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Dane Brugler draft guide "The Beast" went live this morning

Y28 : 4/10/2024 8:00 am
it requires a subscription to The Athletic.

Always a valuable detailed read. This year it is 324 pages.

This is one good reason to subscribe to the athletic  
Heisenberg : 4/10/2024 8:21 am : link
Always look forward to it each year.
Brugler QB Rankings  
Rick in Dallas : 4/10/2024 8:23 am : link
1. Williams
4. Maye
8. Daniels
21. McCarthy
44. Nix
52. Penix

As I have felt for awhile now this QB class is a bit overrated

It will take me days to read the Beast.
It is so detailed in strengths and weaknesses.

RE: Brugler QB Rankings  
ZogZerg : 4/10/2024 8:27 am : link
In comment 16463123 Rick in Dallas said:
Quote:
1. Williams
4. Maye
8. Daniels
21. McCarthy
44. Nix
52. Penix

As I have felt for awhile now this QB class is a bit overrated

It will take me days to read the Beast.
It is so detailed in strengths and weaknesses.


I don't think the QB class is overrated
Have you looked at the QBs drafted the last few years?
RE: Brugler QB Rankings  
SirLoinOfBeef : 4/10/2024 8:36 am : link
In comment 16463123 Rick in Dallas said:
Quote:
1. Williams
4. Maye
8. Daniels
21. McCarthy
44. Nix
52. Penix

As I have felt for awhile now this QB class is a bit overrated

It will take me days to read the Beast.
It is so detailed in strengths and weaknesses.


I'd be confident with any of the QBs paired with Daboll.

Other players may be ranked higher, however IMO none are more important to a team's success than the QB position.


RE: RE: Brugler QB Rankings  
Mike in NY : 4/10/2024 8:38 am : link
In comment 16463128 ZogZerg said:
Quote:
In comment 16463123 Rick in Dallas said:


Quote:


1. Williams
4. Maye
8. Daniels
21. McCarthy
44. Nix
52. Penix

As I have felt for awhile now this QB class is a bit overrated

It will take me days to read the Beast.
It is so detailed in strengths and weaknesses.




I don't think the QB class is overrated
Have you looked at the QBs drafted the last few years?


It is overrated if you are listening to those that say that there are 6 QB’s worthy of a top 6 draft pick. While I am higher on McCarthy than Dane is (and lower on Maye) I only see 4 worth a first round pick
RE: RE: RE: Brugler QB Rankings  
upnyg : 4/10/2024 8:44 am : link
In comment 16463136 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
In comment 16463128 ZogZerg said:


Quote:


In comment 16463123 Rick in Dallas said:


Quote:


1. Williams
4. Maye
8. Daniels
21. McCarthy
44. Nix
52. Penix

As I have felt for awhile now this QB class is a bit overrated

It will take me days to read the Beast.
It is so detailed in strengths and weaknesses.




I don't think the QB class is overrated
Have you looked at the QBs drafted the last few years?



It is overrated if you are listening to those that say that there are 6 QB’s worthy of a top 6 draft pick. While I am higher on McCarthy than Dane is (and lower on Maye) I only see 4 worth a first round pick
I think most will be surprised on where everybody lands in the final draft.

RE: RE: RE: Brugler QB Rankings  
Biteymax22 : 4/10/2024 9:23 am : link
In comment 16463136 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
In comment 16463128 ZogZerg said:


Quote:


In comment 16463123 Rick in Dallas said:


Quote:


1. Williams
4. Maye
8. Daniels
21. McCarthy
44. Nix
52. Penix

As I have felt for awhile now this QB class is a bit overrated

It will take me days to read the Beast.
It is so detailed in strengths and weaknesses.




I don't think the QB class is overrated
Have you looked at the QBs drafted the last few years?



It is overrated if you are listening to those that say that there are 6 QB’s worthy of a top 6 draft pick. While I am higher on McCarthy than Dane is (and lower on Maye) I only see 4 worth a first round pick


I also only think 4 QBs are "first round caliber" however I'm expecting at least 5 and maybe 6 to go in the first round.

