year in 2008 who again EARNED the contract he was given.

Inconvenient facts, not opinions.
RE: …  
mfjmfj : 3/21/2024 6:34 am : link
In comment 16440924 christian said:
Quote:
Wilson will have earned 85M from the Broncos, and end with a record of 11-19. 4.25M per start, 7.7M per win. I think Jones is worse.



Don't see all the specifics of Wilson's deal but his guarantee was $120MM up to $160MM . He did not get less than 120 and as much as 160 depending on what the rest of the guarantee was (at least some injury so not all of it).

Plus they gave up a boatload of picks.
Looking back, the franchise tag would have been less dumb...  
Sean : 3/21/2024 6:35 am : link
But, still really dumb. The Bucs benefitted from seeing how poorly Jones was handled.

Who were the Giants competing against? They could have let him test the market and given him a juiced up one year deal most likely.

Is it the worst contract of all time? I doubt that. I think the injuries help in making it not the worst contract, more just a massive overpay for a player that couldn't stay healthy. NYG was 1-3 when he got hurt during the Miami game. He played barely in LV and was clearly rusty.

Even removing my personal feelings of Jones, I have to admit NYG had a brutal schedule early on and Jones was without his left tackle for a lot of it. But, none of it matters. This year is the logical year to draft his replacement.

RE: RE: RE: …  
DefenseWins : 3/21/2024 6:51 am : link
In comment 16440933 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16440932 Joey in VA said:


Quote:


In comment 16440924 christian said:


Quote:


Wilson will have earned 85M from the Broncos, and end with a record of 11-19. 4.25M per start, 7.7M per win. I think Jones is worse.


God help you, you are just stupid. I never cared for your shitty opinions but this seals it. You're a fucking moron.



Do you disagree with the math?


Not only is your math wrong, you don't even have all of the numbers to execute the equation.
RE: No doubt  
prematurely_blue : 3/21/2024 6:55 am : link
In comment 16440973 The Mike said:
Quote:
The Rodgers, Watson and Wilson contracts may be larger financial hits, but all three of them were given to perennial pro bowl players and, in the case of Rodgers and Wilson, to two future HoFers. Overpayments for sure, but well EARNED at the time the contracts were awarded based on their collective bodies of work. And all three are still very much works in progress. My guess is that all three, barring injury, will have outstanding years in 2024.

The decision to make DJ the sixth highest paid player in the NFL this year, a guy who has won precisely five games in five years against winning teams, with a fairly chronic injury history, at a time when the franchise has been in the middle of a rebuild, is the most egregious display of managerial ineptitude in the history of the New York Giants.

And most likely, in the history of professional sports. There is really nothing that even comes close to comparing to it. Ellsbury? He was an elite player and two time World Series champion with the Red Sox, with one of the most productive years in recent baseball history in 2011, who fell off after a very good first year with the Yankees. Like Rodgers and Wilson, his body of work EARNED him the contract he got. No doubt a dumb contract in hindsight but a contract commensurate with his body of work at the time it was awarded. Same with Haynesworth. Two time ALL PRO player and Defensive Player of the Year in 2008 who again EARNED the contract he was given.

Inconvenient facts, not opinions.


This is correct. Overpaying a former champion or all pro is different than paying someone who wasn't a Pro Bowler in his BEST season and had various seasons that were horrible in their youth. Forget the team, Russel Wilson never looked a fraction as bad as Jones did EVER. College, pros, etc.

Context matters too. The fact that the owner was slobbering over this mediocre player and that player was so confident he could use this leverage that he fired his agent makes it even worse.

I have never seen anything like this in terms of the sheer amount a player who had shown so little got paid. The crazy thing about this is that the Mara's and a lot of people here clearly ignored the Eagles game data point. I could understand it at least a bit more if he played at least a decent game against the Eagles. Instead of him looking overmatched and flustered in the most important game of his career. Franchising him was in the realm understandable. Hell even a deal with MUCH easier out like Geno or Mayfield was in the realm of understandable.

The contract he got was a master class in horrible negotiation. It completely blew up the goodwill that anyone should have for the Mara's for hiring outside. Because this deal was mired in all of the worst management issues that we've seen of the Mara's embarrassing "leadership" the last 10 years. JS isn't making a lick of a difference or he's just as dumb as everyone else there. Honestly the former at least offers some hope...
I think you have to define  
Lines of Scrimmage : 3/21/2024 7:01 am : link
the criteria for what makes a contract terrible. There are other factors to consider that impacted maximizing the value of Jones contract that had little to do with him. Then he was injured.

