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Garafolo's best guess as to the Giants thoughts

Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/14/2024 12:09 pm
He said he thinks Maye is the QB they want. However, he thinks the only way they land him is if Maye lasts to #4 and then the Giants trade up.

Barring that scenario, he thinks they stand pat at #6 and "let the draft come to them."

Does think it is possible they trade back up into the first round to take Penix or Nix.
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Odunze and then Penix …  
Spider56 : 4/14/2024 12:12 pm : link
would be very, very nice.
That seems plausible.  
section125 : 4/14/2024 12:12 pm : link
They may trade back for some additional picks and that would be a smart thing, especially if the could also get Penix/Nix plus an additional 2nd and 3rd or 4th...
I agree with him  
George from PA : 4/14/2024 12:13 pm : link
I never thought.....any QB would be acceptable.

Spending time with a QB does not mean, you are getting the answers you want....
RE: Odunze and then Penix …  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 12:15 pm : link
In comment 16468214 Spider56 said:
Quote:
would be very, very nice.


I think that's my dream scenario right now for something that I feel could realistically happen. I like JJM a lot, but I don't think he lasts to 6 and even then Schoen might prefer Odunze. Penix sliding is much stronger of a possibility than many realize here.
So basically a compilation and sorting of the thoughts....  
MOOPS : 4/14/2024 12:17 pm : link
of all the talking heads.
If NE likes JJM,  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 12:21 pm : link
Then the way to 3 is by going up to 4 first. Who knows though, you can't believe anything you hear right now. I do believe we have been adamantly working to trade up for Maye. Will be interesting, T-11 days 7 hrs 39 minutes and counting..
RE: If NE likes JJM,  
GFAN52 : 4/14/2024 12:25 pm : link
In comment 16468232 BleedBlue46 said:
Quote:
Then the way to 3 is by going up to 4 first. Who knows though, you can't believe anything you hear right now. I do believe we have been adamantly working to trade up for Maye. Will be interesting, T-11 days 7 hrs 39 minutes and counting..


I seriously doubt they spend the #3 pick on JJ McCarthy.
Maye isn't getting past 2 or 3.  
ZogZerg : 4/14/2024 12:27 pm : link
So, I guess JJ was all smoke....
RE: Maye isn't getting past 2 or 3.  
Chris684 : 4/14/2024 12:30 pm : link
In comment 16468240 ZogZerg said:
Quote:
So, I guess JJ was all smoke....


He doesn’t say they wouldn’t draft McCarthy at 6.
I want no  
Eli owns all : 4/14/2024 12:31 pm : link
Part of Penix with Neal at RT
i have 0 info but i think that is how id also read the tea leaves  
Eric on Li : 4/14/2024 12:33 pm : link
would they move up for JJM if the price was reasonable because AZ doesn't want to move down too far? that's possible, but i think it's unlikely the price is reasonable.
If they take Maye over  
Doubledeuce22 : 4/14/2024 12:34 pm : link
One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.
RE: RE: If NE likes JJM,  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 12:35 pm : link
In comment 16468239 GFAN52 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468232 BleedBlue46 said:


Quote:


Then the way to 3 is by going up to 4 first. Who knows though, you can't believe anything you hear right now. I do believe we have been adamantly working to trade up for Maye. Will be interesting, T-11 days 7 hrs 39 minutes and counting..



I seriously doubt they spend the #3 pick on JJ McCarthy.


I'm saying if NE likes JJM then we could entice them by trading up to 4 then 3 so NE is guaranteed a QB they like (Maybe more than Maye as many analysts do).
RE: If they take Maye over  
section125 : 4/14/2024 12:39 pm : link
In comment 16468250 Doubledeuce22 said:
Quote:
One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.


What?
As usual MG is spot on  
Brandon Walsh : 4/14/2024 12:39 pm : link
Said it the other day- Maye is their guy if somehow achievable otherwise they’re staying at 6 and taking Nabers (MHJ will be gone)
I  
AcidTest : 4/14/2024 12:41 pm : link
think the only way Maye gets to #4 is if the QBs go Williams, Daniels, JJM.

I don't see Wolf trading down. He'd be an idiot to do so. You don't trade down if you need a QB and can take one at your pick. Whiffing on a QB you take with a top-five pick might get you fired. But trading that pick to a team that then used it to take a franchise QB almost certainly will. It could also mean never getting another GM job.