I can see Denver taking Nix and the Raiders taking Penix while the top 4 go to Chi, Was, NE, Min or NYG.
As a reminder of how QBs get overdrafted  
DaveInTampa : 4/10/2024 9:27 am : link
Brugler ranked Daniel Jones 53rd in 2019--almost identical to Penix this year
in 2018 the 5 QBs were ranked similarly - 2 are MVP candidates now  
Eric on Li : 4/10/2024 9:28 am : link
and they happened to be the 3rd/5th ones selected (and in many places the 4th/5th ones in rankings).

this is a very strong QB class. definitely the deepest since 2018.
RE: RE: Brugler QB Rankings  
mfjmfj : 4/10/2024 9:53 am : link
In comment 16463134 SirLoinOfBeef said:
Quote:
In comment 16463123 Rick in Dallas said:


Quote:


1. Williams
4. Maye
8. Daniels
21. McCarthy
44. Nix
52. Penix

As I have felt for awhile now this QB class is a bit overrated

It will take me days to read the Beast.
It is so detailed in strengths and weaknesses.




I'd be confident with any of the QBs paired with Daboll.

Other players may be ranked higher, however IMO none are more important to a team's success than the QB position.



I definitely agree with this. But does that mean you are always taking a QB at 6? I trust Daboll, but do you take Nix or Penix at 6 if that is what's left?
Wide Receivers Top 10  
M.S. : 4/10/2024 9:56 am : link

1. MARVIN HARRISON JR. Ohio State 1st
2. MALIK NABERS LSU 1st
3. ROME ODUNZE Washington 1st
4. BRIAN THOMAS JR. LSU 1st
5. LADD MCCONKEY Georgia 1st-2nd
6. ADONAI MITCHELL Texas 1st-2nd
7. KEON COLEMAN Florida State 2nd
8. ROMAN WILSON Michigan 2nd
9. RICKY PEARSALL Florida 2nd-3rd
10. XAVIER WORTHY Texas 2nd-3rd
RE: Wide Receivers Top 10  
BigBlue7 : 4/10/2024 9:58 am : link
In comment 16463215 M.S. said:
Quote:

1. MARVIN HARRISON JR. Ohio State 1st
2. MALIK NABERS LSU 1st
3. ROME ODUNZE Washington 1st
4. BRIAN THOMAS JR. LSU 1st
5. LADD MCCONKEY Georgia 1st-2nd
6. ADONAI MITCHELL Texas 1st-2nd
7. KEON COLEMAN Florida State 2nd
8. ROMAN WILSON Michigan 2nd
9. RICKY PEARSALL Florida 2nd-3rd
10. XAVIER WORTHY Texas 2nd-3rd


Brugler has said multiple times over the last few weeks that if MHJ or Nabers were in the 2022 or 2023 draft, they would have been his #1 overall prospect

This is actually example  
Giants : 4/10/2024 10:03 am : link
Of why I never subscribe. All of this information endsup getting posted. Someone who subscribes may get it all a hour before me. I can live with that. I don't have the need to be the first one to read it. Same with local paper where they lock article and they want you to sign up. For what? It's all going to get posted
RE: This is actually example  
Thegratefulhead : 4/10/2024 10:07 am : link
In comment 16463228 Giants said:
Quote:
Of why I never subscribe. All of this information endsup getting posted. Someone who subscribes may get it all a hour before me. I can live with that. I don't have the need to be the first one to read it. Same with local paper where they lock article and they want you to sign up. For what? It's all going to get posted
Makes you easily mislead. You allow others to place their bias on information before you receive it. Always go to the source when possible.
I'm not  
Pete in MD : 4/10/2024 10:11 am : link
here to plug The Athletic, but you can get a 12 month trial membership for $1 per month. 12 bucks and decide for yourself.
The information from The Beast that gets posted here  
Rick in Dallas : 4/10/2024 10:17 am : link
Just scratches the surface of how detailed the prospect write ups are displayed in the Beast.
Brugler does a fantastic job and is deeply connected to NFL personnel
Did you know  
Pete in MD : 4/10/2024 10:26 am : link
Joe Alt has an older brother and 3 older sisters? That really is in-depth info.
RE: RE: RE: Brugler QB Rankings  
SirLoinOfBeef : 4/10/2024 10:51 am : link
In comment 16463210 mfjmfj said:
Quote:
In comment 16463134 SirLoinOfBeef said:


Quote:


In comment 16463123 Rick in Dallas said:


Quote:


1. Williams
4. Maye
8. Daniels
21. McCarthy
44. Nix
52. Penix

As I have felt for awhile now this QB class is a bit overrated

It will take me days to read the Beast.
It is so detailed in strengths and weaknesses.




I'd be confident with any of the QBs paired with Daboll.

Other players may be ranked higher, however IMO none are more important to a team's success than the QB position.





I definitely agree with this. But does that mean you are always taking a QB at 6? I trust Daboll, but do you take Nix or Penix at 6 if that is what's left?


If you believe he's your guy, IMO yes.