Albert Haynesworth is near the top. In his first season he not only was poor but he said he wouldn't play a second season in that system. He had a lot of attitude issues and was lazy on the field. It got so bad, Shanahan suspended him around midseason his second season. Then cut.
The Jones contract was bad the moment he signed it  
prematurely_blue : 3/21/2024 7:04 am : link
a lot of people outside of this community and a small group in it knew that unequivocally.

Again, Haynsworth was a risk but he was a DOMINANT player at times even against great competition. Dating back to college.

Jones was never dominant against good competition. That is the huge difference.
RE: haynesworth still takes the cake if you era-adjust  
section125 : 3/21/2024 7:05 am : link
In comment 16440939 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
the 2009 salary cap was 123 million. haynesworth got 41m guaranteed on a 7x100m (14m per year). washington paid him about 35m for 12 starts over 2 years at a practical AAV of 17m, then traded him for a 5th round pick (which went on to be a nothing player who played 5 games).

era adjust that contract to today's cap which is basically 2x, and you get a $82m gtd and making almost $35m per year in those first 2 years for a non-qb bust.

and it would have been more if they hadnt suspended him without pay for conduct detrimental to the team.



Quote:


Citing a litany of acts that essentially add up to season-long insubordination, the Redskins suspended Haynesworth for "conduct detrimental to the club" and told him he's not welcome for the team's final four games -- and making it extremely unlikely he will play for the club again.

"Despite the club's numerous attempts to persuade Albert Haynesworth to abide by the terms of his contract, he has repeatedly refused to cooperate with our coaching staff in a variety of ways over an extended period of time," Shanahan said in statement released by the team. "Among other things, he has consistently indicated to our defensive coaches that he refuses to play in our base defense or on first-down or second-down nickel situations. He has also refused to follow the instructions of our coaches both during weekly practices and during actual games as well.

"Yesterday, when Albert was at Redskin Park, he told our general manager Bruce Allen that he [Haynesworth] would no longer speak with me. Although suspending any player is not a decision that a head coach enters into lightly, I believe the situation has reached the point where the club clearly has no alternative."



Yeah, to me Haynesworth was the worst. But DJ can easily be in the top 10....and that is bad.
Jesus Christ  
exiled : 3/21/2024 7:06 am : link
These DJ threads

Don’t tell me that I don’t need to open them. Just seeing the subject lines of these stupid, repetitive, shit-stirring threads littered all over this forum is draining. The only thing on my BBI wish list is a filter mechanism.
really...  
Brown_Hornet : 3/21/2024 7:13 am : link
...?

no.
RE: Jesus Christ  
prematurely_blue : 3/21/2024 7:24 am : link
In comment 16440991 exiled said:
Quote:
These DJ threads

Don’t tell me that I don’t need to open them. Just seeing the subject lines of these stupid, repetitive, shit-stirring threads littered all over this forum is draining. The only thing on my BBI wish list is a filter mechanism.


So you do not have enough self control that you require a filter to stop you from clicking things and whining? That is a pretty sad thing you are outing yourself on...
Worst contract  
Cheech d : 3/21/2024 7:25 am : link
Not even close…
If you can be out in 2 yrs it isn’t a debilitating contract.
It’s a mistake….
RE: Jesus Christ  
christian : 3/21/2024 7:30 am : link
In comment 16440991 exiled said:
Quote:
These DJ threads

Don’t tell me that I don’t need to open them. Just seeing the subject lines of these stupid, repetitive, shit-stirring threads littered all over this forum is draining. The only thing on my BBI wish list is a filter mechanism.


It's a tragedy the Lord deprived you of eyes, hands, and free will.
RE: RE: Jesus Christ  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 3/21/2024 7:46 am : link
In comment 16440998 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16440991 exiled said:


Quote:


These DJ threads

Don’t tell me that I don’t need to open them. Just seeing the subject lines of these stupid, repetitive, shit-stirring threads littered all over this forum is draining. The only thing on my BBI wish list is a filter mechanism.



It's a tragedy the Lord deprived you of eyes, hands, and free will.


Haha.
From the unbiased observer  
pjcas18 : 3/21/2024 7:51 am : link
it is definitely in the running for worst ever.

superlatives are subjective so people can base worst on a lot of different variables, but the fact it's in the conversation is bad enough.

some of my friends during this past season were debating whose contract was worst all time, Jones or Watson, and none of them are Giants fans or Texans/Browns fans so I feel like the unbiased public considers it at worst "in the conversation"

with Giants fans you will get the usual bias so hard to gauge.