NE could also miss out on JJM if they trade with us. There is no guarantee they could then trade up to #4 or #5 if they did so. Arizona and San Diego might refuse to trade or take a better offer from another team. They would then have to overdraft Nix or Penix at #6 or probably lose both of them as well, since neither will likely make it to their second round pick.

If Maye gets to #4, then I assume Minnesota will offer Arizona #11, #23, and their #1 and #3 next year. Schoen could counter with #6, #47, and our #1 next year. That should be competitive, because at worst Arizona would still have their choice of two of the top three WRs at #6. They also have a lot of draft capital this year.

If the QBs go Williams, Daniels, Maye, then I assume based on some of the asshat reports that the Giants will not trade up for JJM. What would be interesting is if they took one of the WRs instead of JJM at #6, or traded down with another team that wanted to move up to take him. I would take JJM in that situation.
RE: RE: Odunze and then Penix …  
Section331 : 4/14/2024 12:42 pm : link
In comment 16468222 BleedBlue46 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468214 Spider56 said:


Quote:


would be very, very nice.



I think that's my dream scenario right now for something that I feel could realistically happen. I like JJM a lot, but I don't think he lasts to 6 and even then Schoen might prefer Odunze. Penix sliding is much stronger of a possibility than many realize here.


I don’t see any scenario where the Giants end up with Odunze and Penix. Penix is not making it to 46, and if they trade down to pick up another 1st rounder, Odunze won’t be there.
RE: I  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 12:42 pm : link
In comment 16468258 AcidTest said:
Quote:
think the only way Maye gets to #4 is if the QBs go Williams, Daniels, JJM.

I don't see Wolf trading down. He'd be an idiot to do so. You don't trade down if you need a QB and can take one at your pick. Whiffing on a QB you take with a top-five pick might get you fired. But trading that pick to a team that then used it to take a franchise QB almost certainly will. It could also mean never getting another GM job.

NE could also miss out on JJM if they trade with us. There is no guarantee they could then trade up to #4 or #5 if they did so. Arizona and San Diego might refuse to trade or take a better offer from another team. They would then have to overdraft Nix or Penix at #6 or probably lose both of them as well, since neither will likely make it to their second round pick.

If Maye gets to #4, then I assume Minnesota will offer Arizona #11, #23, and their #1 and #3 next year. Schoen could counter with #6, #47, and our #1 next year. That should be competitive, because at worst Arizona would still have their choice of two of the top three WRs at #6. They also have a lot of draft capital this year.

If the QBs go Williams, Daniels, Maye, then I assume based on some of the asshat reports that the Giants will not trade up for JJM. What would be interesting is if they took one of the WRs instead of JJM at #6, or traded down with another team that wanted to move up to take him. I would take JJM in that situation.


Agreed on all accounts, good post.
JJ McCarthy lovefest is starting to fade  
GFAN52 : 4/14/2024 12:48 pm : link
NFL Draft No. 2 Overall Pick Odds

LSU QB Jayden Daniels is a top choice to be the No. 2 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.
Jayden Daniels -150
Drake Maye +130
J.J. McCarthy +600
Caleb Williams +5000
Marvin Harrison Jr. +5000
Bo Nix +15000
Brock Bowers +15000
Joe Alt +15000
J.C. Latham +15000
Dallas Turner +15000
Jared Verse +15000
Laiatu Latu +15000
Malik Nabers +15000
Michael Penix Jr +15000
Olumuyiwa Fashanu +15000
Rome Odunze +15000
Taliese Fuaga +15000
Odds & Players Provided by bet365 - Subject to Change

NFL Draft No. 3 Overall Pick Odds

Drake Maye -110
Jayden Daniels +160
J.J. McCarthy +400
RE: I  
Eric on Li : 4/14/2024 12:48 pm : link
In comment 16468258 AcidTest said:
Quote:
think the only way Maye gets to #4 is if the QBs go Williams, Daniels, JJM.

I don't see Wolf trading down. He'd be an idiot to do so. You don't trade down if you need a QB and can take one at your pick. Whiffing on a QB you take with a top-five pick might get you fired. But trading that pick to a team that then used it to take a franchise QB almost certainly will. It could also mean never getting another GM job.

NE could also miss out on JJM if they trade with us. There is no guarantee they could then trade up to #4 or #5 if they did so. Arizona and San Diego might refuse to trade or take a better offer from another team. They would then have to overdraft Nix or Penix at #6 or probably lose both of them as well, since neither will likely make it to their second round pick.