Lots of mocks have Denver selecting Nix at 12. I don't see Penix making it much further.

You could try and get cute if you got the inside knowledge of the board.
RE: This is actually example  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/10/2024 10:53 am : link
In comment 16463228 Giants said:
Quote:
Of why I never subscribe. All of this information endsup getting posted. Someone who subscribes may get it all a hour before me. I can live with that. I don't have the need to be the first one to read it. Same with local paper where they lock article and they want you to sign up. For what? It's all going to get posted

And this "is actually example" of why you're woefully uninformed at every possible turn. You honestly think someone else's snippets is a viable alternative to the full material and your own critical thought?

If $1/mo is too much, I'll just assume you'd prefer to avoid thinking for yourself even if it was offered for free.
RE: As a reminder of how QBs get overdrafted  
k2tampa : 4/10/2024 11:16 am : link
In comment 16463186 DaveInTampa said:
Quote:
Brugler ranked Daniel Jones 53rd in 2019--almost identical to Penix this year


Not to use Jones as an example, but just because Brugler, or Kiper, or some other expert has a guy rated 53rd doesn't mean NFL teams have him rated 53rd. There's a reason these guys aren't working as NFL scouts.
RE: in 2018 the 5 QBs were ranked similarly - 2 are MVP candidates now  
shyster : 4/10/2024 11:37 am : link
In comment 16463189 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
and they happened to be the 3rd/5th ones selected (and in many places the 4th/5th ones in rankings).


Simply not true. Throughout the draft process, Josh Allen was number two to Sam Darnold in Vegas odds to go number one overall and in most draft previews and rankings.

It was Baker Mayfield who was the dark horse and clear number four, until a week before the draft, when Dorsey had to tell others in the CLE org that Mayfield was going to be the pick, and news leaked.

Dorsey wanted to prove he was smarter than everyone else. And he failed.
I mean this with no offense to anyone posting on BBI  
arniefez : 4/10/2024 11:38 am : link
But when I read I have player X rated higher than (fill in media member name here) does it makes me laugh. There are people being paid millions of dollars to make these picks and they have no idea how most of the players picked in the top half of round one of the draft will translate to the NFL.

If you're like me and think after you've seen a player on TV you think he'd be great playing for the Giants and I hope they draft him. That makes sense to me. If you think you're scouting players and that you're making more than a guess and a hope you lose me.

I've listened to dozens of podcasts with draft "experts" the past few months and I've seen a game or two of the players projected to go in the top 10 picks. From everything I've listened to and seen I expect 3 or 4 QBs and Marvin Harrison Jr to be selected before the Giants pick. If that's the case I hope they choose Malik Nabers. I think he has a chance to be a game changing player and paired with Robinson and Hyatt's skill sets could form a trio that scares others teams even with mediocre at best QB play in 2024.

The Giants know they have to find an upgrade at QB but with only 6 picks this year and a thin roster how many picks can they afford to trade away in 2024 and 2025 to move up for a QB?
RE: Wide Receivers Top 10  
GoDeep13 : 4/10/2024 11:45 am : link
In comment 16463215 M.S. said:
Quote:

1. MARVIN HARRISON JR. Ohio State 1st
2. MALIK NABERS LSU 1st
3. ROME ODUNZE Washington 1st
4. BRIAN THOMAS JR. LSU 1st
5. LADD MCCONKEY Georgia 1st-2nd
6. ADONAI MITCHELL Texas 1st-2nd
7. KEON COLEMAN Florida State 2nd
8. ROMAN WILSON Michigan 2nd
9. RICKY PEARSALL Florida 2nd-3rd
10. XAVIER WORTHY Texas 2nd-3rd
Dont sleep on Ladd McConkey.
RE: I mean this with no offense to anyone posting on BBI  
Pete in MD : 4/10/2024 11:47 am : link
In comment 16463355 arniefez said:
Quote:
But when I read I have player X rated higher than (fill in media member name here) does it makes me laugh. There are people being paid millions of dollars to make these picks and they have no idea how most of the players picked in the top half of round one of the draft will translate to the NFL.

If you're like me and think after you've seen a player on TV you think he'd be great playing for the Giants and I hope they draft him. That makes sense to me. If you think you're scouting players and that you're making more than a guess and a hope you lose me.

I've listened to dozens of podcasts with draft "experts" the past few months and I've seen a game or two of the players projected to go in the top 10 picks. From everything I've listened to and seen I expect 3 or 4 QBs and Marvin Harrison Jr to be selected before the Giants pick. If that's the case I hope they choose Malik Nabers. I think he has a chance to be a game changing player and paired with Robinson and Hyatt's skill sets could form a trio that scares others teams even with mediocre at best QB play in 2024.