RE: haynesworth still takes the cake if you era-adjust  
56goat : 3/21/2024 7:58 am : link
In comment 16440939 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
the 2009 salary cap was 123 million. haynesworth got 41m guaranteed on a 7x100m (14m per year). washington paid him about 35m for 12 starts over 2 years at a practical AAV of 17m, then traded him for a 5th round pick (which went on to be a nothing player who played 5 games).

era adjust that contract to today's cap which is basically 2x, and you get a $82m gtd and making almost $35m per year in those first 2 years for a non-qb bust.

and it would have been more if they hadnt suspended him without pay for conduct detrimental to the team.



Quote:


Citing a litany of acts that essentially add up to season-long insubordination, the Redskins suspended Haynesworth for "conduct detrimental to the club" and told him he's not welcome for the team's final four games -- and making it extremely unlikely he will play for the club again.

"Despite the club's numerous attempts to persuade Albert Haynesworth to abide by the terms of his contract, he has repeatedly refused to cooperate with our coaching staff in a variety of ways over an extended period of time," Shanahan said in statement released by the team. "Among other things, he has consistently indicated to our defensive coaches that he refuses to play in our base defense or on first-down or second-down nickel situations. He has also refused to follow the instructions of our coaches both during weekly practices and during actual games as well.

"Yesterday, when Albert was at Redskin Park, he told our general manager Bruce Allen that he [Haynesworth] would no longer speak with me. Although suspending any player is not a decision that a head coach enters into lightly, I believe the situation has reached the point where the club clearly has no alternative."



+1
The worst probably not  
ajr2456 : 3/21/2024 8:05 am : link
But at least Haynesworth was considered a very good player and produced
Didn't we have  
fkap : 3/21/2024 8:26 am : link
a drafted player nearly sever his leg before ever playing a down for us? I'd say that was worse, mathematically, since we got zero production for the money.


point being, basing contract value on non availability due to injury is a fool's errand.
How could he possibly play a down as a Giant with that injury  
GiantBlue : 3/21/2024 8:37 am : link
clause hanging over the team's head.

Then if the plan is to not play him, why not cut him and see if he can sign on with another team once he is released to play?

I can't see the Giants organization keeping him buried on the bench all season when he might be healthy enough to play.

This is funny  
Tom from LI : 3/21/2024 8:47 am : link
how Jones lives rent-free in all of your heads. Every day a new post about Jones.

Get over it already. Schoen and Daboll screwed that up and will screw up when drafting another QB in the end. I don't trust those 2 at all.

Welcome to QB Hell.

This will be the first decade that we do not win a Super Bowl.



RE: Jamarcus Russell?  
Howyadoin : 3/21/2024 9:52 am : link
In comment 16440920 Trainmaster said:
Quote:
Russell Wilson?
Golloday?
Aaron Rodgers (Jets) so far?

I agree 100% For some reason when I think of the worst contract, I think of Jamarcus Russell
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 10:03 am : link
I've taken some of the contracts and laid out how much cash was paid, what years it was paid for, and what that cash represents as a percentage of the cap for those years. And then how much cash was paid for per game played (there was some bad information shared re: Haynesworth and how many season he played for example above).

As always I am happy to be corrected if I got a number wrong. Something about the Wilson numbers seem to be quite upsetting to a few BBIers, so if I've made a mistake, please let me know.

* 2010 was an uncapped year, so I penciled in the 2009 number for the sake of math

I haven't included Watson and Rodgers, because those players are not at risk of being cut this year. Their contracts are not projected to be over, so they still have time to improve their ratios. That said, those two deals definitely project to be very bad, and could ultimately be the worst.

Keep in mind, I'm not debating worst trade. And I'm not debating worst sticker price. I'm just focusing on payments for services rendered.

If Jones is ultimately cut, I believe the headline will be: He earned 82M, won one game, which included one half of good football.

RE: This is funny  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 3/21/2024 10:04 am : link
In comment 16441053 Tom from LI said:
Quote:
how Jones lives rent-free in all of your heads. Every day a new post about Jones.

Get over it already. Schoen and Daboll screwed that up and will screw up when drafting another QB in the end. I don't trust those 2 at all.

Welcome to QB Hell.

This will be the first decade that we do not win a Super Bowl.

We won one in the 60s? 70s?


RE: ...  
section125 : 3/21/2024 10:06 am : link
In comment 16441163 christian said:
Quote:

If Jones is ultimately cut, I believe the headline will be: He earned 82M, won one game, which included one half of good football.



That is quite the sobering sentence....
If the Daniel Jones contract isn't the single worst in NFL History  
ThomasG : 3/21/2024 10:09 am : link
it's a damn fine contender.
RE: The worst probably not  
Toth029 : 3/21/2024 10:09 am : link
In comment 16441016 ajr2456 said:
Quote:
But at least Haynesworth was considered a very good player and produced


Fantastic player. A huge piece of shit; I recall trying to stomp on another player's head when his helmet is off, remember.