If Maye gets to #4, then I assume Minnesota will offer Arizona #11, #23, and their #1 and #3 next year. Schoen could counter with #6, #47, and our #1 next year. That should be competitive, because at worst Arizona would still have their choice of two of the top three WRs at #6. They also have a lot of draft capital this year.

If the QBs go Williams, Daniels, Maye, then I assume based on some of the asshat reports that the Giants will not trade up for JJM. What would be interesting is if they took one of the WRs instead of JJM at #6, or traded down with another team that wanted to move up to take him. I would take JJM in that situation.


this is how i see it. if JJM gets to 6 i think they'd pull the trigger.

so i guess i think JJM vs Maye to NE at #3 is where the draft starts because i think that's a close call that could go either way.

followed by arizona at 4. do they do what they did last year or take the star? will anderson ended up a star and he had arguably as much "best player in the draft" hype as MHJ so they know both sides well.
I hope he's right  
UberAlias : 4/14/2024 12:49 pm : link
That's what I would do too.
I don't think they go JJ at #6  
JonC : 4/14/2024 12:50 pm : link
.
RE: As usual MG is spot on  
Ned In Atlanta : 4/14/2024 12:51 pm : link
In comment 16468257 Brandon Walsh said:
Quote:
Said it the other day- Maye is their guy if somehow achievable otherwise they’re staying at 6 and taking Nabers (MHJ will be gone)



I really think given how close they're rated they would take odunze over Nabers. Between Toney and Neal with his burger flipping comment I think they need a guy who you know isn't going to be a headache
RE: I don't think they go JJ at #6  
GFAN52 : 4/14/2024 12:52 pm : link
In comment 16468274 JonC said:
Quote:
.


I don't either, I believe it's Odunze or Nabers. I'm assuming Minnesota trades up to 4 or 5 for JJ in any case.
I'm also not a fan of trade up in round 2  
UberAlias : 4/14/2024 12:52 pm : link
Maybe for Penix, but I don't he'll get that close, and I would not draft Nix.
I think Maye goes 3 and JJM is there at 6  
Jaenyg : 4/14/2024 1:00 pm : link
But so will be one or two blue chip WRs and a couple of other prospects that could be desirable to teams (OTs, Turner, Bowers).

We currently have no hope at QB and also only 6 picks in this draft.

I’d love to gain from the fact that there will be actual non QB blue chip talent available at 6. Game the Falcons and then the Bears. Get a 2nd and a 3rd. Take JJM or Penix at 9 and build with two 2nds and two 3rds.

One can dream.
A trade  
Toth029 : 4/14/2024 1:04 pm : link
Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.
RE: A trade  
Ned In Atlanta : 4/14/2024 1:06 pm : link
In comment 16468295 Toth029 said:
Quote:
Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.



Do not get the rattler appeal whatsoever
perhaps  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/14/2024 1:07 pm : link
some teams like the Giants are feigning interest in McCarthy in hopes that another team will draft him.
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 4/14/2024 1:08 pm : link
April 25th can't get here soon enough.
RE: A trade  
section125 : 4/14/2024 1:09 pm : link
In comment 16468295 Toth029 said:
Quote:
Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.


Don't be silly. Rattler and Pratt may as well be DeVito.
RE: perhaps  
GFAN52 : 4/14/2024 1:09 pm : link
In comment 16468302 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
some teams like the Giants are feigning interest in McCarthy in hopes that another team will draft him.


Harbaugh certainly is, so the QBs go 1-4 and he gets the top non-QB pick in the draft.
I think this is the right strategy  
The Mike : 4/14/2024 1:16 pm : link
The entire JJM situation feels like the greatest ruse since the D-Day hoax at Calais. Get Maye if you can without trading the 2025 first round pick or stay put and draft one of the three elite WRs. Getting Penix with a trade up from the second round would be a massive win for this franchise if Schoen can pull it off.
Penix could very well be there at #47.  
mittenedman : 4/14/2024 1:20 pm : link
He's got his fans on this website but between the injury concerns, the short game concerns and the lack of mobility, he could be a 3rd rounder even.
RE: perhaps  
DaveInTampa : 4/14/2024 1:23 pm : link
In comment 16468302 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
some teams like the Giants are feigning interest in McCarthy in hopes that another team will draft him.


Yep, that's what I think. The other day, Schoen said something about "if the 4 QBs are gone before pick 6..." it almost seemed like he was trying to give the impression that he viewed JJM in the same group as the others, but came across to me like it was a preconceived misdirection
RE: RE: A trade  
Toth029 : 4/14/2024 1:23 pm : link
In comment 16468309 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468295 Toth029 said:


Quote:


Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.