The Giants know they have to find an upgrade at QB but with only 6 picks this year and a thin roster how many picks can they afford to trade away in 2024 and 2025 to move up for a QB?

Wasn't there a running BBI joke bc a few posters would talk about "watching film" like they were a coach or GM. Doesn't that mean they were going to look at games on the DVR?
RE: I mean this with no offense to anyone posting on BBI  
Festina Lente : 4/10/2024 12:03 pm : link
In comment 16463355 arniefez said:
Quote:
But when I read I have player X rated higher than (fill in media member name here) does it makes me laugh. There are people being paid millions of dollars to make these picks and they have no idea how most of the players picked in the top half of round one of the draft will translate to the NFL.

If you're like me and think after you've seen a player on TV you think he'd be great playing for the Giants and I hope they draft him. That makes sense to me. If you think you're scouting players and that you're making more than a guess and a hope you lose me.

I've listened to dozens of podcasts with draft "experts" the past few months and I've seen a game or two of the players projected to go in the top 10 picks. From everything I've listened to and seen I expect 3 or 4 QBs and Marvin Harrison Jr to be selected before the Giants pick. If that's the case I hope they choose Malik Nabers. I think he has a chance to be a game changing player and paired with Robinson and Hyatt's skill sets could form a trio that scares others teams even with mediocre at best QB play in 2024.

The Giants know they have to find an upgrade at QB but with only 6 picks this year and a thin roster how many picks can they afford to trade away in 2024 and 2025 to move up for a QB?


I agree arnie
This gives me hope that Penix is a possibility  
The Mike : 4/10/2024 12:09 pm : link
If the Giants take Nabers at six. Will require a likely trade up, but won't necessarily require the 2025 first round pick.
RE: RE: As a reminder of how QBs get overdrafted  
DaveInTampa : 4/10/2024 12:17 pm : link
In comment 16463330 k2tampa said:
Quote:
In comment 16463186 DaveInTampa said:


Quote:


Brugler ranked Daniel Jones 53rd in 2019--almost identical to Penix this year



Not to use Jones as an example, but just because Brugler, or Kiper, or some other expert has a guy rated 53rd doesn't mean NFL teams have him rated 53rd. There's a reason these guys aren't working as NFL scouts.


Well, at least with respect to Jones, Brugler's rating turned out to be a lot more accurate than the Giants (or any other teams that had him ranked that high).
RE: I mean this with no offense to anyone posting on BBI  
Thegratefulhead : 4/10/2024 12:29 pm : link
In comment 16463355 arniefez said:
Quote:
But when I read I have player X rated higher than (fill in media member name here) does it makes me laugh. There are people being paid millions of dollars to make these picks and they have no idea how most of the players picked in the top half of round one of the draft will translate to the NFL.

If you're like me and think after you've seen a player on TV you think he'd be great playing for the Giants and I hope they draft him. That makes sense to me. If you think you're scouting players and that you're making more than a guess and a hope you lose me.

I've listened to dozens of podcasts with draft "experts" the past few months and I've seen a game or two of the players projected to go in the top 10 picks. From everything I've listened to and seen I expect 3 or 4 QBs and Marvin Harrison Jr to be selected before the Giants pick. If that's the case I hope they choose Malik Nabers. I think he has a chance to be a game changing player and paired with Robinson and Hyatt's skill sets could form a trio that scares others teams even with mediocre at best QB play in 2024.

The Giants know they have to find an upgrade at QB but with only 6 picks this year and a thin roster how many picks can they afford to trade away in 2024 and 2025 to move up for a QB?
Solid post.

There you go making your own evaluation though.

Strong work.

You like Nabers, I like MHjr and Odunze a little better. Best place to talk about that is here in my opinion. I would rather Thomas(other LSU wr) in the second than Nabers in 1st.

I am forever humbled after Rosen. I know I don’t know
.  
OBJ_AllDay : 4/10/2024 12:34 pm : link
1. Chicago - Caleb Williams
2. Washington - Drake Maye
3. Patriots - JJM
4. Arizona - Harrison Jr.
5. Chargers - Malik Nabers



6. NYG - Jayden Daniels
RE: This is one good reason to subscribe to the athletic  
blueblood : 4/10/2024 12:42 pm : link
In comment 16463121 Heisenberg said:
Quote:
Always look forward to it each year.


This is the ONLY reason I subscribe to the Atheltic.
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