Then went to DC for less money than what Tampa Bay offered for the media and larger fan base.

Quitting on his teammates and getting into fights with his head coach. That's why it's by far the worst contracts for a given player.

Deshaun Watson is up there too with all the rape, questionable work ethic, and guaranteed money on its entirety.
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 10:15 am : link
In my view there is a bit of difference between the worst contract and the worst transaction.

What it costs to acquire a player is certainly a factor in judging whether it worked out -- and that's an interesting but slightly different bent on the topic.

So Russell cost a first round pick + the money, that's a total loser. Wilson cost multiple picks + the money, that's a total loser.

I'm simply looking at the ROI for the money spent.

In 3 years will Watson be worse, probably.

Is  
Ron Johnson : 3/21/2024 10:25 am : link
The contract any better if he’s not cut?
RE: Is  
christian : 3/21/2024 10:27 am : link
In comment 16441190 Ron Johnson said:
Quote:
The contract any better if he’s not cut?


If Jones is cut and doesn't play for the Giants this year, they will have paid him the full 82M, which incudes his signing bonus and 2023 and 2024 salaries.
Not going to happen and NO  
Festina Lente : 3/21/2024 10:30 am : link
C'mon this is really low level stuff
Carson Wentz is a decent one to include - and may be most comparble  
Eric on Li : 3/21/2024 10:38 am : link
to Jones situation in the first place.

in 2020 he extended for 4 years 128m, 108m guaranteed and 66.5m fully guaranteed at signing.

only big difference is that he didnt tear his ACL in year 1 so Philly was able to trade him to the Colts, who then traded him to Washington a year later.

the eagles paid him $40m in year 1 before the trade though.

if jones came back and played like he did in 2022 this year even if only for a couple months before a rookie took over and stayed healthy, i think there would be a similar outcome. his problem has obviously been the injuries, though wentz tore his ACL and had some injuries himself.
it's a QB contract  
djm : 3/21/2024 10:40 am : link
adjust for that and inflation no it's not the worst. IT's not even the worst deal for this team over the last 10 years.

QBs get paid. Even the average ones.

Obsessed.
and he's not getting cut  
djm : 3/21/2024 10:40 am : link
every day here. Sun comes up. Jones thread.
According to this argument - our GM is so incompetent  
Bob in Newburgh : 3/21/2024 10:43 am : link
that the possibility of a torn ACL was never considered (heck he probably does not even know what an ACL is).

This whole episode is actually a business as usual episode in the NFL where most, if not all teams, deal with torn ACLs in the normal course of business. If you can honestly believe that JS did not consider it, unless you are a moron, you must support his immediate termination.

some of you  
djm : 3/21/2024 10:44 am : link
really sound like you don't have any idea how FA contracts work or how much money gets thrown around every year. Forget QB contracts, I swear some of you need to be taught about how NFL FA works and how every single player in his prime hitting FA is going to be "overpaid" in relation to his peers. It's how it all fucking works. But nope, sticker shock. Annually.

Carry on. Don't let me stop woe is NYG party. Don't even respond.
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 11:13 am : link
DJM, do you have an actual example you'd like to share, or can we just anticipate your next post where you curse, apologize, and see yourself out?
RE: According to this argument - our GM is so incompetent  
christian : 3/21/2024 11:25 am : link
In comment 16441227 Bob in Newburgh said:
Quote:
that the possibility of a torn ACL was never considered (heck he probably does not even know what an ACL is).

This whole episode is actually a business as usual episode in the NFL where most, if not all teams, deal with torn ACLs in the normal course of business. If you can honestly believe that JS did not consider it, unless you are a moron, you must support his immediate termination.


I have almost no idea what any of that means. But there purpose of this thread is measuring outcomes not input.
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 11:36 am : link
Eric in Li - I've added Wentz with the same methodology.

Jones would need to play a lot of games next year to get that ratio close.

...  
christian : 3/21/2024 11:46 am : link
And here is the same data in the event Jones cannot play again and draws the full injury guarantee.



Although the methodology gets a little wonky, depending on when Jones is cut or retires and the injury guarantee.
RE: ...  
Mike in NY : 3/21/2024 11:56 am : link
In comment 16441406 christian said:
Quote:
Eric in Li - I've added Wentz with the same methodology.

Jones would need to play a lot of games next year to get that ratio close.