Don't be silly. Rattler and Pratt may as well be DeVito.


And Penix has had numerous shoulder and ACL surgeries and people want go give up the 2nd and next years 1st rounder. Too huge of a risk.
RE: RE: RE: A trade  
section125 : 4/14/2024 1:28 pm : link
In comment 16468331 Toth029 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468309 section125 said:


Quote:


In comment 16468295 Toth029 said:


Quote:


Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.



Don't be silly. Rattler and Pratt may as well be DeVito.



And Penix has had numerous shoulder and ACL surgeries and people want go give up the 2nd and next years 1st rounder. Too huge of a risk.


Penix is so superior a QB to those two, he is worth taking a chance on picking.
RE: If they take Maye over  
bw in dc : 4/14/2024 1:30 pm : link
In comment 16468250 Doubledeuce22 said:
Quote:
One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.


This is very hard to follow.

Are you actually saying trade up for any QB not named Maye?
 
christian : 4/14/2024 1:56 pm : link
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ
RE: …  
JT039 : 4/14/2024 1:58 pm : link
In comment 16468358 christian said:
Quote:
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ


If Minnesota trades up with NE - would we have too? Shouldn’t Maye be available at 6? I don’t think Vegas or Denver has the ammo to jump us.
Penix, Nix, etc.  
Archer : 4/14/2024 1:59 pm : link
The Giants should not draft any of the second-tier QBs unless the Giants believe that they are a clear upgrade over Jones and that they have the potential to be a top 10-15 QB.

I would rather take a chance on next year's draft or have the Gants sign a free-agent QB, i.e. Prescot.

The worst-case scenario is drafting a QB who does not have the potential to be great and tying the future to mediocrity.
That would perpetuate QB hell.

I do not see greatness in Penix, Nix, et al.
...  
christian : 4/14/2024 2:07 pm : link
In comment 16468360 JT039 said:
Quote:
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ

If Minnesota trades up with NE - would we have too? Shouldn’t Maye be available at 6? I don’t think Vegas or Denver has the ammo to jump us.


The Chargers have a ton of needs. If the Eagles and Cowboys can make a draft day trade, the Chargers and Raiders can. 12, 44, and next year's first for instance could do it.
RE: ...  
JT039 : 4/14/2024 2:08 pm : link
In comment 16468366 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16468360 JT039 said:


Quote:


I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ

If Minnesota trades up with NE - would we have too? Shouldn’t Maye be available at 6? I don’t think Vegas or Denver has the ammo to jump us.



The Chargers have a ton of needs. If the Eagles and Cowboys can make a draft day trade, the Chargers and Raiders can. 12, 44, and next year's first for instance could do it.


Gotcha. Thanks.
I would be very happy if we got Nabers/Odunze,  
PatersonPlank : 4/14/2024 2:09 pm : link
and then came back with Nix/Penix. To me that would be a homerun, because I think Nix/Penix can turn out to be every bit as good as Daniels/Maye/JJM.

A trade down with Minny, our #6 for their #11 and #23 would be good too. We could then grab Nix or Penix at #11, and then come back with a top WR at #23.
BigBlueBanter  
Toth029 : 4/14/2024 2:11 pm : link
Did an interview with PFF's Max Chadwick who has done a lot of college work and scouting. Hosts their football show and does a lot of analytical work.

He mentioned in their video how heavy defensively it is in next years class notably on the ends and for corners. Two very much premium positions.

I'd be for Schoen trading next years first in a move up from 6 but not from the 2nd round to pick a QB who's had numerous injuries and has warts himself with middle of the field work and working against pressure.
How I see it  
GFAN52 : 4/14/2024 2:12 pm : link
My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) Maye - NE
4) MHjr - AZ
5) JJMc - Minn
6) Odunze/Nabers
 
christian : 4/14/2024 2:14 pm : link
If Maye is their guy, and he's within striking distance they should just go get him. Draw a line and say from today onward the plan is Maye leads this team.
RE: …  
Darwinian : 4/14/2024 2:14 pm : link
In comment 16468358 christian said:
Quote:
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ


I have a friend who is a big Vikings fan. He says KOC loves Maye, and if they have a choice between Maye and McCarthy, it's going to be Maye.
 
christian : 4/14/2024 2:23 pm : link
If Maye is gone, and he's their guy, then obviously the chances of them moving up diminishes. In that case my guess is they stay put and pick Nabers.
zero chance Minny trades to #3 and takes JJ  
ZogZerg : 4/14/2024 2:26 pm : link
.
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