The numbers for Wentz, Wilson, and Haynesworth are lower than they should be. You are not counting for cap hits to release them early whereas Jones's number factors that in.
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 12:00 pm : link
In comment 16441458 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
The numbers for Wentz, Wilson, and Haynesworth are lower than they should be. You are not counting for cap hits to release them early whereas Jones's number factors that in.


Those are the cash numbers paid to the player by the team that entered the agreement. That cash number reflects the total cap liability insured. Can you give me an example of what you think is wrong?
Jones may not even  
Lines of Scrimmage : 3/21/2024 12:03 pm : link
be able to play more games due to injury. Schoen may also not want to take the risk if he is cleared medically.

I said on a different thread that if he is not on the roster it is like a one year deal for 5.25 games because you are not getting anymore ROI.

If it works out that he is medically cleared and the Giants stick with him then still a TBD on this contract and its real impact.
RE: ...  
Mike in NY : 3/21/2024 12:06 pm : link
In comment 16441465 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16441458 Mike in NY said:


Quote:


The numbers for Wentz, Wilson, and Haynesworth are lower than they should be. You are not counting for cap hits to release them early whereas Jones's number factors that in.



Those are the cash numbers paid to the player by the team that entered the agreement. That cash number reflects the total cap liability insured. Can you give me an example of what you think is wrong?


The Wilson contract $165,000,000 was guaranteed. All of that is due regardless of it is paid or not so far.
2 words:  
BleedBlue46 : 3/21/2024 12:07 pm : link
Russell Wilson.
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 12:11 pm : link
In comment 16441469 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
I said on a different thread that if he is not on the roster it is like a one year deal for 5.25 games because you are not getting anymore ROI.


It could be like a lot of things, but in the real world of facts, the minimum guarantees in the agreement pay Jones the full total of his 2023 and 2024 salaries. In every lens in the universe, it's at a minimum a 2-year deal.

But if it makes you feel better, yes the Giants got 6 games for between 82-105M.
RE: ...  
ThomasG : 3/21/2024 12:19 pm : link
In comment 16441304 christian said:
Quote:
DJM, do you have an actual example you'd like to share, or can we just anticipate your next post where you curse, apologize, and see yourself out?


the d in djm stand for dramatics
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 12:40 pm : link
Wilson wasn't guaranteed 165M at signing, he was guaranteed 124M.

OTC & Spotrac haven't updated the cash paid portion for 2024 because Denver it appears is still trying to sort out the remaining options bonus and if he will be a June 1 cut or not. The 85M cash number doesn't include one final chunk of accounting.

Based on some back of the envelope math I *think* the full cash paid to Wilson when all is said and done will be 124M.

RE: ...  
The Mike : 3/21/2024 12:48 pm : link
In comment 16441537 christian said:
Quote:
Wilson wasn't guaranteed 165M at signing, he was guaranteed 124M.

OTC & Spotrac haven't updated the cash paid portion for 2024 because Denver it appears is still trying to sort out the remaining options bonus and if he will be a June 1 cut or not. The 85M cash number doesn't include one final chunk of accounting.

Based on some back of the envelope math I *think* the full cash paid to Wilson when all is said and done will be 124M.



But let's be clear. The Broncos made an emotional decision to cut bait. Wilson was a very productive quarterback last year, albeit not elite. But if he were to simply match his performance going forward, this contract would not be nearly as bad as the self-inflicted choice to get rid of him and endow the Steelers with an essentially free resource. And the Broncos are about to realize that replacing Wilson will not be the no brainer choice they seem to think they are making. I would be surprised if their quarterback production in 2024 is as good as Wilson's production was in 2023.
That seems closer  
Mike in NY : 3/21/2024 12:49 pm : link
It seems Jones was worse on a per game basis but others were worse in terms of percentage of cap. That being said, some of it should also consider how much teams typically pay that position. Would a DT making the percentage that Haynesworth was be a lot for what DT are paid today
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 12:53 pm : link
Adjusted for position, I completely agree Haynesworth is the worst. And if we're also considering the subjective disruptive, asshole, embarrassing factor, then there are many worse. Jones hasn't presented a problem.

But my original point remains the same for me -- if Jones doesn't play another down for the Giants they will have either paid 82M or 105M for one good half of football.

That's a real bad investment.
RE: ...  
Mike in NY : 3/21/2024 1:18 pm : link
In comment 16441563 christian said:
Quote:
Adjusted for position, I completely agree Haynesworth is the worst. And if we're also considering the subjective disruptive, asshole, embarrassing factor, then there are many worse. Jones hasn't presented a problem.

But my original point remains the same for me -- if Jones doesn't play another down for the Giants they will have either paid 82M or 105M for one good half of football.

That's a real bad investment.


Totally agree. Real bad investment, yes, but not the worst in NFL history
...  
christian : 3/21/2024 1:44 pm : link
If Jones gets the injury guarantee, and they paid 105M for one good half of football against Arizona, I think it's the poorest return on dollars spent in league history.
Jones  
New Yorker : 3/21/2024 10:37 pm : link
I don't like kicking a dog when it's down,our oline totally destroyed danny,that's nothing to be proud of and it's totally unfair to him.the kid gave 100 % and got shellshocked by a sive oline.I wonder what other QB could survice that Archie Manning I think not.
RE: No doubt  
allstarjim : 3/21/2024 11:22 pm : link
In comment 16440973 The Mike said:
Quote:
The Rodgers, Watson and Wilson contracts may be larger financial hits, but all three of them were given to perennial pro bowl players and, in the case of Rodgers and Wilson, to two future HoFers. Overpayments for sure, but well EARNED at the time the contracts were awarded based on their collective bodies of work. And all three are still very much works in progress. My guess is that all three, barring injury, will have outstanding years in 2024.

The decision to make DJ the sixth highest paid player in the NFL this year, a guy who has won precisely five games in five years against winning teams, with a fairly chronic injury history, at a time when the franchise has been in the middle of a rebuild, is the most egregious display of managerial ineptitude in the history of the New York Giants.

And most likely, in the history of professional sports. There is really nothing that even comes close to comparing to it. Ellsbury? He was an elite player and two time World Series champion with the Red Sox, with one of the most productive years in recent baseball history in 2011, who fell off after a very good first year with the Yankees. Like Rodgers and Wilson, his body of work EARNED him the contract he got. No doubt a dumb contract in hindsight but a contract commensurate with his body of work at the time it was awarded. Same with Haynesworth. Two time ALL PRO player and Defensive Player of the Year in 2008 who again EARNED the contract he was given.

Inconvenient facts, not opinions.


So disingenuous. Why would we cherry pick one year in a contract where he's paid more money so to manage the cap better in other years?

Nobody looks at contracts this way. He got $40M AAV, it's tied for 10th in the NFL for QBs with 2 other guys. FFS Baker Mayfield just got $33M AAV and he's been a journeyman before finally putting together a 2022 Daniel Jones-esque season this year.

The contract wasn't great, but here's your alternative...Jacoby Brissett or someone of that caliber as a bridge to 2024 where you draft a guy. Coming off a playoff win season, does anyone think that Mara would allow a punt like that? He has tickets to sell. Do you pay Carr for more years?

The contract isn't worst in history because of the 2-year escape hatch and the outlay was a little more than what an average starter is getting. Competent QBs with bad playoff track records are getting paid huge dollars now. It's the current landscape. Carr got paid, Cousins just got paid $45M AAV.

The obsession with this contract is silly, and I'm no fan of DJ. I was ridiculed on this board for still being a doubter of DJ's ability even right after the Vikings playoff win. The best thing for the franchise would've been to let him hit free agency, but he likely would've been paid a similar deal. Look what Atlanta just gave Cousins. But do you think Schoen could come off that playoff year holding the bad looking for a backup caliber QB to be the starter for a season to serve as a bridge and be able to walk into John Mara's office and sell that? If you do, I have a bridge to sell you.

That man was a full believer in DJ after that Vikings win. Schoen reads the papers, too.

I said it then and it bears repeatedly...that contract did nothing to jeopardize drafting a rookie QB this year and hitting the reset button, so it didn't jeopardize any long-term QB change plan from the Giants' side.

And finally, if you have to qualify it as "if DJ gets cut" you've already undermined the question of "is it the worst contract in NFL history?" It either is or it isn't on its face. Doesn't matter if he's cut. The fact that he can be cut in a short window means it's not.

It was a bet...may a long-shot bet, maybe a poor gamble, and ultimately, one that Schoen missed on, but the damage done is negligible, and he protected the future of the franchise in that regard.

So all of that considered, it can't even be remotely described as anything close to being the worst contract in NFL history.
 
christian : 3/22/2024 8:12 am : link
Jim, what are your thoughts on the return on the investment?
NO!  
xtian : 3/22/2024 9:24 am : link
Really?
Fun argument  
elpeces : 3/22/2024 10:48 am : link
It's like arguing over who's fart smelled the worst. They were all bad. However, one is still lingering :-(
RE: some of you  
Gatorade Dunk : 3/22/2024 10:52 am : link
In comment 16441228 djm said:
Quote:
really sound like you don't have any idea how FA contracts work

You have probably the worst working knowledge of the salary cap and contract dynamics on this board, and yet you have continued with this sort of shit for years.
RE: …  
allstarjim : 3/22/2024 10:57 am : link
In comment 16442402 christian said:
Quote:
Jim, what are your thoughts on the return on the investment?


Any QB that doesn't make you a annual Super Bowl contender has no significant return on investment. Injuries happen and focusing on them is an utter waste of time.
Allstarjim  
TyreeHelmet : 3/22/2024 11:07 am : link
Good post but have to disagree with a few things.

Mayfields 2023 season was much better than Jones 2022 season. And you can criticize Carr and Cousins for their faults but they are a clear level above Jones to put it lightly.

It is highly unlikely Jones was getting this contract on the open market. The evidence just isn’t there and the league does not view Jones as highly as the Giants do.

Schoen was a first year GM that clearly felt the pressure from ownership to retain Jones. There were better ways to do that but it’s obvious Mara’s influence hurt his decision making.

He should have been ruthless and either tagged him or let him test the market. He made a big mistake, now he has to fix it. But people downplaying it are being foolish.
RE: Allstarjim  
allstarjim : 3/22/2024 12:45 pm : link
In comment 16442647 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:
Good post but have to disagree with a few things.

Mayfields 2023 season was much better than Jones 2022 season. And you can criticize Carr and Cousins for their faults but they are a clear level above Jones to put it lightly.

It is highly unlikely Jones was getting this contract on the open market. The evidence just isn’t there and the league does not view Jones as highly as the Giants do.

Schoen was a first year GM that clearly felt the pressure from ownership to retain Jones. There were better ways to do that but it’s obvious Mara’s influence hurt his decision making.

He should have been ruthless and either tagged him or let him test the market. He made a big mistake, now he has to fix it. But people downplaying it are being foolish.


My point is, any QB you sign that doesn't put you in the hunt for a Super Bowl is spinning your wheels. The contract DJ received was a short-term one gambling that he could take another step forward to become that.

I don't need to split hairs on the other QBs. Situations/circumstances differ, but none of those guys are very likely to put those teams in contention to hoist a Lombardi.

Cousins might be the exception because that is a GREAT situation for him. Strong playmakers, great OL. But if they get the bad side of the coin for injury luck, it won't happen. Yes, you could say that about all QBs save for a few in the NFL.

So strategically, if you don't have one, you need to try to draft one until you do. I like what Denver did. They are taking short-term pain... they will be terrible in 2024, but should be positioned well to get a premium QB prospect in the 2025 draft.

So in terms of evaluating a contract from an ROI perspective, what does it matter from the fan perspective if my terrible QB wins 1 or 2 games versus a QB that wins 6 games? What difference does that ROI make if I have a QB that is one and one in the playoffs for 5 years in a row? From a fan perspective, all this ROI is the same to me, disappointment.

At least if my team is terrible, I can be positioned to draft an elite QB prospect (hopefully one in the draft available).

Being that DJ's contract had an early escape hatch, and gave the flexibility to pivot to drafting an elite QB prospect, it can't be the worst in history. The worst is sticking with a guy year over year that will never get you to the mountain top...I think Cousins in Minnesota is a good example of this.

Jones taking a step forward was not a good bet  
prematurely_blue : 3/22/2024 12:59 pm : link
it was made worse by the fact that even if he did he was a large injury risk.

As a leader you have to make good well reasoned bets that make sense risk / reward wise. The fact that Jones was overpaid exacerbated the risks over potential rewards it would have been too big of a risk vs the chance of upside even on a more reasonable deal. That deal was just a bad one from the moment it was signed.

Acting like it was just unlucky was intellectually dishonest. Now was their some and luck in addition to the ill conceived idea. Yes, similarly to not say that would be dishonest. But the idea itself was always a bad one weighed down by the same BS sentimentality and cronyism that has dragged us to the basement as a franchise.
...  
christian : 3/22/2024 1:23 pm : link
The barrier to exit is only one half of the ratio. And using that as a positive is intellectually flimsy.

It's misleading to celebrate that you can exit the contract after two years, without also measuring the cost. Yes, the Giants can exit after two years, at a cost of 82M dollars cash (105M if he has a career altering injury).

Teams simply don't hang on to bad contracts after two years. Those players are either traded or cut. And the original team is left with some amount of dollars paid for some amount of services rendered.

This thread has availed two other really poor deals where the dollars paid vs. the services rendered are in the neighborhood of Jones -- Haynesworth and Wilson.

Ultimately will Watson and/or Rodgers be in or eclipse those poor ratios? Seems very probable.

And just some subtext, I am not asking "who has made the worst decisions with their quarterback over a period of time?" The question is about the commercial agreement.
RE: RE: No doubt  
Thegratefulhead : 3/22/2024 3:32 pm : link
In comment 16442289 allstarjim said:
Quote:
In comment 16440973 The Mike said:


Quote:


The Rodgers, Watson and Wilson contracts may be larger financial hits, but all three of them were given to perennial pro bowl players and, in the case of Rodgers and Wilson, to two future HoFers. Overpayments for sure, but well EARNED at the time the contracts were awarded based on their collective bodies of work. And all three are still very much works in progress. My guess is that all three, barring injury, will have outstanding years in 2024.

The decision to make DJ the sixth highest paid player in the NFL this year, a guy who has won precisely five games in five years against winning teams, with a fairly chronic injury history, at a time when the franchise has been in the middle of a rebuild, is the most egregious display of managerial ineptitude in the history of the New York Giants.

And most likely, in the history of professional sports. There is really nothing that even comes close to comparing to it. Ellsbury? He was an elite player and two time World Series champion with the Red Sox, with one of the most productive years in recent baseball history in 2011, who fell off after a very good first year with the Yankees. Like Rodgers and Wilson, his body of work EARNED him the contract he got. No doubt a dumb contract in hindsight but a contract commensurate with his body of work at the time it was awarded. Same with Haynesworth. Two time ALL PRO player and Defensive Player of the Year in 2008 who again EARNED the contract he was given.

Inconvenient facts, not opinions.



So disingenuous. Why would we cherry pick one year in a contract where he's paid more money so to manage the cap better in other years?

Nobody looks at contracts this way. He got $40M AAV, it's tied for 10th in the NFL for QBs with 2 other guys. FFS Baker Mayfield just got $33M AAV and he's been a journeyman before finally putting together a 2022 Daniel Jones-esque season this year.

The contract wasn't great, but here's your alternative...Jacoby Brissett or someone of that caliber as a bridge to 2024 where you draft a guy. Coming off a playoff win season, does anyone think that Mara would allow a punt like that? He has tickets to sell. Do you pay Carr for more years?

The contract isn't worst in history because of the 2-year escape hatch and the outlay was a little more than what an average starter is getting. Competent QBs with bad playoff track records are getting paid huge dollars now. It's the current landscape. Carr got paid, Cousins just got paid $45M AAV.

The obsession with this contract is silly, and I'm no fan of DJ. I was ridiculed on this board for still being a doubter of DJ's ability even right after the Vikings playoff win. The best thing for the franchise would've been to let him hit free agency, but he likely would've been paid a similar deal. Look what Atlanta just gave Cousins. But do you think Schoen could come off that playoff year holding the bad looking for a backup caliber QB to be the starter for a season to serve as a bridge and be able to walk into John Mara's office and sell that? If you do, I have a bridge to sell you.

That man was a full believer in DJ after that Vikings win. Schoen reads the papers, too.

I said it then and it bears repeatedly...that contract did nothing to jeopardize drafting a rookie QB this year and hitting the reset button, so it didn't jeopardize any long-term QB change plan from the Giants' side.

And finally, if you have to qualify it as "if DJ gets cut" you've already undermined the question of "is it the worst contract in NFL history?" It either is or it isn't on its face. Doesn't matter if he's cut. The fact that he can be cut in a short window means it's not.

It was a bet...may a long-shot bet, maybe a poor gamble, and ultimately, one that Schoen missed on, but the damage done is negligible, and he protected the future of the franchise in that regard.

So all of that considered, it can't even be remotely described as anything close to being the worst contract in NFL history.
Perfect
Russel Wilson being fully guaranteed $124M by DEN  
shyster : 3/22/2024 8:02 pm : link
was a known fact when he signed the contract and shouldn't have been a mystery.

Quote:
https://overthecap.com › player › russell-wilson
Russell Wilson Contract Details, Salary ...

Russell Wilson signed a five year contract extension worth $245 million with the Broncos. $165 million is guaranteed including $124 million at signing.


Broncos will have paid Wilson $62M a year for 2 years work, while Giants will pay Jones $41M a year for 2 years work.
Simple.
RE: Russel Wilson being fully guaranteed $124M by DEN  
christian : 3/22/2024 8:11 pm : link
In comment 16443250 shyster said:
Quote:
m
Broncos will have paid Wilson $62M a year for 2 years work, while Giants will pay Jones $41M a year for 2 years work.
Simple.


I was pulling the numbers from the cash paid column in the contract history tab, which doesn't reflect the 2024 cash he'll be paid in 2024. I updated that to 124 in the last table I posted.

Also remains to be determined if the Giants will have paid Jones 82M or 105M.
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